Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
255 Carlisle-Elysian Flame does hold a bit of a class edge here and drops in grade but its trainer has not had a winner with his last 42 runners and it looks a little short to me.
I like Foster`sisland,who is progressive,a course winner and won by over 20 lengths on both previous starts.
Barnay is another course winner but its more exposed and ive got it a few pounds behiind the principals.
Back Foster`sisland 5pts at 3.25 at Hills-3rd(-16pts)Smashed into evens but really got a poor ride.
420 Newcastle-Mick Maestro can be forgiven its latest run as its rein snapped.It heads my figures and the form of its run 2 dtarts back has been boosted.
The better ground will suit and it could get a solo up front.
Pay The Piper is progressive and rates the danger.
Back Mick Maestro 8pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-4th
225 Uttoxeter-Shanty Alley is consistent and still on the up based on my ratings.
It has won around here and trip and ground are fine.
St Barts is unexposed but needs to improve again to trouble the selection.dc
Back Shanty Alley 7pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Betfair-3rd
300 Uttoxeter-Last time out was Mint Conditions worse run of the season.That was over the furthest trip its tried,so if it was the trip and not that the horse has had enough then its big value here.
It had been progressive before that and will appreciate the drop in grade.
Back Mint Condition 6pt at 8.0 at Bet365-2nd
445 Uttoxeter-Gaia Vallis burst into life over fences last time out and if it can translate that back to hurdles then its on a lenient mark here.
Its still very lightly raced ,so I would expect further progress if it can back that up.
Lady Cylla is fairly exposed despite running well last time while Kimberley could be much better on this ground but it needs to improve loads for it
Back Gaia Vallis 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365-UP (DT-33pts)
330 Fakenham-You have to respect the improving One More Fleurie but it is up nearly a stone and in class,so it will need to step forward again.
Defuture Is Bright hasnt been seen for a while but the trainer does ok here although this trip is a concern.
The value looks to be Templehills,who has pulled up the last twice but could be revitalised by the return to this track(2/2 here) and better ground.Its very well handicapped on old form.
Back Templehills 7pts at 6.5 at Hills-Fell(-7pts)Incredible drifter and ran like it was drunk.
305 Cheltenham-Looking through this,I just keep coming back to two time winner,Al Boum Photo.
With no doubts about wellbeing,stamina,ground or track form,its a deserved favourite and id have it more 2/1 than the current price.
A Plus Tard has got to prove it can get home over this trip while the same could be said for Champ although it does look like it will suit,however its jumping can be sketchy.
Minella Indo would prefer slower ground and Native River is surely too old at 11 now.
Back Al Boum Photo 11pts at 4.33 at Boyles-3rd(-11pts)Several little mistakes and jockey outridden at the final turn.(DT-18pts)
1240 Hexham-West End Lady posted a rating on its debut that would take a bit of beating here.
It hasnt produced it in two starts since but its been given a 79 day break and that may revitalise it,if it does then this lightly raced horse is value.
Lady Villanelle is also unexposed but looks on a fairly stiff mark on my figures while Gamesters Icon may appreciate the drop in trip and rates the main danger.
Back West End Lady 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-3rd(-6pts)I was hopeful jumping the 2nd last as the leaders were stopping but it went nowhere.
650 Kempton-With a record of 5w-1p-8r over this course and distance then Uzincso must have a fair chance of adding to that.
Its at its best in a big field and although its got a tricky draw,its won from wider around here.
Back Uzincso 16pts at 3.25 at Hills/Bet365-Won(+48pts*BOG)Always well placed and was always holding on.
305 Cheltenham-There should be loads of pace on here and that will suit Sharjah.
It hit the frame in this last year and could easily do so again and hails from a yard that have won this 4 times in the last 10 years.
Honeysuckle has yet to face defeat but this is its toughest task to date while Epatante hasnt hit the heights of last season this year.
Goshen returned to form last time but will be up in the heat of the race here,from an early stage.
Back Sharjah 5ptS each way at 11.0 at Betvictor/Boyles/Betfred-2nd(+14pts)A good run but the winner far too good
450 Cheltenham-Next Destination looks set for a big run here.Its unexposed over fences and this trip.
It looks set to improve for both and must go close,granted a decent round of jumping.
Galvin has clearly been saved for this and rates a big danger but may just prefer better ground.
Back Next Destination 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-14pts)Another to run well but just got outstayed.
135 Southwell-Qaaraat drops from a class 4 into a class 6 and easily tops my ratings.
Its been running consistently and looks to have been found a fair opportunity.
Clear danger is the lightly raced Due A Win,who could be on a decent mark for its handicap debut.
True Hero is the other in with a chance but it looks up against it on my figures.
Back Qaaraat 15pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-3rd(-15pts)below par run(DT-15pts)
247 Plumpton-Moroder looks to be improving and is unexposed as a staying hurdler.
I would have it as fav on my figures.
Blame The Game won well last time but finished 10 lengths behind the selection 2 starts back and is now 3Ibs worse off.
Deebaj is running well but is up 2 grades.
Back Moroder 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-9pts)Looked like it was coming to win but one paced
100 Stratford-Shut The Box drops in class and should go well but its got a habit of finding one too good.
Kap Auteuil did us a favour last time and that rating it posted suggests there more to come.I`d want it handy as it stays well.
Back Kap Auteuil 16pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+40pts)Jumped well and won easy
203 Stratford-There should be a decent pace on here and that should suit Orrisdale,whos been in decent form and has a good chance of breaking its duck over fences.
I like the cheekpieces for the first time angle and its wins have come on left handed tracks.
Back Orrisdale 11pts at 4.33 at Hills-3rd(-11pts)Another to run well but not get it done.
340 Taunton-Beau Du Brizais is more reliable than most in this and drops into a grade where its gained 3 career wins.I would definitely have it at the top of the market.
This is easier than the races Danny Whizbang has been contesting but it may need the ground to dry out.
Back Beau Du Brizais 16pts at 3.25 at Hills-3rd(-16pts)Very odd betting heat with this very weak.(DT+4pts)
402 Hereford-You have to forgive a little but at the prices,its worth seeing if Hatcher can bounce back here.
Its down in class into a grade where its 2 from 3 and it returns during its best time of the season(Mar/Apr 3w-2p-5r) plus a fine 9w-0p-13r record in fields of 7 or less means theres enough there to warrant an interest.
Solomon Grey should go well while Marracudja came back to form last time but it remains to be seen if it backs that up.
Back Hatcher 4pts at 12.0 at bet365/888sport-UP(-4pts)Moved into and then dropped away quickly
455 Ayr-Ardera Cross excels at this track and with conditions to suit,its stamina should kick into play late on.Its 7w-2p-21r in fields of 7 runners or less also.
Pistol Park looks the obvious danger but consistency is not its strongest suit.
Back Ardera Cross 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+35pts)Foot perfect and tough to past
820 Chelmsford-This could be the ideal trip for Single,as its just been weakening late on over 2 miles.
There doesnt look to be loads of pace,so it should be able to either to lead or sit handy.
Back Single 4pts at 13.0 at Bet365
1145 Wolverhampton-Although its more exposed than most,Nortonthorpe Boy goes well here(2/4 at the track) and at this trip(4w-1p-6r) ,it looks a fair price.
Back Nortonthorpe Boy 5pts at 10.0 at Various Bookies-5th(-5pts)Ran a fair race
415 Sandown-The step up in trip and back on decent ground should prove ideal for Stormy Flight.
Its been finishing close to some progressive rivals and looks a decent price.
Bard Of Brittany could have its work cut out under a penalty and up in class.
Back Stormy Flight 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Hills-3rd(-7pts)
700 Newcastle-The progressive Arafi is the right favourite but Toronado Queen is the wrong price here.
Its been consistent and gets this trip really well,it actually posted its best career rating on its first start at this track last time.It should be half the price it is.
Arafi is improving and might even be better over this trip but it is up 2 grades from its latest win.
Back Toronado Queen 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Backed into 7/4 and finished last!
350 Carlisle-Sabbathical looks a tight price based on its chasing career so far although the trainer does well when he sends one up here,id prefer to see more before supporting it.
Bingo D`Olivate is up in class but has the ratings to figure while Skipping On will like the conditions but is unlikely to be improving at 12 years old.
Maid O`Malley just needs to put it all together to take this.It came down when in front last time but that rating puts it in best here and after only 3 starts,it should still have some upside for a yard that have a 23% strike rate with their chasers here.
Back Maid O`Malley 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Skybet-2nd(-9pts)Looked the winner 2 out but various jumping errors seem to take their toll.(DT-15pts)
320 Newcastle-If Sandy Thomson can bring Dingo Dollar back to life then it could be a big runner but this looks a good opportunity for She`sasupermack,who has form figures of 1-1-2 at this track and 1-2-1 in this grade.
Its up in trip but the stallion was best over this distance.
Gliteering Love is the other in with a chance but it wont want the ground to continue to dry out.
Back She`sasupermack 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-3rd(-16pts)Market told you everything here as Dingo Dollar was hammered in
620 Southwell-Jewel Master looked a natural on this surface last time out and is taken to follow up that smooth victory.
Its best in small field(7 runners or less 2w-1p-4r) and there is lots of pace on here which will suit this horse.
Star Of St James like this course and distance but appeared to find its higher mark beyond it last while Daafr needs to be revitalised by this return to this venue.
Back Jewel Master 12pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-3rd(-12pts)(DT-28pts)
1230 Southwell-Im surprised Ecossais isnt heading the market here.
Its 2/2 around this track and after 9 career runs,is still fairly unexposed.
Faustinovick has finished second on its last 3 starts and is clearly beatable while Rizzardo ran no sort of race last time out.
Back Ecossais 16pts at 3.25 at various Bookies-Won(+36pts)Second fine ride by this young jockey inside a week,to boot the tip home
230 Newbury-Probably the biggest issue will be getting Tegerek down to the start,its got all the ratings to take this so let hope it behaves.
535 Doncaster-Its not won for a while but from a ratings perspective,Ozzy Thomas holds a fine chance here.
The drying ground is in its favour and its on a nice mark.
The obvious danger is Twojayslad,whos won its last two and is clearly in good heart but this is 2 grades higher than last time and its never won off a mark this high.
Theres quite a bit of deadwood and out of nick horses in this race but Ballyhill could be a threat if it stays.
Back Ozzy Thomas 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-3rd(-16pts)
300 Newbury-Shut The Box heads the market and I can see its chance but its never been the most consistent ratings wise and also moves up in grade.
Take it on with Defi Sacre,whos 2/2 over this course and distance and has the figures to take this.
Est Lilic heads the dangers for me as its 1/1 in this grade.
Back Defi Sacre 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Both ran well but not well enough(DT-25pts)
115 Musselburgh-Eagle Ridge should go well as its got 3 course wins to its name and it should handle the drop in trip but it was beaten off this mark last time and is plenty short enough.
Begoodtoyourself also holds chances but it needs to improve a little on my figures,so at a price, I think Path To Freedom is the value call.
Its unexposed at this trip and it preferred this ground in the point field.
Back Path To Freedom 5pts at 10.0 at Bet365-5th(-5pts)
300 Musselburgh-Kings Creek makes its handicap debut and my ratings suggest ,its on a decent mark.
If it can reproduce its run from 3 starts back then it has the beating of this field.
Balranald has tipped up on 2 of its last 3 starts,so looks a vulnerable fav to me while Sword Of Fate has 1 win in 3 years.
Back Kings Creek 5pts at 8.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Two poor runs(DT-10pts)
Monthly Total+18pts
Running Total+365.50pts
200 Catterick-Course specialist Ask Paddy holds a strong chance here.
It loves it here with a 4w-1p-7r record and is at its best after a recent run(Returning to the track within 30 days 6w-0p-14r) and it drops in class into a grade where its a force with 4 wins from 10 starts.
It surely must go well.
Caventara looked a good prospect back in 2019 but the wheels have fell off since.
Another Emotion represents a yard that hasnt got going all season.
Back Ask Paddy 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365/Hills-2nd(-16pts)Jumped out to its right a lot and that could have made the difference.
230 Catterick-Back over hurdles,I expect First Man to carry on its progressive profile,the slightly better ground will also help and this is pretty weak.
Clear danger is Gold Runner ,who is unexposed over this trip but is penalised for its recent win.
Back First Man 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365-Won(+66pts*BOG*)Dug it out well and drifted too.
300 Catterick-If the same Relkadam turns up that won last week then it will definitely win but its not the most consistent and I couldnt have it at odds on.
Miss Amelia competes off a career high mark,it is in good form but its ran below par in two previous visits here while Pull Green is unexposed but needs to improve.
The value is Monsieur Co,who should be able to creep into it and if its at its best then its a crazy price.
Back Monsieur Co 4pts at 11.0 at Hills-UP
340 Leicester-We were on Miss Zip last time,when it was hammered in the betting but made a bad mistake early on and was pulled up.
I have got to give this well handicapped horse another chance particularly as its 3/3 during Feb and March.
Arqalina looks a vulnerable fav to me,as its on a career mark now after its latest win and marks near this have proved too much in the past.
The unexposed Boro Babe is probably the main danger.
Back Miss Zip 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-PU(-8pts)Lifeless performance(DT+38pts)
240 Plumpton-The return to better ground should enable Jackson Hill to stay on the bridle,providing his jumping holds up.It tends to cruise through its races but doesnt find much when let down.
Its ratings suggest its improving and with a decent pace likely,I expect it to arrive looking strong 2 out and hopefully produce when it matters.
Dandolo Du Gute finished behind the selection last time and doesnt appear to be the most consistent.
Wemceslaus has 3 course wins to its name and is respected however,its off a career high mark.
Back Jackson Hill 2pts at 5.0 at Bet365-3rd(-10pts)Perfect set up for it but it couldnt deliver.
210 Fontwell-The Crooner might win but its far too short here,I`m happy to take it on.
Invincible Cave holds chances but is around the right price and drying ground wouldnt be ideal for it.
Cherokee Bill has been running fairly solid but may prefer it a little shorter,so if Magic River can put it all together then I can see it going close.
Its run 3 starts back,saw it post a rating that wins this race and theres been a little support overnight,so Im hopeful of a big run.
Back Magic River 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-8pts)Always outpaced
350 Hereford-Tinkers Hill Tommy is a fair favourite ,it ran well on its first start for Rebecca Curtis and if it comes on from that then its a big threat but it may bounce off that run and as its only managed 2 runs in the last 3 years,its clearly fragile.
First Figaro reappears after 417 days but Ive no doubt the trainer will have it fit and well,however this horse has a very patchy profile and has never won a handicap in 25 career starts.
The value is Overawed,who has been in consistent form and looks more likely than most to run its race.
Back Overawed 9pts at 5.5 at Hills-Non Runner(DT-8pts)Disappointing month.
Monthly Total-31.50pts
Running Total+347.50pts
645 Wolverhampton-The Pretty Way has a decent chance but looks very short for a horse that has to prove its stamina while Halwa Azyan seems to get going too late in its races.
So at a price,maybe Gonzaga can put it all together finally.Its yet to get its head in front but its running so well and posting good enough figures to take this.
There should be a strong pace to aim at and come home strong.
Back Gonzaga 6pts at 7.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-6pts)If any race sums up this month then this was it.Given a perfect ride,it went to the front and pulled two lengths clear but gradually got reeled in and lost on the nod.
435 Lingfield-Pop Dancer is definitely the value here.Its top rated and has a fine record of 4w-2p-8r in fields of 7 or less and 4w-2p-10r at this trip.
It finished in front of the fav last time and should be around the 11/4 mark.
Saaheq won well at the weekend and appears well treated under a penalty but this is a quick turnaround.
Outrage was below par last time at Newcastle but has run to its best in both previous visits here although its 0w-0p-10r between Feb and June.
Tin Hat drops down to 5 furlongs which may suit but it does find winning difficult.
Back Pop Dancer 9pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-9pts)
353 Warwick-There are no negatives in Springtown Lake`s profile as it bids to follow up its win in this race last year.
Its 4w-2p-10r at this trip and is at home on the soft ground.
It ran over a trip too far last time and didnt take to the national fences the time before but its run first time out this season was a fine effort and the trainer has won this race twice in the last 6 years.
Main danger has to be Espoir De Guye,who has the ratings if at its best although it may possibly be a little better going right handed.
Back Springtown Lake 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-8pts)-DT(23pts)
257 Chepstow -You can pick holes in most in this but Perfect Man looks well overpriced to me.
Its a course winner,which is so vital around here and likes soft ground(4w-0p-10r),its 2 from 5 in the month of February and an impressive 3w-0p-4r in fields of 7 or less like this.
I would have it at a single figure price.
If Poker Play can back up its latest effort then it should win but its very inconsistent while Black Kentucky reverts back to hurdles after some shocking runs over fences this season.
Back Perfect Man 1pt at 21.0 at Bet365/Tote-3rd(-3pts)Nicely backed and touched 2.3 in running.Shame it missed the last hurdle as it may have got close.
327 Chepstow-Zambezi Fix is definitely the value in this race,
It posted a good rating last time out at this track and if it can cope with the drop in trip then it really should go close.Ive got it around the 5/2 mark on my tissue.
Funambule Sivola is the clear main danger,as a progressive chaser but its a tight enough price.
Arian isnt out of it as its 1/1 at this track but often loses its form at this time of year(Feb/Mar 0w-0p-5r)
Back Zambezi Fix 6pts at 8.0 at Paddys/Betfair-2nd(-6pts)Ran really well but the fav was too strong.(DT-9pts)
320 Wetherby-Everything points to a big run from Eceparti here.
Its gradually edging down the weights,it won on its only start over course and distance(posting a carrer best rating),soft ground is fine and the trainer has a 33% strike rate here.
Cybalko races under a penalty and off a career high mark,its had a fine season and isnt discounted but this trip is also a little further than it prefers and it looks vulnerable.
Manetti looks up against it on my ratings while Caboy ran well last time but is inconsistent.
Back Eceparti 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-4th(_14pts)Really underwhelming performance.
215 Wetherby-Snougar is handicapped to win now and returns to a track where it won on its only other chase start here.
Its 2w-0p-4r in Feb and March and if it can run close to its previous visit here then its a big runner.
Im not sure I trust Relkadam and certainly not as favourite,its 0w-1p-6r in this class and finished 15 lengths behind the selection on its only run here.
Rollerruler is 0 from 12 in its career and moves up in grade,the horse that beat it last time has done nothing for the form.
I did keep looking at Las Tunas as its 2/2 here and this is its trip but its record after a break is poor(61 days + 0w-0p-6r),if the money comes then I would be wary of it.
Back Snougar 7pts at 6.5 at Skybet/Bet365-2nd(-7pts)Ran well but Relkadam hosed up.
440 Newcastle-Theres no doubt Caribeno is a tough opponent here but it is up in the weights and moves up 2 grades plus its got more distance to cover.It may well suit but on a track its never raced on and where its stallion has just a 3% strike rate,we may be able to get the odds on shot beat.
Manjaam is greatly respected as its 3/3 here but at the prices I just prefer Busy Street.
This horse is nicely handicapped on the flat and has been in fine form in jumpers bumpers,over this course and distance,since it joined this in form trainer.
Its the only horse to have won in this grade and has the ratings to take this.
Back Busy Street 6pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-6pts)They strolled round but it came to win the race(Touched 1.6 in running) but flattened out.(DT-27pts)
135 Carlisle-This will be a staying test and that should suit Scottish Accent,who has easily the best two ratings in the race,if it runs to its best.
417 Uttoxeter-This is quite competitve for the grade but im surprised Easy Bucks isnt shorter.
Its 2 from 2 at this track and drops in class here.
Eaton Miller is just 1 from 27 in its career while Pleney is unexposed as a chaser but is inconsistent.
The biggest danger is probably The Ogle Gogle Man whos on a decent mark back over fences.
Back Easy Bucks 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Pulled UP(-10pts)
240 Haydock-I like the progressive Notachance here,After only 6 runs over fences and 11 in total,its produced a progressive rating in each and every one.
300 Lingfield-Various doubts surrounding several here,Uther Pendragon ran well last time and is consistent but 3 wins from 58 runs isnt great,its never won at this trip and its up 2 grades from last time.
1230 Leicester-Im keen to take on Underworkandunderpaid here,its been in decent form but it is 0w-1p-12r in this class and 0w-1p-6r going right handed,so there are doubts.
620 Kempton-I really like Lequinto here.Its consistent and progressive and posted a career best rating when upped to a mile for the first time, last time out.
640 Newcastle-With 4 course wins to its name,its clear Chosen World likes this place.
It does move up in class here but its won in the grade twice before and is 2w-2p-6r on a standard to slow track plus also 4w-6p-16r when wearing cheek pieces like today,on my ratings it should be shorter.
Ghatanfar is consistent but is creeping up the weights and looks vulnerable to me.
With Promise looks the main danger after Bobby Joe Leg ran a stinker last time.
Back Chosen World 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)Looked briefly dangerous but flattened out.
710 Newcastle-Global Warning looks a dodgy fav to me here,it got stuffed at odds on last time and is 11Ibs higher than its win here,two starts back.Add to that a record of 0w-2p-6r on standard to slow tracks and it needs to be taken on.
Im hoping Spartan Fighter can dominate from the front here,its generally posted a string of progressive ratings with its latest over this course and distance ,its best yet.
Its 2w-0p-3r in fields of 7 or less like this and 3 from 6 when retuning to the track within 30 days,if its not taken on upfront early on then it will take a bit of pegging back.
Kind Review goes well here but is on a career high mark now.
Back Spartan Fighter 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-UP(-12pts)Absolutely massive drifter and therefore,knew its fate before it ran.
425 Wolverhampton-True Hero looks very short to me here.It won last time out but that was on a different surface and it was stuffed on its only visit here.
Amazing Amaya has run several good races here and has posted its best ratings at this track,with a strong pace to run at,it should go close.
I would have it as favourite.
Nellie French looks the main danger to me,as it posted a good rating over course and distance last time.
Back Amazing Amaya 8pts at 5.0 at Tote-UP(-8pts)Frustrating to see Nellie French win.
530 Wolverhampton-Nate The Great is on a nice mark now and has been knocking on the door,its hit the frame on both starts here and hopefully it can go one better here.
Lucky Deal is improving but has no track form to its name,on my ratings,it needs to continue to improve to take a hand here.
Back Nate The Great 4pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Always well placed and stayed on well.
630 Wolverhampton-This is a decent race but a record of 3w-1p-6r at this track means Assimilation holds strong claims.
Luke Morris is 3w-1p-7r on it and its still fairly unexposed at this trip.
Sky Defender is running well but is now 9Ibs higher than its last winning mark on the all weather,so the biggest danger looks to be Power Of States,who is 1/1 over this course and distance.
Back Assimilation 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365/Tote-UP(-14pts)Weak in the betting and a very poorly judged ride from Luke Morris didnt help.(DT+14pts)
