215 Doncaster-Its recent form has been a bit in and out but even so,im surprised at Settleoutofcourt`s price here.
Its tumbled down the weights and is now 13Ibs lower than when it won over just over a year ago.
It showed a bit more last tine out and that rating gives it a far better chance than the current odds suggest and the third placed horse has since come out and won.
It likes a small field(7 runners or less 5w-3p-16r) and this time of year(Nov/Dec 3w-2p-10r)
Its the clear value in this race.
Fort Worth is consistent and should run well but is 0w-4p-14r when its handicap mark is 121+ like today while Jac the Legend is another that should run well but appears here 14Ibs above its highest winning mark.
Back Settledoutofcourt 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Another hopeless tip!
I thought St Gregory would run well in the 325 at Doncaster but I wanted at least 6/1 before I got involved and that looks unlikely.
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
8th December
1230 Taunton-On its first outing over 3 miles,That`s Gonna Sting posted a career best rating and that makes it stand out here.
It looks to still be improving and should take a bit of beating.
Culm Counsellor has won its last two but on my figures,it has over a stone to find with the selection.
Song of the Night is probably the main danger unless Yul Next improves for the step up in trip.
Back That`s Gonna Sting 14pts at 3.5 at Hills-UP(-14pts)Very strong in the betting but one paced in the straight.
220 Newcastle-The more rain the better for Notebook here.
All of its best ratings have come with plenty of cut and that looks assured here.
There are plenty of holes in its profile but the price compensates for that while the postives are a record of 2w-1p-5r during December and January plus hailing from a small stable that has a 27% strike rate here.
Annie Alain is the main danger in an open race.
Back Notebook 5pts at 15.0 at various bookies-UP(-5pts)(DT-19pts)
It looks to still be improving and should take a bit of beating.
Culm Counsellor has won its last two but on my figures,it has over a stone to find with the selection.
Song of the Night is probably the main danger unless Yul Next improves for the step up in trip.
Back That`s Gonna Sting 14pts at 3.5 at Hills-UP(-14pts)Very strong in the betting but one paced in the straight.
220 Newcastle-The more rain the better for Notebook here.
All of its best ratings have come with plenty of cut and that looks assured here.
There are plenty of holes in its profile but the price compensates for that while the postives are a record of 2w-1p-5r during December and January plus hailing from a small stable that has a 27% strike rate here.
Annie Alain is the main danger in an open race.
Back Notebook 5pts at 15.0 at various bookies-UP(-5pts)(DT-19pts)
6th December
100 Uttoxeter-Nick Williams does well at this track,with a 22% strike rate with all his runners but that improves to a tasty 43% if you just take his favs into account and that could easily be improved upon when Peruvian Bleu lines up here.
This horse has shown a steady improvement in its ratings and is clear top rated on its latest run.
Ive got this horse around the even money mark so the price on offer is good value.
Whispering Harry is better known as a chaser but is well treated over hurdles,whether its quick enough on this ground remains to be seen.
Fort Carson is 2w-1p-3r in this grade but is 11Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.
Back Peruvian Bleu 18pts at 15/8 at Betway-4th(-18pts)Apparently started very slowly,not that you could see it in the fog.Well backed beforehand and stayed on but far too much to do!
Poor start to the month
Monthly Total-63pts
Running Total+8766.27pts
This horse has shown a steady improvement in its ratings and is clear top rated on its latest run.
Ive got this horse around the even money mark so the price on offer is good value.
Whispering Harry is better known as a chaser but is well treated over hurdles,whether its quick enough on this ground remains to be seen.
Fort Carson is 2w-1p-3r in this grade but is 11Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.
Back Peruvian Bleu 18pts at 15/8 at Betway-4th(-18pts)Apparently started very slowly,not that you could see it in the fog.Well backed beforehand and stayed on but far too much to do!
Poor start to the month
Monthly Total-63pts
Running Total+8766.27pts
5th December
310 Ludlow-On its handicap debut last time,Presenting Berkley showed much improved form and that rating it posted then gives it a very strong chance in this weak race.
Its got one of the better jockeys on board and I would expect it to go close,if repeating that last run.
Double Court is very consistent,which is something that cant be said about most of its opponents but its also clearly beatable.
Marvellous Monty makes its handicap debut but returns after an absence.It has chances on the best of its previous efforts.
Back Presenting Berkley18pts at 15/8 at Corals/Betvictor-Meeting abandoned
Its got one of the better jockeys on board and I would expect it to go close,if repeating that last run.
Double Court is very consistent,which is something that cant be said about most of its opponents but its also clearly beatable.
Marvellous Monty makes its handicap debut but returns after an absence.It has chances on the best of its previous efforts.
Back Presenting Berkley18pts at 15/8 at Corals/Betvictor-Meeting abandoned
4th December
Demographic(1230) and Satanic Beat(130) should both run well at Huntingdon but neither price is quite big enough to tempt me in.
Hopefully this coming week will see my laptop finally fixed,so I can get going with the football again.
No selections
Hopefully this coming week will see my laptop finally fixed,so I can get going with the football again.
No selections
3rd December
300 Sandown-If Un De Sceaux turns up and produces its best then it will make them all go but on ground quicker than ideal and turning up after a long absence(Fell the last 2 seasons FTO),I think we can take it on.
Sire De Grugy has a fine record at this track(4w-2p-7r) and has actually won this race twice in the last 3 years.The quick return to the track is also a plus(14 days or less 6 wins out of 6)
Gods Own has chances but the trainer has just a 5% strike rate here but Ar Mad could be a danger as it was progressing well before an injury stopped its progress last season.
Back Sire De Grugy 12pts at 4.5 at Hills-2nd(-12pts)Looked to have it as it hit the front at the last but just got nutted near the line.
215 Chepstow-Zanstra produced a fine performance last time out,on just its second start over fences.
It stands out on my figures and with possible further improvement to come plus the services of Paddy Brennan for the first time(25% strike rate for the yard) then I would have it around the 7/4 mark.
Tornado in Milan has been a model of consistency but this ground is fast enough for it and its never been at its best around here.
My ratings suggest its got 9Ibs to find with the selection.
Atirelarigo is difficult to assess but has to be rated a danger given the connections while Allow Dallow has chances on my figures but is normally one to take on.
Back Zanstra 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Fell(-12pts)Well backed but came down when in contention at the 2nd last.(DT-24pts)
Sire De Grugy has a fine record at this track(4w-2p-7r) and has actually won this race twice in the last 3 years.The quick return to the track is also a plus(14 days or less 6 wins out of 6)
Gods Own has chances but the trainer has just a 5% strike rate here but Ar Mad could be a danger as it was progressing well before an injury stopped its progress last season.
Back Sire De Grugy 12pts at 4.5 at Hills-2nd(-12pts)Looked to have it as it hit the front at the last but just got nutted near the line.
215 Chepstow-Zanstra produced a fine performance last time out,on just its second start over fences.
It stands out on my figures and with possible further improvement to come plus the services of Paddy Brennan for the first time(25% strike rate for the yard) then I would have it around the 7/4 mark.
Tornado in Milan has been a model of consistency but this ground is fast enough for it and its never been at its best around here.
My ratings suggest its got 9Ibs to find with the selection.
Atirelarigo is difficult to assess but has to be rated a danger given the connections while Allow Dallow has chances on my figures but is normally one to take on.
Back Zanstra 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Fell(-12pts)Well backed but came down when in contention at the 2nd last.(DT-24pts)
2nd December
300 Sandown-Red Devil Star is unexposed over fences after just 2 starts and its latest run saw it post an improving rating.
With conditions ideal,im surprised it isnt favourite.
Although it hails from a small stable,they have a very good 28% strike rate when they have horses in the front 3 in the betting like this particular race.
Gores Island currently heads the market after a decent seasonal reappearance but it needs to better last seasons best if its to trouble the selection.
The main danger for me is Greywell Boy,who returns after over 500 days but makes its debut for the Harry Fry stable.Im sure it will turn up fit but whether its the same horse as before remains to be seen.If it is then its a big runner here.
Back Red Devil Star 12pts at 4.3 at Stan James-3rd(-12pts)Too many mistakes over the fences.
335 Sandown-Some improving types on show here but none appeal more than Major Mac.
Its only had 3 runs but stands out on my figures on its all the way win last time out.
That was over further but could actually prove better back in trip.It should be clear favourite.
That honour goes to Utility and although I respect the early money from this stable,its got to find some improvement if the selection runs its race.
Vivas and Vocaliser have place chances.
Back Major Mac 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-UP(-9pts)Tanked into the race but found nothing(DT-21pts)
With conditions ideal,im surprised it isnt favourite.
Although it hails from a small stable,they have a very good 28% strike rate when they have horses in the front 3 in the betting like this particular race.
Gores Island currently heads the market after a decent seasonal reappearance but it needs to better last seasons best if its to trouble the selection.
The main danger for me is Greywell Boy,who returns after over 500 days but makes its debut for the Harry Fry stable.Im sure it will turn up fit but whether its the same horse as before remains to be seen.If it is then its a big runner here.
Back Red Devil Star 12pts at 4.3 at Stan James-3rd(-12pts)Too many mistakes over the fences.
335 Sandown-Some improving types on show here but none appeal more than Major Mac.
Its only had 3 runs but stands out on my figures on its all the way win last time out.
That was over further but could actually prove better back in trip.It should be clear favourite.
That honour goes to Utility and although I respect the early money from this stable,its got to find some improvement if the selection runs its race.
Vivas and Vocaliser have place chances.
Back Major Mac 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-UP(-9pts)Tanked into the race but found nothing(DT-21pts)
30th November
140 Lingfield-Any one whos followed me for any length of time will know,im not a fan of this jockey.
So if we are held up,off a slow pace,meeting traffic trouble and flash home for second then shoot me!
However,on my ratings,Master Of The World is an even money chance for me,so the current price is more than fair.
Its unexposed on the all weather and drops in class for this.
Battalion is the clear danger.It won this race last year but has since left the Haggas yard and im not sure how many improve for that.
Back Master Of The World 18pts at 3.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-18pts)Plenty of money for it but was well beaten.Strong month nonetheless.
Monthly Total+193.80pts
Running Total+8829.27pts
So if we are held up,off a slow pace,meeting traffic trouble and flash home for second then shoot me!
However,on my ratings,Master Of The World is an even money chance for me,so the current price is more than fair.
Its unexposed on the all weather and drops in class for this.
Battalion is the clear danger.It won this race last year but has since left the Haggas yard and im not sure how many improve for that.
Back Master Of The World 18pts at 3.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-18pts)Plenty of money for it but was well beaten.Strong month nonetheless.
Monthly Total+193.80pts
Running Total+8829.27pts
29th November
Nothing catches my eye for tomorrow,so we will keep our powder dry until the next winning opportunity shows itself.
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Please donate(Use email addresses at the top of the page to donate on paypal) to keep this site free to view.
28th November
140 Ludlow-Alanjou is nicely handicapped now(11Ibs below its last winning mark) and ran an encouraging race last time to suggest,it could be ready to strike.
It jumped right at times last time,so possibly the R/H track could suit and based on that latest run,its way overpriced here,in what is a very weak race.
Upbeat Cobbler should run well but offers little value while Mr Mafia disappointed over hurdles last time but has chances on its last run over fneces.
Back Alanjou 7pts at 9.0 at Boyles/Betfair Sportsbook-PU(-7pts)Made a bad mistake and was then pulled up quickly.This race was there for the taking.
200 Plumpton-Tambura won this race last year and looks teed up for a repeat.
It ran well on its seasonal debut last time, before weakening before the last but should be primed for a big run here.
Its got a good 2w-0p-5r record around this track while the jockey is 3w-4p-8r riding for this trainer.
Its 3w-2p-8r during November and December and is 4w-4p-13r in fields of 9 or less.
Its a strong profile and it should go close.
Very Extravagant drops in class and has to be a danger but makes no appeal at the prices.
Theatre Goer has a chance of its best ratings from last season but is 16Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.
Misty Mai is unexposed but needs to improve bundles to contend.
All the others have something to prove.
Back Tambura 12pts at 4.0 at Various bookies-Won(+36pts)Hurdled superbly and stuck on well(DT+29pts)
Monthly Total+211.80pts
Running Total+8847.27pts
It jumped right at times last time,so possibly the R/H track could suit and based on that latest run,its way overpriced here,in what is a very weak race.
Upbeat Cobbler should run well but offers little value while Mr Mafia disappointed over hurdles last time but has chances on its last run over fneces.
Back Alanjou 7pts at 9.0 at Boyles/Betfair Sportsbook-PU(-7pts)Made a bad mistake and was then pulled up quickly.This race was there for the taking.
200 Plumpton-Tambura won this race last year and looks teed up for a repeat.
It ran well on its seasonal debut last time, before weakening before the last but should be primed for a big run here.
Its got a good 2w-0p-5r record around this track while the jockey is 3w-4p-8r riding for this trainer.
Its 3w-2p-8r during November and December and is 4w-4p-13r in fields of 9 or less.
Its a strong profile and it should go close.
Very Extravagant drops in class and has to be a danger but makes no appeal at the prices.
Theatre Goer has a chance of its best ratings from last season but is 16Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.
Misty Mai is unexposed but needs to improve bundles to contend.
All the others have something to prove.
Back Tambura 12pts at 4.0 at Various bookies-Won(+36pts)Hurdled superbly and stuck on well(DT+29pts)
Monthly Total+211.80pts
Running Total+8847.27pts
27th November
No Selections
The closest I came to a selection was Lee Side Lady(240 Leicester) but the price isnt big enough.
The closest I came to a selection was Lee Side Lady(240 Leicester) but the price isnt big enough.
26th November
230 Doncaster-Ive no idea what Our Thomas is doing as favourite.Its got a lot to find on my figures and this is a decent race.
I wouldnt put anyone off laying it but instead I will take it on with 2 horses.
Mystic Sky is a consistent performer and this race is a drop in class from its good run last time out.The jockey/trainer combo have a 25% strike rate and this horse is 3w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less.
Cornborough posted a good rating last time and an outstanding topspeed figure.A reproduction of that makes it a big player here,its also 2 from 3 over this trip.
Sleep Easy is very unexposed and could be anything.
Back Mystic Sky 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies & Back Cornborough-2nd 7pts at 7.0 at skybet/Paddys(-14pts)
I wouldnt put anyone off laying it but instead I will take it on with 2 horses.
Mystic Sky is a consistent performer and this race is a drop in class from its good run last time out.The jockey/trainer combo have a 25% strike rate and this horse is 3w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less.
Cornborough posted a good rating last time and an outstanding topspeed figure.A reproduction of that makes it a big player here,its also 2 from 3 over this trip.
Sleep Easy is very unexposed and could be anything.
Back Mystic Sky 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies & Back Cornborough-2nd 7pts at 7.0 at skybet/Paddys(-14pts)
645 Wolves-Win Lose Draw to my eye,has been running over the wrong trip.Its best rating(By a long way) was over this course and distance last March.
Its since ran 4 times all over longer trips that appear to stretch its stamina.Anything close to the figure it posted, the only time its ran over this trip,will make it a big runner here and the adding of headgear could also bring about improvement.
Back Win Lose Draw 6pts at 8.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+42pts)Well backed and won by half the straight.(DT+28pts)
Its since ran 4 times all over longer trips that appear to stretch its stamina.Anything close to the figure it posted, the only time its ran over this trip,will make it a big runner here and the adding of headgear could also bring about improvement.
Back Win Lose Draw 6pts at 8.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+42pts)Well backed and won by half the straight.(DT+28pts)
Monthly Total+182.80
Running Total+8818.27pts
21st November
I have major Laptop issues.
A black screen on start up(Not good at all)
I have had to borrow a PC just to post this message,so until I get it repaired then there wont be any selections.
Hopefully it wont be too long but remember we have a football selection still to run.
(Danish Superliga)
Silkeborg v Esbjerg-Back Silkeborg 15pts at 21/20 at Various bookies-Won 3-0(+15.75pts)
A black screen on start up(Not good at all)
I have had to borrow a PC just to post this message,so until I get it repaired then there wont be any selections.
Hopefully it wont be too long but remember we have a football selection still to run.
(Danish Superliga)
Silkeborg v Esbjerg-Back Silkeborg 15pts at 21/20 at Various bookies-Won 3-0(+15.75pts)
20th November
I think Mumgo`s Debut will take a bit of beating(315 Uttoxeter) but its around the right price.
So No Selections.
So No Selections.
19th November
200 Lingfield-If Donjuan Triumphant turns up with its `A` game then it will take a bit of beating but it hasnt been anywhere near its best since mid summer & looks a very short price to me.
Im happy to take it on with Alfred Hutchinson,who would be a pretty strong selection if this was over an extra furlong but it ran well over this course and distance,two starts back,so im hopeful of another good performance.
It hasnt raced in this lower class since 2013 & its record in this grade and on the all weather reads 1st-1st-1st-2nd.It looks rock solid to me.
Seychelloise has chances but is around the right price.
Back Alfred Hutchinson 10pts at 5.0 at Various bookies-Won(+40pts)
215 Huntingdon-Not many prolific winners on show here and this race is there for the taking.
Moorlands Jack can turn in the odd stinker but ran well last time on ground much softer than ideal & overa trip probably slightly too far.
This horse is 6w-2p-23r in races around this trip & is a 5 time winner in this grade,it also races here off a mark 7Ibs lower than it last won off.
It should be favourite.
Allow Dallow looks the main threat to me,its trainer does very well here(36%) and this horse is 1/1 at this track(Its only career win).It will cruise up but whether it goes past is another thing.
Back Moorlands Jack 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Corals-UP(-7pts)
(Premier League)
Stoke v Bournemouth-Back Stoke 12pts at 13/10 at various bookies-Lost(-12pts)(DT+21pts)
Monthly Total+139.05pts
Running Total+8795.52pts
Im happy to take it on with Alfred Hutchinson,who would be a pretty strong selection if this was over an extra furlong but it ran well over this course and distance,two starts back,so im hopeful of another good performance.
It hasnt raced in this lower class since 2013 & its record in this grade and on the all weather reads 1st-1st-1st-2nd.It looks rock solid to me.
Seychelloise has chances but is around the right price.
Back Alfred Hutchinson 10pts at 5.0 at Various bookies-Won(+40pts)
215 Huntingdon-Not many prolific winners on show here and this race is there for the taking.
Moorlands Jack can turn in the odd stinker but ran well last time on ground much softer than ideal & overa trip probably slightly too far.
This horse is 6w-2p-23r in races around this trip & is a 5 time winner in this grade,it also races here off a mark 7Ibs lower than it last won off.
It should be favourite.
Allow Dallow looks the main threat to me,its trainer does very well here(36%) and this horse is 1/1 at this track(Its only career win).It will cruise up but whether it goes past is another thing.
Back Moorlands Jack 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Corals-UP(-7pts)
(Premier League)
Stoke v Bournemouth-Back Stoke 12pts at 13/10 at various bookies-Lost(-12pts)(DT+21pts)
Monthly Total+139.05pts
Running Total+8795.52pts
18th November
330 Ffos Las-Probably the most likely winner of this race is Royal Salute but there are negatives against it and it looks very short at even money.
The fav won well last time on its seasonal debut but this is only 5 days later while it also has to carry a massive weight plus the trainer is 0w-4p-19r around this track.
Take it on with Twenty Eight Guns,who is unexposed over fences and ran an encouraging race on its first run of the season.
Im no fan of the jockey but he is 4 from 8 for this stable and it does look a bit overpriced.
Mr Bachster returns after an absence(has won fresh before) but is 0w-1p-13r going left handed like today.
Humbel Ben is on a hat trick but is 0w-1p-11r during November and December,its also at its best on good ground.
Try It Sometime possibly wants further & needs to come on a lot for its reappearance but it does have some ratings that make it competitive,it is however 0w-0p-4r at this track.
Back Twenty Eight Guns 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-Won(+34pts*1 Non runner) Smashed into 2/1 and jumped really well to hold on.
Football
(Premier League)
Stoke v Bournemouth-Back Stoke 12pts at 13/10 at various bookies
(Danish Superliga)
Silkeborg v Esbjerg-Back Silkeborg 15pts at 21/20 at Various bookies
Monthly Total+118.05pts
Running Total+8774.52pts
The fav won well last time on its seasonal debut but this is only 5 days later while it also has to carry a massive weight plus the trainer is 0w-4p-19r around this track.
Take it on with Twenty Eight Guns,who is unexposed over fences and ran an encouraging race on its first run of the season.
Im no fan of the jockey but he is 4 from 8 for this stable and it does look a bit overpriced.
Mr Bachster returns after an absence(has won fresh before) but is 0w-1p-13r going left handed like today.
Humbel Ben is on a hat trick but is 0w-1p-11r during November and December,its also at its best on good ground.
Try It Sometime possibly wants further & needs to come on a lot for its reappearance but it does have some ratings that make it competitive,it is however 0w-0p-4r at this track.
Back Twenty Eight Guns 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-Won(+34pts*1 Non runner) Smashed into 2/1 and jumped really well to hold on.
Football
(Premier League)
Stoke v Bournemouth-Back Stoke 12pts at 13/10 at various bookies
(Danish Superliga)
Silkeborg v Esbjerg-Back Silkeborg 15pts at 21/20 at Various bookies
Monthly Total+118.05pts
Running Total+8774.52pts
17th November
I looked at Links Drive Lady(550 Chelmsford) a lot but its poor track form puts me off.
No Selections
No Selections
15th November
135 Fakenham-Unless Shaky Gift improves bundles on its third chase start then this race looks at the mercy of Dawnieriver.
Its been improving steadily & is clear top rated after hacking up last time out.
Tom Scudamore is 2w-3p-8r on the horse,so clearly gets on well with it and this horse is odds on in my tissue prices.
Queen Spud is 3 from 3 here and that makes it a threat but my figures suggest,its got a few pounds to find here & possibly is better at shorter.
Back Dawnieriver 25pts at 2.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-25pts)Led everywhere but the final 5 yards,which is the vital bit I guess.Really disappointing!
315 Southwell-I will be astonished if Rossington isnt a significantly shorter price at the off than is currently available.
It produced easily a career best last time and is a massive runner if that form can be trusted but its backed up by a good speed figure and it has to be supported at the prices.
Jaunty Thor appears under a penalty but isnt a good thing on my figures particularly with a poor 0w-1p-6r record in fields of 10 or more like today while Destiny Shadow isnt out of it.
Back Rossington 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Got it all wrong here.No money for it and went off too fast.(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total+84.05pts
Running Total+8740.52pts
Its been improving steadily & is clear top rated after hacking up last time out.
Tom Scudamore is 2w-3p-8r on the horse,so clearly gets on well with it and this horse is odds on in my tissue prices.
Queen Spud is 3 from 3 here and that makes it a threat but my figures suggest,its got a few pounds to find here & possibly is better at shorter.
Back Dawnieriver 25pts at 2.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-25pts)Led everywhere but the final 5 yards,which is the vital bit I guess.Really disappointing!
315 Southwell-I will be astonished if Rossington isnt a significantly shorter price at the off than is currently available.
It produced easily a career best last time and is a massive runner if that form can be trusted but its backed up by a good speed figure and it has to be supported at the prices.
Jaunty Thor appears under a penalty but isnt a good thing on my figures particularly with a poor 0w-1p-6r record in fields of 10 or more like today while Destiny Shadow isnt out of it.
Back Rossington 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Got it all wrong here.No money for it and went off too fast.(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total+84.05pts
Running Total+8740.52pts
14th November
1250 Musselburgh-The strike rate of Donna`s Pride is very ordinary but 2 miles,on decent ground and in this grade are its optimum conditions.
Its finished 2nd both times its had those circumstances & id be surprised if it wasnt involved at the finish.I would certainly have it shorter than the prices available.
Mitcd is unexposed and is very much respected but on pure ratings,it needs to find a few pounds to match the best of these.
Rioja Day & Urban Kode shouldnt be far away but there is little strength in depth here.
Back Donna`s Pride 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-2nd(-8pts)Cruised into contention and found nothing.
320 Musselburgh-You can find faults with many here and I can find only a few that could be involved.
Harleys Max is the one I like.Its got a career record of 2/24 but is actually 2/2 at this track and 2w-1p-6r over this trip.
Its got a nice consistent profile and I would expect it to go close at a nice price.
Quick Brew won last time and posted a competitive rating but has a career strike rate of 6%,which hardly inspires a follow up.
Quick Decisson heads my ratings but that was over 2 miles,its record over this trip(2m3f)is over a stone lower plus the trainer is 0w-3p-16r with his runners at this track.
John Williams looks the main threat,as its a course and distance winner with a slowly progressive profile,however having said that,its a ridiculous price at 7/4.
Back Harleys Max 7pts at 7.5 at Various bookies-PU(-7pts)This was incredibly poor from a very consistent horse.
350 Musselburgh-Green Zone looks a bit overpriced here and warrants an interest.
It ran well last time and if backing that run up then I will be right there at the business end.
Its a got a good 2w-1p-8r record going right handed.
Stoneham heads the dangers,it drops in class and races under conditions that should be ideal but as usual,its all price related and this one looks a bit tight on my figures.
Back Green Zone 7pts at 8.0 at Various bookies-UP(-7pts)Just a very poor day.(DT-22pts)
Its finished 2nd both times its had those circumstances & id be surprised if it wasnt involved at the finish.I would certainly have it shorter than the prices available.
Mitcd is unexposed and is very much respected but on pure ratings,it needs to find a few pounds to match the best of these.
Rioja Day & Urban Kode shouldnt be far away but there is little strength in depth here.
Back Donna`s Pride 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-2nd(-8pts)Cruised into contention and found nothing.
320 Musselburgh-You can find faults with many here and I can find only a few that could be involved.
Harleys Max is the one I like.Its got a career record of 2/24 but is actually 2/2 at this track and 2w-1p-6r over this trip.
Its got a nice consistent profile and I would expect it to go close at a nice price.
Quick Brew won last time and posted a competitive rating but has a career strike rate of 6%,which hardly inspires a follow up.
Quick Decisson heads my ratings but that was over 2 miles,its record over this trip(2m3f)is over a stone lower plus the trainer is 0w-3p-16r with his runners at this track.
John Williams looks the main threat,as its a course and distance winner with a slowly progressive profile,however having said that,its a ridiculous price at 7/4.
Back Harleys Max 7pts at 7.5 at Various bookies-PU(-7pts)This was incredibly poor from a very consistent horse.
350 Musselburgh-Green Zone looks a bit overpriced here and warrants an interest.
It ran well last time and if backing that run up then I will be right there at the business end.
Its a got a good 2w-1p-8r record going right handed.
Stoneham heads the dangers,it drops in class and races under conditions that should be ideal but as usual,its all price related and this one looks a bit tight on my figures.
Back Green Zone 7pts at 8.0 at Various bookies-UP(-7pts)Just a very poor day.(DT-22pts)
13th November
Nothing for tomorrow again,im afraid.
Its been an excellent start to the month,so im not getting involved unless it warrants it.
Its been an excellent start to the month,so im not getting involved unless it warrants it.
11th November
The closest I got to bets were Island Flame(120 Lingfield) & St Gregory(140 Newcastle) but neither are overpriced enough to warrant getting involved.
10th January
115 Towcester-Tobacco Road may prove better than these.Its been well backed and makes its handicap debut here,however Its short enough in my view & could be worth taking on.
Angus Glens appears under a penalty and has chances but is 0w-2p-9r going right handed like today.
Horseguardsparade takes a big drop in trip but has a chance based on its run over 2m4 three starts back.
Peruvien Bleu represents a stable that do well here but it needs to improve on whats its done so far,so that leaves me with Londonia,who disappointed on the flat last time but that was on the all weather & its never put a performance together on any of the artificial surfaces,so that could be the reason.
On its hurdles ratings,it looks overpriced here.
Its latest run over timber gives it every chance here and the horses that finished around it have given the form a solid look.
Ive got it around the 4/1 mark,so the price available is big.
Back Londonia 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)Called the market correct again and this horse looked a big threat but 2 poor jumps late on saw it held.
Angus Glens appears under a penalty and has chances but is 0w-2p-9r going right handed like today.
Horseguardsparade takes a big drop in trip but has a chance based on its run over 2m4 three starts back.
Peruvien Bleu represents a stable that do well here but it needs to improve on whats its done so far,so that leaves me with Londonia,who disappointed on the flat last time but that was on the all weather & its never put a performance together on any of the artificial surfaces,so that could be the reason.
On its hurdles ratings,it looks overpriced here.
Its latest run over timber gives it every chance here and the horses that finished around it have given the form a solid look.
Ive got it around the 4/1 mark,so the price available is big.
Back Londonia 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)Called the market correct again and this horse looked a big threat but 2 poor jumps late on saw it held.
9th November
1250 Bangor-From a ratings perspective,Mungos Debut stands out here.
It produced easily a career best last time out(its first run after a wind operation) and anything close to that rating will win this.
Any rain(Forecast is for plenty) will make its chance stronger and the trainer has a 25% strike rate at this track in the last 2 years.
Ballycoe was steadily improving when we last saw it but will need to be at the top of its game to take this.Kings Cross is probably the biggest danger.
Back Mungos Debut 16pts at 3.25 at bet365-Won(+44pts Paid out BOG) A couple of sketchy jumps but this won easily,like the ratings said it would.
Monthly Total+142.05pts
Running Total+8798.52pts
It produced easily a career best last time out(its first run after a wind operation) and anything close to that rating will win this.
Any rain(Forecast is for plenty) will make its chance stronger and the trainer has a 25% strike rate at this track in the last 2 years.
Ballycoe was steadily improving when we last saw it but will need to be at the top of its game to take this.Kings Cross is probably the biggest danger.
Back Mungos Debut 16pts at 3.25 at bet365-Won(+44pts Paid out BOG) A couple of sketchy jumps but this won easily,like the ratings said it would.
Monthly Total+142.05pts
Running Total+8798.52pts
7th November
Football
Denmark
Odense v Lyngby-Won 2-1
Viborg v Brondby-Won 2-1
MLS
New York City v Toronto-Won 5-0
Back Lyngby(Double Chance),Brondby(win),Toronto(Double chance) in a 5pts Treble(Pays 4/1)(+20pts)
305 Kempton-After a spell in the doldrums,Parish Business returned last time,after a break and dropped in trip,to win easily and if that run is backed up here then its a big price.
I have a slight niggle that its been a little below par on right handed tracks but that is from a small sample and with the jockey having a 21% strike rate for this yard,I expect this horse`s odds to shorten and to run well.
Forever Field drops in class and looks the biggest danger although L`Aigle Royal makes its second start for the Skelton yard and is respected.
Back Parish Business 7pts at 7.0 at Corals-UP(-7pts)Got some great value as it returned at 9/4 but never looked like the winner.
110 Carlisle-Stone Quercus ran only a few days ago but turns out here making its handicap debut.
The rating it produced last time out,suggested two things.One that its improving and two,its very well handicapped here.
The speed figure backs up the rating and anything close to that last run would make it tough to beat.
I also like the fact the stallion has a 25% strike rate at this track.
There are a host of horses making their handicap debut and market signals will tell how much fancied opposition there is.
Back Stone Quercus 18pts at 3.0 at Ladbrokes/Hills-5th(-18pts)Was very keen early on but this was a very disappointing run(DT-25pts)
Monthly Total+82.05pts
Running Total+8738.52pts
Denmark
Odense v Lyngby-Won 2-1
Viborg v Brondby-Won 2-1
MLS
New York City v Toronto-Won 5-0
Back Lyngby(Double Chance),Brondby(win),Toronto(Double chance) in a 5pts Treble(Pays 4/1)(+20pts)
305 Kempton-After a spell in the doldrums,Parish Business returned last time,after a break and dropped in trip,to win easily and if that run is backed up here then its a big price.
I have a slight niggle that its been a little below par on right handed tracks but that is from a small sample and with the jockey having a 21% strike rate for this yard,I expect this horse`s odds to shorten and to run well.
Forever Field drops in class and looks the biggest danger although L`Aigle Royal makes its second start for the Skelton yard and is respected.
Back Parish Business 7pts at 7.0 at Corals-UP(-7pts)Got some great value as it returned at 9/4 but never looked like the winner.
110 Carlisle-Stone Quercus ran only a few days ago but turns out here making its handicap debut.
The rating it produced last time out,suggested two things.One that its improving and two,its very well handicapped here.
The speed figure backs up the rating and anything close to that last run would make it tough to beat.
I also like the fact the stallion has a 25% strike rate at this track.
There are a host of horses making their handicap debut and market signals will tell how much fancied opposition there is.
Back Stone Quercus 18pts at 3.0 at Ladbrokes/Hills-5th(-18pts)Was very keen early on but this was a very disappointing run(DT-25pts)
Monthly Total+82.05pts
Running Total+8738.52pts
5th November
245 Wincanton-Three quick races might catch up with it but from a ratings perspective,On Demand shouldnt be the price it is here.
Its found a nice vein of form and will have a very low weight here with the young jockey taking off 10Ibs,I dont know much about him but I do know hes 1/1 for this trainer.
Its the wrong price so we have to get involved.
The likes of Mia`s Storm,Antartica De Thaix and Rene`s Girl all have some decent form to their name from last season but the selection does have race fitness on its side.
Back On Demand 7pts at 8.0 at Various bookies-Won(+22.05pts *Rule 4)Went off a strong favourite after 2 non runners.Jumped out,made all and won easily.
255 Kelso-I tipped Domtaline last time when the 2 miles around Wetherby was an insufficient test for it although if it had jumped any of the final 3 fences properly,it would have gone very close.
The extra yardage here is in its favour and I expect it to run well,given a decent round of jumping.
The Herds Garden ran well on its first start for the McCain yard and it looks the main danger while Imjoeking has tumbled down the weights and wont be far away.
Quick Decisson is up in class and is far too short in the market for me.
Back Domtaline 7pts at 7.0 at Various bookies-3rd(-7pts)Just couldnt quite get into it.(DT+15.05pts)
Monthly Total+87.05pts
Running Total+8743.52pts
Football
Denmark
Odense v Lyngby
Viborg v Brondby
MLS
New York City v Toronto
Back Lyngby(Double Chance),Brondby(win),Toronto(Double chance) in a 5pts Treble(Pays 4/1)
Its found a nice vein of form and will have a very low weight here with the young jockey taking off 10Ibs,I dont know much about him but I do know hes 1/1 for this trainer.
Its the wrong price so we have to get involved.
The likes of Mia`s Storm,Antartica De Thaix and Rene`s Girl all have some decent form to their name from last season but the selection does have race fitness on its side.
Back On Demand 7pts at 8.0 at Various bookies-Won(+22.05pts *Rule 4)Went off a strong favourite after 2 non runners.Jumped out,made all and won easily.
255 Kelso-I tipped Domtaline last time when the 2 miles around Wetherby was an insufficient test for it although if it had jumped any of the final 3 fences properly,it would have gone very close.
The extra yardage here is in its favour and I expect it to run well,given a decent round of jumping.
The Herds Garden ran well on its first start for the McCain yard and it looks the main danger while Imjoeking has tumbled down the weights and wont be far away.
Quick Decisson is up in class and is far too short in the market for me.
Back Domtaline 7pts at 7.0 at Various bookies-3rd(-7pts)Just couldnt quite get into it.(DT+15.05pts)
Monthly Total+87.05pts
Running Total+8743.52pts
Football
Denmark
Odense v Lyngby
Viborg v Brondby
MLS
New York City v Toronto
Back Lyngby(Double Chance),Brondby(win),Toronto(Double chance) in a 5pts Treble(Pays 4/1)
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