18th April

345 Cheltenham-Its possible that at 11yo,Midnight Chase has had enough and isnt the horse it was but providing the rain stays away then this horse has its ideal conditions.Its spent the last 3 years running in Class 1 chases and hasnt run in a class 2(Todays grade)Since a win over course and distance in 2010.It began this season with a 3rd behind Silviano Conti(it will face nothing of that calibre here) and has then raced on unsuitable soft ground.Its 2/2 in April and on decent ground(G/S 3w-1p-6r) at its favourite track(5w-1p-11r),it could run a big race.

Back Midnight Chase 5pts at 12.0(Accept 11.0) at Various bookies-5th(-5pts)Called the market correct as it tumbled down to 4.5 but just isnt the same horse it would appear

455 Cheltenham-Anquetta looks vulnerable here.It has a rating 3 runs back that gives it a chance but that was R/H and its definitely better going that way(0/4 at this track).That run was also during the winter and this horse loses its form when Spring arrives(March-May 0w1p-8r).

Mister Matt got a good rating on its return to action 17 days ago and is 2/4 in April and 6w-3p-20r in fields of 0-9 runners.

Kie is on a consistent run of form and should be thereabouts while Wessex King,Court in Session and Hells bay arent out of it.

Lay Anquetta 30pts 5.5-UP(+30pts)(Dt+25pts)

6.0 Cheltenham-The market likes Velator most and it produced a much improved rating on its 2nd chase start,however the lack of a decent speed figure means it looks underpriced.The value is the top rated & progressive Arbeo,a winner of its last 3 starts who will be staying on at the death.

Back Arbeo 8pts at 6.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-8pts)Outpaced from halfway(DT+17pts)

Days total minus commission+16.15pts

Monthly Total-34.19pts

Running Total+5232.13pts