30th November

135 Newcastle-Swing Hard is unexposed and from an inform yard.Its top rated on its chase debut run over 2m1 and considering this horse is a point winner over 3miles then todays step up in trip should see more improvement.

The icing on the cake is that the trainer has won this race 3 times in the last 8 runnings and the recent indifferent run is not going deter me from going in on what is a very strong selection.

Badger Foot won last time but has 7Ibs to find on the selection while Peachey Moment can go well fresh and is probably the main danger.

Back Swing Hard 14pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies.-Won(+84pts)Was a strong selection and a mixture of delight plus relief that it was right

(Accept 4.0)

240 Newcastle-From the same stable as above,Vintage Star (Apart from 1 run at the Cheltenham Festival) has a nice progressive profile.Clear top rated and still improving,this horse is 4w-3p-7r in fields of 9 or less, 3w-0p-5r over todays trip and 3w-3p-8r in the months of November and December.This should go close.

Hey Big Spender is respected but shouldnt be sharing favouritism.Mister Marker could go well for a yard thats won this race twice in recent years but would probably prefer plenty of rain over this trip.

Back Vintage Star 9pts at 5.2-2nd(-9pts)Nicely backed and looked the winner at the last(Touched 1.11 in running) but just got outstayed

250 Towcester-Nothing jumps off the page in this race.Tinelyra should appreciate the step up in trip for a yard that does very well here but ive got Kilvergan Boy priced around the same mark but its twice the price and has to be supported.

This horse is no world beater and doesnt win that often but nor does anything in this race.Its sheer consistency may prove good enough and 4 of its 5 wins have come right handed.Its won here as well

Back Kilvergan Boy 5pts at 11.0-Brought Down(-5pts)Very unlucky as it was brought down by a faller early on

215 Towcester-Probably a complete flight of fancy but Minneapolis catches my eye here at a massive price.This horse was decent 2 years ago and has clearly had problems but it returns to the scene of its only hurdles win(Only visit here),the small stable is going well(2 wins from last 6 runners) and the jockey is 2/3 when riding for the yard.

Price is just too big to miss.

Back Minneapolis 2pts at 34.0 at Paddys/Boyles -UP(-2pts)Ran ok up to a point but then weakened(DT+68pts)

Monthly Total+73.97pts

Running Total+5778.10pts

29th November

230 Doncaster-Despite Call it On running poorly on its seasonal debut last time over an inadequate 2m4,I can see it running much better here.

This horses ratings are far superior every time it races over 3miles or beyond(3miles to 3m2f 2w-0p-3r) and its price is so big,I cant let it go unbacked

I would like to see some support for this horse as the yard does like a punt particularly as they have another horse in the race.

If Waltz Darling stays the trip then its a danger after a good rating last time but it does step up half a mile in distance.

Granwood is actually just top rated but that was from last season and this horse has no record fresh plus the trainer is struggling while Fix it Right shouldnt be far away for a jockey/trainer combination thats 4 from 11.

Back Call It On 4pts at 20.0-UP(-4pts)Gave it a good go but weakened 2 out.

Accept 10.0

220 Musselburgh-Sleep in First was progressive over fences last term but will need to progress again to take this.That will be a tough task on its seasonal debut(80days + 0w-1p-5r) and for a horse thats better after the New year(October to December 0w-0p-9r)

Swift Arrow is rock solid(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-4r) (Musselburgh 1w-1p-3r) (Trainer 9/31 with his chasers here) and must run well.

Quito Du Tresor always seem to do its work on the bridle and the drop back to 2miles shouldnt be a problem.This horse is a 5 time winner in this grade and also has 2 wins here.

It wouldnt be a massive surprise if Inoogoo ran better on its 2nd start for Brian Ellison but the other running for us has to be Nine Stories,who gets the blinkers first time.It has a decent profile(Nov/Dec 3w-0p-6r) (0-9runners 5w-2p-11r) class of race(4w-1p-11r)

Lay Sleep in First 20pts at 5.5-Fell(Not Matched)

*Cancel or trade out if Swift Arrow.Quito Du Tresor or Nine Stories dont run*

240 Newbury-Good race but if NiceoneFrankie can repeat last weeks win then it should be hard to beat.That was a career best effort ratings wise and if reproduced leaves the others with something to find.The horse is 1/1 at the track

Cedre Bleu looks the main danger to me with a 2w-0p-4r record at Newbury and 3w-0p-4r after an absence of 80 days or more.

Easter Meteor was running well before falling late on last time and could be the other in the frame.

Back NiceoneFrankie 10pts at 5,0 at Betvictor-UP(-10pts)Well backed but never in it.Very disappointing(DT-14pts)

Accept 4.5

555 Wolverhampton-Silverware and Thats Plenty clearly have good chances here but at a much bigger price,I can see Verse of Love running well.This horse looks like its out of form but its last run was at Kempton(2 starts there Finished 8th and 13th,so doesnt seem to like the track).Its run before that was over 10f at Epsom,even if it handled the track,the trip was too far and its runs before that on turf were fairly good.

The biggest plus though is coming back to Wolverhampton(4 starts-2nd-1st-5th-3rd).The ratings it posted on 3 of those run would win this.

Adam Kirby takes the ride and hes got a 24% strike rate when riding for this in form yard.

Back Verse of Love 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-2nd(-7pts)(DT-21pts)

Monthly Total+5.97pts

Running Total+5710.10pts

28th November

240 Newbury-Easter Day is very unexposed and its pretty certain its capable of better than it showed on its chase debut but its pretty short even on its best hurdles ratings.

Renard D`Irlande is top rated on its latest run and although it hasnt quite raced over this far,it will probably improve for it.

In fields of 9 or less its 2w-1p-4r and its interesting that Aidan Coleman comes here for this ride when its stable have winning chances at the other 2 jumps meetings.

Back Renard D`irlande 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Ladbrokes-UP(-10pts)

Monthly Total +26.97pts

Running Total +5731.10pts

27th November

150 Wetherby-Whiskey Ridge ran well on its final start last season but faces some unexposed rivals here.Its record after a break is very ordinary(80days+ 0w-1p-5r) and is 0w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or less.Its price should be nearer the 10/1 mark.

Hollow Blue Sky made a good chasing debut last time for a yard that does well at the track with its chasers (20% strike rate)

Goodtoknow is another with just the 1 run under its belt over fences while Allanard goes well here(2w-1p-5r at the track) and is just top rated on its latest run.

It also wouldnt surprise me if Jewel in the Sun ran well after its absence as its got form figures of 3-3-2-1 after a break of 90 days or more.

Lay Whiskey Ridge 20pts at 6.0-Fell(+20pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Hollow Blue Sky,Goodtoknow or Allanard dont run*

7.0 Kempton-Id prefer Athenian to be a stall or two closer to the rail but other than that it gots lot in its favour.Top rated on its last 2 runs,its 3w-1p-5r in fields of 9 or less and 2/3 over course and distance.The yard is 20% at the track and I think this horse should be clear favourite.

Lancelot Du Lac is respected after a good all weather debut last time and its 2w-1p-4r over this trip.

Love Island is the other horse that is feared.

Back Athenian 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-4th)-9pts)Given every chance by its jockey but just didnt quicken.(DT+11pts)

Days total minus commission+10.45pts

Monthly Total+36.97pts

Running Total+5741.10pts

26th November

520 Wolverhampton-Iptisam has some potential still but it looks pretty short in the market on what its done so far.

Living the Life is solid and looks certain to run well and is probably the one to beat but Piddies Power finished under a length behind it last time, on its first run for this stable,and yet finds itself 3 times the price.It looks the value call to me.

Fantasy Gladiator and Bogsnog shouldnt be far away but are the right prices.

Back Piddies Power 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes/Bet365-UP(-5pts)No money for it and no show in the race.

720 Wolverhampton-Epic Battle is much respected and is probably the most likely winner but it faces some course specialists here.

Lean On Pete,Berlusca and Tatting have all won 4 times here and although its stepping up in class,the latter is far too big a price to miss

This horse is 4w-4p-12r over this course and distance and 4w-3p-10r between September and November,so this is clearly its time of year.

Back Tatting 6pts at 10,0 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-6pts)Nibbled in the betting and ran well but not good enough

Monthly Total+26.52pts

Running Total+5730.65pts

24th November

115 Towcester-Flying Phoenix is top rated on its latest run in a class 3 handicap.This horse even ran in a class 1 Novice at Cheltenham last year.today it finds itself in a class 5 Claiming Hurdle and getting lumps of weight off its main rivals.It should have a very good chance.

Belle De Fontenay does well in these types of races(Class 5 4w-1p-9r) and is clearly the main danger.

Rowlestone Lad is the other that has a chance.

Back Flying Phoenix 14pts at 4.5-2nd(-14pts)If ever a result summed up the last week or so then this was it.Beat everything easily except for a 33/1 outsider that had 28Ibs to find on my ratings!

Monthly Total+37.52pts

Running Total+5741.65pts

23rd November

820 Wolverhampton-Pretty competitive sprint for the grade.Speightowns Kid is market leader and should go well but 1win from 13 over this trip and 1win from 18 starts in this grade set the alarm bells ringing.

Black Dave is respected for an inform trainer while Invigilator has 4 wins to its name around here and returned to form last time but its up in grade and a record of 0w-0p-6r in this class shows it doesnt find that easy.

If Iceblast had a better draw,I could see that going well as 6furlongs is definitely its best trip(3wins from 9 starts) but the outside stall makes it tough.

The value for me is Wooden King and I can see the top weight outclassing these.It ran below form last time but that was after nearly 2 months off the track(41 days or more absence 0w-1p-11r).The horse races over 5 furlongs a lot but its rating 2 starts back over 6f on the turf is matched by a rating the last time it ran over 6furlongs at this track.Those ratings win this!

Back Wooden King 6pts at 10.0-UP(-6pts)Couldnt give it away and no surprise as it raced wide throughout on a furious pace.Seeing Iceblast hose up made it even worse.

2.0 Lingfield-Arabella is top rated and the most progressive in the field.If it can repeat its latest run then it should prove hard to beat.

If Oasis Spirit stays this trip then it may prove the biggest danger while Al Freej goes well here and isnt without a chance.

Back Arabella 13pts at 3.75-2nd(-13pts)Somehow got beaten by an outsider,stepping up 2 furlongs in trip.Unbelieveable!

1245 Haydock-Im pretty sure if Runswick Royal was trained by anyone else then it would a shorter price than it is.This horse has only had 4 runs over hurdles and recieving 8Ibs off its 2 main rivals could be vital.

Far West is very solid and deserves to be fav but im not sure about it being around the 5/4 mark.

Rolling Star hasnt proven to be up to this level so far but any horse from Nicky Hendersons yard has to be respected.

Back Runswick Royal 7pts at 7.0 at Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Really well backed into half the price but looked like it needs further

Accept 6.0

250 Huntingdon-Ive got Arctic Night at a much bigger price on my tissue than it currently is.Very surprised to see it as market leader.It prefers a gap between its races(28 days or less 0w-1p-9r) and returns here just 9 days after running 3miles over hurdles.

Cute Court made its handicap debut last time and produced its best performance so far while Go Amwell loves it here(5wins).It drops into its correct grade(Class 5 2wins from 5 starts) and is 5 wins from 16 over this trip.

Bravo Riquet could also run well,this horse likes soft ground(Soft/heavy 2w-1p-7r) and going Right Handed(2w-1p-6r),so things are ideal for it.

Elegant Olive has won 3 times around here and ran well last time and it has a rating last November over course,trip and ground that would win this.

Lay Arctic Night 20pts at 5.0(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+20pts)Well beaten(DT-6pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Elegant Olive,Cute Court,or Go Amwell dont run*

22nd November

240 Ascot-I do have a slight query about the stable form but otherwise Double Ross holds decent claims here.Its only had 4 runs over fences and put up a top rated performance last time.That was on a left handed track and this horse is better going right handed(2w-1p-5r) and is 2w-0p-4r in this class of race.

Greywell Boy looks the main danger as its an improving chaser but does now step up 2 furlongs in trip.

Back Double Ross 11pts at 4.3(Accept No Lower)-2nd(-11pts)price got smashed in and it ran a good race.

510 Wolverhampton-If Evermore is suited by a further step up in trip then it will be tough to beat but this horse is still to win a race,so there are obviously questions to answer.There are 3 horses coming back from long absences and a few with stamina queries and this looks fairly weak to me.

Meetings Man looks the value,it achieved a solid rating ;last time over course and distance although its best rating is over 2 furlongs further.

With so many doubts about the opposition,Id love to Graham Lee make its proven stamina count.

Back Meetings Man 7pts at 7.6(Accept No Lower)-UP(-7pts)Another one that was backed and looked quite good until chopped on the home turn and then fell away badly.(DT-18pts)

640 Wolverhampton-Soul Intent just beat Off the Pulse last time but im surprised in the gap between the two in the market.The latter goes well around here over this trip(Wolverhampton over 9f  2nd-1st-5th-2nd-2nd) and looks the value to me.

Soul Intent should run well and Creme Anglais wont be far away if its suited by the surface.

Back Off the Pulse 9pts at 6.6(Accept No Lower)-Won(+47.25pts 1 N/R)Halved in price(So ive got that bit right today) and got a great ride from Graham Gibbons to come home in front/(DT+29.25pts)

Days total minus commission+28.5pts

Monthly Total+57.52pts

Running Total+5761.65pts

21st November

130 Market Rasen-Everything clicked for Suburban Bay last time and it achieved a career best rating.It also put up an excellent topspeed figure and if this horse can get to the front early then it should go very well.

Its 3w-4p-13r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-0p-3r in November.

Present View is probably the biggest danger as its only had 1 run over fences and the slight drop in trip should also help it.

Spanish Arch has also only had 1 run over fences but really needs to improve at least a stone than on its debut.

The run 2 starts back from Dorset Naga gives it a chance but im not certain it will like this ground.

Back Suburban Bay 14pts at 3.5 at Betvictor-UP(-14pts)Ran Poorly

710 Kempton-Pretty good race and a few in with a chance,Common Touch won on its All weather debut last time,putting up a joint top rating.The jockey is 4 out of 9 for this yard,so it should be right there.

Brownsea Brink looks a little short to me as although it has won here,its rating doesnt compare with its turf efforts.

At a really big price,I can see Atlantic Crossing outrunning its price.It returned last month after an absence of 7 months and although it didnt run its best,that was over 8 furlongs.Given I think its better over 7f and after such an absence,its no surprise it didnt run up to form.

Given 7 furlongs around this track and its form figures are 1st-3rd-1st-6th-2nd-1st.

Its trainer is in good form(2 winners from his last 8 runners) and its 1w-1p-3r in November,

Back Atlantic Crossing 5pts at 13.0 at William Hill-UP(-5pts)Did shorten up a bit but then fell out the stalls.

Accept 11.0

Monthly Total+29.02pts

Running Total+5733.15pts

20th November

2.0 Lingfield-This is a pretty weak affair with nothing in it having a convincing profile.Litmus was given a 2 month break after a couple of poor efforts and it returned with a top rated performance at Wolverhampton.It does have some decent ratings here though and despite it being an in and out performer,the price is big enough to warrant an interest.

Squirrel Wood has run a couple of decent races recently but has no form here.Hamble could go well back up trip while Birdie Queen steps up 2 furlongs and is from a good yard,Its shown nothing so far however.

Back Litmus 7pts at 8.0 at Bet365-4th(-7pts)Had the run of the race but wasnt good enough

Accept 7.0

230 Lingfield-Very competitive race with several having chances.If So and Peace Seeker are in form and consistent and should both run well.

Blessington looks a bit short in the betting to me but it has only had 4 races from a good stable.

At a massive price though,I can see Alben Star going well.It returns after a long absence but is 3w-0p-3r when returning to the track after 80 days or more.

Its 4w-1p-6r in fields of 10 to 15 runners and 2w-1p-4r in this class of race.It finished 2nd here on its only start at the track.

Back Alben Star 5pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes-UP(-5pts)I hoped to see some money for this but it never came.Probably either isnt the same horse it was or wasnt ready but it was never going to win witht he places the jockey took it(DT-12pts).

Accept 10.0

20/11

130 Fakenham-Small field and a 2 horse race for me.Midnight Macarena is the fav but my ratings suggest its slightly better at shorter than todays 3miles.Its also not run up to form in its 3 appearances at this specialists track although the trainer is 35% with her chasers here.

Take it on with the unexposed Tea Caddy,whos top rated on its latest start on only its 2nd run over fences.

Its small trainer has won with 4 of his last 6 runners.

A little Swifter steps up in trip but its sire is only 6% with its offspring over the distance while Epee Celeste doesnt look good enough and its trainer hasnt had a winner for 203 days.

Back Tea Caddy 18pts at 3.0-Won(Not Matched)

7.0 Wolverhampton-Relight My Fire looks a bit of value here after a very good run last time,its first on polytrack and over course and distance.

This horse ran up a sequence on the turf during the summer and is a strong stayer over this trip.

Bogsnog shouldnt be far away after showing much improved form since running on polytrack,its got a 1st and 2nd to its name at this track for its in form trainer.

Jay Bee Blue had an awful draw last time and may fare better today but I dont see it as favourite.

Back Relight My Fire 8pts at 6.5 at various bookie-UP(-8pts)Ran poorly

Monthly Total+57.02pts

Running Total+5764.15pts

18th November

430 Wolverhampton-Theres no doubting that Ruwaiyan is the most likely winner of this race,as it produced a career best rating last time when dropped to this trip.However this is a more competitve race than warrants it being just 7/4.

Living the Life ran below par in the same race but a repeat of its win 2 starts back would see it go close.

At a massive price though,I will risk a bit on Docofthebay,who isnt as good as it was but if it gets the very strong pace it needs(Theres at least 4 horses that have made the running) and the visor fitted for the first time works then it could go well.

It has a rating from March this year over course and distance that puts it bang there.

Back Docofthebay 4pts at 17.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-4pts)

17th November

225 Fontwell-Dolatulo is consistent,top rated on its latest run,likes a small field(0-9 runners 4w-2p-8r) and is good this time of year(November 1w-2p-3r)

Its not ran on heavy ground but has plenty of good ratings on soft.It should go very close.

Munsaab is next best,as it achieved a decent rating on its seasonal debut last time and at its very best from 2012,it would be bang there.

Orabora has only had 4 runs and if ready to go after over 300 days absence, wont be far away.

Foxclub has been consistent but doesnt want this ground and needs to find a few pounds anyway.

Knight of Pleasure needs to step up on what its done so far but its latest topspeed suggests thats not impossible

Back Dolatulo 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Ran really well but the gambled on Knight of Pleasure was just too strong after the last.

16th November

235 Lingfield-Prince Alzain is top rated on its most recent run.This horse is much better on polytrack(4w-2p-7r) than on turf and its 2/2 in November

Tales of Grimm is next best and looks to be improving,however its unproven at this trip and on polytrack

Highland Knight looks underpriced to me,even on its recent win its got a few pounds to find and its ratings arent as good over this trip.

Back Prince Alzain 15pts at 4.0 at Paddys-Won(+45pts)Won quite convincingly

Accept 3.25

240 Wetherby-Tresor De L`Isle produced easily its best career performance last time,its first run after a wind operation.Its top rated on that.

Badger Foot took a step back in the right direction last time and if building on that,wont be far away.

Spitfire Ace is still unexposed from a powerful yard and is almost certainly capable of better.

Goodtoknow unseated its rider on its chase debut last time but was only 11/2 in the betting for that race,so it wouldnt be a surprise if that ran a good race.

Midnight Charmer has won its last 2 but in a lower class.Its 0w-0p-6r in this grade and needs to find 7Ibs more to figure on my ratings

Lay Midnight Charmer 20pts at 5.5-3rd(-20pts)Despite Tresor not running well,Midnight Charmer was a well beaten 3rd(DT+65pts)

*Cancel or trade out if Tresor De L`isle,Badger Foot or Spitfire Ace dont run*

Days total minus commission+64pts

Monthly Total+81.02pts

Running Total+5788.15

15th November

230 Lingfield-Very competitive race with a few in with chances.Novellen Lad is a fair enough fav after a good run last time on turf  for an inform trainer(4 wins from his last 10 runners),it also has a decent record at this track(1w-2p-5r) but its the same price as on my tissue.

Glastonberry is extremely consistent with some competitve ratings and a solid record here(2w-3p-5r) but its drawn widest of all and that wont make things easy for it.

Lujeanie continues to run well but always seems to get there too late and I doubt Shane Kelly will provide the answers on it(0w-1p-9r on the horse)

At a very big price,I think Perfect Venture can run well.Its last run at Kempton puts it not far off the best of these but if you go back to when it last ran at this track,(2 runs at Lingfield Finished 1st and 2nd),its rating that day wins this race.It should be at least half its price.

Back Perfect Venture 5pts at 11.0 at Various Bookies-5th(-5pts)

Accept 8.0

15th November

340 Taunton-This is a pretty poor race.The majority of the horses are either exposed or out of form.Only 2 of the field have ever won right handed and its a race that looks there for the taking.

Milosam interests me as its represents a top stable,who backed it from 13/2 into 4/1 on its chase debut last time in a race won by the very progressive Standing Ovation.The selection ran well until suddenly weakening and pulling up.The handicapper has dropped it another 7Ib and if the original money was correct then this very unexposed horse could be very well weighted here for a yard thats 22% with its chasers here.

Might as Well at its best could go well but its pretty in and out while Doheny Bar has the best recent form.

Back Milosam 6pts at 7.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+31.20pts 1 non runner)Well backed even with the non runner.Just prevailed under an ace ride.

350 Southwell-Hi Filwah has to prove itself at this track but as its sire is 2/8 with its runners here,im hopeful that wont be a problem as this very progressive animal has a very solid chance on my ratings.The trainer is 10/42 with his runners here and its difficult to see this horse not going close.

Generalyse ran well last time over 6 furlongs but its ratings over 5f are at least 6Ibs worse plus it makes its debut here plus its sire is only 8% with its runners at this track.

Caldercruix goes well here but over further.It has never ran over the minimum trip in a career of 47 races.

Sharaarah is 1/1 over the Course and distance but has run below form in its last 2 starts on turf.

Back Hi Filwah 17pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-3rd(-17pts)Just didnt get out of the stalls.Came home well.Defintely handled the track.(DT+14.2pts)

Monthly Total+22.02pts

Running Total+5729.15pts

13th November

1230 Lingfield-Against a host of exposed performers,Tee it Up Tommo stands out here.This horses ratings have shown a steady progression and its last run over course and distance puts it clear top rated,despite the horse getting there too early and getting nailed late on.I would expect jockey Jim Crowley to wait a little longer and this horse should go very close.

Santadelacruze is the obvious danger after a good run last run while Benandonner returns to the trainer where it did well a few years ago.I wouldnt be surprised if the money came for it but its been badly out of form most of the season.

Back Tee it up Tommo 12pts at 4.3-Won(+39.60pts)Really well backed all day and found all sorts of trouble.Flashed home to be beaten in a photo but was awarded the race in the stewards room.

340 Exeter-Moorlands Jack has spent most of its career avoiding soft ground but produced a joint career best rating last time on it.A repeat of that run sees it very competitive here.This horse has only had 6 runs over fences and probably still has more to offer.

Moleskin produced a good performance last time on its seasonal debut,however that was over its best trip of 3miles.It drops back 4 furlongs here and it looks a strange move although this stiff track will help

If Last Shot is ready after nearly 200 days off then it will be a danger but it has no record fresh.

Moorland Sunset and Midnight Lira are both unexposed but both need to improve.

Back Moorlands Jack 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-3rd(-10pts)Travelled really well(touched 1.57) but just didnt pick up.(DT+29.60pts)

Days total minus commission+19.57pts

Monthly Total+7.82pts

Running Total+5714.95

12th November

2.0 Lingfield-Providing this doesnt come too soon after Fridays win then Toby Lerone should take a bit of beating here.It improved significantly on only its 2nd chase start and this horses proven stamina will be an asset in these conditions.

The main danger has to be the unexposed De Blacksmith from the Gary Moore yard,however the market has already built in its expected progress and the selection should be a clear favourite.

Howards legacy has pulled up on its last 3 starts while Seven woods takes a big drop in trip and is unproven on the ground.

Red Anchor is a CD winner and proven on the ground but needs to find 14Ibs improvement from somewhere to be competitive.

Back Toby Lerone 22pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+49.5pts)Tough horse,its a sound jumper and may improve even more when going right handed as it edges that way.

Accept 3.0

450 Wolverhampton-Interception is the obvious starting point here as a lightly raced animal from a stable in good form.Its proven around here and makes its handicap debut.While it may prove to be different class to these,the fact is on what its done so far hints that it isnt and the lack of a decent topspeed figure also suggests that prices around the even money mark are pretty short.

Take it on with the filly Alhaarth Beauty,whos been racing against the males and now takes on her own sex.This horse has hit the frame on 3 of its 4 starts around here and its excellent trainer has given it a break of 60 days now after it lost its form after a busy spell.he did the same earlier in the season and brought it back to win its only race so far.

Liam Jones is booked(2/7 when riding for the yard) and if this horse can get to the front early on,I can see it outrunning its price.

Available is the other horse on my ratings,that looked to have a decent chance as Tigers Home is very in and out and unproven on the surface.

Back Alhaarth Beauty 5pts at 13.0 at Paddys/Ladbrokes-UP(-5pts)Didnt get out of the stalls and was a bit outpaced throughout.Wouldnt have beaten the fav anyway.

650 Wolverhampton-Some course specialists on show here but nearly everything has some sort of negative against it.

Ishikawa is very strong here and at this trip(Wolv/9f 1st-2nd-3rd-3rd-1st-1st-2nd) 

However its 0w-0p-4r in this class of race and my ratings suggest its not very well handicapped here.

Silverware is a 2 time course winner with a 2w-1p-4r record in November/December but is 0w-1p-8r when returning after 41 days or more(49 here)

Dark Ruler has been very consistent of late but is defintely better over 10 furlongs and is unproven on polytrack.

The value is Elspeths Boy,who put up a seasons best rating last time and is 3w-1p-7r at this track.It doesn have to prove itself in this grade but the price should be shorter than it is.

Back Elspeths Boy 7pts at 8.0 on Betfair-Wasnt Matched(DT+44.5pts)

Accept No Lower

Monthly Total-11.75pts

Running Total+5695.38pts

10th & 11th November

No Selections

9th November

250 Kelso-Wilde Pastures was a progressive chaser last season over this trip(2miles 4w-1p-8r) and with a number of horses dropping back in distance,it could go close.

It goes fine after an absence(80days+ 1w-2p-4r) and its trainer is in good form(3wins from last 11 runners).It looks the value in a tight race.

Swift Arrow won this race last season and is unbeaten at the track(2/2),however its powerful stable have only had 4 wins from their last 65 runners.

Upsilon Bleu and Mr Moonshine both drop in trip.The former is unexposed while it seems quite late in the day to be dropping the latter back but it did achieve a good rating last time on its seasonal debut.

Back Wilde Pastures 9pts at 6.6-UP(-9pts)Very weak in the betting but jumped well however obviously needed the run.

Accept 6.0

4.0 Kelso-This is a very winnable race and I will take a chance on Overlaw being ready to roll on its seasonal debut.It has got form fresh and on its best from last year,it wins this.The trainer puts up the stable conditional on top and he takes off a very handy 10Ibs making this horse very well handicapped.

Jim Tango is very inconsistent but ran one of its better races last time although its won on good to soft,on my ratings its better on firmer ground.

Sendiym has been running well and may bounce back at a track it likes(Kelso 1w-1p-2r) but it was struggling when it fell last time.

Ballycool drops in trip but needs to improve for it.

Back Overlaw 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Up until 2 out,this horse looked the winner(touched 3.1 in running) but clearly needed it and just dropped out near the end(DT-15pts)

Monthly Total-56.25pts

Running Total+5650.78pts

8th November

140 Southwell-Inoogoo makes its debut for Brian Ellison and if he works his magic on the horse then it will be a tough opponent,however the market is taking no chances by putting it in around 2/1.

Toby Lerone may improve on its 2nd start over fences but it needs to while Chestnut Ben is very consistent and respected.Its fine on soft ground and has form over this trip on good ground but this weak finisher will surely be vulnerable in these conditions.Its also 0w-3p-8r in this class of race.

I feel the value here is Trojans Sun,It returns from an absence but its ran well fresh before,its trainer is in fine form for a small stable(6w-7p-26r in the last 28 days)

Its 1/1 over this course and distance,2w-3p-7r on soft ground and 2w-3p-6r over this trip.

Back Trojan Sun 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-2nd(-10pts)

Accept 4.3

8.0 Wolverhampton-One way or another is the obvious starting point here after returning to form last time and is clear top rated on that.However its price is the same as my tissue price of 2/1

Harvest Mist is consistent and progressive on the All weather(Form Figures over 7f in class 6 races at Wolves 1st-2nd-1st) and must go well again.

Prigsnov Dancer normally runs best at a slightly lower level than this but is unexposed over 7f and put up its best rating last over it.

Loyal and Trusted has a tricky draw but isnt out of it.

Clumber Place ran well last time on its favoured soft ground,however this horse is very inconsistent and the 2 times its ran on the all weather it ran over 20Ibs below its mark.It shouldnt be 2nd fav in this race and has to be taken on.

Lay Clumber Place 30pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)

*Cancel or Trade out if One Way or Another,Harvest Mist or Prigsnov Dancer dont run*

6th November

730 Kempton-Its possible that the improving 3yo Horsted Keynes will improve past Chookie Royale but on pure ratings,its a very short price.The selection itself is in the form of its life right now.Its own ratings show an upwards progression and particularly so on Polytrack(4w-1p-5)(Kempton1w-1p-2r),this horse is 2/2 when racing in November and the jockey is 8/31 when riding for the yard.Its a big price.

Apostle won last time on its first visit to this track but will need to progress again to take this while Regal Dan is a consistent horse but has to prove itself on polytrack.

Ocean Legend is an 8 time winner here but normally plys it trade at a lower level than this(Class 3 races 0w-2p-9r)

Back Chookie Royale 7pts at 7.5 at William Hill-2nd(-7pts)Things just not falling our way at the moment.Beat the book easily and beat the fav easily,However got nailed near the line by a 16/1 shot.

Accept 6.5

230 Nottingham-Breton Rock looks to have strong claims here.Clear top rated and fine on the soft ground.Its 3w-2p-6r in this class of race and 2w-1p-3r in fields of 9 or less.

Fullbright would have a decent chance on last seasons best form but hasnt come anywhere near that for over a year now.

Graphic is a progressive horse from a good stable but has a question mark on the ground although the sire did go on it.

Beaumonts Party will have no problem on the ground but its ratings are far superior at 10furlongs rather than todays mile.

Back Breton Rock 23pts at 3.0 on Betfair-2nd(-23pts)Graphic is clearly progressing fast and despite Breton Rock looking a danger 2 out.It left it for dead.(DT-30pts)

Monthly Total-31.25pts

Running Total+5675.78pts

5th November

350 Exeter-Emma Lavelle`s horses are in great form (9w-8p-28r in the last 28 days) and if the fences dont get in the way then Kind of Easy should run well.This horse seems to completely miss at least 1 fence every time it runs but as its only had 5 runs over these obstacles,hopefully it will improve its fencing.Granted a reasonable round,it has a very good chance on my ratings.I have it around the 9/4 mark.

Well Hello There looks a dodgy favourite to me.It fell last time behind a horse that got well beaten on Saturday.Jonjo O`Neills horses have been running very well but this needs to improve 10Ibs on my ratings.

Gas Line Boy has only had 1 run over fences and needs to improve to take this but that isnt impossible.

Rydalis is a course and distance winner but has never done anything after an absence of this long.Its best form is also on much softer ground than this.

Back Kind Of Easy 11pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Boyles-UP(-11pts)Poor jumping meant this horse had no chance.Hindsight I know but I knew the overnight fav,Well Hello There was very vulnerable but after a couple of reverses,Ive got out of the habit of putting up lays.I need to get back to what Ive always done!

4th November

555 Wolverhampton-Amantius looks pretty solid here.This horses ratings show a consistent upward curve plus its unexposed around here and over this trip(a 1st and 2nd, over this trip at this track).It should be around the 6/4 mark.

Goodlukin Lucy is the main danger after a good run last time but doesnt have the upside of the selection.

Back Amantius 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(1 non runner +33.75)Well backed and hosed up

Accept 3.25

Monthly Total+9.75pts

Running Total+5716.78pts

3rd November

No selections

2nd November

2.0 Ayr-This is wide open and Shoal Bay Dreamer looks a big price.This horse looks very in and out but its best 2 ratings have been achieved first time out in the last 2 seasons.This horse returns after 262 days off and runs off a feather weight,which is another plus(When carrying 10st 08Ib or more its 0w-0p-11r).Its just 1Ib above its last winning rating and the jockey is 3/9 for the yard.The more rain the better.

Spitfire Ace and Ballycool are both unexposed over fences and could have more to come but both have queries on very soft ground.

If Alexandra Oats is ready to go after its absence then it could run well.

Back Shoal Bay Dreamer 5pts at 15.0 at Bet365-2nd(-5pts)Halved in price and ran well.

Accept 8.0

310 Ayr-Big Water should run well,1/1 at the track and 2w-1p-3r when returning to the track within 28 days.Its the right price though.

Cool Baranca likes this track(2w-1p-4r) and a recent run(7days or less 3w-1p-6r) but it needs to find a few pounds on my ratings.

Call Box looks a bit of value here as an inform,race fit animal.It drops back in trip to 2miles,which looks an interesting move especially on very soft ground.If the horse is there 3 out then its stamina could bring it home.

Back Call Box 7pts 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)The fact the stablemate of the selection won this race sums up the last week or so.Probably pulled too hard early on and fell in a hole 3 out rather than getting stronger.(DT-12pts)

Accept 7.5

Monthly Total-24pts

Running Total+5683.03pts

1st November

150 Uttoxeter-Another Flutters win record has to be a concern(1/24) but its sheer consistency stands out here in a seriously weak race.It ran a fine race last time over fences and back over hurdles(still unexposed over 2miles on soft in both codes) and down in grade to a class 5,it looks to hold a sound chance.

Only 4 horses in this have managed a win of any kind.Oriental Cat has a chance on 1 run last season but its trainer is 0wins-0places with her last 16 runners.

Wintered Well wasnt a bad bumper horse but hasnt done much over hurdles and has no form on soft ground.

Possibly the main danger is Blake Dean,who was backed into favouritism on its stable debut last time but ran poorly.It does have a rating over the distance and ground that would give it every chance

Back Another Flutter 12pts at 4.0-Fell(-12pts)Very weak in the betting and took a bad fall 4 out.

Accept 3.5

625 Wolverhampton-Let me In is a solid fav and should go well but im not sure there should be such a gap between its price and that of Polar Forest,who has been consistent of late and particularly so over this 9furlong trip(2nd-2nd-3rd-2nd).From a decent draw,it should be bang there.

My Claire is the other that holds claims but its the right price.

Back Polar Forest 9pts at 5.3-Wasnt Matched