30th November

145 Leicester-The Ould Lad looks a progressive chaser and after just 6 starts under rules,you would expect to see even more improvement.

Its clear top rated on its latest run when it clocked the best topspeed figure in the race and I would expect the step up in trip to prove to be ideal.

The trainer is 9 from 34 with his chasers here in the last 5 seasons.

Famousandfearless has been progressing well but looks like it prefers at the very worst good ground.

Master Rajeem is unexposed,steps up in trip for a yard going well while Danners although needing to find some improvement,shouldnt be the price it is.

Back The Ould lad 13pts at 4.0-Won(+39pts)A little guessy at a couple of fences but ended up winning easily.

Monthly Total+153pts

Running Total+7216.54pts

29th November

1245 Towcester-Vinnieslittle Lamb is still fairly unexposed over fences after just 4 runs and got punted into favourite last time ,when weakening over a longer trip.

This drop back in distance should prove ideal and against a host of exposed rivals,could be the answer in a weak event.

Wicklewood is the obvious danger,with a fine 2w-1p-4r record at this track.Im not convinced it wants this ground however and has a couple of negatives in its profile.

0w-0p-7r between October and December and 0w-1p-14 when carrying over 11st,you can only assume its a small horse and wont find the weight easy in this ground.

Back Vinnieslittle Lamb 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies.-Won(+36pts)Well backed and stayed on well.

Monthly Total+114pts

Running Total+7177.54pts

28th November

1205 Musselburgh-One for Hockey improved for the step up to 3 miles last time and with a generally consistent and progressive profile,is the one to beat but at 5/4,im not telling you anything you couldnt work out for yourself.

Ballyreesode is inconsistent but on a going day,wouldnt be far away while I fail to see why 19 race maiden,Discoverie is the price it is,it also has stamina to prove.

At a price,its worth chancing Clonleney could find its best form.This is only its 2nd start for this yard since coming over from Ireland and having its first run last time, for over 400 days and on unsuitable soft ground,it was unlikely to show much and it didnt to be fair.

Its possible,it isnt as good as it was  or it may need another run but this good ground will suit it and anything close to its best Irish ratings would see it right there in this race.

Back Clonleney 3pts at 17.0 at Bet365/Hills(Accept 11.0)-UP(-3pts)Didnt get home though it wouldnt have beaten the winner anywaya.

230 Doncaster-Premier Grand Cru has only had the one run over fences and the market clearly expects a fair bit of improvement but it makes some value elsewhere.

That looks like Tregaro,who has been in very consistent form and although the ground could be an issue,the forecast is for dry weather,which would bring it into the equation.

Carrying a low weight is what this horse wants,as all its wins have been when carrying 10st12 or less and hopefully it can pick them off late on.

Big Water looks the danger to me,after an improved rating last time and an impressive speed figure.

Back Tregaro 6pts at 9.0 at Various bookies(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-6pts)Ran really well and maybe if the ground hadnt turned soft and it hadnt completely missed the 3rd last,it might have won.All ifs and buts though.(DT-9pts)

Monthly Total+78pts

Running Total+7141.54pts

27th November

305 Uttoxeter-I feel that Ray Diamond will either win this or finish tailed off,thats the type of animal it is.

However,it appeals as the value in this weak race.

Mohi Rahrere ran pretty well last time and does drop in class but consistency has never been its strong point and a record of 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 28 days means this short priced favourite looks vulnerable,its best ratings have been on slightly better ground also.

Lord Lir is 0 from 20 and very inconsistent while Phoenix Des Mottes returns from a break not very well handicapped(6Ibs above its highest winning mark).

This leaves us Ray Diamond,who would have found 3 miles too far last time and the time before(On its seasonal debut) it surely wouldve needed the run as a record of 0w-0p-7r first time out suggests.

This horse prefers a recent race(28 days or less 5w-4p-24r) and is 1 from 2 in this grade.

Its inconsistent and no world beater but it wont need to be here,its very well handicapped.

Back Ray Diamond 10pts at 4.5 at bet365(accept 3.75)-Won(+35pts)Won easily

1.0 Newbury-Woodford County is lightly raced and from an inform yard,I can see its appeal but on what its done,its very short.

Ruapehu was progressing well the last time we saw it but has to keep up the improvement now returned from a long break.

Susquehanna River ran well last time but is very inconsistent and wants better ground than this.

Itoldyou has a nice consistent set of ratings and ran well on its seasonal debut last time,on its best from last season,it would go very close.

Its 2 from 3 over this trip and loves the heavy ground.3w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days adds to its appeal and it should run well.

Back Itoldyou 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Very unlucky not to make it a double(Touched 1.3 in running)(DT+25pts)

Monthly Total+87pts

Running Total+7150.54pts

25th November

220 Sedgefield-This is incredibly weak and looks a good opportunity for Amir Pasha to repeat last seasons win in this race.

Its been running some decent races of late,drops in class here and appears off a mark 10Ibs lower than last seasons win.

Jason Maguire takes the ride and is 7 wins from 30 rides for this small yard.

Stanley Bridge has a great record here(4 wins from 8 starts) and could bounce back to form but certainly needs too.

Back Amir Pasha 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies-UP(-15pts)Awful run for the 2nd day running!

Monthly Total+62pts

Running Total+7125.54pts

24th November

245 Kempton-I have a slight niggle about it getting caught up in a speed duel up front but Benefit Cut looks decent value here.

This horse is only lightly raced after just 5 runs over fences and 13 overall.Its 1 from 1 at this track and 2w-1p-5r in this grade.

Despite falling last time,it is a good jumper and you can get away around this track if you can ping your fences.

Interestingly,Joshua Moore takes over in the saddle,which for me is always significant for this small stable.(10 wins from 40 rides for the yard)

He hasnt rode it before.

Frontier Spirit is another front runner and rates the clear danger for me but the bigger price on the selection sways it.

Back Benefit Cut 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/WilliamHIll(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Weak on the course market and duly produced a poor display,difficult to understand why.

22nd November

130 November-This is pretty competitve but Dark Spirit is very progressive and is clear favourite on my prices.

This horse proved itself on soft ground last time in a good race and a repeat of that run would make it tough to beat in a grade where its 2w-1p-4r.

Spartan Angel makes its handicap debut from a top yard.Its probably capable of better but has to prove itself over trip and ground.

Woodland Walk is consistent and will handle the ground but is clearly beatable as a string of placed efforts shows.

Back Dark Spirit 10pts at 5.5(Already advised)-Won(+43pts 1 non runner)Hammered into the price I had it at and hosed up.

250 Huntingdon-This is a desperate race,summed up by the market leader Minella Bliss having a win record of 1 from 36.

Clearly this is a vulnerable favourite,particularly so on this ground and back over hurdles.

Take it on with the improving Amberjam,who produced its best run last time ,stepped up in trip on soft ground behind a horse that has gone on to win again.

Back Amberjam 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-Won(+40pts)Outstayed its rivals.(DT+83pts)

Monthly Total+85pts

Running Total+7148.54pts

21st November

140 FFos Las-2 lightly raced horses over fences stand out here.Trillerin Minella won last time over 3 furlongs less,it only had 1 run over 3 miles over hurdles,so you couldnt say it has stamina doubts for sure but on ground that will be very soft,it may be found wanting late on.

The Happy Warrior will hit the odd fence but it stays this trip and will love the ground,its got less question marks over it.

It got backed into favouritism last time for a trainer that has won with 2 of his last 5 runners and is 3 from 8 with his chasers here.

Back The Happy Warrior 18pts at 3.0 on Betfair Exchange-Won(Not Matched)The 7/4 the evening before looked good value when it went odds on.Had to dig deep in the end(Touched 4.0 in running)but I always felt it would get there.

155 Haydock-Paul Nicholls won this race in 2006,2007 and 2010 and holds strong claims here with The Brock Again,who made a good stable debut 13 days,posting the clear top rating in this race.It wants the this ground and must go close.

Oscarteena and Huff and Puff looks the dangers.

Back The Brock Again 18pts at 3.0 on Betfair Exchange-3rd(Not Matched)Touch 2.98 during the morning before shortening into 2.0.Got taken on for the lead and was well beaten.

This is the reason id stopped sending horses where the price originally isnt there.Waste of everyones time.

20th November

1250 Wincanton-If Ratings and speed figures mean anything then Aristocracy has this race at its mercy.

Its only raced 3 times with each performance showing a nice,steady improvement and now moves into handicap company in a very weak event.

Its figures suggest in the context of this race,its well handicapped and ive got it close to even money on my tissue.

Nebula Storm is very inconsistent but at its best has place chances while Fuse Wire,although better over fences wouldnt be out of it.

Back Aristocracy 20pts at 3.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.0)-Won(+70pts*Paid at BOG) Drifted to an amazing price and despite jumping stickily,won pretty easy.

330 Wincanton-Doubts about everything here but Allerton appeals as the best value in a tight race.

This horse is clearly an Autumn/early winter animal(Sep/Nov 3w-1p-7r) compared to 0w-2p-14r the rest of the year.

It won last time out but should be even better on this ground,it will stay this trip strongly.

The niggle is the trainer is 0 from 13 at this track but he is in decent form.

Trickaway has only had 2 runs over fences but hasnt achieved much although you have to respect the jockey/trainer combination.

Midnight Charmer won well last time but that was at its beloved Fakenham and at a different track plus going up in class(Class 4 0w-1p-8r) it can be opposed.

Golanova is difficult to assess while Chance Encounter has to prove itself on trip and ground.Trojan Sun normally needs the run first time out.

Back Allerton 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.5)-UP(-9pts)Awful performance(DT+61pts)

Monthly Total+2pts

Running Total+7065.54pts

18th November

330 Fakenham-Its been off since breaking a blood vessel over 200 days ago but Dynamic Idol was progressing well before that and with the yard in good form and at a nice price,its worth chancing that it turns up fit and well,as on my figures,it would have a far better chance than being the outsider in this small field.

Full Ov Beans is always respected around here with 4 course wins but it needs to improve again to take this.

Larteta runs many consistent races but doesnt win that often and has a doubt on very soft ground.

Carobello is a fair enough favourite and is the one to beat.

Back Dynamic Idol 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.5)-Pulled UP(-11pts)Just another in a long line of rubbish selections.

Monthly Total-59pts

Running Total+7004.54pts

16th November

240 Cheltenham-Handling the ground is going to be vital here,as it looked very testing on Saturday.

Dodging Bullets best form/ratings have been on very soft ground,it goes very well fresh,the yard are flying and its 3 from 6 around here.

Im very surprised it isnt favourite.

Simply Ned has been progressive in the North but this will be a different kettle of fish and on ground thats softer than ideal its a bit short in the market.

The trainer is 0 from 33 with his chasers here.

Module will handle the ground but ran below form on its reappearance while Uxizandre is progressive but this is a big drop in trip for it.

Back Dodging Bullets 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies(Accept 3.25)-3rd(-13pts)Cruised around,touched odds on in running and found nothing.

315 Cheltenham-Very competitive and not the sort of race I normally go for but Exitas looks very progressive to me and is very well in under its penalty.

If this horse was trained by one of the big yards then im pretty sure it would be favourite.

Back Exitas 5pts at 10.0 at various bookies-6th(-5pts)Stayed on,never near to challenge.Did the jockey know it was 50k handicap?(DT-18pts)

4.0 Fontwell-Bobby Dove should run well but it is beatable and 5/4 is pretty short in this ground.

Take it on with GoochyPoochyprader,whos the class act in this poor field(Class 5 3w-3p-9r).

It weakened late on its seasonal debut and should hopefully now be tuned up for this.

The jockey has finished 1st and 2nd on his 2 rides on this horse.

Back GoochyPoochyprader 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4,5)-UP(-10pts)Just an awful run.(DT-28pts)

15th November

140 Uttoxeter-Fredo ran a fine race on its appearance and drops in class where its a force(Class 4 3w-3p-9r).

Its 1 from 1 at this track and anything close to last seasons best ratings would make it tough to beat.

You have to respect anything Tony Martin brings over from Ireland but hes 0 from 4 with his chasers here and Heathfield looks short enough to me.

Union Jack D`Ycy will love the ground but this trip may be a little short for a horse who`s best form is over at least another half mile.

Back Fredo 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-UP(-12pts)Drifted like a barge and dropped right out.

205 Wetherby-I have to take on What a Good Night here.Raised 17Ibs since it last run and up in class,on ground that looks far too soft and for a yard that after a dazzling spell are just struggling for winners.

Its 0w-0p-7r in this grade and 0w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Shouldavboughtgold should go really well,with the trip and ground perfect.

Oscar Fortune and Key to the West are both unexposed and could have lots more to offer,particularly the former.

Noble Legend has to prove itself over this far but may need it now,its got a good profile(Oct-Dec 3w-1p-7r),(0-9 runners 6w-1p-13r) and the trainer is 8 from 26 with her chasers here.

Presented would go close if its ready to go after a break for another yard that do well with their chasers here(9/30)

Lay What a Good Night 20pts at 2.9(Lay Upto 3.25)-Won(-38pts)Hopefully some traded out as this horse touched 7.8 before the off.Hardly anything has run its race and it had little to beat.Just a rubbish day!(DT-50pts)

14th November

215 Newcastle-Maggie Blue won this race last year and hosed up earlier this week.If it turns up in the same form under a penalty then it will probably win but those are its only wins from 20 starts,so its possible it could disappoint.

Grey Area looks a big price returning from a break as it won first time out last season.The trainer has gone to the trouble of booking top Northern jockey Ryan Mania and its won 1 of its 2 starts here.It also is back to its last winning mark.

The more rain the merrier for this horse.

Back Grey Area 5pts at 12.0 at varoius bookies(Accept 9.0)-Pulled UP(-5pts)Looked fine then stopped like it was shot.Something surely went amiss.

250 Newcastle-The early money has been for Boric,who steps up in trip and its clearly expected to suit.That may be so but it needs to find 7Ibs to match Sharney Sike,if the horse turns up at its best after a break.

This horse won first time out last season and has won 2 of its 3 starts here.Its also very unexposed over this trip after just the one(winning) run over it.

Allanard has chances from an in form stable but looks handicapped up to its best now.

Berties Milan ran poorly on its reappearance and is 0w-0p-10r from November to January.

Back Sharney Sike 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-3rd(-14pts)Just looked like it didnt get home in the heavy ground.(DT-19pts)

Monthly Total+30pts

Running Total+7093.54pts

13th November

350 Southwell-The straight course at this track is never the easiest to predict but Monsieur Jamie does catch my eye in this.

Its been in and out of form on turf this season but with 4 course wins its to its name here then it could easily bounce back to its best.

Interestingly it finished a close second in this race last season and appears here off a mark 7Ibs lower.

Its 2w-2p-6r during November and actually won this race 3 years ago.

As usual at this track,there are several course specialists on show.

Captain Dunne hasnt raced here since 2010 but is 2 from 2 here and ran well on turf last time.

Bedloes Island drops in class and is respected while Sleepy Blue Ocean and Abi Scarlett both run their best races here.

Poyle Vinnie has been in good consistent form but hasnt raced here before although the trainer does well at the track,its short enough however for one,unproven on this surface.

Back Monsieur Jamie 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-UP(-5pts)Ran a stinker!

11th November

220 Sedgefield-Riskier may not be quite up to this level but if its ever going to be,it will be at this track(2 wins and 4 places here) and when it returns from a break(2 wins first time out)

.Encouragingly,the trainer has had 2 winners from his last 10 runners and if it can put in a good round of jumping,I think its the value in a pretty good race.

Tahiti Pearl is greatly respected with an incredible record of 5 wins from 8 starts at this track but the trainers form does sway me away from it with just 1 winner from her last 60 runners.

Alderbrook Lad will give it a good go but is the right price while the unexposed Hi George,could be anything after just one start over fences.However,after winning last season,the trainer did state it wanted good ground,its very unlikely to get that here.

Back Risker 6pts at 9.0 at Paddys(Accept 7.5)-3rd(-6pts)Gave it a real good go from the front.

3.0 Lingfield-Gary Moore has won this race 3 times in the last 10 years,making his representive Vikekhal of interest here.Its only has the 2 starts over fences(both over further)

It did run poorly on heavy before though and at such a short price,it has to be passed over.

Morgans Bay won last time out and although it has won on soft,it is 0w-0p-5r on heavy and that has to be a worry.

Tresor De Bontee won first time out last season before losing its way,however the trainer has won this race in the past and is 2 from 4 with his chasers here.

A record of 2w-1p-4r in November/December and 2 wins from 4 on heavy adds to its appeal,it could be the only horse to truly handle the ground and is the value.

Back Tresor De Bontee 12pts at 4.0 at Ladbrokes/Boyles(Accept 3.5)-Won(+36pts)Thought the jockey may have let the leader get away but it stayed on well(DT+30pts)

Monthly Total+54pts

Running Total+7117.54pts

10th November

No Selections

9th November

145 Market Rasen-This is a pretty interesting race,not least due to the lack of form of the trainers near the front of the market.

American Legend does just head my ratings but on faster ground than it will encounter here and with it being by Presenting,im not certain it will appreciate ground this soft..

It did win a hurdle race on soft but that wasnt a great run ratings wise and its trainer is 0 from 31 with his runners in the last 14 days.

Strumble Head has been in good form and will give it a go from the front but is another that wants better ground and its trainer is 0 from 25 in the last 14 days.

Whiskey Ridge finished last season on a high but is 0w-1p-6r when returning from an absence and its trainer just hasnt got going yet this season(0 from 26-last 14days)

Master Neo will like the ground and its trainer does well here but it has no record fresh while Little Chip is 2 from 3 here and anything Charlie Longsdon runs around here has to  be respected but its in no sort of form and needs a first time visor to have a dramatic impact.

Blackwell Synergy hasnt had that many runs over fences and is well handicapped on its hurdles ratings(Won off 8Ibs higher over hurdles)

It will like the ground and is 4w-3p-11r when running over 3 miles+ and I can see it outstaying its opponents.

Back Blackwell Synergy 8pts at 6.0 at paddys(Accept 5.0-Non Runner

9th November

250 Kelso-Theres no doubt that Rockawango has the ability to win this.Its best rating from last season makes it very competitive but a series of jumping errors have held it back so far.

However its been in such great form on the flat,that it could well return to fences a different animal.

At the prices,its well worth taking the chance on finding out.

Swift Arrow is a big danger,the winner of this race last year and has a record of 3 from 4 at this track.If the selection finishes in front of this then it should win.

Firth of the Clyde is respected also with a record of 2w-1p-4r in this grade,its run well fresh before.

Toledo Gold has been in good form but struggles in this grade(Class 3 0w-0p-5r) and on this ground(Good to soft 0w-1p-9r)

 Back Rockwango 6pts at 9.0 at bet365(Accept 7.0)-Won(+48pts)

Lay Toledo Gold 20pts at 6.0-Not Matched Unfortunately

*cancel the lay or trade out if Rockawango,Firth of the Clyde or Swift Arrow dont run*

Monthly Total+24pts

Running Total+7087.54pts

7th November

140 Fontwell-This is as weak as it gets.The favourite Carhue Princess,although boasting the best recent chase form has a win record of 1 from 36..Hardly convincing but it could get away with it in this event,however with that win record,it has to be taken on.

Mrs Jordan and Ballydague Lady both havent had many chances in this sphere but need to step up on what theyve done so far.

Im going to take a chance on the outsider,Southway Star.It hasnt won since 2012 and hasnt been in much form the last 2 seasons but has changed stables to a small yard that I like and if this excellent Trevor Whelan can get a tune out of it then this horse is incredibly well handicapped being 30Ibs below its last winning rating.

You would want to see some support for it obviously.

Back Southway Star 6pts at 7.5 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-Won(+33pts Non runner)

250 Hexham-Another weak affair with a lot of deadwood.

Northern Acres ran pretty well last time but now drops in trip and gets softer ground.The last 2 times it had those circumstances,it won.

Providing handicap debutant,Nouveau Moulin doesnt suddenly show improvement then it really should take some beating.

Back Northern Acres 14pts at 3.5 at Paddys(Accept 3.0)-3rd(-14pts)(DT+19pts)

Monthly Total-24pts

Running Total+7039.54pts

5th November

1.0 Warwick-Prettyasapicture has posted 2 fine efforts back to back,firstly winning over 2 miles(posting easily the best rating and topspeed figure in this race) then last time just failing to stay over 2m4f but that rating was only 2Ibs below its previous win.

The drop back in trip is sure to suit and with the ground drying out,it looks the one to beat.

Planetoid was in decent form when last seen over hurdles and its got chances if at its best but it ran poorly 15 days ago on the flat.

L Stig is the other that should be involved after a decent run last time.

Back Prettyasapicture 10pts at 5.0 at bet365(Accept 4.3)-5th(-10pts)Hammered into 6/4 and jumped the last in front(Touched 1.19 in running).Just folded it appeared.

130 Warwick-Some improvers on show here,none more so than The Ould Lad who represents a yard in form and shouldnt be far away.

Trickaway and Fergal Mael Duin are both lightly raced over fences but both need to progress.

Owen Na View represents last years winning stable and looks a bit of value.Its only had 3 runs over fences and has progressive ratings.

This trip is an unknown but its bred to be well suited by it.

Back Owen Na View 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-4th(-8pts)Very weak in the betting but clearly didnt get home(DT-18pts)

340 Warwick-Fix it Right has potential and may improve past these but the market has built the progression into its price.

Allthekingshorses ran well last time but it interests me that Phillip Hobbs,despite having his stable jockey Richard Johnson at the meeting,chooses to claim off it,maybe suggesting he doesnt think its that well handicapped...who knows?

The clear value has to be Handsome Buddy,who won last time,is better over this trip and has won here.

It should be vying for favouritism on my figures.

Back Handsome Buddy 7pts at 7.0 at Various bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Seriously considering giving this up.Just rubbish(DT-25pts)

Monthly Total-43pts

Running Total+7020.54pts

1st November

310 Newmarket-French Navy is very much respected after finishing 2nd and 1st in this race in the last 2 years but it may struggle to give 6Ibs away to the very progressive Bronze Angel.

This is an improving horse whos 2 from 5 at this track and in the form of its life.

It will want a decent pace to run at as its latest speed figure suggests theres a lot more to come.

Back Bronze Angel 18pts at 3.0 at various Bookie-3rd(-18pts)Was cruising 2f out(touched 1.5 in running) but for whatever reason,just didnt pick up.