245 Lingfield-Analysis-Triple Charm and Novellen Lad look to hold massive chances here,while Taajub needs to find some improvement from somewhere.
Lay Taajub 35pts at 5.5-UP(+35pts)
3.0 Uttoxeter-Analysis-Very few of these are proven on heavy ground.Royal Chatelier is proven and is progressive and should take the beating.
Back Royal Chatelier 12.5pts at 3.85-2nd(-12.5pts)Horse ran really well but just couldnt overhaul the winner(DT+22.5pts)
340 Newbury-Analysis-Good race in which a few could be fancied.I feel Olofi shouldnt be fav but the jockey/trainer combination worries me enough not to lay.Tenor Nivernais put up a much improved rating on very soft ground last time and if that wasnt a fluke will run well,while Torpichen reverts to hurdles after a spell over hurdles and is overpriced.
Back Tenor Nivernais 7pts at 8.0 & Torpichen 4pts at 13.0-2nd(-11pts)Torpichen looked the winner but an amazing performance by Celestial Halo denied him.(DT+11.5pts)
Days total minus commission+10.92pts
Monthly Total+204.39pts
Running Total+2602.99pts
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
30th December
1220 Haydock-Analysis-On the bare evidence of my ratings,Tippering should go really close here,it stays the trip well and also handles the heavy ground.Powerful Ambition is the worry,stepping up from 2 to 3 miles and on totally different ground he has raced on so far.
Back Tippering 20pts at 3.0-2nd(-20pts)
1250 Haydock-Analysis-Mr Chippy will see this trip out really well and is also steadily improving but shouldnt need to,to win this.
Back Mr Chippy 20pts at 3.0-3rd(-20pts)
2.0 Haydock-Analysis-Looks a pretty weak affair,Tamarinbleu has a good chance but is around the right price.I dont see Tartan Snow getting home in these conditions so Camden George can go close.
Back Camden George 7.5pts at 6.4-4th(-7.5pts)Solid in the market but just couldnt go with them in the straight(DT-47.5pts)
235 Haydock-Analysis-If Jaunty Journeys jumping can hold up,he has the ratings to go close,while Captain Americo doesnt like the ground much or winning that much either.
Back Jaunty Journey 9pts at 6.4 & lay Captain Americo 35pts at 6.0-Winner won well as Captain Americo curled up.Jaunty looked a danger 2 out but raced down the worst ground for some reason(+26pts)(DT-21.5pts)
710 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Honourable Knight is very solid and appears to be still progressing ratings wise.
Back Honourable Knight 15pts at 3.35pts-UP(-15pts)Ran an unusually poor race.The winner was impossible to find.(DT-36.5pts)
Monthly Total+193.47pts
Running Total+2592.07pts
Back Tippering 20pts at 3.0-2nd(-20pts)
1250 Haydock-Analysis-Mr Chippy will see this trip out really well and is also steadily improving but shouldnt need to,to win this.
Back Mr Chippy 20pts at 3.0-3rd(-20pts)
2.0 Haydock-Analysis-Looks a pretty weak affair,Tamarinbleu has a good chance but is around the right price.I dont see Tartan Snow getting home in these conditions so Camden George can go close.
Back Camden George 7.5pts at 6.4-4th(-7.5pts)Solid in the market but just couldnt go with them in the straight(DT-47.5pts)
235 Haydock-Analysis-If Jaunty Journeys jumping can hold up,he has the ratings to go close,while Captain Americo doesnt like the ground much or winning that much either.
Back Jaunty Journey 9pts at 6.4 & lay Captain Americo 35pts at 6.0-Winner won well as Captain Americo curled up.Jaunty looked a danger 2 out but raced down the worst ground for some reason(+26pts)(DT-21.5pts)
710 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Honourable Knight is very solid and appears to be still progressing ratings wise.
Back Honourable Knight 15pts at 3.35pts-UP(-15pts)Ran an unusually poor race.The winner was impossible to find.(DT-36.5pts)
Monthly Total+193.47pts
Running Total+2592.07pts
29th December
245 Kelso-Analysis-Just about everything in this race has a chance,Rolecarr was nearly big enough for a back but Badger Foot shouldnt be fav on my ratings.It has it to prove on this softer ground.Rolecarr has drifted and is value
Lay Badger Foot 35pts at 5.0-UP Back Rolecarr 5pts at 11.0-Won(+85pts)
320 Kelso-Analysis-EuroHunter will no doubt improve for his first run in handicap company but its still very short.So im taking it on with Texas Holdem and Sotovik.
Back Texas Holdem 8pts at 6.6 and Sotovik 5pts at 11.0-UP(-13pts)Both well beat(DT+72pts)
2.0 Southwell-Analysis-One of those races where Storm Hawk should win as it improved loads for its first run on fibresand and if it was anything around the 3/1 mark it would be a solid bet but Carnac is such a massive price it has to be backed.
Back Carnac 5pts at 13.0-UP(-5pts)Probably a wasted bet as Storm Hawk won easily.(DT+67pts)
350 Kempton-Analysis-Trip Switch needs to drift a little bit to be a value bet but if it does then it should take a lot of beating.
Back Trip Switch 15pts at 3.35-Won(+35.25pts)Got matched 5 yards into the race for some reason,thanks very much whoever did that strange move.(DT+102.25pts)
420 Kempton-Analysis-Bookiesindexdotnet is progressive and has run well over the course.he looks a very solid fav
Back Bookiesindexdotnet 12pts at 3.85-3rd(-12pts)Got chopped up a furlong out but was probably weakening anyway.(DT+90.25pts)
Days total minus commission+85.73pts
Monthly Total+229.97pts
Running Total+2628.57pts
Lay Badger Foot 35pts at 5.0-UP Back Rolecarr 5pts at 11.0-Won(+85pts)
320 Kelso-Analysis-EuroHunter will no doubt improve for his first run in handicap company but its still very short.So im taking it on with Texas Holdem and Sotovik.
Back Texas Holdem 8pts at 6.6 and Sotovik 5pts at 11.0-UP(-13pts)Both well beat(DT+72pts)
2.0 Southwell-Analysis-One of those races where Storm Hawk should win as it improved loads for its first run on fibresand and if it was anything around the 3/1 mark it would be a solid bet but Carnac is such a massive price it has to be backed.
Back Carnac 5pts at 13.0-UP(-5pts)Probably a wasted bet as Storm Hawk won easily.(DT+67pts)
350 Kempton-Analysis-Trip Switch needs to drift a little bit to be a value bet but if it does then it should take a lot of beating.
Back Trip Switch 15pts at 3.35-Won(+35.25pts)Got matched 5 yards into the race for some reason,thanks very much whoever did that strange move.(DT+102.25pts)
420 Kempton-Analysis-Bookiesindexdotnet is progressive and has run well over the course.he looks a very solid fav
Back Bookiesindexdotnet 12pts at 3.85-3rd(-12pts)Got chopped up a furlong out but was probably weakening anyway.(DT+90.25pts)
Days total minus commission+85.73pts
Monthly Total+229.97pts
Running Total+2628.57pts
28th December
120 Catterick-Analysis-I believe ive spotted a pattern in Bardolet`s race record where he performs at his best after a break.His best rating was achieved first time out this season and he has other good ratings after a break of at least 6 weeks or so.He is also a course and distance winner and comes into this after a break,so looks overpriced.
Back Bardolet 12pts at 5.0-4th(-12pts)Didnt really jump well enough to get involved
220 Catterick-Analysis-Lightening Rod is consistent and progressive,his ratings suggest this drop in class leaves this race at his mercy.Shadrack and Kings Grey are next best.
Back Lightening Rod 20pts at 3.0-Fell at the 2nd fence(-20pts)(DT-32pts)
140 Lingfield-Analysis-Pretty weak affair,Red Flash is slowly improving and is a danger but Avon Supreme`s run over course and distance last time would be good enough.
Back Avon Supreme 8.5pts at 5.8-UP(-8.5pts)Horse was in a good position but dropped away tamely(DT-40.5pts)
335 Leicester-Analysis-Hard to see why Grams and Ounces is such a short price.
Lay Grams and Ounces 35pts at 3.0-Won(-70pts)(DT-110.5pts)
250 Catterick-Analysis-This is posted late because of the fav becoming a non runner.On Gossamer Wings produced a good rating last time that should be good enough.
Back On Gossamer Wings 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Looked the winner nearly all the way but Doberdan showed some improvement to deny him.(-25pts)(DT-135.5pts)
620 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Competitive race,Knowe Head,Strike Force,John Potts and the gambled on Spes Nostra could all be called dangers but ive got Yourinthewill as fav,so ive got to do it at the current price.
Back Yourinthewill 8pts at 9.0-4th(-8pts)Just couldnt get on terms with the leaders on a day when nothing really went right but still up for the month.(DT-143.5pts)
Monthly Total+144.24pts
Running Total+2542.84pts
Back Bardolet 12pts at 5.0-4th(-12pts)Didnt really jump well enough to get involved
220 Catterick-Analysis-Lightening Rod is consistent and progressive,his ratings suggest this drop in class leaves this race at his mercy.Shadrack and Kings Grey are next best.
Back Lightening Rod 20pts at 3.0-Fell at the 2nd fence(-20pts)(DT-32pts)
140 Lingfield-Analysis-Pretty weak affair,Red Flash is slowly improving and is a danger but Avon Supreme`s run over course and distance last time would be good enough.
Back Avon Supreme 8.5pts at 5.8-UP(-8.5pts)Horse was in a good position but dropped away tamely(DT-40.5pts)
335 Leicester-Analysis-Hard to see why Grams and Ounces is such a short price.
Lay Grams and Ounces 35pts at 3.0-Won(-70pts)(DT-110.5pts)
250 Catterick-Analysis-This is posted late because of the fav becoming a non runner.On Gossamer Wings produced a good rating last time that should be good enough.
Back On Gossamer Wings 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Looked the winner nearly all the way but Doberdan showed some improvement to deny him.(-25pts)(DT-135.5pts)
620 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Competitive race,Knowe Head,Strike Force,John Potts and the gambled on Spes Nostra could all be called dangers but ive got Yourinthewill as fav,so ive got to do it at the current price.
Back Yourinthewill 8pts at 9.0-4th(-8pts)Just couldnt get on terms with the leaders on a day when nothing really went right but still up for the month.(DT-143.5pts)
Monthly Total+144.24pts
Running Total+2542.84pts
27th December
130 Chepstow-Analysis-Glenwood Knight has lost his way because of some poor jumping,however last time he showed he was on the way back and at a big price,could goi close.Pleu Pouvoir is a danger as is Quincy Des Pictons.
Back Glenwood Knight 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)Didnt jump well and never put in the right race by his seriously overrated jockey.
150 Southwell-Analysis-C P Joe is obviously progressing and must go well while Bivouac is a course specialist but these 2 are both a little shorter than I have them.Ostentation has 2 runs here(a win and a 3rd) and if he shows a little improvement from his seasonal debut last time then hes right in the mix.
Back Ostentation 6pts at 10.0-UP(-6pts)Really well backed into around the price I had it but never looked comfortable and didnt get home it seemed.(DT-11pts)
205 Kempton-Analysis-It was a bit of a shock to see Kentford Grey Lady so short in the betting,shes obviously improving but has a lot to find with Whoops a Daisy and Violin Davis.
Back Violin Davis 7pts at 7.0 -3rd(-7pts)Ran well and once again it shortened up in the betting but the winner is improving fast.(DT-18pts)
310 Kempton-Analysis-Very competitive race.Promising Anshan looks a bit short but I dont fancy laying a Paul Nicholls horse.Fortification is back to form and is a big danger but Fruity O`Rooney can hopefully get on the lead and make them all go.
Back Fruity O`Rooney 6pts at 13.0-Won(+72pts)As good a ride as you will ever see,one by one they fell(some of them literally)away as the horse just kept fighting them off.Brilliant!(DT+54pts)
335 Southwell-Analysis-Hopefully On the Cusp can repeat his good run last time and that would be good enough.
Back On the Cusp 11.5pts at 4.0-Won(+34.5pts)Made all and won well(DT+88.5pts)
Days total minus commission+84.07pts
Monthly Total+287.72pts
Running Total+2686.34pts
Back Glenwood Knight 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)Didnt jump well and never put in the right race by his seriously overrated jockey.
150 Southwell-Analysis-C P Joe is obviously progressing and must go well while Bivouac is a course specialist but these 2 are both a little shorter than I have them.Ostentation has 2 runs here(a win and a 3rd) and if he shows a little improvement from his seasonal debut last time then hes right in the mix.
Back Ostentation 6pts at 10.0-UP(-6pts)Really well backed into around the price I had it but never looked comfortable and didnt get home it seemed.(DT-11pts)
205 Kempton-Analysis-It was a bit of a shock to see Kentford Grey Lady so short in the betting,shes obviously improving but has a lot to find with Whoops a Daisy and Violin Davis.
Back Violin Davis 7pts at 7.0 -3rd(-7pts)Ran well and once again it shortened up in the betting but the winner is improving fast.(DT-18pts)
310 Kempton-Analysis-Very competitive race.Promising Anshan looks a bit short but I dont fancy laying a Paul Nicholls horse.Fortification is back to form and is a big danger but Fruity O`Rooney can hopefully get on the lead and make them all go.
Back Fruity O`Rooney 6pts at 13.0-Won(+72pts)As good a ride as you will ever see,one by one they fell(some of them literally)away as the horse just kept fighting them off.Brilliant!(DT+54pts)
335 Southwell-Analysis-Hopefully On the Cusp can repeat his good run last time and that would be good enough.
Back On the Cusp 11.5pts at 4.0-Won(+34.5pts)Made all and won well(DT+88.5pts)
Days total minus commission+84.07pts
Monthly Total+287.72pts
Running Total+2686.34pts
26th December
This is the majority of the selections for a very busy day but there may be more as the markets settle down.
205 Fontwell-Analysis-Run to Fly is a solid fav but Miss Fleur should be about at the finish in what i make a 2 horse race.
Back Miss Fleur 9pts at 5.3-Won(+38.7pts)Absolutely bolted up
315 Fontwell-Analysis-Sawago should run well but is pretty unreliable.Daneva isnt far behind and is more consistent.
Back Daneva 9pts at 6.0-3rd(-9pts)Top rated Sawago won well,Daneva was in there until 2 out but couldnt go with the front 2.(DT+29.7pts)
345 Fontwell-Analysis-None of the runners have totally convinced on heavy ground but Bon Spiel has some good ratings on soft and may be good enough.
Back Bon Spiel 11pts at 4.3-3rd(-11pts)The winner appeared to improve for the much softer ground.Bon Spiel could only plug on at one pace(DT+18.7pts)
120 Huntingdon-Analysis-Badgers Retreat has its handicap debut and if it could repeat its latest run,its well overpriced,Spanish Cruise and Vertueux are respected but i dont see Cool Steel as fav.
Back Badgers Retreat 7pts at 9.0-UP Lay Cool Steel 35pts at 5.0-UP(+46.7pts)
225 Huntingdon-Analysis-As long as Laneguy can produce its last rating,it will take a lot of beating.
Back Laneguy 25pts at 3.0-4th(-25pts)Betting told the story as Laneguy was a bit weak while the winner was very well backed.The selection just didnt jump well enough.(DT+21.7pts)
135 Market Rasen-Analysis-This marathon race looks ideal for Wide Receiver,its a very progressive horse with a series of ratings that put it well on top.
Back Wide Receiver 25pts 3.0-Won(+50pts)Jumped great and won easily(DT+74.7pts)
115 Wetherby-Analysis-Trojan Gift is another unexposed horse running in its first handicap.Once again if it can take its novice ratings into handicap company then its a big price.
Back Trojan Gift 5pts at 9.0-UP(-5pts)Didnt run a bad race but just weakened out of it before the last.(DT+69.7pts)
120 Towcester-Analysis-Tiger Lines consistent ratings on this ground and over a little bit further should seem go close on this stiff track.Halucha is the obvious danger while Washington Road is stepping up in trip.
Back Tiger Lines 10pts at 7.0-UP(-10pts)There was money for Tiger Lines but he surprisingly couldnt pick up late when I thought he wouldve been at its strongest.(DT+59.7pts)
155 Towcester-Analysis-Phar Again,Sawpit Supreme and Bohemian Rock are tightly matched and it wouldnt be a surprise if one of them won but Pensnett Bay ran well on its chasing debut and the drop back in trip should suit.Phar Again has drifted so can be backed
Back Pensnett Bay 6pts at 10.0-Won & Phar Again 7pts at 8.0-UP(+43pts)(DT+102.7pts)Typically the later bet on Phar Again proved a waste as the original selection ran as expected.
105 Wincanton-Analysis-It wouldnt be the biggest surprise if it ran below par but its last time out rating and ebing a course winner that will like the ground means Moon over Miami has to be backed.
Back Moon Over Miami 7pts at 6.6-4th(-7pts)One of those ones where you watch it expecting not a lot and thats what you got.Such an in and out horse that i really shouldnt be wasting money on.(DT+95.7pts)
250 Wincanton-Analysis-Although it stays further than this ,Drybrook Bedouin can cope back in trip and is a big price.Shaking hands is the clear danger
Back Drybrook Bedouin 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)Poor run ,lost touch early and was never in the hunt at any stage.(DT+90.7pts)
325 Ffos Las-Analysis-Frontier Spirit is improving but needs to again on my ratings to beat Oscar Gogo.
Back Oscar Gogo 9pts at 5.7-Won(+42.3pts)Tremendous ride from Adam Wedge saw him gain 4 lengths after the last and njut Frontier Spirit right on the line.(DT+133.0pts)
330 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Tornado Force is progressive but so is Woop Woop and is the value call.
Back Woop Woop 12pts at 4.3-2nd(-12pts)Tornado Force won in the style of very progressive horse.(DT+121.0pts)
330 Wetherby-Analysis-Fiercely competitive,Arrow Barrow,Sophonie,Dzesmin and Chucklemiss all have solid claims,behind them is Ananda Kanda so dont see his position as fav.
Lay Ananda Kanda 35pts at 5.4-2nd(+35pts)(DT+156.0pts)
Days total minus commission+148.2pts
Monthly Total+203.65pts
Running Total+2612.27pts
205 Fontwell-Analysis-Run to Fly is a solid fav but Miss Fleur should be about at the finish in what i make a 2 horse race.
Back Miss Fleur 9pts at 5.3-Won(+38.7pts)Absolutely bolted up
315 Fontwell-Analysis-Sawago should run well but is pretty unreliable.Daneva isnt far behind and is more consistent.
Back Daneva 9pts at 6.0-3rd(-9pts)Top rated Sawago won well,Daneva was in there until 2 out but couldnt go with the front 2.(DT+29.7pts)
345 Fontwell-Analysis-None of the runners have totally convinced on heavy ground but Bon Spiel has some good ratings on soft and may be good enough.
Back Bon Spiel 11pts at 4.3-3rd(-11pts)The winner appeared to improve for the much softer ground.Bon Spiel could only plug on at one pace(DT+18.7pts)
120 Huntingdon-Analysis-Badgers Retreat has its handicap debut and if it could repeat its latest run,its well overpriced,Spanish Cruise and Vertueux are respected but i dont see Cool Steel as fav.
Back Badgers Retreat 7pts at 9.0-UP Lay Cool Steel 35pts at 5.0-UP(+46.7pts)
225 Huntingdon-Analysis-As long as Laneguy can produce its last rating,it will take a lot of beating.
Back Laneguy 25pts at 3.0-4th(-25pts)Betting told the story as Laneguy was a bit weak while the winner was very well backed.The selection just didnt jump well enough.(DT+21.7pts)
135 Market Rasen-Analysis-This marathon race looks ideal for Wide Receiver,its a very progressive horse with a series of ratings that put it well on top.
Back Wide Receiver 25pts 3.0-Won(+50pts)Jumped great and won easily(DT+74.7pts)
115 Wetherby-Analysis-Trojan Gift is another unexposed horse running in its first handicap.Once again if it can take its novice ratings into handicap company then its a big price.
Back Trojan Gift 5pts at 9.0-UP(-5pts)Didnt run a bad race but just weakened out of it before the last.(DT+69.7pts)
120 Towcester-Analysis-Tiger Lines consistent ratings on this ground and over a little bit further should seem go close on this stiff track.Halucha is the obvious danger while Washington Road is stepping up in trip.
Back Tiger Lines 10pts at 7.0-UP(-10pts)There was money for Tiger Lines but he surprisingly couldnt pick up late when I thought he wouldve been at its strongest.(DT+59.7pts)
155 Towcester-Analysis-Phar Again,Sawpit Supreme and Bohemian Rock are tightly matched and it wouldnt be a surprise if one of them won but Pensnett Bay ran well on its chasing debut and the drop back in trip should suit.Phar Again has drifted so can be backed
Back Pensnett Bay 6pts at 10.0-Won & Phar Again 7pts at 8.0-UP(+43pts)(DT+102.7pts)Typically the later bet on Phar Again proved a waste as the original selection ran as expected.
105 Wincanton-Analysis-It wouldnt be the biggest surprise if it ran below par but its last time out rating and ebing a course winner that will like the ground means Moon over Miami has to be backed.
Back Moon Over Miami 7pts at 6.6-4th(-7pts)One of those ones where you watch it expecting not a lot and thats what you got.Such an in and out horse that i really shouldnt be wasting money on.(DT+95.7pts)
250 Wincanton-Analysis-Although it stays further than this ,Drybrook Bedouin can cope back in trip and is a big price.Shaking hands is the clear danger
Back Drybrook Bedouin 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)Poor run ,lost touch early and was never in the hunt at any stage.(DT+90.7pts)
325 Ffos Las-Analysis-Frontier Spirit is improving but needs to again on my ratings to beat Oscar Gogo.
Back Oscar Gogo 9pts at 5.7-Won(+42.3pts)Tremendous ride from Adam Wedge saw him gain 4 lengths after the last and njut Frontier Spirit right on the line.(DT+133.0pts)
330 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Tornado Force is progressive but so is Woop Woop and is the value call.
Back Woop Woop 12pts at 4.3-2nd(-12pts)Tornado Force won in the style of very progressive horse.(DT+121.0pts)
330 Wetherby-Analysis-Fiercely competitive,Arrow Barrow,Sophonie,Dzesmin and Chucklemiss all have solid claims,behind them is Ananda Kanda so dont see his position as fav.
Lay Ananda Kanda 35pts at 5.4-2nd(+35pts)(DT+156.0pts)
Days total minus commission+148.2pts
Monthly Total+203.65pts
Running Total+2612.27pts
21st December
130 Ludlow-Analysis-Not a very competitive race ratings wise.Mark Twain is unexposed over fences and All for Free has run very well recently but Lord Singer has got the ratings to go close.
Back Lord Singer 8pts at 7.0-UP(-8pts)
320 Ffos Las-Analysis-If having its first run on soft ground suits it as well as it did on the flat then Realisation should have enough to hold Mountainous.
Back Realisation 9pts at 5.3-3rd(-9pts)(DT-17pts)
Monthly Total+55.45pts
Running Total+2464.07pts
Back Lord Singer 8pts at 7.0-UP(-8pts)
320 Ffos Las-Analysis-If having its first run on soft ground suits it as well as it did on the flat then Realisation should have enough to hold Mountainous.
Back Realisation 9pts at 5.3-3rd(-9pts)(DT-17pts)
Monthly Total+55.45pts
Running Total+2464.07pts
20th December
130 Taunton-Analysis-2 prices are wrong here.Doeslessthanme should be clear fav and Oldrik certainly shouldnt be fav on my ratings.
Back Doeslessthanme 14pts at 3.5-2nd & Lay Oldrik 35pts at 3.2-Won(-91pts)Obviously the wrong result,Oldrik is progressing faster than I thought and made me pay.
Monthly Total+72.45pts
Running Total+2481.07pts
Back Doeslessthanme 14pts at 3.5-2nd & Lay Oldrik 35pts at 3.2-Won(-91pts)Obviously the wrong result,Oldrik is progressing faster than I thought and made me pay.
Monthly Total+72.45pts
Running Total+2481.07pts
18th December
210 Kempton-Analysis-Emmas Gift ran well last time but that added to his other good ratings over 1mile.It has 2 much lower ratings over todays trip and doesnt deserve to be fav on them.
Lay Emmas Gift 35pts at 4.2***3 non runners now***
The market shape has changed now with the above selection now being available at 4.3 which is after all the non runners more the price it should be.So the selections have changed.
Back Daring Indian 10pts at 5.5-Won(+45pts) & Beginnings 5pts at 10.5-UP(-5pts)(+40pts)
225 Carlisle-Analysis-Fair Spin has some good ratings over course and distance and hopefully should run well.Its very hard to see why Laureate des Loges has been backed this morning,its looks a bad price but im reluctant to lay because of the market support.
Back Fair Spin 13pts at 4.0-2nd(-13pts)Looked the winner everywhere but the final furlong,traded at 1.2 in running.(DT+27pts)
Days total minus commission+25.65pts
Monthly Total+163.45pts
Running Total+2572.07pts
Lay Emmas Gift 35pts at 4.2***3 non runners now***
The market shape has changed now with the above selection now being available at 4.3 which is after all the non runners more the price it should be.So the selections have changed.
Back Daring Indian 10pts at 5.5-Won(+45pts) & Beginnings 5pts at 10.5-UP(-5pts)(+40pts)
225 Carlisle-Analysis-Fair Spin has some good ratings over course and distance and hopefully should run well.Its very hard to see why Laureate des Loges has been backed this morning,its looks a bad price but im reluctant to lay because of the market support.
Back Fair Spin 13pts at 4.0-2nd(-13pts)Looked the winner everywhere but the final furlong,traded at 1.2 in running.(DT+27pts)
Days total minus commission+25.65pts
Monthly Total+163.45pts
Running Total+2572.07pts
17th December
12.40 Haydock-Analysis-Everyone get their prayer mats out and pray that this meeting is on because this is a very solid bet.The selection handles the ground and should just outclass the opposition.
Back Stormy Weather 25pts at 3.0(3.5 is available on Friday evening)-2nd(-25pts)Gifted the winner an easy 10 length lead and could never bridge the gap.
125 Ascot-Analysis-Renard is a solid fav and must go well but although there is a slight doubt about the ground,Lancetto is a consistent horse and has some form on it.
Back Lancetto 6pts at 9.0-Fell(-6pts)(DT-31pts)
240 Newcastle-Analysis-Hopefully the 2 chase debutants arent up to much,the betting suggests they are not.So Saddle Pack looks to have strong claims.
Back Saddle Pack 20pts at 3.75-3rd(-20pts)One of the worst rides you will ever see,taken back during the start of the last circuit,then didnt make any headway until 2 out,jumped the last about 20 lengths off the lead and stayed on to beaten about a length and a half(DT-51pts)
220 Lingfield-Analysis-Circumvent has a good rating last time but is drawn terrible,while Ceildh House is also poorly drawn and back in trip,hopefully course specialist Suits Me can get up there early and hold on.
Back Suits Me 7pts at 7.6-UP(-7pts)(DT-58pts)
245 Haydock-Analysis-Providing his slightly hit and miss jumping can hold up,Cannington Brook should run well.Wymott is the clear danger.
Back Cannington Brook 10pts at 6.0-Won(+50pts)Jumped well and stayed on to give me a deserved winner,find it hard to believe ive finished a little down today.(DT-8pts)
Monthly Total+137.80pts
Running Total+2546.42pts
Back Stormy Weather 25pts at 3.0(3.5 is available on Friday evening)-2nd(-25pts)Gifted the winner an easy 10 length lead and could never bridge the gap.
125 Ascot-Analysis-Renard is a solid fav and must go well but although there is a slight doubt about the ground,Lancetto is a consistent horse and has some form on it.
Back Lancetto 6pts at 9.0-Fell(-6pts)(DT-31pts)
240 Newcastle-Analysis-Hopefully the 2 chase debutants arent up to much,the betting suggests they are not.So Saddle Pack looks to have strong claims.
Back Saddle Pack 20pts at 3.75-3rd(-20pts)One of the worst rides you will ever see,taken back during the start of the last circuit,then didnt make any headway until 2 out,jumped the last about 20 lengths off the lead and stayed on to beaten about a length and a half(DT-51pts)
220 Lingfield-Analysis-Circumvent has a good rating last time but is drawn terrible,while Ceildh House is also poorly drawn and back in trip,hopefully course specialist Suits Me can get up there early and hold on.
Back Suits Me 7pts at 7.6-UP(-7pts)(DT-58pts)
245 Haydock-Analysis-Providing his slightly hit and miss jumping can hold up,Cannington Brook should run well.Wymott is the clear danger.
Back Cannington Brook 10pts at 6.0-Won(+50pts)Jumped well and stayed on to give me a deserved winner,find it hard to believe ive finished a little down today.(DT-8pts)
Monthly Total+137.80pts
Running Total+2546.42pts
17th December
12.40 Haydock-Analysis-Everyone get their prayer mats out and pray that this meeting is on because this is a very solid bet.The selection handles the ground and should just outclass the opposition.
Back Stormy Weather 25pts at 3.0(3.5 is available on Friday evening)
125 Ascot-Analysis-Renard is a solid fav and must go well but although there is a slight doubt about the ground,
Back Stormy Weather 25pts at 3.0(3.5 is available on Friday evening)
125 Ascot-Analysis-Renard is a solid fav and must go well but although there is a slight doubt about the ground,
16th December
1155 Southwell-Analysis-Equuleus Pictor looks vulnerable with various dangers.
Lay Equuleus Pictor 35pts at 4.0-3rd(+35pts)
245 Uttoxeter-Analysis-Theres been a lot of money for Hopeful Start ,so you have to respect that,also been some for Captain Tidds who has 1 rating from last season that would see it go close but 3miles on very soft ground is ideal for Master D`or ,who has 2 runs over shorter so far this season.Hopefully this course winner will be ready to roll now at a massive price.
Back Master D`or 6pts 20.0 -5th(-6pts)(DT+29pts)
450 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Obviously Wreningham is the one to beat but his form at Wolverhampton(so far)means he shouldnt be this short.Take a chance with Chester Deelyte who will be finishing fast.
*Since this post there has been 2 non runners,so the selection has changed.
Back Chester Deelyte 5pts at 11.0-Won(+50pts) & Lay Welsh Dancer 35pts at 6.0-UP(+35pts)Rather ironically Chester Deelyte drifted and was available at 25s on Betfair.Wreningham tied up near the end and the selection flew by.I also put up another horse to back in this race but it never got close to being matched.(DT+114pts)
Days total minus commission+108.30pts
Monthly Total+145.80pts
Running Total+2554.42pts
Lay Equuleus Pictor 35pts at 4.0-3rd(+35pts)
245 Uttoxeter-Analysis-Theres been a lot of money for Hopeful Start ,so you have to respect that,also been some for Captain Tidds who has 1 rating from last season that would see it go close but 3miles on very soft ground is ideal for Master D`or ,who has 2 runs over shorter so far this season.Hopefully this course winner will be ready to roll now at a massive price.
Back Master D`or 6pts 20.0 -5th(-6pts)(DT+29pts)
450 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Obviously Wreningham is the one to beat but his form at Wolverhampton(so far)means he shouldnt be this short.Take a chance with Chester Deelyte who will be finishing fast.
*Since this post there has been 2 non runners,so the selection has changed.
Back Chester Deelyte 5pts at 11.0-Won(+50pts) & Lay Welsh Dancer 35pts at 6.0-UP(+35pts)Rather ironically Chester Deelyte drifted and was available at 25s on Betfair.Wreningham tied up near the end and the selection flew by.I also put up another horse to back in this race but it never got close to being matched.(DT+114pts)
Days total minus commission+108.30pts
Monthly Total+145.80pts
Running Total+2554.42pts
15th December
230 Southwell-Analysis-Proven over course and distance,Double Duchess has got a lot in its favour.
Back Double Duchess 20pts at 3.0-WASNT MATCHED-
Back Double Duchess 20pts at 3.0-WASNT MATCHED-
13th December
2.0 Southwell-Analysis-Bianca de Medici looks a little short to me and Dazakhee on my ratings seems to have a better chance than the odds suggest.
Back Dazakhee 6.5pts at 8.8-UP(-6.5pts)
310 Folkestone-Analysis-Although he hasnt got his head in front so far,Black Mac has series of solid ratings over this trip and on the ground.
Back Black Mac 9pts at 6.0-2nd(-9pts)Smashed into favourite but just couldnt keep going,pretty frustrating.
(DT-15.5pts)
Monthly Total+37.50pts
Running Total+2446.12pts
Back Dazakhee 6.5pts at 8.8-UP(-6.5pts)
310 Folkestone-Analysis-Although he hasnt got his head in front so far,Black Mac has series of solid ratings over this trip and on the ground.
Back Black Mac 9pts at 6.0-2nd(-9pts)Smashed into favourite but just couldnt keep going,pretty frustrating.
(DT-15.5pts)
Monthly Total+37.50pts
Running Total+2446.12pts
12th December
415 Wolverhampton-Analysis-An improving 3yo against some more exposed rivals,Body Language should have a really good chance,ive got it about a 7/4 chance.
Back Body Language 20pts at 4.0(4.5 available)-UP(-20pts)I sound like an old record,another horse that got punted down to around the price I thought it should be but it ran a really flat race.I cant keep calling the prices right and not getting the end result.
Monthly Total+52.50pts
Running Total+2461.62pts
Back Body Language 20pts at 4.0(4.5 available)-UP(-20pts)I sound like an old record,another horse that got punted down to around the price I thought it should be but it ran a really flat race.I cant keep calling the prices right and not getting the end result.
Monthly Total+52.50pts
Running Total+2461.62pts
December 11th
215 Hereford-Analysis-Im going to take a punt on a horse that hasnt run for 607 days.It could be a massive mistake but it has run and won after a break and there is nothing really solid in the line up against it.
Back Dancing Mist 8pts at 9.0-3rd(-8pts)Im calling the prices right as this horse got punted into 9/2 fav but made a horrendous error early on and the jockey did well to stay on but i doubt he wouldve beaten the winner.
Monthly Total+72.50pts
Running Total+2481.62pts
Back Dancing Mist 8pts at 9.0-3rd(-8pts)Im calling the prices right as this horse got punted into 9/2 fav but made a horrendous error early on and the jockey did well to stay on but i doubt he wouldve beaten the winner.
Monthly Total+72.50pts
Running Total+2481.62pts
10th December
120 Cheltenham-Analysis-Havingotascoobydo is improving and is a danger but Astracad got a clear top rating last time and should run well.
Back Astracad 8pts at 6.0-Won(+40pts)Well backed and battled back to win
140 Doncaster-Analysis-Every now and then you have to back a horse who may not win but is such massive value that you are conifident it was the right call,whatever the outcome.Well Regarded is the obvious fav and a massive danger and will probably win but Sir Tantallus Hawk must run a good race.
Back Sir Tantallus Hawk 9pts at 8.0-3rd(-9pts)(DT+31pts)Horse ran well and if it had jumped the last better may have run the winner close.
1255 Lingfield-Analysis-Synthe Davis is shortish in the betting but its hard to see why.I made it between Action Impact and Manshoor.I got matched on Manshoor last night but am hoping for the same with Action.
Back Manshoor and Action Jackson 12pts each at 4.5(MEETING ABANDONED)
215 Doncaster-Analysis-Good little race and there are a couple of improvers in here but Charingworth ran so well after a break last time he is well overpriced.
Back Charingworth 8pts at 9.0-UP(-8pts)Another horse that got backed but he didnt really jump at all.(DT+23pts)
305 Cheltenham-Analysis-Seriously hot race but Clerks Choice is surely well over priced.He goes well fresh and loves good ground.
Back Clerks Choice 6pts at 13.0-UP(-6pts)(DT+17pts)It was far too hot and maybe a silly bet but it was a big price.
920 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Dont really see why theres been money for Little Garcon but it is a gambling yard while Bajan Tryst is very hit and miss but i make Secret Witness a solid fav here with Oasis Dancer next best.
Back Secret Witness 20pts at 5.0-UP(-20pts)(DT-3pts)Disappointing run although Oasis Dancer improved for the drop back in trip and won easily.
Monthly Total+80.50pts
Running Total+2489.62pts
Back Astracad 8pts at 6.0-Won(+40pts)Well backed and battled back to win
140 Doncaster-Analysis-Every now and then you have to back a horse who may not win but is such massive value that you are conifident it was the right call,whatever the outcome.Well Regarded is the obvious fav and a massive danger and will probably win but Sir Tantallus Hawk must run a good race.
Back Sir Tantallus Hawk 9pts at 8.0-3rd(-9pts)(DT+31pts)Horse ran well and if it had jumped the last better may have run the winner close.
1255 Lingfield-Analysis-Synthe Davis is shortish in the betting but its hard to see why.I made it between Action Impact and Manshoor.I got matched on Manshoor last night but am hoping for the same with Action.
Back Manshoor and Action Jackson 12pts each at 4.5(MEETING ABANDONED)
215 Doncaster-Analysis-Good little race and there are a couple of improvers in here but Charingworth ran so well after a break last time he is well overpriced.
Back Charingworth 8pts at 9.0-UP(-8pts)Another horse that got backed but he didnt really jump at all.(DT+23pts)
305 Cheltenham-Analysis-Seriously hot race but Clerks Choice is surely well over priced.He goes well fresh and loves good ground.
Back Clerks Choice 6pts at 13.0-UP(-6pts)(DT+17pts)It was far too hot and maybe a silly bet but it was a big price.
920 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Dont really see why theres been money for Little Garcon but it is a gambling yard while Bajan Tryst is very hit and miss but i make Secret Witness a solid fav here with Oasis Dancer next best.
Back Secret Witness 20pts at 5.0-UP(-20pts)(DT-3pts)Disappointing run although Oasis Dancer improved for the drop back in trip and won easily.
Monthly Total+80.50pts
Running Total+2489.62pts
9th December
110 Cheltenham-Analysis-Bene Lad and Matako are both respected but this looks at the mercy of improving chaser That`lldoboy.
Back That`lldoboy 14pts at 3.6-2nd(WASNT MATCHED)
210 Doncaster-Analysis-Stand Clear has been running some very solid races and must go close here.
Back Stand Clear 7pts at 6.6-NON RUNNER
245 Doncaster-Analysis-It could be that Soft Spoken Guy reserves his best form for Kelso but this is a pretty weak race and ive got him at 3/1.
Back Soft Spoken Guy 9pts at 8.0-UP(-9pts)Horse was really well backed but a series of little mistakes saw him lose touch
510 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Im against One Way or Another here,Anjomarba has a shout but is badly drawn while Transmit has to prove himself here so Fluctuation who is quite consistent ,is the shout.
Back Fluctation 7pts at 7.6-NOT MATCHED
Summary-Bit of a nothing day with horses not being matched and a non runner,hoping for better tomorrow.
Monthly Total+83.50pts
Running Total+2492.62pts
Back That`lldoboy 14pts at 3.6-2nd(WASNT MATCHED)
210 Doncaster-Analysis-Stand Clear has been running some very solid races and must go close here.
Back Stand Clear 7pts at 6.6-NON RUNNER
245 Doncaster-Analysis-It could be that Soft Spoken Guy reserves his best form for Kelso but this is a pretty weak race and ive got him at 3/1.
Back Soft Spoken Guy 9pts at 8.0-UP(-9pts)Horse was really well backed but a series of little mistakes saw him lose touch
510 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Im against One Way or Another here,Anjomarba has a shout but is badly drawn while Transmit has to prove himself here so Fluctuation who is quite consistent ,is the shout.
Back Fluctation 7pts at 7.6-NOT MATCHED
Summary-Bit of a nothing day with horses not being matched and a non runner,hoping for better tomorrow.
Monthly Total+83.50pts
Running Total+2492.62pts
8th December
6.0 Kempton-Analysis-Dr Finley seems overpriced to me.
Back Dr Finley 6pts at 11.0-UP(-6pts)
630 Kempton-Analysis-Silenzio deserves to get his head in front after a series of good efforts,he should be favourite on my ratings
Back Silenzio 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)(DT-13.5pts)
Monthly Total+92.50pts
Running Total+2501.62pts
Back Dr Finley 6pts at 11.0-UP(-6pts)
630 Kempton-Analysis-Silenzio deserves to get his head in front after a series of good efforts,he should be favourite on my ratings
Back Silenzio 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)(DT-13.5pts)
Monthly Total+92.50pts
Running Total+2501.62pts
7th December
3.0 Leicester-Analysis-I can only see 1 possible danger to the selection,Christopher Wren is unexposed over hurdles and is stepping up in trip,so may well improve for that but on my ratings,he needs to.If Fiendish Flame can run anywhere near his last run,he should win.
Back Fiendish Flame 25pts at 3.0-4th(-25pts)Got hassled for the lead early by the winning owners 2nd horse in the race and trying to get away from that horse told late on.
330 Leicester-Analysis-Although hes getting on a bit,Marked Man is very consistent and should run his race.Key Cutter looks the main danger with Forty Five having to prove himself on firm ground.
Back Marked Man 15pts at 4.0-3rd(-15pts)(DT-40pts)Marked Man jumped well but just couldnt keep up when his younger opponents kicked 2 out.
650 Kempton-Analysis-Providing Storm Runner can repeat his last run over a furlong shorter,he should go very well.
Back Storm Runner 9.5pts at 5.2-Won(+40pts)(DT=)A strong late surge from Storm Runner manages to get us back to level for the day.
Back Fiendish Flame 25pts at 3.0-4th(-25pts)Got hassled for the lead early by the winning owners 2nd horse in the race and trying to get away from that horse told late on.
330 Leicester-Analysis-Although hes getting on a bit,Marked Man is very consistent and should run his race.Key Cutter looks the main danger with Forty Five having to prove himself on firm ground.
Back Marked Man 15pts at 4.0-3rd(-15pts)(DT-40pts)Marked Man jumped well but just couldnt keep up when his younger opponents kicked 2 out.
650 Kempton-Analysis-Providing Storm Runner can repeat his last run over a furlong shorter,he should go very well.
Back Storm Runner 9.5pts at 5.2-Won(+40pts)(DT=)A strong late surge from Storm Runner manages to get us back to level for the day.
5th December
I did like Soprano in the 12.20 at Musselburgh but it has been backed overnight to a short price,so its unlikely we would get the 3.0 we would need.
No selections today
No selections today
4th December
140 Warwick-Analysis-Triangular is very hard to gauge as regards rating him.Sky Callings best runs would put him bang there.
Back Sky Calling 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)Bad Call really as Triangular won easily.
310 Warwick-Analysis-Keep Talking has been well backed but hes very inconsistent and while Easydoesit has a doubt if the ground isnt as good as described,this is his first run in a handicap and he should run well in a very weak race.
Back EasyDoesit 7pts at 6.0-2nd(-7pts)Horse ran well but found Keep Talking on a going day.(DT-14.5pts)
Monthly Total+106pts
Running Total+2515.12pts
Back Sky Calling 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)Bad Call really as Triangular won easily.
310 Warwick-Analysis-Keep Talking has been well backed but hes very inconsistent and while Easydoesit has a doubt if the ground isnt as good as described,this is his first run in a handicap and he should run well in a very weak race.
Back EasyDoesit 7pts at 6.0-2nd(-7pts)Horse ran well but found Keep Talking on a going day.(DT-14.5pts)
Monthly Total+106pts
Running Total+2515.12pts
3rd December
145 Wetherby-Analysis-Nine Stories is a danger as he goes very well fresh but Diamond Frontier ran a blinder first time out and should go even better with a bit more cut in the ground.
Back Diamond Frontier 15pts at 3.0-Won(+30pts)-I adjusted the price after earlier posting because of the non runner.Really brave win as the selection jumped well and battled back after being headed.
115 Wetherby-Analysis-Simonside is a decent favourite but My Arch will prove a tough opponent as the step up in trip will suit him while Rossmore Lad on my ratings needs to progress by at least 7Ib to have any chance.
Back My Arch 9pts at 6.6-Won(+50.4pts) & Lay Rossmore Lad 35pts at 5.3-UP(+35pts)(+85.4pts)-Another really well backed winner(DT+115.40pts)
220 Wetherby-Analysis-Pretty competitive race,I feel Dance for Julie and Sure Josie Sure are a little short and hopefully we should get matched on Teenage Idol who should run well.
Back Teenage Idol 6pts at 9.0-2nd(Wasnt matched)Horse ran well though which was good
340 Sandown-Analysis-Ive narrowed this marathon test down to 2,Do it for Dalkey is running well and if getting the trip,will be a tough horse to beat but Major Malarkey has a history of running well fresh,gets the trip and will like the ground.
Back Major Malarkey 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)Horse ran well and was leading between the last 2 fences but a mistake at the last put paid to his chance(DT+107.90pts)
850 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Probably not a race to take a short price in as there are a few who its possible havent shown their full hand yet particularly Limpopo Tom and Empyrean,having said that Monahullan Prince has been running well over hurdles and is 1/1 at the track,Just cant let this go unbacked at the price.
Back Monahullan Prince 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)There was a bit of money for it and it made a good move just before the turn but it had no answer when the days big gamble Limpopo Tom kicked clear.(DT+102.90pts)
Days total minus commission+97.75pts
Monthly Total+120.50pts
Runing Total+2529.62pts
Back Diamond Frontier 15pts at 3.0-Won(+30pts)-I adjusted the price after earlier posting because of the non runner.Really brave win as the selection jumped well and battled back after being headed.
115 Wetherby-Analysis-Simonside is a decent favourite but My Arch will prove a tough opponent as the step up in trip will suit him while Rossmore Lad on my ratings needs to progress by at least 7Ib to have any chance.
Back My Arch 9pts at 6.6-Won(+50.4pts) & Lay Rossmore Lad 35pts at 5.3-UP(+35pts)(+85.4pts)-Another really well backed winner(DT+115.40pts)
220 Wetherby-Analysis-Pretty competitive race,I feel Dance for Julie and Sure Josie Sure are a little short and hopefully we should get matched on Teenage Idol who should run well.
Back Teenage Idol 6pts at 9.0-2nd(Wasnt matched)Horse ran well though which was good
340 Sandown-Analysis-Ive narrowed this marathon test down to 2,Do it for Dalkey is running well and if getting the trip,will be a tough horse to beat but Major Malarkey has a history of running well fresh,gets the trip and will like the ground.
Back Major Malarkey 7.5pts at 7.6-UP(-7.5pts)Horse ran well and was leading between the last 2 fences but a mistake at the last put paid to his chance(DT+107.90pts)
850 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Probably not a race to take a short price in as there are a few who its possible havent shown their full hand yet particularly Limpopo Tom and Empyrean,having said that Monahullan Prince has been running well over hurdles and is 1/1 at the track,Just cant let this go unbacked at the price.
Back Monahullan Prince 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)There was a bit of money for it and it made a good move just before the turn but it had no answer when the days big gamble Limpopo Tom kicked clear.(DT+102.90pts)
Days total minus commission+97.75pts
Monthly Total+120.50pts
Runing Total+2529.62pts
2nd December
145 Lingfield-Analysis-Dr Livingstone won nicely last time and should go close again.
Back Dr Livingstone 12pts at 4.5-3rd(-12pts)
5.0 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Blue Moon and Loyalty were the 2 solid ones here I thought although there has been money for Famusa.Loyalty is the bigger price.
Back Loyalty 15pts at 5.5-Won(+67.5pts)(DT+55.5pts) Called it spot on,well backed and won pretty cosy.
Days total minus commission+52.75pts
Monthly Total:+22.75pts
Running Total+2431.87pts
Back Dr Livingstone 12pts at 4.5-3rd(-12pts)
5.0 Wolverhampton-Analysis-Blue Moon and Loyalty were the 2 solid ones here I thought although there has been money for Famusa.Loyalty is the bigger price.
Back Loyalty 15pts at 5.5-Won(+67.5pts)(DT+55.5pts) Called it spot on,well backed and won pretty cosy.
Days total minus commission+52.75pts
Monthly Total:+22.75pts
Running Total+2431.87pts
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