1st May

No Selections

30th April

705 Exeter-This looks weak and a good opportunity for Adrenalin Flight.It made its chase debut last time and achieved a good rating on unsuitable soft ground.Its get its favoured good ground here(2/2) and is 2w-0p-4r in fields of 9 or less while after a break of 41 days or more its 2w-0p-5r.

Sound Stage at its very best would have a chance but returns from an absence and is 0w-0p-6r on right handed tracks.

I have Cottage Acre as probably the main danger but 0w-1p-8r going right handed and a career record of 1/19 says it all.

Back Adrenalin Flight 16pts at 3.5 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-16pts)Strong in the market but got slightly outpaced by the winner(Who after a 15 race career encountered fast ground for the first time and clearly loved it) but came there to challenge at the last before blundering its chance away.

Monthly Total+77.98pts

Running Total+5344.30pts

29th April

430 Towcester-Richo is a frustrating horse as it posts some good ratings but struggles to win.I feel there is enough in its price though to have a few pts on.It wont mind if it rains or stays dry and if it can repeat one of its good ratings then it should be in the mix.

Oranger is consistent and that counts for a lot in this race,it should be there at the finish.

Henok has only had 3 runs over fences and is improving but has a massive weight to carry.

Back Richo 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365/betvictor-2nd(-5pts)Beaten by an absolute rag.

240 Kelso-Unless Against the Wind is ready to roll after over 2 years away from the track.This looks between Prince Tam and Surprise Vendor.The latter is top rated and 2 time course winner and 2/5 on good ground.

Primrose Time is very inconsistent and 0w-0p-9r in March and April while Soul Magic only wins during June and August.

Back Surprise Vendor 12pts at 3.85-4th(Not Matched)Ironically went off very short and Prince Tam was the value at the off.

340 Kelso-You Know Yourself has no real record on very soft ground and encountered decent ground for the first time this season last time,when posting a good rating.Its on its last winning mark and in fields of of 7 or less,its recorded form figures of 1-1-1-1.It Must run well.

Storming Gale is a consistent horse and likes a left handed track and small fields,it is a danger along with course specialist Or De Grugy but You Know Yourself looks the value call to me.

Back You Know Yourself 9pts at 5.3-Won(Only matched to a 1/3 of the stake +12.9pts)Thought this was certain to be fully matched when sent out and when it drifted pre race.

440 Kelso-Pretty competitive and im happy to take on Embsay Crag,who was well beaten when Favourite last time.It looks a horse on the downgrade.All that Remains is top rated on its last run and should run well for its in form stable(7 wins from last 26 starts)

Waltz Darling is very unexposed as is Ben Akram while Sam Lord is pretty solid and Lisbon recorded an excellent topspeed figure last time.

Lay Embsay Crag 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Ran as Expected.(DT+37.9pts)
Days total minus commission+36pts

Monthly Total+93.98pts

Running Total+5360.30pts

28th April

315 Ludlow-The market expects better from El Gran Torino,however it has never won a race of any kind and has certainly got a fair bit to find on its hurdling ratings so far.IslandMagee is favourite but I have it a few pounds behind Ladies Dancing,who looks sure to run its race.

Back Ladies Dancing 9pts at 7.0 at bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Very solid in the market and ran well,just proving a bit one paced over the last 2 hurdles

535 Huntingdon-Global Flyer has been in the doldrums and has become very well handicapped.It ran its best race for a long while last time and returns to a track where its 3w-0p-4r and its trainer has had 2winners from her last 9 runners.

There are some course specialists running as well as the selection,Rossbrin is 3/3 here but has no great record fresh.

Whistling Senator is also 2/2 here but is very inconsistent and when returning to the track after 15 days or more,its 0w-2p-12r.

City Press is unexposed and could be dangerous while Upton Mead likes small fields and a light weight but does have to prove its stamina.

Back Global Flyer 9pts at 5.3-4th(Not Matched)Market only went 1 way and never really looked like getting matched.Ran well below par anyway(DT-9pts)

27th April

350 Sandown-Bigger field than I usually play in but I really like the chances of Away we go.Its recent 3rd in the Irish Grand National puts it clear top rated.The majority of its form is on soft ground but that may just be because of the Irish weather as its 3 runs on good ground have resulted in 2 wins and 1 unseated rider,it may even improve on its rating on this better ground and Willie Mullins has been winning everything at Punchestown this week.

2nd in the ratings is the very progressive Well Refreshed,however its dodgy jumping will be seriously tested around here and on this quicker ground.

Back Away We Go 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-6pts)Ran really well but lots of little mistakes took their toll before a shuddering one 2 out.

305 Market Rasen-Keeverfield has the best recent form and is 2/3 at this track but looks a vulnerable favourite to me.Its handles good but its best ratings are on soft and its 0w-1p-11r in this class of race.

Autumn Spirit has to prove its stamina and its trainer is in poor form while ItsonlyAlfie has to find a few pounds on my ratings and has a absence to overcome.My Mate Vic has only completed once in 5 chase starts.

This leaves Ardgen,who does have the ratings to win this but im not sure its in any real form to do so despite travelling over from Ireland and Dont Tell Sailor who was in poor form when last seen but the trainers horses are in much better form now and its 3w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.

Back Dont Tell Sailor 8pts at 9.5 at BetVictor(Accept 7.6)-Won(+68pts)Got it right again in the market,as it was backed down to 3.0.Despite a bad mistake at the last,it just hung on.(DT+62pts)

445 Market Rasen-So many doubts about its opponents that even though its not quite top rated,I feel that Diamond Frontier will go very close.1w-1p-3r in April,its an excellent 4w-5p-10r in this grade and 2w-2p-6r going Right handed.Its probably better over slightly shorter but on this quick track,it shouldnt be a problem.

Bennys Quest after 29days or more off the track is 0w-2p-14r and just 1w-8p-30r in this grade.

Sergeant Pink although 2/3 here is defintely better over shorter while Or D`oudaires is 0w-1p-13r going Right Handed and 0w-2p-14r in fields of 9 or less.

Back Diamond Frontier 12pts at 4.3-Won(+39.6pts)Traded at 300`s in running! And obviously looked well beat but rallied in great style to end a great day.(DT+101.60pts)

Days total minus commission+99.62pts

Monthly Total+66.98pts

Running Total|+5333.30pts

26th April

725 Plumpton-All of these have doubts against them.Sawpit Supreme wants softer ground and is 0w-3p-16r when carrying 11st or more.Rosoff is 0w-1p-17r when racing between February and May while Callhimwhatyouwant is very inconsistent,

This should give Chestnut Ben a decent chance as its 3w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 3w-2p-10r after a break of 29 days or more.

Back Chestnut Ben 14pts at 3.65-2nd(-14pts)The well backed winner was allowed to get away despite jumping poorly.

625 Chepstow-Weekend Millionair won last time in first time cheekpieces but on my ratings,ive got it 11Ibs behind the horses at the top of ratings.Certainly,top of those is Connectivity,who was off for 2 years before running 3 races that have each shown steady improvement and it must go well.Back on good ground,Cockney Trucker is a danger as is Aaim to Prosper while Umadachar is unexposed.

Lay Weekend Millionair 30pts at 6.0-UP(Cancelled due to Cockney Trucker not running)

(If Connectivity,Cockney Trucker,Aaim to Prosper or Umadachar are non runners then I recommend either cancelling or trading out of the lay)

25th April

345 Perth-A few unexposed runners in this but Until Winning has produced some decent ratings in Novice company,that give it a sound chance if it can reproduce it in handicaps.

Abbey Storm,Hallmark Star make their handicap debuts and may improve.

Back Until Winning 8pts at 7.0 at Bet365/BetVictor(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-8pts)Another horse to shorten up a lot and it hit the front 2 out but I feel its poor hurdling throughout just told in the final 2 furlongs.

Monthly Total-18.64pts

Running Total+5247.68pts

25th April

655 Sedgefield-French Ties seems has a few quirks but seems to have a profile that suggests today race is ideal for it.Its last 3 runs have seen a steady improvement and was only beaten by a progressive horse last time,in a performance that sees it clear top rated.4 of its 5 career wins have been over todays trip and on good ground its 2w-2p-7r,so this Course and distance winner should run really well.

Groomed is unexposed over fences but isnt proven over this trip(Its sires offspring over 2m4 or further are 1win from 24 runs)

Strobe returns from a break but is 0w-1p-18r when returning to the track after 29 days or more

Back French Ties 20pts at 3.25 at Paddy Power(/Bet365Accept 15/8)-2nd(-20pts)Very surprised this got beaten.Hit the last fence hard as it was coming to win the race(hit 1.89 in running) but I felt although it is a hold up horse,that it was giving the winner a bit of a head start,and it just couldnt get there in the end.

23rd April

310 Ffos Las-This looks a 2 horse race between Brockwell Park and Upbeat Cobbler.I prefer the latter,whos steadily improving and wont mind the forecast rain.

Back Upbeat Cobbler 20pts at 3.0(Accept 15/8)-Won(+39pts)Ground it out in workmanlike style

Days total minus commission+37.05pts

Monthly Total+9.36pts

Running Total+5275.68pts

21st April

350 Newcastle-Platinum hasnt raced over hurdles since 2011 but a recent 2nd on the flat hopefully shows the ability is still there.If it is then it looks well handicapped on my ratings and after only 3 starts over hurdles,it is still very unexposed.

ImJoeking is probably the main danger but all its form is on softer ground.

Back Platinum 8pts at 7.0 at Paddys/Boyles(Accept 6.0)-2nd(-8pts)Called the market correct again and hopefully they will begin to start winning again.This horse ran well and was given a decent ride but just couldnt quite reel in the winner despite looking a massive danger 2 out.Hit 2.12 in running.

20th April

205 Ayr-Top rated on its last run,Tap Night looks pretty strong and returning to a track where its 3/3 just adds to its appeal.

Changing Times looks like it may provide the biggest with Radjani Express the only other realistically in with a shout.

Back Tap Night 17.5pts at 3.0(Accept 15/8)-2nd(-17.5pts)Below par run without a doubt,maybe the end of a long season,who knows but it should have won this.

240 Ayr-The improving Sametegal looks a little overpriced.Its recent 3rd at the Cheltenham festival behind Our Connor looks good form and backed up  by a good speed figure,it should run well.

Court Minstrel is lightly raced and is the main danger

Back Sametegal 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Ran well (DT-25.5pts)

340 Bangor-This is pretty weak and pretty unexposed Miss Kalifa looks to hold a decent chance.The trainers horses have been out of form for most of the winter but he has now had 5 winners from his last 21 runners which bodes well for this horses chance.

Not that many can be fancied,Moleskin is back on its prefered good ground but is 0w-2p-6r going left handed while Little Chip is also better going the other way round(L/H 0w-1p-7r)

So Sandynow and Double Dash look the main dangers.

Back Miss Khalifa 11pts at 4.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-PU(-11pts)Another poor run(DT-36.5pts)

5.0 Ayr-This is wide open with practically every horse holding some sort of chance but Danimix,Johns Spirit and Sydney Paget look pretty strong.

So far in its career,The Druids Nephew has looked better at 2m5f rather than todays 3miles and has still to post a decent topspeed figure over fences.

Lay The Druids Nephew 30pts at 5.5(4.32 after non runners)-UP(+30pts)Small relief on a pretty poor day.(DT-6.5pts)

Monthly Total-19.69pts

Running Total+5246.63pts

19th April

450 Southwell-Haar has only won once but will surely never get a better chance to add to its tally in this very weak affair.Its been putting in some consistent efforts of late and another one should see it go close.The trainer also has a 25% strike rate with his chasers at the track.

Over and Above looks the most likely danger.

Back Haar 14pts at 3.75 at BetVictor(Accept 3.0)-Won(+38.50pts)Nearly destroyed the 2nd fence but the jockey sat tight thankfully!

315 Ayr-Dont like Rebel Rebellion here.Ive got it rated lowest on my ratings and speed figures but as theres only 4 runners,I wont look to lay.

Eastlake looks the one to be on,who is thriving at present and is top rated.

6w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less.Its form figures the last 5 times its raced around 2miles on soft/heavy ground read 1st,1st.2nd.1st.1st.

Back Eastlake 17.5pts at 3.0(Accept 2.87)-3rd(-17.5pts)Done all the work on this race expecting Soft/Heavy ground but by post time it was bordering on good.Eastlake jumped superb but just couldnt go with them on this ground(DT+21pts)

Monthly Total-13.19pts

Running Total+5254.13pts

18th April

345 Cheltenham-Its possible that at 11yo,Midnight Chase has had enough and isnt the horse it was but providing the rain stays away then this horse has its ideal conditions.Its spent the last 3 years running in Class 1 chases and hasnt run in a class 2(Todays grade)Since a win over course and distance in 2010.It began this season with a 3rd behind Silviano Conti(it will face nothing of that calibre here) and has then raced on unsuitable soft ground.Its 2/2 in April and on decent ground(G/S 3w-1p-6r) at its favourite track(5w-1p-11r),it could run a big race.

Back Midnight Chase 5pts at 12.0(Accept 11.0) at Various bookies-5th(-5pts)Called the market correct as it tumbled down to 4.5 but just isnt the same horse it would appear

455 Cheltenham-Anquetta looks vulnerable here.It has a rating 3 runs back that gives it a chance but that was R/H and its definitely better going that way(0/4 at this track).That run was also during the winter and this horse loses its form when Spring arrives(March-May 0w1p-8r).

Mister Matt got a good rating on its return to action 17 days ago and is 2/4 in April and 6w-3p-20r in fields of 0-9 runners.

Kie is on a consistent run of form and should be thereabouts while Wessex King,Court in Session and Hells bay arent out of it.

Lay Anquetta 30pts 5.5-UP(+30pts)(Dt+25pts)

6.0 Cheltenham-The market likes Velator most and it produced a much improved rating on its 2nd chase start,however the lack of a decent speed figure means it looks underpriced.The value is the top rated & progressive Arbeo,a winner of its last 3 starts who will be staying on at the death.

Back Arbeo 8pts at 6.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-8pts)Outpaced from halfway(DT+17pts)

Days total minus commission+16.15pts

Monthly Total-34.19pts

Running Total+5232.13pts

16th April

220 Kempton-This looks quite weak and it looks a decent opportunity for Miss Tenacious.Top rated on its last run over a shorter trip,it will have no problem with todays distance as it stays further.It has a nice profile to go with the rating.(0-9 runners 3wins-0place-6runs) (April 1/1) (Returning to the track within 28days 4w-1p-10r)

Run along Boy has a decent rating from last year but hasnt run for over 100 days(0w-1p-6r).To Live has to prove its stamina  and Cold Knight has to improve significantly on its chasing debut.

Back Miss Tenacious 12pts at 4.0(Accept 3.5)-UP(-12pts)Solid in the market but another one to run below par

Monthly Total-50.34pts 

Running Total+5215.97pts

15th April

No Selections today

14th April

310 Market Rasen-The unexposed and improving Umberto D`olivate is top rated here and should go close.

Come on Annie is also progressing and looks the main danger,while Massena and Strathcal are next best.

Notarfbad looks to me on my ratings,to prefer faster ground and needs to improve anyway

Back Umberto D`olivate 13pts at 4.3 -2nd(-13pts)

Lay Notarfbad 30pts at 6.0-(wasnt Matched)-Non runners(including Strathcal) meant we werent likely to get matched.Horse got an easy lead throughout.

440 Market Rasen-Civil Unrest has more letters in its form than numbers since its good run last November.It has a chance on that form but it looks unlikely it will reproduce it.

I can see French Ties running quite well as its gradually running into form and has the ratings from last season to take a hand.Clearly the progressive Be My Deputy should be bang there while Farewellatmidnight is 1/1 at this course and should go well.

At a value price,Peaks of Fire also interests me.It won last time on its chase debut and is very unexposed at this trip.The trainer has won with 4 of her last 10 runners.

Back Peaks of Fire 7pts at 9.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)

Lay Civil Unrest 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)(DT+10pts)

Days total minus commission+9.50pts

Monthly Total-38.34pts

Running Total+5227.97pts

13th April

340 Stratford-Swift Lord goes back to hurdles after 2 reasonable runs over fences and into selling company for the first time.The horse is a little difficult to assess but as a horse that has spent its career in much higher grades than this,it could be different class than these.

Arrayan is a consistent horse at this level and is the main danger.

Back Swift Lord 20pts at 3.25(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-20pts)Big drifter told its own story

415 Stratford-Pretty competitive race with a few in with a chance but the one I like best is the improving Seventh Sky.Trip and ground are ideal and it should go well.

Claret Cloak has the ratings from last season to go close but hasnt got close to them so far this year.Dreambrook Lady will be about as should be Iolith.

Back Seventh Sky 9pts at 6.0(Accept 5.5)-2nd(-9pts)Ran well but just got outstayed from the last(DT-29)

12th April

435 Wetherby-Another race I see as between 2 improving horses,Franklin Roosevelt and Blazing Bull.Preference is for the former as its top rated and is the more consistent animal while the trainer is 42% with its chasers at this track.

Blazing Bull is progressing but needs to go forward again to match the selection.

Fog Patches is very consistent but has a few pounds to find with the main 2.

Back Franklin Roosevelt 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Paddys -5th(-12pts)Too many niggling mistakes held it back and although it looked a threat coming into the straight,it was very one paced after

Monthly Total-18.84pts

Running Total+5247.47pts

11th April

420 Fontwell-Fruity O`Rooney is top rated here and has a strong profile also.3wins-2places-9runs in fields of 9 or less

At this track its 3wins-2places-7runs and when returning to the track within 14 days its 3wins-1place-5runs,it looks sure to run its race.

NiceoneFrankie has been running well all season and is the main danger while Venetian Lad`s good course record(4/12) warrants respect,it normally operates at a lower level than this.

Back Fruity O`Rooney 13pts at 3.85-Won(Wasnt Matched)

520 Fontwell-This is a weak race with doubts about all of them.Top of my ratings is Oranger,who doesnt have a great win record but has strung together some consistent efforts of late.Providing it can keep its good run going then it should be bang there.

Upton Mead has also been pretty consistent since going chasing but has to improve again on my figures and is 0wins-1place-7runs when carrying over 10st8,suggesting its a light framed horse that cant carry bigger weights.

The other horse well rated is Tchang Goon but it is 0/23 in its career.

Back Oranger 9pts at 5.2-Won(+37.8pts)Dont know a lot about the jockey(Mr J.Martin)but I doubt he will ever give any horse a better ride than this one.Going nowhere half way round,he got the horse in contention with some tremendous jumps then kept it going when it was clearly tired.

Days total minus commission+35.91pts

Monthly Total-6.84pts

Running Total+5259.47pts

10th April

535 Lingfield-On my ratings,Total Obsession has at least 8Ibs to find to trouble the main principals.Them being,If I were a Boy,Cape Joy and Push Me.Ive got it at 10/1 in my tissue and it has to be taken on.

Lay Total Obsession 30pts at 6.0-Up(Wasnt Matched)So close to being matched last night then it drifted to where it shouldve been.

9th April

250 Carlisle-Mojolika has a decent chance as the faster ground is clearly what it wants but it does look pretty short.At a much bigger price and from a purely value point of view,Tweedo Paradiso ran its best race of its career last time on its handicap debut and may have more to come.

Right to Rule makes its handicap debut but is back from over 100 days off,so is difficult to assess accurately.

Yorkist and Takaatuf are the other 2 who have claims.

Back Tweedo Paradiso 6pts at 9.0-Wasnt Matched

7th April

455 Hexham-Another race where the horse that interests me most is a horse moving from novice company into handicaps.As Ive stressed before sometimes the ratings dont always translate but this is a weak race and theres enough in the price to get involved.

Venture to War returned to the track last time after over 6 months off and finished 3rd of 4 in a novice chase on soft ground that wouldnt have really suited.The rating it achieved puts it bang there in this race.It also achieved a similar rating last season on identical trip and ground to today.If it can translate that rating to handicap company then this is a well handicapped horse that also goes in a first time hood.

The favourite Lord of Drums is unexposed but has to step up on my ratings to take a hand.

Back Venture to War 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-P/U(-8pts)Well backed again but ran no sort of race and was soon pulled up.

6th April

305 Chepstow-This is pretty weak and as long as handicap debutant Mister Hendrie doesnt show a big improvement,this should be at the mercy of Adios Alonso.The selection ran a fine race on its seasonal debut last month only being being beaten by a heavily punted winner and a horse that went on to win last Monday.It clearly wants the good ground it will have tomorrow as it posted its career best on it last season.

Back Adios Alonso 14pts at 4.5 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-14pts)Ran a great race and touched 1.17 in running but blundered the last and got collared close home

525 Chepstow-So many of these horses are out of form,it looks a good opportunity for Henok,who posted the top rating when finishing fourth on its chasing debut last time.That looks a decent race with the 2nd and the tailed off 5th both winning next time while the winner was runner up to Hunt Ball on Thursday.Although Henok has been a bit inconsistent in the past,it may be a different animal over fences and its very unexposed against mainly exposed animals.

Try Catch Me is very consistent and should run its race but is 0wins-2places-11runs in this grade while the very inconsistent Le Grand Chene could go well but is more likely not to want to know.

Back Henok 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365/Victors-UP(-12pts)Well backed but ran poorly(DT-26pts)

Monthly Total-34.75pts

Running Total+5231.56pts

4th April

305 Aintree-Very good race with a few in with a chance.Surely Countrywide Flame is going to improve stepping up to 2m4 when you consider it stays over 2miles on the flat.Its possible its ratings could take a big jolt forwards.

Grandouet needs to prove its stamina but if it gets the trip,its got a good chance.Zarkander fell in this race last year but this trip looks right for it these days and the first time blinkers is an interesting angle.

Oscar Whiskey,if back to its best,as a previous winner is an obvious danger.

The vulnerable one for me is The New One.Theres no doubt this horse is in good form(winner of 7 of its 9 starts) but my ratings say its not improving,its last 3 runs have produced the exact same rating,leaving it a stone to find to trouble the best of its opponents.It also comes out 8th of the 9 runners on speed figures.It shouldnt be favourite.

Lay The New One 15pts at 4.7(Lay up to 6.0)-2nd(+15pts)This horse has obviously performed to a different level to what it had produced so far.Probably got away with one but if the same race happened tomorrow,id lay it again.

Days total minus commission+14.25pts

Monthly Total-8.75

Running Total+5257.56pts

3rd April

No Selections today

2nd April

310 Exeter-Quarl Ego ran for the first time over fences on its last run and on that rating achieved there,it looks very well in moving into a handicap.Sometimes the ratings when a horse moves from novice into handicap company dont always translate but if it can be believed then this must go very close.

Sandys Double is the obvious danger but so far,is best on very soft ground.

Back Quarl Ego 8pts at 8.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.6)-3rd(-8pts)Called the value price correct once again as it halved in price but wasnt quite good enough.

Monthly Total-23pts

Running Total+5243.31pts

1st April

455 Newcastle-The consistent Jet Master can be relied upon to to run his race and that may be good enough.Bygones in Brid hasnt raced for over 700 days and the betting will tell its story.Crowning Jewell moves back in trip and is the main danger.

Back Jet Master 15pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes/Hills(Accept 4.0)-3rd(-15pts)

Running Total+5251.31pts