31st July

840 Newmarket-Talyani won an apprentice race last week & gets no penalty for that victory.

That rating stands out here and after just 3 starts,there should be more to come.The trainer is flying and I expect it to win.

Its an odds on chance on my tissue prices.

Dagher is improving but beatable while Estikhraaj is unexposed and clearly has a fair bit of upside to it.

Having said that,its got nearly a stone to find on my ratings & needs to find considerable improvement.

Back Talyani 20pts at 3.0(Already advised)-Won(+40pts)Said it should have been odds on & thats where it ended up.Easiest winner ive seen all season.

Monthly Total+119.85pts

Running Total+8004.10pts

30th July

840 Epsom-Guiding Light has chances,that there is no doubt but im surprised its such a short price.

All 3 of its career wins have been gained at Chepstow & in this grade but its produced 2 below par runs at this venue & has to prove it can act around here.

At the prices it has to be taken on.

Dear Bruin looks rock solid and could easily get away in front with Luke Morris on board.

Its top rated on its latest win and has conditions in its favour.

Pink Ribbon drops slightly in trip & has the ratings to figure while the lightly raced Star Asset interests me.

It hasnt raced for 110 days since being outclassed in a listed race on the All weather.

Its only had 2 races and hasnt raced on turf but George Baker turns up here in the last race of the day for just this ride.

The jockey is 7 from 32 when riding for this yard.

Lay Guiding Light 15pts at 3.5 to win Lay 10 pts to place.-2nd(+9.75pts)Bit of a bittersweet moment,seeing the lay beaten while Star Asset came cruising through to win at 12/1.

625 Epsom-English Summer has been running consistently well & is 3Ibs lower than its last winning mark,theres no doubt its ready to win & its a fair price here to do so.

This horse likes a recent race(14 days or less 7w-6p-28r) & if handling this track,should go close.

Eton Rambler has course and distance form to its name but needs to find a little extra to win this.

Leah Freya has also won here but on faster ground although it has the best jockey in the race(3 from 6 around here)

Daisy Boy would have serious chances on its latest run but im not sure this easier surface will suit.

Back English Summer 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+45pts*Paid out BOG)Rarely venture into Ladies races but I liked this one & the jockey gave it an absolute peach.

805 Epsom-Distinct lack of pace in this race and im hoping the only horse with winning course and distance form,Ixelles Diamond,will go near the front early as at least 4 of the 6 runners are normally held up and that could be a distinct disadvantage here.

The selection is top rated with a good young claimer booked to ride,it must go very close.

Juventus wants top of the ground & has done its recent winning at a lower level until running below par last time.

Hipz looks better at shorter while Fujiano has to prove its stamina in this higher grade.

Back Ixelles Diamond 14pts at 3.75-2nd(-14pts)Beaten in a photo after trading at 1.58!

245 Stratford-As long as the slightly shorter trip doesnt catch him out,I can see Moorlands George going very close here.

This horse has only raced 5 times over fences and its ratings have a progressive look.Its latest rating make it the one to beat & it actually drops in class for this.

Nico De Boinville has finished 1st & 2nd in his 2 rides on the horse & its a worthy favourite.

Provincial Pride is also unexposed over fences & looks the main danger but the trainer is 0 from 15 here.

Pistol Basc is 1 from 1 here and a solid operator in this grade but its now 5Ibs higher than its highest winning mark & it normally struggles off this kind of handicap mark.

Back Moorlands George 15pts at 3.5-Won(+37.5pts)Jumped well & won under a fine ride.(DT+78.25pts)

Monthly Total+79.85pts

Running Total+7964.10pts

29th July

No Selections

28th July

635 Worcester-Bit surprised Strongly Suggested is as short as it is here.

Yes,its in fine form and has a great record here(2 from 4) but this is a far better race than what its been running in and history suggests it struggles when upped to this grade(Class 3 0w-0p-7r)

I prefer the chances of the unexposed over fences Red Seventy.

This horse has only had the 4 starts over the larger obstacles and is just top rated on its latest run.

This is actually drop in class and its interesting that its record when carrying 10-13 or less is 3w-0p-5r.(Todays weight is 10-11)

Compare that to when carrying over 11st(0 wins from 10 starts)

It should be favourite.

Back Red Seventy 8pts at 6.0 at corals/ladbrokes-4th(-8pts)Money for it all day until 10 mins before the off.Very weak then & has run a very laboured race.

220 Wolves-Goodwood is on and theres plenty of runners,yet Sylvester De Sousa turns up on the all weather at Wolverhampton!

Just about all his rides are favourites not surprisingly and I like the look of his ride Cant Change it in this.

It ran respectably on its seasonal debut but was below par last time,however its best rating yet was achieved on its only start over course and distance last Autumn.

That rating stands out here and with the champion jockey elect booked for a yard that hes 5 from 23 for,id expect it to go very close.

Go Packing Go makes its handicap debut here.Its latest rating gives it a fair shout already and with headgear applied,it should be competitive.

Black Dave and Monsieur Chevalier both go well here and are respected.

Crack Shot has no form here(Sire 0 from 13 at the track) and its been below par the last 2 runs since a win on good to firm over this trip ,3 starts back.

However,nothing in that race has come out and ran anything like a race since and this horse looks vulnerable for a yard struggling for winners.

Lay Crack Shot 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-Cancelled due to non runners

27th July

7.0 Windsor-Some unexposed sorts here but at a big price,I can see Sarangoo outrunning its odds.

This horse is at its best during June and July and is competitive off handicap marks in the mid 70s.

It races off 77 here but with a decent claimer booked taking off 3Ibs,its nicely weighted.

Its got 2 course wins to its name here and when encountering a fair handicap mark,in June/July,with cut in the ground ,its form figures are 1st-1st-1st-9th-2nd

Its most recent form is over 7 furlongs but has won over course and distance and with all the rain about,its ability to stay further could be handy.

All in all,its a silly price despite being an older,more exposed horse.

Quite A Story and Paint The Story are both unexposed,improving 3yos and may prove too good but both are unproven on what should be pretty soft ground.

Back Sarangoo 4pts each way at 13.0-4th(-8pts)Money for it late on and guven every chance.Typically,just beaten for a place.

26th July

350 Carlisle-Any easing of the ground will totally suit the unexposed More Mischief.

It was struggling halfway round last time on fast ground before taking off late on to get up on the line.

After just 4 runs,this 3yo`s ratings are very progressive and it looks to have this race at its mercy.

Corton Lad won this race last year and is respected despite the higher mark while there has been early money Kiwayu.

Back More Mischief 20pts at 3.0 at Paddys/Hills-Won(+40pts)

Monthly Total+17.60pts

Running Total+7901.85pts

24/25th July

No selections due to illness

23rd July

505 Sandown-Black Caesar operates at a level lower than this normally(Class 5 0w-0p-6r) and also appears to prefer shorter than todays trip(7f 0w-1p-5r)

Its no certainty on the likely fast ground either and all those negatives means its twice its current price in my tissue prices.

Rouge Nuage drops in class and has been running some solid races in a higher level,it must go close.

Royal Normandy is lightly raced and improving,it shouldnt be far away.

Good Luck Charm is well handicapped and ran its best race of the season,last time out.A repeat of last seasons best would win this.

Gannicus drops in trip with some new headgear applied,its got the ratings to figure.

Lay Black Caesar 15pts at 5.5 to win(Lay upto 6.0) 10 pts to place-Non Runner

825 Doncaster-Some lightly raced types here but I like the chances of the solid,consistent and progressive Kerrymerry.

This horse doesnt know how to run a bad race and is the wrong price amongst the sexy horses here.

It represents last years trainer/jockey combination,the trainer is 2 from 4 with his 3yos here and the horse is 2w-1p-4r on galloping tracks like this.

Nice Thoughts is improving but the trainer is 0 from 17 here.

Sikander makes its debut for Brian Ellison and has De Sousa on top but the trainer is 0 from 15 with his 3yos here.

Dasaateer makes its handicap debut from a good yard but gets blinkers first time,which has to be a concern.

Back Kerrymerry 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Hammered into 7/4 but ran no race once headed.

22nd July

615 Leicester-This is pretty competitive and I cant have SamSamSam as 2nd favourite.

It ran its best race last time out but that was in a lower grade and on the tapeta at Wolverhampton.

So far,its turf forms rating are 7Ibs worse than that run and even on that latest effort,its got a bit to find.

Stenid posted a career best last time and will go very close if repeating it while Amber Crystal has course form to its name.

Lolita looks sure to run well despite top weight and Dunnscotia is slowly improving and has conditions in its favour.

Lay SamSamSam 15pts at 5.5 to win Lay 10pts to place.-UP(Wasnt Matched)

4.0 Catterick-Unlike its market rivals,Irish Girls Spirit moves up in grade and competes off a mark 6Ibs higher than its ever won off.

I would have twice the price it is with the bookies.

Captain Dunne has been generously handicapped considering its been running some solid races and in far better company than this.

It will appreciate the drop back into a class 4,as will Tumblewind,whos been running well over 6 furlongs but would take this easily on its best 5 furlong ratings from last season.

Inxile shouldnt be far away either.

Lay Irish Girls Spirit 20pts at 6.0-2nd(+19pts after commission)Captain Dunne dominated throughout.

Monthly Total-14.40pts

Running Total+7869.85pts

21st July

230 Ffos Las-If Ballyglasheen stays the trip then it will be a big runner here.

George Baker is 3 from 4 for the yard but its short enough for a horse that isnt proven over this far.

May Be Some Time is consistent but is another that has stamina to prove.

One that doesnt,is Annaluna,who actually moves back in trip.

Its raced here twice and finished 1st and 2nd in those runs.The big long straight should be ideal for hopefully,the jockey to get it rolling early and make them try and come and get it.

Back Annaluna 7pts at 7.0-Won(+70pts*Paid out BOG)Friendless in the market as the money was all for Ballyglasheen but it didnt stop this horse winning

330 Ffos Los-Pharmaceutical receives weight from its rivals and looks ready to win,after a good run last time.

Its posted several consistent ratings and the trainer is 2 from 8 with his rare raiders here.

Black Dave is 0w-2p-12r in this grade while Modern Tutor is pretty unreliable.

Easy Tiger drops in class and is 3 from 4 at this trip.It rates the danger.

Back Pharmaceutical 15pts at 3.25-UP(-15pts)The complete opposite.Very strong in the betting but ran a shocker.(DT+55pts)

Monthly Total-33.40pts

Running Total+7850.85pts

20th July

525 Cartmel-Swampfire has its third run in a week and if none the worse for those efforts,will be go very close.

However,that has to be a concern and with no course form to its name,it has to be taken on at the prices.

Mulligans Man may need the run or could be gone at the game but it has won after a break twice before and is 1 from 1 at this track.

It drops into a class 5 where its finished 2nd-4th and 1st in just 3 runs and at 12/1,it has to be worth chancing.

Its the trainers first runner under rules.

Back Mulligans Man 5pts at 13.0 at various bookies-UP(-5pts)

19th July

No Selections

18th July

710 Lingfield-Despite being in fair form of late,Welsh Inlet has a lot of negatives to conquer here.

This horse is better at 7f,as a record of 0w-4p-18r at 6f suggests.

Then there is the time of year,From July to November,its 0w-4p-34r.That is an tough stat to overcome and its a very vulnerable favourite.

Sixties Love looks like a horse that wants this drop in trip while Chevise is 6w-6p-23r in this grade and ran well last time.

Top Offer won this race last year and now drops back in trip after racing at further.

Costa Filey ran well here 2 starts back and also drops in class(Class 6 2w-1p-6r).

The booking of De Sousa could be significant for Rambo Will,as it drops in class.

Lay Welsh Inlet 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-UP(Wasnt Matched)

235 Newbury-Consort will be all the rage here,its improving and looks like it wants further than a mile but the 10 furlongs isnt guaranteed on pedigree and there have been plenty of shocks in this race.

Fire Fighting should go well but is up class while Intilaaq is lightly raced but needs some serious improvement.

The only other in with a shout on my figures is Mustadeem.This horse takes a drop in class and is improving.

Its latest effort behind a potentially top notcher in Time Test,is good form and the speed figure was massive.

It looks a silly price to me.

Back Mustadeem 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Crazy ride from the front and was legless 1 furlong out.

220 Market Rasen-Vivant Poeme is improving and should go well but is the right price.

Sea Lord looks rock solid to run well.Its the only horse to have won in this grade and is 1 from 1 at this track.

The trainer is in fine form with an incredible 6 from 12 record with his handicap hurdlers here and the jockey is 19 wins from 44 rides for this yard.

It looks impossible to kick out of the frame.

Back Sea Lord 7pts each way at 6.0 at Corals/Hills(Accept 5.5)-Won(+42pts)Stayed on strongly to grind it out.

330 Market Rasen-Dan Skelton identified this race as the target for Pumped Up Kicks way back and it comes in here as unexposed after just 5 runs over fences and also as the top rated on my figures.

The trainer is 3 from 10 with his handicap chasers here and it should go very well.

Dell Arca looks the danger.

Back Pumped Up kicks 6pts at 8.0-4th(-6pts)Ran a decent race but just couldnt quite get there.

240 Cartmel-Despite this being incredibly weak,Lord Lir is nearly always a horse to take on,as its career record of 0 from 26 suggests.

Roxyfet drops in class but is short enough in the betting while Forestside is pretty unreliable.

The overpriced one is Great Demeanour,who has only had the 4 starts over fences and would win this if repeated its latest 2nd.

Back Great Demeanour 12pts at 4.5-3rd(-12pts)Very weak in the betting and no show

315 Cartmel-Up in class and up in the weights would normally put me off but Cool Star`s rating when routing its rivals over course and distance last time,is superior to anything in this race.

Since being switched to front running,the horse seems to have had a new lease of life.Hopefully it can get out in front and stay there for a yard that are 4 from 10 with their chasers here.

Romany Ryme made a succesful hurdle debut for Gordon Elliott last time and now moves over fences.It looks the danger.

Back Cool Star 9pts at 5.5-UP(-9pts)Well backed but just didnt jump well enough.(DT+9pts)

Monthly Total-93.4pts

Running Total+7800.85pts

17th July

330 Nottingham-Lexington Abbey is the one to beat here.It bounced back to form last time when returning to this track(3 from 3 here).

However,its the right price and the value for me is Royal Brave.

Although moving up in class here,its been in good form and its ratings and speed figures suggest it should be closer to favouritism than it is.

Greeb disappointed last time after a good run first time up,its difficult to know what to expect from it here.

Back Royal Brave 9pts at 5.5-UP(-9pts)Rubbish!

515 Newbury-Monarch Maid has finished 1st-2nd-1st in class 5 handicaps on fast ground,so this horse must run well.

Joe Packet came back to form last time and is still well treated on past exploits.

Hipz and Great Expectations should both run well but I believe Dangerous Age looks vulnerable,despite winning last time.

That rating still leaves it with a little to find and I cant see it improving over slightly further.

Lay Dangerous Age 15pts to win at 6.0 10pts to place-UP(+23.75pts)

445 Newbury-Arc Lighter hasnt run to its best on its last 3 starts but its possible those runs have been at a trip too far and im going to take a chance on the return to 10 furlongs,brings about a return to form.

Its rating on its 2nd place at this trip,4 starts back,would give it strong claims and at the prices,its worth paying to find out.

Dutch Uncle drops in class and trip and looks the main danger.

Back Arc Lighter 3pts at 17.0-4th(-3pts)Threatened briefly 3f out(DT+9.75pts)

905 Pontefract-Firgrove Bridge roared back to form last time,posting a solid speed figure in the process and looks likely to go very close here.

Be Lucky was below par last time but back at the scene of its win on its previous start,it could easily bounce back.

Orbit the Moon has a very similar profile,its best ratings would make it competitive.

Teetotal isnt at its best at the moment but does have 3 course wins to its name.

Jubilee Brig does drop in class but thats because its been in no sort of form and is now 0 from 15 on turf.

Lay Jubilee Brig 15pts at 5.5 10pts to place -(Wasnt Matched)

Monthly Total-102.40pts

Running Total+7791.85pts

16th July

840 Doncaster-Nonchalant is top rated on its latest run over 12 furlongs,however its ratings over todays trip(10f) are vastly inferior and as the horse hasnt won since its 2yo debut,it looks a short enough price to me.

Take it on with Red Warrior who can be a little in and out but on its best runs,has a decent chance and certainly better than its price suggests.

Nakeeta is the other in the with a shout.

Back Red Warrior 9pts at 5.5 at betvictor/Paddys/betway)(Accept 5.0)-UP(-9pts)

735 Doncaster-Souville is miles clear on my figures and if it stays the trip(First time at 7f) then it will win.

Last years winner King Torus could get the run of the race out in front and has a solid chance of a repeat victory.

This is a drop in class for Apostle while Compton Park and Flyman both hold chances.

George Cinq doesnt find it easy to get its head in front and isnt running to its best at the moment.

This horse can pull pretty hard,so a slow pace in a small field wont be ideal.

Lay George Cinq 15pts to win at 6.0 Lay 10pts to place-Won(-68pts*1 non runner)Souville didnt get home and George Cinq rather typically returned to form.

5.0 Leicester-Weak race and not many in any sort of form.

Ive got Solid Justice in as favourite after a good run last time when posting a decent rating and the best speed figure in the race.

Jack Garrity`s 3Ib claim can only help and I can see this horse going very close.

Mysterial was below par last time out but was in good form before that although all its form is at shorter and you need to get home on this uphill finish.

Moojaned looks the danger on its run 2 starts back over this trip.Kirby is a good booking.

Back Solid Justice 9pts at 5.5 at bet365(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-9pts)Nicely backed but never got into it.(DT-86pts) A pretty desperate day really!

15th July

3.0 Catterick-David O`Meara has won this race the last 2 years and looks to have a good chance of the hat trick with Jebediah Shine.

This horse is top rated and a repeat of its latest run would make it tough to beat.

Perardua has been racing over 6 furlongs and I think thats too far as its record back at the minimum is 2w-1p-6r,added to a record in this grade of 2 from 5.

I expect a good run from a horse that has won here.

You`re Cool looks vulnerable to me.Its best turf runs have been on fast ground and it wont get that here.

0 from 6 over the trip and 0 from 6 in this class,Ive got it around the 10/1 mark.

Lay You`re Cool 20pts at 6.0-UP(Lay was cancelled due to there being a non runner)

620 Worcester-Ladfromhighworth has a good strike rate(3/10) in its career and there are reasons to believe it can add to that tally here.

Its posted 2 solid ratings this season but both over shorter and on slightly softer ground.

Its raced once over course and distance and won,that being its only run over this trip.

There could easily be more to come back up in  distance and its ratings are already as good as the best in this race.

American Legend is a danger.A CD winner with no problems with the conditions,it is 8Ibs higher than its last win however and has just been struggling to get its head in front.

At its best Finish The Story has a chance but its been struggling over hurdles while Speedy Bruere looks underpriced to me after a poor run last time.

Its got stamina doubts and im not certain about it on the ground either.

Back Ladfromhighworth 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-3rd(-10pts)One paced when it mattered

14th July

345 Bath-Ada Lovelace won well last time but had the race run to suit and that was at Brighton,where it had run well previously.
Its 2 starts around here have seen it beaten a total of 18 lengths plus its 5Ibs above a mark its ever won off and may prefer slightly further.
Theres enough negatives there to take on this vulnerable favourite.
Archie Stevens should run well as its been in a rich vein of form while Edged Out goes well here.
Silvericca is another to run its best races here and Breccbennach returns after an absence but won first time out last season and a repeat of that would see it win this.
Lay Ada Lovelace 15pts to win at 4.3(Upto 4.5) 10pts to place-UP(+23.75pts)Finished a well beaten last.
Monthly Total-16.15pts
Running Total+7878.10pts

13th July

No Selections

12th July

4.0 Stratford-Despite their being several front runners,I can still see Another Flutter running really well.

This horse is 2w-1p-4r around this tight track,has won in this grade and is 5w-3p-16r in fields of 9 or less.

I fail to see why its longer in the betting to a couple of others in this race.

Surf and Turf will have the race run to suit but last time out,it won at its favourite track and its 0w-0p-4r around here,it should be a bigger price.

Miss Tenacious is up in grade and despite running really well,just doesnt look it wants to win anymore.It was produced perfectly last time but looked like it ducked it to me.

The biggest danger is easily last years winners,Fair Dilemna.3 from 4 around sharp tracks,it ran a stormer after a break last time and has probably been laid out for this.

Back Another Flutter 7pts at 7.0 at Corals(Accept 6.0) 

Back Fair Dilemna 2pts at 5.5 at various bookies-(-9pts)

210 Southwell-Walden Prince returns after 474 days and makes its debut for a yard that have 35% strike rate here with their chasers.

Its been put in as favourite and may well win but after such an absence,id like to take it on with something.

Macs Grey and Table Bluff both hold chances but are very beatable,so I will risk a little on Dancing Echo.

This horse has only had 2 runs over fences and showed up well last time for a long way after a break before weakening late on.

If coming on for that run and the added experience plus the added tongue tie ,it may well outrun its odds.

Back Dancing Echo 4pts at 13.0 at Betvictor/Hills(Accept 9.0)-UP(-4pts)

455 Southwell-For a big yard,David Pipe has a very ordinary 5 from 40 record with his hurdlers at this track.

His representative Skylander,looks unlikely to imrpove that record here.

It wants softer ground and just hasnt been running well enough to get involved at the business end.Ive got it around 9/1 mark.

Ubaldo Des Menhies should go close after a good win last time over course and distance while Ruaraidh Hugh has been in blinding form.

Harveys Hope wouldnt want the ground too fast but has form here and the trainer is 7 from 30 with his handicap hurdlers here.

Lay Skyland to win 15pts at 6.0 10pts to place-UP(+23.75pts *After commission)(DT+10.75pts)

445 Perth-Doubts about so many here,its difficult to see Seperate Shadows not being involved.

Its been in rock solid form and hopefully the jockey will make use of its assured stamina by stretching the field,some way out.

Baraboy has been in the form of its life and rates the danger but it is 0w-1p-6r in this grade

Claude Carter is 0w-0p-8r around here,0w-1p-15r after a break of 41 days or more(129 days today) so why it isnt a double figure,i just dont know.

Its difficult to know what to make of Harry`s Summer.Its shown nothing at all but does hail from the Gordon Elliot yard(36% with his hurdlers here) and has to be respected on that front.

Back Seperate Shadows 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-4th(-9pts)Really well backed but ran a flat race after looking good(DT+1.75pts)

Poor day with the backs but once again,it just proves why I do lays.Rescued a very ordinary day!

11th July

3.0 Chester-Kool Kompany has been below par the last twice in better company but will find this easier.

Its short enough however considering the lack of form shown recently.

I like Zarwaan to prove up to this rise in class.

Its posted consistent ratings and a very good speed figure last time.I would have it clear favourite.

Gabriel runs pretty consistently but is 0w-2p-24r between June and September.

Back Zarwaan 12pts at 4.3 at bet365(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Strong in the market but one paced when it mattered.

520 Chester-Special Venture is pretty consistent but often finds something to beat it and i cant have it as favourite.

It has won at the trip but on my figures,it probably wants just a little shorter than this.

Pyrocumulus often starts slowly before rattling home.It will appear on the scene late on & given a decent start,it has the ratings to take this.

Guiding Light represents a yard that have a 24% strikerate here with their 3yos while Caigemdar has run over this trip twice and finished 1st and 2nd.

Lay Special Venture 20pts at 4.5-3rd(+19pts)

2.0 Newmarket-Good race and competitive stuff but I would definitely have Western Reserve as clear favourite here.

Its only had 3 runs and each rating has shown a clear progression.

Last time out it was clear a furlong out over 9 furlongs before getting reeled in,this mile trip will be ideal and hopefully it will be near the front as coming from behind is proving nearly impossible at this track these days.

Oracolo is progressive and a danger but Great Park could be the biggest threat.

Back Western Reserve 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes/Betvictor-Won(+42pts)Jumped out ..made all!(DT+49pts)
Monthly Total-41.67pts
Running Total+7852.60pts

10th July

255 York-Pretty competitve race but nothing appeals more than Interception.

This horse is consistent and progressive.

The price still appeals as its latest win at Royal Ascot was a career best.

Its got a fine 5w-2p-8r record when returning to the track within 28 days and the jockey is 16 from 46 for this yard.

Kiyoshi would be the biggest threat at its best

Back Interception 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Backed into 2/1 but whether it was the ground or what,this hasnt run its race.

9th July

6.0 Newmarket-Jan Van Hoof moves up in class but is clear on my figures with more likely to come.

If this horse was trained by one of the `name` Newmarket trainers then Im pretty sure it would be around 2/1 mark,which is where ive got it.

Newtons Law is a rock solid horse,with course form to its name but is going to need to find some improvement to take this.

Maljaa looks the only real danger to me.Its totally unexposed after just 3 runs,from a yard going well.

Although only one 3yo has won this race in the last 10 years,Its worth a saver

Back Jan Van Hoof 12pts at 4.3 at various bookies(+31.68pts *2 NRs)

Back Maljaa 4pts at 5.0 at ladbrokes(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-4pts)

610 Epsom-Lu`s Buddy stays this trip of 10 furlongs but ive got it a 7Ib better horse over a mile.

Others will be finishing stronger and it looks a favourite to take on.

Mister Mayday should go close,the yard are 4 from 12 with their older horses here and this horse is 3w-3p-11r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Taurian makes its handicap debut and could be much better than these while Trulee Scrumptious returned to form last time.

Arantes is still a maiden but definitely has the ratings to figure , Ocean Applause(Down in class) and Symphony Of Kings(Back in trip) arent out of it on their best form.

Lay Lu` Buddy 15pts at 5.0 to win(Lay upto 5.5) Lay 10pts to place-2nd(+5.15pts)(DT+32.83pts)

710 Epsom-There has been a couple of market moves meaning Prim and Proper has become a price,thats too big too miss.

This is a rise in class but its been in fine form and stands out on my ratings.

Its 3w-3p-8r in fields of 9 or less like this and if it handles this track then it must go close.

Zampa Manos is strong in the market and this is a drop in class but its never won a handicap and ran poorly last time.

Starwatch loves it here(Epsom 4w-1p-12r) and always starts winning around July time but its better with some cut in the ground.

Duelling Dragon gets the visor first time and the trainer has a win and a second from his 2 runners in this race.

Back Prim and Proper 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Came there to win its race but its run petered out.(DT+20.83pts)
Monthly Total-78.67pts
Running Total+7815.60pts

8th July

430 Catterick-Last time out,Hot Spice had its ideal conditions(2 miles.class 5 and fast ground).

Here despite still being suited by the trip,its up in class(Class 4 0w-0p-12r) and looks likely to be racing on rain softened ground(Ratings are 20Ibs worse in such conditions)

It really should be around the 15/2 mark rather than being favourite at 100/30.

High Secret has been progressive on the all weather and has decent turf form for a yard that have a 34% strike rate here with their older horses.

Cousin Khee drops in class and will like the ground while Miss Macnamara is 4 from 7 at this track.

Sands of Fortune makes its handicap debut and cant be discounted.Also Chivers drops in class and prefers cut in the ground like it will get here.

Lay Hot Spice 15pts at 4.8(Lay upto 6.0) Lay 10 pts to place-Non Runner

250 Wolves-Purely from a value standpoint,Medieval Bishop shouldnt be the price it is.

Its been in rock solid form,likes this track and although you couldnt say it was well handicapped,its current price has to be considered value.

Noguchi is 4w-1p-8r at this track but was well below form here last time.

Lacey will run its race but struggles to win(Career 2/32) while Fire in Babylon rises in class(Class 5 0w-0p-7r)

Back Medieval Bishop 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Halved in price but ran a very laboured race.

520 Wolves-I cant resist a little play on Course Specialist,Star Links here.

Although mainly on the old surface ,it is 8w-3p-20r here but its best run this season so far,came at this track in April,in 2 grades higher and off a mark 11Ibs higher.

This is its first run in a class 5 on the all weather since 2011 and a repeat of that run in April,would see it go very close at a massive price.

There are plenty of dangers in a competitive race but this price is too big to miss.

Back Star Links 4pts at 17.0 at various bookies(Accept 13.0)-UP(-4pts)Ran like its price suggested.

640 Bath-There has been money for Hit The Lights but it will need the visor to really work to win this.

Its got a record of 0w-1p-9r over this trip and the trainer is just 2 from 57 with his runners here.

Captain Ryan must go well as it drops in class ,at its favourite track.

Its raced here,on fast ground,around this trip and in class 6 grade 5 times and finished 1st-1st-3rd-1st-3rd.

Catalinas Diamond is another horse that likes it here(2 CD wins) and wont be far away while Air of York is an improving 3yo who won well last time and clocked the best speed figure in the race.

Lay Hit the Lights 15pts at 4.2 to win and 10pts at 1.65 to place-2nd(+7.75pts after commission)(DT-3.25pts)

7th July

815 Uttoxeter-Not a strong race and one in which Significant Move looks to hold a strong chance if repeating its latest effort.

Its slowly been finding its form under its new trainer,Richard Newland and has been nicely backed the last twice.

This yard dont leave there money behind often and it should come home in front with the yard being 23 from 84 with their runners here.

Mighty Leader could be the main danger after a decent run last time and the jockey/trainer combination being 10/46 when teaming up.

Back Significant Move 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.75)-3rd(-12pts)Hammered into 6/4 but the jockey was all over the place.Stayed on well but too late

825 Brighton-Doubts about those at the front of the market here.

Welsh Inlet has been consistent and has 3 course wins to its name,normally id say it has an excellent chance but this 7yo has a history of losing its form after we hit July(July to November 0w-4p-33r)

Birdie Queen has a big question mark over the trip while Olney Lass tends to operate in a grade lower than this.

Juventas got everything its own way last time in a weaker race than this and it posted the same rating that day as Sixties Love,who was caught wide at Lingfield.

Yet the latter is 3 times the price and with George Baker on top for the first time,this horse is good value.

Back Sixties Love 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies(Accept 7.5)-2nd(-6pts)8/1 into 3/1,held up and coming with a winning run but couldnt get by.Really frustrating.(DT-18pts)

855 Brighton-Western Playboy is a lot shorter than I would have it here and looks one to take on for win purposes.

Its got a record of 0 from 12 now and has run at this track twice but finished down the field both times.

Speculator is improving and must go well with the excellent George Baker taking over in the saddle for the first time.

Ocean Crystal drops in class and is a big runner.

Lay Western Playboy 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+19pts)Well beaten and typically didnt even place.(DT+1pt)

310 Pontefract-I really hoped to be putting up Temptress as a selection,as that horse has a serious chance but its not quite big enough a price to tip.

I wouldnt put anyone off backing it but id want 2/1 before getting involved.

So we shall go about it another way and im happy to take on Pelerin,the 2nd fav.

This horse ran a pretty flat race on its seasonal debut and its best turf ratings from last season leave it with 8Ibs to find.

The yard have had an indifferent season so far and are only 1 from 21 with their older horses here.

Gratzie,Merry Me,Rekdhat and Queen Catrine are all strong opponents for the lay.

Lay Pelerin to win15pts at 6.0 and lay 10pts to place.-3rd(Wasnt Matched) Drifted All Day.

6th July

250 Worcester-Mr Moss looks to have lost its way and Foundation Man isnt operating at the level its capable of while ValleyofMilan returns from a long break and normally needs at least a run to put it spot on.

This leaves Falcarragh,who should run well with Richard Johnson onboard but I like the really consistent Marie Des Anges.

This horse has a win and a 2nd from 3 runs around here and the trainer has a 25% strike rate at the track.

Its top rated on its latest 2nd to a horse that has come out and won again since.

Back Marie Des Anges 18pts at 3.0 at Paddys/Corals/Betfair sportsbook-UP(-18pts)Really poor run.First time for ages it hasnt run its race.

5th July

320 Market Rasen-This looks pretty weak and looks a decent chance for Ivans Back.

This horse is unexposed over fences and was 3rd in a better race than this last time.

Its got 2 course wins to its name and this slight drop in trip should be ideal.

Jackthejourneyman is easily the biggest danger unless the John Ferguson trained Paddy Mulligan suddenly sparks into life

Back Ivans Back 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies(Accept 3.5)-3rd(-12pts)Pulled probably too hard early on and it more than likely,cost it the race as it flattened out on the run in after looking the winner.
Monthly Total-79.25pts
Running Total+7815.02pts

4th July

315 Leicester-Intimation is totally unexposed and looks sure to appreciate the step up in trip.

Its rating from its maiden win last time out is easily the best here and the 2nd has since come out and won.

The stable also won this race last year as well and have a 41% strike rate here with their 3yo`s.

Mikandy looks the biggest danger unless Julieta shows a lot more on its handicap debut.

Back Intimation 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Won easily

420 Sandown-This is a drop in class for Havana Beat and last years winner of this race looks to hold a solid chance here.

The yard have won this race twice in the last 4 years as well and the horse is 2 from 3 at this track.

Angel Gabriel and Suegioo are the dangers.

Back Havana Beat 13pts at 3.75(Already advised)-UP(-13pts)Well backed into 7/4 but pulled fairly hard and was one paced.(DT+23pts)

3rd July

420 Newton Abbot-The recent rain has meant quite a few in this race have questions to answer on the ground front.

Not only that,there are several here that look disappointing sorts.Royal Skies in particular has shown little but hails from a yard that has won with 6 of its 18 runners here.

It will need to vastly improve on what its done so far however.

Tea in Transvaal makes its handicap debut and comes here after a victory but the speed figure was poor and it looks short enough.

By far the most reliable horse to run its race looks to be Billy My Boy,whos posted several solid ratings and is improving.

Its proven on the ground and has raced at this track 3 times and finished 2nd-1st-3rd.

Back Billy My Boy 12pts at 4.5 at Corals(Accept 4.0)-3rd(-12pts)We got the value and it looked a big danger 3 out but the jockey went from cruising to full tilt and its jumping was poor over the last 2.

530 Newton Abbot-This is wide open but Primo Capitano looks overpriced to me.

Its only had 4 runs over hurdles and posted its best rating last time on its handicap debut.

If a couple of the other bring their very best(Decimus and Finish the Story) to the race then it will need to improve again but racing on this(Won a point to point on soft) surface could help it do that.

Horace Hazel won last time around here but has ground concerns while Rior has been running well but is 1 from 27 in its career.

Back Primo Capitano 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-UP(-5pts)Ran poorly and it wasnt helped by watching Decimus win.(DT-17pts)

745 Beverley-ThankstoMonty has started at 2/1,6/4 and 6/4 in its last 3 races so it clearly shows something that it hasnt produced on the racecourse as of yet.

Once again,its put in as favourite but on my figures should be trading at around the 6/1 mark.It looks a favourite to take on.

Gleneely Girl has been running well while Stardrifter is a bit bigger than ive got it,its run 3 starts back is the best rating in the race.

Secret Lightning has been pretty consistent and shouldnt be far away.

Lay Thankstomonty 15pts at 4.5 to win Lay 10 pts to place-Won(-50.25pts *1 non runner)Not sure how it won but it did.Looked the first beaten but battled back.Rounded off a rubbish day!(DT-67.25pts)

2nd July

No selections today

1st July

340 Perth-Unless Romany Ryme improves for the switch to Gordon Elliot`s yard then this race looks at the mercy of Caledon Craic.

This horse has shown a steady progression in its ratings and posted its best yet,last time when making its handicap debut at Roscommon in Ireland.

Ive put many times how I think Irish raiders are well handicapped over here and that certainly looks the case here.

Romany Ryme needs the heavens to open for it to run to its best and has a poor 1 from 24 strike rate.

Los Nadis is probably best of the british runners.

Back Caledon Craic 15pts at 3.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-15pts)Hurdled poorly but just given far too much to do.Really should have won.

440 Perth-This is pretty wide open but I can see Clonleney improving on its solid chasing debut last time.

Beidh Tine Anseo beat it last time but I can see the tables being turned here as that horse has to prove its stamina over this longer while Clonleney produced its best hurdles ratings over this extra half mile.

Its certainly the value as ive got it around the 5/2 mark.

Just Awake is 1 from 1 at this track,so is respected on that but im not certain it wants the ground this fast.

BouggietoPieces is another one of those Gordon Elliot runners that will get massive respect from the market but this horse looks one of the stable lesser lights.

Back Clonleney 8pts 6.5 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-Pulled Up(-8pts)Weak in the on course market then checked over by the vet just before start and allowed to run.Pulled up down the back straight,leaves a sour taste.Bit of a joke really!(DT-23pts)