9th October

320 Towcester-Hail Tiberius has won its last 2 and is clearly in good form.Although this horse is 2/2 in this grade,its 0w-0p-4r going Right handed and 4 runs in 11 days is a lot to ask for any horse.It may be a vulnerable favourite.

Take it on with Knockgraffon Lad,who is consistent and unexposed in this low class of race after just 2 runs.Although still a maiden over jumps,its ratings suggest it will be right there.

Over the Feather is the other horse that should fight out the finish.A consistent sort but needs to find 3 or 4 Ilbs to win.

Back Knockgraffon Lad 9pts at 6.0 at Bet365-2nd(-9pts)Pretty unlucky as despite pulling hard,it came there 2 out looking a big danger.Unfortunately it was badly hampered by a faller and couldnt reel the winner in.

440 Ludlow-Coronea Lily and Emilys Flyer are similar as in they are both in good form and should run their race particularly the former who is 2/2 around here.They are both a little shorter than on my tissue though.

Mickie steps up in trip on its seasonal debut but may prefer softer ground.Grassfinch normally needs its first run back after a break while Gulf Punch has become very inconsistent and is 0w-0p-3r in this class and 0w-1p-7r on galloping tracks.

At a value price,I can see Emerald Rose running well.This horse has produced a consistent set of ratings and the slight step up in trip may bring about more improvement.

Back Emerald Rose 6pts at 9.0 at Betvictor-2nd(-6pts)Nicely backed and despite being off the bridle some way out,kept finding and wasnt beaten far at the finish.(DT-15pts)

Monthly Total+161.65pts
Running Total+5776.08pts