430 Newcastle-Rovaniemi heads the market and looks vulnerable to me.Its down in trip again to the shortest distance its ever ran over,the trainer has just a 4% strike rate here in recent times and has no track experience,add Jamie Spencer on top and I wouldnt want to be on it.
Take it on with Ventura Lightning,who ran well here on both starts and appears here 13Ibs lower than when a close up 5th in a group race at this track, in June.
Back Ventura Lightning 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365-Won(+66pts*BOG)Lifted home by Tony Hamilton with the fav toiling back in third.Nice drift too.
500 Newcastle-Venturous looks to have a fair bit going for it here.
Its in form,the jockey is 1/1 on it while its last 3 starts at this track read 1st-2nd-1st.
Its 3w-0p-6r in fields of 7 or less and is a proven winner in the grade.
Ornate would worry me if it got a solo upfront but Royal Birth is probably the biggest danger.
Back Venturous 16pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Perfect pace scenario and perfect ride.
310 Wetherby-This is a decent race for the grade but Commit Or Quit looks the value to me,despite coming down last time.
It posted its best rating over course and distance and is still fairly unexposed over fences.
Little Red Lion is progressive and respected while Seemingly So has a rating from last season that puts it bang there.
Ecossais is up in class and will need to find more.
Back Commit Or Quit 7pts at 6.5 at Betvictor/Skybet-2nd(-7pts)Backed into 10/3 and ran a great race.Definitely capable of winning again.(DT+95pts)
Monthly Total+81.5pts
Running Total+305.25pts
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