400 Hexham-Bescot Springs goes well at this specialist track(2w-1p-7r) and holds a solid chance based on its latest second placed finish.
Im a little concerned about its consistency but if its ever going to back that last run up,it will be here and its back on its last winning mark with the yards young conditional rider up taking off 10Ibs.
I would have it a shorter price than it is.
Solway Sam ran a better race than of late last time but at 13yo,its hardly going to be improving.
Been Decided has shown very little but steps into handicap company for the first time while Toarmandowithlove is still 0/24 but the one I fear is Forty Crown,whos well handicapped and is 1/1 in this grade.
It became an increasingly disappointing horse for its previous trainer but has now joined the George Bewley stable,however he normally likes to have a look at them first before having them ready to win.(0/20 with recruits from other yards).
I would imagine the market will tell its tale.
Back Bescot Springs 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped lovely and the young jockey excelled.
Monthly Total+72pts
Running Total+8728.47pts
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
3rd November
105 Market Rasen-This looks a good opportunity for Vivas.
Its been running well in better races than this and it holds a very good chance from a ratings perspective.
Trainer Charlie Longsdon has a good record at many tracks but not many better than this one.
He holds a 22% strike rate with all his horses here but if you just take his runners in the front two of the market at this track then his record 30 wins from 74 runners(40% strike rate).
The Kvilleken is a threat if it fancies it but it normally doesnt while Grey Life makes its debut for a new yard but is better known as a chaser.
Cosmic Statesman has only had 2 runs over hurdles but has a career record of 0/20.
Back Vivas 16pts at 3.25 at bet365/Betvictor-Won(+36pts)Given a cool ride by the young jockey.
Nice start to the month!
Running Total=+8692.47pts
Its been running well in better races than this and it holds a very good chance from a ratings perspective.
Trainer Charlie Longsdon has a good record at many tracks but not many better than this one.
He holds a 22% strike rate with all his horses here but if you just take his runners in the front two of the market at this track then his record 30 wins from 74 runners(40% strike rate).
The Kvilleken is a threat if it fancies it but it normally doesnt while Grey Life makes its debut for a new yard but is better known as a chaser.
Cosmic Statesman has only had 2 runs over hurdles but has a career record of 0/20.
Back Vivas 16pts at 3.25 at bet365/Betvictor-Won(+36pts)Given a cool ride by the young jockey.
Nice start to the month!
Running Total=+8692.47pts
31st October
Orebro v Ostersunds-Back Ostersunds 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 8/5 at various bookies-Won(+16pts)
Monthly Total+12.75pts
Running Total+8680.72pts
Finished the month with a winner,to give us a small profit on another difficult month.
A few days off for me and get ready to go again soon!
Monthly Total+12.75pts
Running Total+8680.72pts
Finished the month with a winner,to give us a small profit on another difficult month.
A few days off for me and get ready to go again soon!
30th October
Its fairly clear,im just treading water with certainly the horses at the moment.
We are in profit for the month but not by much,this is always a tough time of year with the flat finishing and the jumps just getting going properly,so will have a few days off to recharge my batteries.
Obviously there is still the football that was posted yesterday to be getting on with.
We are in profit for the month but not by much,this is always a tough time of year with the flat finishing and the jumps just getting going properly,so will have a few days off to recharge my batteries.
Obviously there is still the football that was posted yesterday to be getting on with.
29th September
410 Ascot-Cases can be made for Followmybuttons on its handicap debut and from a ratings perspective,Wolftrap although the latter is 0w-0p-6r going right handed but at the prices,Arty Campbell appeals most.
This horse has a solid chance on its ratings over 2 miles but considering its a 4 time winner over that trip on the flat then it would seem obvious that it would need further over hurdles and thats what it gets for the first time here.
Back Arty Campbell 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Once again,got the value right but this horse looked dangerous but the jockey seemed to let the leaders get away.
FOOTBALL
Sweden
Gefle v Malmo-Back Malmo 15pts at 11/10 at Betvictor/Betfair
Orebro v Ostersunds-Back Ostersunds 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 8/5 at various bookies
England
Southampton v Chelsea-Back Southampton 14pts(Draw No Bet) at 11/10 at various bookies
This horse has a solid chance on its ratings over 2 miles but considering its a 4 time winner over that trip on the flat then it would seem obvious that it would need further over hurdles and thats what it gets for the first time here.
Back Arty Campbell 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Once again,got the value right but this horse looked dangerous but the jockey seemed to let the leaders get away.
FOOTBALL
Sweden
Gefle v Malmo-Back Malmo 15pts at 11/10 at Betvictor/Betfair
Orebro v Ostersunds-Back Ostersunds 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 8/5 at various bookies
England
Southampton v Chelsea-Back Southampton 14pts(Draw No Bet) at 11/10 at various bookies
28th October
245 Wetherby-This is a rise in grade but the rating and speed figure posted by Today Please last time out,gives it strong claims here.
This horses form has gone up a level since it joined the Henry Oliver yard and I doubt the improvement has stopped yet.
Jockey James Davies has a 22% strike rate for this yard and interestingly,the stallion is an impressive 9 from 25 with its runners here.
Hadfield is lightly raced and can improve but needs too while Milrow has more on its plate here than the race it won last time.
Back Today Please 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-3rd(-9pts)Hammered into 9/4 but one paced.
420 Uttoxeter-Some strange prices on show here and I expect some changes pre race.
Special Wells wants softer ground and has a poor record after an absence,so why its 2nd fav is beyond me.Strongly Suggested is very in and out and although conditions are fine,it is 0w-2p-23r between October and April.
Tanit River ran well on its reappearance but may prefer softer ground while Mr Burgess makes its 2nd start for the Pipe yard,It only ran okay on its stable debut but may appreciate the shorter trip despite this,its another that makes the market for Tregaro.
Cant quite believe this horses price,its looked to be slowly running into form after a long break.
It has won here and is 5w-2p-15r during September and October.
Conditions are ideal and its 5Ibs below it last winning mark.
It will appear on the scene late and hopefully give us a good run for our money.
Back Tregaro 5pts at 17.0 at Betvictor-UP(-5pts)I expected more.
Football
Danish Superligaen(Friday)
Silkeborg v OB-Back Silkeborg 10pts at 7/4 at Marathon Bet-Drew 1-1(-10pts)Rubbish day(DT-24pts)
This horses form has gone up a level since it joined the Henry Oliver yard and I doubt the improvement has stopped yet.
Jockey James Davies has a 22% strike rate for this yard and interestingly,the stallion is an impressive 9 from 25 with its runners here.
Hadfield is lightly raced and can improve but needs too while Milrow has more on its plate here than the race it won last time.
Back Today Please 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-3rd(-9pts)Hammered into 9/4 but one paced.
420 Uttoxeter-Some strange prices on show here and I expect some changes pre race.
Special Wells wants softer ground and has a poor record after an absence,so why its 2nd fav is beyond me.Strongly Suggested is very in and out and although conditions are fine,it is 0w-2p-23r between October and April.
Tanit River ran well on its reappearance but may prefer softer ground while Mr Burgess makes its 2nd start for the Pipe yard,It only ran okay on its stable debut but may appreciate the shorter trip despite this,its another that makes the market for Tregaro.
Cant quite believe this horses price,its looked to be slowly running into form after a long break.
It has won here and is 5w-2p-15r during September and October.
Conditions are ideal and its 5Ibs below it last winning mark.
It will appear on the scene late and hopefully give us a good run for our money.
Back Tregaro 5pts at 17.0 at Betvictor-UP(-5pts)I expected more.
Football
Danish Superligaen(Friday)
Silkeborg v OB-Back Silkeborg 10pts at 7/4 at Marathon Bet-Drew 1-1(-10pts)Rubbish day(DT-24pts)
27th October
310 Lingfield-Muffriha has a strong chance on my figures despite having no all weather form to its name.
However,its sire operates at a 21% strike rate here and this horse likes this time of year(Sept/Oct 3w-2p-10r).
The trainer continues in fine form and has a 24% strike rate and everything looks set for a big run.
Mise En Rose heads the dangers but has a tricky draw to contend with.
Back MuffriHa 12pts at 4.0 at 32Red & 888 sport-Won(+36pts) Smashed into 5/4 and hosed up
Monthly Total+57.75pts
Running Total+8725.72pts
However,its sire operates at a 21% strike rate here and this horse likes this time of year(Sept/Oct 3w-2p-10r).
The trainer continues in fine form and has a 24% strike rate and everything looks set for a big run.
Mise En Rose heads the dangers but has a tricky draw to contend with.
Back MuffriHa 12pts at 4.0 at 32Red & 888 sport-Won(+36pts) Smashed into 5/4 and hosed up
Monthly Total+57.75pts
Running Total+8725.72pts
26th October
915 Kempton-Although not proven at this track,Clever Bob ran well enough at Lingfield 2 starts back to suggest it should handle the surface okay and this horse stands out on my figures based on its latest 2nd placed finish last time out.
With the yard going well and a jockey I rate highly onboard,everything looks set for a big run.
Back Clever Bob 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Non Runner
Football
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan v Torino-Back Torino Double Chance 16pts at 9/10 at 32Red-Lost 2-1
With the yard going well and a jockey I rate highly onboard,everything looks set for a big run.
Back Clever Bob 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Non Runner
Football
Italy Serie A
Inter Milan v Torino-Back Torino Double Chance 16pts at 9/10 at 32Red-Lost 2-1
25th October
230 Chepstow-At their best,theres very little between Filatore and Istimraar on my figures but there are reasons to think that the former wont be at its best here.
For a start,it returns after 167 days off and it has a very patchy record when appearing after a break.
Its also 0w-1p-10r between October and December and finally 2 miles on good ground could be a tight enough trip for it here.Its best rating are on softer and over further.
That opens the door for Istimraar,who doesnt win very often but this is a big drop in class and its a pretty reliable animal to run its race.
Back Istimraar 14pts at 3.5 at Skybet/Betvictor/Paddys-2nd(-14pts)Ran really well and in front at the last.Sums up the current run as it just got run out of it.
Monthly Total+37.75pts
Running Total+8723.72pts
For a start,it returns after 167 days off and it has a very patchy record when appearing after a break.
Its also 0w-1p-10r between October and December and finally 2 miles on good ground could be a tight enough trip for it here.Its best rating are on softer and over further.
That opens the door for Istimraar,who doesnt win very often but this is a big drop in class and its a pretty reliable animal to run its race.
Back Istimraar 14pts at 3.5 at Skybet/Betvictor/Paddys-2nd(-14pts)Ran really well and in front at the last.Sums up the current run as it just got run out of it.
Monthly Total+37.75pts
Running Total+8723.72pts
24th October
Allsvenkhan
IFK Gothenburg v AIK Stockholm-Back AIK Stockholm 15pts(Draw No Bet) at Evens at Marathon Bet/Paddys-Lost 1-0(-15pts)On a poor run at present and the football was in particular,below average this week
IFK Gothenburg v AIK Stockholm-Back AIK Stockholm 15pts(Draw No Bet) at Evens at Marathon Bet/Paddys-Lost 1-0(-15pts)On a poor run at present and the football was in particular,below average this week
23rd October
No horseracing selections for Sunday,so just the football advised on Thursday
Serie A
Atlanta v Inter Milan-Back Atlanta 10pts(Draw No bet) at 6/4 at Paddys/Marathon Bet-Won 2-1(+15pts)
Swiss Superleague
Lausanne v Sion-Back Lausanne 12pts(Draw No bet) at 11/8 at Marathon Bet-Lost 3-0(-12pts)(DT+3pts)
Serie A
Atlanta v Inter Milan-Back Atlanta 10pts(Draw No bet) at 6/4 at Paddys/Marathon Bet-Won 2-1(+15pts)
Swiss Superleague
Lausanne v Sion-Back Lausanne 12pts(Draw No bet) at 11/8 at Marathon Bet-Lost 3-0(-12pts)(DT+3pts)
22nd October
300 Cheltenham-You have to respect Adrien Du Pont especially with its yard going so well at present but on pure figures and prices,Gibralfaro is the only horse I can back here.
Its first run back since being gelded saw it post a career best rating and if it can repeat that run here then it should be a big runner from a yard thats been consistently banging in the winners.
Back Gibralfaro 11pts at 4.5 at Paddys-UP(-11pts)Called the price correct again but this ran a very flat race.
FOOTBALL
Back Malmo-Brondby-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(pays 2/1)-Lost(-10pts)
Premier League
Leicester v Crystal Palace-Back Crystal Palace 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 15/8 at Marathon Bet-Lost(-10pts)(DT-31pts)Poor day all round.
Its first run back since being gelded saw it post a career best rating and if it can repeat that run here then it should be a big runner from a yard thats been consistently banging in the winners.
Back Gibralfaro 11pts at 4.5 at Paddys-UP(-11pts)Called the price correct again but this ran a very flat race.
FOOTBALL
Back Malmo-Brondby-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(pays 2/1)-Lost(-10pts)
Premier League
Leicester v Crystal Palace-Back Crystal Palace 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 15/8 at Marathon Bet-Lost(-10pts)(DT-31pts)Poor day all round.
21st October
520 Newbury-Syncopate won this race last year and could well have been teed up for a repeat bid here.
It drops back down into a class 5 for the first time since that win and this horse is at its best at this time of year(October/December 3w-3p-13r)
Jersey Jewel heads the dangers
Back Syncopate 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-Won(+42pts)Backed into 3/1 and won nicely
FOOTBALL
Back Malmo-Brondby-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(pays 2/1)
Allsvenkhan
IFK Gothernburg v AIK Stockholm-Back AIK Stockholm 15pts(Draw No Bet) at Evens at Marathon Bet/Paddys
Serie A
Atlanta v Inter Milan-Back Atlanta 10pts(Draw No bet) at 6/4 at Paddys/Marathon Bet
Swiss Superleague
Lausanne v Sion-Back Lausanne 12pts(Draw No bet) at 11/8 at Marathon Bet
Premier League
Leicester v Crystal Palace-Back Crystal Palace 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 15/8 at Marathon Bet
Monthly Total+97.75pts
Running Total+8765.72pts
It drops back down into a class 5 for the first time since that win and this horse is at its best at this time of year(October/December 3w-3p-13r)
Jersey Jewel heads the dangers
Back Syncopate 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-Won(+42pts)Backed into 3/1 and won nicely
FOOTBALL
Back Malmo-Brondby-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(pays 2/1)
Allsvenkhan
IFK Gothernburg v AIK Stockholm-Back AIK Stockholm 15pts(Draw No Bet) at Evens at Marathon Bet/Paddys
Serie A
Atlanta v Inter Milan-Back Atlanta 10pts(Draw No bet) at 6/4 at Paddys/Marathon Bet
Swiss Superleague
Lausanne v Sion-Back Lausanne 12pts(Draw No bet) at 11/8 at Marathon Bet
Premier League
Leicester v Crystal Palace-Back Crystal Palace 10pts(Draw No Bet) at 15/8 at Marathon Bet
Monthly Total+97.75pts
Running Total+8765.72pts
20th October
255 Newton Abbot-Since Generous Chief has joined the Graeme Mcpherson yard,hes managed to improve it by 20Ibs over hurdles,it now goes back over fences and if it can carry that progress into this sphere then that makes it a big runner here.
It cant win this on what its done so far over the larger obstacles but that was for a different yard.
All its wins have come going left handed like today,its 4w-3p-11r since being fitted with a visor and I would have it favourite.
Brave Encounter is the main danger after 2 good runs for its new yard while Tickapick looks like it needs softer ground.
Mount Prospex has one run to its name that gives it a shout but its very unreliable.
Whimsical Notion has to improve but is lightly raced over fences.
Back Generous Chief 15pts at 3.75 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-15pts)Well backed but never travelled and didnt jump well enough.
It cant win this on what its done so far over the larger obstacles but that was for a different yard.
All its wins have come going left handed like today,its 4w-3p-11r since being fitted with a visor and I would have it favourite.
Brave Encounter is the main danger after 2 good runs for its new yard while Tickapick looks like it needs softer ground.
Mount Prospex has one run to its name that gives it a shout but its very unreliable.
Whimsical Notion has to improve but is lightly raced over fences.
Back Generous Chief 15pts at 3.75 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-15pts)Well backed but never travelled and didnt jump well enough.
19th October
520 Newmarket-Bit of a surprise to see Up in Lights at the head of the market.
It was below par last time and is not at the top of my figures.
That honour goes to Hidden Rebel,who has been in decent form for most of the season.
It went close in a similar contest last time and is 4w-4p-12r in fields of 9 or less.
Sharaakah heads the dangers with conditions ideal.
Back Hidden Rebel 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-UP(-10pts)Horse wasnt interested.In a bad mood throughout.
Monthly Total+70.75pts
Running Total+8738.72pts
It was below par last time and is not at the top of my figures.
That honour goes to Hidden Rebel,who has been in decent form for most of the season.
It went close in a similar contest last time and is 4w-4p-12r in fields of 9 or less.
Sharaakah heads the dangers with conditions ideal.
Back Hidden Rebel 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-UP(-10pts)Horse wasnt interested.In a bad mood throughout.
Monthly Total+70.75pts
Running Total+8738.72pts
17th October
Another winner on the football today to keep us ticking over while we need IFK Goteburg to get the treble up 6pm kick off(Monday)
None of the horses catch my eye,so just the football again
Back AIK Stockholm(Won 2-0)-Gothernburg(Drew 3-3)-Sturm Graz(Won 1-0) 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)-Lost(-10pts)A red card and a goal 30 seconds from time ruined the treble.
None of the horses catch my eye,so just the football again
Back AIK Stockholm(Won 2-0)-Gothernburg(Drew 3-3)-Sturm Graz(Won 1-0) 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)-Lost(-10pts)A red card and a goal 30 seconds from time ruined the treble.
16th October
Nothing from me on the horses,so just the football advised the other day.
FC Midtjylland v Aalborg-Back FC Midtjylland to win 20pts at 4/5 at Marathon Bet-Won 2-0(+16pts)
Back AIK Stockholm(Won 2-0)-Gothernburg-Sturm Graz(Won 1-0) 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)
Monthly Total+90.75pts
Running Total+8758.72pts
FC Midtjylland v Aalborg-Back FC Midtjylland to win 20pts at 4/5 at Marathon Bet-Won 2-0(+16pts)
Back AIK Stockholm(Won 2-0)-Gothernburg-Sturm Graz(Won 1-0) 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)
Monthly Total+90.75pts
Running Total+8758.72pts
15th October
350 Stratford-This race is there for the taking in my opinion.
Vivas is a fair favourite but is still yet to win and this is a rise in class.
Lostock Hall makes its handicap debut and has good looking form figures but its ratings have actually declined and it makes no appeal at the head of the market.
Doubts surround many of the others but at a big price,I feel Lord Ben could go well.
This is only its third run for this stable and it ran well 2 starts back over hurdles before being outclassed over fences last time out.
Its ratings are right there with the best of these and it has to be backed at the prices.
Back Lord Ben 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-5pts)Chased a ferocious pace and was legless by the end.
420 Stratford-It does have an in and out profile but if it has a going day then Is Love Alive should go very close here.
The rating it posted last time out puts it clear of this field and interestingly,this small stable do well at this track(5 wins from 22 runners.£105 profit to a £1 level stake)
Little Windmill won well last time and will like the conditions but has it to do if the selection runs its race while Daulys Anthem has a chance on its run three starts back over course and distance.
Back Love Is Alive 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)I doubt this has run within 20Ibs of its last effort.
Angus Glens stands out for me in the 240 at Stratford,if you fancy backing a shorty.
Thun v Lausanne-Back Lausanne(Draw No bet) 15pts at 23/18 at Marathon Bet-Lost 1-0(-15pts)Missed a penalty and then had a player harshly sent off(DT-28pts)
Vivas is a fair favourite but is still yet to win and this is a rise in class.
Lostock Hall makes its handicap debut and has good looking form figures but its ratings have actually declined and it makes no appeal at the head of the market.
Doubts surround many of the others but at a big price,I feel Lord Ben could go well.
This is only its third run for this stable and it ran well 2 starts back over hurdles before being outclassed over fences last time out.
Its ratings are right there with the best of these and it has to be backed at the prices.
Back Lord Ben 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-5pts)Chased a ferocious pace and was legless by the end.
420 Stratford-It does have an in and out profile but if it has a going day then Is Love Alive should go very close here.
The rating it posted last time out puts it clear of this field and interestingly,this small stable do well at this track(5 wins from 22 runners.£105 profit to a £1 level stake)
Little Windmill won well last time and will like the conditions but has it to do if the selection runs its race while Daulys Anthem has a chance on its run three starts back over course and distance.
Back Love Is Alive 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)I doubt this has run within 20Ibs of its last effort.
Angus Glens stands out for me in the 240 at Stratford,if you fancy backing a shorty.
Thun v Lausanne-Back Lausanne(Draw No bet) 15pts at 23/18 at Marathon Bet-Lost 1-0(-15pts)Missed a penalty and then had a player harshly sent off(DT-28pts)
14th October
425 Fakenham-This is a decent race and interests me as half the field have to prove themselves over this trip.
Workbench is always a useful tool during the Autumn but appears much better over shorter while Keltius is pretty consistent but so far,has better ratings at a shorter trip.
Wadswick Court drops in grade and has the ratings to figure but all at shorter and is another who has to prove itself over this distance.
Wiesentraum won this race in 2013 and 2014 but hasnt been seen since running terribly in this race last year.Its got an in and out record fresh and just has too many question marks for me but a good run wouldnt be a total surprise.
At a fair price,Princeton Royale appeals most as the value option.
Its only had 4 runs over fences but all of those were at shorter,considering its got 3 wins over hurdles over todays trip,you would imagine it would improve for the extra distance.
This is a drop in grade for it and its slightly below par run last time can be excused as its far better going left handed(5w-1p-15r) compared to 0w-0p-5r right handed.
Back Princeton Royale 7pts at 7.0 at Betfred/Totesport/Betfair-2nd(-7pts)Halved in price and ran a great race.Another placed horse is fairly frustrating.
Weekend Football(Danish Superleague)
Sonderjyske v Vborg-Back Sonderjyske to win 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies-Won 1-0(+16.5pts)(DT+9.5pts)
Monthly Total+104.75pts
Running Total+8772.72pts
Workbench is always a useful tool during the Autumn but appears much better over shorter while Keltius is pretty consistent but so far,has better ratings at a shorter trip.
Wadswick Court drops in grade and has the ratings to figure but all at shorter and is another who has to prove itself over this distance.
Wiesentraum won this race in 2013 and 2014 but hasnt been seen since running terribly in this race last year.Its got an in and out record fresh and just has too many question marks for me but a good run wouldnt be a total surprise.
At a fair price,Princeton Royale appeals most as the value option.
Its only had 4 runs over fences but all of those were at shorter,considering its got 3 wins over hurdles over todays trip,you would imagine it would improve for the extra distance.
This is a drop in grade for it and its slightly below par run last time can be excused as its far better going left handed(5w-1p-15r) compared to 0w-0p-5r right handed.
Back Princeton Royale 7pts at 7.0 at Betfred/Totesport/Betfair-2nd(-7pts)Halved in price and ran a great race.Another placed horse is fairly frustrating.
Weekend Football(Danish Superleague)
Sonderjyske v Vborg-Back Sonderjyske to win 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies-Won 1-0(+16.5pts)(DT+9.5pts)
Monthly Total+104.75pts
Running Total+8772.72pts
13th October
255 Uttoxeter-Probably a bit outside the box but there are reasons that St Quintin could run far better than the odds suggest.
It ran 3 nice races last Autumn before completely losing its way.Any of those ratings posted on those runs,give it an outstanding chance in this weak event.
The reason for optimism that it may bounce back is that its been given a nice break of 101 days and its since changed yards.It may not be ready and it may have gone at the game but i dont mind finding out at double figure odds.
Barton Rose has a good chance on its latest effort but its short enough for a horse that is 0w-0p-5r at this track.
Back St Quintin 5pts at 12.0 at bet365-Pulled UP(-5pts)Horse has completely gone it would appear!
Weekend Football(Danish Superleague)
Sonderjyske v Vborg-Back Sonderjyske to win 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies
FC Midtjylland v Aalborg-Back FC Midtjylland to win 20pts at 4/5 at Marathon Bet
(Swiss Super League)
Thun v Lausanne-Back Lausanne(Draw No bet) 15pts at 23/18 at Marathon Bet
Back AIK Stockholm-Gothernburg-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)
It ran 3 nice races last Autumn before completely losing its way.Any of those ratings posted on those runs,give it an outstanding chance in this weak event.
The reason for optimism that it may bounce back is that its been given a nice break of 101 days and its since changed yards.It may not be ready and it may have gone at the game but i dont mind finding out at double figure odds.
Barton Rose has a good chance on its latest effort but its short enough for a horse that is 0w-0p-5r at this track.
Back St Quintin 5pts at 12.0 at bet365-Pulled UP(-5pts)Horse has completely gone it would appear!
Weekend Football(Danish Superleague)
Sonderjyske v Vborg-Back Sonderjyske to win 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies
FC Midtjylland v Aalborg-Back FC Midtjylland to win 20pts at 4/5 at Marathon Bet
(Swiss Super League)
Thun v Lausanne-Back Lausanne(Draw No bet) 15pts at 23/18 at Marathon Bet
Back AIK Stockholm-Gothernburg-Sturm Graz 10pts Treble(Pays 7/4)
12th October
400 Wetherby-Phillip Hobbs won this race last year and looks to have a good chance again with Art Of Logistics.
This horse has been running well and these conditions are ideal for it.
I like its profile with 3 wins from 4 starts during October and a good record of 5w-0p-12r when returning to the track within 40 days like today.
Id have it a much shorter price than it is.
The money has come for The Grey Taylor and although its got a bit to find on my figures,you have to respect a record of 2w-1p-4r around this track.
Lord Wishes returns after a little break and it can go well fresh plus its won around here but I just wonder if it wants softer ground.
Back Art Of Logistics 10pts at 5.0 at Various bookies-4th(-10pts)Had every chance but too many sloppy jumps cost it.
505 Wetherby-Considering there are question marks about so many here,im surprised to see Domtaline trading at double figure odds.
Its been in good form and likes this time of year(Sept/Oct 3w-1p-8r).The ground is ideal and it should be able to creep into this off a likely strong pace.Its got the ratings to go very close.
Ulis De Vassey is inconsistent and is now 12Ibs higher than its win 2 starts back,its also left the Dan Skelton yard and that cannot be a positive.
Monbeg River returns after an absence,it can go well fresh but has also underperformed in the past,this ground looks quick enough for it though.
Helium looks a threat after a recent pipe opener on the flat,the trainer is 2 from 3 with her chasers here and the horse is 5w-3p-15r from October to December.
Trust Thomas finished last season in good style but its record first time out is awful(28Ibs below its average) and I cant see it being there at the finish while Attimo has questions to answer on ground,trip and fitness.
Back Domtaline 5pts at 11.0 at Corals-3rd(-5pts)Money for it but another that was hampered by some poor jumps at crucial stages.(DT-15pts)
Monthly Total+100.25pts
Running Total+8768.22pts
This horse has been running well and these conditions are ideal for it.
I like its profile with 3 wins from 4 starts during October and a good record of 5w-0p-12r when returning to the track within 40 days like today.
Id have it a much shorter price than it is.
The money has come for The Grey Taylor and although its got a bit to find on my figures,you have to respect a record of 2w-1p-4r around this track.
Lord Wishes returns after a little break and it can go well fresh plus its won around here but I just wonder if it wants softer ground.
Back Art Of Logistics 10pts at 5.0 at Various bookies-4th(-10pts)Had every chance but too many sloppy jumps cost it.
505 Wetherby-Considering there are question marks about so many here,im surprised to see Domtaline trading at double figure odds.
Its been in good form and likes this time of year(Sept/Oct 3w-1p-8r).The ground is ideal and it should be able to creep into this off a likely strong pace.Its got the ratings to go very close.
Ulis De Vassey is inconsistent and is now 12Ibs higher than its win 2 starts back,its also left the Dan Skelton yard and that cannot be a positive.
Monbeg River returns after an absence,it can go well fresh but has also underperformed in the past,this ground looks quick enough for it though.
Helium looks a threat after a recent pipe opener on the flat,the trainer is 2 from 3 with her chasers here and the horse is 5w-3p-15r from October to December.
Trust Thomas finished last season in good style but its record first time out is awful(28Ibs below its average) and I cant see it being there at the finish while Attimo has questions to answer on ground,trip and fitness.
Back Domtaline 5pts at 11.0 at Corals-3rd(-5pts)Money for it but another that was hampered by some poor jumps at crucial stages.(DT-15pts)
Monthly Total+100.25pts
Running Total+8768.22pts
11th October
250 Musselburgh-Kelvin Hall stands out on my figures here and its possible Joe Fanning could get away from them around here & hang on as this horse can sometimes finish a little tamely.
Its raced mainly on good or good to soft ground so this faster ground is an unknown but the sire has plenty of offspring that have done well on the ground,so im not concerned on that front.
The trainer has a 20% strike rate here and I would have it clear favourite.
Canny Style has won its last two,over slightly further and on softer ground.Those wins need to be improved upon and on its ratings over this trip and ground then this horse has work to do.
Amy Blair steps up in trip but is in good form while Meddlesome is lightly raced for a yard that do very well here.It needs to take a big jump forward on what its done so far but thats not impossible.
Back Kelvin Hall 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betfred/Totesport-2nd(-11pts)Once again we got the value as it got punted into 9/4 but just got ran out of it.
550 Leicester-This step up in trip looks ideal for Al Nasser Alwashik,whos been finishing well over shorter.Its ratings over a mile give it a fine chance and anything around that level over this trip,would make it tough to beat.
Artists Model has finished 1st and 3rd on its 2 starts here and rates the biggest danger.
Back Al Nasser Alwashik 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+48pts Paid out BOG)Fine ride by De Sousa saving every inch and dug deep to prevail(DT+37pts)
Month Total+115.25pts
Runing Total+8783.22pts
Its raced mainly on good or good to soft ground so this faster ground is an unknown but the sire has plenty of offspring that have done well on the ground,so im not concerned on that front.
The trainer has a 20% strike rate here and I would have it clear favourite.
Canny Style has won its last two,over slightly further and on softer ground.Those wins need to be improved upon and on its ratings over this trip and ground then this horse has work to do.
Amy Blair steps up in trip but is in good form while Meddlesome is lightly raced for a yard that do very well here.It needs to take a big jump forward on what its done so far but thats not impossible.
Back Kelvin Hall 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betfred/Totesport-2nd(-11pts)Once again we got the value as it got punted into 9/4 but just got ran out of it.
550 Leicester-This step up in trip looks ideal for Al Nasser Alwashik,whos been finishing well over shorter.Its ratings over a mile give it a fine chance and anything around that level over this trip,would make it tough to beat.
Artists Model has finished 1st and 3rd on its 2 starts here and rates the biggest danger.
Back Al Nasser Alwashik 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+48pts Paid out BOG)Fine ride by De Sousa saving every inch and dug deep to prevail(DT+37pts)
Month Total+115.25pts
Runing Total+8783.22pts
10th October
Tyrell has a fair chance(5.00 Windsor) but the price looks right to me,so its another no bet day for me.
I just wont put up selections for the sake of it,id prefer to wait for the opportunity to get involved rather than forcing it.
I just wont put up selections for the sake of it,id prefer to wait for the opportunity to get involved rather than forcing it.
8th October
350 Chepstow-I know this is only 2 days after this horse won for us and its a rise in class but I cant let this horse go unbacked at the current odds.
Its ratings are very progressive and its speed figure it posted on Thursday means its not out of place in this company.
It may come too soon but if it doesnt then its a crazy price.
Diego Du Charmil heads the dangers
Back Furiously Fast 5pts at 17.0 at Bet365/Betfred/Hills-2nd(-5pts)A tremendous run again! Punted into 4/1 and led everywhere but the last 10 strides.
235 York-Its possible that Great Order could be different class to these ,as its posted some improving figures at shorter and will appreciate this extra distance but the market has it short enough.
The value for me,lies with Central Square,whos progressive itself and boasts rock solid handicap form ,in this class and at this trip.
Its produced a career best last time,in first time blinkers and if that run is repeated then its a big player here.
Cote D`Azur is very consistent and wont be far away.
Back Central Square 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-3rd(-6pts)Never given a chance to win unfortunately.Slow out the stalls,stayed at the back then plugged through for 3rd.(DT-11pts)
Monthly Total+78.25pts
Running Total+8746.22pts
Its ratings are very progressive and its speed figure it posted on Thursday means its not out of place in this company.
It may come too soon but if it doesnt then its a crazy price.
Diego Du Charmil heads the dangers
Back Furiously Fast 5pts at 17.0 at Bet365/Betfred/Hills-2nd(-5pts)A tremendous run again! Punted into 4/1 and led everywhere but the last 10 strides.
235 York-Its possible that Great Order could be different class to these ,as its posted some improving figures at shorter and will appreciate this extra distance but the market has it short enough.
The value for me,lies with Central Square,whos progressive itself and boasts rock solid handicap form ,in this class and at this trip.
Its produced a career best last time,in first time blinkers and if that run is repeated then its a big player here.
Cote D`Azur is very consistent and wont be far away.
Back Central Square 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-3rd(-6pts)Never given a chance to win unfortunately.Slow out the stalls,stayed at the back then plugged through for 3rd.(DT-11pts)
Monthly Total+78.25pts
Running Total+8746.22pts
6th October
330 Exeter-Theres no doubt that Pawn Star has a decent chance here but the market is telling you that and the value lies with On The Bridge.
This hore takes a drop in class and looks to be gradually running into form.
Its got a better chance on my figures than the odds suggest and its 3w-0p-5r going right handed.
Houston Dinamo holds chances on its most recent run but is 0w-0p-3r around this track.
The Wealerdealer has won around here and is in decent form but is needs to step up on previous chase efforts.
Back On The Bridge 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)Support for it but ran a poor race.
340 Hereford-If its latest run in novice company can be relied upon then Furiously Fast is a big price here.Its shown steady improvement in each of its run and on its most recent start,it finished 23 lengths clear of a horse that went on to win next time out.
The speed figure posted that day backs up the good rating and on its handicap debut,this horse cant go unbacked at the available prices.
Collodi has been in great form over flat and jumps and warrants respect but its short enough in my view while Satanic Beat drops in grade and shouldnt be far away.
Octagon returns after an absence but for a new yard that do well with new recruits.
So far though,its best runs have been over further and on slower ground.
Back Furiously Fast 5pts at 12.0 at Betway/skybet-Won(+46.5pts*Rule 4)Well punted into 4/1 and won very nicely(DT+39.5pts)
Monthly Total+89.25pts
Running Total+8757.72pts
This hore takes a drop in class and looks to be gradually running into form.
Its got a better chance on my figures than the odds suggest and its 3w-0p-5r going right handed.
Houston Dinamo holds chances on its most recent run but is 0w-0p-3r around this track.
The Wealerdealer has won around here and is in decent form but is needs to step up on previous chase efforts.
Back On The Bridge 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)Support for it but ran a poor race.
340 Hereford-If its latest run in novice company can be relied upon then Furiously Fast is a big price here.Its shown steady improvement in each of its run and on its most recent start,it finished 23 lengths clear of a horse that went on to win next time out.
The speed figure posted that day backs up the good rating and on its handicap debut,this horse cant go unbacked at the available prices.
Collodi has been in great form over flat and jumps and warrants respect but its short enough in my view while Satanic Beat drops in grade and shouldnt be far away.
Octagon returns after an absence but for a new yard that do well with new recruits.
So far though,its best runs have been over further and on slower ground.
Back Furiously Fast 5pts at 12.0 at Betway/skybet-Won(+46.5pts*Rule 4)Well punted into 4/1 and won very nicely(DT+39.5pts)
Monthly Total+89.25pts
Running Total+8757.72pts
5th October
340 Ludlow-Ive looked at this race long and hard and I still cant work why Lilywhite Gesture is the outsider of this field.
I can see its slightly out of the handicap and that isnt ideal but my ratings suggest this horse has a decent chance here and they are clear holes to be picked in the others.
Whereas the selection is in form and fit,the likes of Morning Herald not only return from 155 days off but also has to prove it stays this trip.
Miss Mobot turns out quickly under a penalty and this is its handicap debut but on my figures,its up against it off this mark.
The one that looks the danger to me is Nordic Nymph,who has the ratings from early on in 2015 to take this but it hasnt raced for over 600 days and this ground will be quick enough.
Back Lilywhite Gesture 7pts at 9.0 at Various bookies-4th(-7pts)Punted heavily into 2/1.Very underwhelmed with the run.Never got into it.
I like Spring Steel in the 320 at Towcester but the price just isnt quite big enough to get involved.
Monthly Total+49.75pts
Running Total+8717.72pts
I can see its slightly out of the handicap and that isnt ideal but my ratings suggest this horse has a decent chance here and they are clear holes to be picked in the others.
Whereas the selection is in form and fit,the likes of Morning Herald not only return from 155 days off but also has to prove it stays this trip.
Miss Mobot turns out quickly under a penalty and this is its handicap debut but on my figures,its up against it off this mark.
The one that looks the danger to me is Nordic Nymph,who has the ratings from early on in 2015 to take this but it hasnt raced for over 600 days and this ground will be quick enough.
Back Lilywhite Gesture 7pts at 9.0 at Various bookies-4th(-7pts)Punted heavily into 2/1.Very underwhelmed with the run.Never got into it.
I like Spring Steel in the 320 at Towcester but the price just isnt quite big enough to get involved.
Monthly Total+49.75pts
Running Total+8717.72pts
3rd October
The 3.00 at Pontefract is an interesting and looks to lie between Blair House and Rainbow Rebel but the prices seem right to me and its a no bet day.
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