Its dropped down the weights and is now 2Ibs lower than when a good second in a class 1 handicap at Cheltenham last December,
The real angle in with this horse is that it has now joined the Paul Nicholls yard and he likes winning this race(Victorious 3 times in the last 7 years).
The trainer has a 28% strike rate with his handicap chasers at this track and on its best ratings from last winter,it will go very close.
Carole`s Destrier was progressive last term and looks the main danger.
Back The Ould Lad 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Well backed but several sloppy jumps left it behind.
215 Kelso-Creepy looked a good prospect when hacking up on its seasonal debut last year but hasnt ran within 20Ibs of that performance since.
I thought the horse was best caught fresh,so I tipped it first time out this season but again it disappointed.
On what its been doing,it cant win this and any softening of the ground wont help.
Its a 15/2 chance on my prices.
Present Lodger is progressive and represents a bang in form yard.
This is a rise in class but it looks up to it.Its 4w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.
Kilgefin has only had 3 starts over fences and is 2w-1p-3r at this track while Gleann Na Ndochais has been in decent form lately and has 2 course wins to its name.
I Need Gold makes its handicap/seasonal debut and although the yard are a little quiet,its got the ratings over trip and ground to go very close.
Lay Creepy 15pts to win at 4,5(Lay upto 5.5) Lay 10 pts to place-UP(+23.75pts)(DT+11.75pts)
Monthly Total+37.75pts
Running Total+8335.95pts
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