410 Folkestone
This is a lot stronger than the race Whitcombe Spirit won last time,who knows how good the Jonjos horse could be.
(Lay Whitcombe Spirit 35pts at 9/2)Result-UP(+35)
Days total minus commission(+33.28)(Running total+203.63)
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
30th January
245 Kemp
I think this is a really tight little handicap and the fav is too short
(Lay Moremaluke 35pts at 5/2)Result-UP(+35pts)
255 Fakenham
I like front runners at this course,Ray Mond loves dominating and can do so again
(Back 8 pts 4/1)Result-Unusually poor run UP(-8pts)(DT+27pts)
345 Kempton
Another tight handicap,if Spartic can prove as effective here as at Lingfield,he must go close
(Back Spartic 6.5pts win at 11/2)Result-3rd never looked like winning(-6.5pts)(DT+20.5pts)
355 Fakenham
Jadhere is entitled to improve over fences
(Back Jadhere 9.5pts win at 4/1)Result-Fell(-9.5pts)(DT+11pts)
405 Hereford
Saphir de Bois has his first run for Peter Bowen today,if he can get him back to form,he wins.
(Back Saphir de Bois 8pts at 9/2)Result-2nd(-8pts)(DT+3pts)
415 Kempton
Back to 12f Lovers causeway must have a serious chance
(Back 15pts at 2/1)Result-won easily(+30pts)(DT+33pts)
Days total less commission+31.83pts Running Total+170.35pts
Another small profit,after sorting through,I think too many win bets are costing me more profit.I should maybe look over my prices again.
I think this is a really tight little handicap and the fav is too short
(Lay Moremaluke 35pts at 5/2)Result-UP(+35pts)
255 Fakenham
I like front runners at this course,Ray Mond loves dominating and can do so again
(Back 8 pts 4/1)Result-Unusually poor run UP(-8pts)(DT+27pts)
345 Kempton
Another tight handicap,if Spartic can prove as effective here as at Lingfield,he must go close
(Back Spartic 6.5pts win at 11/2)Result-3rd never looked like winning(-6.5pts)(DT+20.5pts)
355 Fakenham
Jadhere is entitled to improve over fences
(Back Jadhere 9.5pts win at 4/1)Result-Fell(-9.5pts)(DT+11pts)
405 Hereford
Saphir de Bois has his first run for Peter Bowen today,if he can get him back to form,he wins.
(Back Saphir de Bois 8pts at 9/2)Result-2nd(-8pts)(DT+3pts)
415 Kempton
Back to 12f Lovers causeway must have a serious chance
(Back 15pts at 2/1)Result-won easily(+30pts)(DT+33pts)
Days total less commission+31.83pts Running Total+170.35pts
Another small profit,after sorting through,I think too many win bets are costing me more profit.I should maybe look over my prices again.
29th January 2011
2 early bets ive done
115 Doncaster
I think Dorabelle has a really solid chance in this
(Back Dorabelle 11pts win at 10/3)
2.0 Cheltenham
Wishful Thinking is a good fav but Calgary Bay is well overpriced.
(Back Calgary Bay 4.5pts at 10/1)Result-2nd ran well but fav was as I thought(-5pts)
Donny called off which is a shame,anyway onwards...
125 Lingfield
Fav too short and I respect Blue Moon but the value is Kiss a Prince
(Back Kiss a Prince 4.5pts at 10/1)Result-UP incredibly unlucky,denied a run continually(-4.5pts)(Days total-9.5pts)
230 Cheltenham
Probably due to his exploits as a hurdler or the trainers fine form but Punchestowns for me is miles too short,Tidal Bay is moody but a much better chaser on his day.
(Back Tidal Bay 11pts at 11/4)Result 2nd Maybe a lay of Punchestowns should have been the call(-11pts)(DT-20.5pts)
235 Uttoxeter
Innominate is inconsistent and finds it very hard to win,I like at least 3 in front of him.
(Lay Innominate 35pts at 9/2)Result-UP(+35pts)(DT+14.5pts)
335 Cheltenham
A much closer race than the market suggests with several course specialists in action.
(Back Organisateur 6pts at 15/2 & Back Fair along 3pts at 18/1)Result-Both UP(-9pts)(DT+5.5pts)
330 Lingfield
I really like Visions of johanna here and I make him 5/2
(Back Visions of Johanna 7pts win at 6/1)Result-UP was well backed but didnt run up to scratch(-7pts)(DT-1.5pts)
310 Uttoxeter
Some improving types may well prove too good for Royal and Ancient but hes far too big
(Back Royal and Ancient 3.5pts win at 16/1)Result-UP(-3.5pts)(DT-5pts)
350 Fairyhouse
On his last improved run Rickardstown certainly has a better chance than his price,its a competitive heat and Tullintain looks too short
(Back Rickardstown 3.5pts win at 16/1)(Lay Tullintain 35pts at 4/1)Result-Rickardstown ran quite well and the lay never looked like winning(+31pts)(DT+26pts)
345 uttoxeter
Master D`or is an improving chaser.
(Back Master D`or 5 pts at 8/1)Result-Won nicely(+40pts)(DT+66pts)
420 Uttoxeter
Pretty awful race and Fentara is obvious but priced accordingly and theres a bigger price than it should on Azione.
(Back Azione5pts win at 8/1)Result-2nd Led the whole way and got nutted 5 strides from the line(-5pts)(DT+61pts)
405 Lingfield
Audemar is a consistent horse and a lot of these arent,he may be good enough
(Back Audemar 4.5pts win at 10/1)Result-4th (-4.5pts)(DT+56.5pts)
Days total minus commission+51.5 Running total +138.52
I made less than yesterday and yet I feel my selections were much better,quite a few 2nds and at last a winner.
115 Doncaster
I think Dorabelle has a really solid chance in this
(Back Dorabelle 11pts win at 10/3)
2.0 Cheltenham
Wishful Thinking is a good fav but Calgary Bay is well overpriced.
(Back Calgary Bay 4.5pts at 10/1)Result-2nd ran well but fav was as I thought(-5pts)
Donny called off which is a shame,anyway onwards...
125 Lingfield
Fav too short and I respect Blue Moon but the value is Kiss a Prince
(Back Kiss a Prince 4.5pts at 10/1)Result-UP incredibly unlucky,denied a run continually(-4.5pts)(Days total-9.5pts)
230 Cheltenham
Probably due to his exploits as a hurdler or the trainers fine form but Punchestowns for me is miles too short,Tidal Bay is moody but a much better chaser on his day.
(Back Tidal Bay 11pts at 11/4)Result 2nd Maybe a lay of Punchestowns should have been the call(-11pts)(DT-20.5pts)
235 Uttoxeter
Innominate is inconsistent and finds it very hard to win,I like at least 3 in front of him.
(Lay Innominate 35pts at 9/2)Result-UP(+35pts)(DT+14.5pts)
335 Cheltenham
A much closer race than the market suggests with several course specialists in action.
(Back Organisateur 6pts at 15/2 & Back Fair along 3pts at 18/1)Result-Both UP(-9pts)(DT+5.5pts)
330 Lingfield
I really like Visions of johanna here and I make him 5/2
(Back Visions of Johanna 7pts win at 6/1)Result-UP was well backed but didnt run up to scratch(-7pts)(DT-1.5pts)
310 Uttoxeter
Some improving types may well prove too good for Royal and Ancient but hes far too big
(Back Royal and Ancient 3.5pts win at 16/1)Result-UP(-3.5pts)(DT-5pts)
350 Fairyhouse
On his last improved run Rickardstown certainly has a better chance than his price,its a competitive heat and Tullintain looks too short
(Back Rickardstown 3.5pts win at 16/1)(Lay Tullintain 35pts at 4/1)Result-Rickardstown ran quite well and the lay never looked like winning(+31pts)(DT+26pts)
345 uttoxeter
Master D`or is an improving chaser.
(Back Master D`or 5 pts at 8/1)Result-Won nicely(+40pts)(DT+66pts)
420 Uttoxeter
Pretty awful race and Fentara is obvious but priced accordingly and theres a bigger price than it should on Azione.
(Back Azione5pts win at 8/1)Result-2nd Led the whole way and got nutted 5 strides from the line(-5pts)(DT+61pts)
405 Lingfield
Audemar is a consistent horse and a lot of these arent,he may be good enough
(Back Audemar 4.5pts win at 10/1)Result-4th (-4.5pts)(DT+56.5pts)
Days total minus commission+51.5 Running total +138.52
I made less than yesterday and yet I feel my selections were much better,quite a few 2nds and at last a winner.
Friday 28th Jan 2011
My first day doing this,heres hoping it goes well.I like to have a lot of bets,mainly because im just looking for discrepancies in the prices,so there will be lays as well as backs.I will update this as I go along during the day.
Lingfield 140
Ive got this race fairly tight,so Hinton Admiral is a bit short but dont want to lay that and have Fivefold at 4/1,the 8s on betfair are too big(5 pts win on Fivefold)Result-Ran well=2nd -5pts
Gowran Park 145
Obviously Mourad has got a great chance but I have Footy Facts a lot shorter than the current 20/1
(2.5pts win on Footy Facts)Result-Led til the 2nd last =U/P -2.5(Running total-7.5pts)
Gowran Park 220
This is incredibly competitive and because of that I think Might be Magic is far too short
(Lay Might be magic 35pts at 5/2)Result-Just got beat 2nd +35(RT+27.5pts)
Fontwell 205
Lots of deadwood here and looks a 2 horse race between Marias Rock and Kilfinnan Castle,the latter is quite solid and is the value
(8pts win on Kilfinnan Castle)(35 pts Lay Bob Casey at 9/.2)Result-Castle fell,Casey 2nd+27pts(+54.5pts)
315 Fontwell
Raspbary is very unexposed in this field and could be a lot better.
(3.5pts win on Raspbary at 12/1)Result-Pulled up -3.5pts(+51pts)
Fontwell 350
If No to Trident is fit and well,then I can see no other winner,hes gone well fresh before so hopefully will do so again
(7 pts win on No to Trident at 11/2)Result-Cruised then fell in a hole -7pts(+44pts)
340 Doncaster
Kack Handeds ratings are a lot lower over this trip than 2m,so hes a lay
(Lay 35pts Kack Handed at 9/2)Result-Just weakened as I hoped +35pts(+79pts)
4.0 Lingfield
The 2 prices that seem out of line are Fairy Tales and Lisselton Cross.I really like Fairy Tales in this
(Back Fairy Tales 7pts at 11/2)(Lay Lisselton Cross 35pts at 5/2)Result-Both ran poorly +28pts(+107pts)
440 Wolverhampton
Low grade stuff and wouldnt want to backing shorter prices in this but I think On the Cusp is overpriced if he can reproduce his last course run.
(Back On the Cusp 4.5pts win at 12/1)Result-Ran a brave race,beaten a neck-4.5pts(+102.5pts)
610 Wolverhampton
Although he probably needs further,I still think Punching should be almost joint fav.
(Back Punching 6pts at 13/2)Result-Just couldnt get into it -6pts(+96.5pts)
710 Woverhampton
Tight race but Libertino has produced 2 good recent ratings and is overpriced.
(Back Libertino 5pts at 8/1)Result-One paced 6th -5pts(+91.5pts)
DAYS TOTAL(Minus Commission)+87.02
The lays kept me going today,there was in hindsight a couple of poor win bets,hopefully the winners will flow tomorrow but cannot complain today.
Lingfield 140
Ive got this race fairly tight,so Hinton Admiral is a bit short but dont want to lay that and have Fivefold at 4/1,the 8s on betfair are too big(5 pts win on Fivefold)Result-Ran well=2nd -5pts
Gowran Park 145
Obviously Mourad has got a great chance but I have Footy Facts a lot shorter than the current 20/1
(2.5pts win on Footy Facts)Result-Led til the 2nd last =U/P -2.5(Running total-7.5pts)
Gowran Park 220
This is incredibly competitive and because of that I think Might be Magic is far too short
(Lay Might be magic 35pts at 5/2)Result-Just got beat 2nd +35(RT+27.5pts)
Fontwell 205
Lots of deadwood here and looks a 2 horse race between Marias Rock and Kilfinnan Castle,the latter is quite solid and is the value
(8pts win on Kilfinnan Castle)(35 pts Lay Bob Casey at 9/.2)Result-Castle fell,Casey 2nd+27pts(+54.5pts)
315 Fontwell
Raspbary is very unexposed in this field and could be a lot better.
(3.5pts win on Raspbary at 12/1)Result-Pulled up -3.5pts(+51pts)
Fontwell 350
If No to Trident is fit and well,then I can see no other winner,hes gone well fresh before so hopefully will do so again
(7 pts win on No to Trident at 11/2)Result-Cruised then fell in a hole -7pts(+44pts)
340 Doncaster
Kack Handeds ratings are a lot lower over this trip than 2m,so hes a lay
(Lay 35pts Kack Handed at 9/2)Result-Just weakened as I hoped +35pts(+79pts)
4.0 Lingfield
The 2 prices that seem out of line are Fairy Tales and Lisselton Cross.I really like Fairy Tales in this
(Back Fairy Tales 7pts at 11/2)(Lay Lisselton Cross 35pts at 5/2)Result-Both ran poorly +28pts(+107pts)
440 Wolverhampton
Low grade stuff and wouldnt want to backing shorter prices in this but I think On the Cusp is overpriced if he can reproduce his last course run.
(Back On the Cusp 4.5pts win at 12/1)Result-Ran a brave race,beaten a neck-4.5pts(+102.5pts)
610 Wolverhampton
Although he probably needs further,I still think Punching should be almost joint fav.
(Back Punching 6pts at 13/2)Result-Just couldnt get into it -6pts(+96.5pts)
710 Woverhampton
Tight race but Libertino has produced 2 good recent ratings and is overpriced.
(Back Libertino 5pts at 8/1)Result-One paced 6th -5pts(+91.5pts)
DAYS TOTAL(Minus Commission)+87.02
The lays kept me going today,there was in hindsight a couple of poor win bets,hopefully the winners will flow tomorrow but cannot complain today.
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