31st December

 100 Lingfield-Last years winner of this race,Furzig ,turn up again in good form and drops in class.

This held up performer should have a good pace to aim at and the young jockey has ridden 6 winners from her last 19 rides.It has got 2 course wins to its name and it is still unexposed at this trip after just 4 runs.

It should be clear favourite.

The Trader at its best will be a big danger but it doesnt have any course experience and I always prefer horses that are proven on the surface here.

Oslo ran well last time but does have to prove its stamina and it ran poorly on its only start here.

Back Furzig 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts)Finished the year with a winner and given an absolute peach from a very promising young jockey.

120 Warwick-Templier ran like its SP suggested on its seasonal debut 39 days ago but it has a desperate record fresh and if it can return to the form of late last season then its a big player here.

Its 2w-2p-7r during December and January and its only had one start in this class over fences.

Clondaw Storm is very inconsistent but ran well last time ,a record of 0w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or more suggests caution while Khairagash has been running decent but is defintely beatable.

Light Of Flicker is unexposed and rates the danger.

Back Templier 5pts at 10.0 at Bet365/888sport-5th(-5pts)Drifted badly out to 33/1 but ran ok.(DT+37pts)

Monthly Total+61.50pts

Running Total+223.75pts

30th December

 No Selections today

29th December

 1220 Newbury-Dropped back in trip last time,Mystc Dreamer produced its best rating to date and finished in front of a horse that came out and won next time out.

The jockey has a 22% strike rate for the yard and this looks overpriced.

Panic Attack was below par last time but would hold chances on its previous run ,it does look a little short to me.

Back Mystic Dreamer 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Disappointing finish after looking a big threat.

345 Newbury-King D`Argent made a good impression on its chasing debut last time and that rating stands out here.If it can jump and travel like it did that day then it will be tough to peg back.

Exelerator Express looks the main danger to me after two solid runs over fences.

Back King D`Argent 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Fell(-16pts)Still in the lead when it made a big error and came down.(DT-25pts)

28th December

 435 Newcastle-Its obvious to see why Sword Spirit heads the market,being a lightly raced 3yo from a top yard and it may well be good enough but it looks incredibly short and I`m keen to take it on.

Jewel Maker and Corked are two consistent horses but the latter is 0/25 at this trip and the former is 8Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

At a big price,I think Paddyplex can go well.Its always competitive in class 5 races but Ive got one of its best ratings when it raced over this course and distance for the only time.

It has since been running over longer trips but with a lack of pace possible and a promising young claimer booked to ride,this horse could make them all go from the front.

Back Paddyplex 3pts at 15.0 at Bet365-UP(-3pts)

27th December

 105 Chepstow-You can pick holes in all of these but the fact that Venetia Williams has won 5 of the last 8 runnings leads me to believe,a much better run from class dropper Aso,is expected here.

This horse actually won this 4 years ago and drops back into a class 2 for the first time since November 2018.It wants this ground and the small field.

Its form figures in Class 2 races with 7 runners or less read 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.

Moonlighter took a heavy fall last time out and is now 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable,as does Esprit Du Large who has never managed to win a handicap.

Tiquer won this last and will go well if fit but its never won off a mark this high and at 12,it would be surprising if its improving.

My Way could appreciate the big drop in trip but it is 1/20 and fairly unreliable.

Back Aso 2pts at 6.0 at 888sport-Non Runner

210 Wetherby-Slowly but surely,Marracudja has been finding its form and becoming better handicapped.

Its been facing some very tough tasks and this surely has been its target,as it won this last year and went down by a nose the year before.Those were its only 2 starts around this track.

The trainer also won this race in 2016 and operates at a 29% strike rate around here.

Some Reign goes well around here but is up in grade,so the 2 progressive horses,First Flow and Nuts Well are the biggest dangers.

Back Marracudja 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-(-7pts)Went too hard in front and fell away 2 out.

245 Wetherby-The Delray Munky is respected,as its unexposed and produced its best rating over fences last time but it looks a little short to me as No No Juliet should head the market.

This is 2 grades lower than when it produced the best rating in the race last time,only weakening at the last,so this furlong shorter trip should suit and its best in December(2w-2p-5r) and for a trainer with a 23% strike rate here.

Im not certain this trip on soft ground is what Kalahari Queen wants although it did win a 3 runner event on its only visit here.

Back No No Juliet 14pts at 3.5 at various Bookies-Pulled UP(-14pts)ground was barely raceable with only one finishing.(DT-21pts)

26th December

 205 Wetherby-A fascinating race but what strikes me is the lack of proven stamina amongst the market leaders.

The one exception is Snow Leopardess,who looks a real progressive staying chaser.This horse has only had 3 goes over fences and has improved with each start and with the last 7 winners of this race being aged 7 or 8 then this horse fits the bill perfectly.

Spiritofthegames is consistent but hasnt raced past 2m4f and hasnt won for over 2 years.

Camelo is probably the main danger if it sees out the extra yardage while The Dutchan will stay but probably wants it bottomless.

Back Snow Leopardess 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-2nd(-9pts)Ran really well and just got done.

134 Wincanton-Nearly Perfect is still lightly raced over fences and looks the one to beat here.

Its posted 2 ratings since going chasing that suggest its still well ahead of its mark and with it winning its only race over course and distance and the trainer having a 22% strike rate here then it appears to have everything going for it.

Sizing Cusimano seems to flatter to deceive more often than not and is 0w-0p-6r in this grade.

I respect Smugglers Blues but it is up in class,so Normandy Soldier looks the danger ,after posting a fair rating on its chase debut and the extra yardage should suit.

Back Nearly Perfect 18pts at 3.25 at Skybet/Betvictor-Won(+40.50pts)Superb round of jumping won the day.

115 Kempton-Although its slightly more exposed than many here,I cannot let Hold The Note go unbacked.This is a drop in class and trip for it.Its best rating was achieved last March in a grade 1 handicap at the Cheltenham Festival,over this trip and off a 5Ibs higher rating.

If it can lay up with them around the easier track then it could outstay the rest for a trainer whos had a winner and 2 seconds in his last 4 runners in this race.

Alnadam is improving and is 2w-1p-4r on right handed tracks and should go well but there cannot be many tracks where Dan Skelton operates at a 3% strike rate.

Mr One More is unexposed but is up in trip and the second run back after a long layoff can often see a decline.

Getareason is gradually immproving and should be on the premises.

Back Hold The Note 5pts at 8.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Went too fast and tailed off(DT+26.5pts)

Monthly Total+73.50pts

Running Total+235.75pts

22nd December

105 Huntingdon-This step up in trip looks sure to suit Mister Murchan,after two very good runs so far over fences,I would expect even more now its over a trip that it won at over hurdles.

It wants soft ground and with both its career wins coming in this grade then this unexposed chaser should be more around the 13/8 mark.

Wakiki Waves is 5/10 in this grade,so has to be respected but its 0/2 around here and I just think this trip on soft ground will be far enough for it.I fancied Eclair De Guye last time out but it ran a shocker,its got to bounce back from that and is 0w-2p-12r in fields of 8 or more,so thats a big negative.

Pemberley is unexposed for a trainer who does well here but needs to improve while Strong Resemblance is 3/3 around here,for a yard going well,its greatly respected but its been off for over 400 days and is difficult to know what to expect.

Back Mister Murchan 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-14pts)Hit too many fences 

Monthly Total+42.25pts

Running Total+209.25pts

 Racing takes a break now,so will be back on Boxing Day

Merry Xmas

21st December

 No Selections Today

20th December

 115 Fakenham-Despite an ordinary win record,Jonjoela`s form has become consistent and progressive since moving to the Alex Hales Yard.

Its got Fakenham form which is vital around here and based on my ratings,its still got a few pounds up its sleeve.It should be up there from the start and that normally suits around here.

Made For You could improve for the longer trip but it needs to while Todd has been a bit out of nick this season,however it returns to a track it goes very well at ,so a good run wouldnt be a surprise.

Perfect Moment is 2 from 4 here and won this last year,it has to be respected but is racing off a mark 10Ibs higher than that win.

Back Jonjoela 9pts at 5.0 at Betfair/Paddys/Betfred-UP(-9pts)Backed into 7/4 but never looked comfortable.Winners last two runs were PP.

19th December

 1150 Haydock-Lots of pace in this and that will suit the hold up horse Tegerek.This horse is consistent and drops 2 grades after running really well last time in a class 1 at Cheltenham.

It heads my ratings and the trainer boasts a 31% strike rate here in the last 2 years.

The clear danger for me Chti Balko,who gets its ideal conditions here and has won around the track twice.However it could be taken on up front and the trainer is 0/49 in recent times here.

Back Tegerek 18pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-Non Runner

130 Haydock-You can pick holes in all of these but theres enough potential in Captain Moirette for it to take care of these.

Although it ran below par on its seasonal debut,it was a 10/1 shot in a 5 runner field and it has a strong profile that suggests it can get back on track here. Its 1/1 on heavy and 2/2 at this track ,so im expecting a big run here.

Frero Banbou ran well last time and the slight drop in trip will help,it looks the danger.

Back Captain Moirette 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-Pulled Up(-13pts)Never going.Doesnt look a chaser.

225 Ascot-Paisley Park has to be respected here but it lacks the upside of Thyme Hill,who beat it last time.

This horse is seriously progressive and is defintely still on the upgrade.Its got a rating from last season that is miles better than any of this field have achieved.

Main Fact keeps winning but faces a tough task here on my figures while Roksana wont be far away.

Back Thyme Hill 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-2nd(-16pts)Tough to watch as was produced perfectly at the last but Paisley Park produced a very strong burst to run it down 10 yards from the line.(DT-29pts)

18th December

 145 Uttoxeter-Theres no doubt Kilbrew Lad looks still nicely handicapped despite its latest win but the fact its never raced on anything worse than good to soft ,means there has to be a big question mark over its ability to handle very soft ground especially at a track where it can get very testing.

Destin D`Ajonic ran one of its better races last time but it looks a weak finisher to me and on my ratings,its got to improve.

I am surprised Duhallow Lad isnt favourite,Its top rated and this is its trip,ground and class.

Its 2w-1p-6r in fields of 7 or less and all its career wins have come on left handed tracks.

Back Duhallow Lad 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies -Won(+36pts)A lovely ride from Tom O`Brien,sitting off a ferocious pace.The fav was pulled up and never going.

17th December

 205 Exeter-Brinkley could be ahead of its mark,being unexposed from a top stable but surely course specialist Trans Express should be shorter than it is.

This horse has won the last 3 runnings of this race and returned to form last time,posting a very good rating in the process.Its possible one of the more lightly raced horses could be too good but this horse is too well handicapped to ignore.

Back Trans Express 9pts at 6.0 Various Bookies-Won(+45pts)Favourite disappointed but this was a tough performance under a well judged ride.

315 Exeter-Tudors Treasure appears to have a very in and out profile but put him at Exeter and over 2m3f then so far,its prove unbeatable, with all 3 runs resulting in victories.

Added to that its form figures in class 5 races over fences,read 1st-2nd-1st and I would expect a big run.

Blue Monday has done nothing so far this season but the return to soft ground will help and it does have the ratings to figure.

Bogoss Du Perret looks progressive and if it handles the softer ground then it wont be far away.

Back Tudors Treasure 7pts at 7.0 at Skybet/Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Ran a fine race under a big weight.(DT+38pts)

Monthly Total+62.25

Running Total+225.25

16th December

 255 Newbury-255 Newbury-This doesnt look the strongest class 3 ive ever seen.

Atlantic Storm looks a vulnerable favourite to me,its better on sharper tracks than this and is 0w-0p-8r on ground worse than good to soft plus its also above its last winning mark.

Finnegans Garden has been in great from but it may need the ground bottomless and tends to be best at Lingfield while Fairway Freddy is better going right handed and on better ground.

DoitfortheVillage has chances,as its dropped in class but I like Sao,I wouldnt normally be looking at a horse that has won at Hexham ,for a race at this track but that rating stands out and it could be that 2 miles on very soft ground,are exactly what it wants.

Back Sao 14pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies(Won+38.50pts)Looks an absolute beast and won easily.

230 Ludlow-If a change of scenery does the trick then Coup De Pinceau looks decent value here.

It boasts form figures of 5th-1st-1st at this track and in a race where those at the top of the market have questions to answer stamina wise then it looks worth a punt as it does stay well.

Buster Edwards has all the ratings to win this but it seems to like coming 2nd and im not sure 3 miles on soft ground is ideal.Earlofthecotswolds is still lightly raced but has to prove it wants this far.

Another Venture was in good form last time we saw it but could hardly be descibed as well handicapped.

Back Coup De Pinceau 1pt at 21.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-3pts)Ran really well.(DT+35.50pts)

Monthly Total+25.75

Running Total+187.25pts

15th December

 510 Wolverhampton-Theres  a couple of angles i like with The Met in this.This is its first run for a new yard and it returns to a track where its won both its starts.

Its shown enough in 6 starts this season on turf that its in form but this track clearly suits it best.

Athmad is easily the biggest danger,as it boasts form figures of 1-1-4-1 around here .

Back The Met 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Hills-UP(-8pts)Solid in the market and looked a big threat 2f out but flattened out.

255 Catterick-Out on the Tear posted a rating that suggests its nicely handicapped ,on its first run over fences.If it can build on that then it should run well.I would definitely have it shorter.

Cybalko is on a roll but didnt look to have a lot in hand last time while Outcrop may want better ground than this.

Cesar Collonges and Relkadam have both been going okay but dont find winning easy,so the biggest danger may be course specialist Reverant Cust,who can go well fresh and makes its debut for a new yard.

Back Out On A Tear 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+40.5pts)Big Punt into 15/8 and won easy.(DT+32.5pts)

14th December

 145 Ayr-Since joining Darragh Bourke,Evita Du Mesnil`s form has been transformed and it still looks on a fair mark to me here.

This hold up performer should have a decent pace to run at and with doubts around others,it really should be heading the market.

Foxey is slowly progressing and makes its handicap debut but on my figures,this mark is no easy task while Turtle Wars ran fairly well last time but may not be the strongest stayer.

Dora De Janeiro gets back on soft ground for the first time in a while and it may prove the biggest danger.

Back Evita Du Mesnil 11pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor-Pulled Up(-11pts)Just moving into it before a terrible mistake 2 out ,saw it pulled up.

12th December

 515 Wolverhampton-It is a little in and out but Blazon has only dropped into a class 6 like this, once in its career and it won that plus its only ran over this course and distance once before and it also won that,so it appeals as a bit of value in a pretty open heat.

Lleyton is an infrequent winner,so may struggle to follow up its lastest victory,so the biggest dangers look to be the horses,fit from the jumps,Fleur Irlandaise and Lonimoss Bareliere.

Back Blazon 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365

335 Cheltenham-Soft ground would be a worry for The White Mouse and its taking a fair chunk of the market.Aggy With It makes its handicap debut here but it looks to be on a tough mark and is unproven on soft.

I like Miah Grace,who posted a career best rating last time,on its first run around this trip.If its stamina holds up on the stiff finish then it should go very close.

Back Miah Grace 8pts at 5.5 at Skybet

1247 Bangor-Jabulani looks a prime candidate to `bounce ` on its second start after a long layoff and it looks very short to me.

Innisfree Lad has been in fine form but this is a step up in class for it and the same can be said for Mr Palmtree ,so I like Sandy Boy,who ran a fine race on its chase debut ,posting the best rating in this race and should be fine on the softer ground.

The trainer has a 27% strike rate here with the promising young jockey also 24% for the yard.

Back Sandy Boy 8pts at 5.5 at Betfair/Paddy/Betvictor-(DT-22pts)All got stuffed

13th December

 230 Southwell-The drop in trip looks an interesting move for Shantung here,this horse has generally been running well but weakening late on,so dropping back makes sense and hopefully the jockey will bounce it out and use its stamina.The trainer is an encouraging 30% with her runners here.

Drewmain Legend has only won in class 5 over hurdles,so going up 2 grades here wont be easy.

Nordician Blue doesnt look very well handicapped to me although it is lightly raced while Maskada will appreciate the drop back in trip and could be the main danger.

Back Shantung 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-4th(8pts)Backed into 6/4 but never got into it.

1255 Southwell-Debden Bank is lightly raced and performed well on just its second start over fences.

That race has worked out well and that rating gives it a strong chance here.

Joly Maker is just 2 from 27 in its career and races here 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark and it must be vulnerable.As does Shady Oaks who is 0 from 15 over fences.

Massini Man looks the main danger,after a decent run last time.

Back Debden Bank 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Jumped really well and won cosily.(DT+32pts)

Monthly Total-32pts

Running Total+130.25pts

11th December

 1155 Doncaster-Some lightly raced types on show but the speed figure Xcitations posted last time stands out and it surely should be shorter in the betting than it is.

Its only had 7 runs itself and the drop back to 2 miles on decent ground,did the trick last time.

Hooper represents a top yard but has been beaten at odds on the last twice,so the biggest danger could be Hazaar.

Back Xcitations 7pts at 6.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)Well backed but no show again

150 Cheltenham-On its best form,Kalashnikov wins this and after an encouraging reappearance run over a longer distance and over hurdles,it should be cherry ripe for this.

This horse is 7w-3p-10r going left handed and looks to hold a class edge on my ratings.

Top Notch is a dual winner of this but this looks a better renewal while Mister Fisher would hold chances as its better in a small field(9r- 4w-1p-5r) but did pull up on its seasonal debut.

Back Kalashnikov 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-8pts)Briefly hit the front after the last but got outstayed or outbattled.(DT-15pts)

10th December

 302 Warwick-Commit or Quit is gradually progressing since being sent over fences and it looks a fair price to follow up its latest victory.

Trip and ground are ideal and its clear top rated for me.

Kilpin steps up in trip and in class,not normally the best combination but it is unexposed so could improve.

Volcano and Vango De Vaige are also lightly raced over fences and are respected.

Back Commit or Quit 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-Fell(-8pts)Still there when fell 5 out

1215 Newcastle-Seemingly So has been off since February but returns after just one run over fences and that run suggests,its nicely handicapped here.

The trainer has been in decent form and has a 29% strike rate here and if this horse turns up fit and well then it should go very close.

Ard Chros doesnt look well handicapped to me and stamina may be an issue while last years winner Capard King is respected but needs to step up on its reappearance run.

Scoop The Pot cant be relied upon to back up its last run while Speak of the Devil is more of a force in lower classes than this.

Back Seemingly So 14pts at 3.5 at Betfair/Paddys -2nd(-14pts)

9th December

 225 Hexham-If Golan Cloud stays then it should win this.It bumped into a very well handicapped horse last time(Followed up since) and that rating stands out here.

The trainer has had a decent season and I know,the jockey will get it done if the horse is good enough.

Cudgel won over fences last time and likes it here but it has very little in hand over hurdles,on my ratings.

Back Golan Cloud 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-12pts)This race sums everything up recently.Hammered into 6/5 and touched 1.11 in running but weakened after the last.

8th December

 1245 Uttoxeter-This is a decent race for the grade and it features some lightly raced types,who could improve to take this,however I think Temple Man is a touch of value.

This horse has been quite lightly raced itself and drops back to its best distance(2m 2w-1p-6r) (2m1+ 0w-3p-6r),it tends to travel strongly in its races and needs to be delivered fairly late,so hopefully a decent pace will help that.

It tops my ratings and although handicap debutants Song of the Hunter and Courtland may improve past it,its too big a price.

Fort De L`Ocean looks far too short to me while Pop The Cork is respected but needs to find more.

Back Temple Man 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-UP(-6pts)Nicely backed but a surprising change of tactics and an awful run.

645 Southwell-Sophar Sogood finshed behind Loch Ness Monster last time over course and distance but they are grounds for believing it can turn the tables here.

The latters profile suggests it may struggle to repeat that run(just 2 from 23 in its career) but also the changing around of jockeys could make it difference,with Luke Morris taking over from a young apprentice.

The selections form figures at this track read 1st-1st-2nd and I can see Morris sending this horse on from some way out and it may be tough to catch.

On last seasons form Cold Harbour would have a strong chance but its been a few pounds below that level so far.Thawry is still 11Ibs above its last winning mark,this trip looks too short for Shine Baby Shine and is 0w-1p-9r in this grade.

Back Sophar Sogood 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-4th(-15pts)Never going(DT-21pts)

7th December

 No Selections

5th December

 1247 Chepstow-Le Coeur Net has won its last two races but I think that run will come to an end here.Its got a bit to find on my ratings and this is a quick turnaround from its last victory.

Faustinovich is unexposed over fences but needs to improve so I think Pistol Park is a bit of value.

It drops back in class and into a grade where its 1/1 and should go well on trip and ground that suits.

The horse I`m concerned about most is Elixir Du Gouet,who hasnt done much in 4 starts in the UK but had the ratings in France to figure.

Back Pistol Park 8pts at 5.0 at Hills-UP(-8pts)Drifted to twice the price and never involved.

430 Wolverhampton-The race Critical Thinking won last time,has worked out very well for a class 6 handicap,with the 2nd,3rd and 5th all winning since.This horse has won 7 times around here and is equally effective over this trip plus has a nice draw.

Kindergarten Kop is consistent,has won here and is 1w-1p-2r in this grade so should run well even if I have got it a slightly bigger price in my tissue.

Highest Mountain looks much too short to me,as its a very inconsistent horse and will need the blinkers to do the trick again.Broken Rifle and WhatwouldIknow are running well without winning but continue to creep up the weights.

Steal The Scene could run well after it showed signs of life behind the selection last time,however its 1/23 over this trip.

Back Critical Thinking 9pts at 5.5 Hills/Bet365-4th(-9pts)

6th December

 1225 Kelso-This is very weak with most of the field out of form or looking poorly handicapped.

Vengeur De Guye is one of the few in decent nick but its much better known as a chaser.

Making its handicap debut,Saint Arvans looks to be well handicapped on my ratings and I would have it clear favourite.

Back Saint Arvans 10pts at 5.5 at bet365-Won(+45pts)Won nicely

320 Kelso-Trainer Sandy Thomson ,has won this prize in 4 of the last 5 years and looks to have another good candidate in Duc De Grissay.

Its only had 3 runs over fences and is clearly unexposed over fences and marathon distances.The trainer has a impressive 39% strike rate here with his chasers also.

Back Duc De Grissay 7pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-Fell(-7pts)Just about to hit the front when fell at the last.Unbelievably unlucky(DT+38pts)

4th December

 240 Exeter-Severano could be much better than its mark,after winning on its handicap debut,for a yard that has not been firing in the winners,so its much respected but its price looks tight with a couple of decent opponents against it.

Molineaux ran quite well on its seasonal reappearance but like so many from this yard, this season,it was still a few pounds behind last seaons best.

The clear value for me is Quick Wave,this horse is progressive and is a very strong stayer at this trip.

This trainer has won this race in 2 of the last 4 runnings and she has her horses in flying form.It should be around the 5/2 mark on my figures.

Back Quick Wave 2pts at 6.5 at Hills-Fell(-7pts)

3rd December

 307 Leicester-Go as you Please has an obvious chance but im not keen on a horse thats finished 2nd in 3 of its last 5 starts and fell last time out.

Beet Topper ran well last time on its first start for a new yard and is respected.

Tierra Verde is unexposed over fences while Relkadam shhould run well dropping in class but at a big price,I cannot let Impulsive Leader go unbacked.Its got a rating from last season that would see it very competitive here and it possibly needed the run last time after a break.

The trainer has ony sent 2 horses here in recent times and won with one of them.

Back Impulsive Leader 2pts at 26.0 at bet365-UP(-2pts)No Show

315 Wincanton-This is wide open and although,it wouldnt get high marks for consistency,Frilly Frock has only had 2 runs over fences and has less convictions that most.

It won an ordinary race last time but posted a fair speed figure and if it runs its race then its the wrong price.

Ede`iff Elton came down last time but was running well and now drops in class while Paddys Runner should appreciate the longer trip.

Back Frilly Frock 6pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies(-6pts)Weak in the market and just gradually lost its place.

222 Market Rasen-Quite a bit of dead wood here and I like Pakies Dream,who comes here in good form ,for a yard and jockey that do well here.It finished behind a progressive horse last time over fences and should follow up.

The Manuscript is back on a winning mark but pulled up last time,it looks pretty short to me.

More Bucks is incredibly inconsistent but does have the ratings to take this,however you cannot rely on it and Fr Humphrey is well handicapped but is a 12yo now and thats probably why.

High Noon was in decent form the last time we saw it(263 days ago) but its 12Ibs higher than its last winning mark and could find things tough.

Back Pakies Dream 12pts at 4.0 at Hills-Fell(-12pts)Backed into 6/4 and fell at the first

207 Leicester-This is a pretty good race and it would be no surprise if the unexposed Known or A Distant Place proved good enough but on what theyve done so far,they dont appeal as that well handicapped and both look short enough to me.

The value looks to be Gortroe Joe ,who is still on a decent mark despite winning last time.That rating puts in with a favourites chance and it should be shorter.

Trans Express does worry me a bit though,as it was well backed last time ,has won on its only start and is 4w-1p-7r in December.Having said all that,I do wonder if something will be stronger at the business end of the race.

Back Gortroe Joe 9pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Fell(-9pts)To complete another disastrous day,this one fell 2 out when in with every chance(DT-29pts)

2nd December

 630 Kempton- 630 Kempton-Although stepping into graded company for the first time,I cant see past Johnny Drama here.

This horse is on a roll,with progressive ratings since getting on an all weather surface.Its 2/2 at Kempton and 4w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or less and De Sousa is 3w-1p-6r on it.

Red Verdon has won here but its carrying a penalty and that will make things tough while Sinjaari is consistent but its got a little to find on my figures.

Sextant makes not only its track debut but also its polytrack and stable debut although the stallion has only got a 6% strike rate here.

Back Johnny Drama 20pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+45pts)Strong ride in the finish but made possible by being in the right place throughout by De Sousa

Running Total+183.25pts

1st December

 223 Lingfield-Big Penny is in good form but the recent improvement has been over further and on generally slightly better ground than this.I can see it running well but looks a little short to me.

Corinto has been off for nearly 2 years but has one rating that gives it a big chance,the market will tell its tale.Darlyn looks to have it to do on my figures ,so I like the handicap debutant Zhiguli.

Its best rating,came last season in a decent maiden hurdle at Newbury,over this trip and on heavy.

Its 2 runs this season have been over shorter and on better ground,I dont think its a coincidence that its back up in trip for this.If it runs close to that run from last season then it looks well handicapped.

Back Zhiguli 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Hills-3rd(-12pts)Never really put in the race

253 Lingfield-Finnegans Garden won this race last year and looks to have been teed up for a repeat here.

Its form figures at this track read 1-1-2-1-3-2 ,its 5w-1p-8r on heavy ground .5w-3p-10r over this trip and all 10 of its career wins were in fields of 7 runners or less,as is the case here while its 0 from 16 in fields of 8 or more.You couldnt call it well handicapped but its got everything else in its favour.

Vincenzo Mio continues to run well but hasnt won since 2013 and a lot of these find getting their head in front quite difficult.Ive got Away For Slates slightly better at shorter,so probably the biggest danger is Aintree My Dream ,who has been knocking at the door.

Back Finnegans Garden 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies(-12pts)Never touched a twig all the way round and yet the jockey allowed the front 2 to get away without putting it under pressure?Not the finest rides today.(Dt-24pts)