31st October

140 Wetherby-Its up in class but if my ratings mean anything then Camachoice has a fine chance here.

Af 3 reasonable runs in novice hurdles,its burst to life,in a first time visor,racing in a handicap for the first time and winning very easily.

That rating puts it 10Ibs clear here ,against mainly exposed horses.

Theres always the chance it doesnt back up that run but if its anything close to that performance then it wins this easily.

Lightening Rod and Knight In Purple look the biggest dangers.

Back Camachoice 15pts at 3.5 at bet365(Accept 3.0)-UP

215 Wetherby-Decent race and you have to respect Trustan Times whos 2 from 5 here and pretty progressive but this trip will be sharp enough on ground faster than ideal.

Mwaleshi is 2 from 2 around here and was progressing when last seen,it looks the biggest danger to Silver Roque.

The selection is at its best fresh(Last 3 seasons first time out finished 1st-1st-2nd) and tends to run above its handicap mark after a long break.

The rating it posted first time out last season,wins this race and the trainer has had 2 winners from his last 3 runners.

Back Silver Roque 11pts at 4.3(Already advised)-UP(DT-26pts)Hard to believe both these horses ran as bad as they did.Bad end to another poor month and far too many of them this year!

Monthly Total-123.33pts

Running Total+7081.54pts

29th October

140 Taunton-This is a low grade affair and nothing stands out but Spanish Fork is consistent and stays this trip well.Its price looks out of line to me.

Its trainer is 2 from 7 with her hurdlers here and although has a question on the ground,so does everything else.

Dazzling Rita is the fav after winning last time but it looks pretty short to me.The trainer has only a 7% strke rate at this track.

Regal Flow could well be the main danger.

Back Spanish Fork 7pts at 7.0 at Skybet(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-7pts)As I thought,everything was in a heap at the last.The selection took being one paced to a new level.

525 Kempton-Since being fitted with blinkers and stepped up in trip,Classic Mission has posted 3 solid performances and holds sound claims here.

Its last run here saw it beaten into 2nd place by a horse that has since gone on to win off a mark 16Ibs higher.

Although the trainer has a poor strike rate at this track,the jockey has a 20% strike rate when riding for this yard.

Mr Lando and Understory have course form and are respected while Archie`s Advice looks to be improving.

Back Classic Mission 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-9pts)Given a good ride and looked coming into the straight,like it could get away but the winner won well.(-16pts)

Monthly Total-97.33

Running Total+7107.54pts

28th October

710 Wolverhampton-Rowlestone Lass has been in fairly consistent form over shorter but the fact remains its 0 from 16 now and has stamina doubts over this trip.

Its creeping up the handicap and although handling the surface will need a career best for a trainer with just a 6% strike rate here.

Ring Of Fire makes its first start for Brian Ellison,if it stays strong in the market,I would expect it to run well.

Lacey and Lamubaaly should both run well while George Baker is an interesting jockey booking for Peadar Miguel.

Lay Rowlestone Lass 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-Won(-81pts *1 Non runner)Couldnt have got it more wrong really,Step up in trip made the difference and it hosed up.

26th October

115 Wincanton-If handicap debutante Vazaro Delafayette is as good as the market expects then it will probably win this easily.

It steps up in trip for this but has to show improvement and im happy to pass it over at the prices.

Storm of Swords steps up a mile in trip and its anybodies guess if that will suit.

Ni Sin E Mo Ainm won on its first start for Neil Mulholland but is going to need more here to take this.It looks a bit short to me.

Given the ifs and buts about those ahead of it in the market,I can see the veteran Warsaw Pact running another good race to continue its current good run of form.

This horse is 3w-2p-8r in October/November and this smalll yard have a good 20% strike rate with their hurdlers here at this track.

Back Warsaw Pact 6pts at 8.0 at Various Bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Weak in the betting and ran accordingly(-6pts)

25th October

440 Newbury-Despite running from out of the weights,Azagal ran a fine race last time and is nicely handicapped now,back off its correct mark,2Ibs lower than its last win.

It represents one of two runners for last years winning stable and I expect it to run well.

Lilac Lace was last years winner and despite needing more than its currently showing,its profile suggests it will run well.(0-9 runners 6w-2p-13r) (Oct-Dec 3w-3p-9r)

Danehill Revival is lightly raced and is respected while Lady Frances ran well last time but its got something to prove on soft ground and Mark Johnstons horses are in desperate form.

Back Azagal 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Paddys(Already advised)-UP(-9pts)Ran no race at all but the money came for its stablemate,Lilac Lace,who went on and won.Makes you wonder....

Monthly Total+5.67pts

Running Total+7210.54pts

24th October

305 Fakenham-Decent race and I can see why Germany Calling and De Faoithesdream head the market,as they both arrive in top form.

Im interested in one at a much bigger price however.

Solaras Exhibition was below par last time but that was in a much better race than this(3 grades higher) and going right handed.This horse is 0w-0p-5r going that way round,so its perhaps not surprising with the rise in class and track configuration,it wasnt at its best.

Its now back into a grade where the last time it ran in,it won and with a record of 4w-2p-8r going left handed plus 4 wins from 10 runs on sharp tracks like this,its got a fair few things in its favour.

Its now back on its last winning mark and the trainer has a good 22 wins from 81 runners record here.

If at its best,it way overpriced.

Back Solaras Exhibition 3pts at 17.0 at various bookies(Accept 11.0)-Non Runner

340 Fakenham-If the rain stays away then Teak will probably win this,as its an improving animal over flat and jumps but with rain forecast,it could then prove vulnerable.

Wiesentraum looks nailed on to its race,with good course form and a last time victory to its name but its the right price.

Valleyofmilan looks the value to me,Its below par run last time could probably be put down to the fact it was going right handed(0 from 8 going that way)

Back this way round(left handed 4w-3p-11r) ,in a small field(0-9 runners 4w-1p-14r) and on a sharp track(4 career wins),I would expect a much better run.

Its got the ratings to win this and is still unexposed over this trip after just 2 runs.

Back Valleyofmilan 6pts at 8.0 at bet365/Corals(Accept 5.0)-Fell(-6pts)Still cruising 5 fences out when it hit one hard.Disappointing!(DT-6pts)

23rd October

230 Southwell-After only 2 starts over fences,Table Bluff has a lot of upside to it that most in this race havent.

It ran a fine race on its chase debut over this trip and was then sent off favourite last time but didnt stay the trip.

Stepped back in distance,it should go well for a trainer that is 3 from 12 with his runners here.

Gizzit should be the main danger,as it won last time on its first run for this trainer,it moves back in trip but should be involved.

Tri Nations achieved a good rating last time and has a good jockey booking in Noel Fehily but its very unreliable.

Molko Jack won this race last year but will need to find improvement from somewhere to take this.

Back Table Bluff 11pts at 4.3 at Bet365/betvictor(Accept 3.5)-Won(+36.30pts)Well backed and the horse never touvched a twig all the way round.

335 Southwell-This is a decent race with several in form runners on show.

Finding Your Feet has won its last 2 and is improving but will need to continue that progression as its got a few pounds to find on my figures.

Jaja De Jau won well last time and is very much respected while Cusheen Bridge is another recent dual winner but this looks a step up.

Ready Token makes its handicap debut for the Charlie Longsdon yard that has an impressive 31% strike rate here.

It comes out well on my figures anyway but last season it came down late on when giving Enchanted Garden a good race.

That particular horse went on to win off a mark of 130 while Ready Token makes it handicap debut off just 110.

Back Ready Token 7pts at 7.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-UP(-7pts)Another one strong in the market,into 4/1 and looked a massive player coming into the straight but weakened badly.Not sure what happened?(DT+29.30pts)

Monthly Total+20.67pts

Running Total+7225.54pts

22nd October

525 Newmarket-Theres no doubt that the lightly raced,improving Temptress will probably take this if it turns up in the same form when we last saw it over 100 days ago.

You have to wonder where its been when it was clearly progressing and the yard were flying and that puts a slight question mark against it.

No Poppy is rock solid and has to run well while Buredyma will be happier back on a softer surface than the fast ground it encountered last time,however Willie Haggas is operating at a strike rate of just 5% for the last month,which is well below his usual standards.

At a massive price,I feel Boonga Roogeta could outrun its odds.It won first time out this season but then gradually lost its form but its been given a 74 day break and returns to  The Rowley Mile where it has 2 wins from 4 starts.

Its 3 wins from 4 starts on very soft ground and 3wins and a second from just 4 starts in October,add to that its now 5Ibs below its last winning mark then it could be big price.

Back Boonga Roogeta 3pts each way at 21.0 at various bookies(Accept 13.0)-5th(-6pts)Very surprised that this front runner was reined back and allowed the winner an easy lead.

*Back the place on Betfair exchange to ensure 3 places*

250 Worcester-George Nympton has no great record fresh and is pretty unreliable,those are the negatives but in a pretty weak event,it has a couple of positives that warrant an interest.

It gets fitted with a hood for the first time,which interests me as it can revive a horse and this gelding has raced over this trip on soft ground,in this grade just 4 times and returned form figures of 1st-5th-1st-2nd and is now 2Ilbs lower than when it won last December.

Lysino is the clear form chance and should be on the premises but 5 placed finishes in its last 5 starts either suggest its consistent or doesnt like winning.

Orabora has only one start over fences and represents a good yard while Fishoutofwater returns after nearly 2 years off,the market will tell its tale.

Back George Nympton 4pts at 19.0 at Betvictor(Accept 13.0)-UP(-4pts)Just a rubbish day(-10pts)

Monthly Total-8.63pts

Running Total+7196.24pts

21st October

830 Kempton-Unusually for an all weather track,not too many course specialists on show here.

One that is though is Tahchee,whos progressive on the polytrack and is 2 from 4 around here for a trainer that has a 24% strike rate  at the track.

Its got a nice draw and should go very close.

Threetimesalady ran a better race than of late,last time but has no great record around here and is pretty unreliable.

At its best Salvatore Fury would run well but it has a poor draw and no Kempton experience.

If the drop in trip suits then Archibald Thorburn could get involved.

Back Tahchee 10pts at 5.5 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Smashed into 5/2 and ran a fine race but just found Salvatore Fury on a good day.

20th October

310 Plumpton-This race probably lies with the unexposed The Omen,who won on its chase debut but this is 11 days later and it was unreliable over hurdles.

The basic rating of that performance needs to be improved upon if Alright Benny improves for encountering soft ground for the first time since racing in the UK.

Its only had 2 starts over here and both on good to firm ground,its best form in Ireland was with some cut in the ground and its a big price if thats sparks it back to life.

June French would hold chances on its run 2 starts back but that was on faster ground than its likely to encounter here.

Back Alright Benny 6pts at 11.0 at Bet365(Accept 8.0)-Won(+60pts)The money came and Tom O`Brien gave it a peach.Brilliant stuff!

440 Pontefract-Dan Emmett is lightly raced and improving.The step up to 2 miles and on soft ground has seen its ratings rise and the slight step up in trip should suit even better.

Hell Hath No Fury posted(on the face of it) a decent rating last time in a higher grade,conditions race but was in fact beaten 20 lengths,so the rating looks dubious.

Its previous form gives it a shout but the soft ground is a doubt.

Embsay Crag and Calculated Risk are the other 2 in with a shout in a fairly weak contest.

Back Dan Emmett 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-2nd(-10pts)Winner nipped through on the inside and won it easily(DT+50pts)

Monthly Total+11.37pts

Running Total+7216.24pts

19th October

5.0 Kempton-This is a pretty tight handicap with all of them holding some sort of chance.

Ulis De Vassy is just top rated and has a pretty consistent profile.The first time cheek pieces could unlock a little more improvement and its the selection on value grounds.

Richard Johnson is 11 wins from 42 rides for the yard in the last 4 seasons.

Kitegen tends to run well fresh and is 1 from 1 here,so it should go well.Violets Boy has ran 4 solid solid races but keeps finding one too good.

The Last Night has the ability to win this but keeps making mistakes at his fences while Chestnut Ben is consistent but up in class.

Back Ulis De Vassy 8pts at 6.0 at Corals/betvictor(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-8pts)

305 Bath-Another tight race with a few having claims.

Headline News is the rock solid option with no problems over trip and ground and down in class.Its the right price however.

Authroized Too is still lightly raced but ran a poor race last time and a few of Willie Haggas`s horses have disappointed of late.

Bikini Island has only had 3 starts and moves up in trip,it could improve past everything but its price is tight enough.

At a nice price,im going to take a chance on Astra Hall,who will love the ground and likes a small field(0-9 runners 3w-3p-10r),this horse had lost its way when last seen but the 75 day break could have done it good,as it normally runs well after a small absence(41 days+ 2w-1p-5r)

Its got the form and the ratings from earlier this season and late last year to go close here.

Back Astra Hall 6pts at 10.0 at various bookies-2nd(-6pts)(DT-14pts)

18th October

540 Kelso-Ballyreesode came back a different horse after a break last time,winning easily over a little further than todays trip and providing it doesnt bounce on its 2nd start back then anything close to that rating will be far too good for its rivals.

This horse won twice in a grade higher than this when trained in Ireland.

A lot of the rivals are much of a muchness although Northern Acres represents a stable that have won this race twice in the last 2 years.

Back Ballreesode 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.75)-5th(-12pts)Couldnt have the winner at all.The horse had every chance but this was disappointing.

255 Ascot-After just 4 starts,Hadaatha is very unexposed.Each run has shown an improvement in its rating.

It has to prove itself over a bit further and on softer ground but as a son of Sea the Stars it really shouldnt be a problem.

Seal of Approval won this race last year but that performance is a clear stand out run in its career.Whether it can repeat is open to question.

Cubanita will stay and go on the ground,it wont be far away.

Back Hadaatha 7pts at 7.5 at various bookies(Accept 7.0)-UP(-7pts)May have been the ground but did chase a brutal pace and all the ones at the front finished out the back.(DT-19pts)

17th October

No Selections

16th October

510 Brighton-Posh Bounty is still pretty lightly raced and showed improved form last time when encountering 6 furlongs on very soft ground for the first time.

That was a maiden,so there is always a slight possibility it was flattered but it could also be that this horse finding its feet.

It has been placed at this track which is always a plus and its got more upside to it than most here.

Lord Buffhead won last time out and carries a penalty here but a record of 0w-2p-29 when returning to the track within 7 days like today,is enough to put anyone off.Added to that its never won off a mark this high.

Tidal Beauty interested me a little on its first start for Lee Carter but not many improve horses off Mick Appleby.

Back Posh Bounty 12pts at 4.0 at Betvictor(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-12pts)Traded at 1.2 as it looked like it had got the upper hand but got nutted just near the line.

320 Wincanton-Ali Stronge has improved Meetings Man by well over a stone on the flat,since it joined her stable.

If it can carry any of that improvement onto its previous hurdles exploits then it could be nicely handicapped.

Its 2w-1p-4r in small fields over hurdles.

Taaresh hosed up last time but that was at its favourite track Worcester.Its 0w-0p-5r going right handed and is up in grade(0w-0p-7r).It has to be vulnerable.

Stephen Hero represents an in form yard and this is an easier race than its previous handicap runs but it does need to improve.

The potential fly in the ointment is Val D`Arc who makes its handicap debut after just 2 runs in the UK.You would have to expect improvement but its 2 novice runs leave it stone to find on my ratings.

Back Meetings Man 7pts at 6.5 at bet365(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-7pts)2nd day running ive watched this jockey give a selection a poor ride.Looked the winner everywhere apart from over the last 2 hurdles.How you can get hampered in a single figure field jumps race is beyond me but he did it yesterday as well.No more selections with this clown onboard!

420 Wincanton-Oscars Way won well last time when visored for the first time and stepped up to 3m2f.

It returns here just 11 days later but up in class and back down 4 furlongs in trip.

It looks a bit short to me.

Flash Crash has only had 5 runs over hurdles and each one shows improvement while Vendredi Trois was just behind Oscars Way last time on its handicap debut,Im sure it will appreciate the drop in trip.

Jayo Time makes its debut for the Richard Newland yard,its got ratings from its time in Ireland to be winning this.

Lay Oscars Way 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-UP(+20pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Flash Crash,Jayo Time or Vendredi Trois dont run)(DT+1pt)

3.0 Uttoxeter-What A Good Night is well handicapped now,racing off a mark 8Ibs lower than its last winning mark.

It makes its debut for the red hot Dan Skelton yard (7 wins from its last 22 runners) and has outstanding claims in a very weak race.

Jim Job Jones is the obvious danger but has been raised 11Ibs for winning  a 4 runner event last time.The trainer is 0 from 13 with his chasers here.

Back What a Good Night 15pts at 4.3(Already Advised) -Won(+45pts #1 NR#)More danger of the jockey falling off by looking around too much than it losing.(DT+46pts)

Days total minus commission+45pts

Monthly Total-5.63pts

Running Total+7199.24pts

15th October

4.0 Wetherby-Half the field make their seasonal debut and while a couple have won when fresh before,you wouldnt say they are at their best first time out and if they are a little ring rusty then this race opens right up for horses that have been in good consistent form.

Deciding Moment fits that bill,after just 8 starts over fences,its barely ran a bad race and looks likely to run its race again.

This horse stays very well and with lots of pace in this race,it could set up ideally.

Foundation Man drops in class but looks like it would prefer a slightly easier surface and its now 13Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Scotch Warrior has nothing in hand of the handicapper and while it should run well,its a much better horse at its beloved Perth.

Alderbrook Lad has been in good form over hurdles and has a lower chase rating.It needs to improve but conditions are ideal for it.

Back Deciding Moment 7pts at 6.5 at bet365/Skybet(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Well backed into 7/2 and held every chance but was one paced in the straight.

420 Nottingham-Ty Gwr is a still a fresh horse this flat season after just 3 starts.It showed very little in the first two until a fine run last time out in a higher grade than this.

I expect to see even better here over further and on very soft ground.Its 2w-1p-3r in October and is unexposed over this trip after just 3 runs.

If it can repeat its run over trip and ground last October then it will take a bit of stoppping.

Green Light is still a maiden but its sire loved soft ground and its very much respected.

Missed Call makes its second start for James Fanshawe and wouldnt be out of it while Lady Tiana has a solid profile and wont be far away.

Back Ty Gwr 9pts at 5.5 at Ladbrokes/betvictor(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-9pts)Frustrating run continues.Horse ran a great race but just bumped into one here.(DT-16pts)

14th October

250 Huntingdon-Defintely not a bunch of prolific winners here as they all find getting over the line difficult.

Im really not sure about Rossa Parks being a pretty short priced favourite.At its very best,it would hold good claims but its record after a break like today is patchy to say the least(100 days+ 0w-0p-5r)

Im also not sure its want the ground this soft either and although the yard is going well,there are enough negatives to suggest the value should lie elsewhere.

I think that could be Unknown Legend,who likes to lead and if it can get away around here,they often dont come back.

Its rating on its latest start gives it a good chance and it won a point to point on soft over further,so the ground shouldnt be a problem.

Milgen Bay could go close if at its best and has won here but it ran poorly last time and is incredibly soft in a finish.

Back Unknown Legend 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.75)-3rd(-12pts)Supported near the off but was always pestered for the lead and just couldnt hold them off after the last.

420 Huntingdon-Top Billing has won around here and fairly hosed up last time,it should go close.

West End may go well reverting to hurdles while Think Out Loud is quite interesting stepped up in trip.

What An Oscar had been in the doldrums until running better last time,its got the back class to win this and is 3w-0p-9r going right handed.

Orsm ran well last time but wants better ground than this.It also has run at this track 3 times and ran well below form each time.

Add to that its 0w-0p-8r going right handed and 0w-0p-6r in this grade and it looks an unlikely winner.

Lay Orsm 20pts at 6.0-Non Runner

*Cancel or Trade out if Top Billing or What an Oscar dont run*

13th October

310 Sedgefield-This is a pretty run of mill event.Solway Dormal has been in fine form and has 3 course wins to its name,it should run well but its off a career high mark now.

The Society Man continues to post consistent ratings but a record of 1 from 27 says it all.

Shady Sadie takes a step up in class but isnt out of it on ratings while Runswick Days has chances but may need further.

Montoya`s Son has been in poor form for around a year now but as a consequence of that,appears here off a mark 22Ibs lower than when going close in a better race than this in the middle of 2013.

The reason im interested in this horse is that its moved stables to Keith Dalgleish,who has revived many other stable horses on the flat.

There has been some early money for it(Which I was hoping for).If this horse is in any sort of form then its incredibly well treated and should take advantage.

Back Montoya`s Son 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-Won(+44pts Paid out BOG)Jumped superb throughout and won easily!

Monthly Total-22.63pts

Running Total+7182.24pts

12th October

No Selections

11th October

320 Hexham-Clondaw Knight is still lightly raced and should go well for a yard that does well here but they are struggling a little for winners and because of that,Im keen to look elsewhere.Allarnard has run several good races fresh and is respected.

Mister Wall Street saves its best for around here(3 wins from 4 starts at the track) and has every chance on its run 2 starts back.

It likes to dominate from the front and if it can get away on the lead around here,it may well outrun its price.

Back Mister Wall Street 6pts at 10.0 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 8.0)-UP(-6pts)Backed into 4/1 but gradually lost its place and it was very disappointing.

510 Hexham-Molko Jack and Shine A Diamond have the best recent form on show,with the former 1 from 1 here and the latter still unexposed over fences but both are the right price.

Endeavour could run well but is very inconsistent while Some Lad represents a jockey/trainer combo of 4 from 9 but has no record of going well fresh.

Milan Royale has a rating from last season that wins this and is 2 from 4 in this grade.Its also 2w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less and although it returns after an absence,the price warrants an interest if it does turn up fit and well.

Back Milan Royale 5pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 10.0)-2nd(-5pts)Late money for it and ran a good race,only finding the unexposed Shine A Diamond too good.(DT-11pts)

530 Chepstow-Competitive on numbers but the case is very simple here.Highland Lodge tends to run its best races fresh(80 days+ 2nd-1st-1st) and on its performance when 2nd on last terms seasonal debut,it produced a rating that is 7Ibs clear of this field.

Trainer Emma Lavelle has sent out 2 winners after an absence this week and if it jumps around then it really should go very close.

Back Highland Lodge 12pts at 4.5(Accept 3.5)-5th(-12pts)Disputed the lead until the 2nd last but could never get away and was there to be shot at in the final stages.

420 Chepstow-Barry Geraghty has several rides at this fixture but presumably the one he has really come for is Dawalan,for his boss Nicky Henderson.

This horse lost its way towards the end of last season but produced ratings early on that win this and I would doubt this horse will want for fitness with such a nice prize on offer.

Back Dawalan 12pts at 4.5 at Corals(Accept 3.75)-2nd(-12pts)This was a joke.Horse was well backed all day into 6/4 but they actually walked for 1/2 furlong then they let the winner get 25 lengths clear.The selection stayed on for a never nearer 2nd.Its tough enough finding winners without crap like this!(DT-35pts)

Rubbish day to complete a rubbish week.

Monthly Total-66.63pts

Running Total+7138.24pts

10th October

405 York-Several of these have had long seasons and that may be catching up with them now,certainly this soft ground will find them out if not at their best.

Esteaming has only the 5 runs this season but only one since June.Its clearly been waiting for its favoured soft ground.

Its form figures on soft read 2nd-1st-1st and one of those wins came at this track.

With the trainer scoring with 2 of his last 8 runners,we should be expecting a big run.

Emerahldz has been very consistent but now steps up 2 grades after a hike in the weights,further improvement isnt impossible but it wont be easy.

Kings Bayonet has won on very soft ground but that was a 3 runner affair and my rating suggest its a better horse on good ground.

Aramist should run well while Chancery has 2 wins to its name around here and is back on its last winning mark but its not proven on ground this soft.

Back Esteaming 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Looked to becoming with a winning run but weakened in the final 100 yards.

9th October

320 Exeter-According To Sarah finished behind likely favourite American Legend,2 starts back but holds decent prospects of turning that form around.

That was its chasing debut and it was just getting in contention when a loose horse badly hampered it,not only that at the next fence it then cannoned into it,leaving it with no chance after.That race is a strong piece of form with the 2nd,3rd and 4th all winning since.

This horse then won on its 2nd start,last time out and looks open to further progress for a trainer with a 23% strike rate with his chasers here.

I respect American Legend but its short enough in the market.

Green Bank would hold solid chances on the rating it posted last time when winning at Plumpton but it got an easy lead that day and is off 7Ibs higher here.Its always found it tough off a mark over 110.

Caulfields Venture is 1 from 1 at the track and has a decent record fresh,so I can see its chance but I feel it may need a career best to take this.

Back According To Sarah 11pts at 4.3 at skybet/Betvictor(Accept 4.0)-4th(-11pts)Heavens opened and could hardly see anything.Rain wouldnt have helped but I doubt its run its race to be honest.

8th October

No Selections

7th October

410 Leicester-Once again,the weather plays havoc with analysis for the days racing.I would expect that this track will be on the soft side of good by the off.

Dark Emerald handles any ground and has been in fine,consistent form all season.Its a course and distance winner and if it can run somewhere close to the rating it posted last time out then it has to be involved in the finish.

Fire Ship drops in class and wants the rain,this is its easiest task for a while but it was nearly a stone below form last time out and it looks well underpriced to me.

Cordite has a similar profile and although there has been some early money for it,it needs to improve on my figures.

Back Dark Emerald 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Skybet(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-9pts)Led everywhere but the final 5 strides.

635 Kempton-Some deadwood in here with several struggling to get their head in front.

Evident is one of those.You have to respect the fact that Jeremy Noseda has booked Ryan Moore for the ride but this horse has only ever won its maiden and looks a false favourite to me.

Hill Of Dreams probably needed its run back after an absence and wouldnt be far away if at its best.Its won here 4 times but is still off a mark higher than its ever won off.

Rizal Park ran well last time but is pretty inconsistent and isnt proven here.

Go For Broke ran a stinker last time but wouldnt be out of it on its form previous to that.

Biotic boasts form figures of 1st-2nd-2nd at this track and now drops back down in class where its last 3 runs have seen it finish 1st-2nd-2nd.

Its only had the one run over this trip and weakened late on but that was in a much better race 2 grades higher.

From a good draw,I would expect it to run well and it should be favourite.

Back Biotic 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.5)-2nd(-8pts)Another one to just get nutted close home.Very frustrating.(DT-17pts)

805 Kempton-King Calypso has to prove it can win in this class but its progressing fast and with a record of 2/2 at Kempton and 3/3 on polytrack then if its ever going to get it done,it will probably be today.Its speed figures suggest its up to this and so do its ratings.Its got a nice draw and Cam Hardie takes off a handy 3Ib.

Morning Watch is proven here and has the services of Ryan Moore(4 from 9 for the yard).You can see why its favourite.

Im really not sure that many others can trouble those 2 mentioned.

Strawberry Martini ran well last time but that was over further and its not proven here.Men Dont Cry is 0 from 23 on the All weather.

Castle Combe ran well last time but has a very in and out profile. 

Back King Calypso 7pts at 7.0 at betvictor(Accept 6.0)-Won(+35pts *Non Runner)Progressing fast and won easily(DT+18pts)

2 pts Each Way treble on the 3 selections at Betvictor(Prices 5.5,6.0 and 7.0)-Won(place part)(+13.37pts)So close to hitting the jackpot here.(DT+31.37pts)
Monthly Total-13.63pts
Running Total+7191.24pts

6th October

4.0 Stratford-Speed Check is the obvious favourite here as its been in fine form and has won around here.

Im not sure about its price with rain forecast however,its worth noting the only poor run its put in of late was 3 starts back on rain softened ground plus its been moping up small field events and this is a bigger field.

Not that there are that many that could be fancied to run well.

Dazzling Rita has put together 3 decent performances but the best of those were over 4 furlongs further than this,so im not sure this trip will see it at its best.

Baltic Ben ran well on its return from 2 years absence  and this trip should suit as it was staying on over shorter.However it could bounce on its 2nd run back and im not sure about softish ground either.

Toot Sweet has only had the 5 runs over hurdles and was running a fine race when falling 3 out last time out.Its previous runs suggest its got a decent chance here on ground that will suit with Richard Johnson a good jockey booking.Its the value on a difficult days racing with the weather forecast.

Back Toot Sweet 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/bet365(Accept 5.0)-5th(-9pts)Money for it but just never jumped a hurdle all the way round.Despite this it was still in there pitching 2 out where an awful error put paid to it.

Monthly Total-45pts

Running Total+7159.87pts

5th October

225 Huntingdon-Everything has a question to answer in this race.Chestnut Ben was in solid form all last season but now returns after its summer break,if its fully tuned up then it will go well but its got nothing in hand of the handicapper and id be surprised if first time out will see it at its best.

The Last Night has ran 2 absolute stinkers of late and despite being lightly raced,its got something to prove now.

Larteta has only had the one run over fences but will need to find stones of improvement to get involved on the basis of that run.

Giant O Murchu ran poorly when tipped up last time,it has chances at its best but is unreliable.

Saddlers Deal is 1 from 1 here but ran poorly last time,the trainer is 2 from 4 with his chasers at this track but this horse is very inconsistent.

Engai is no handicap good thing but does take a drop in class and has at least put together a strong of decent efforts.

The trainer has won with 2 of his last 4 runners and is 3 from 8 with his chasers here.Its the value in a tricky race.

Back Engai 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.5)-Fell(-8pts)

515 Huntingdon-One of those ones you probably regret tipping but on my figures,the gap in prices between Rogue Dancer and Orfeo Conti is far too big.

The former is a fair enough favourite,as its been in consistent form and still has some upside to it over fences but it is 13Ib higher than when it won,2 starts back.

Orfeo Conti is getting on now and hasnt won for a while but its posted 2 good efforts lately and those ratings give it every chance in a very weak event.

Ballyvoneen was well beaten on Friday and is a spring horse that excels at Plumpton,it gets neither of those things here.

Flemi Two Toes has chances at its best but has no great record after a break like today.

Abbeygrey is unexposed but has shown very little so far although it would be a worry if the money came for it.

Back Orfeo Conti 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)2 poor tips to continue a poor start to the month(ST-16pts)

4th October

345 Redcar-Hopefully Redcar wont be turned into a quagmire as the lightly raced Patentar looks to hold decent claims here.

This horse has only had the 4 runs and is 2 from 2 over this trip.Its rating last time out is the best here and its still improving.

Tawhid would be a danger if back to its best and is 2w-1p-3r in October but returns after an absence of 98 days following 2 poor performances earlier in the season.It is 0w-0p-3r returning after such an absence though.

Muteela and Cape Factor arent out of it but need to improve if the selection runs its race..

Back Patentar 12pts at 4.0 at various Bookies(Accept 3.5)-4th(-12pts)Really poor run.Never looked like winning and didnt appear to be helping his jockey at all

Monthly Total-20pts

Running Total+7184.87pts

3rd October

No Selections

2nd October

310 Warwick-It needs to drift a little for us to get matched but that looks possible.

This is a really weak race and the most unexposed chaser in the field,In The Gate could be really well handicapped on just its 2nd start over jumps.

This horse was no great shakes over hurdles and may have been flattered a touch in a beginners chase last time but the fact remains that it was mounting a serious challenge behind one of Nicky Hendersons,a horse that was rated over 130 over hurdles,when it came down late on.It races here off a mark of just 103!

Charlie Longsdon has won with 7 of his last 11 runners and if it can jump okay over these fences then it really should win.

The other runners are all similar and lack the possible progression of the selection.

Back In The Gate 20pts at 3.0 on the Betfair Exchange.-Fell(-20pts)Going like the winner 6 fences out when it made a bad error and unseated the rider.Very disappointing!

915 Kempton-Peace Accord looks rock solid to run its race here and that may be good enough.

Its latest run on turf was a good one but 2 starts back over this course and distance,it posted the clear best rating and a speed figure that suggested theres more to come.

Its 2w-1p-3r when returning to the track within 14 days like today and Jim Crowley is 8 from 39 for this yard.

The main danger for me is James Fanshawe`s Aragosta,who looks to be improving.

Back Peace Accord 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-Won(+35pts *2 non runners*)Nearly everything went wrong but it still won.

3.0 Southwell-Accessallareas has been consistent of late and looks the most likely to run its race but at 9/4 the bookies have got this one about right.

Tempuran is still lightly raced and may do better than of late but it really does need too.

Mount Welcome isnt out of it but I wonder if the return to this track will see Red Rosso bounce back to form.

Its best 2 ratings have been achieved here and anything to the rating 3 runs back when a close third here,would see it right there in this race.

Back Red Rosso 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 5.5)-Non Runner

Revised Selection Accessallareas 15pts at 3.25-3rd(-15pts)Never seems to work when I send a revised selection for whatever reason.This looked promising in the back straight but it dropped out tamely.(DT=)

1st October

355 Salisbury-This race probably revolves around Basem,who is very progressive and could be different class to these.

Thats built into its price as it steps up in trip however and its interesting that after winning on it last time,Richard Hughes said the horse loves soft ground.

It wont be soft here and with it taking up so much of the market,it allows for some nice prices elsewhere.

Ajmany wasnt at its best last time but that was on softer ground and its respected back on a faster ground although it is now 12Ibs above its last winning mark.

After only 7 starts,Alex Vino is probably still improving,particularly hailing from the Stoute yard as they never rush their horses.

It looks to me,at this stage of its career,its a 10 furlong horse(2 wins from 3 starts at the trip),as it clearly weakened late on,last time out over further.

Its rating it posted on its previous run,over this trip will make them all go.

Its a nice price with Ryan Moore riding.

Back Alex Vino 8pts at 6.5 at Stan James/Betvictor(Accept 5.0)-5th(-8pts)Got the fav beaten but this horse doesnt look an easy ride.Was just one paced in the end after briefly threatening 2f out.