22nd October

 400 Carlisle-The selection has achieved 2 or 3 ratings that the rest of the field have got nowhere near yet and I would be very disappointed if it didnt go close.

It placed in its only start at this track and is 4w-2p-8r in this grade,it stays a bit further,so this stiff finish will suit and if its jumping holds up then it should take a bit of beating.

Victory Echo is unesposed over fences and although needing to improve,it could.Oscar Wilde was running well when last seen and could be a threat.

Back Bandsman 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts)Ground went against and couldnt get involved

200 Ludlow-Mostly a bunch of exposed,inconsistent animals and although Hurlstone Point hasnt pulled up any trees in its 2 chase starts,its latest run comes out well on my ratings and with further improvement likely,it could outrun its odds for a trainer who has a 25% strike here with his chasers.

Peters Portrait has only had the one run over fences and better was expected ,judging by a 7/2 SP but that effort needs seriously improving upon.Trump Benefit drops in class but generally prefers going left handed.

Back Hurlstone Point 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys/Betfair-PU(-5pts)Hit every fence

345 Ludlow-As the only course winner in the race and a horse that has spent the majority of its career operating at a higher level then John Constable is just too well handicapped to ignore back on its favoured good ground.

Hopefully it will get a decent pace to aim and at the prices,its the clear value pick.

The Garrison won last time out but is up in class while Dave and Bernie makes its UK debut after running pretty well in Ireland,its difficult to get a hande on but the betting will tell its story.

Back John Constable 6pts at 9.0 at 888sport-UP(-6pts)Not the most busy performance from the saddle Ive ever seen(DT-23pts)(RT+75.5pts)

21st October

 423 Fontwell-Theres a couple of lightly raced types here,namely Legende De Minuit and One for Dunstan and obviously they could progress now moving into handicaps but I`m still surprised at the price of Sixties Secret.

This horse is clear top rated on its latest run,has a decent 7Ib claimer onboard and should get the fast pace it likes for it to be produced late on.I have a very small niggle that its a Plumpton specialist but the price more than makes up for that.

Back Sixties Secret 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Not saying it would have won but the jockey made a mess of the finish by going for a non existent run and losing his reins in the process.(RT+98.5pts)

20th October

 345 Yarmouth-Dropped back to 10 furlongs on very soft ground,saw Selecto produce a career best performance,only going down narrowly to a bang in form opponent and pulling well clear of the rest.

If that race hasnt left a mark and it can reproduce that effort then its clearly the one to beat here.

Harlow is consistent but very beatable and im not certain very soft ground is what t wants.Casa Loupi looks the main danger,as its still lightly raced and drops in class.

Back Selecto 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Bang there 2f out but weakened quickly

400 Exeter-Although its yet to win a race,Twasnt the Plan has produced its best 2 career ratings over this trip and ground.The trainer doesnt book this jockey that often but has a 22% strike rate when he does and I can see this horse breaking its duck here.

Fresh New Dawn is favourite and finally managed to jump round last time after some mishaps in its 2 runs before that.You have to jump well at this track and Twasnt the Plan`s jockey has got off this to ride the selection.

Back Twasnt the Plan 12pts at 4.3 at Betfair/Paddys-3rd(-12pts)Never really put into the race (DT-24pts)(RT+105.5pts)

19th October

 240 Plumpton-The rating Hab Sab achieved in its last run from last season,far exceeds anything else its rivals have managed.There are risks attached however,in that its been a few months since it ran and this ground is faster than when it posted that rating but the price allows for all that and it is worth getting involved with.

The fav Simon the Great steps up in trip but has looked slow so far ,Kapsize has yet to win a race so far while Battleofthesomme has stamina to prove while Magic River hasnt been seen for 15 months.

Back Hab Sab 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Betfred-Won(+52pts *BOG 7.5) Jumped well and dominated throughout.

425 Wolverhampton-These horses have managed a total of 2 wins between them in their careers and this is there for the taking.

Although its never raced on this surface,Sulochana`s last 2 rating would be good enough to take this and with the blinkers applied,they may eke out a little more improvement.

Mystery Mac looks the obvious danger as it makes its handicap debut.

Back Sulochana 8pts at 5.5 at Sky/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)Looks tripless to me(DT+44pts)(RT+129.5pts)

18th October

 407 Kempton-Pontresina won on its debut over fences but was disqualified,with more improvement expected,it should go pretty close here.

  Apart from Top of the fashion,the selection faces exposed rivals and I am surprised its not shorter in the betting. As mentioned,Top of the fashion is very unexposed while Top Decision has chances but does has its stamina to prove.

Back Pontresina 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped well and stayed on strong.

510 Sedgefield-Capone is still not fully exposed at this sort of trip and I would expect another solid run from the selection.It heads my ratings on its last time out win and this horse is at its best when returning to the track within 30 days(2w-2p-5r)

You have to respect River Frost on its latest win over fences but it hasnt won over hurdles since 2017.

Ingleby Hollow would have a shout if it stays this longer trip.

Back Capone 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-9pts)Out of position when it got competitve but just plodded on anyway(DT+27pts)(RT+85.5pts)

17th October

 143 Stratford-An open race but Mystic Court looks a touch of value.The shorter trip and very quick ground was against it last time but these conditions should suit it better.

Project Mars looks a vulnerable market leader to me,with just 1 win from 15 starts.

Clearly Capable would be a danger if it turned up fit and well.

Back Mystic Court 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys-5th(-5pts)Nicely placed throughout but very one paced when it mattered

403 Stratford-There are negatives against the selection,not least an indifferent record fresh but its got a rating from last season,that far exceeds anything else in the field has achieved,so im prepared to take a chance at a big price.

A record of 1 from 2 in class 5 races and 2w-2p-7r on good/good to soft ground mean there some positives for a horse that gets this trip well.

Blue N Yellow has got the ratings to figure but it tends to find very little at the business end.

Back Dylanseoghan 3pts at 19.0 at Paddys -UP(-3pts)Nowhere at any point(DT-8pts)(RT+58.5pts)

16th October

 No Selections

15th October

  226 Carlisle-This is a good race and quite competitive but I cant see why Kings Temptation is the price it is.Its won 4 of its last 5 starts and is still improving on my figures.If it can run close to its latest run then it should go very close.

Big danger for me is Looksnowtlikebrian,who has won 2 out of its 3 starts at this track,however,its habit of making mistakes at its fences could hold it back.Cage of Fear is unexposed but it needs to improve again to take this.

Back Kings Temptation 7pts at 6.5 (General)-Pulled up(-7pts)Lifeless performance(RT+66.5pts)

LIfetime Performance since start (+8630.92pts)

14th October

 420 Nottingham-Last years winner Wrenthorpe,looks all teed up to run well again here.

This horse clearly comes to life at this time of year(Oct/Nov 3w-4p-8r) and loves this track(3w-1p-4r),soft ground is no concern and as long as it doesnt get involved in a pace battle,it should go very close.

The Daley Express has to be respected with conditions ideal but a record of 0w-3p-11r in this class cannot be ignored while Sherpherds Way is thriving and should run well but its up in class and the price is tight enough.

Back Wrenthorpe 7pts at 6.5(General)-Won(+37.5pts)Led all the way and won a shade cosily.(Running Total+73.5pts)

13th October

 515 Newcastle-Theres no doubt George Ridsdale and Espeegee have fair chances here but surely the value lies with Nataleena.It ran poorly last time but that was on heavy ground ,which probably didnt suit and back at a track where its won twice and in a grade where its a force(Class 5 3w-2p-8r).

My only slight niggle is the trip,as it does stay further but hopefully the jockey will be in a position to utilise that stamina.

Back Nataleena 6 pts at 9.0(General) -UP(-6pts) Very weak in the betting and never put in the race.

630 Wolverhampton-Under its ideal conditions,Beau Geste should go close here.Its won on each of its 3 starts at this track ,Hollie Doyle is 3w-1p-4r on the horse and its 3w-2p-5r in this class.Its latest run should have blown away the cobwebs after lockdown and I would have this horse more a 7/4 chance.

Traveller looks a danger after a good win last time but a win record of 4 from 42 doesnt suggest a follow up while Berkshire Philly may still have some improvement in it.

Back Beau Geste 12pts at 4.0 at bet365-4th(-12pts)Far too keen and nothing left at the finish(DT-18pts)(Running Total +36pts)

12th October

  353 Yarmouth-After a couple of below par runs,James Park Woods bounced back to form last time and produced a rating that stands out here.This horse has hit the frame everytime its encountered soft ground,so I would expect it to go very close here.

Back James Park Woods 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-18pts) Never really in the hunt.

630 Wolverhampton-Running Cloud should run well but I quite like the look of Gran Canal,who has been running at different trips but this could be ideal and after only 7 runs,this horse is still fairly unexposed.

Back Grand Canal 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-UP(-7pts) Very one paced when it mattered.

800 Wolverhampton-Although its been doing nothing of late on the track,I cannot let Sha La La La Lee go unbacked,racing back at a track where it produced its best ever rating.Its the hit the frame in all 5 runs here and returns off a 14Ibs lower mark,so if it could bounce back then everythings in its favour.

Back Sha La La La Lee 3pts at 21.0 at Bet365-Won(25/1 BOG +75pts)(DT+50pts) Got a fine ride and the horse was gutsy for a great win. (Running Total+54pts)

11th October

 25 Goodwood-Probably a race that revolves around the short priced favourite Goshen,who didnt run up to its mark on its reappearance and could also have competition up front here..with these factors in place,I feel it needs to be taken on.

The value looks to be the lightly raced Natural History,who returned from over 700 days off to win a decent race last time.Its been given plenty of time to get over that,the trip,ground and jockey are fine and after just 6 runs ,it could improve again.

Its Good To Laugh has a stamina doubt,which is not what you want on this ground and Kings Caper,although has won on soft,the rating it produced that day,wasnt a particularly good one.

Back Natural History 12pts at 4.33 (General) -Won(+40pts) A fine ride from Murphy in not chasing the strong pace.

8th October

 210 Chepstow-A few unexposed types on show here but its hard to get away from Vorashann.Ive got it well clear on ratings after its easy win last week and anything close to that should be good enough.

Back Vorashann 12pts at 4.33 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-12pts) Hammered in the betting but ran no race at all.

555 Chepstow-Amateur put its unseat on its chase debut behind it,with a solid run last time over slightly further.I would expect another improved performance from a horse that won on its only other start at this track.I have got it clear favourite and the current price looks decent value.

Royal Magic is up in class but has been running well while Antony is well handicapped but was well out of nick ,the last time we saw it

Back Amateur 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-PU(-10pts) Bang there when pulled up injured(DT-22pts)

October 7th

1245 Ffos Las

This is a very weak affair.The one that catches my eye is Goldencard,who holds one rating that would win this easily.

This horse has been extremely in and out,in its career but its best rating was achieved over trip and ground,however what interests me the most is it appears to be an Autumn horse(Oct/Nov 6runs-3wins-2places) compared to the rest of the year(14runs0wins-1place).

Its become extemely well handicapped now and if turning up in the form im hoping then it should go very close.The obvious danger is Mouseinthehouse.

Back Goldencard 14pts at 3.5 at bet365-4th(-14pts) Never going unfortunately.

20th February

And that.....is that im afraid!
My heart isnt in this anymore and lets face it,Its no any good anymore.
I use to churn out profits and good profits at that but I just cant get it going these days.
I can still find horses that are the wrong price but they dont seem to do their job on the track and
Trying to juggle this with the full time job I have means something has to give.

Thanks for following.

19th February

300 Market Rasen-
Back Castafiore 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365/Corals

430 Market Rasen-
Back Monderon 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies-Both Lost(-30pts)

FOOTBALL
Serie A
Bologna v Inter Milan-Back Inter Milan 15pts at 5/6 at Betvictor-Won(+12.45pts)
Swiss Superleague
Grasshoppers v Sion-Back Sion 15pts at 11/10 at Various Bookies-Won(+16.5pts)

Back Aarhus(Danish Premier league),Inter Milan,Lazio and Sampdoria(Serie A) in a 3pt acca(Pays 11/1)-Lost(-3pts)

18th February

225 Ascot-Against a host of exposed or out of form opponents,Chef D`Oeurve appeals here.
Its lightly raced over fences but has a progressive set of ratings to its name and it cant get soft enough for this horse plus the yard are in flying form.
Last years winner Sausalito Sunrise would be a threat if bouncing back to form but its been out of nick this season although the smaller field will help(9r or less 6w-1p-13r)
Go Conquer looks too short to me for a yard with a 4% strike rate here in recent times.
Back Chef Doeuvre 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies

240 Haydock-Call To Order is improving fast and posted a monster speed figure last time out suggesting theres a lot more to come.
Conditions are ideal for it and I expect it to go very close.
Mydor is more exposed than most but did post a solid figure last time that would put it in the mix while Eminent Poet is  up 2 grades higher,something that it hasnt been able to handle before.
Nordic Nymph has been farming weaker races than this and Dadsintrouble is quietly progressive but is too short in the market on my ratings.
Back Call To Order 12pts at 4.0 at Stan James/Betfair/Betbright

17th February

FOOTBALL
Serie A
Bologna v Inter Milan-Back Inter Milan 15pts at 5/6 at Betvictor
Swiss Superleague
Grasshoppers v Sion-Back Sion 15pts at 11/10 at Various Bookies

Back Aarhus(Danish Premier league),Inter Milan,Lazio and Sampdoria(Serie A) in a 3pt acca(Pays 11/1)

16th February

Im out tonight,so there will be no selections for tomorrow.

15th February

No Selections

14th February

320 Ayr-I respect the lightly raced Oscar`s Prospect and its a fair favourite but the 2/1 on offer is a point shorter than ive got it,so im happy to look elsewhere.
Bourne and Bescot Springs can both run well but neither have anything in hand at the weights,so I like Another Mattie.
This horse ran its best race for a while last time over shorter.
This step up in trip will suit,its well handicapped now and represents last years winning yard.
Back Another Mattie 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-7pts)

350 Ayr-No doubt in my mind they have the prices wrong here.
Casual Cavalier will im certain be supported and it wouldnt surprise me,if it ended up favourite.
It looks a good pre race trade,for those that like that.
Its very progressive and tops my ratings easily.
Its 2 from 4 in fields of 7 or less,the Jockey/Trainer combo operates at a decent 31% and its 2w-2p-5r when returning to the track within 30 days.
Mumgos Debut has had a good season but its a silly price here for a horse that is 0w-1p-5r at this track and just 1 win from 14 starts in this grade.
Trust Thomas won this last year and is overpriced while Captain Hox is 2/2 here and isnt out of it if the visor sparks it into life.
Back Casual Cavalier 15pts at 4.0 at Skybet/Bet365/Marathon Bet-2nd(-15pts)Sums it all up really! Both horses very well supported but couldnt get it done.(DT-22pts)

13th February

340 Catterick-Beeno is a lightly raced,improving hurdler who only found a subsequent winner too good for it,last time out.
A repeat of that run wins this and it must go close for a yard that have a 30% strike rate here.
Snowed In goes well here but is thoroughly exposed while Raise A Spark is in decent form but is weighted to the hilt being 12Ibs above its last winning mark.
Back Beeno 18pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-18pts)I felt it should have won.The money was there.

12th February

340 Sedgefield-A process of elimination leaves you with Wish In A Well here.
It arrives on the back of 2 good runs and with conditions ideal then it really should take a bit of beating.
Triptico used to be decent but is very lightly raced in recent times and would need to have come on a fair bit for its reappearance run to take a hand.
Sergeant Pink probably wouldnt want it heavy anyway but a record of 0w-0p-18r between February and April doesnt suggest a big run here.
What A Dream will handle the ground but isnt running to its best at present.
Detour Ahead was probably flattered by its run last time out in a novice chase and isnt reliable.
Back Wish In A Well 20pts at 2.75 at Various Bookies-4th(-20pts)Absolutely legless.Hasnt run its race at all.

Football
(Italy-Serie A)Palermo v Atalanta-Back Atalanta 15pts at 4/5 at Various bookies-Won(+12pts)
(Switzerland Superleague)St Gallen v Lausanne-Back St Gallen 15pts at 5/4 at Various bookies-Won(+18.75pts)
(England Prem Lge)Middlesbrough v Everton-Back Everton 15pts at 11/10 at Various bookies-Drew(-15pts)

Back Napoli-Juventus-Chelsea-Sion(Swiss)-Salzburg(Austria) in 5pts Acca(pays 4/1)-Lost(-5pts)(DT-9.25)
Monthly Total+28.75pts
Running Total+8670.92pts

11th February

310 Lingfield-My Target is the most likely winner with form figures of 1-1-1-2-2 over this course and distance but its the right price and wouldnt want this to get tactical.
Alfred Hutchinson is always a force around here but looks too short to me in the market.
Intransigent has to prove itself over this trip while Lunar Deighty doesnt look the horse it was.
The value lies with Captain Cat,who isnt as good as it was but its handicap mark reflects that.
Its now 10Ibs lower than its last winning mark,its 3w-1p-8r in fields of 7 or less and ran its best race yet for its new yard last time out.
Back Captain Cat 5pts at 11.0 at betway-UP(-5pts)

240 Warwick-Quite a tight race but I would have Knockgraffon shorter than its currently trading.
The trainer runs two in this but this horse looks the first string,with each of its chase runs showing a progressive rating and I would have it around the 7/4 mark.
Gino Trail is a threat(if it runs as its declared elsewhere) but is around the right price while Overtown Express is improving and if doing so again,will be thereabouts.
Back Knockgraffon 11pts at 4.3 at Betvictor/Betway/Ladbrokes-UP(-11pts)2 hopeless runs

10th February

Football
(Italy-Serie A)Palermo v Atalanta-Back Atalanta 15pts at 4/5 at Various bookies
(Switzerland Superleague)St Gallen v Lausanne-Back St Gallen 15pts at 11/10 at Various bookies
(England Prem Lge)Middlesbrough v Everton-Back Everton 15pts at 11/10 at Various bookies

Back Napoli-Juventus-Chelsea-Sion(Swiss)-Salzburg(Austria) in 5pts Acca(pays 4/1)

9th February

155 Doncaster-This looks a 2 horse race to me and I would have the front 2 in the market,much closer prices than they are.
You have to respect Pithivier,whos improving but preference is for Twojayslad.
This horse has only had 3 starts over fences and produced a career best last time when winning over 2m4f after a lengthy absence.
This extra distance should be ideal and its 2 wins from 7 starts in fields of 10 or more.
Back Twojayslad 12pts at 4.5 at Various bookies-PU(-12pts)Looked a big runner until making a terrible error 4 out.

250 Huntingdon-Protek Des Flos could be anything,coming from a big yard,with top connections but it did finish tailed off last time(Albeit over fences) when it was well backed and has questions to answer after that.I couldnt support it until it showed much more but it makes the market for others.
It has to be a surprise that Allee Bleue is available at 4/1.
It hosed up by 26 lengths last time out and is very well treated under its penalty here.
That was its first run at this trip and with a 2 from 3 record here plus a 4w-0p-6r record between January and March then it would be a shock if it wasnt involved at the finish.
Back Allee Bleue 10pts at 5.0 at Corals/Betvictor -2nd(-10pts)(DT-22pts)

8th February

No selections

7th February

No Selections

6th February

Football
Everton v Bournemouth-Tottenham v Middlesbrough-Leicester v Man Utd-Atalanta v Cagliari
Back Teams in Bold 5pts Acca(Pays 5/1)-Won(+25pts)

435 Sedgefield-Chestnut Ben holds a class edge over most of these and drops into a class 5 for the first time since 2013 and that is despite running 2 good races the last twice.
Its 4w-7p-19r in this grade and 5w-2p-21r between December and February and heads my ratings.
There was a slightly bigger price available earlier but it still looks value to me for a horse 13Ibs below its last winning mark.
Roxyfet is 4w-2p-13r at this track but has produced 5 poor runs this season.
Dunhallowcountry has ran plenty of good races recently but a win record of 1/38 says it all.
Captain Sharpe won this race last year and isnt out of it while Sky Full Of Stars is still fairly unexposed over fences but looks very short to me in the market.
Back Chestnut Ben 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-Won(+48pts*BOG)Crept into it & stuck on well.
Monthly Total+76pts
Running Total+8718.17pts

5th February

No Selections

4th February

315 Musselburgh-Drumcliff was favourite for a much more competitive race than last Saturday at Cheltenham and appears here just half a point shorter in the betting,than it was a week ago.
It should be around the 6/4 mark and looks a tremendous bet for a yard that dont come up here for the fresh air.
Optimus Prime is the main danger.
Back Drumcliff 20pts at 3.5 at various bookies-UP(-20pts)Incredibly disappointing run.

335 Sandown-It may be approaching the veteran stage of its career but I cannot see for the life of me what Loose Chips is doing at a double figure price here.
Its optimum circumstances are 3 miles around Sandown(Form Figures 3rd-1st-2nd-1st-2nd) and you can be assured this horse will give it a great go from the front as its normally a fine jumper.
Beg To Differ normally comes to life this time of year(Jan-Mar 4w-2p-7r) and is 1 from 1 around this track,so its respected although the yard continue to struggle to find top form.
Otago Trail and Irish Saint have chances while Rock The Kasbah is still unexposed over fences.
Back Loose Chips 5pts at 11.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-5pts)Ran a blinder.(DT-25pts)

Amir Desbois(320 Wetherby),Shantou Tiger(240 Musselburgh) and Dream Bolt(115 Sandown) were all close to being selections but just arent quite big enough prices.

Football
Everton v Bournemouth-Tottenham v Middlesbrough-Leicester v Man Utd-Atalanta v Cagliari
Back Teams in Bold 5pts Acca(Pays 5/1)