31st January

 410 Wolverhampton-Ths is wide open and a distinct lack of regular winners on show.

The whole field have only won 6 times between them in the last 365 days and two of those were by Madrinho.

This horse has also won here before and drops back in grade,off its last winning mark.Add in Ben Curtis taking the ride(20% strike rate for the yard) and this horse looks a big price.

On pure figures then Comeatchoo has a good chance but a record of 2/45 says it all,it may do it but i`m happy to miss it at the prices.

Back Madrinho 4pts at 12.0 at Skybet/Betvictor-UP(-4pts)Fell out and never involved,ironically Comeatchoo drifted to a good price but still a good month.

Monthly Total+165.25pts

Running Total+389.00pts

30th January

 205 Doncaster-Theres no doubt in my mind where the value lies in this and thats with Rayna`s World.

On my figures,this lightly raced mare has the ratings to easily outrun its odds.

The trainer has won the last 2 runnings of this,so knows what it takes and the fact this horse revels in very soft ground can only be a positive.It finished 3rd in the mares novice hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival last year and actually finished in front of the likely favourite here,Floressa, that day.

That horse also has a question to answer after running well below par on its only start on soft ground so far.Miranda has been fairly progressive but was beaten in a handicap last time and this is another step up in class.

Maries Rock holds chances on last seasons form but that progression stalled on its seasonal debut this term,it remains to be seen if thats as good as it is.

Back Rayna`s World 1pt at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-4pts)There was money for it but it ran no sort of race.

29th January

 No Selections

28th January

 355 Southwell-Ornate has been running well of late and returns to a track where its form figures read 2-1-1-3-2.

There is some other pace setters on show but I doubt any will be able to lay up with Ornate.This drop in class will help it to last home,if it can get away from them,which i expect it to do.

The clear danger is Tawny Port ,who is 2/2 here and will be suited by the way the race is run but it is 20 runs since it last got its head in front.

Back Ornate 20pts at 3.0 at Bet365-Won(+42.50pts*BOG)The ideal track for its front running style but brave at the end as well.

310 Wetherby-Maypole Class has progressive ratings after just 3 runs over fences and should be a shorter price than it is.

Its 3w-1p-6r going left handed and 3w-1p-4r in fields of 11 or less like today,the trip and ground are ideal and there looks to be some decent pace in the race,which it should sit off until the straight.

Town Parks is consistent and should run well and has to rate a danger while Champagne Mystery drops 2 grades and hails from a top yard but it has a very patchy profile and isnt easy to assess.

Back Maypole Class 3pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-Meeting Abandoned

Monthly Total+173.25pts

Running Total+397.00pts

27th January

 300 Lingfield-This is weak and although it has a tendency to get going too late,they may go decent gallop and that will help Bird For Life.

It has 7 wins to its name in this grade,so this drop in class will help and its last run over this course and distance,back in August,saw it beaten a nose off a 4Ib higher mark.So if the gallop is decent and the jockey can get it going early enough,it may be able to pick them off late on.

The clear danger is Aleatoric ,who has ran well in its two most recent starts.

Back Bird For Life 1pt at 8.0 at Paddys/Betfair-3rd(-6pts)Given every chance by its jockey but not good enough.

26th January

 610 Wolverhampton-Opportunities are thin on the ground tomorrow but I cannot let Bell Heather go unbacked.

This is its favourite track and when appearing here in class 6 races,its never far away(5w-5p-15r) and its also 3w-1p-7r over this trip.Add in a fair draw then it should be able to sit in just behind the pace.

Heron`s Nest ran well last time over course and distance but is 0 from 11 and looks a tight enough price.

Turn Of Phrase is very lightly raced and seems to be improving,it looks the danger.

Back Bell Heather 4pts at 11.0 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-4pts)Weak in the betting and although in a good position,it was very one paced in the straight.

25th January

 210 Chelmsford-Casaruan drops 2 grades into a class 6,back at a track where its achieved both its career wins and looks decent value at the prices.

Its only appeared in this class ,at this track twice before and won them both.

Word of Honour holds chances but has no course form while Luna Wish has gone well here before but has a poor draw.

Back Casaruan 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Backed into 5/2 but never in it.

410 Chelmsford-Its had a little break but if it turns up in good form then Indigo Times should be winning this.Its down in class and has won 2 of its 3 starts here,so looks a solid favourite.

Gold Standard is consistent but has no track form while Decora ran well last time on its first start for a new trainer but is up in grade and tries this track for the first time.

Back Indigo Times 18pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Won(+40.25pts)Won nicely.

250 Plumpton-This looks a 3 horse race to me with Cheque En Blanc appealing the most.

Its 2w-2p-7r at this track and 5w-3p-13r on races from 3m to 3m4f.After a good run last time,Im surprised it isnt heading the market.

Echo Watt is the main danger for me,it posted a good rating last time but moves up in trip and is off a career high mark,however it is 2w-1p-4r in this class.

I See You Well is inconsistent but on a going day,its got the figures to be involved.

Back Cheque En Blanc 9pts at 5.0 at Hills-2nd(-9pts)Looked like it was coming with a winning run but a horse it had gone past rallied and got up close home.(DT+25.25pts)

24th January

210 Lingfield-Always Fearless has only had one run at this track ,where it led until getting nutted close home.That was over 10 furlongs and after a fine run last time over this trip at Wolverhampton,this trip at this track could be ideal.

Add in the valuable 3Ibs being taken off by the jockey plus a drop in class and its difficult to see it not going close.

Thrill Seeker is still lightly raced but doesnt look well handicapped on what its done so far,Catch My Breath won over course and distance last time but this is a rise in class,so the main danger looks to be Rogue Tide who won last time at this track.

Back Always Fearless 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies -3rd(-12pts)Jockey gave it every chance but I dont think this horse wants to win,as it hung as soon as it came under pressure.Need to get back on the winning run!

23rd January

 540 Newcastle-When it appears in class 4 handicaps then Tintoretto is a force to be reckoned with(2w-1p-4r) and with jockey Tom Marquand boasting the same record on the horse then its chance is clear.

Its latest rating suggests it can win off this handicap mark and if it takes to the track then its the one to beat.

Danielsflyer looks a bit short to me with a record of 0w-4p-16r at this trip while Seas Of Elzaam looked to have no excuses when upped in class last time.

Streak Lightning would be the one id be wary of,as its still lightly raced and drops in trip.

Back Tintoretto 11pts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-3rd(-11pts)Never looked like winning

205 Haydock-Although its been racing over fences recently,Chef DOeuvre`s guaranteed stamina appeals here.It showed its on its way back when a good second to progressive rival last time,on its second run back from a long absence.

Its finished 3rd and 1st on its 2 starts at this track,is 3w-1p-7r on heavy ground and boasts 2 wins over this trip,it looks a big price.

Farrants Way drops in class but needs to find more while Hijack represents top connections but has its stamina to prove.Clyne often runs well but hasnt won for nearly 3 years.

Back Chef DOeuvre 1pt at 8.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Hurdling went to pieces down the back and struggled.

240 Haydock-On the 3 times from 4 starts that Sam Brown has posted a rating,its clear its on a fair mark especially as its unexposed as a chaser and now moves up in trip with the added bonus of Ben Godfrey taking off 5Ibs but you will need to get home on this ground and it could be vulnerable late on.

Royale Pagaille won well last time but was raised 16Ibs for that success,I dont think its out of it but thats a big task.

Sams Adventure looks a bigger threat as it likes the trip,course and ground.There appears to be no holes in its profile(Heavy Ground 5w-3p-10r)(3Miles+ 2w-0p-5r)(11r or less 5w-5p-14r),it looks the value.

Back Sams Adventure 7pts at 7.0 at Paddys/Betfair-Fell(-7pts)(DT-24pts)

Monthly Total+127.50pts

Running Total+351.25pts

22nd January

 615 Chelmsford-Lord Riddiford posted a career best rating last time and with a 3w-2p-7r record around this track,it has to go well plus all 7 career wins have been when returning to the track within 60 days like today.I would have it as Favourite.

Tone The Barone is a big threat,as it boasts a 3/3 record over this course and distance and also goes well fresh,however it is a 14Ibs higher than its last win on the all weather and that has to be a worry.

Nigel Nott is another course specialist with 3 wins to its name and returning here could help but its last 2 runs have suggested its lost its edge for the time being.

Rovaniemi is 0 from 7 handicaps and takes another drop in trip but I still havent got it well handicapped on my figures.

Back Lord Riddiford 11pts at 4.33 at Bet365-Jockey fell off leaving the stalls!(-11pts)

21st January

 150 Wincanton-Supreme Escape has only had 2 runs over fences and the rating it posted last time suggests its nicely handicapped at the moment.That is not also taking into account those runs were over much shorter than its best ratings over hurdles,so this step up in trip should be ideal.

Add in its 1/1 on heavy ground and it looks a rock solid favourite.

Favori De Sivola is also progressive but its best runs have been on good ground while Broadclyst has the ratings to be a danger but is 0 from 13.Findusatgorcombe stays very well but it is off a career high mark now.

Back Supreme Escape 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365-Pulled Up(-18pts)Backed into 6/4 but ran poorly.

350 Wincanton-From a handicapping perspective,theres no doubt Cyclop holds a fine chance here but this is just 8 days since its last run and in 4 runs over fences at this track,its achieved little(PU,PU,3rd,Fell),its current price means theres value elsewhere.

I like the progressive Nearly Perfect,who jumped for fun when winning here last time and that took its record to 2/2 at this track.

Its up in trip a little but wasnt stopping last time and could even improve for it,its definitely the wrong price.

Gleno has won its last two but up in trip and on very soft ground could find it out while Another Venture will have no problem with conditions but has it to do on my ratings.

Back Nearly Perfect 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-4th(-8pts)Ran quite well but weakened late on(DT-26pts)

20th January

 315 Chepstow-Memphis Bell continues to defy the handicapper but it was beaten 98 lengths on its only run here before,so its possible its vulnerable and a tight enough price to boot.

Take it on with Little Red Lion,whos progressive and reverts to hurdles here.Its 2w-2p-6r on heavy and its form figures over trips between 2m7f and 3m1f read 1st-1st-Fell-1st.

Le Tueur would hold chances on its win 2 starts back but it ran below par last time.

Back Little Red Lion 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Fine ride and a gutsy horse got it done.

630 Southwell-It might look stupid as they go over the line but Crazy Spin is such an incredibly short price here.

It is a 4 time course winner but its got little in hand on my figures and it faces competition for the lead from Susie Javea,so 13/8 looks really tight,Id be amazed if it doesnt drift.

False Id ended a long losing run at the weekend but its got a bit on here on my ratings,the obvious unknown is Szarratu ,who makes its debut after racing in Poland and is imterestingly owned by Dan Skelton but the betting should tell its tale.

On my figures,the value is Van Dijk,who should be favourite for me.It finished a close second last time from out the handicap and now appears off 4Ibs lower,so its handicapping chance is a good one and as long as it doesnt chuck in one of its slow starts then it must go close.

Back Van Dijk 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12pts)Looked the winner after coming with a strong run up the straight(Touched 1.03 in running) but the winner rallied.(DT+28pts)

Monthly Total+188.50pts

Running Total+412.25pts

19th January

 Could not find anything that appeared to be the wrong price.

I liked Beach Break(740 Southwell) and if it drifted to something around 7/4 then it would be worth an interest.

But its a no bet day

18th January

 410 Wolverhampton-From the outside stall,Spirit of Rowdown ran a cracker last time and continued its excellent form at this track(2w-1p-4r).

From a much better draw,I would expect it to go very close although it appears to have to be produced fairly late but the jockey knows the horse well,after riding it for both its wins.

Livia The Empress looks the main danger unless one of the handicap debutantes improves a fair bit.

Back Spirit of Rowdown 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12pts)2 more strides and it would have won,just got shuffled back early on.

335 Ayr-The drop in class could be just what Made For You needs to get its head in front again.

Its up in trip and on very soft ground,so I wouldnt want it to be too keen during the race but its ratings give it a class edge on its rivals.The trainer has a 23% strike rate at this track and the jockeys claim will help,if it stays then it wins for me.

J`Ai Froid would have a fair chance on its 2019 form but its return 47 days ago was less than encouraging,so it has questions to answer.

Back Made For You 18pts at 2.75 at Various Bookies-UP(-18pts)Very weak in the market and it ran like it(DT-30pts)

17th January

 335 Southwell-Zylan will go well here,as a multiple course winner and also a horse that comes to itself at the turn of the year(Jan-Feb 12r-4w-4p) but its a tight enough price .

Requinto Dawn is another does that ok here but its generally operated at a lower level of late and it remians to be seen if it can cope with this higher grade.

Katheefa is inconsistent but is well handicapped now but I like the look of Wasntexpectingthat.

Its not hit form this season but now moves to a new yard and is nicely handicapped 5Ibs below its last winning mark.Its ran twice here before and finished 2nd and 1st,that win produced a rating that suggests its got a lot in hand if it can bounce back.

Back Wasntexpectingthat 2pts at 6.0 at Bet365-UP(7pts)Weak in the market close to the off and ran poorly.

16th January

 130 Market Rasen-Since joining Ben Pauling`s yard,Fawsley Spirit`s form has gone up a level and it was unlucky not to win last time and has a good chance of gaining compensation here.

It heads my ratings and several of these are not in great form,so it looks a very solid favourite and the yard do well here(Strikerate 25%)

Blue Hussar won this last year and rates the danger although Rockhamtom is unexposed and could improve but it doesnt look well handicapped on what its done so far.

Back Fawsley Spirit 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Tough performance from the front.

205 Market Rasen-This looks a two horse race to me and Oscars Leader rates the value.

Although it stays further,this is its best trip and its possible it could get a solo out in front.

Edwardstone is the clear danger and reverts back to hurdles after falling on its chase debut last time,its generally operated in higher grades so far over hurdles ,so its respected but the price is tight enough.

Back Oscars Leader 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365-3rd(-12pts)Edwardstone won easily but I doubt the selection has run its race(DT+24pts)

Monthly Total+197.50pts

Running Total+421.25pts

14th January

330 Fontwell-I cannot resist having a little on Ballybreen returning to form here.

Its done very little in 2 runs so far this season but thats fairly typical(Oct-Dec 0w-0p-8r) and it tends to come alive once the turn of the year has come(Jan-Feb 3w-0p-3r).

Add to that the refitting of blinkers(3w-1p-4r in them) and a drop in grade into a class 5(3w-1p-8r) then the price could look very big come the end of the race.

Love The Leader has an obvious chance from a handicapping perspective but im not that keen about taking a short price about a horse aged 13.

Back Ballybreen 3pts at 21.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+52pts*Rule 4) Favourite was a non runner but this was still hammered into favourite.Jumped out in front and never saw another rival.Amazing run!

Monthly Total+173.50pts

Running Total+397.25pts

13th January

 240 Leicester-Decent race and some lightly raced types on show but if it handles the softer ground then When You`re Ready looks a fair price based on my ratings.

Ive got it having a similar chance to Fanfaron Dino but that one is priced around the 6/4 mark.

Fil Dariane won around here last time and has chances also.

Back When You`re Ready 8pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Just a great ride,jumped well and was strong at the finish.

Monthly Total+121.50pts

Running Total+345.25pts

12th January

 430 Newcastle-Rovaniemi heads the market and looks vulnerable to me.Its down in trip again to the shortest distance its ever ran over,the trainer has just a 4% strike rate here in recent times and has no track experience,add Jamie Spencer on top and I wouldnt want to be on it.

Take it on with Ventura Lightning,who ran well here on both starts and appears here 13Ibs lower than when a close up 5th in a group race at this track, in June.

Back Ventura Lightning 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-Won(+66pts*BOG)Lifted home by Tony Hamilton with the fav toiling back in third.Nice drift too.

500 Newcastle-Venturous looks to have a fair bit going for it here.

Its in form,the jockey is 1/1 on it while its last 3 starts at this track read 1st-2nd-1st.

Its 3w-0p-6r in fields of 7 or less and is a proven winner in the grade.

Ornate would worry me if it got a solo upfront but Royal Birth is probably the biggest danger.

Back Venturous 16pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Perfect pace scenario and perfect ride.

310 Wetherby-This is a decent race for the grade but Commit Or Quit looks the value to me,despite coming down last time.

It posted its best rating over course and distance and is still fairly unexposed over fences.

Little Red Lion is progressive and respected while Seemingly So has a rating from last season that puts it bang there.

Ecossais is up in class and will need to find more.

Back Commit Or Quit 7pts at 6.5 at Betvictor/Skybet-2nd(-7pts)Backed into 10/3 and ran a great race.Definitely capable of winning again.(DT+95pts)

Monthly Total+81.5pts

Running Total+305.25pts

11th January

 220 Hereford-Volcano looks like it needs further than this particularly after a 11Ib rise for winning last time.

Orrisdale is lightly raced but not sure the drop in trip will suit whilst it looks the perfect trip for Flagrant Delitiep.

This horse has only had 3 runs over fences and each has seen it improve.It likes to sit handy which suits around this track,interestingly the jockey has only ridden in 9 races here in the last 2 years and won on 4 of them.

Back Flagrant Delitiep 20pts at 2.875-Won(+37.5pts)Great round of jumping throughout.

615 Wolverhampton-Lihou drops in grade and its last 4 runs in this grade read 1st-2nd-3rd-1st.

Its been in good form and should run well.

Verne Castle is handicapped to win and ran well 7 days ago but its 2 runs at this track saw it run below par.

Back Lihou 13pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+39pts)A much needed double.(DT+76.5pts)

10th January

 240 Exeter-Eclair Surf produced a rating on its second chase start ,last time that suggests its got around 10Ibs in hand,if it runs its race.

Its encouraging its won here over hurdles and this lightly raced horse should have plenty more to come.

Theres no doubt Venitia Williams will have Brianstorm ,turning up fit and well but this horse was pretty inconsistent the last time we saw it while Francky Du Berlais is consistent but clearly beatable.

Flinck represents last years winning stable and it could improve.

Back Eclair Surf  12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-12pts)In front 3 out,looked like it didnt get home.Very disappointing that it didnt.

Monthly total -90pts

Running Total+133.75pts

9 January

 345 Wincanton-Its yet to win but Jackson Hill made a good start to its chasing career,when racing over further and this drop in trip will suit.

It looks value as there should be a decent pace to run at.

Molineaux generally runs its race and its ratings make it the one to beat.

Back Jackson Hill 5pts at 13.0 at 888sport-Won(+60pts)Very odd race but they went off very hard and the extra stamina came into play.

357 Kempton-Malaya hasnt run in a class 3 handicap for 2 years and should appreciate the drop in grade.

The booking of top claimer Kevin Brogan catches my eye and the 7Ibs off could be vital.

Chti Balko posted a good rating last time and it would have a great chance on that but it seems to like Heavy ground/Haydock combination and is 0w-0p-3r going right handed.

Breffniboy continues to defy the handicapper but surely is up against it here so Fransham looks the main danger.

Back Malaya 8pts at 5.5 at Hills-UP(-8pts)Travelled into it but very one paced when it mattered.

350 Chepstow-Recently,Whiteoak Fleur`s form has moved up a level,with it posted very progressive figures the last twice.

That last run suggests its still got a fair bit in hand and with lots of form over further.You would hope to see have made plenty of use of.

There has been money for handicap debutant Poniente but if the selection runs its race then will need to improve.

Back Whiteoak Fleur 20pts at 2.75 at Bet365/Boylesports-UP(-20pts)Jumped violently right which ruined any chance.

105 Lingfield-One of the unexposed horses may prove too strong but ElGhazwani`s record of 6 wins from 7 starts over this course and distance cannot be ignored.

It looks the value to me with Make it Rain heading the dangers

Back El Ghazwani 7pts at 6.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-7pts)Very weak in the betting and offered nothing(DT+25pts)

8th January

 1220 Lingfield-Opportunites are very thin on the ground at the moment with all the abandonments but this jumpers bumpers looks a decent opportunity for Mister Burbidge.

It has a significant edge in that it races around this trip regularly in flat races and goes well on this surface.its only finished out of the first 3 once in its last 7 runs here.

Theres enough juice in its price to warrant an interest.

If it was a jumps race then Rose Of Aghaboe would go very well but the surface is an unknown,its stallion`s progeny are 0 from 24 on polytrack.

Back Mister Burbidge 16pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-4th(-16pts)Jockey got in a complete mess.Absolutely terrible start to the year.

7th January

 258 Ffos Las-Miss Jeanne Moon has only had 5 runs and if handling the ground then it should go close here.

Its gradually improving and has a bit in hand on my ratings.

Memphis Bell was in great form last time we saw it ,however its now back from a break and although track and ground hold no fears for it,my figures suggest it needs to improve again.

Lily The Pink is now 12Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable.

Back Miss Jeanne Moon 3pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies

328 Ffos Las-BallyBreen has an interesting profile.

It may be its not the same animal but is 0w-0p-8r during October to December,so some below par runs this season could be forgiven while its 4w-2p-7r during January and February.

Its 3 from 8 on heavy ground and is 4 from 7 around this trip ,so conditions are fine and a record of 3w-1p-7r in fields of 10 runners or more suggests a better run can be expected.

Don Herbager is an obvious danger.

Back BallyBreen 1pt at 19.0 at Paddys/Betfair-Meeting Abandoned

4th January

 155 Fakenham-This season,Miss Zip appears to have been either running over too far,too higher class or going the wrong way round.

So back at its best trip,in a class where its won its only race over fences and is also going back left handed.

The trainer has a 33% strike rate here and it could hold a class edge.

Episode ran well last time over this course and distance but its inconsistent,so it remains to be seen if it can back that up and similar comments apply to Achy Breaky Heart.

Back Miss Zip 10pts at 5.0 at Hills-Pulled UP(-10pts)And on it goes...sounding like a broken record,backed into 7/4 but made a bad error early on and was pulled up.

Monthly Total-87pts

Running Total+136.75pts

3rd January

 1235 Southwell-Social City is on a roll after winning its last four races,including its last two here.

Track form is always so vital and this progressive animal can go in again.

Quel Destin heads the market,as it could be decently handicapped based on its hurdling exploits,however no fibresand form and with a sire that isnt prolific here either(6% strikerate).

The prices look the wrong way round to me.

Back Social City 5pts at 2.75 at William Hill.-UP(-20pts)Probably one race too many for this horse.Backed into evens as well but well below par.

2nd January

 205 Ayr-Evander is progressive and could be too good but it may get taken on upfront and the lack of heavy ground form would make me wary.

Flowery should go well although its rising up the weights without winning while Clan Legend is now off a career high mark at the age of 11.

Jonniesofa has conditions in his favour and wont be far away but at a price,I think Charmant is value here.

It drops 2 grades after contesting two grade 1`s this season ,Brian Hughes is 4 from 9  on it,its 3w-0p-6r in class 3 races and its 1/1 over these fences and its back on itd last winning mark,so a return to form would not be a massive surprise.

Back Charmant 1pt at 9.0 at Bet365/888sport-Meeting Abandoned

225 Sandown-I would definitey have the prices of Metier and Galice Macalo closer together and the latter looks value to me.

Both are progressive but I like the proven course and class form of Galice Macalo.

Back Galice Macalo 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-UP(-13pts)Far too keen and dropped away.

335 Sandown-Guard Your Dreams makes its handicap debut and although its progressive,it has very little in hand of its mark on my ratings and im keen to take it on.

Friend Or Foe has gone up 13Ibs for winning last time plus its up in class and it looks vulnerable.

The Pink`n looks better on good ground and its 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so this looks a fair opportunity for Monsieur Lecoq.

Its been running in France or over fences or in a higher grade but its form figures in this class on soft ground and they read 1st-1st,including this race 2 years ago.

Its last run in handicap company ,it came 2nd to a horse that is now rated 22Ibs higher.

It must go close.

Back Monsieur Lecoq 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-3rd(-12pts)Never got involved.

410 Wolverhampton-Fair Star has only had 4 runs and each run has seen it progress on my ratings.

Its only had 1 run over this trip and I would have it around the 6/4 mark.

Lord Of The Alps is also lightly raced but has no track form and im surprised to see a claimer booked.

Back Fair Star 16pts at 3.25 Paddy/Betvictor-2nd(-16pts)

540 Wolverhampton-So much deadwood in this and I like the class dropper Michelle Strogoff.

Its a triple course winner and has only ever had 1 run in this grade and is now 22Ibs lower than its last winning mark.With a nice draw to boot,if it can just run its race then it should take this.

Ascot Week is 3w-1p-7r in this grade but is 0w-0p-9r around this trip.Revolutionary Man has been in decent form but it may be better at shorter and it ran a shocker on its only start here.

Back Michelle Strogoff 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-10pts)Another day of well  acked horses faiing to deliver.(DT-51pts)

1st January

 120 Musselburgh-After 2 spins over the big obstacles,it looks like that plan has been shelved for the time being for Elf De Re and it reverts back to hurdles where it is still lightly raced and looked progressive,the last time we saw it over them.

This horse likes to handy which is vital around here and with the trainers horses running well,it looks a bit overpriced.

Sebastopol drops in class and rates an obvious danger if it stays the extra distance.

Anything Paul Nicholls sends up here has to be noted and Accomplice is unexposed but doesnt look well handicapped on my figures.

Back Elf De Re 6pts at 8.0 at Hills/Bet365-UP(-6pts)

230 Musseburgh-Brotherly Company to my eye,looks like it needs a trip,on decent ground and on a sharp track.It gets all this here and I expect it to run very well.

Its finished 1st and 2nd in both chase starts here and has only had 6 runs for its current trainer,so there could be more to come.

Oscar Ceremony is in good form and rates the main danger but is 0w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or more.

Eagle Ridge won last time but is 0w-2p-12r in this class,so look vulnerable while Shanroe Street hasnt won for nearly 3 years.

Back Brotherly Company 9pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Betvictor/Bet365-Non Runner(DT-6pts)