23rd February

330 Plumpton-Its previous record sounds a note of caution but Paddy the Oscar won so well last time and posted a rating thats superior to anything else in this weak race.

The explanation from connections was a noseband and a new bit brought about the return to form,so hopefully that will work again and it will take the beating if it does.

According To Them won this race last year and won last time but a record of 2 from 25 doesnt really suggest a follow up.

Ballyvoneen likes it here but pulled up last time while Possibly Flora isnt proven over this far.

Back Paddy the Oscar 14pts at 3.5-2nd(-14pts)For 95% of this race,there only looked to be one winner as Paddy jumped and travelled fantastic.The winner just wouldnt go away however and just outstayed it.

440 Plumpton-Golden Games is 1 from 21 in its career and is now 13Ibs higher than its only win.

The trainer is just 2 from 90 with his hurdlers here and I would have it around the 9/1 mark.

Cresswell Breeze is the obvious one running for us,as it won so well last time.

Little Roxy has 3 Plumpton wins and shouldnt be far away.

Lay Golden Games 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)

22nd February

No Selections

21st February

220 Newcastle-Teo Vivo isnt without a chance but was beaten in a lower grade last time and the trainer is 0 from 14 with her hurdlers here.

It should be more around the 13/2 mark on my figures and I have to take it on.

Smooth Stepper is improving.Im not sure about this drop in trip but if its on the premises 2 out,it will come home strong.

Fisher represents a yard that are 6 from 15 with their hurdlers and last times below par run was at a track where its ran poorly before.

Dark Dune is reliable while Desoto Country would have strong claims on last seasons best ratings.

Sky Khan is back from a break but if ready to go,would be very competitve on last seasons best.

Lay Teo Vivo 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-UP(+19pts after commission)

440 Newcastle-If my ratings mean anything then Rouge Et Blanc has very strong claims here.

Last time out it was run down close home(When being in front too soon) by a horse that has won again since.

Its 2 from 4 in February and must go close.

Oscar Rock is an improver and the yard do well here but theyve been out of form most of the season.

Swing Hard is only 0w-1p-7r in this grade but ran well last time and the trainer has won this 3 times in the last 6 years.Its the main danger for me.

Back Rouge Et Blanc 12pts at 5.5-Non Runner but this horse is handicapped to win....definitely!(DT+19pts)

Monthly Total+108.45pts

Running Total+7422.34pts

20th February

410 Warwick-Qulinton came back to form last time,posting a rating that would make it very competitve here.

Its very well handicapped now and will surely take advantage soon for a yard that continue to do well.

This horse is at its best on a left handed,sharp track and thats what it gets here.

Safran De Cotte has the ratings to figure but is 0w-0p-4r at this track while Union Jack D`Ycy will love the trip and ground but has to put 2 below par efforts behind it.

The one I am most concerned about is Loughalder,who won this last year.

Its 2 from 4 at this track and 5 from 13 between January to April.However its been woeful so far this season including when a selection for us last time.

Back Qulinton 9pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Meeting Abandoned

250 Exeter-I like the look of Molo here.It makes its handicap debut and based on its latest rating and speed figure,it could have got in leniently.

David Pipe continues in good form and this should go very close.

The main danger looks to be Ross Imperiallis,who won on its handicap debut but does represent a yard who are 0 from 17 with their hurdlers here.

Back Molo 13pts at 4.0(Already Advised)-2nd(-13pts)Well backed and looked the winner(Touched 1.3 in running) but got outstayed.

520 Exeter-This is pretty open but Alberobello is unexposed over fences and if it can back up or even improve on its latest start over course and distance then it will be tough to beat.

That run produced the best rating here and easily the best speed figure.Course form around here is always a bonus.

Newton Thistle has done its winning around Towcester so far but Ive got it as the main danger as its a tough,consistent horse.

Castarnie is the fav,after its win last time on its 2nd start over fences.That was on much softer ground though and its 0w-0p-3r around here.

Moorlands Mist is another lightly raced over fences but is 0w-0p-7r going right handed and 0w-0p-3r around this track.

Back Alberobello 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-Pulled Up(-8pts)Horse broke a blood vessel(DT-21pts)

19th February

No Selections

18th February

245 Ludlow-The form of Rascal`s last run has been well franked with wins for the 2nd and 4th placed horses since and it comes out clear top of my ratings.

The slight drop in trip should suit and I can see this kicking for home and not getting caught for a yard with a 21% strike rate here.

Handicap debutante Royal Redemption could be the main danger as its lightly raced and the trainer has a decent record here.

Back Rascal 15pts at 3.75-Won(+41.25pts)Top ride from a vastly underrated jockey.Horse hurdled superb.

345 Ludlow-Kerryhead Storm has put together 2 solid runs and shouldnt be far away but looks vulnerable to an improver.

Im hoping that will be All But Grey,whos only had the 1 run over fences and jumped well behind a good horse before weakening near the end.

It clearly likes very soft ground,so im hoping the ground will be ok and it may be better going right handed as its hurdles win came going that way round.

Eastern Witness is another possible improver after just 2 chase starts but certainly needs to while Guanciale may be better at further and the trainer is 0 from 12 here.

Carhue Princess is up in class,down in trip and not at its beloved Towcester,I cant see that winning.

Back All But Grey 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-Fell(-8pts)This was tanking along and jumping well when it appeared to stumble after landing down the back straight.(DT+33.25pts)

Monthly Total+110.45pts

Running Total+7424.34pts

17th February

230 Wolves-This is one those occasions where a selection is so in and out,that the chances are it will probably run a stinker(it did last time out) but if it does turn up in good form then I cant possibly let it go unbacked at such a big price.

That horse is Comrade Bond,whos well handicapped off a mark 4Ibs lower than its last won off and has the plum draw in 1.

It ran well over a stone below its best last time at Kempton but on its previous effort over course and distance, it would hold far better chances than the current price.The excellent speed figure it clocked(The best in this race) means it cannot be ignored despite its inconsistency.

City of Angkor Wat is at the other end of the scale,with consistency being its strong point,Its clearly the most likely winner but is priced accordingly.

Back Comrade Bond 3pts at 21.0 at Various bookies-3rd(-3pts)Hampered a furlong out and just a little unlucky i thought.

325 Wetherby-I cannot for the life of me see why Vasco D`Ycy is the price it is in the race.

Its got no form on good ground,is 0w-0p-3r at this track and the trainer is 3 from 56 with his runners here.

Ive got it priced up at 10/1 so has to be a lay at the current prices.

Blackwater King will love the ground and clocked a good speed figure last time while Trust Thomas will run well and deserves to win another race.

Grey Life is 3 from 4 at this trip while Ballycool and Aye Well are runners with chances as well.

Lay Vasco D`Ycy 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-UP(+19pts after commission)Very little concern at any point.(DT+16pts)

Monthly Total+67.20pts

Running Total+7391.09pts

16th February

4.0 Carlisle-Its difficult to see Spanish Fleet not running well here.Its been in rock solid,consistent form with 3 wins from its last 4 starts.

Its 2 from 3 at this distance and 3 from 5 at this course.its the one to beat for me.

Upswing has been in poor form and this drop in distance looks an odd move but the yard are flying and its 2 from 2 here.

Conquisto is the other one in with a chance.

Back Spanish Fleet 11pts at 4.3-4th(-11pts)Weak in the market due to the strength of the subsequent winner and 2nd but still ran a great race and jumped the last tied for the lead.

15th February

205 Market Rasen-Intent and Shirocco Passion both make their handicap debuts and its possible they could improve past the reliable Grimley Girl.

However the consistency and progressive ratings of the selection suggests they may have their work cut out.

Its also possible that Grimley Girl could get in front on its own and that is never a bad thing around here.

Back Grimley Girl 12pts at 4.5-Won(+42pts)Backed like defeat was out of the question and despite hurdling sloppily,stayed on strongly

415 Market Rasen-This is quite competitve and Fromthetop looks too short to me.

It ran a stinker last time and isnt very fluent at its fences.It will lose ground on this sharp track and the trainer is just 1 from 44 around here.

Benefit in Kind must run well while Big George drops in class and is 1 from 1 around here.

Roseneath has raced here just twice and finished 1st and 2nd,it could hit the frame.

Lay Fromthetop 20pts at 6.0-Pulled Up(+19pts after commission)For some reason,this horse seems to be made favourite every time it runs.Cant jump or travel (DT+61pts)

Monthly Total+62.20pts

Running Total+7386.09pts

14th February

155 Wincanton-The very progressive Toowomba is fancied to keep its winning run going here.

Its only had just the 3 runs over fences and won 2 of them,the defeat coming first time out this season.

Ive got this horse around the 11/8 mark,so although favourite,I think the current price is fair value.

Winston Churchill was impressive last time but that was on heavy ground.

Probably more of a worry for the horse is the trainers poor record here(0 from 23).

Opening Batsmen is handicapped to win but needs to find more than of late although it does goes well here(Wincanton 2w-2p-5r)

Harrys Farewell was a selection for us last time and ran terribly.On its run 2 starts back,it wouldnt be out of this.

Back Toowomba 16pts at 3.25 at Totesport/Betfred/Ladbrokes(Accept 3.0)-4th(-16pts)Well backed but ran poorly.Always going to be Opening Batsmen that won this after finishing 2nd for us last time.

240 Ascot-Trainer Lucinda Russell doesnt venture south to this track often but when she does,its worth noting,with a record of 2 from 3 with her runners here.

Clondaw Knight represents her here and although up in class,this horse looks to be progressing fast and is unexposed over this trip.

Ive got it clear favourite of my figures.

The clear danger for me Carole`s Destrier ,whos only had 4 runs over fences and clocked a fine speed figure last time.

Back Clondaw Knight 12pts at 4.0(Already Advised)-2nd(-12pts)Jumped fantastic and looked the winner(Traded at 1.23 in running) but looked like it got outstayed by the well punted Caroles Destrier(DT-28pts)

13th February

250 Fakenham-Although facing some course specialists here,the lightly raced Canuspotit appeals to me here.

Its only had 2 runs over fences and on its latest start it posted a rating that wins this race(with a subsequent winner back in third).

With improvement likely,I would expect this horse to go close.

Obviously you never know around this specialists track but it did place over hurdles here and this in form trainer knows what horse takes to this place.

She is an excellent 15 from 44 with her chasers here and won this race 2 years ago with a similar type to the selection.

Any time Full Ov Beans turns up here,it needs maximum respect but lacks the progression of ours while another horse that does well here,Midnight Charmer is up into a grade 3 race for the first time.It is 0w-1p-11r in grade 4`s,so its difficult to see it being good enough.

Freckle Face has the ratings to figure but is 0w-1p-6r on sharp tracks and 0w-1p-7r going left handed.

Gone Too Far moves up in trip and represents top connections,it probably worries me the most.

Back Canuspotit 9pts at 5.5(Already advised)-Won(40.5pts)Hammered into 7/4 and finally,one of these well backed horses prevails.

425 Lingfield-You couldnt say Maison Brillet has much in hand at the weights but this race interests me from a distance point of view.

The favourite Top Set moves up in distance,its not bred to improve for it and is 0 from 15 anyway.You have to take it on with something.

The selection ran pretty well last time at Kempton,making late headway into third but on its last start over course and distance,it posted a rating that suggests it should be shorter than its current price.It certainly has no issues on trip or track.

Guards Chapel won well last time but that was over 3 furlongs further and ive got its best ratings at that trip.

Takeitfromalady also went well last time but is another that might prefer further.

Back Maison Brillet 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)Ironically beat what I thought were the dangers but couldnt get to the front running winner.(DT+33.5pts)

455 Lingfield-Chelwood Gate is rock solid here and gets the added bonus of George Baker riding it for the first time,it must go well.

Embankment also looks sure to run well while Flamborough Breeze will appreciate the return to a mile and I dont think Lindart is out of it either.

Seven Lucky Seven has a career strike rate of 1 from 20.It moves up into a class 5 race where its record is 0w-0p-8r and tries its luck at a mile to try and signal some improvement.Its sire has just a 4% strike rate at the trip with its progeny.

Lay Seven Lucky Seven 20pts at 5.5(lay upto 6.0)-UP(+19pts after commission)(DT+52.50pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Chelwood Gate or Embankment dont run*

Monthly Total+29.20pts

Running Total+7353.09pts

12th February

230 Kelso-Whatever the outcome here,we have got some serious value here already after all the early money since I sent it out.

You have to respect the improving The Last Samurai and Ballyben has been in decent form while Whats Up Woody isnt out of it.

The early prices pointed towards the progressive Blue Kascade.

This horse has had only 4 races over fences and wouldve gone very close to winning last time but for a bad mistake 2 out.

That rating gives it serious chances and it goes well fresh(80 days+ 2w-0p-5r)

Back Blue Kascade 9pts at 8.0(Already advised)-4th(-9pts)Hammered into 11/4 but dont know what to make of this run at all? Ran on into 4th late.....very Late!

310 Leicester-If Artifice Sivola can learn to settle then it could turn into a decent 2 mile chaser but it runs with the choke out and often weakens late on.

I like Take the Crown,who has posted 4 solid efforts over fences and will appreciate the better ground here.

The trainer is 3 from 11 here and the jockey has a 24% strike rate for this yard.

When racing between January to March its 2w-1p-4r and its 3w-2p-12r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Henri De Boistron represents a yard that do well here but its needs to seriously improve.

Back Take the Crown 8pts at 6.0(Already Advised)-2nd(-8pts)Halved in price then touched 1.26 in running before getting nailed 3 strides from the line.Unbelievable and sums up the recent run.(DT-17pts)

Monthly Total-23.2pts

Running Total+7300.59pts

11th February

255 Chepstow-Many unexposed horses in here,Buffin Island and Kamool being the pick of them while The Drinkymeister heads up the more exposed horses.

Milanisi Boy is going to need to find more to deal with those mentioned.

The trainer is only 1 from 13 here and the jockey/trainer combo a less than impressive 0 from 8.

Lay Milanisi Boy 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)

405 Chepstow-Very competitve race.Pitter Patter came down at thelast  when last seen  but even on that good run,its got it to do on my ratings.

Its got stamina to prove and the trainer is only 1 from 27 here.

There are numerous horses that should run well,Lights of Broadway,Still Believing and Keishi Pearl are the ones i most favour.

Lay Pitter Patter 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts(DT+38 after commission)

Monthly Total-6.2pts

Running Total+7317.59pts

10th February

245 Ayr-A race that contains a few stepping up in trip.One of which is the selection,Gilnockie.

This horses ratings have improved as its gradually stepped up in distance and now makes its handicap debut ,over 3 miles for the first time.

Its sire Kayf Tara won the Ascot Gold Cup on the flat over 2m4f,so you would expect this trip to really suit this horse.

Its latest rating over 2m4f suggests it could be on a decent mark and I would have it right at the front of the market.

Teddy Tee,although improving,is going to have to find plenty of improvement to win this,on my figures.

One For Arthur ,has a similar profile to the selection and is respected along with Bryden Boy and Turtle Cask.

Back Gilnockie 8pts at 5.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-8pts)

420 Ayr-Habbie Simpson,just found the ground and track against it,when a selection for us 25 days ago.

On this softer ground,going left handed(5w-4p-15r) and galloping track(3w-1p-7r on such tracks) I would expect a good run.

Its 2 from 2 in February and the trainer is 9 from 31 with her chasers here.

The booking of McCoy on Yes Tom,suggests a big run is expected but the market expects that already.

Sa Suffit is the only other horse in the race with any kind of recent form but is 12 now.

Back Habbie Simpson 8pts at 6.0 at bet365/Corals(Accept 4.5)-UP(-8pts)Jumped awful and the poor month continues.(DT-16pts)

7th February

225 Newbury-Houblon Des Obeaux heads my ratings and its 2 runs this season,are rock solid form.

First time out it finished 2nd in the Hennesey behind Many Clouds(Giving it weight),that horse has come out and won a Gold Cup trial since then it finished just behind The Young Master,which has been the big top handicap improver all season.

A reproduction of either run would make it tough to beat.

Its 5w-3p-14r on galloping tracks like this.

Harry Topper won this last year but has pulled up in 2 runs since,so has questions to answer.

Coneygree is improving and could get an easy lead,I would make it the main danger.

Unioniste represents Paul Nicholls,who has won this race 5 times in the last 9 years.I respect all that but its got nearly a stone to find on my figures.

Back Houblon Des Obeaux 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12pts)Pretty sure its ran its race but Coneygree has just improved past it ,unfortunately

915 Wolves-This is a 2 horse race and therefore,the bigger price gets the call.

That horse is Moulin Rouge,whos been in fine form since joining this yard.

Its proven here and the drop back in trip to the distance it won at 2 starts back,is ideal.

The danger is Mr Soprano,who showed its best form yet,over shorter and at Chelmsford last time.

It should be suited by the extra distance and its sire has a fair record here.

Back Moulin Rouge 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+37.8*1 non runner*)Got a break at last.Travelled well and won easy(DT+25.8pts)

Monthly Total-29.20pts

Running Total+7294.59pts

6th February

335 Kempton-There are quite a few here who have questions to answer as regards current form and stamina.

This doesnt apply to Firm Order,who has run well in each of its 3 runs this winter,only losing out to a course specialist last time.

A repeat of that effort would see it going very close for a yard that are 18% with their handicap chasers at this track.

Open Hearted represents top connections but it weakened badly over this trip last time.

Umberto D`Olivate is 4 from 8 over fences and looks like it may get 3 miles but whether it improves for it is another thing.

Back Firm Order 8pts at 6.0 at Various bookies(Accept 5.5)-5th(-8pts)

325 Newcastle-Its difficult to see Chavoy not being involved in the finish here.

It ran well behind a horse that was on a roll last time and that rating makes it the one to beat here.

If anything it will be better suited by todays heavy going and the track(1 from 2 here)

Its 3w-3p-8r in this grade and 3w-4p-10r in fields of 10 or less

Lively Baron is a force in this grade(4 from 7) and handles soft but is a 7Ib worse horse on heavy on my figures.

Beauboreen represents a yard that are 3 from 8 with their handicap chasers here but it finished behind the selection last time and has to improve.

The possilbe fly in the ointment could by The Orange Rogue,who steps up a mile in trip,its very difficult to assess but will need to see out this trip well to win this.

Back Chavoy 11pts at 4.3 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-3rd(-11pts)

430 Newcastle-This is a desperate race,which wont take much winning.

Deny is favourite on the back of its win last time.If it repeats that,it wont be far away but its never raced on heavy ground and is 0w-0p-6r on galloping tracks like this.

Alizee De Janeiro hasnt had many chances and looks the most likely to run its race,its the right price however.

At a big price,Im going to chance Sam Lord.

This horse has done nothing this year but has been racing in a higher grade and over further.

In races over 2m2f or further its 0 from 23 but its now back to 2miles, a trip its won 5 times at and dropped into a grade where its 1w-1p-2r.

The last time it raced over this course and distance on very soft ground,it won off a mark 10Ibs higher.

Its dangerously well handicapped now and Brian Hughes is never a bad booking.

It will either win or come nowhere I would say.

Back Sam Lord 4pts at 15.0 at various Bookies(Accept 11.0)-UP(-4pts)Punted into 4/1 but showed little(DT-23pts)

5th February

155 Huntingdon-Really hoping this fixture survives the weather as Nordic Nymph looks to hold outstanding claims.

This horse is improving and could well progress again with a slight step up in trip in its favour.

Its trainer has a 31% strike rate with his hurdlers at this track.

Giveitachance and Minella Bliss are both reliable and may fill the frame but the latter is 1 from 31 over hurdles and will probably cruise up and chuck it in.

Capard King steps up in trip for O`Neill and McCoy.The market will normally predict their prospects beforehand.

Back Nordic Nymph 20pts at 3.0(Already Advised)-2nd(-20pts)Unfortunately the market did predict Carpard Kings chances and it just beat ours by a neck.

220 Wolves-As you would expect from the outsider in the field,there are negatives towards Powerful Winds chance.

Its Been off a while,wasnt in great form last year and has no form on the Tapeta surface here or even evidence from its sire(First runner)

However,at the prices,its worth risking.

This is a drop in class for this horse and is 3w-1p-8r in this grade.

It has won and ran well after an absence before and it could easily blast off in front and not see another rival(Only regular front runner in the field)

But the main reason is after a woeful 2014.Ron Harris`s horses are now running much better(Won with 3 of his last 6 runners)

As a result of the past year,many of his horses are now well handicapped and the selection is one of them.

Back Powerful Wind 5pts at 12.0(Already Advised)-2nd(-5pts)Backed at all rates down to 4/1 and traded odds on but the short priced fav scooted by late on.

510 Wolverhampton-All things considered,the lightly raced,improving Trimoulet will take a bit of beating here.

Its sire has a 21% strike rate on Tapeta and is an influence for stamina,so the longer trip should suit.

Although I have it as favourite in my prices,the market has it even shorter.

Mazij should be shorter in my opinion.It ran ok last time but that was at Lingfield and its never been at its best there.

Back here where its won 4 times and is 1 from 1 on the new surface,it could give us a good run from the front.

Back Mazij 6pts at 9.0 at bet365/betvictor(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Stupid selection! The favourite was in a different league.This run needs to stop soon.(DT-31pts)

Monthly Total-32pts

Running Total+7291.79pts

3rd February

210 Kempton-Its not that I dont think Habeshia wont run its race here,that I want to take him on.Im just surprised at its price.

Whether a horse thats just 1w-2p-20r in this class should be a short priced favourite for any race,is open to question.

City of Angkor isnt proven on the surface,after just 1 run over further but its run 2 starts back over this trip,gives it sound claims.

Zaeem ran well last time at Wolverhampton and represents a jockey/trainer combination that have a 24% strike rate when teaming up.

Childesplay has been running well of late but this step upto a mile looks to be exactly what it needs.Its sire is 13% over the trip.

LAY Habeshia 20pts at 3.3(Lay upto 3.5)-UP(+19pts after commission)Actually gave the tricast!

*Cancel or Trade out if City of Angkor,Zaeem or Childesplay dont run*

335 Southwell-Minister of Fun is very unexposed after just 2 starts and posted a good rating when winning its maiden over course and distance.

The topspeed figure was also solid and it could improve past its rivals.

I wanted to wait to see if there was any money for this and there has been.I expect a good run.

Barbs Princess is a big danger from a yard that do well here while Viva Verglas is very well handicapped these days.

Back Minister of Fun 6pts at 7.5 at skybet/Paddys(Accept 6.5)-UP(-6pts)Well backed but finished last!(DT+13pts)

Monthly Total-1pts

Running Total+7322.79pts

2nd February

Meeting abandoned

1st February

130 Musselburgh-Swaledale Lad`s form has a slightly uneven look to it,as its been combining chase and hurdles runs,on various ground and at times,at a level that is beyond it.

That was the case last time but it ran well behind The New One but im hoping back over fences,on good ground,it can reproduce last seasons best,

That would give it sound claims in this.Its 2w-1p-7r going Right handed and likes a recent run(21 days or less 2w-1p-5r)

Ifandbuthwynot looks a danger,making its handicap debut with McCoy on board.Its won around here but may prefer softer ground.

Sir Valentino is solid and should run well.

Back Swaledale Lad 7pts at 8.0 at Sky/Corals(Accept 6.0)-2nd(-7pts)Strong in the market and ran a fine race.The mistake(Its only one)at the second last was critical.

430 Musselburgh-This is pretty competitve but I see no reason why the progressive Fly Vinnie isnt favourite.

This horse hosed up last time for us,when stepped up to 3 miles and with the stable 7 from 22 with their hurdlers here,there should be more to come.

You have to respect Dawalan,who represents Nicky Henderson but the step up in trip is a doubt(sire 2 from 29 over the distance)

Bothy should run well but is the right price while Tony Martins Edeymi is also respected.

Back Fly Vinnie 7pts at 7.0 at Corals(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)Halved in price but just hasnt ran its race.(DT-14pts)

31st January

310 Ffos Las-Mr Fitzroy hasnt had many chances over hurdles and after probably not staying the 2m3f trip last time,im hoping the drop back to the distance,where it won on its handicap debut ,can see it get back on track.That win was on heavy ground and this is sure to be testing here.

It looks the value to me.

The obvious danger has to be Heath Hunter ,who possibly hasnt stayed the trip on its 2 starts this season and with it being 1 from 1 at this track,it should run well but it looks the right price.

War Singer looks vulnerable,The Green Ogre not good enough,so Cyclop could be the other to fill the frame.

Back Mr Fitzroy 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-3rd(-7pts)Looked the winner but just hurdled so poorly,it lost all its momentum.Dont think theres any doubt if it had jumped better,it would have prevailed.

210 Wetherby-This is a tight race but Mwaleshi produced a career best last time and represent a yard that have won this race in 4 of the last 6 years.

This horse itself is 2 from 3 around here,so although it sometimes has a habit of jumping right,it clearly doesnt hinder it that much.

At its best Pepite Rose would go very close,but i just wonder about it going this far,on this ground.

Firth of the Clyde is 2w-1p-4r at this track and should go close but the trainer for him,has had a poor season.

Indian Voyage has nothing in hand from the handicapper but is rock solid and consistent.

Back Mwaleshi 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-3rd(-8pts)Strong in the market and beat,what i thought,were the dangers but was one paced in the straight.(DT-15pts)

Monthly Total+139.50pts

Running total+7323.79pts

30th January

405 Chepstow-Loughalder pulled up on its seasonal debut  and after running poorly on its final start of last season,there is always the chance the horse has lost its way but there is plenty of evidence for us to expect a much better run today.

This horse starts winning after the turn of the year(Jan to April 5w-1p-12r) and is 4w-1p-14r in fields of 10 or less.

But the biggest thing in its favour is a return to this course where its form figures on the chase track read 3rd-1st-1st-1st.

Gunna Be a Devil could get a solo in front and that has to be a worry,its probably the biggest danger as im not sure about Favoured Nation on this ground

Back Loughalder 9pts at 6.0-3rd

(7.0 is now available)

255 Chepstow-Strange Bird is a bit in and out but is unexposed over fences and was in fromt 4 out when coming to grief last time.

Its previous run,when winning on its chase debut,gives it a decent chance here and its 2 from 8 on heavy ground.

Head Spin looks the obvious danger but is 0w-1p-6r on heavy and 0w-1p-5r in this grade.

Its trainers record of 0 from 19 in handicap chases here only adds to the doubts over its ability to run up to form.

Long John is diffficult to assess while Eastern Witness drops in trip and hasnt had many chances over fences but hasnt looked any good so far.

Back Strange Bird 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(Accept 3.5)-Pulled Up(DT-21pts)A couple of sorry selections today.Both very weak in the betting and ran accordingly.Very poor finish to the finish after such a good start.

Monthly total+154.50pts

Running Total+7338.79pts

29th January

710 Wolverhampton-Casius has had 3 runs so far in its career.All at Kempton,in maidens and at shorter than todays distance.

Its possible the horse isnt any good but Luke Morris being booked catches my eye as hes trying to win the all weather jockeys championship and I doubt he would get jocked up on a no hoper.

Also positives are the step up in distance and the move to the new Tapeta surface(Sire 6 wins from 22 runners on it) for its handicap debut.

You would want to see some money for it obviously.

The favourite Anniversarie has already been beaten in 2 handicaps and the sire is 0 from 19 on this surface.

Back Casius 3pts at 17.0 at Betfair Sportsbook(Accept 13.0)-UP(-3pts)Late money for it but this horse is useless!

28th January

615 Kempton-This is a fairly standard AW handicap but Pretty Bubbles looks certain to run well.(At least it wont fall over a fence like half the tips recently)

Its ran 2 solid races at Southwell but is much better here(Kempton 3w-2p-7r).

Its 3w-2p-9r at this trip but stays further,so should be finishing and Freddie Tylicki is back on for the first time in a while(4w-1p-10r on it)

Drive on moves back up in class but is 3 from 5 at this trip but probably the one im most worried about is the fairly unexposed Dutch S.

Its only had 5 runs and returns after an absence but on my figures,its best 2 runs have been when its off a lay off.

Back Pretty Bubbles 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies(Accept 5.0)-Won(+40.5pts)At last,a winner!

220 Newcastle-Little Glenshee is 2 from 2 here and is respected but likes to place a lot and looks slightly better at shorter to me.

Outlaw Tom is best at Hexham while Beeves has it to prove on soft ground and after pulling up last time.

For me,it concerns No Through Road and Silverton.

The former is a big threat and can handle a quick return to the track(7 days or less 2 from 3) but its all price related and the value has to be with Silverton.

This horse has only had 3 runs over fences and actually takes a drop in class here for this.

On my ratings,its got as good as chance as the favourite and its price is out of line.

Back Silverton 12pts at 5.0 at betbright(Accept 4.0)-3rd(-12pts)Hard to believe this wasnt involved in the finish.Traded down to 1.75 before just falling away badly.Really disappointing!.

330 Leicester-St Johns Point was a borderline selection last night but the money for Theregoesthetruth has seen it drift to a decent price based on its latest run where it posted easily the best rating of these and makes its handicap debut here.

It looks on a lenient mark with the well beaten 3rd last time,winning next time out.

Noel Fehily takes the mount and is 4 from 7 for this yard at this track.

Attwaal is 4 from 7 going right handed,so will like this track but may prefer shorter than this while Allthegear No Idea is improving and should appreciate the step up in trip.

Theregoesthetruth goes well around here but needs to improve on my figures.

Back St Johns Point 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Always going to be the way when sending this out as the price had drifted.Awful run.(DT+16.5pts)

Monthly Total+178.50pts

Running Total+7362.79pts

27th January

4.0 Taunton-Milosam was a little below par last time but the return to this track where its form figures read 2nd-1st-2nd-1st-1st-1st has to be a positive.

Its 4w-2p-8r in fields of 9 or less and im hoping this horse will set a decent test up the front as half the field have stamina doubts.

Mrs Jordan,Dans wee Man and Smart Money all have ratings at shorter that suggest they are well enough handicapped to get involved but whether that happens at this trip is another matter.

Back Milosam 15pts at 3.25-Fell(-15pts)This horse has never fell before but took a tumble too far out to tell what would have happened but I would have been surprised if it didnt beat the winner.

Monthly Total+162.0pts

Running Total+7346.29pts

26th January

4.0 Plumpton-Im hoping the sheer consistency of Cruising Bye pays off here.

Unlike its opponents it can be relied upon to run its race and despite a frustrating run of 2nd places,I dont believe this horse looks ungenuine.

Last time out it finished just behind todays rival,Volio Vincente and with the pull in the weights plus the fact that race was at Fontwell and Volio is 3/3 at the track,there are strong reasons to feel it can beat that horse today on this different track.

The trainer is 8 from 36(22%) with his handicap chasers here and has one of my favourite jockeys(Jamie Moore) onboard.

Brunette Sonly has chances on its best form but is pretty in and out.Lets hope its an out.

Back Cruising Bye 14pts at 3.5-3rd(-14pts)Very frustrating race to watch as despite the efforts of its jokcey,this horse would not goto the front and was quite happy plodding away behind.Never Again!

350 Ludlow-Wide open handicap and from a value perspective,Kerryhead Storm has to be supported.

This horse had completely lost its way before the introduction of a tongue tie saw it bounce back last time.

That run produced a good rating and a decent topspeed figure,so I dont feel it was a fluke although recognizing its previous record,it cannot be guaranteed that it will back it up.If it does however,then it really shouldnt be the price it is.

Snowell is the biggest danger,all of its 4 career wins have come on right handed courses like this and it would hold strong claims on its rating from 2 starts back.

Back Kerryhead Storm 5pts at 10.0 -2nd(-5pts)Ran a great race and beaten by a well backed horse that dropped down to 2 miles for the first time.(DT-19pts)

24th January

225 Cheltenham-For some reason Easter Day is now running here rather than its first preference at Doncaster.

I believe this is a good decision as despite this being a class 1 handicap,its pretty weak with many horses having doubts hanging over them.

The selection weakened late on last time over 3 miles,on its first run for a year.I believe the step back in trip to 2m4 is just whats needed.

Its form figures at this distance read 1st-1st-2nd-1st-1st.....Its 4 from 4 on soft and 5r-1p-8r in fields of 10 or less.

Annacotty pulled up when last seen but looks the danger to me,based on its previous run over this trip.

Little Jon has had 2 mishaps in its 2 latest starts and is 0w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Sew on Target looks a non stayer while Dare Me is is 0w-0p-4r at this track and 0w-1p-7r in this class.

Back Easter Day 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies(Accept 3.75)-Fell(-12pts)Looking at the result and how it was travelling then this surely would have won.Summed up the last 2 weeks after such a good start to the month.

325 Uttoxeter-Harrys Farewell has only had 2 starts over fences and produced a good rating last time when 2nd on good ground over todays trip.

Its record on heavy ground reads 1st-3rd-1st,so this surface has to be positive and with the possibility of more improvement,it should run really well.

Marie Des Anges is the obvious danger after winning just 5 days ago.This is a quick turnaround though and while its proven on soft,heavy is an unknown.

Winston Churchill will handle the conditions but doesnt win very often while Less Time,moves up in trip on ground it hasnt encountered before.

The market will tell its tale although the yard have started picking up of late.

Back Harrys Farewell 12pts at 4.5-2nd(-12pts)7/2 into 2/1 and beaten a fence!(DT-24pts)

Monthly Total+196.0pts

Running Total+7380.29pts

23rd January

Meeting Abandoned

21st January

135 Catterick-Martin Keighley has an eye catching record with his chasers here(3 from 6) and must have good prospects of improving that with Always Bold.

It got off the mark over fences last time and is a force in this lowly grade(4w-7p-16r) and likes a recent run(14 days or less 6w-7p-21r)

It has no problems with ground or trip and hopefully will make that count

If Fromthetop handles this soft ground then its a major danger but its sire is just 2 from 41 around todays trip on soft ground.

Runswick Days looks better at shorter as does Wakhan but the latter does represent a bang in form yard.

Last years winner Over and Above could go close if it has one of its rare good days.

Back Always Bold 7pts at 7.5 at various Bookies-UP(-7pts)Ran a fine race

240 Catterick-Stopped Out is no good thing at the weights but shouldnt be the price it is,in a pretty weak affair.

Im hoping this horse can loose in the lead and around this track,that is no bad thing.

Its record at sharp tracks is decent(5w-4p-22r) and in 10 runners or less its 6w-6p-21r.

Conquisto makes its debut for Brian Ellison and at its best would be a threat.

Local Hero returns from an absence and while McCoy has a good record for the trainer(10/46),the yard are 0 from 14 with their hurdlers here.

Danny Cook is an interesting jockey booking for Dark Dune but it has to prove its stamina for this trip.

Back Stopped Out 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-8pts)Very poor run.(DT-15pts)

310 Catterick-Grate Fella looks rock solid here.2 from 2 at the track and has only had 3 starts over fences.

The yard have had 5 winners from their last 14 runners and it must go well.It is however around the right price.

If the unexposed Russborough can finish in front of Grate Fella then I would expect it to win.

It ran pretty well on its British debut over fences,when possibly looking like it needed further,so todays softer ground should help.

Venitia Williams is 6 from 23 with her runners here.

The early money has come for Tiptoeaway,whos very well handicapped on its 2012 form.

I dont think its a given on the ground or the drop in trip.

Back Russborough 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-2nd to Grate Fella(-7pts)

325 Ayr-Its not without a chance but I cant have Sharney Sike as favourite here.

Its won on heavy ground but on my figures,is a better horse on good to soft to soft and the trainer is 1 from 56 with his runners here.

If No Through Road is fine on the softest ground its ever encountered then it will go very close.

Its been very progressive this season and may not be finished yet.

Chavoy produced a good run last time and posted its best rating yet,its 2 from 4 in January and 3w-2p-7r in this grade.

Harry The Lemon represent a yard that have finally hit form after a very slow start to the season,its very unexposed as a chaser.

Arc Warrior makes its debut for the Nicky Richards yard(26% with his chasers here),if he can get it back to its best then it has the ratings to figure.

Lay Sharney Sike 20pts at 4.5-UP(+19pts A/C)(DT-3pts)

20th January

140 Wetherby-Crescent Beach won last time but has been hit with an 11Ib rise.

Its up in class into a grade where its 0w-2p-11r....0w-1p-7r on galloping tracks like this and 0w-2p-15r going left handed.

Hardly impressive credentials for a favourite?

Rowdy Rocher is lightly raced and shouldnt be far away while Bennys Well,although below par the last twice,drops back into a grade where its recent runs have been pretty impressive(1st-7th-1st-2nd-1st-2nd) and the yard are in flying form.

I shall risk a bit on Great Link,who blotted its copybook for us last time,whipping round at the start and never able to get involved.

That was a much better race than this however and after just 5 starts over fences,its still fairly unexposed.

Its 2 from 2 on galloping tracks,3w-0p-7r on left handed tracks and 3w-1p-5r from December to February.

Back Great Link 7pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies(Accept 6.0)-Fell

Lay Crescent Beach 20pts at 4.5-U/P(+12pts after commission)

Monthly Total+223.0pts

Running Total+7407.29pts

19th January

Meeting Abandoned