30th April

615 Towcester-Against a host of mainly exposed chasers,the once raced over fences,Ivans Back appeals.

It posted a good effort on its chase debut,that also included the best speed figure in this race.

All this suggest it could be nicely handicapped here with the stable having a solid 2 from 8 record here with their chasers.

At its best Accessallareas would have a decent chance but its got no decent record fresh.

Back Ivans Back 12pts at 4.0 at paddys(Accept 3.5)-Fell(-12pts)

505 Towcester-Pandy Wells has,to say the least,a patchy record.

It looks very unreliable and the trainer is 0 from 21 with his hurdlers here.

Pennant Dancer looks a big runner while Rogue Dancer will go close if fully tuned up after a break.

Lay Pandy Wells 20pts at 6.0-Fell(+19pts)

245 Sedgefield-Abricot De L`Oasis is lightly raced and is a fair enough fav but I would defintely have Classinaglass shorter than its current price.

This horse has been consistent and is improving.Its 2w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-0p-3r between March and May.

Tahiti Pearl has been showing signs of returning to form and if its going to win again,it will be here(5 course wins)

Back Classinaglass 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-3rd(-12pts)

735 Newton Abbot-In a race filled with unreliable sorts,Dancing Dik stands out on its rating based on its late fall when clear last time out.

Anything close to that performance should be good enough here.

Back Dancing Dik 12pts at 4.0(Already Advised)-Fell(-12pts)(DT-17pts)

Monthly Total+10.3pts

Running Total+7602.24pts

29th April

655 Lingfield-Euthenia has been continually dropped in trip and this is the shortest its ever ran at.

So far,its failed to finish its race off properly,whatever the distance(career record 0 from 12) and its sires course record(0 from 20) doesnt exactly add encouragement.

Its latest run,over 7 furlongs at Catterick was one of its better ones but 6 furlongs,on this surface is a different matter and it looks too short to me.

Perfect Bounty is lightly raced and improving while Laura B`s trainer has a 20% strike rate with his 3yos here.

Lay Euthenia 20pts at 6.0-Won(-90pts * 1NR) Clearly the drop in trip made the difference.

145 Wolverhampton-I like the consistent Rafaaf here.

Its posted 3 solid efforts lately ,all at this track but none at this trip and with its last win coming over course and distance,im expecting the 7 furlongs to be ideal.

Indian Affair and Black Truffle look the dangers.

Back Rafaaf 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies-2nd(-13pts)(DT-103pts)

28th April

No Selections

27th April

445 Southwell-Spitfire has been running well and is respected while Spowarticus and Lucky Mark both bring solid recent form to the table.

However these are all exposed sprinters.Misu Mac is far more unexposed and im sure is still improving.

Its form figures over sprint trips at this track read 1st-2nd-1st and after its latest win,its trainer said that it would still come on for that run.

If it does then it really should be a lot shorter price than it is.

Back Misu Mac 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-Won(+33pts*1 non runner*)Tanked along and won easily

Monthly Total+130.3pts

Running Total+7722.24pts

25th April

5.0 Sandown-This is a very competitive race and perhaps the rise in class will find it out but I cannot see why Phone Home is the price it is.

I guess its form is a little in and out but the rating it posted last time out ,gives it a far better chance than the odds suggest.

It has got its ideal conditions and the jockey is 2 from 8 when riding for the this yard.

Generous Ransom is improving and is the right favourite.

Back Phone Home 4pts at 15.0 at bet365(Accept 11.0)-Pulled UP(-4pts)

24th April

220 Doncaster-Rumble of Thunder is just 1 from 19 on the flat and the trainer is 0 from 23 with his older horses at this track.

Its 0 from 12 in this grade and the yards horses havent been firing for some time.

Mr Snoozy is 3w-1p-5r at this track while Katie Gale is totally unexposed on turf,

Kirkman represents a yard in flying form and must go well.

Lay Rumble of Thunder 20pts at 5.5-UP(+19pts)

*Cancel  if there are any non runners*

755 Plumpton-Into the Wind has raced just 6 starts over hurdles but they have all been on soft ground.

With all its best runs on the flat coming on fast ground,I would anticipate it improving on its previous efforts here.

Warrant Officer is the obvious danger

Back Into the Wind 12pts at 4.5 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 3.5)-UP(-12pts)Ran a shocker(DT+7pts)

625 Plumpton-Reblis and Ballyvoneen both go well here with 9 course wins between them but Days Ahead looks to be slowly finding its feet again and is nicely handicapped based on its old form.

It will love this ground and I like the jockey.

Back Days Ahead 13pts at 3.75-Fell(-13pts)Cruising along and would have won when it came down 4 out.Trading at 1.56 when it fell.Unbelievable the last few days.

740 Chepstow-Clubs are Trumps is still lightly raced over fences and may improve further especially over this sort of trip but after its wins,connections commented both times that the ground was fast enough for it and here it will encounter its fastest ground yet.

I think Charming Lad should be favourite as its 2w-1p-4r over this trip and will be fine on the ground.

Its latest rating puts it clear top rated and may still be capable of better.

Leith Hill Legasi`s best form has been on heavy ground and the yard are 0 from 18 with their chasers here.

Back Charming Lad 12pts at 4.0-Won(+36pts)Given a lovely ride and won well(DT+30pts)

345 Perth-Theres no doubt Until Winning will go well,as its steadily improving and has a consistent profile but 13/8 looks pretty short to me.

Take it on with Royal Macnab,who also boasts a consistent record and will love the ground.

Its up in class but its ratings suggests its overpriced and it could get an easy lead

Back Royal Macnab 6pts at 7.0-Won(+30.6pts *1 nr*) Well backed and its jumping won the day.(DT+60.6pts)

Monthly Total+101.30pts

Running Total+7693.24pts

23rd April

805 Southwell-Serenity Now ran really well last time out over a bit further and the main concern has to be the drop in trip especially as this horse can sometimes miss the start.

However if its there coming into the straight then it really should power home as its latest rating suggests its still nicely handicapped.

Megamunch is clearly the biggest danger with a fine 3 from 6 record here while Goldmadchen is the other that should fill the frame.

Back Serenity Now 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Traded at 1.1 inrunning when hitting the front inside the final furlong but either jockey error or the horse chucking it in ,saw it beaten on the post.

350 Perth-From a value perspective,Purcells Bridge looks overpriced here.

It ran really well last time out,where it just weakened late on and will appreciate this slight drop in trip.

The trainer is 3 from 11 with her chasers here and the horse is 3 from 8 going right handed.

Tom George does well with his horses here,so Big Society is respected while there are a couple of unexposed in opposition.

Back Purcells Bridge 6pts at 8.5 at various bookies-2nd(-6pts)Broken Record time again! Traded at 1.55 in running but couldnt reel in the winner.

2 really good selections today and incredibly lost money.(DT-18pts)

22nd April

735 Ffos Las-Im Pretty shocked to see Tijori trading at such a big price here.

This horse has only 6 starts over hurdles and showed its seasonal debut to be all wrong when running well last time out.

The winner has come out and followed up since while the 3rd has gone very close also.

That rating and speed figure also suggest its form that warrants a lot more respect than its current price.

Guard of Honour is improving but has a young claimer aboard a new trip,it remains to be seen how that will work out.

Alphabet Bay makes its handicap debut and is respected but theres quite a bit of dead wood here.

Back Tijori 4pts each way 15.0 at Bet365/Corals(Accept 11.0)-3rd(+11.2pts)

Monthly Total+58.7pts

Running Total+7650.64pts

21st April

230 Exeter-Free of Charge has run its best races at this track and stepped up to this trip last time out,it produced its best rating yet.

The horse clearly likes the trip and track and with the yard back in form,it could well progress again.

Unless Horsted Vallety improves for the extra distance then its difficult to see where the dangers are providing the selection runs its race.

Back Free of Charge 18pts at 3.0 at Hills/Paddys-2nd(-18pts)Yet another massive odds on in running loser(1.15 matched in running)

240 Ludlow-Dan Skelton has had 10 winners from 34 runners in the last 14 days and must have good prospects of another with Guiding George.

This horse is unexposed over this trip and as a chaser but its last rating makes it the one to beat anyway.

That was at Fakenham and im sure it will be more at home here at this track.

Benevolent is the main danger although King Massini is respected,as its come back to form and is 2 from 5 around here.

Back Guiding George 9pts at 5.5 at Ladbrokes(Accept 4.5)-UP(-9pts)

805 Wolverhampton-Frank The Barber ran well last time out from a decent draw at Lingfield.

However Red Flute eventually beat it convincingly and should do so again,as it clearly appreciated the drop to 5 furlongs for the first time.

Neither have a decent draw but the lay`s sire is 0 from 21 at this track and looks too short to me.

Course specialist(2 from 5 here) Toni`s a Star has to be respected.

Margot Rose gets the chance to race over 5 furlongs at this track(Sire 20% here) for the first time.

Lady Bling hasnt looked much good but drops to this trip for the first time and the sire is 19% at this distance,so its not without a squeak.

L ay Frank The Barber 20pts at 5.0(Lay upto 5.5)-2nd(+19pts)Ran much better than i thought.(DT-8pts)

20th April

145 Kempton-Saffron Prince looks too short for me here.

Its best figures are all on softer ground and even they leave 7Ibs behind the principals here,added to that the stable are 0 from 21 here and its got it all to do.

Mr Lando is very consistent and looks certain to run well while Dormouse is competitvely weighted and should run its race.

On one of its good days,The Green Ogre would go close.

Lay Saffron Prince 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt matched)

*Cancel or Trade out if Mr Lando or Dormouse dont run*

430 Kempton-After staying on at the end of its latest 2 mile races,One Lucky Lady should appreciate moving back up to this trip and good ground.

The trainer is 23% with his hurdlers here,they won the race last year and its 3 from 6 on sharp tracks like this.

Top Cat Henry should go well but is 0w-0p-6r in April and May while Long Lunch wouldnt be far away on its run,2 starts back.

Back One Lucky Lady 12pts at 4.3 at various bookies-Won(+48pts *Paid out at BOG*)Nico De Bonville showed why hes the most improved jockey around with a typical never say die ride.

Monthly Total+55.5pts

Running Total+7647.44pts

18th April

125 Ayr-Im very surprised The Last Samurai isnt clear favourite here.Its in my tissue at 7/4.

Its not stopped improving,is 1 from 1 here and is 4w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or less.

Puffin Billy`s best form is at Ascot and has a tough task giving the weight away and while Runswick Royal is gradually improving,its going to need to so again to beat the selection.

Back The Last Samurai 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies-2nd(-13pts)Beaten at 1.01 in running,which says it all really.Unbelievable to watch.

310 Ayr-Strongpoint has got its work cut out here on my figures.

Its got 10Ibs to find..is 0w-1p-7r going left handed and 0w-1p-8r when returning to the track after 29 days or more.

Theres a strong field against it.Yorkist ran well last time and achieved a fine rating,providing the ground isnt too quick,it will outrun its price.

La Bacardy won this race last year and returns to the track after an absence ,making its debut for the bang in form Dan Skelton yard.It Will go close.

Lay Strongpoint 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)(DT+6pts)

*Cancel or Trade out If La Bacardy or Yorkist dont run*

Monthly Total+7.5pts

Running Total+7599.44pts

17th April

335 Ayr-Pius Jamais looks a shade vulnerable here and is a favourite to take on despite the yard having won this race last year.

On my figures this horse looks better at further and on softer ground plus its 0w-0p-5r during April.

I like Aye Well against it.This horse has a nice consistent profile and has won around here.

Its reunited with James Reveley whos 2 from 3 on it and is 3w-1p-7r in small fields like this.

Back Aye Well 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Well backed and hosed up

240 Fontwell-Fruity O`Rooney has won this race the last 2 years and willl clearly have been aimed at it again.

Although getting on now,these are its optimum conditions..Fontwell(5w-2p-13r)...2m6f(5w-2p-9r) and has 4 wins on good ground.

Opening Batsmen is a big danger but unless Valco De Touzaine improves then there is a lot of deadwood here.

Back Fruity O`Rooney 10pts at 5.0 at various Bookies-4th(-10pts)

555 Southwell-In a very weak race,To The Sky really should be favourite for me.

Its easily the most consistent in the field and loves this ground.The jockey is 5 from 15 for the yard.

If Tri Nations produced its best it would go close but its incredibly inconsistent these days so last time out winner,Moonlight Maggie is probably the main danger but that is up in class where its 0w-0p-4r.

B ack To The Sky 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Nicely supported into 9/4 but ran flat.(DT+18pts)

745 Bath-Lady Bayside makes its seasonal debut here and its hard to see it running up to its very best,which it will need to be competitve on my ratings.

After a break of 41 days or more away from the track,its got a record of 0w-0p-7r,not only that its 0w-1p-4 over this trip and the trainer hasnt had a horse place this season.

Palerma is still lightly raced and should be capable of better this season while Ela Goog La Mou represents a trainer that has won with 2 of his 3 horses hes sent on the long journey here.

Lay Lady Bayside 20pts at 5.5-UP(+19pts After commission)(DT+37pts)

Monthly Total+1.5pts

Running Total+7591.94pts

16th April

350 Cheltenham-Foxbridge has had a fine season,winning 3 times before possibly finding the trip too far last time.

On its best form over fences so far(All on soft ground) it holds strong claims but i wonder if its first time on good ground(Won its only hurdle race on good ground) will unlock more improvement.

Its 4 from 4 in fields of 9 or less like this and is 4w-0p-6r when returning to the track within 40 days.

Ive got Sire Collonges needing to improve but the one im worried about is Lamb or Cod.

Its been in no sort of form but may bounce back on this better ground and its well handicapped for a yard that have won this race twice in recent seasons.

Back Foxbridge 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies.-5th(-10pts)Once again the main danger wins.

720 Chelmsford-Mullionheir will take a bit of beating here after a fine win over course and distance last time.

Lady Atlas`s best ratings have come at this trip and it should follow it home.

Lolita makes its handicap debut and the sire is 2 from 6 with its runners here.

St Pauls Square is 0w-0p-5r over this trip and the sire is 0 from 12 with its runners here so far.

Its 0 from 12 in its career and lacks the progression of some of its rivals.

Lay St pauls Square 20pts at 6.0-Cancelled due to non runners

15th April

350 Cheltenham-Allez Vic has only had just 4 starts over fences and should be capable of more.

Any more progression would see it being a major force here and its last speed figure suggests it could easily improve.

The trip and ground are perfect and it should be thereabouts at a very nice price.

Fox Appeal drops in class but looks better on softer ground while Pepite Rose tends to run its best races at Newbury.

Galway Jack looks sure to run well although this is a rise in class and Anay Turge although a little in and out of late has got 2 course wins to its name.

Back Allez Vic 6pts at 10.0 at Bet365(Accept 8.0)-UP(-6pts)Just too many mistakes and having Anay Turge win at 12/1 doesnt make things easier.

14th April

320 Southwell-Spitfire won this race last year and comes into form at this time of the year(April/May 4w-2p-13r)

Its at its best around this track and on its rating over course and distance,2 starts back,it should be clear favourite.

The clear danger is Abi Scarlett,who also goes well here and is 3w-1p-4r in sellers.

Back Spitfire 13pts at 3.75 at Paddys(Accept 3.25)-Won(+25pts Rule 4)

420 Carlisle-Unless Heavenly Brook proves better handicapped in the UK than it does in Ireland then this looks a 3 horse race.

The interesting thing about that is that 2 of the 3 tend to prefer placing rather than winning and that should swing things in favour Barely Legal.

This horse has only had 4 starts over fences and has shown good progressive form(Beat a subsequent Dual winner last time)

Its 2 from 3 going right handed and looks sure to go close.

Trust Thomas tends to cruise through its races and find very little off the bridle and the same can be said for Vasco D`Ycy.

Im sure they will be there 2 out but what they do from that point is finish their races weakly,lets hope its the same here.

Back Barely Legal 12pts at 4.5 at corals(Accept 4.0)-Won(+42pts)(DT+67pts)

Monthly Total-19.5pts

Running Total+7570.94pts

13th April

3.0 Kelso-This step up in trip looks sure to suit Lowcarr Motion,whos been staying on after getting outpaced in its races.

Its last rating gives it a sound chance anyway but I would expect better with the more distance in its favour.

Looking Well is favourite but looks on a tough enough opening mark to me on its handicap debut.

Back Lowcarr Motion 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-5th(-7pts)Every chance and beaten 3 lengths but didnt come home like i hoped it would.

430 Kelso-Beeves looks the most likely winner here but it is up in class and theres a big question mark over the stables horses at present.

Big Sound is consistent but looks far shorter than id have it while Full Jack won over hurdles last time but is just 1 from 27 over fences.

Lord Brendy should run well but doesnt win so I can see the veteran Isla Pearl Fisher running well.

This is a drop in class for it,its got 3 course wins to its name...is 4w-1p-9r when returning to the track within 28 days and 5w-1p-12r in this grade.

Back Isla Pearl Fisher 3pts each way at 17.0 at various bookies-Pulled Up(-6pts)Never going at any stage.

5.0 Kelso-It seems a little odd that Sultana Belle turned in a career best performance(on my ratings) on its only start over fences a year ago and since,has only ran over hurdles.

That run though,gives it strong claims here and after a decent run over hurdles last time,it appears to be in decent form.

Spirit Oscar has been running okay but seems better on softer grounf.

Jewellery would have chances with conditions ideal but does return after an absence.

Nosey Box has only had 2 chase starts but pulled up last time and wants softer ground while Amethyst Rose has been in good form but is 0w-0p-4r at the track and 0w-1p-7r in this grade.

B ack Sultana Belle 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies  -3rd(-16pts)Another really poor day!(DT-29pts)

11th April

205 Aintree-Top of my ratings and clear on speed figures,Gods Own sets a good standard here and I would have it around the 5/4 mark.

4w-2p-9r in small fields like this and 4w-1p-7r on todays ground,it would be a surprise if it wasnt there at the death.

Traffic Fluide is improving and is the main danger for me although the trainer is 0 from 17 with his chasers here.

Back Gods Own 18pts at 3.0 at Stan James-2nd(-18pts)Not a great ride to be honest.Stayed on but the winner had got first run

155 Chepstow-This race is between class dropper Bincombe and the very consistent Take The Crown.

The former has encountered 2m4f on fast ground 3 times in its chase career and won them all while the latter just doesnt seem to know how to run a bad race and 1 from 1 at the track.

Sunny Ledgend has never ever managed to win a handicap and I doubt it will here.

Its much better on soft ground and is 0w-0p-10r between March and May.

Lay Sunny Ledgend 20pts at 6.0-3rd(+19pts A/C)

520 Lingfield-Despite winning last time,Toymaker looks far too short to me here.

Its not been at its best in 2 starts at Lingfield and now steps up to a trip where its 0w-0p-6r at.

Its difficult to see it improving that record as its sire is 0 from 38 at the trip.

Ninety Minutes is top rated on its win last time at Wolverhampton but I expect a big run from Tilstarr,who drops into a grade where its 1w-1p-2r and has 2 course wins to its name.

Munsarim is always a force around here(6 course wins) and in this grade(4 from 12),it shouldnt be far away.

Lay Toymaker 20pts at 6.0-3rd(+19pts A/C)(DT+20pts)

10th April

215 Aintree-Glingerburn is massively progressive and its last rating means all this field have improvement to find to match it and thats without the selection continuing its upward curve.

It also hosts the best speed figure on show and the flat track and decent pace should see it running its race and that should be good enough.

B ack Glingerburn 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies-4th(-18pts)Just a very flat run

325 Aintree-Top race but Al Ferof looks overpriced to me.

At its best,it has the best ratings here and to be at its best,it needs to arrive at the track fresh(80 days+ 4w-1p-6r),it gets that here after a 105 day break.

I expect a big run from a yard that had a fine first day at the meeting.

Champagne Fever looks too short to me,its best form is on soft ground and Willie Mullins doesnt target this meeting like he does Cheltenham.

Don Cossack looks a much bigger danger to me.

Back Al Ferof 7pts at 7.5 at Paddys(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Another disappointing run.

230 Fontwell-Lots of deadwood here and you can see why Unknown Legend is favourite but so far its best ratings have been at Fakenham and it could possibly be vulnerable away from that venue.

I like My Silver Cloud against it.It raced from out of the handicap last time and competes off its correct mark here.That last rating is the best on show here,

I also feel todays longer trip will be in its favour and after just 7 starts,it may just be finding its feet.

Back My Silver Cloud 12pts at 4.5 at Betfair Sportsbook(Accept 3.5)-Won(+42pts)Hammered into 7/4 and got the job done.(DT+17pts)

450 Fontwell-When we last saw Ifyousayso,it was in desperate form and theres no guarantee it will be any different here but I feel theres reasons to expect much better.

First of all,its left its last yard and joined the David Bridgwater stable and it wouldnt be the first horse theyve sweetened up.

It drops down into a grade where its 3w-0p-4r...is 2 from 3 on good ground....After a break of 80 days or more its 2w-0p-4r and the yard are 8 from 36 with their handicap chasers here.

Obviously with this sort of horse,you would like to see some of support because if they can get it back to somewhere near its best then its different class to this field.

Crazy Jack is the obvious danger.

Back Ifyousayso 6pts at 7.5 at Paddys(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Well backed but didnt jump very well(DT+11pts)

Monthly Total-77.5

Running Total+7512.94pts

9th April

325 Aintree-This race interests me because of the stamina doubts over several of the horses.

Jezki and Arctic Fire have the best form but at shorter.The former has won at the trip but that wasnt nowhere near the level of this race.

Given the prices,id prefer to look for something at a price and the one that appeals is Volnay De Thaix.

On the book,it cant beat Rock on Ruby on their running at Cheltenham,just before christmas but this is a different track and a different day. 

The jockey and trainer are flying at present and im hoping this horse is up there forcing the pace to expose any stamina doubts in the opposition.

Back Volnay De Thaix 4pts at 17.0 at Paddys(Accept 13.0)-3rd(-4pts)Plenty of money for it and ran really well but ulitmately just not good enough.

305 Taunton-Echo Foxtrot is 0 from 12 so far in its career and represents a trainer that is 0 from 24 with her hurdlers here.

Its clearly very beatable and shouldnt be favourite on my figures.

Henry Oliver makes its debut for an in form trainer and has a good jockey booking in Aiden Coleman.

Ofcoursewecan could show more as its still lightly raced,up in trip and on better ground.

I would expect Exemplary to run well back on fast ground while Shot in the Dark drops in grade and must go close.

Lay Echo Foxtrot 20pts at 6.0-3rd(Wasnt Matched)

8th April

420 Catterick-Powerful Presence has become very well handicapped now and has to be of interest here after hinting a revival was close last time.

This is its first in a class 5 since 2011 and with a record in this grade of 2w-1p-3r ,it has to be competitive,particularly at a track where its boasts form figures of 2-2-1-2-1-1.

Back Powerful Presence 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-UP(-10pts)Plenty of money for it but ran flat.

715 Kempton-Akavit won well last time at Wolverhampton over a shorter trip but looks pretty short to me considering its sire is 0 from 17 at this track and has never sired a horse that has won over this trip.

It also got a very easy lead last time and you would expect the other jockeys to be more wise to it this time.

I would expect Total Demolition to be a big runner here while That Man O Mine would go very close,on its run  2 starts back

Lay Akavit 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.5)-Won(-70pts)Too many didnt run their race here but at the end of the day,the above analysis was flawed!Pretty Hopeless Day!(DT-80pts)

6th April

310 Market Rasen-This looks a trappy race but im going to take a chance on Oscatara.

This horse produced a career best over fences last time and on that rating,its chance is much better than the current odds suggest.

The yard have had an in and out season but have a good 9 from 45 record here with their chasers.

Crazy Jack heads the market and its fair to say,it has to produce a lot more on my figures,than its shown so far.

Back Oscatara 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept 5.5)-Fell(-7pts)Just creeping into when the jockey got unseated.

420 Market Rasen-I like the angle of a horse having its first run for trainer Dan Skelton,as is the case with Long House Hall.

On its best ratings in Ireland last time,it would have a decent chance but I would expect this trainer to improve this horse.

Crinkle Crags is improving but is tight enough at the head of the market.

Back Long House Hall 7pts at 7.5-Won(+45.5pts)Won nicely

4.0 Plumpton-Amazingly this class 3 handicap contains not a single horse that has won in this grade before.

That suggests to me,one of the more unexposed types should prevail and Pure Oxygen appeals most.

This horse makes its handicap debut for a trainer with an incredible 5 wins from just 6 winners at this track.

Tom Cannon takes the ride which must be significant as he always rides for Noble Friends trainer but doesnt here.

Back Pure Oxygen 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365/skybet-UP(-12pts)

540 Plumpton-Macabees is incredibly inconsistent and cannot be relied upon.

It ran well last time at Fontwell but has a very poor record(Plumpton 0w-0p-12r) here and in general is 0w-1p-19r going left handed.

Im very happy to take it on despite this being a weak race

Sweet Boy Vic should run well but its regular pilot rides the stables other horse,Onwiththeparty and that horse could improve on this ground.

Dreamisi steps up in trip for its handicap debut and Sam Twiston Davies looks a significant booking.

Lay Macabees 20pts at 6.0-Cancelled

330 Huntingdon-It hasnt had that many chances but Mercoeur looks up against it here.

It needs to find a lot more than its shown to win off this mark and for a trainer with some very good strike rates elsewhere,he is 0 from 24 with his hurdlers at this track.

Lucky Jim is lightly raced and looks very solid.

Sea the Springs makes its handicap debut and is probably the reason Harry Skelton is at this meeting.

Lay Mercoeur 20pts at 6.0-2nd(+19pts)(DT+45.5pts)

Monthly Total-8.5pts

Running Total+7581.94pts

4th April

330 Carlisle-A short price for No Deal but ive got it even shorter.

Its only had the 2 starts over fences and has a nice progressive look.

It clearly likes a break between its races(41 days+ 3w-1p-5r) and won its bumper,on its only start here.

Viable opposition is thin on the ground,And the Man has only completed one of its last 6 starts and is better at Ayr while Carlos Fandango has a chance at its best but prefers to let something beat it.

Back No Deal 25pts at 2.5 at betfair sportsbook(Accept 2.25)-3rd(-25pts)Never really travelling but rallied and just beaten 1/2 a length.

3.0 Newton Abbot-This is a tight race and although up in class,Starkie appeals as a bit of value here.

Its got no great record fresh ,so it was a very encouraging seasonal debut last time(on its first run for this yard) and that bare rating gives it a shout but hopefully it should improve on that.

Its profile offers a lot of hope it will.In fields of 9 or less(3w-2p-7r)...Returning to the track within 40 days or less 3w-1p-5r and 4w-2p-9r over todays distance.

Brick Red,Grey Gold and Ulck Du Lin have all got the ratings to go close.

Back Starkie 7pts at 8.0 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 6.0)-2nd(-7pts)Well backed but basically was out of its ground when the outsider of the whole field kicked clear.Another one that got away I feel!

125 Haydock-Hopefully the ground wont deteriorate too much as Village Vic wouldnt want it bottomless but this horse has a much better chance the current odds suggest.

It latest run puts it clear top rated and it looks to be still improving,as that speed figure is miles clear of anything else in this race.

This horse is a 2/1 chance on my tissue.

Just Cameron is the main danger for me,as its very progressive but will need a serious performance,giving 15Ibs to the selection.

Back Village Vic 11pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-Pulled Up(-11pts)Backed from 4/1 into 9/4 and pulled up after jumping badly left throughout.Unbelievably Bad!

All 3 selections were pinpointed as being the wrong price and they duly shortened but no reward.

(DT-43pts)

3rd April

315 Lingfield-2 years ago,Sovereign Debt was running in group races and since returning to the track this season(For a different stable) has shown excellent progressive ratings.

3 starts back,on its return from well over a year off,it beaten under a length,over course and distance by Mindurownbusiness.

It now meets that rival,10Ibs better off and with also the benefit of having a few runs under its belt.

If it can match any of its 3 runs this season,then it will take a bit of beating.

Back Soveriegn Debt 12pts at 4.3 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 3.75)-2nd(-12pts)Pretty soul destroying stuff watching this.The reason that Ryan Moore is the jockey he is and Adrian Nicholls never will be!

Monthly Total-11pts

Running Total+7579.44pts

2nd April

4.0 Ludlow-Its A Steal is still lightly raced over fences and although it didnt run badly last time over 3 miles,I would expect better back at a trip when its raced twice over fences and won both times.

It boasts course and distance winning form and with the ground ideal,I would expect a big run.

Filbert has won here but looks an awful price to me.This is a drop in class for it but it will need a career best to take this.

Wilton Milan is pretty consistent but has a habit of finding one too good while this trip is further than Lucky Landing has ever won over.

Workbench will like the ground but is the right price for me.

Back Its A Steal 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.5) -2nd(-10pts)Not the jockeys finest hour,I would say.

1st April

210 Towcester-Scorpions Sting produced a solid rating last time when making its handicap debut.

It finished behind a subsequent dual winner and if reproducing that run then it must go close.

Mighty Mambo boasts course and distance winning form and thats a big asset here but despite this,I dont think it should be as short as it is.

Crouching Harry is the only other horse I see in with a chance.

Back Scorpions Sting 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.75)-2nd(-12pts)Very strong in the market,supported into 2/1 but pretty weak oncourse and ran a very laboured race.

220 Wincanton-No surprise the money has come for Jimmy the Jetplane,as this horse has an outstanding chance.

Its clear on my ratings and hails from a bang in form yard.

The jockey is 11 from 47 for this yard.

It wants this good ground and is 2 from 2 at this track.It must take all the beating.

Man Of Leisure at its very best could hit the frame but it appears very in and out these days.

Back Jimmy The Jetplane 20pts at 3.0-Won(+32pts *Rule 4)Much harder than I was expecting but it got there.

320 Wincanton-Wide open race and I like a couple against the field.

Irish Raider Redwood Bay went off favourite last time,when returning after an absence.That run gives it a decent shout but the drop back in trip to 2 miles could bring about more improvement.

Lukes Hill best rating from last season came over 2 miles on good ground and so far this season,its been either running over further or on soft ground,its possible these ideal conditions,could see it bounce back.

Im happy to find out at the prices.

Back Redwood Bay 6pts at 8.0 at Corals/betfair sportsbook-UP(-6pts)Backed into fav but ran poorly

Back Lukes Hill 3pts at 17.0 at various bookies-3rd(-3pts)(DT+11pts)

Running Total+7591.44pts