1st August

Day off today.
Decent finish to the month when nearly getting a full house on the football.
Back tomorrow.

31st July

255 Market Rasen-Gentleman Moore showed very little over hurdles but burst into life when making its chase debut,two starts back.It then attempted to follow that up but a mess at the start saw the jockey get unseated and that can be ignored.
Although this is a decent race and a rise in class from its win,my ratings and speed figures suggest it can cope and im surprised at the prices on offer.
Play The Ace has been put in short and I can see its chance but its price is pretty tight.
Cruchain is 13 years old and although in decent form,I cant see it winning this.
Gold Ingot is down in class but the price look right for that while Theatre Mill is unexposed over this trip and could go well but is another thats shorter than ive got it.
Back Gentleman Moore 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Money was there but this was a poor run.

Football
Just a reminder that this evening and in the early hours of tomorrow,will see the football that was posted on Thursday,taking place.

(MLS)
Kansas City to beat Portland 15pts at 5/6 at various bookies-Won 1-0(+12.45pts)
Montreal to beat DC United 10pts at 2/1 at various bookies-Drew 1-1(-10pts)
Toronto to beat Columbus 15pts at Evens at various bookies-Won3-0(+15pts)
3pts Treble-Lost(-3pts)(DT+8.47pts)
Monthly Total+234.52
Running Total+8656.47pts

30th July

515 Doncaster-A race that lies between the 2 improving horses,Justice Lady and Laila Honiwillow.
I like the latter,as its top of my ratings,looks progressive and is proven over trip and ground.
The current favourite,Justice Lady,is also going the right way but has to prove itself over this trip and I feel the prices are the wrong way round.
Also the selection is 1 from 1 at this track.
Back Laila Honiwillow 18pts at 3.0 at Totesport/Betfred-Won(+36pts)In a great position throughout and won cosily.

215 Newmarket-Abingdon is clearly well regarded and is improving but on what its done so far,I cant have it in front of Lady Of Camelot here.
John Gosden`s filly is improving after just 3 starts and represents the yard that won this race last season.Its clear top rated on my figures.
Fireglow is 2 from 3 in listed races but hasnt ran over more than 10 furlongs,so this trip is an unknown.
Back Lady Of Camelot 12pts at 4.0 at bet365-UP(-12pts)Loomed up 2f out and looked the winner but finished really tamely.Very Disappointing!

435 Newmarket-Squats has a fair chance but is a tight enough price considering the jockey is just 1/30 for this yard.
Above N Beyond possibly wants the ground softer and ran a poor race last time,it does however have chances on its previous runs and this is a drop in class.
Highland Colori hasnt won on the turf since 2013 but I like Windfast,who showed decent form last time out,on just its second run of the season.
Its 1w-1p-3r in this grade,2w-3p-9r on galloping tracks like this and is 2w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or less.
If it can match last seasons best efforts then it will go very close.
Back Windfast 7pts at 7.0 at Corals-3rd(-7pts)Ran a good race but a strange result.(+17pts)
Monthly Total+226.05pts
Running Total+8648pts

29th July

735 Newmarket-Bunbury won last time but looks an awful price at the head of the market.Down in trip and up in class and still needs to find a few pounds according to my figures.
It creates some value elsewhere and I like Baltic Brave.
This horse hasnt got a great record but when it has won,its always been when returned to the track within 28 days like today.
Its record on the July Course at Newmarket in Class 4 races reads 2-2-2-1-2 and its run here a week ago makes it the one beat on my figures.
Alnashama is a danger but the drop in trip may not suit while He`s My Boy runs well here(2 course wins) and represents a yard in great form,this is a rise in grade and its not handled that yet(Class 4 0w-0p-4r)
The one I worry about is Athletic,who is extremely well handicapped now and has good course form to its name.This is a drop in grade and gets a promising young claimer onboard for the first time.
Im not tipping it but I wouldnt put anyone off a saver on it.
Back Baltic Brave 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Bit of a laboured performance.Never looked like winning.

815 Bath-Stosur is a fairly limited filly but after winning this race this last 2 seasons,if its ever going to be revved up ,it will be tonight.
Its nicely handicapped now off a mark 8Ibs below its last winning mark and clearly runs this track well.Its last run here(3 starts back) saw it finish behind 2 horses that have won since and I like the booking of Luke Morris.
Red Tea is clearly the one to beat,its slowly progressing and consistent but as always with me,its price related and this is short enough.
Back Stosur 10pts at 5.0 at Hills-3rd(-10pts)Ran a good race but found the 3yo`s too good(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total+209.05pts
Overall Total+8631pts

28th July

310 Goodwood-This race historically has thrown up a host of multiple winners(Double Trigger,Yeats,Further Flight to name but three) and Big Orange can join them,after treading the same path to its victory in this race last year.
Its top my figures and is 3w-1p-7r in Group 2 races while trainer Michael Bell continues in decent form.
Pallasator,Sheikzayedroad and Curbyourenthusiasm head the dangers.
Sword Fighter is prominent in the market but 3yos dont do great in this race and this horse has a stone to find on my ratings.
Back Big Orange 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+40pts)If only every horse was as tough as this horse.An absolute lion in front!

715 Ffos Las-This looks to lie between the two unexposed horses here and as always,its the price that decides the call.
Swashbuckle has shown steady improvement in each of its 3 career runs to date and makes its handicap debut off,what looks a decent mark.
Interestingly,it went off fav on its debut and the trainer has a 23% strike rate here.
Ravens Quest won well last time out and is the clear danger,its up in trip but that should suit.
Pure Fantasy represent a yard going well and who do well here but it looks short enough after a poor run last time and possible issues on the ground.
Back Swashbuckle 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365/betvictor-Won(+42pts)Stayed on well under a fine ride.Another Great Day! (DT+82pts)
Monthly Total+228.05pts
Running Total+8650pts

Football 
(MLS)
Kansas City to beat Portland 15pts at 5/6 at various bookies
Montreal to beat DC United 10pts at 2/1 at various bookies
Toronto to beat Columbus 15pts at Evens at various bookies
3pts Treble

28th July

310 Goodwood-This race historically has thrown up a host of multiple winners(Double Trigger,Yeats,Further Flight to name but three) and Big Orange can join them,after treading the same path to its victory in this race last year.
Its top my figures and is 3w-1p-7r in Group 2 races while trainer Michael Bell continues in decent form.
Pallasator,Sheikzayedroad and Curbyourenthusiasm head the dangers.
Sword Fighter is prominent in the market but 3yos dont do great in this race and this horse has a stone to find on my ratings.
Back Big Orange 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+40pts)If only every horse was as tough as this horse.An absolute lion in front!

715 Ffos Las-This looks to lie between the two unexposed horses here and as always,its the price that decides the call.
Swashbuckle has shown steady improvement in each of its 3 career runs to date and makes its handicap debut off,what looks a decent mark.
Interestingly,it went off fav on its debut and the trainer has a 23% strike rate here.
Ravens Quest won well last time out and is the clear danger,its up in trip but that should suit.
Pure Fantasy represent a yard going well and who do well here but it looks short enough after a poor run last time and possible issues on the ground.
Back Swashbuckle 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365/betvictor

Football 
(MLS)
Kansas City to beat Portland 15pts at 5/6 at various bookies
Montreal to beat DC United 10pts at 2/1 at various bookies
Toronto to beat Columbus 15pts at Evens at various bookies
3pts Treble

27th July

355 Perth-Regardless of what happens,the price available on Royal Macnab,just looks wrong.
This is a pretty solid horse,that tends to run its race,when faced with ideal conditions,like it faces here.Its second place finish here last time,gives it a favourite`s chance on my figures and the trainer has won with 2 of her 7 handicap chase runners at this track.
Its easy to see Ballykan`s chance after it ran out at the last,when leading last time out.
The trainer does well here(27%) but I do have a niggle on the ground and its very short,compared to my prices.
Realt Mor appears to be going nowhere at present but conditions are ideal while Imjoeking has been very lightly raced,the last 2 years,at its best,it would have a shout but again,looks fairly short to me.
Back Royal Macnab 7pts at 7.5 at Betbright 7.0 available at Stan James/Marathon bet(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-7pts)Decent support for the horse and ran a really good race.Just couldnt hold the fav.

820 Leicester-As the only unexposed horse in the line up,Im surprised May Rose is the price it is.
It showed promise in 3 all weather maidens,improving each time and wouldn`t need to find much more here,on its first turf start.
Being closely related to a very decent turf horse,it could easily improve past these and it makes its first start for trainer,Charlie Hills,who has a 24% strike rate at this track.
Soaring Spirits is on a roll and is clearly the one to beat but is priced accordingly.
Etienne Gerard came back to form last time and likes this time of year(July/August 3w-1p-6r) but the jockey is just 1/43 for this yard while New Rich,although consistent,is 0/21 on turf now.
Back May Rose 6pts at 7.5 at Corals/Skybet/Betvictor-2nd(-6pts)Another to run well but once again the fav too strong at the death.(DT-13pts)
Monthly Total+146.05pts
Running Total+8568pts

26th July

405 Yarmouth-The lightly raced Takatul makes a lot of appeal here.
Its win on its debut puts it top of my ratings and with expected improvement,it should take a fair bit of beating.Its not a massive price but ive got it around the even money mark.
The trainer doesnt send many here but has won with two of his 9 runners here.
Coronation Day makes its handicap debut but needs to find a stone of improvement to figure while Twin Point returns after 191 days off,you would have to assume its had a problem or two.
Four Poets looks the main danger to me,Consistent and will love the ground.
Back Takatul 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)

310 Goodwood-Providing stablemate Gifted Master doesnt set up a duel for the lead then I can see Home Of The Brave going very close from the front here.Being up front is always a good place to be around this track and this horse is a pretty tough thing to pass.
Its last time out win tops my ratings,the yard is going well and the horse is 3w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.
Dutch Connection is probably the main danger but will be(normally) held up out the back while Birchwood jumps up in class.
Back Home Of The Brave 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies-2nd(-15pts)Ran well but Dutch Connection was positioned closer to the pace than usual and that was decisive.

730 Perth-This could turn out to be a severe stamina test and although we need to hope its on one of its going days then Presented looks far too big a price.
It has won around here and although ideally it wants a bit further,the testing nature of the surface should see it staying on if its in there fighting in the straight.
The ground is fine and the trainer has won with 9 of her 41 handicap chasers at this track.
Russian Regent loves it here(3w-3p-7r) and is very much respected while Tangolan has questions to answer on the ground.
Lowanbehold represents a trainer that is 0/30 with his chasers here and Dr Moloney is consistent but doesnt win very often (1/22 over fences)
Back Presented 6pts at 7.5 at various bookies-1st(+39pts)Had to survive a stewards enquiry but deserved too after a great display of jumping.(DT+60pts)
Monthly Total+159.05pts
Running Total+8581pts

26th July

405 Yarmouth-The lightly raced Takatul makes a lot of appeal here.
Its win on its debut puts it top of my ratings and with expected improvement,it should take a fair bit of beating.Its not a massive price but ive got it around the even money mark.
The trainer doesnt send many here but has won with two of his 9 runners here.
Coronation Day makes its handicap debut but needs to find a stone of improvement to figure while Twin Point returns after 191 days off,you would have to assume its had a problem or two.
Four Poets looks the main danger to me,Consistent and will love the ground.
Back Takatul 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies

310 Goodwood-Providing stablemate Gifted Master doesnt set up a duel for the lead then I can see Home Of The Brave going very close from the front here.Being up front is always a good place to be around this track and this horse is a pretty tough thing to pass.
Its last time out win tops my ratings,the yard is going well and the horse is 3w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.
Dutch Connection is probably the main danger but will be(normally) held up out the back while Birchwood jumps up in class.
Back Home Of The Brave 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies

730 Perth-This could turn out to be a severe stamina test and although we need to hope its on one of its going days then Presented looks far too big a price.
It has won around here and although ideally it wants a bit further,the testing nature of the surface should see it staying on if its in there fighting in the straight.
The ground is fine and the trainer has won with 9 of her 41 handicap chasers at this track.
Russian Regent loves it here(3w-3p-7r) and is very much respected while Tangolan has questions to answer on the ground.
Lowanbehold represents a trainer that is 0/30 with his chasers here and Dr Moloney is consistent but doesnt win very often (1/22 over fences)
Back Presented 6pts at 7.5 at various bookies

25th July

There are no horse racing selections but we do have the 2nd leg of a football bet(Advised on Saturday)
Football(Swedish Allsvenkan)
Norkopping to beat Gefle and Elfsborg to beat Ostersund(Monday)
10pts Double at Ladbrokes(Pays 2.36)-Norkopping won easily 2-0 to get the first leg up.-Won(+13.60pts)Elfsborg won 3-1 in a really entertaining game.
Monthly Total+99.05
Overall Total+8521.00pts

24th July

325 Pontefract-Although Le Deluge is well in under its penalty,for its win 7 days ago,I feel its up against it here.
Its record when returning to the track within 14 days is less than impressive(0w-1p-14r) and its also 0w-0p-6r in this grade.This particular race is 2 classes up from the recent success.
For me,Eutropius has a lot going for it.
Its latest run puts it top of my ratings,the trainer has won the race 3 times in the last 6 years and its 3w-0p-12r when returning to the track within 14 days.
Its record when racing over 10 furlongs on good to firm ground reads 2nd-4th-1st-1st-3rd-8th.
Ive got it around the 2/1 mark.
Street Duel looks the main threat to me as a 3yo against its elders.
Back Eutropius 12pts at 4.3 at Ladbrokes/betway-UP(-12pts)We beat the book as the horse was well backed into 2/1 but its finishing effort was very tame.
Monthly Total+85.45pts
Running Total+8507.40pts

23rd July

450 Newmarket-If Palmerston runs like it did last time then it will get lapped but its win ,2 starts back,over this trip,interests me enough to get involved ,at a nice price.
The performance saw it produce a very competitive rating and a good speed figure.
Dont know why it ran a stinker last time but the form of its win is decent,with the second having come out and won twice since while the 3rd and 5th have won since.
Id like to see it get out in front and make it real test.
Huntlaw is a big danger on its last time out win as is Bastille Day while Dubai Fashion is unexposed but is a very tight price on what its done so far.
Back Palmerston 4pts at 15.0 at various bookies-Won(+80pts Paid out BOG)Given a lovely ride by `Midge`Mullen to win going away.Lovely drift on the price as well.

Football(Swedish Allsvenkan)
Norkopping to beat Gefle(Today) and Elfsborg to beat Ostersund(Monday)
10pts Double at Ladbrokes(Pays 2.36)-Norkopping won easily 2-0 to get the first leg up.
Monthly Total+97.45pts
Overall Total+8519.40pts

22nd July

845 Newmarket-Kestrel Dot Com and Battlement are two lightly raced horses,who I expect to be fighting the finish here.
I respect the latter a lot but on value grounds,the former has to be the call.
It won despite pulling hard on its handicap debut and produced the best rating and a good speed figure in the process.
The jockey has a 21% strike rate when teaming up with this yard and it should go close.
The other 3 horses in the race,all have some sort of chance if they return to their best but their form has a real uneven look to it.
Back Kestrel Dot Com 14pts at 3.5 at Corals-UP(-14pts)A poor run.

Rugby league
Salford different side at home and Hull have started to wobble a bit, although they did beat Hull KR last week.
Back Salford (+8 on the handicap) v Hull 15pts at 1.72 at various bookies-Lost(-29pts)
Monthly Total+17.45pts
Overall Total+8439.40pts

21st July 2016(The return)

Ive decided that this is probably what I do best and Im going to try and get this going again.
It will obviously be free for a while(Not sure how long and will really depend on interest and hits on site plus obviously me giving out profitable tips.
I also do my own football ratings,so will probably include them and maybe a few Rugby League as I have a friend,who is doing well in that sport.
Lets see how we go..................

455 Yarmouth
On current form,Bahamian Heights cant win this but there are reasons to believe it could bounce back.
Firstly ,it was in Late June/Early July last season that it suddenly hit form and its now 3Ibs lower than its last winning mark plus it gets the promising young claimer,George Wood on board for the first time claiming 7Ibs off,added to that its 1 from 1 at this track.
If it can get somewhere near its best ratings from last season then it really should go very close.
Tarboosh is unexposed and is the obvious danger.
Back Bahamian Heights 6pts at 9.0 at Betbright(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-6pts)Ran a really good race and looked like prevailing a furlong out but its ready to win soon.

900 Doncaster
I like Brittleton here and its clear favourite on my tissue prices.
It ran a good race on its second start this season,last time out but I would expect even better here.
It hit form at this time of the year last year(July/August 3w-2p-5r) and is 2w-0p-4r in fields of 9 or less like this.
The trainer is 3 from 13 with his older horses and the booking of James Macdonald can only be a good thing.
Lugarno Palace is well handicapped but possibly better at shorter while Bertie Moon is still paying for its wide margin victory three starts back plus wants softer ground.
The Kid and Carpe Vita both hold similar chances  but offer no value in my eyes and the veteran Hallstatt is 0w-0p-7r around here and 0w-5p-27r from July to the end of the season.
Back Brittleton 10pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Betway(Accept 4.3)-Won(+40pts)Back with a winner.Lovely!

Rugby League
Leeds are fighting for their lives but this match appears to be priced on name rather than this seasons form.
Back Hull KR(+6.5pts on the handicap) v Leeds 15pts at 1.83 at Betfair-Won(12.45pts)(DT+46.45pts)
Running Total+8468.40pts

This service has come to an end now after 4 years.
Thanks to all those that subscribed or just kept an eye on it.
We may return at some point!

31st January

215 Sedgefield-Good Vibration moves into handicap company for the first time and looks to hold strong claims here.

Its ratings have shown a upwards progression and with the excellent Danny Cook (23% for the yard) onboard,I can see it going off much shorter.

Carlo Rocks drops in trip here but would have good chances on its run 2 starts back but after a 13Ib rise,it disappointed last time.

Back Good Vibration 13pts at 3.75 at Paddys/Betfair sportsbook(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-13pts)Well supported into 13/8 but bumped into one.

420 Sedgefield-I want to take on BeyondTemptation here.

Its 0 from 13 around this track and seems to struggle when it has to carry any sort of weight.(10st+ 0w-6p-18r)

The trainer has never had a winner here from 74 runners and despite it probably going hard from the front(Should trade shorter in running),I cant see it winning.

The drop in the weight allowed Hatton Springs to get its head in front last time while Elistrin Belle found the quicker ground and rise in class too much last time,I expect better here.

Flemerina is interesting,returning to the track after an absence and only having raced on faster ground and at shorter.

Its bred to appreciate the different conditions and would have a fair chance on its bare ratings.

Lay BeyondTemptation 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)Flemerina wins!(DT+6pts)
Monthly Total-30pts
Running Total+8421.95pts

30th January

220 Uttoxeter-The step upto 3 miles brought about a fair bit of improvement for Gowanauthat last time out.

That run puts it top of my figures and the trainer has a 27% strike rate here.

I find the market leader Over My Head a bit short,although its only had the one run over fences,that will need improving upon by around 7Ibs to take this.

The trainer is 0/31 here and its 7Ibs above its last winning mark.

Kapricorne has chances but it is 0w-0p-4r on heavy and 0w-0p-10r in this grade.

Back Gowanauthat 10pts at 5.0 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-Pulled UP(-10pts)really should have just laid the fav,who ran poorly also.

330 Uttoxeter-Nosey Box is 1 from 21 but places a lot.I can easily see this trading shorter in running but coming up short.

This horse is very inconsistent and actually went off favourite for this very race last year but I cant see it beating some of the unexposed types here.

Bobble Boru,Blameitonmyroots head the runners,Streets Of Promise hasnt got going this season but is 2/2 on heavy.

There has been some early money for Bonnets Vino,which is quite interesting considering it went off at 66/1 last time.

Lay Nosey Box 20pts at 6.0-Pulled Up(+19pts)For some reason shortened up early in the race into 4.7 but was the first beaten.(DT+9pts)

Monthly Total-36pts

Running Total+8415.95pts

29th January

115 Lingfield-A few unexposed types here but none more appeal more than Inswing.

His trainer does quite well here and has a 20% strike rate with his horses going into handicaps for the first time at this track.

Its 3 runs so far have been elsewhere but will surely improve running here for the first time with its sire having a 25% strike rate with its progeny here.

The early money has been Fastnet Prince,who makes its handicap and stable debut and you cant write off Fable Of Arachine for the massively in form Stuart Williams team.

Back Inswing 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-Won(+48pts)Money for it and won very easily

Monthly Total-45pts

Running Total+8406.95pts

28th January

530 Chelmsford-San Quentin is respected here but is priced accordingly,I like Daisy Boy against it.

Its 2w-1p-5r in fields of 7 or less and placed on its only all weather start,it moves up in trip here to a distance that its sire is a very impressive 4w-2p-7r.

Added to that ,many of its offspring go well here and it looks the value call for a yard that have had 12 winners from their last 35 runners.

Back Daisy Boy 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-Won(+35pts *Rule4)

410 Fakenham-Hassadin is 3 from 34 in its career,so hardly a win machine and has also never raced at this specialist track.

It won last time out and with a win record like that,the follow up isnt that likely.Its got the ratings to figure but has to be a vulnerable favourite in my eyes.

Running Wolf won this race last year and has everything in its favour while JumpandTravel has won here.

Slidecheck and Vent Niveranis switch to hurdles from chases and both could go very well if adapting to the different code.

Lay Hassadin 20pts at 3.25(Lay upto 3.75)-Won(-45pts)

315 Southwell-Autumn would win this on its rating it posted here on its debut and despite running below par last time,that was at Kempton and the return to this track should suit.

With Pleasure represents a trainer that has won with 2 of his 4 runners here while Ritasun is out of a sire that does very well with its horses here(25%)

Ice Royal is up in trip and makes its track debut.It needs to improve on my figures to take this and as its sire,hasnt had a winner here yet,that makes this horse underpriced.

Lay Ice Royal 20pts at 4.5(lay upto 5.0)-2nd(+19pts)(DT+9pts)

27th January

150 Catterick Back Over and Above 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)

26th January

205 Southwell-Miss Lille doesnt win very often and is a pretty poor 0w-1p-8r at this trip and  although it ran well last time out,its record suggests theres a doubt whether that will be repeated.

Berkshire Beauty and Roger Thorpe are big runners here while Grandest is 1 from 2 here and drops down into this grade for the first time.

Lay Miss Lille 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)

325 Wetherby-Azert De Coeur has been slowly finding its form under Venitia Williams and a repeat of its latest 2nd ,behind a very progressive horse,will make it tough to beat here.

Throthehatch is consistent and along with Ballyadeena rates the main danger.

Back Azert De Coeur 14pts at 3.75-Fell(-14pts)(DT+5pts)

Monthly Total-95pts

Running Total+8356.95pts

25th January

250 Wolves-Sky Ferry is 0 from 11 and the most exposed horse in this field.

Its been running okay but is very beatable and has to contend with a drop in trip and its stallion has just a 4% strike rate around here.

Israfel is improving after just 4 runs and should appreciate the step up in trip while Cross Examine represents an in form and a jockey/trainer combo operating at 25%.

Kristoff makes its first appearance at this track and it could well signal some improvement as the sire has a 22% strike rate here with its offspring,

Lay Sky Ferry 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)

**Just a note to any regular viewers of this site that this service will finish on January 31st**

23rd January

300 Ascot Back Sire Du Grugy 15pts at 3.75 at various bookies)-2nd(-15pts)

335 Ascot Back Bernandelli 4pts at 13.0 at various bookies

Back Tara Road  4pts at 15.0 at Boylessports(20/1 with betfair sportsbook)-Both PUlled UP(-8pts)

315 Haydock Back Cloudy Too 6pts at 9.0 at Hills-Won(+48pts)

Back Katenko 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies-Non Runner(DT+25pts)

22nd January

220 Market Rasen-The weights seriously favour Kalane here and im surprised it isnt clear favourite.

It came down last time in a much better race than this but was impressive the time before and that rating stands out here.

The trainer has a fine 25% strike rate at this track but that improves considerably if you just take his fancied horses in chases here(7/2 or less) 26 runs/13 wins +£18.13 to a £1 level stake)

Aso appears to like to finish second but is easily the main danger as Ballyalton appears to want better ground than it will encounter here.

Back Kalane 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies-3rd(-15pts)

21st January

255 Southwell-I would have Kung Hei Fat Choy much shorter than it is here.

A record of 3w-1p-6r in this class,5 course victories and 6 wins at this trip means everything is in its favour and add to that 3w-2p-7r during January means theres very little downside.

Greyfriarschorista is a danger but is better at further with 3 runs over course and distance reading 3rd-4th-5th.

Moonlight Venture is 2 from 2 in this grade but wants further and has a little bit on the weights

Back Kung hei Fat Choy 18pts at 3.0 at bet365-UP(-18pts)Very weak in the market and ran accordingly

710 Chelmsford-Ohsosecret won nicely last time over shorter and is fine at this track but there is a doubt about this trip(sire just 6% over the distance)

Mambo Fever is very consistent and should go well but as of yet,my ratings have it a better horse at further.

Barbs Princess returns from a short break and has the ratings to figure at its best but has no course form to its name.

I dont fancy Lady Gemini but Saved My Bacon is the wrong price.

It ran a fine race over 5 furlongs here last time but will be better over this trip(6f 3w-1p-10r),its 2w-3p-8r at this track...4w-1p-8r in fields of 7 or less and 3w-2p-6r when returning to the track within 15 days like today.

Back Saved My Bacon 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)Backed from 6/1 into 5/2 but it just didnt happen(DT-25pts)

20th January

310 Newbury-Achimoto has its ideal conditions here and it looks overpriced to me.

Its 2w-2p-5r on heavy ground and stays a little further than this,that extra stamina could be vital if in contention turning in.

This is a drop in class from its last 2 starts and its 2w-3p-6r in Jan/Feb.

Willoughby Bridge is totally unexposed over fences and is the obvious danger.

Back Achimoto 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies-Meeting Abandoned

135 Lingfield-Hannington surely has a better chance than the current odds suggest here.

This will be its first start for a new yard(Small stable going fine) and they fit a tongue tie on.

Its 2 from 4 around here and has 2 wins in this grade plus has a promising young claimer onboard.

This is the shortest trip its faced but it looks an interesting move and it should get a good toe into the race.

Corporal Maddox is a big danger while Steal the Scene will appreciate the drop in trip but hasnt ever raced here.

Back Hannington 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor/bet365-UP(-5pts)

210 Lingfield-Thomas Blossom interests me here especially with George Baker riding it for the first time.

This will be its first start at Lingfield since it won here last February,it clearly likes this place as it was beaten under a length on its other start here.

Its 3w-3p-9r in this grade and all 4 career wins have come in fields of 11 or less.

Percella is easily the biggest threat.

Back Thomas Blossom 6pts at 9.0 at bet365/Ladbrokes-3rd(-6pts)Beaten by a neck!(DT-11pts)

19th January

415 Ayr-Unless the difficult to assess Suzy`s Music is better than its showed so far then this looks a good opportunity for Discoverie to notch another win.

Its one of the few to come into this race in any sort of form and is 6Ibs clear on my figures.

This will be its 3rd run for the Ken Slack stable,who despite only having 40 runners in the last 2 years,are operating at a decent 26% strike rate.

This is a drop in class and although its form looks a bit patchy,if you actually just take its hurdles runs(In Handicap company) at around 2 miles on soft or heavy then its form figures read 2-2-1-1-2.

Harry Challoner takes a valuable 3Ibs off and he has ridden 3 winners from 6 rides for the yard.

Back Discoverie 14pts at 3.5 at Paddys(Accept 3.25)-UP(-14pts) 5/2 into even money and never travelling!

18th January

315 Plumpton-Leith Hill Legasi is a course winner but is a horse that tends to lose its form at the turn of the year(Nov-Dec 3w-2p-8r  Jan to April 0w-1p-8r)

Add to that ,its never managed even a place when its been rated 91 or higher(Runs off 100 here) and it has it all on at the weights with a couple of its rivals here.

It beat Burgess Dream 2 starts back but is now 14Ibs worse off with that rival and Burgess is still unexposed over fences while 3 starts back it beat Bebinn by a couple of lengths but now finds itself a massive 19Ibs worse off.

It will need to be at the top of its game to turn that around but history suggests it wont be plus the trainer isnt pulling up any trees(Last 60 days- 6 winners from 141 runners)

Cheat The Cheater is another horse than can go well.

Lay Leith Hill Legasi 20pts at 5.5-UP(+19pts)Ran as expected and hopefully some had a few quid on Goring Two in the 215 that was mentioned in the subscribers email.

Monthly Total-79pts

Running Total+8372.95pts

16th January

300 Warwick-Dan Skelton took this race last year and looks to have a strong chance of following up with Born Survivor.

Its one hurdle race was an easy win over course and distance and that rating/speed figure makes it a massive runner here.

When this trainer has a runner that is or sharing favouritism in a novice hurdle like this,he has a 60% strike rate(21 winners from 35 runners)

The Willie Mullins pair Thomas Hobson and Open Eagle are both respected while Final Nudge is improving.

Back Born Survivor 14pts at 3.5-4th(-14pts)

205 Wetherby-Maybe Mwaleshi isnt in the same form as last season but its below par runs this season have all been on goodish ground and it now gets its preferred much softer surface.

Its tumbled down the weights and drops in trip,it would be no surprise if the excellent Danny Cook(24% strike rate for this yard) sets a strong pace up front.

It likes it here with 2 course wins from 4 starts and is 5w-1p-13r in fields of 7 or less but that improves to 4w-0p-7r when just taking races on soft/heavy ground.

It just looks the wrong price to me.

This is a good race however,Sir Valentino brings the best recent form and should run well but could be a better horse going right handed.

Gardefort is totally unexposed but did pull up last time while Upsilon Bleu could go well on its favourite surface.

Back Mwaleshi 6pts at 8.0 at betvictor/Paddys/Boyles-3rd(-6pts)

240 Wetherby-The lightly raced Maxie T appeals most here,after winning easily last time out ,on just its 2nd start  for this yard.

That was a career best and if repeated,it will be tough to beat.

Vendor won last time but maybe slightly better at shorter while both Master Jake and Divine Port are improving but will need to do so again if the selection repeats its latest effort.

Back Maxie T 10pts at 5.0 at hills(Accept 4.3)-UP(-10pts)Hopeless day!(DT-30pts)

15th January

120 Huntingdon-I was interested in The Hon Mackinlay making its handicap debut for a yard that are 3 from 8 with such types at this track but its all about the prices and that means Kleitomachos is the value.

This horse has got its act together since being fitted with blinkers and produced a career best last time over further than this.

Its the clear form pick on my figures and appears to have the more exposed horses covered,it all depends on how good the handicap debutant is.

Valiant Creek and Daliance are respected but need to improve if the selection runs its race while Ballinalacken looks a bit short to me despite winning here last time.

Its form before that win was very patchy to say the least and as it went off at 16/1,its unlikely a good run was expected.

Back Kleitomachos 10pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Ladbrokes-Pulled UP(-10pts)Broke blood vessel.

220 Huntingdon-Last years winner(And tipped up as a selection) Arbeo has very little negatives here and surely has to go close.

Its been running in much better races than this and drops down in grade,at a track it goes well at(Huntingdon 1st-1st-3rd).

It always gets into a gear at the turn of the year(Jan-Mar 5w-1p-9r) ,is 3 from 6 on heavy ground and clearly knows when to win(Been favourite 4 times and won them all!)

Anything close to last seasons rating in this race will make it very tough to beat.

Serious opposition is thin on the ground,Bus Named Desire has a fairly consistent profile over fences but will need to improve and this isnt normally a track for hold up horses.

Veauce De Sivola came back to a bit of form last time and has won over this trip over hurdles,its probably the main danger.

Back Arbeo 20pts at 2.75 at various bookies-Won(+35pts)Tremendous ride when it didnt look likely.(DT+25pts)

14th January

100 Southwell-James Bond Girl interests me here.

It would have a serious chance on its form in France and while it hasnt reproduced that form yet,it now drops back in trip and more importantly,gets to race on this surface for the first time.

Its sire(Giants Causeway) has a fine record on the fibresand(22 wins/71 starts 30%) and it would be no surprise if its form went to a new level.

This is also jockey Graham Lee`s only ride of the day for a yard that he has a 25% strike rate for.

Iconic Figure heads the market but it represents a sire that only has a 5% strikerate here(1 from 17) while the newcomer Graceful Favour is another who`s sire struggles here(0 from 15) although the trainer does pretty well here with his debut runner(6 from 22 27%)

Back James Bond Girl 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-Won(+60pts *Paid out BOG)

540 Chelmsford-Cosmic Statesman has been running okay but is now 0 from 18 and represents a stable with a less than impressive 3% strike rate at this track.

I cant have it as 2nd favourite.

San Quentin is a force in this grade and should go well while Smugglers Lane has been in decent form and is unexposed over staying trips.

Hall Of Beauty and bracken Brae both hold chances also.

Lay Cosmic Statesman 20pts at 5.5-UP(+19pts)

810 Chelmsford-Gunner Moyne beat Anjuna Beach last time after an absence of over 200 days off the track,it now makes a swift return just 7 days later and that,along with a weights turnaround means it may be a different story here.

It will come down to whether the Anjuna Beach wants it or not,it has placed in 4 of its 5 starts around and placed in both starts in this grade.

Whatever the case,the gap between the two it too big in the market.

Sleet seems to find it impossible to win but does drop in class.

Back Anjuna Beach 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)(DT+67pts)

Monthly Total-93pts

Running Total+8358.95pts