400 Fontwell-I like the claims of the lightly raced Theatre Flame here.
This horse faces many horses with questions to answer and I would have it clear favourite.
Its produced 2 good runs over fences so far and a repeat or better would make it tough to beat.
Workbench has won this race the last 2 years and is probably the main danger but doesnt come into it in the same form and is still 4Ibs higher than last years win.
Notarfbad looks handicapped up to the hilt now while Lord Ben is pretty unreliable.
Puple n`Gold has lost its way and Ravens Tower has chances on last seasons form but hasnt got near that level in 2 runs this season.
Back Theatre Flame 13pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-13pts)Weak in the market and went out like a light.
Football(Advised Wednesday)
Helsingborg v Hammarby
Back Hammarby(draw no bet) 15pts at 5/6 at 32Red/Bwin/Bet365-Won 1-0(+12.5)(DT-0.5pts)
Monthly Total-13pts
Running Total+8643.47pts
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
29th September
Daisy Boy half caught my eye in the 430 at Brighton but rain is a worry and i wanted bigger than 11/2
Football(Sunday)
(Sweden Allsvenkan)
Djurgaarden v Orebro
Back Djurgaarden 25pts at 1.77 at Marathon Bet
(Friday)
Helsingborg v Hammarby
Back Hammarby(draw no bet) 15pts at 5/6 at 32Red/Bwin/Bet365
(Saturday)
Hacken v Malmo
Back Malmo(draw no bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddys
Football(Sunday)
(Sweden Allsvenkan)
Djurgaarden v Orebro
Back Djurgaarden 25pts at 1.77 at Marathon Bet
(Friday)
Helsingborg v Hammarby
Back Hammarby(draw no bet) 15pts at 5/6 at 32Red/Bwin/Bet365
(Saturday)
Hacken v Malmo
Back Malmo(draw no bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddys
27th September
330 Southwell-Its possible Doitforjoe could improve for the step into handicaps but its short enough for me while Kamool has a consistent profile and isnt without a chance but the overpriced one for me is Love the Leader,who came back to some sort of form last time when posting the best rating in this race and was also badly hampered in doing so.
Its 4w-0p-6r during September/October and is 3w-0p-6r when returning to the track within 14 days.
The booking of a claimer to take some weight is also an interesting move.
Perfect Summer is 2w-1p-4r in this grade but does have to prove its stamina while Very Extravagant returns from an absence but hails from a yard going very well at present.
Back Love The Leader 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)Hurdled poorly and that stop it getting involved.Finishing the month poorly.
Its 4w-0p-6r during September/October and is 3w-0p-6r when returning to the track within 14 days.
The booking of a claimer to take some weight is also an interesting move.
Perfect Summer is 2w-1p-4r in this grade but does have to prove its stamina while Very Extravagant returns from an absence but hails from a yard going very well at present.
Back Love The Leader 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)Hurdled poorly and that stop it getting involved.Finishing the month poorly.
26th September
330 Newton Abbot-Sometimes a selection is put up because I think it should win but sometimes a horse has similar chances to a few others but is available at a bigger price than it should be and that is the case here.
Miss Tenacious is just too big a price here for a horse that is 3w-4p-10r around this track and also that it will be suited by the way the race should be run.
It loves to come off a frantic pace and with Next Sensation,Owen Na View and Walden Prince all confirmed front runners,this should be a right burn up.
Back Miss Tenacious 6pts at 8.0 at Betway-4th(-6pts)Doubt its ran up to its mark here,couldnt ever land a blow.
400 Newton Abbot-Kentford Heiress and Polo The Mumm have both been in good winning form recently but need to progress again while Ballinure holds a fair chance on its win ,2 starts back.
However I feel that Jonagold may have got in on a fair mark on its handicap debut and im a bit surprised at its price.
Its slowly been improving since joining this yard and cant go unbacked at the prices.
Back Jonagold 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365/Skybet/Betvictor-2nd(-5pts)Ran a great race and looked the winner 2 out but just couldnt hold off the fav.(DT-11pts)
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)-Won(+22.5pts)
ALLSVENSKAN(SWEDEN)
Norkopping v Djurgaarden
Back Norkopping 18pts at 4/5 at Mararthon Bet-Lost(-18pts)(DT-6.5pts)
Monthly Total-5.5pts
Running Total+8650.97pts
Miss Tenacious is just too big a price here for a horse that is 3w-4p-10r around this track and also that it will be suited by the way the race should be run.
It loves to come off a frantic pace and with Next Sensation,Owen Na View and Walden Prince all confirmed front runners,this should be a right burn up.
Back Miss Tenacious 6pts at 8.0 at Betway-4th(-6pts)Doubt its ran up to its mark here,couldnt ever land a blow.
400 Newton Abbot-Kentford Heiress and Polo The Mumm have both been in good winning form recently but need to progress again while Ballinure holds a fair chance on its win ,2 starts back.
However I feel that Jonagold may have got in on a fair mark on its handicap debut and im a bit surprised at its price.
Its slowly been improving since joining this yard and cant go unbacked at the prices.
Back Jonagold 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365/Skybet/Betvictor-2nd(-5pts)Ran a great race and looked the winner 2 out but just couldnt hold off the fav.(DT-11pts)
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)-Won(+22.5pts)
ALLSVENSKAN(SWEDEN)
Norkopping v Djurgaarden
Back Norkopping 18pts at 4/5 at Mararthon Bet-Lost(-18pts)(DT-6.5pts)
Monthly Total-5.5pts
Running Total+8650.97pts
25th September
420 Epsom-Its possible its not in the same form as last season but the profile of English Summer is difficult to ignore at the prices here.
This horse is 2 from 2 around this specialist track,is 4Ibs below its highest winning mark and has a fair strike rate in this grade(6w-3p-24r) but I do like the angle of when its giving weight away(like today) to apparently inferior animals,its record when carrying 9st8Ibs or more is 9w-4p-27r.
It has to bounce back from a poor run last time but thats why we are getting the price we are.
There are several improvers in the field notably Pointel and Byron Flyer but the selection just looks overpriced if it can produce something like its best.
This horse is 2 from 2 around this specialist track,is 4Ibs below its highest winning mark and has a fair strike rate in this grade(6w-3p-24r) but I do like the angle of when its giving weight away(like today) to apparently inferior animals,its record when carrying 9st8Ibs or more is 9w-4p-27r.
It has to bounce back from a poor run last time but thats why we are getting the price we are.
There are several improvers in the field notably Pointel and Byron Flyer but the selection just looks overpriced if it can produce something like its best.
Back English Summer 5pts at 15.0 at Bet365
Football(advised Friday)
MLS(USA)
Real Salt Lake v Dallas
Back Dallas(Draw No Bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddy Power-Drew 0-0(=stake returned 0pts)
SUPERLIGEAN(DENMARK)
Randers v Sonderjsyke
Back Randers 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies-Lost(-15pts)
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)
Football(advised Friday)
MLS(USA)
Real Salt Lake v Dallas
Back Dallas(Draw No Bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddy Power-Drew 0-0(=stake returned 0pts)
SUPERLIGEAN(DENMARK)
Randers v Sonderjsyke
Back Randers 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies-Lost(-15pts)
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)
24th September
345 Market Rasen-After just 3 starts over fences,theres plenty of upside to Sonneofpresenting here.
Its latest performance heads my figures and with a better round of jumping,this horse will take plenty of beating.
The slight step up in trip should suit and its guaranteed a decent ride from the saddle from Dave Bass.
Muckle Roe heads the dangers as the trainer has won this race 5 times in the last 10 years but it has a poor strike rate(1/20) and possibly wants softer ground.
Vexillum represents a yard in great form but does have to prove its stamina.
Back Sonneofpresenting 20pts at 3.0 at Corals-Won(+40pts)Jumped really well and was always in charge.
Football
MLS(USA)
Real Salt Lake v Dallas
Back Dallas(Draw No Bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddy Power
ALLSVENSKAN(SWEDEN)
Norkopping v Djurgaarden
Back Norkopping 18pts at 4/5 at Mararthon Bet
SUPERLIGEAN(DENMARK)
Randers v Sonderjsyke
Back Randers 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)
Monthly Total+21pts
Running Total+8677.47pts
Its latest performance heads my figures and with a better round of jumping,this horse will take plenty of beating.
The slight step up in trip should suit and its guaranteed a decent ride from the saddle from Dave Bass.
Muckle Roe heads the dangers as the trainer has won this race 5 times in the last 10 years but it has a poor strike rate(1/20) and possibly wants softer ground.
Vexillum represents a yard in great form but does have to prove its stamina.
Back Sonneofpresenting 20pts at 3.0 at Corals-Won(+40pts)Jumped really well and was always in charge.
Football
MLS(USA)
Real Salt Lake v Dallas
Back Dallas(Draw No Bet) 15pts at 11/10 at Paddy Power
ALLSVENSKAN(SWEDEN)
Norkopping v Djurgaarden
Back Norkopping 18pts at 4/5 at Mararthon Bet
SUPERLIGEAN(DENMARK)
Randers v Sonderjsyke
Back Randers 15pts at 11/10 at various bookies
Back Malmo-Brondby-Hammarby 10pts Treble(Pays 9/4)
Monthly Total+21pts
Running Total+8677.47pts
23rd September
255 Worcester-We were on Enjoy Responsibly last time out when it looked the winner until getting worn down close home over slightly further than this.
It jumped well last time and that should stand it in good stead around here,I would expect a fairly aggressive ride from the front and we should get a good run for our money,its clearly ready to win.
Upsanddowns has chances and has tumbled down the weights while Dealing River goes very well here(3w-0p-6r) but tends to operate at a lower level than this.
Modeligo has a record of 0w-0p-9r during August to December,so this clearly isnt its time of the year.
Box Office is dangerously well handicapped but has shown very little over fences which leaves Boss in Boots,which makes its debut for the Tim Vaughan yard,who are flying at present.
It has chances if it runs to its best but on pure ratings,theres no value in its price.
Back Enjoy Responsibly 12pts at 4.3 at bet365/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)Looked to be outpaced throughout to my eye,before staying on strongly.This surprised me a bit but I doubt it will be the last time.
It jumped well last time and that should stand it in good stead around here,I would expect a fairly aggressive ride from the front and we should get a good run for our money,its clearly ready to win.
Upsanddowns has chances and has tumbled down the weights while Dealing River goes very well here(3w-0p-6r) but tends to operate at a lower level than this.
Modeligo has a record of 0w-0p-9r during August to December,so this clearly isnt its time of the year.
Box Office is dangerously well handicapped but has shown very little over fences which leaves Boss in Boots,which makes its debut for the Tim Vaughan yard,who are flying at present.
It has chances if it runs to its best but on pure ratings,theres no value in its price.
Back Enjoy Responsibly 12pts at 4.3 at bet365/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)Looked to be outpaced throughout to my eye,before staying on strongly.This surprised me a bit but I doubt it will be the last time.
22nd September
Man Look(450 Newmarket) and Gleann Na Ndochais(245 Perth) both look slightly overpriced but not enough for me to get involved,so its another no bet day.
20th September
445 Beverley-I can pick holes in a lot of these.
Billy Bond ran well last time over further but ive got it rated lower when faced with this trip on good ground.
Nona Blu has been running well but keeps finishing second and the trainer is 0/27 here.
Ravenhoe is 1w-1p-3r in this grade but im not certain its as good at a mile as it is over 7f.
Gulf of Poets is 1/1 here and 1/1 in this class but it ran a shocker last time and now drops in trip,it remains to be seen if that suits but the yard arent going great either.
Red Charmer appeals as the value call to me.
Its latest run saw it post a very competitive rating and the best speed figure in the race.
Its 4w-5p-17r in fields of 9 or less like this and all its wins have come when returning to the track within 28 days(13 today)
Back Red Charmer 6pts at 7.5 at Betbright-Non Runner
Billy Bond ran well last time over further but ive got it rated lower when faced with this trip on good ground.
Nona Blu has been running well but keeps finishing second and the trainer is 0/27 here.
Ravenhoe is 1w-1p-3r in this grade but im not certain its as good at a mile as it is over 7f.
Gulf of Poets is 1/1 here and 1/1 in this class but it ran a shocker last time and now drops in trip,it remains to be seen if that suits but the yard arent going great either.
Red Charmer appeals as the value call to me.
Its latest run saw it post a very competitive rating and the best speed figure in the race.
Its 4w-5p-17r in fields of 9 or less like this and all its wins have come when returning to the track within 28 days(13 today)
Back Red Charmer 6pts at 7.5 at Betbright-Non Runner
19th September
500 Leicester-This is very weak with a few that look to have very little chance at all.
Diamonds A Dancing is pretty solid and should go well but I can see Barista outrunning its odds.
It ran a decent race last time over further but with all its wins coming from July onwards,I would expect its form to go up a notch sooner rather than later.
It goes well here and is a force in this grade and its form figures when encountering Class 6 races,at this track and from July onwards read 6th-1st-4th-2nd-2nd-1st-1st-3rd.
Hardy Black has a shout but is 0w-0p-4r in September while Champagne Bob could do with some rain.
No Refund has a rating over this trip which give it chances.
Back Barista 5pts at 11.0 at Various bookies-Won(+50pts)Always nice when you call it so very right.Money was there and it won easily
Football
Back Toronto to beat NY Red Bulls 8pts at 6/4 at Various bookies-Drew 3-3(-8pts)(DT+42pts)
Monthly Total-7pts
Running Total+8649.47pts
Diamonds A Dancing is pretty solid and should go well but I can see Barista outrunning its odds.
It ran a decent race last time over further but with all its wins coming from July onwards,I would expect its form to go up a notch sooner rather than later.
It goes well here and is a force in this grade and its form figures when encountering Class 6 races,at this track and from July onwards read 6th-1st-4th-2nd-2nd-1st-1st-3rd.
Hardy Black has a shout but is 0w-0p-4r in September while Champagne Bob could do with some rain.
No Refund has a rating over this trip which give it chances.
Back Barista 5pts at 11.0 at Various bookies-Won(+50pts)Always nice when you call it so very right.Money was there and it won easily
Football
Back Toronto to beat NY Red Bulls 8pts at 6/4 at Various bookies-Drew 3-3(-8pts)(DT+42pts)
Monthly Total-7pts
Running Total+8649.47pts
18th September
230 Plumpton-
Back Colla Pier 8pts at 6.0 at Corals/Bet365-Won(+72pts)Irish handicap form proves too strong once again.Lovely drift but this won easily.
400 Plumpton-
Back-Volcanic 12pts at 5.0 at Betfair Sportsbook(4.5 Generally Available)-3rd(-12pts)
410 Uttoxeter-
Back Saint Charles 7pts at 7.5 at Betway-3rd(-7pts)A typically prick tease of ride from this jockey.Why Do I bother with clown?(DT+53pts)
FOOTBALL
Back Brondby and Norrkopping to win in a 10pts double at Bet365(Pays 2/1)-Lost(-10pts)
Back Malmo to beat Djurgarden 12pts at 5/4 at Marathon Bet-Lost(-12pts)
Back Dallas Draw No Bet vrs New York City 8pts at 2/1 at Various bookies-Draw 2-2(=0pts)Dallas should have won easily.(DT+31pts)
Monthly Total-49pts
Running Total+8607.47pts
Back Colla Pier 8pts at 6.0 at Corals/Bet365-Won(+72pts)Irish handicap form proves too strong once again.Lovely drift but this won easily.
400 Plumpton-
Back-Volcanic 12pts at 5.0 at Betfair Sportsbook(4.5 Generally Available)-3rd(-12pts)
410 Uttoxeter-
Back Saint Charles 7pts at 7.5 at Betway-3rd(-7pts)A typically prick tease of ride from this jockey.Why Do I bother with clown?(DT+53pts)
FOOTBALL
Back Brondby and Norrkopping to win in a 10pts double at Bet365(Pays 2/1)-Lost(-10pts)
Back Malmo to beat Djurgarden 12pts at 5/4 at Marathon Bet-Lost(-12pts)
Back Dallas Draw No Bet vrs New York City 8pts at 2/1 at Various bookies-Draw 2-2(=0pts)Dallas should have won easily.(DT+31pts)
Monthly Total-49pts
Running Total+8607.47pts
17th September
315 Newmarket-This will be run on soft ground and that will inconvenience several horses.
One that wont mind it is Wave Reviews,who looks pretty rock solid to me here.
Its got the ratings to figure strongly and represents a yard that have had 8 winners and 4 places from their last 17 runners,im surprised at its price.
This is probably because the money has come for G K Chesterton,whos very unexposed and may well be better than these but its returning after nearly a year off and looks a false price to me.
By far a bigger danger is Huge Future,whos improving and will handle the ground.
Back Wave Reviews 6pts at 10.0 at Betbright-UP(-6pts)Backed into 4/1 but ran a rubbish race.
Monthly Total-80pts
Running Total+8576.47pts
One that wont mind it is Wave Reviews,who looks pretty rock solid to me here.
Its got the ratings to figure strongly and represents a yard that have had 8 winners and 4 places from their last 17 runners,im surprised at its price.
This is probably because the money has come for G K Chesterton,whos very unexposed and may well be better than these but its returning after nearly a year off and looks a false price to me.
By far a bigger danger is Huge Future,whos improving and will handle the ground.
Back Wave Reviews 6pts at 10.0 at Betbright-UP(-6pts)Backed into 4/1 but ran a rubbish race.
Monthly Total-80pts
Running Total+8576.47pts
15th September
540 Pontefract-Everything looks in place for a big run from Irish Optimism here.
It posted a career best rating and speed figure last time when upped to a 8.5f trip for the first time.
It only got nailed in the last 50 yards,so this drop back to amile should be ideal,anything close to that rating makes it tough to beat.
Stardrifter is the clear danger but many of the others look unreliable.
Back Irish Optimism 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Hammered into 5/4 and stayed on well to finally get one home.
FOOTBALL
Back Brondby and Norrkopping to win in a 10pts double at Bet365(Pays 2/1)
Back Malmo to beat Djurgarden 12pts at 5/4 at Marathon Bet
Back Toronto to beat NY Red Bulls 8pts at 6/4 at Various bookies
Back Dallas Draw No Bet vrs New York City 8pts at 2/1 at Various bookies
Monthly Total-74pts
Running Total+8582.47pts
It posted a career best rating and speed figure last time when upped to a 8.5f trip for the first time.
It only got nailed in the last 50 yards,so this drop back to amile should be ideal,anything close to that rating makes it tough to beat.
Stardrifter is the clear danger but many of the others look unreliable.
Back Irish Optimism 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Hammered into 5/4 and stayed on well to finally get one home.
FOOTBALL
Back Brondby and Norrkopping to win in a 10pts double at Bet365(Pays 2/1)
Back Malmo to beat Djurgarden 12pts at 5/4 at Marathon Bet
Back Toronto to beat NY Red Bulls 8pts at 6/4 at Various bookies
Back Dallas Draw No Bet vrs New York City 8pts at 2/1 at Various bookies
Monthly Total-74pts
Running Total+8582.47pts
14th September
325 Yarmouth-This is a decent race but nothing compared to the events Arabian Queen has been running in.
In its last 8 starts,its ran in 7 Group 1`s and a Group 2,so not only is this listed race,a big drop in class,its also back in against its own sex.
Theres no question,it has an in and out profile but if it has a going day then it holds a big class edge over the majority of this field.
The obvious exception is So Mi Dar,who is unbeaten after just 3 starts and is clearly well regarded but the form of its races so far isnt in the same league as the selection and its a tight enough price.
Back Arabian Queen 12pts at 4.5 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-12pts)Money for it but never really looked like prevailing.Another loser in whats been ,an awful month.
In its last 8 starts,its ran in 7 Group 1`s and a Group 2,so not only is this listed race,a big drop in class,its also back in against its own sex.
Theres no question,it has an in and out profile but if it has a going day then it holds a big class edge over the majority of this field.
The obvious exception is So Mi Dar,who is unbeaten after just 3 starts and is clearly well regarded but the form of its races so far isnt in the same league as the selection and its a tight enough price.
Back Arabian Queen 12pts at 4.5 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-12pts)Money for it but never really looked like prevailing.Another loser in whats been ,an awful month.
12th September
400 Brighton-This is pretty competitive but course form is very important here and for that reason,Port Lairge looks overpriced on another difficult days racing.
This horse is back down to its last winning mark and drops back into a class 6 for the first time since June 2015(15 runs)
It likes a bit of cut in the ground and its runs in this grade,at this track read 1-1-2-1-4-1-6.
Unnoticed represents a yard that do well here(24%) but is no bargain at the price while Bingo George drops in class but needs to find more than on recent runs.
Back Port Lairge 5pts at 12.0 at various bookies-4th(-5pts)Fell out the stalls and then came home strong.Looked a little unlucky to be honest.
Monthly Total-98pts
Running Total+8558.47pts
This horse is back down to its last winning mark and drops back into a class 6 for the first time since June 2015(15 runs)
It likes a bit of cut in the ground and its runs in this grade,at this track read 1-1-2-1-4-1-6.
Unnoticed represents a yard that do well here(24%) but is no bargain at the price while Bingo George drops in class but needs to find more than on recent runs.
Back Port Lairge 5pts at 12.0 at various bookies-4th(-5pts)Fell out the stalls and then came home strong.Looked a little unlucky to be honest.
Monthly Total-98pts
Running Total+8558.47pts
11th September
Poor racing tomorrow so a no bet day which just leaves the football advised earlier in the week.
Nice to see a few of the selections shorten markedly in price,which shows the benefit of getting on early and getting the best Value!
MLS
Back Dallas to beat Colorado 15pts at 5/6 at hills-Lost 1-0..Colorado had 1 shot on target!(-15pts)
Back Toronto(Draw No Bet) 10pts at 11/8 at Marathon Bet-Won 2-1(+13.75pts)
Allsvenkan
Back AIK-Norrkopping-Hammarby-Malmo 5pt accumulator(Pays 11/2)-Lost(-5pts)94th minute goal in the Hammarby game meant this was a loser!
**Above advised on Wednesday**
Nice to see a few of the selections shorten markedly in price,which shows the benefit of getting on early and getting the best Value!
MLS
Back Dallas to beat Colorado 15pts at 5/6 at hills-Lost 1-0..Colorado had 1 shot on target!(-15pts)
Back Toronto(Draw No Bet) 10pts at 11/8 at Marathon Bet-Won 2-1(+13.75pts)
Allsvenkan
Back AIK-Norrkopping-Hammarby-Malmo 5pt accumulator(Pays 11/2)-Lost(-5pts)94th minute goal in the Hammarby game meant this was a loser!
**Above advised on Wednesday**
10th September
515 Lingfield-Rain is forecast everywhere at some point and im reluctant to get too involved but One Big Surprise should be a shorter price than it is.
Its ran at this course 3 times and finished 3rd-1st-1st,with the third being a very unlucky run where it couldnt get a run.The trainer does well here with his older handicappers(8/33) and now puts a decent young claimer onboard and his 7Ibs claim could make the difference.
Pretty Bubbles is a solid performer in this grade but prefers faster ground while Souville,Inclination and Pink Martini all have a similar negative.
Rebel Surge drops in grade and trip and may be a danger while Sweet Dragon Fly is unexposed.
Back One Big Surprise 9pts at 5.5 at Hills/Corals-Non Runner
Its ran at this course 3 times and finished 3rd-1st-1st,with the third being a very unlucky run where it couldnt get a run.The trainer does well here with his older handicappers(8/33) and now puts a decent young claimer onboard and his 7Ibs claim could make the difference.
Pretty Bubbles is a solid performer in this grade but prefers faster ground while Souville,Inclination and Pink Martini all have a similar negative.
Rebel Surge drops in grade and trip and may be a danger while Sweet Dragon Fly is unexposed.
Back One Big Surprise 9pts at 5.5 at Hills/Corals-Non Runner
9th September
No Selections
Vive Ma Fille(650 Salisbury) was the closest I came to a selection.
Very poor start to the month,hopefully things will turn soon but its happened before and will do so again.
Vive Ma Fille(650 Salisbury) was the closest I came to a selection.
Very poor start to the month,hopefully things will turn soon but its happened before and will do so again.
8th September
315 Epsom-Pacolita is the one to beat here and i expect it to run well but as with all things I do,the price has to appeal and this one doesnt.
Cricklewood Green is another that should run well although theres little value in its price but there are many doubts about most of the rest and at a price,Zacynthus appeals to me.
Its shown very little in 3 starts this term but has had a 56 day break and joined an in form stable.
Its got a decent record in this grade(Class 4 4w-2p-15r) and if the yard have rekindled some of its spark then its well handicapped(5Ibs lower than its last win) to go close.
Back Zacynthus 5pts at 12.0 at betway-UP(-5pts)Halved in price but no show
350 Epsom-Jupiter Carlos ran well last time around this course(Not for the first time) and posted the best rating in this race.
Its got a great draw in 1 and I cant see it not being involved in the finish.
Carthage looks the biggest danger but has to cope with a poor draw.
Back Jupiter Carlos 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)JUst got outstayed close home
425 Epsom-Unless Street Poet shows considerable improvement on its handicap debut then So Celebre holds leading claims here.
Its shown progressive form with its last 2 runs looking particularly solid.The horse it beat last time out has come out and hosed up by 3 lengths and the horse that beat it 2 starts back easily followed up,so I cant see why it isnt at least sharing favouritism and it looks good value.
The other horse that should be involved is the improving Shufoog but despite heading the market on 4 of its 5 starts,its still yet to win.
Back So Celebre 10pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Paddys/Betfair-4th(-10pts)(DT-27pts)
Cricklewood Green is another that should run well although theres little value in its price but there are many doubts about most of the rest and at a price,Zacynthus appeals to me.
Its shown very little in 3 starts this term but has had a 56 day break and joined an in form stable.
Its got a decent record in this grade(Class 4 4w-2p-15r) and if the yard have rekindled some of its spark then its well handicapped(5Ibs lower than its last win) to go close.
Back Zacynthus 5pts at 12.0 at betway-UP(-5pts)Halved in price but no show
350 Epsom-Jupiter Carlos ran well last time around this course(Not for the first time) and posted the best rating in this race.
Its got a great draw in 1 and I cant see it not being involved in the finish.
Carthage looks the biggest danger but has to cope with a poor draw.
Back Jupiter Carlos 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)JUst got outstayed close home
425 Epsom-Unless Street Poet shows considerable improvement on its handicap debut then So Celebre holds leading claims here.
Its shown progressive form with its last 2 runs looking particularly solid.The horse it beat last time out has come out and hosed up by 3 lengths and the horse that beat it 2 starts back easily followed up,so I cant see why it isnt at least sharing favouritism and it looks good value.
The other horse that should be involved is the improving Shufoog but despite heading the market on 4 of its 5 starts,its still yet to win.
Back So Celebre 10pts at 5.0 at Skybet/Paddys/Betfair-4th(-10pts)(DT-27pts)
Weekends Football
MLS
Back Dallas to beat Colorado 15pts at 5/6 at hills
Back Toronto(Draw No Bet) 10pts at 11/8 at Marathon Bet
Allsvenkan
Back AIK-Norrkopping-Hammarby-Malmo 5pt accumulator(Pays 11/2)
Back Dallas to beat Colorado 15pts at 5/6 at hills
Back Toronto(Draw No Bet) 10pts at 11/8 at Marathon Bet
Allsvenkan
Back AIK-Norrkopping-Hammarby-Malmo 5pt accumulator(Pays 11/2)
6th September
640 Perth-Doubts about everything here and at a fair price,I can make a case for Tangolan.
It was out of its depth last time on ground that wouldnt have suited and although running a fair race the time before,once again the ground would have been soft enough.
So if the rain stays away then this horse has chances on its favoured good ground.
The trainer has a fine record here with his chasers(7/22),its has won here and is much best going right handed(4w-2p-14r),the stable won this race 2 years ago and on its best rating over ground and distance from last season,its got a far better chance than the odds suggest.
With Richard Johnson favouring Mountain King,you would expect a much better run than its stable debut last time but it has a slight question mark over ground and trip.
Realt Moor has been in decent form but would prefer softer ground as would Back to Bracka while Lowanbehold was pulled up around here last time and thats not the first bad run at this venue(Perth 0w-0p-3r),the trainer is 0/31 with his chasers here.
Back Tangolan 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)Once again got the market right but once again this month,we got caught late on.
I thought Bertiewhittle was a fair price in the 400 at Leicester but it doesnt win very often,so ive passed it over.
It was out of its depth last time on ground that wouldnt have suited and although running a fair race the time before,once again the ground would have been soft enough.
So if the rain stays away then this horse has chances on its favoured good ground.
The trainer has a fine record here with his chasers(7/22),its has won here and is much best going right handed(4w-2p-14r),the stable won this race 2 years ago and on its best rating over ground and distance from last season,its got a far better chance than the odds suggest.
With Richard Johnson favouring Mountain King,you would expect a much better run than its stable debut last time but it has a slight question mark over ground and trip.
Realt Moor has been in decent form but would prefer softer ground as would Back to Bracka while Lowanbehold was pulled up around here last time and thats not the first bad run at this venue(Perth 0w-0p-3r),the trainer is 0/31 with his chasers here.
Back Tangolan 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)Once again got the market right but once again this month,we got caught late on.
I thought Bertiewhittle was a fair price in the 400 at Leicester but it doesnt win very often,so ive passed it over.
5th September
I was half interested in No Such Number(440 Perth) but its so inconsistent and has a poor win record that its a no bet day tomorrow.
4th September
220 Fontwell-I would be surprised if this didnt take place on soft ground and that would suit Kayf Willow.Its only had 6 starts over hurdles and gets the services of Richard Johnson back on board(3 wins from 5 starts on the horse).
Trainer Phillip Hobbs has a 27% strike rate and ive got it clear favourite.
Kentford Heiress has been in great form and is a danger but soft ground is an unknown plus on my figures,it needs to improve again.
Belcanto is very in and out and cant be relied upon but is 2/2 here and cant be written off.
Titch Strider will handle conditions but is impossible to predict while Tir Dubh is another inconsistent sort that has a big doubt on the ground front.
Back Kayf Willow 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365/Skybet-4th(-16pts)Plenty of money for it but finished very tamely.Still to get this month going!
Monthly Total-54pts
Running Total+8602.47pts
Trainer Phillip Hobbs has a 27% strike rate and ive got it clear favourite.
Kentford Heiress has been in great form and is a danger but soft ground is an unknown plus on my figures,it needs to improve again.
Belcanto is very in and out and cant be relied upon but is 2/2 here and cant be written off.
Titch Strider will handle conditions but is impossible to predict while Tir Dubh is another inconsistent sort that has a big doubt on the ground front.
Back Kayf Willow 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365/Skybet-4th(-16pts)Plenty of money for it but finished very tamely.Still to get this month going!
Monthly Total-54pts
Running Total+8602.47pts
3rd September
300 Haydock-Custom Cut has to run well here.
Its been performing consistently all season and has the ratings plus speed figures to go close.
Its record when returning to the track within 14 days like today is very good(6w-3p-19r),I would certainly have it a shorter price than currently available.
Convey needs it to stay dry and that looks unlikely,its very vulnerable on anything worse than good.
Breton Rock will like the conditions but its better at a furlong shorter.
Hathal is lightly raced but we havent seen it for nearly a year,which cant be a positive while Mitchum Swagger could be a threat at its best.
Back Custom Cut 7pts at 6.5 at Skybet/Boyles-4th(-7pts)No idea why the jockey took this horse up the inside rail?The first 3 came down the middle.Pretty annoying!
325 Thirsk-The rain is supposed to hit this track and that could make this a test at the trip and that would suit Signore Piccolo.
This horse ran well last time over further and around this track.That rating would win this and if its there a furlong out,its stamina reserves could prove vital.
Seamster has been in great form all season but is now 10Ibs higher than its last win while Magical Effect has chances but is a tight enough price.
Back Signore Piccolo 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Betfair Sportsbook-2nd(-8pts)Looked to be given the perfect ride but got nailed late on by a 16/1 shot.
435 Stratford-This looks pretty open but after several good runs,the door may finally open for Enjoy Responsibility.
Its gradually dropped in the weights(27Ibs in just 7 runs) and will take advantage sooner or later.My ratings suggest this is its best chance for a while and its a fair price to do so.
Jethro is lightly raced over fences and heads the dangers while Charlie Mon has similar credentials but its latest second placed finish in a very slowly run race means the form has a dubious look to it.
Modeligo was in great form the last time we saw it but whether it picks up where it left off after 115 days off is open to question.
Back Enjoy Responsibility 7pts at 8.5 at betbright(8.0 at various bookies)-2nd(-7pts)Well backed and another that looked like winning(Traded at 1.3 in running) but hung left and got reeled in.(DT-22pts)
Football
MLS(1.30am Sunday)
Back Philadelphia 8pts Draw No bet at 2.5 at William Hill(Vrs Chicago)-Lost(-8pts)(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total-30pts
Overall Total+8618.47pts
Its been performing consistently all season and has the ratings plus speed figures to go close.
Its record when returning to the track within 14 days like today is very good(6w-3p-19r),I would certainly have it a shorter price than currently available.
Convey needs it to stay dry and that looks unlikely,its very vulnerable on anything worse than good.
Breton Rock will like the conditions but its better at a furlong shorter.
Hathal is lightly raced but we havent seen it for nearly a year,which cant be a positive while Mitchum Swagger could be a threat at its best.
Back Custom Cut 7pts at 6.5 at Skybet/Boyles-4th(-7pts)No idea why the jockey took this horse up the inside rail?The first 3 came down the middle.Pretty annoying!
325 Thirsk-The rain is supposed to hit this track and that could make this a test at the trip and that would suit Signore Piccolo.
This horse ran well last time over further and around this track.That rating would win this and if its there a furlong out,its stamina reserves could prove vital.
Seamster has been in great form all season but is now 10Ibs higher than its last win while Magical Effect has chances but is a tight enough price.
Back Signore Piccolo 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Betfair Sportsbook-2nd(-8pts)Looked to be given the perfect ride but got nailed late on by a 16/1 shot.
435 Stratford-This looks pretty open but after several good runs,the door may finally open for Enjoy Responsibility.
Its gradually dropped in the weights(27Ibs in just 7 runs) and will take advantage sooner or later.My ratings suggest this is its best chance for a while and its a fair price to do so.
Jethro is lightly raced over fences and heads the dangers while Charlie Mon has similar credentials but its latest second placed finish in a very slowly run race means the form has a dubious look to it.
Modeligo was in great form the last time we saw it but whether it picks up where it left off after 115 days off is open to question.
Back Enjoy Responsibility 7pts at 8.5 at betbright(8.0 at various bookies)-2nd(-7pts)Well backed and another that looked like winning(Traded at 1.3 in running) but hung left and got reeled in.(DT-22pts)
Football
MLS(1.30am Sunday)
Back Philadelphia 8pts Draw No bet at 2.5 at William Hill(Vrs Chicago)-Lost(-8pts)(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total-30pts
Overall Total+8618.47pts
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