12th January

 430 Newcastle-Rovaniemi heads the market and looks vulnerable to me.Its down in trip again to the shortest distance its ever ran over,the trainer has just a 4% strike rate here in recent times and has no track experience,add Jamie Spencer on top and I wouldnt want to be on it.

Take it on with Ventura Lightning,who ran well here on both starts and appears here 13Ibs lower than when a close up 5th in a group race at this track, in June.

Back Ventura Lightning 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-Won(+66pts*BOG)Lifted home by Tony Hamilton with the fav toiling back in third.Nice drift too.

500 Newcastle-Venturous looks to have a fair bit going for it here.

Its in form,the jockey is 1/1 on it while its last 3 starts at this track read 1st-2nd-1st.

Its 3w-0p-6r in fields of 7 or less and is a proven winner in the grade.

Ornate would worry me if it got a solo upfront but Royal Birth is probably the biggest danger.

Back Venturous 16pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Perfect pace scenario and perfect ride.

310 Wetherby-This is a decent race for the grade but Commit Or Quit looks the value to me,despite coming down last time.

It posted its best rating over course and distance and is still fairly unexposed over fences.

Little Red Lion is progressive and respected while Seemingly So has a rating from last season that puts it bang there.

Ecossais is up in class and will need to find more.

Back Commit Or Quit 7pts at 6.5 at Betvictor/Skybet-2nd(-7pts)Backed into 10/3 and ran a great race.Definitely capable of winning again.(DT+95pts)

Monthly Total+81.5pts

Running Total+305.25pts

11th January

 220 Hereford-Volcano looks like it needs further than this particularly after a 11Ib rise for winning last time.

Orrisdale is lightly raced but not sure the drop in trip will suit whilst it looks the perfect trip for Flagrant Delitiep.

This horse has only had 3 runs over fences and each has seen it improve.It likes to sit handy which suits around this track,interestingly the jockey has only ridden in 9 races here in the last 2 years and won on 4 of them.

Back Flagrant Delitiep 20pts at 2.875-Won(+37.5pts)Great round of jumping throughout.

615 Wolverhampton-Lihou drops in grade and its last 4 runs in this grade read 1st-2nd-3rd-1st.

Its been in good form and should run well.

Verne Castle is handicapped to win and ran well 7 days ago but its 2 runs at this track saw it run below par.

Back Lihou 13pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+39pts)A much needed double.(DT+76.5pts)

10th January

 240 Exeter-Eclair Surf produced a rating on its second chase start ,last time that suggests its got around 10Ibs in hand,if it runs its race.

Its encouraging its won here over hurdles and this lightly raced horse should have plenty more to come.

Theres no doubt Venitia Williams will have Brianstorm ,turning up fit and well but this horse was pretty inconsistent the last time we saw it while Francky Du Berlais is consistent but clearly beatable.

Flinck represents last years winning stable and it could improve.

Back Eclair Surf  12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-12pts)In front 3 out,looked like it didnt get home.Very disappointing that it didnt.

Monthly total -90pts

Running Total+133.75pts

9 January

 345 Wincanton-Its yet to win but Jackson Hill made a good start to its chasing career,when racing over further and this drop in trip will suit.

It looks value as there should be a decent pace to run at.

Molineaux generally runs its race and its ratings make it the one to beat.

Back Jackson Hill 5pts at 13.0 at 888sport-Won(+60pts)Very odd race but they went off very hard and the extra stamina came into play.

357 Kempton-Malaya hasnt run in a class 3 handicap for 2 years and should appreciate the drop in grade.

The booking of top claimer Kevin Brogan catches my eye and the 7Ibs off could be vital.

Chti Balko posted a good rating last time and it would have a great chance on that but it seems to like Heavy ground/Haydock combination and is 0w-0p-3r going right handed.

Breffniboy continues to defy the handicapper but surely is up against it here so Fransham looks the main danger.

Back Malaya 8pts at 5.5 at Hills-UP(-8pts)Travelled into it but very one paced when it mattered.

350 Chepstow-Recently,Whiteoak Fleur`s form has moved up a level,with it posted very progressive figures the last twice.

That last run suggests its still got a fair bit in hand and with lots of form over further.You would hope to see have made plenty of use of.

There has been money for handicap debutant Poniente but if the selection runs its race then will need to improve.

Back Whiteoak Fleur 20pts at 2.75 at Bet365/Boylesports-UP(-20pts)Jumped violently right which ruined any chance.

105 Lingfield-One of the unexposed horses may prove too strong but ElGhazwani`s record of 6 wins from 7 starts over this course and distance cannot be ignored.

It looks the value to me with Make it Rain heading the dangers

Back El Ghazwani 7pts at 6.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-7pts)Very weak in the betting and offered nothing(DT+25pts)

8th January

 1220 Lingfield-Opportunites are very thin on the ground at the moment with all the abandonments but this jumpers bumpers looks a decent opportunity for Mister Burbidge.

It has a significant edge in that it races around this trip regularly in flat races and goes well on this surface.its only finished out of the first 3 once in its last 7 runs here.

Theres enough juice in its price to warrant an interest.

If it was a jumps race then Rose Of Aghaboe would go very well but the surface is an unknown,its stallion`s progeny are 0 from 24 on polytrack.

Back Mister Burbidge 16pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-16pts)Jockey got in a complete mess.Absolutely terrible start to the year.

7th January

 258 Ffos Las-Miss Jeanne Moon has only had 5 runs and if handling the ground then it should go close here.

Its gradually improving and has a bit in hand on my ratings.

Memphis Bell was in great form last time we saw it ,however its now back from a break and although track and ground hold no fears for it,my figures suggest it needs to improve again.

Lily The Pink is now 12Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable.

Back Miss Jeanne Moon 3pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies

328 Ffos Las-BallyBreen has an interesting profile.

It may be its not the same animal but is 0w-0p-8r during October to December,so some below par runs this season could be forgiven while its 4w-2p-7r during January and February.

Its 3 from 8 on heavy ground and is 4 from 7 around this trip ,so conditions are fine and a record of 3w-1p-7r in fields of 10 runners or more suggests a better run can be expected.

Don Herbager is an obvious danger.

Back BallyBreen 1pt at 19.0 at Paddys/Betfair-Meeting Abandoned

4th January

 155 Fakenham-This season,Miss Zip appears to have been either running over too far,too higher class or going the wrong way round.

So back at its best trip,in a class where its won its only race over fences and is also going back left handed.

The trainer has a 33% strike rate here and it could hold a class edge.

Episode ran well last time over this course and distance but its inconsistent,so it remains to be seen if it can back that up and similar comments apply to Achy Breaky Heart.

Back Miss Zip 10pts at 5.0 at Hills-Pulled UP(-10pts)And on it goes...sounding like a broken record,backed into 7/4 but made a bad error early on and was pulled up.

Monthly Total-87pts

Running Total+136.75pts

3rd January

 1235 Southwell-Social City is on a roll after winning its last four races,including its last two here.

Track form is always so vital and this progressive animal can go in again.

Quel Destin heads the market,as it could be decently handicapped based on its hurdling exploits,however no fibresand form and with a sire that isnt prolific here either(6% strikerate).

The prices look the wrong way round to me.

Back Social City 5pts at 2.75 at William Hill.-UP(-20pts)Probably one race too many for this horse.Backed into evens as well but well below par.

2nd January

 205 Ayr-Evander is progressive and could be too good but it may get taken on upfront and the lack of heavy ground form would make me wary.

Flowery should go well although its rising up the weights without winning while Clan Legend is now off a career high mark at the age of 11.

Jonniesofa has conditions in his favour and wont be far away but at a price,I think Charmant is value here.

It drops 2 grades after contesting two grade 1`s this season ,Brian Hughes is 4 from 9  on it,its 3w-0p-6r in class 3 races and its 1/1 over these fences and its back on itd last winning mark,so a return to form would not be a massive surprise.

Back Charmant 1pt at 9.0 at Bet365/888sport-Meeting Abandoned

225 Sandown-I would definitey have the prices of Metier and Galice Macalo closer together and the latter looks value to me.

Both are progressive but I like the proven course and class form of Galice Macalo.

Back Galice Macalo 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-UP(-13pts)Far too keen and dropped away.

335 Sandown-Guard Your Dreams makes its handicap debut and although its progressive,it has very little in hand of its mark on my ratings and im keen to take it on.

Friend Or Foe has gone up 13Ibs for winning last time plus its up in class and it looks vulnerable.

The Pink`n looks better on good ground and its 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so this looks a fair opportunity for Monsieur Lecoq.

Its been running in France or over fences or in a higher grade but its form figures in this class on soft ground and they read 1st-1st,including this race 2 years ago.

Its last run in handicap company ,it came 2nd to a horse that is now rated 22Ibs higher.

It must go close.

Back Monsieur Lecoq 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-3rd(-12pts)Never got involved.

410 Wolverhampton-Fair Star has only had 4 runs and each run has seen it progress on my ratings.

Its only had 1 run over this trip and I would have it around the 6/4 mark.

Lord Of The Alps is also lightly raced but has no track form and im surprised to see a claimer booked.

Back Fair Star 16pts at 3.25 Paddy/Betvictor-2nd(-16pts)

540 Wolverhampton-So much deadwood in this and I like the class dropper Michelle Strogoff.

Its a triple course winner and has only ever had 1 run in this grade and is now 22Ibs lower than its last winning mark.With a nice draw to boot,if it can just run its race then it should take this.

Ascot Week is 3w-1p-7r in this grade but is 0w-0p-9r around this trip.Revolutionary Man has been in decent form but it may be better at shorter and it ran a shocker on its only start here.

Back Michelle Strogoff 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-10pts)Another day of well  acked horses faiing to deliver.(DT-51pts)

1st January

 120 Musselburgh-After 2 spins over the big obstacles,it looks like that plan has been shelved for the time being for Elf De Re and it reverts back to hurdles where it is still lightly raced and looked progressive,the last time we saw it over them.

This horse likes to handy which is vital around here and with the trainers horses running well,it looks a bit overpriced.

Sebastopol drops in class and rates an obvious danger if it stays the extra distance.

Anything Paul Nicholls sends up here has to be noted and Accomplice is unexposed but doesnt look well handicapped on my figures.

Back Elf De Re 6pts at 8.0 at Hills/Bet365-UP(-6pts)

230 Musseburgh-Brotherly Company to my eye,looks like it needs a trip,on decent ground and on a sharp track.It gets all this here and I expect it to run very well.

Its finished 1st and 2nd in both chase starts here and has only had 6 runs for its current trainer,so there could be more to come.

Oscar Ceremony is in good form and rates the main danger but is 0w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or more.

Eagle Ridge won last time but is 0w-2p-12r in this class,so look vulnerable while Shanroe Street hasnt won for nearly 3 years.

Back Brotherly Company 9pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Betvictor/Bet365-Non Runner(DT-6pts)

31st December

 100 Lingfield-Last years winner of this race,Furzig ,turn up again in good form and drops in class.

This held up performer should have a good pace to aim at and the young jockey has ridden 6 winners from her last 19 rides.It has got 2 course wins to its name and it is still unexposed at this trip after just 4 runs.

It should be clear favourite.

The Trader at its best will be a big danger but it doesnt have any course experience and I always prefer horses that are proven on the surface here.

Oslo ran well last time but does have to prove its stamina and it ran poorly on its only start here.

Back Furzig 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts)Finished the year with a winner and given an absolute peach from a very promising young jockey.

120 Warwick-Templier ran like its SP suggested on its seasonal debut 39 days ago but it has a desperate record fresh and if it can return to the form of late last season then its a big player here.

Its 2w-2p-7r during December and January and its only had one start in this class over fences.

Clondaw Storm is very inconsistent but ran well last time ,a record of 0w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or more suggests caution while Khairagash has been running decent but is defintely beatable.

Light Of Flicker is unexposed and rates the danger.

Back Templier 5pts at 10.0 at Bet365/888sport-5th(-5pts)Drifted badly out to 33/1 but ran ok.(DT+37pts)

Monthly Total+61.50pts

Running Total+223.75pts

30th December

 No Selections today

29th December

 1220 Newbury-Dropped back in trip last time,Mystc Dreamer produced its best rating to date and finished in front of a horse that came out and won next time out.

The jockey has a 22% strike rate for the yard and this looks overpriced.

Panic Attack was below par last time but would hold chances on its previous run ,it does look a little short to me.

Back Mystic Dreamer 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Disappointing finish after looking a big threat.

345 Newbury-King D`Argent made a good impression on its chasing debut last time and that rating stands out here.If it can jump and travel like it did that day then it will be tough to peg back.

Exelerator Express looks the main danger to me after two solid runs over fences.

Back King D`Argent 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Fell(-16pts)Still in the lead when it made a big error and came down.(DT-25pts)

28th December

 435 Newcastle-Its obvious to see why Sword Spirit heads the market,being a lightly raced 3yo from a top yard and it may well be good enough but it looks incredibly short and I`m keen to take it on.

Jewel Maker and Corked are two consistent horses but the latter is 0/25 at this trip and the former is 8Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

At a big price,I think Paddyplex can go well.Its always competitive in class 5 races but Ive got one of its best ratings when it raced over this course and distance for the only time.

It has since been running over longer trips but with a lack of pace possible and a promising young claimer booked to ride,this horse could make them all go from the front.

Back Paddyplex 3pts at 15.0 at Bet365-UP(-3pts)

27th December

 105 Chepstow-You can pick holes in all of these but the fact that Venetia Williams has won 5 of the last 8 runnings leads me to believe,a much better run from class dropper Aso,is expected here.

This horse actually won this 4 years ago and drops back into a class 2 for the first time since November 2018.It wants this ground and the small field.

Its form figures in Class 2 races with 7 runners or less read 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.

Moonlighter took a heavy fall last time out and is now 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable,as does Esprit Du Large who has never managed to win a handicap.

Tiquer won this last and will go well if fit but its never won off a mark this high and at 12,it would be surprising if its improving.

My Way could appreciate the big drop in trip but it is 1/20 and fairly unreliable.

Back Aso 2pts at 6.0 at 888sport-Non Runner

210 Wetherby-Slowly but surely,Marracudja has been finding its form and becoming better handicapped.

Its been facing some very tough tasks and this surely has been its target,as it won this last year and went down by a nose the year before.Those were its only 2 starts around this track.

The trainer also won this race in 2016 and operates at a 29% strike rate around here.

Some Reign goes well around here but is up in grade,so the 2 progressive horses,First Flow and Nuts Well are the biggest dangers.

Back Marracudja 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-(-7pts)Went too hard in front and fell away 2 out.

245 Wetherby-The Delray Munky is respected,as its unexposed and produced its best rating over fences last time but it looks a little short to me as No No Juliet should head the market.

This is 2 grades lower than when it produced the best rating in the race last time,only weakening at the last,so this furlong shorter trip should suit and its best in December(2w-2p-5r) and for a trainer with a 23% strike rate here.

Im not certain this trip on soft ground is what Kalahari Queen wants although it did win a 3 runner event on its only visit here.

Back No No Juliet 14pts at 3.5 at various Bookies-Pulled UP(-14pts)ground was barely raceable with only one finishing.(DT-21pts)

26th December

 205 Wetherby-A fascinating race but what strikes me is the lack of proven stamina amongst the market leaders.

The one exception is Snow Leopardess,who looks a real progressive staying chaser.This horse has only had 3 goes over fences and has improved with each start and with the last 7 winners of this race being aged 7 or 8 then this horse fits the bill perfectly.

Spiritofthegames is consistent but hasnt raced past 2m4f and hasnt won for over 2 years.

Camelo is probably the main danger if it sees out the extra yardage while The Dutchan will stay but probably wants it bottomless.

Back Snow Leopardess 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-2nd(-9pts)Ran really well and just got done.

134 Wincanton-Nearly Perfect is still lightly raced over fences and looks the one to beat here.

Its posted 2 ratings since going chasing that suggest its still well ahead of its mark and with it winning its only race over course and distance and the trainer having a 22% strike rate here then it appears to have everything going for it.

Sizing Cusimano seems to flatter to deceive more often than not and is 0w-0p-6r in this grade.

I respect Smugglers Blues but it is up in class,so Normandy Soldier looks the danger ,after posting a fair rating on its chase debut and the extra yardage should suit.

Back Nearly Perfect 18pts at 3.25 at Skybet/Betvictor-Won(+40.50pts)Superb round of jumping won the day.

115 Kempton-Although its slightly more exposed than many here,I cannot let Hold The Note go unbacked.This is a drop in class and trip for it.Its best rating was achieved last March in a grade 1 handicap at the Cheltenham Festival,over this trip and off a 5Ibs higher rating.

If it can lay up with them around the easier track then it could outstay the rest for a trainer whos had a winner and 2 seconds in his last 4 runners in this race.

Alnadam is improving and is 2w-1p-4r on right handed tracks and should go well but there cannot be many tracks where Dan Skelton operates at a 3% strike rate.

Mr One More is unexposed but is up in trip and the second run back after a long layoff can often see a decline.

Getareason is gradually immproving and should be on the premises.

Back Hold The Note 5pts at 8.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Went too fast and tailed off(DT+26.5pts)

Monthly Total+73.50pts

Running Total+235.75pts

22nd December

105 Huntingdon-This step up in trip looks sure to suit Mister Murchan,after two very good runs so far over fences,I would expect even more now its over a trip that it won at over hurdles.

It wants soft ground and with both its career wins coming in this grade then this unexposed chaser should be more around the 13/8 mark.

Wakiki Waves is 5/10 in this grade,so has to be respected but its 0/2 around here and I just think this trip on soft ground will be far enough for it.I fancied Eclair De Guye last time out but it ran a shocker,its got to bounce back from that and is 0w-2p-12r in fields of 8 or more,so thats a big negative.

Pemberley is unexposed for a trainer who does well here but needs to improve while Strong Resemblance is 3/3 around here,for a yard going well,its greatly respected but its been off for over 400 days and is difficult to know what to expect.

Back Mister Murchan 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-14pts)Hit too many fences 

Monthly Total+42.25pts

Running Total+209.25pts

 Racing takes a break now,so will be back on Boxing Day

Merry Xmas

21st December

 No Selections Today

20th December

 115 Fakenham-Despite an ordinary win record,Jonjoela`s form has become consistent and progressive since moving to the Alex Hales Yard.

Its got Fakenham form which is vital around here and based on my ratings,its still got a few pounds up its sleeve.It should be up there from the start and that normally suits around here.

Made For You could improve for the longer trip but it needs to while Todd has been a bit out of nick this season,however it returns to a track it goes very well at ,so a good run wouldnt be a surprise.

Perfect Moment is 2 from 4 here and won this last year,it has to be respected but is racing off a mark 10Ibs higher than that win.

Back Jonjoela 9pts at 5.0 at Betfair/Paddys/Betfred-UP(-9pts)Backed into 7/4 but never looked comfortable.Winners last two runs were PP.

19th December

 1150 Haydock-Lots of pace in this and that will suit the hold up horse Tegerek.This horse is consistent and drops 2 grades after running really well last time in a class 1 at Cheltenham.

It heads my ratings and the trainer boasts a 31% strike rate here in the last 2 years.

The clear danger for me Chti Balko,who gets its ideal conditions here and has won around the track twice.However it could be taken on up front and the trainer is 0/49 in recent times here.

Back Tegerek 18pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-Non Runner

130 Haydock-You can pick holes in all of these but theres enough potential in Captain Moirette for it to take care of these.

Although it ran below par on its seasonal debut,it was a 10/1 shot in a 5 runner field and it has a strong profile that suggests it can get back on track here. Its 1/1 on heavy and 2/2 at this track ,so im expecting a big run here.

Frero Banbou ran well last time and the slight drop in trip will help,it looks the danger.

Back Captain Moirette 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-Pulled Up(-13pts)Never going.Doesnt look a chaser.

225 Ascot-Paisley Park has to be respected here but it lacks the upside of Thyme Hill,who beat it last time.

This horse is seriously progressive and is defintely still on the upgrade.Its got a rating from last season that is miles better than any of this field have achieved.

Main Fact keeps winning but faces a tough task here on my figures while Roksana wont be far away.

Back Thyme Hill 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-2nd(-16pts)Tough to watch as was produced perfectly at the last but Paisley Park produced a very strong burst to run it down 10 yards from the line.(DT-29pts)

18th December

 145 Uttoxeter-Theres no doubt Kilbrew Lad looks still nicely handicapped despite its latest win but the fact its never raced on anything worse than good to soft ,means there has to be a big question mark over its ability to handle very soft ground especially at a track where it can get very testing.

Destin D`Ajonic ran one of its better races last time but it looks a weak finisher to me and on my ratings,its got to improve.

I am surprised Duhallow Lad isnt favourite,Its top rated and this is its trip,ground and class.

Its 2w-1p-6r in fields of 7 or less and all its career wins have come on left handed tracks.

Back Duhallow Lad 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies -Won(+36pts)A lovely ride from Tom O`Brien,sitting off a ferocious pace.The fav was pulled up and never going.

17th December

 205 Exeter-Brinkley could be ahead of its mark,being unexposed from a top stable but surely course specialist Trans Express should be shorter than it is.

This horse has won the last 3 runnings of this race and returned to form last time,posting a very good rating in the process.Its possible one of the more lightly raced horses could be too good but this horse is too well handicapped to ignore.

Back Trans Express 9pts at 6.0 Various Bookies-Won(+45pts)Favourite disappointed but this was a tough performance under a well judged ride.

315 Exeter-Tudors Treasure appears to have a very in and out profile but put him at Exeter and over 2m3f then so far,its prove unbeatable, with all 3 runs resulting in victories.

Added to that its form figures in class 5 races over fences,read 1st-2nd-1st and I would expect a big run.

Blue Monday has done nothing so far this season but the return to soft ground will help and it does have the ratings to figure.

Bogoss Du Perret looks progressive and if it handles the softer ground then it wont be far away.

Back Tudors Treasure 7pts at 7.0 at Skybet/Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Ran a fine race under a big weight.(DT+38pts)

Monthly Total+62.25

Running Total+225.25

16th December

 255 Newbury-255 Newbury-This doesnt look the strongest class 3 ive ever seen.

Atlantic Storm looks a vulnerable favourite to me,its better on sharper tracks than this and is 0w-0p-8r on ground worse than good to soft plus its also above its last winning mark.

Finnegans Garden has been in great from but it may need the ground bottomless and tends to be best at Lingfield while Fairway Freddy is better going right handed and on better ground.

DoitfortheVillage has chances,as its dropped in class but I like Sao,I wouldnt normally be looking at a horse that has won at Hexham ,for a race at this track but that rating stands out and it could be that 2 miles on very soft ground,are exactly what it wants.

Back Sao 14pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies(Won+38.50pts)Looks an absolute beast and won easily.

230 Ludlow-If a change of scenery does the trick then Coup De Pinceau looks decent value here.

It boasts form figures of 5th-1st-1st at this track and in a race where those at the top of the market have questions to answer stamina wise then it looks worth a punt as it does stay well.

Buster Edwards has all the ratings to win this but it seems to like coming 2nd and im not sure 3 miles on soft ground is ideal.Earlofthecotswolds is still lightly raced but has to prove it wants this far.

Another Venture was in good form last time we saw it but could hardly be descibed as well handicapped.

Back Coup De Pinceau 1pt at 21.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-3pts)Ran really well.(DT+35.50pts)

Monthly Total+25.75

Running Total+187.25pts

15th December

 510 Wolverhampton-Theres  a couple of angles i like with The Met in this.This is its first run for a new yard and it returns to a track where its won both its starts.

Its shown enough in 6 starts this season on turf that its in form but this track clearly suits it best.

Athmad is easily the biggest danger,as it boasts form figures of 1-1-4-1 around here .

Back The Met 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Hills-UP(-8pts)Solid in the market and looked a big threat 2f out but flattened out.

255 Catterick-Out on the Tear posted a rating that suggests its nicely handicapped ,on its first run over fences.If it can build on that then it should run well.I would definitely have it shorter.

Cybalko is on a roll but didnt look to have a lot in hand last time while Outcrop may want better ground than this.

Cesar Collonges and Relkadam have both been going okay but dont find winning easy,so the biggest danger may be course specialist Reverant Cust,who can go well fresh and makes its debut for a new yard.

Back Out On A Tear 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+40.5pts)Big Punt into 15/8 and won easy.(DT+32.5pts)

14th December

 145 Ayr-Since joining Darragh Bourke,Evita Du Mesnil`s form has been transformed and it still looks on a fair mark to me here.

This hold up performer should have a decent pace to run at and with doubts around others,it really should be heading the market.

Foxey is slowly progressing and makes its handicap debut but on my figures,this mark is no easy task while Turtle Wars ran fairly well last time but may not be the strongest stayer.

Dora De Janeiro gets back on soft ground for the first time in a while and it may prove the biggest danger.

Back Evita Du Mesnil 11pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor-Pulled Up(-11pts)Just moving into it before a terrible mistake 2 out ,saw it pulled up.

12th December

 515 Wolverhampton-It is a little in and out but Blazon has only dropped into a class 6 like this, once in its career and it won that plus its only ran over this course and distance once before and it also won that,so it appeals as a bit of value in a pretty open heat.

Lleyton is an infrequent winner,so may struggle to follow up its lastest victory,so the biggest dangers look to be the horses,fit from the jumps,Fleur Irlandaise and Lonimoss Bareliere.

Back Blazon 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365

335 Cheltenham-Soft ground would be a worry for The White Mouse and its taking a fair chunk of the market.Aggy With It makes its handicap debut here but it looks to be on a tough mark and is unproven on soft.

I like Miah Grace,who posted a career best rating last time,on its first run around this trip.If its stamina holds up on the stiff finish then it should go very close.

Back Miah Grace 8pts at 5.5 at Skybet

1247 Bangor-Jabulani looks a prime candidate to `bounce ` on its second start after a long layoff and it looks very short to me.

Innisfree Lad has been in fine form but this is a step up in class for it and the same can be said for Mr Palmtree ,so I like Sandy Boy,who ran a fine race on its chase debut ,posting the best rating in this race and should be fine on the softer ground.

The trainer has a 27% strike rate here with the promising young jockey also 24% for the yard.

Back Sandy Boy 8pts at 5.5 at Betfair/Paddy/Betvictor-(DT-22pts)All got stuffed

13th December

 230 Southwell-The drop in trip looks an interesting move for Shantung here,this horse has generally been running well but weakening late on,so dropping back makes sense and hopefully the jockey will bounce it out and use its stamina.The trainer is an encouraging 30% with her runners here.

Drewmain Legend has only won in class 5 over hurdles,so going up 2 grades here wont be easy.

Nordician Blue doesnt look very well handicapped to me although it is lightly raced while Maskada will appreciate the drop back in trip and could be the main danger.

Back Shantung 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-4th(8pts)Backed into 6/4 but never got into it.

1255 Southwell-Debden Bank is lightly raced and performed well on just its second start over fences.

That race has worked out well and that rating gives it a strong chance here.

Joly Maker is just 2 from 27 in its career and races here 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark and it must be vulnerable.As does Shady Oaks who is 0 from 15 over fences.

Massini Man looks the main danger,after a decent run last time.

Back Debden Bank 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Jumped really well and won cosily.(DT+32pts)

Monthly Total-32pts

Running Total+130.25pts

11th December

 1155 Doncaster-Some lightly raced types on show but the speed figure Xcitations posted last time stands out and it surely should be shorter in the betting than it is.

Its only had 7 runs itself and the drop back to 2 miles on decent ground,did the trick last time.

Hooper represents a top yard but has been beaten at odds on the last twice,so the biggest danger could be Hazaar.

Back Xcitations 7pts at 6.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)Well backed but no show again

150 Cheltenham-On its best form,Kalashnikov wins this and after an encouraging reappearance run over a longer distance and over hurdles,it should be cherry ripe for this.

This horse is 7w-3p-10r going left handed and looks to hold a class edge on my ratings.

Top Notch is a dual winner of this but this looks a better renewal while Mister Fisher would hold chances as its better in a small field(9r- 4w-1p-5r) but did pull up on its seasonal debut.

Back Kalashnikov 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-8pts)Briefly hit the front after the last but got outstayed or outbattled.(DT-15pts)

10th December

 302 Warwick-Commit or Quit is gradually progressing since being sent over fences and it looks a fair price to follow up its latest victory.

Trip and ground are ideal and its clear top rated for me.

Kilpin steps up in trip and in class,not normally the best combination but it is unexposed so could improve.

Volcano and Vango De Vaige are also lightly raced over fences and are respected.

Back Commit or Quit 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-Fell(-8pts)Still there when fell 5 out

1215 Newcastle-Seemingly So has been off since February but returns after just one run over fences and that run suggests,its nicely handicapped here.

The trainer has been in decent form and has a 29% strike rate here and if this horse turns up fit and well then it should go very close.

Ard Chros doesnt look well handicapped to me and stamina may be an issue while last years winner Capard King is respected but needs to step up on its reappearance run.

Scoop The Pot cant be relied upon to back up its last run while Speak of the Devil is more of a force in lower classes than this.

Back Seemingly So 14pts at 3.5 at Betfair/Paddys -2nd(-14pts)

9th December

 225 Hexham-If Golan Cloud stays then it should win this.It bumped into a very well handicapped horse last time(Followed up since) and that rating stands out here.

The trainer has had a decent season and I know,the jockey will get it done if the horse is good enough.

Cudgel won over fences last time and likes it here but it has very little in hand over hurdles,on my ratings.

Back Golan Cloud 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-12pts)This race sums everything up recently.Hammered into 6/5 and touched 1.11 in running but weakened after the last.

8th December

 1245 Uttoxeter-This is a decent race for the grade and it features some lightly raced types,who could improve to take this,however I think Temple Man is a touch of value.

This horse has been quite lightly raced itself and drops back to its best distance(2m 2w-1p-6r) (2m1+ 0w-3p-6r),it tends to travel strongly in its races and needs to be delivered fairly late,so hopefully a decent pace will help that.

It tops my ratings and although handicap debutants Song of the Hunter and Courtland may improve past it,its too big a price.

Fort De L`Ocean looks far too short to me while Pop The Cork is respected but needs to find more.

Back Temple Man 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-UP(-6pts)Nicely backed but a surprising change of tactics and an awful run.

645 Southwell-Sophar Sogood finshed behind Loch Ness Monster last time over course and distance but they are grounds for believing it can turn the tables here.

The latters profile suggests it may struggle to repeat that run(just 2 from 23 in its career) but also the changing around of jockeys could make it difference,with Luke Morris taking over from a young apprentice.

The selections form figures at this track read 1st-1st-2nd and I can see Morris sending this horse on from some way out and it may be tough to catch.

On last seasons form Cold Harbour would have a strong chance but its been a few pounds below that level so far.Thawry is still 11Ibs above its last winning mark,this trip looks too short for Shine Baby Shine and is 0w-1p-9r in this grade.

Back Sophar Sogood 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-4th(-15pts)Never going(DT-21pts)