31st October

 1225 Wetherby-Rebecca Curtis has her string in good order and I would expect her horse,Financial Outcome to go close here.It only lost out close home on its seasonal debut,in a higher class and with rain expected,the conditions should be ideal.

I would expect it to set out to make it a good test.

Air Navigator looks the main danger to me,also dropped in class,for a trainer who does well here.

Back Financial Outcome 12pts at 4.0 at bet365/Skybet/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)

730 Wolverhampton-International Law doesn`t appear in this class very often but is a big runner when it does.It loves this track(4 wins) and won on its only start here,when dropped to a class 6 like this.

Its defintely got a class edge on my figures.

Bayston Hill has also won in a higher grade multiple times and is respected while Lady Elysia is weighted to go close.

Back International Law 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-3rd(-12pts)

30th October

 135 Wetherby-Fransham drops back to a trip its done all its winning over and should go close here.

Its form figures over this course and distance read 1st-1st-2nd and its 2w-1p-4r when returning to the track within 15 days.It also won this race last year.

Main danger for me is Marlborough Sands,who is still lightly raced over hurdles.

Back Fransham 12pts at 4.0 at various Bookies-Won(+36pts)Travelled strongly and won easy.

210 Wetherby-If it handles the drop in trip then my ratings suggest,Two For Gold holds a distinct class edge here.

It won on its only previous visit here,for a trainer with a 27% strike rate at the track.I would have it shorter in the betting.

Born Survivor is a previous winner of this race and rates the danger.

Back Two For Gold 12pts at 4.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Ran so well but denied by a horse it was very difficult to rate.

320 Wetherby-Cracking Find looks a bit short to me,despite running well before unseating on its reappearance while Equus Millar is unexposed but needs to improve.

Its up in class but Some Reign seems to want no further than 2 miles to me,even though its ran plenty of good races over further.A record of 3w-4p-8r over a bare 2 miles backs that up and this is its time of year(Oct 2w-1p-4r).It looks overpriced to me in what should be a fast run race.

Back Some Reign 8pts at 6.0 at skybet-Fell(-8pts)Absolutely robbed.Fell at the last after looking the winner.

Days Total+16pts  

Running Total+182pts

29th October

 128 Newton Abbot-Memphis Belle is progressive and a tough opponent,it does look a bit short though when you consider this comes just 11 days after a hard fought win,on ground it has to prove itself on and also up in class.

My Lady Grey is consistent but creeping up the handicap,it also looks to prefer better ground than this.

Although it lacks a recent run,I like Royal Claret,who is a thorough stayer and will love the ground.

It loves a small field(7 runners or less 2w-0p-3r) and this jockey has done us a few favours recently.

Back Royal Claret 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Weak in the betting and never really in the hunt.

28th October

 115 Nottingham-Last years winner of this race Mustarrid,looks all ready for a big attempt at a follow up,Its dropped 13Ibs this season as its toiled in higher grades than this class 4(Class 3 or higher 0w-2p-15r) but when dropped into this class its 2w-1p-3r .The trainer has a good record here and with so many seemingly likely to struggle on the ground,this horse looks well overpriced.

You have to respect any improving 3yo of James Fanshawe`s ,so Flying West could go well but he has an unusually low strike rate at this track.

Clear danger for me is Expresso Freddo but this is a step up in class and a quick turnaround after its latest win.

Back Mustarrid 7pts at 7.0 at various bookmakers-Won(+42pts)Fell out and looked to be struggling then just burst clear.

140 Taunton-Knight Commander is in good form and has to be respected but this comes just 8 days after its latest win and is a rise in class.

Christopher Robin has been consistent and the drop back in trip should help but its now 10Ibs higher than its last win and that has to make things tough.

The one I like is Level Of Intensity,who after a long absence has gradually been finding its feet,culminating in easily its best run for a long time,last time out and that effort gives it sound claims here.Its below its last winning mark and is 2w-1p-6r in this grade.I would definitely have it favourite.

Back Level Of Intensity 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-PU(-8pts)This was there for the taking with the market leaders falling but unfortunately,it got injured just as it was creeping into it.

410 Taunton-Earth Leader could blow this race apart on its debut for Harry Fry but its priced accordingly.

Golden Poet comes out well on the ratings and is unexposed as a stayer but a career record of 2/39 isnt great.

Since it moved to Tom Symonds yard,Schnabel has produced 3 rock solid runs and beat a subsequent winner last time out.Its difficult to see it not running well and is the value.

Back Schnabel 8pts at 6.5 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)A poor run

Days Total+26pts

Running Total+178pts

27th October

 210 Catterick-Quite a tight race and although its a little in and out,I Am A Dreamer does have the ratings to win this.

Its 1/1 on this course and distance,is fine on the ground and is equally at home over a furlong shorter,which helps on a sharp track like this.This is also a big drop in class after 2 runs in races,2 grades higher.I`m hoping the jockey can bounce it out and dominate this.

Grace and Virtue is in good form but is up in class,so I have got Lord Oberon as the main danger.

Back I Am A Dreamer 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-4th(-9pts)Couldnt dominate on barely raceable ground(RT+152pts)

26th October

 No Selections

25th October

1.22 Aintree-A very competitive race and quite a few with chances but Minella Celebration should surely be shorter than it is.

This horse is 2w-1p-4r at this track including 2/2 on this exact course and distance,its a got a good record fresh(61 days+ 3w-1p-9r) and it copes with all kind of ground.It should go well.

Samtegal heads the market but hasnt won for 4 years,Vieux Lion Rouge looks a bigger danger as it has a fine record after a break.

Back Minella Celebration 6pts at 13/2(General)-Won(+45pts*BOG 15/2)You wont see many performances like this.Barely touched a twig and cruised home(RT+161pts)

24th October

 2.33 Kelso-Truckers Lodge heads the market and is improving but its possibly better over further than this.Le Breuil was disappointing last season and needs to bounce back as does Rockys Treasure while Amalfi Doug won last time but is 0w-1p-10r going left handed.

The one I like is Some Chaos,this horse won on its only start here,is 4w-1p-8r on good ground and the trainer has a 22% strike rate here.I would defintely have it shorter in the betting

Back Some Chaos 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-Won(+40.5pts)Crazy race with fallers everywhere but the selection stayed upright throughout to win.(RT+116pts)

23rd October

 No Selections

22nd October

 400 Carlisle-The selection has achieved 2 or 3 ratings that the rest of the field have got nowhere near yet and I would be very disappointed if it didnt go close.

It placed in its only start at this track and is 4w-2p-8r in this grade,it stays a bit further,so this stiff finish will suit and if its jumping holds up then it should take a bit of beating.

Victory Echo is unesposed over fences and although needing to improve,it could.Oscar Wilde was running well when last seen and could be a threat.

Back Bandsman 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts)Ground went against and couldnt get involved

200 Ludlow-Mostly a bunch of exposed,inconsistent animals and although Hurlstone Point hasnt pulled up any trees in its 2 chase starts,its latest run comes out well on my ratings and with further improvement likely,it could outrun its odds for a trainer who has a 25% strike here with his chasers.

Peters Portrait has only had the one run over fences and better was expected ,judging by a 7/2 SP but that effort needs seriously improving upon.Trump Benefit drops in class but generally prefers going left handed.

Back Hurlstone Point 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys/Betfair-PU(-5pts)Hit every fence

345 Ludlow-As the only course winner in the race and a horse that has spent the majority of its career operating at a higher level then John Constable is just too well handicapped to ignore back on its favoured good ground.

Hopefully it will get a decent pace to aim and at the prices,its the clear value pick.

The Garrison won last time out but is up in class while Dave and Bernie makes its UK debut after running pretty well in Ireland,its difficult to get a hande on but the betting will tell its story.

Back John Constable 6pts at 9.0 at 888sport-UP(-6pts)Not the most busy performance from the saddle Ive ever seen(DT-23pts)(RT+75.5pts)

21st October

 423 Fontwell-Theres a couple of lightly raced types here,namely Legende De Minuit and One for Dunstan and obviously they could progress now moving into handicaps but I`m still surprised at the price of Sixties Secret.

This horse is clear top rated on its latest run,has a decent 7Ib claimer onboard and should get the fast pace it likes for it to be produced late on.I have a very small niggle that its a Plumpton specialist but the price more than makes up for that.

Back Sixties Secret 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Not saying it would have won but the jockey made a mess of the finish by going for a non existent run and losing his reins in the process.(RT+98.5pts)

20th October

 345 Yarmouth-Dropped back to 10 furlongs on very soft ground,saw Selecto produce a career best performance,only going down narrowly to a bang in form opponent and pulling well clear of the rest.

If that race hasnt left a mark and it can reproduce that effort then its clearly the one to beat here.

Harlow is consistent but very beatable and im not certain very soft ground is what t wants.Casa Loupi looks the main danger,as its still lightly raced and drops in class.

Back Selecto 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Bang there 2f out but weakened quickly

400 Exeter-Although its yet to win a race,Twasnt the Plan has produced its best 2 career ratings over this trip and ground.The trainer doesnt book this jockey that often but has a 22% strike rate when he does and I can see this horse breaking its duck here.

Fresh New Dawn is favourite and finally managed to jump round last time after some mishaps in its 2 runs before that.You have to jump well at this track and Twasnt the Plan`s jockey has got off this to ride the selection.

Back Twasnt the Plan 12pts at 4.3 at Betfair/Paddys-3rd(-12pts)Never really put into the race (DT-24pts)(RT+105.5pts)

19th October

 240 Plumpton-The rating Hab Sab achieved in its last run from last season,far exceeds anything else its rivals have managed.There are risks attached however,in that its been a few months since it ran and this ground is faster than when it posted that rating but the price allows for all that and it is worth getting involved with.

The fav Simon the Great steps up in trip but has looked slow so far ,Kapsize has yet to win a race so far while Battleofthesomme has stamina to prove while Magic River hasnt been seen for 15 months.

Back Hab Sab 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Betfred-Won(+52pts *BOG 7.5) Jumped well and dominated throughout.

425 Wolverhampton-These horses have managed a total of 2 wins between them in their careers and this is there for the taking.

Although its never raced on this surface,Sulochana`s last 2 rating would be good enough to take this and with the blinkers applied,they may eke out a little more improvement.

Mystery Mac looks the obvious danger as it makes its handicap debut.

Back Sulochana 8pts at 5.5 at Sky/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)Looks tripless to me(DT+44pts)(RT+129.5pts)

18th October

 407 Kempton-Pontresina won on its debut over fences but was disqualified,with more improvement expected,it should go pretty close here.

  Apart from Top of the fashion,the selection faces exposed rivals and I am surprised its not shorter in the betting. As mentioned,Top of the fashion is very unexposed while Top Decision has chances but does has its stamina to prove.

Back Pontresina 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped well and stayed on strong.

510 Sedgefield-Capone is still not fully exposed at this sort of trip and I would expect another solid run from the selection.It heads my ratings on its last time out win and this horse is at its best when returning to the track within 30 days(2w-2p-5r)

You have to respect River Frost on its latest win over fences but it hasnt won over hurdles since 2017.

Ingleby Hollow would have a shout if it stays this longer trip.

Back Capone 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-9pts)Out of position when it got competitve but just plodded on anyway(DT+27pts)(RT+85.5pts)

17th October

 143 Stratford-An open race but Mystic Court looks a touch of value.The shorter trip and very quick ground was against it last time but these conditions should suit it better.

Project Mars looks a vulnerable market leader to me,with just 1 win from 15 starts.

Clearly Capable would be a danger if it turned up fit and well.

Back Mystic Court 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys-5th(-5pts)Nicely placed throughout but very one paced when it mattered

403 Stratford-There are negatives against the selection,not least an indifferent record fresh but its got a rating from last season,that far exceeds anything else in the field has achieved,so im prepared to take a chance at a big price.

A record of 1 from 2 in class 5 races and 2w-2p-7r on good/good to soft ground mean there some positives for a horse that gets this trip well.

Blue N Yellow has got the ratings to figure but it tends to find very little at the business end.

Back Dylanseoghan 3pts at 19.0 at Paddys -UP(-3pts)Nowhere at any point(DT-8pts)(RT+58.5pts)

16th October

 No Selections

15th October

  226 Carlisle-This is a good race and quite competitive but I cant see why Kings Temptation is the price it is.Its won 4 of its last 5 starts and is still improving on my figures.If it can run close to its latest run then it should go very close.

Big danger for me is Looksnowtlikebrian,who has won 2 out of its 3 starts at this track,however,its habit of making mistakes at its fences could hold it back.Cage of Fear is unexposed but it needs to improve again to take this.

Back Kings Temptation 7pts at 6.5 (General)-Pulled up(-7pts)Lifeless performance(RT+66.5pts)

LIfetime Performance since start (+8630.92pts)

14th October

 420 Nottingham-Last years winner Wrenthorpe,looks all teed up to run well again here.

This horse clearly comes to life at this time of year(Oct/Nov 3w-4p-8r) and loves this track(3w-1p-4r),soft ground is no concern and as long as it doesnt get involved in a pace battle,it should go very close.

The Daley Express has to be respected with conditions ideal but a record of 0w-3p-11r in this class cannot be ignored while Sherpherds Way is thriving and should run well but its up in class and the price is tight enough.

Back Wrenthorpe 7pts at 6.5(General)-Won(+37.5pts)Led all the way and won a shade cosily.(Running Total+73.5pts)

13th October

 515 Newcastle-Theres no doubt George Ridsdale and Espeegee have fair chances here but surely the value lies with Nataleena.It ran poorly last time but that was on heavy ground ,which probably didnt suit and back at a track where its won twice and in a grade where its a force(Class 5 3w-2p-8r).

My only slight niggle is the trip,as it does stay further but hopefully the jockey will be in a position to utilise that stamina.

Back Nataleena 6 pts at 9.0(General) -UP(-6pts) Very weak in the betting and never put in the race.

630 Wolverhampton-Under its ideal conditions,Beau Geste should go close here.Its won on each of its 3 starts at this track ,Hollie Doyle is 3w-1p-4r on the horse and its 3w-2p-5r in this class.Its latest run should have blown away the cobwebs after lockdown and I would have this horse more a 7/4 chance.

Traveller looks a danger after a good win last time but a win record of 4 from 42 doesnt suggest a follow up while Berkshire Philly may still have some improvement in it.

Back Beau Geste 12pts at 4.0 at bet365-4th(-12pts)Far too keen and nothing left at the finish(DT-18pts)(Running Total +36pts)

12th October

  353 Yarmouth-After a couple of below par runs,James Park Woods bounced back to form last time and produced a rating that stands out here.This horse has hit the frame everytime its encountered soft ground,so I would expect it to go very close here.

Back James Park Woods 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-18pts) Never really in the hunt.

630 Wolverhampton-Running Cloud should run well but I quite like the look of Gran Canal,who has been running at different trips but this could be ideal and after only 7 runs,this horse is still fairly unexposed.

Back Grand Canal 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-UP(-7pts) Very one paced when it mattered.

800 Wolverhampton-Although its been doing nothing of late on the track,I cannot let Sha La La La Lee go unbacked,racing back at a track where it produced its best ever rating.Its the hit the frame in all 5 runs here and returns off a 14Ibs lower mark,so if it could bounce back then everythings in its favour.

Back Sha La La La Lee 3pts at 21.0 at Bet365-Won(25/1 BOG +75pts)(DT+50pts) Got a fine ride and the horse was gutsy for a great win. (Running Total+54pts)

11th October

 25 Goodwood-Probably a race that revolves around the short priced favourite Goshen,who didnt run up to its mark on its reappearance and could also have competition up front here..with these factors in place,I feel it needs to be taken on.

The value looks to be the lightly raced Natural History,who returned from over 700 days off to win a decent race last time.Its been given plenty of time to get over that,the trip,ground and jockey are fine and after just 6 runs ,it could improve again.

Its Good To Laugh has a stamina doubt,which is not what you want on this ground and Kings Caper,although has won on soft,the rating it produced that day,wasnt a particularly good one.

Back Natural History 12pts at 4.33 (General) -Won(+40pts) A fine ride from Murphy in not chasing the strong pace.

8th October

 210 Chepstow-A few unexposed types on show here but its hard to get away from Vorashann.Ive got it well clear on ratings after its easy win last week and anything close to that should be good enough.

Back Vorashann 12pts at 4.33 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-12pts) Hammered in the betting but ran no race at all.

555 Chepstow-Amateur put its unseat on its chase debut behind it,with a solid run last time over slightly further.I would expect another improved performance from a horse that won on its only other start at this track.I have got it clear favourite and the current price looks decent value.

Royal Magic is up in class but has been running well while Antony is well handicapped but was well out of nick ,the last time we saw it

Back Amateur 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-PU(-10pts) Bang there when pulled up injured(DT-22pts)

October 7th

1245 Ffos Las

This is a very weak affair.The one that catches my eye is Goldencard,who holds one rating that would win this easily.

This horse has been extremely in and out,in its career but its best rating was achieved over trip and ground,however what interests me the most is it appears to be an Autumn horse(Oct/Nov 6runs-3wins-2places) compared to the rest of the year(14runs0wins-1place).

Its become extemely well handicapped now and if turning up in the form im hoping then it should go very close.The obvious danger is Mouseinthehouse.

Back Goldencard 14pts at 3.5 at bet365-4th(-14pts) Never going unfortunately.