Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
30th November
110 Musselburgh-Tutchev made a good start as a chaser last time,posting the top rating.It should run well given improvement.Ballymacduff has a record of 1 win from 32 starts.It has lots of negatives in its profile and im happy to take that on.Pinkworth & Sum Laff should run well.
Back Tutchev 8.5pts at 5.8 & Lay Ballymacduff 30pts at 5.7-Abandoned
155 Doncaster-Be Definite has posted consistent ratings and is 1win-2places-4runs in November.It looks the one to beat.Tahiti Pearl is improving but has to once more plus prove its stamina over this trip.Mr Syntax will run better than the market says as its hit the frame every time after a long break but its ratings arent quite good enough to warrant a bet.
Back Be Definite 13pts at 3.65-4th(-13pts)Looked like it didnt quite get home
555 Wolverhampton-Good race for a Friday night at this track.Lockantanks,Kingscroft and Grey Mirage are all respected but the return to this track should see Mias Boy go close.Its 2wins-3places-6runs here plus 5wins-5places-19runs in fields of 9 or less and 3wins-2places-8runs in class 3 races.
Back Mias Boy 6pts at 12.0(Accept 9.0)-4th(-6pts)Poor end to a Poor month.(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total-114.38pts
Running Total+4117.91pts
Back Tutchev 8.5pts at 5.8 & Lay Ballymacduff 30pts at 5.7-Abandoned
155 Doncaster-Be Definite has posted consistent ratings and is 1win-2places-4runs in November.It looks the one to beat.Tahiti Pearl is improving but has to once more plus prove its stamina over this trip.Mr Syntax will run better than the market says as its hit the frame every time after a long break but its ratings arent quite good enough to warrant a bet.
Back Be Definite 13pts at 3.65-4th(-13pts)Looked like it didnt quite get home
555 Wolverhampton-Good race for a Friday night at this track.Lockantanks,Kingscroft and Grey Mirage are all respected but the return to this track should see Mias Boy go close.Its 2wins-3places-6runs here plus 5wins-5places-19runs in fields of 9 or less and 3wins-2places-8runs in class 3 races.
Back Mias Boy 6pts at 12.0(Accept 9.0)-4th(-6pts)Poor end to a Poor month.(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total-114.38pts
Running Total+4117.91pts
29th November
215 Taunton-Well Sharp could be different class to these but back from a break and on ground it hasnt handled as yet,it makes the market.Graphite will handle the ground and the distance & looks the value.
Back Graphite 6.5pts at 7.0-2nd(-6.5pts)
Back Graphite 6.5pts at 7.0-2nd(-6.5pts)
28th November
320 Wolverhampton-Its a wide open race but at a massive price,Im going to have a bit on Whozthecat,who is 2/3 around Wolverhampton and if repeating its run here 2 starts ago,will go very close.
Back Whozthecat 5pts at 15.0(Accept 12.0)-UP(-5pts)
7.0 Kempton-Swiss Cross is a solid fav but is the right price.Ubetterbegood is very unexposed and won at this track over 5f getting up close home.The step up in trip could see more improvement and if it does,it wont be far away.
Back Ubetterbegood 8pts 7.6-Not Matched
Back Whozthecat 5pts at 15.0(Accept 12.0)-UP(-5pts)
7.0 Kempton-Swiss Cross is a solid fav but is the right price.Ubetterbegood is very unexposed and won at this track over 5f getting up close home.The step up in trip could see more improvement and if it does,it wont be far away.
Back Ubetterbegood 8pts 7.6-Not Matched
27th November
230 Lingfield-Volcan Surprise has a bit to find on my ratings & its unlikely to make up that gap on its first run of the season.If the racing does get the go ahead then I think Dormouse,Synth Davis and Ya Hafed will battle out the finish.
Lay Volcan Surprise 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
Days total minus commission+28.50
Monthly Total-83.88pts
Running Total+4143.41pts
Really sorry for people following this because I forgot to click `publish` this morning :-(
Hopefully some people saw the selection as I did manage to post it on OLBG at 6.56 this morning.
http://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=41472&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=252&sid=c37d7d90a184be356c199e9cddcc00a4
Lay Volcan Surprise 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
Days total minus commission+28.50
Monthly Total-83.88pts
Running Total+4143.41pts
Really sorry for people following this because I forgot to click `publish` this morning :-(
Hopefully some people saw the selection as I did manage to post it on OLBG at 6.56 this morning.
http://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=41472&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=252&sid=c37d7d90a184be356c199e9cddcc00a4
24th November
1255 Haydock-Fiercely competitive handicap and one in which Ile De Re looks far too short.It may improve for the step up in trip but it certainly needs to.Double Ross,Black Thunder,Poole Master and Yesyoucan lead the way in what I believe weve got running for us.
Lay Ile De Re 30pts at 4.0(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+30pts)
3.0 Lingfield-Blanc De Chine holds a decent chance hee,its top rated with Alaskan Bullet but is a much bigger price,is 2wins-1place-3runs on the AW and 3w-3p-9r in fields of 9 or less.Fathom Five is very inconsistent,does its winning between April and June and is 0/3 at Lingfield.
Back Blanc De Chime 6pts at 10.0-NR and Lay Fathom Five 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
Days total minus commission+57pts
Monthly Total-111.38pts
Running Total+4114.91pts
Lay Ile De Re 30pts at 4.0(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+30pts)
3.0 Lingfield-Blanc De Chine holds a decent chance hee,its top rated with Alaskan Bullet but is a much bigger price,is 2wins-1place-3runs on the AW and 3w-3p-9r in fields of 9 or less.Fathom Five is very inconsistent,does its winning between April and June and is 0/3 at Lingfield.
Back Blanc De Chime 6pts at 10.0-NR and Lay Fathom Five 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
Days total minus commission+57pts
Monthly Total-111.38pts
Running Total+4114.91pts
22nd November
210 Market Rasen-2 horse race for me with Midnight Sail and Mister Hyde holding strong claims.Dawn Commander hasnt had many chances over fences but has a lot to find to trouble these.
Lay Dawn Commander 30pts at 6.0-UP
240 Market Rasen-Flemi Two Shoes goes well fresh,is 1win-1place-2runs in November and is 2w-1p-4r in fields of 9 or less.Red Hot Poker was outlassed last time but back down to this grade(3w-1p-6r) it should be very competitve.
Back Flemi Two Shoes 5pts at 10.0-3rd & Red Hot Poker 6.5pts at 7.6-UP(-11.5pts)
Lay Dawn Commander 30pts at 6.0-UP
240 Market Rasen-Flemi Two Shoes goes well fresh,is 1win-1place-2runs in November and is 2w-1p-4r in fields of 9 or less.Red Hot Poker was outlassed last time but back down to this grade(3w-1p-6r) it should be very competitve.
Back Flemi Two Shoes 5pts at 10.0-3rd & Red Hot Poker 6.5pts at 7.6-UP(-11.5pts)
21st November
310 Hexham-A very weak race that Shoal Bay Dreamer looks to have a decent chance.It won last time over CD and its record in November is 1win-1place-2runs.Samson Collonges is very inconsistent but won last time over further and is the main danger.
Back Shoal Bay Dreamer 15pts at 3.35-4th(-15pts)Jumped the last in front & finished 4th!
340 Hexham-Rupert Bear is solid here,consistent and a record of 2wins-1place-3runs in fields of 9 or less and 2w-1p-4r on heavy ground.On ratings though,others have chances,Stanley Bridge should run well while Ritso and Ruff Diamond arent out of it.Im taking on Claude Carter with a poor 0w=0p-11r on soft or heavy ground and 0w-2p-9r in fields or 9 or less.
Lay Claude Carter 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner
Back Shoal Bay Dreamer 15pts at 3.35-4th(-15pts)Jumped the last in front & finished 4th!
340 Hexham-Rupert Bear is solid here,consistent and a record of 2wins-1place-3runs in fields of 9 or less and 2w-1p-4r on heavy ground.On ratings though,others have chances,Stanley Bridge should run well while Ritso and Ruff Diamond arent out of it.Im taking on Claude Carter with a poor 0w=0p-11r on soft or heavy ground and 0w-2p-9r in fields or 9 or less.
Lay Claude Carter 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner
20th November
3.0 Fakenham-Stamina not guaranteed but Farewellatmidnight should be fine around its fav track(2wins-1place-4runs) & its sire has got plenty of 3mile winners.Its also 3w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.Misstree Dancer is fav but has better ratings at shorter and is 0w-1p-5r when carrying over 11st 8.Midnight Macarena is quite consistent but has some negatives in its profile,mainly 0/2 around this track(0-9 runners) 0/2 & (Class 4 races))w-1p-10r.
Back Farewellatmidnight 17pts at 3.5 at William Hill(Accept 3.15)-UP(-17pts)Another below par showing,in keeping with so many other selections this month.
Back Farewellatmidnight 17pts at 3.5 at William Hill(Accept 3.15)-UP(-17pts)Another below par showing,in keeping with so many other selections this month.
17th November
110 Wetherby-Billy Cuckoo ran its best race last time on only its 2nd run over fences.Its been an inconsistent horse so the worry is it was a fluke but nothing in this race has a convincing profile.Likely fav Twice Lucky is 0/6 in class 4 races and 0/5 over todays trip.Tregaro should run well but ive got it a few Ilbs below the selection.
Back Billy Cuckoo 8pts at 7.0*1 Non runner*Revised 9.5pts at 5.5-Won(+42.75pts)So thats what a winner feels like!
105 Lingfield-I feel that Bint Alzain will take the beating here.Top rated and with a more consistent profile than its rivals.In class 6 races its 1win-0places-2runs and 2w-0p-8r in fields of 9 or less.Ewel Place is the main danger but has to prove itself over todays trip.
Back Bint Alzain 25pts at 3.25(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-25pts)(DT+17.75pts)
Days total minus commission+16.86pts
Monthly Total-125.88pts
Running Total+4101.41pts
Back Billy Cuckoo 8pts at 7.0*1 Non runner*Revised 9.5pts at 5.5-Won(+42.75pts)So thats what a winner feels like!
105 Lingfield-I feel that Bint Alzain will take the beating here.Top rated and with a more consistent profile than its rivals.In class 6 races its 1win-0places-2runs and 2w-0p-8r in fields of 9 or less.Ewel Place is the main danger but has to prove itself over todays trip.
Back Bint Alzain 25pts at 3.25(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-25pts)(DT+17.75pts)
Days total minus commission+16.86pts
Monthly Total-125.88pts
Running Total+4101.41pts
16th November
310 Newcastle-Bally Gunner is clear top rated after its win last time on only its 2nd run over fences.The step up in trip should see it improve further.Harris hawk is the main danger.
Back Bally Gunner 13pts at 4.0(Accept 3.85)-Pulled up(-13pts)Wasnt strong in the betting like i thought it might be and pulled up before stamina was an issue.Just another poor run.
245 Lingfield-Typical AW race,plenty in with chances but Stonecrabstomorrow is such a big price that ive got to have a bit on it.Its been running up some consistent ratings and is 2wins-2places-8runs at the track.
Back Stonecrabstomorrow 6pts at 13.0(Accept 12.0)-5th(-6pts)(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total-142.74pts
Running Total+4084.55pts
Back Bally Gunner 13pts at 4.0(Accept 3.85)-Pulled up(-13pts)Wasnt strong in the betting like i thought it might be and pulled up before stamina was an issue.Just another poor run.
245 Lingfield-Typical AW race,plenty in with chances but Stonecrabstomorrow is such a big price that ive got to have a bit on it.Its been running up some consistent ratings and is 2wins-2places-8runs at the track.
Back Stonecrabstomorrow 6pts at 13.0(Accept 12.0)-5th(-6pts)(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total-142.74pts
Running Total+4084.55pts
15th November
2.0 Ludlow-Dont really fancy BallyOliver but im reluctant to lay it because of the trainers good form,so i will back 2 against it.Satou`s 4 of its last 5 runs have been in a higher class than this and when its dropped down to this grade its got a record of 1win-2places-4runs,In fields of 9 or less its 2w-1p-5r,2/5 on R/H tracks while Richard Johnson is 1w-1p-2r on it,its top rated on its last run and surely must run well.Nudge and Nurdle is worth a little bit as well as it runs well after a break(40 days or more 4w-3p-15r).
Back Satou 13pts at 4.0(Accept 3.35)-2nd & Nudge and Nurdle 6.5pts at 8.0-UP(-19.5pts)Winner was impossible to find
Monthly Total-123.74pts
Running Total+4103.55pts
Back Satou 13pts at 4.0(Accept 3.35)-2nd & Nudge and Nurdle 6.5pts at 8.0-UP(-19.5pts)Winner was impossible to find
Monthly Total-123.74pts
Running Total+4103.55pts
12th November
1240 Southwell-Osmosia has encountered 2miles on good or faster ground 7 times in its career and won 3 of them.Im hopeful he can the better of Tornade Destruval.
Back Osmosia 14.5pts at 3.45-3rd(-14.5pts)Having a poor time of things obviously,Will have a couple of days off and be back Thursday.
Monthly Total-104.24pts
Running Total+4123.05pts
Back Osmosia 14.5pts at 3.45-3rd(-14.5pts)Having a poor time of things obviously,Will have a couple of days off and be back Thursday.
Monthly Total-104.24pts
Running Total+4123.05pts
11th November
2.0 Ffos Las-Anay Turge is solid and should run well but ive got Whatshallwedo rated higher and with Richard Johnson back on board,it gets the vote.
Back Whatshallwedo 9.5pts at 5.3(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-9.5pts)
320 Market Rasen-Very weak race and one in which Ban Uisce could get its head in front over fences for the 1st time.It ran well as a blog selection last time and dropped in trip,on better ground may improve things further.
Back Ban Uisce 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)(DT-24.5pts)
Monthly Total-89.74pts
Running Total+4137.55pts
Back Whatshallwedo 9.5pts at 5.3(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-9.5pts)
320 Market Rasen-Very weak race and one in which Ban Uisce could get its head in front over fences for the 1st time.It ran well as a blog selection last time and dropped in trip,on better ground may improve things further.
Back Ban Uisce 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)(DT-24.5pts)
Monthly Total-89.74pts
Running Total+4137.55pts
10th November
110 Wincanton-Chasers Chance has won its last 2 but on my ratings has to progress again,its also 0wins/2places/12runs when carrying 11st8 or more.I like Knapp Bridge Boy,Henry San,Fairy Rath and Sum Laff against it
Lay Chasers Chance 30pts at 4.0-UP(+30pts)
240 Kelso-2 horse race for me and im happy to go with the value bigger price.Stagecoach Pearl is sure to run well with no negatives in its profile but I prefer the improving Tito Bustillo who is 4wins-1place-7runs between October and December.
Back Tito Bustillo 12pts at 3.9-UP(-12pts)Was meant to be a jumps race,doubt it wouldve made much difference as the 2 market leaders went off too hard early.(DT+18pts)
3.0 Sandown-General Ting is a fair enough fav but this is quite competitive and I think Cheshire Prince will run well but wont reach the price im looking for.Dreambrook Lady is a speculative choice but its 0/8 on left handed tracks and its last 5 runs have been on those,the last time it won was at Huntingdon(a right handed track).It could bounce back to form.
Back Dreambrook Lady 6.5pts at 10.0-UP(-6.5pts)Ground had gone against it but never put in the race at any stage(DT+11.5pts)
335 Sandown-There enough negatives in Graduation Nights profile to warrant taking it on here.In fields of 10 to 15 runners its 0wins-0places-10runs and class 3 races its 0wins-1place-5runs.There are plenty running for us with Time for Spring sure to go well also Bennys Mist will appreciate the R/H track and return to 3m,Imperial Circus is unexposed over fences while Old Wigmore ran its best races early last season and is 2/4 on R/H tracks.
Lay Graduation Night 30pts at 5.5-UP(+30pts)Never going at any stage(DT+41.5pts)
205 Kelso-Lockstown is without doubt the value in this race,it ran really well on its seasonal debut baring in mind,its record fresh is very poor and it has loads of stamina around this stiff track.Knockara Beau has the ratings to outclass these but is very hit or miss.I prefer Lackamons chance to Blenheim Brook.
Back Lockstown 7pts at 8.0(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)Never in it,Knockara Beau in a different class(DT+34.5pts)
Days total minus commission+32.77pts
Monthly Total-65.24pts
Running Total+4162.05pts
Lay Chasers Chance 30pts at 4.0-UP(+30pts)
240 Kelso-2 horse race for me and im happy to go with the value bigger price.Stagecoach Pearl is sure to run well with no negatives in its profile but I prefer the improving Tito Bustillo who is 4wins-1place-7runs between October and December.
Back Tito Bustillo 12pts at 3.9-UP(-12pts)Was meant to be a jumps race,doubt it wouldve made much difference as the 2 market leaders went off too hard early.(DT+18pts)
3.0 Sandown-General Ting is a fair enough fav but this is quite competitive and I think Cheshire Prince will run well but wont reach the price im looking for.Dreambrook Lady is a speculative choice but its 0/8 on left handed tracks and its last 5 runs have been on those,the last time it won was at Huntingdon(a right handed track).It could bounce back to form.
Back Dreambrook Lady 6.5pts at 10.0-UP(-6.5pts)Ground had gone against it but never put in the race at any stage(DT+11.5pts)
335 Sandown-There enough negatives in Graduation Nights profile to warrant taking it on here.In fields of 10 to 15 runners its 0wins-0places-10runs and class 3 races its 0wins-1place-5runs.There are plenty running for us with Time for Spring sure to go well also Bennys Mist will appreciate the R/H track and return to 3m,Imperial Circus is unexposed over fences while Old Wigmore ran its best races early last season and is 2/4 on R/H tracks.
Lay Graduation Night 30pts at 5.5-UP(+30pts)Never going at any stage(DT+41.5pts)
205 Kelso-Lockstown is without doubt the value in this race,it ran really well on its seasonal debut baring in mind,its record fresh is very poor and it has loads of stamina around this stiff track.Knockara Beau has the ratings to outclass these but is very hit or miss.I prefer Lackamons chance to Blenheim Brook.
Back Lockstown 7pts at 8.0(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)Never in it,Knockara Beau in a different class(DT+34.5pts)
Days total minus commission+32.77pts
Monthly Total-65.24pts
Running Total+4162.05pts
9th November
320 Musselburgh-Relax is great value here,ive got it at least 7Ibs clear top rated and theres lots of positives in its profile.(0-9 runners)3wins-2places-5runs,(Good ground)1win-1place-2runs,(2m4f)3wins-1place-4runs.Red Tanber has a great record here but a poor record fresh so Lockedinthepocket is probably the main danger but I fully expect Relax to win!
Back Relax 22pts at 4.0(Accept 3.0)-UP(-22pts) Just rubbish at the moment,cannot believe how poorly this ran
Back Relax 22pts at 4.0(Accept 3.0)-UP(-22pts) Just rubbish at the moment,cannot believe how poorly this ran
8th November
220 Towcester-I think Be My Light will run well here,it got a good rating on its seasonal debut and last seasons best would be good enough,jockey Kielan Woods is 2wins-2places-6runs on it.There are 2 unexposed runners in Destroyed Deployed and Tell Me Y that are difficult to assess while Sail and Return looks vulnerable having taken a big weights hike for its last win.
Back Be My Light 8pts at 7.6-4th & Lay Sail and Return 30pts at 6.0-UP(+22pts)Be My Light was well backed but never really travelled,the jockey gave it a great ride and it only beaten a length in the end.
250 Towcester-Bishophill Jack is very solid here,2wins-0places-7runs in fields of 9 or less and 2/2 in class 5 races,it must go well.Arctic Echo may be getting on a bit but there are no negatives in its profile today.Spot the Ball is 1win-1place-2runs at this specialist track and 1win-1place-3runs in November,it would be no surprise if it bounced back to form.Midnight Charmer has a bit to find for me on my ratings and is 0/6 on R/H tracks.
Lay Midnight Charmer 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
3.0 Musselburgh-Purcells Bridge ran really well last time and is miles clear on the ratings,if it can back that performance up then it will win but its unlikely to make the 2/1 im looking for.I make Solway Bay next best.Monetary Fund has a chance but its poor strike rate means I cant see how it can be 2nd in the market.
Lay Monetary Fund 30pts at 5.0-Won(-120pts)Unfortunately Purcells Bridge ran below expectations and Solway bay was given lots to do.It looked like I was going to get away with it as Monetary Fund was headed just yards from the line but it battled back to win to continue a poor start to the month.(DT-68pts)
Monthly Total-76.01
Running Total+4151.28pts
Back Be My Light 8pts at 7.6-4th & Lay Sail and Return 30pts at 6.0-UP(+22pts)Be My Light was well backed but never really travelled,the jockey gave it a great ride and it only beaten a length in the end.
250 Towcester-Bishophill Jack is very solid here,2wins-0places-7runs in fields of 9 or less and 2/2 in class 5 races,it must go well.Arctic Echo may be getting on a bit but there are no negatives in its profile today.Spot the Ball is 1win-1place-2runs at this specialist track and 1win-1place-3runs in November,it would be no surprise if it bounced back to form.Midnight Charmer has a bit to find for me on my ratings and is 0/6 on R/H tracks.
Lay Midnight Charmer 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)
3.0 Musselburgh-Purcells Bridge ran really well last time and is miles clear on the ratings,if it can back that performance up then it will win but its unlikely to make the 2/1 im looking for.I make Solway Bay next best.Monetary Fund has a chance but its poor strike rate means I cant see how it can be 2nd in the market.
Lay Monetary Fund 30pts at 5.0-Won(-120pts)Unfortunately Purcells Bridge ran below expectations and Solway bay was given lots to do.It looked like I was going to get away with it as Monetary Fund was headed just yards from the line but it battled back to win to continue a poor start to the month.(DT-68pts)
Monthly Total-76.01
Running Total+4151.28pts
7th November
655 Kempton-Modun got stuck in the mud when a selection for the blog but back on its favoured polytrack and at a track where its 1win-2places-3runs,I expect it to run very well.Spring of Fame has the ratings to win but its best recent runs have been in Dubai.The improving Viking Storm is a danger but is short enough considering it needs to progress again.
Back Modun 10pts at 5.0(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-10pts)Nicely backed during the day and looked the winner but it came 2nd.Frustrating!!!
Back Modun 10pts at 5.0(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-10pts)Nicely backed during the day and looked the winner but it came 2nd.Frustrating!!!
6th November
350 Exeter-That`ll Do Boy has the best rating but ran poorly last time and isnt proven over the 3miles.I like the very unexposed Ballyhilty Bridge,who achieved a good rating on its chase debut last time and appeared to just run out of stamina,its dropped slightly in trip here and I can see the money coming for it.
Back Ballyhilty Bridge 9pts at 6.6-5th(-9pts)Travelled powerfully til 3 out then just couldnt go with them.Looks like its needs a further drop in trip to me.
3.0 Redcar-I feel theres enough to take Phase Shift on here.It won out of the blue last time beating our selection Arley Hall,they meet again and this 2f shorter trip looks to be in the latters favour and its more consistent anyway.Priestleys Reward should also finish in front of it and Korngold is not out of it being 1/1 in class 6 races.
Lay Phase Shift 30pts at 3.85-UP(+30pts)(DT+21pts)
Days total minus commission+19.95
Monthly Total+2.01pts
Running Total+4229.28pts
Back Ballyhilty Bridge 9pts at 6.6-5th(-9pts)Travelled powerfully til 3 out then just couldnt go with them.Looks like its needs a further drop in trip to me.
3.0 Redcar-I feel theres enough to take Phase Shift on here.It won out of the blue last time beating our selection Arley Hall,they meet again and this 2f shorter trip looks to be in the latters favour and its more consistent anyway.Priestleys Reward should also finish in front of it and Korngold is not out of it being 1/1 in class 6 races.
Lay Phase Shift 30pts at 3.85-UP(+30pts)(DT+21pts)
Days total minus commission+19.95
Monthly Total+2.01pts
Running Total+4229.28pts
5th November
225 Plumpton-Hard to imagine a weaker race than this and one in which Beware Chalk Pit should gain its 2nd career victory.Although inconsistent,its clear top rated and ran well on his seasonal reappearance plus the only time it did win,was in November,over this trip,this ground and this track.It will surely never have a better chance to add another victory.Unless Dromore Hill bounces back to form,I can only see Absolute Shambles being a threat.
Back Beware Chalk Pit 20pts at 3.0-2nd(-20pts)Winner was impossible to find and the selection ran well but couldnt reel the leader in.
330 Plumpton-Not that many that can be fancied here and Ballyman should run well.It got a good rating on its first run of the season and it should improve for it to hopefully last season best which is the top rating in the race.Mark Grant gets on well with the horse (1win-2places-4runs) and the horse has the same record at the track.Truckers Benefit is easily the biggest danger and may improve past the selection but is the right price.Goring One has a doubt on the ground.
Back Ballyman 8pts at 5.8-2nd(-8pts)If you need something to finish 2nd,im your man!!!!4 in a row.(DT-28pts)
Monthly Total-17.94pts
Running Total+4209.33pts
Back Beware Chalk Pit 20pts at 3.0-2nd(-20pts)Winner was impossible to find and the selection ran well but couldnt reel the leader in.
330 Plumpton-Not that many that can be fancied here and Ballyman should run well.It got a good rating on its first run of the season and it should improve for it to hopefully last season best which is the top rating in the race.Mark Grant gets on well with the horse (1win-2places-4runs) and the horse has the same record at the track.Truckers Benefit is easily the biggest danger and may improve past the selection but is the right price.Goring One has a doubt on the ground.
Back Ballyman 8pts at 5.8-2nd(-8pts)If you need something to finish 2nd,im your man!!!!4 in a row.(DT-28pts)
Monthly Total-17.94pts
Running Total+4209.33pts
3rd November
305 Newmarket-Decent Listed race with a few in with a chance.I feel Primevere is underpriced but dont want to lay it as it has its ideal conditions,Prince Siegfried and Mull of Killough should run ok but I like the improving 3yo Hajras,whos won 4 of its 8 races and is 2/2 in races of 9 or less.Rainbow Peak could be a big danger if fit off such a long lay off.
Back Hajras 10pts at 5.0(Accept 4.5)at Skybet or VCbet -2nd(-10pts)Hit 1.5 in running but couldnt reel in the winner
135 Ayr-Theres no doubting that there are negatives in Sammy Spidermans profile,the main one being 0/7 in November but it loves this track and in such a weak race,it shouldnt be the price it is.Sacre Toi is the short priced fav and may well win but the selection is definitely the value in the race.
Back Sammy Spiderman 8pts at 7.0(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Poor selection,the stats gave me the warning signs but it was so weak,it drew me in.The winner won its first ever race at the 26th attempt(DT-18pts)
245 Ayr-Et Maintenant ran well on its seasonal debut and should progress from there.Theres been money for The Hollingwell and I can see its chance while Heez a Steel and Beau Dandy will find these conditions tough on their first run of the season.In a weak race,I feel Et Maintenant is just enough value to warrant support under its ideal conditions.
Back Et Maintenant 11.5pts at 4.5-2nd(-11.5pts)Big drifter as the eventual winner was backed in from 16s into 7/2.Ran a great race and I thought was coming to win the race between the last 2 fences(Touched 1.37 in running) but didnt quite pick up.(DT-29.5pts)
Monthly Total+10.06pts
Running Total+4237.33pts
Back Hajras 10pts at 5.0(Accept 4.5)at Skybet or VCbet -2nd(-10pts)Hit 1.5 in running but couldnt reel in the winner
135 Ayr-Theres no doubting that there are negatives in Sammy Spidermans profile,the main one being 0/7 in November but it loves this track and in such a weak race,it shouldnt be the price it is.Sacre Toi is the short priced fav and may well win but the selection is definitely the value in the race.
Back Sammy Spiderman 8pts at 7.0(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Poor selection,the stats gave me the warning signs but it was so weak,it drew me in.The winner won its first ever race at the 26th attempt(DT-18pts)
245 Ayr-Et Maintenant ran well on its seasonal debut and should progress from there.Theres been money for The Hollingwell and I can see its chance while Heez a Steel and Beau Dandy will find these conditions tough on their first run of the season.In a weak race,I feel Et Maintenant is just enough value to warrant support under its ideal conditions.
Back Et Maintenant 11.5pts at 4.5-2nd(-11.5pts)Big drifter as the eventual winner was backed in from 16s into 7/2.Ran a great race and I thought was coming to win the race between the last 2 fences(Touched 1.37 in running) but didnt quite pick up.(DT-29.5pts)
Monthly Total+10.06pts
Running Total+4237.33pts
2nd November
130 Wetherby-Sporting Boy is a progressive hurdler and is clear top rated,as long as the ground gets no softer it should run well.
Back Sporting Boy 12pts at 3.9-Won(+34.80pts)Hurdled superb and won easily.
245 Newmarket-This looks a 2 horse race between Boonga Roogeta and Mr Spiggott,I like the former who looks to still be improving and will relish the conditions.
Back Boonga Roogeta 12.5pts at 3.85*1 Non Runner Revised 14pts at 3.5*-Won(+35pts)
745 Wolverhampton-Although it hasnt ran here,Silver Lace has proved itself on the polytrack at Kempton,its also clear top rated with a very progressive profile.I make Stylistickhill the danger.
Back Silver Lace 15pts at 3.5(1 Non runner now so if anyones not on already,I would do 18pts at 3.0) -4th(-15pts)Expected this to win but it never really looked like happening.(DT+54.80pts)
Days total minus commission+52.06pts
Monthly Total+39.56pts
Running Total+4266.83pts
Back Sporting Boy 12pts at 3.9-Won(+34.80pts)Hurdled superb and won easily.
245 Newmarket-This looks a 2 horse race between Boonga Roogeta and Mr Spiggott,I like the former who looks to still be improving and will relish the conditions.
Back Boonga Roogeta 12.5pts at 3.85*1 Non Runner Revised 14pts at 3.5*-Won(+35pts)
745 Wolverhampton-Although it hasnt ran here,Silver Lace has proved itself on the polytrack at Kempton,its also clear top rated with a very progressive profile.I make Stylistickhill the danger.
Back Silver Lace 15pts at 3.5(1 Non runner now so if anyones not on already,I would do 18pts at 3.0) -4th(-15pts)Expected this to win but it never really looked like happening.(DT+54.80pts)
Days total minus commission+52.06pts
Monthly Total+39.56pts
Running Total+4266.83pts
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