31st December

210 Warwick-If this meeting goes ahead then Paddy The Oscar has a decent chance in this staying handicap.

It returned to form last time behind an unexposed winner and that rating means it should be the market leader here.

Leith Hill Legasi is a very vulnerable favourite in my view.Its up in class and races off a 14Ib higher mark than last time out.

Although conditions are fine for it,its actually 22Ibs worse off with the selection when it was beaten 22 lengths by Paddy The Oscar last season.

Morney Wing won yesterday but is surely unlikely to take in 2 long slogs in such a short space of time.

Emma Soda is 2 from 3 here but returns from a break while Loughalder is another goes well here and drops in class,it could go well.

Back Paddy The Oscar 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Ladbrokes-Won(+36pts)

Lay Leith Hill Legasi 20pts at 4.5(lay upto 5.0)-UP(+19pts)

230 Lingfield-The unexposed/improving Dougan stands out for me here.

Although im a little concerned about the jockey,she has been riding plenty of winners and this horse should take a bit of beating.

In each of its 4 runs,its rating has jumped forward and if it can settle a little better than last time then it should win.

Crack Shot makes its debut for James Tate and there has been some early money for it.

Adam Kirby takes the ride and he has a 36% strike rate for the yard.

Corporal Maddox has been in great form and shouldnt be far away.

Back Dougan 15pts at 3.5-Won(+37.5pts)(DT+92.5pts)Tremendous end to the year!

Monthly Total+148.5pts

Running Total+8451.95pts

30th December

230 Haydock-Elenika was an easy winner last time,posting the clear best rating here in the process and really should be clear favourite for me.

Trip and conditions are ideal and it should go close.

Minella Reception is unexposed over fences but this will be a tough test after a break of nearly 500 days off.

I doubt it will want for fitness but is 0w-1p-4r after absences of longer than 121 days.

Friendly Royal is the danger,with its consistent profile and fine trainer/jockey combination(24%)

Back Elenika 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies-3rd(-16pts)Real laboured performance.Never really involved but couldnt give the winner much chance at all.

1220 Haydock-This looks a decent opportunity for Ballywilliam,who makes its handicap debut from a decent mark.Its the right favourite.

Bruce Almighty has been consistent but moves up in class here and needs to find some improvement on my figures.

Rock Relief is inconsistent but ran a fine race last time over a little shorter and if building on it ,would go close.

American Life has shown little so far this season but rattled off a quick soft ground hat trick of victories last year.

Its back on its last winning mark and cant have the ground soft enough.

Lay Bruce Almighty 20pts at 3.75(lay upto 4.5)-UP(+19pts)American Life hosed up!(DT+3pts)

Monthly Total+56pts

Running Total+8359.45pts

29th December

310 Newbury-Its fairly exposed and one of the lighter raced ones could improve past it but Shotavodka is a silly price here.

It ran a fair race last time over fences,in a higher grade,to back up an encouraging first run of the season over hurdles.

Both of those ratings make it pretty competitve here and its profile backs up its chance.

Its 3 runs at this track have resulted in a 3rd-1st-3rd,in fields of 9 or less its 5w-3p-10r and is 5w-4p-14r when returning to the track within 31 days like today.

One Track Mind ran well on its reappearance and would go close on last seasons best.

Lower Hope Dandy is difficult to assess but the trainer doesnt do that well here(7% strike rate) while Chieftains Choice is a bigger price than I have it.

Back Shotavodka 6pts at 10,0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Totally got it wrong

1200 Doncaster-The worry is that Pixiepot travels well and doesnt find a lot,therefore it places a lot but its ratings means its chance is better than the odds suggest here.

The better ground may allow it to stay on the bridle longer and if it does then its a big runner.

Catherines Well is the main danger as its improving and hails from an in form yard.

Donnas Pride is down in class and has chances but the trainer is 0 from 16 in handicap hurdles here in the last 2 years.

Angel Face makes its handicap debut but with a claimer booked,the trainer possibly doesnt think its well handicapped,my ratings back that up.

Back Pixiepot 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys-UP(-8pts)Lifeless performance after so many consistent efforts.

110 Doncaster-Its surprising to see The Grey Taylor as favourite here.It has only had just 2 runs over fences so could improve but will need too.

Baltimore Rock was a good hurdler and makes its chase debut straight into a handicap.

It will need to be at least as good over the bigger obstacles to take this.

Long Lunch is improving but has struggled so far,to win in this grade(0/6).

I like Katachenko,who is still unexposed over fences and heads my figures on both its runs this season,its 3w-2p-7r in fields of 9 or less.

Its a 9/4 chance for me.

Back Katachenko 9pts at 5.5 at bet365-2nd(-9pts)Ran a fine race but Baltimore Rock looked a good recruit.(DT-23pts)

28th December

200 Leicester-Noble Legend returned to form last time and would have solid chances if that run can be repeated,however it has been pretty inconsistent the last 2 years and is 0w-2p-6r going right handed.

Great Link is 0w-2p-7r over 2m4 and has posted its best rating at shorter and on better ground than this,it may be vulnerable late on.

Moorlands Jack looks better on good ground and this is also a rise in class.

The value has to be The Italian Yob for a yard that his flying at present.

Its 2 runs this year give it every chance ,its 2 from 3 in December,the trainer is 4 from 9 at this track and the stallion has a 28% strike rate at this track.

Back The Italian Yob 8pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/WilliamHill(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)

245 Catterick-Truckers Highway is improving but im shocked that Nautical Twilight isnt favourite.

Its latest run when dropped back to 2 miles was the best of its 3 runs over fences and has to be the one to beat here.

The speed figure backs up that run and I expect this horse to shorten in its odds a lot.

Difficult to see anything else being involved if the main two run their race.

Back Nautical Twilight 13pts at 4.0 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-Won(+39pts)Different class to these.(DT+31pts)

Monthly Total+76pts

Running Total+8379.45pts

27th December

200 Kempton-Sprinter Sacre is top rated on its easy comeback win and is the most likely winner of this race but the gap in prices between it and Sire De Grugy is too big in my opinion.

The latter came back to form last time,is 2 from 2 at this track and the more rain that falls,the better its chance becomes.

Its difficult to see what else could be invovled although Somersby is a bit big at 18/1.

Back Sire De Grugy 10pts at 5.0 at Sportingbet/Ladbrokes(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Looked to have it won and touched 1.02 in running but hit the last and couldnt rally.

140 Chelmsford-Sinaker has questions to answer after running a shocker last time out and it has no experience of the track.

Belrog continues to thrive and clearly loves it here.Its progression may not have stopped yet but its pretty short and this is a rise in class.

Aumerie won last time over course and distance but is another thats up in class while Kellys Finest finally broke its duck last time but was all out to do so and will need more here.

The value is Noguchi,who has excuses for its 2 latest defeats(last time trip too short and time before up in class)

Its run 3 starts back around here,gives it every chance and it has 2 course victories to its name.

Its 6w-3p-22r in fields of 7 or less and has 5 wins to its name when returning to the track within 30 days like today.

Back Noguchi 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-UP(-7pts)Halved in price but wasnt good enough.(DT-17pts)

26th December

1235 Wetherby-After showing very little on its first 2 chase starts under rules,Under The Red Sky produced much more last time in the face of a difficult task,over 2 miles.

That bare rating taken at face value gives it a fair shout and it now makes its handicap debut at a much more suitable trip.

It could have been flattered but the topspeed figure wasnt bad either,at the prices it has to be supported.

Longueville Flier and Oscar Lateen head the dangers.

Back Under The Red Sky 3pts at 17.0 at various bookies(Meeting abandoned)

1225 Market Rasen-With its inconsistent profile and a poor win record(1/37 over hurdles),Gud Day has to be taken on.

Its a double figure price in my tissue & im struggling to see why it should be near the front of the market.

My Lord is consistent and heads the ratings,this is a drop in class on just its 3rd start for Jim Best(28% with his hurdlers here)

Lean Burn is pretty solid and should be thereabouts while Kings Road could have been laid out for this.

It won this race last year and the trainer also won it the year before.

Its got form figures around this course and distance of 2-P-1-5-1-2 and is 4w-1p-8r in this grade.

Lay Gud Day 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-3rd(+9pts Only partially matched)

245 Market Rasen-Although it finished last of six last time out,Ublatique travelled strongly into the race and maybe this sharper,easier track will help it finish its race.

This is pretty weak with question marks over everything and off a mark 3Ibs lower than its last winning mark,its handicapped to go close.

Chestnut Ben won this race last year after an absence,so it was a pretty poor run first time out this year.It would have a strong chance based on last years run but this ground will be soft enough.

Grimley Girl is unexposed over fences and won here over hurdles,its probably the main danger.

Chankillo has been in decent form but drops in trip and wont like the ground.Its got a career record of 2 from 44.

Back Ubaltique 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.5)-3rd(-9pts)Very disappointing horse.Wont be supporting again.

320 Market Rasen-This will be the 3rd start for Touch Back under Chris Bealby and the trainer appears to be coaxing some decent form out of the horse.

Its latest run is the best in on my figures and now races off its last winning mark,the drop in trip should be fine and its 3w-2p-9r in this class.

The recent win record is a worry but the price is big enough to get involved with the jockey having ridden 4 winners from 10 rides for this yard.

The very unexposed Itsnowcato is the one im worried about.It was carried out on its handicap debut and this is only its fourth career start.

Spice Fair posted a fair rating last time out but ive got it a slightly better horse back at a 2 miles trip.

Back Touch Back 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Halved in price but the trip looked too sharp.Stayed on up the straight.

310 Kempton-A great race and one in which Vautour looks seriously under priced.

A different jockey/trainer combination would see it trading at a much bigger price in my view.Its reappearance run leaves it with a fair bit to find and with a stamina doubt thrown in,I cant have it at the prices.

Don Cossack is a fair favourite and is the one to beat,its around the right price however but Cue Card represents fair value here.

Its latest run matched its career best rating and it should have won this 2 years ago,the jockey is 6 from 19 for the yard.

Smad Place produced a fine performance last time in a big handicap race.It now moves into graded company and wont be far away if repeating that latest run.

Silviniaco Conti has won this the last 2 years and represents a yard that have won this race incredibly,7 of the last 9 years.

It doesnt seem quite the horse it was but has never finished out of the frame around this track.

Back Cue Card 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+45pts Paid out BOG)

Lay Vautour 20pts at 4.5-2nd(+19pts)Called this horse wrong but got away with it.

115 Sedgefield-Gin Cobbler can be a bit in and out but it produced a good effort last time in a higher grade and could make them all go,if bouncing out in front.

Its back to its last winning mark and is a pretty silly price.

Mandy`s Boy has only had 2 starts over fences and drops in class here after running well last time out.

The first time tongue tie presumably helped that day and is retained here.

On The Case ran well last time out on its seasonal debut and is a fair favourite but is a tight enough price for me.

Theflyingportrait is unexposed but is very inconsistent.Although this is a drop in class,the yard have been struggling all season.

Back Gin Cobbler 4pts at 13.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 10.0)

Back Mandy`s Boy 5pts at 10.0 at Totesport/Betfred(Both Non Runners)

230 Sedgefield-Tiny Dancer was off for 18 months and in that time changed yards.its 2 runs for its new stables have both been over a trip I feel,is too far.

Its now back to a distance where it should be able to return to its best.

Its 1 from 1 around this course and distance,is now 6Ibs below its last winning mark and also gets a good 5Ib claimer onboard for the first time.

Im struggling to see why Shrapnel is available at 4/1,its 16/1 chance for me but it is well enough handicapped if it did decide to put its best foot forward.

Down Time has its 2nd start for Brian Ellison but will need to step up a lot on what it done on its first run for the yard.

Lord Usher looks a bigger danger after a decent run on its first start over fences while Uno Valoroso drops in class but has a question mark over this trip.

Back Tiny Dancer 12pts at 4.5-4th(-12pts)Ground looked unraceable but this horse never got competitive.(DT+46pts)
Monthly Total+62pts
Running Total+8365.45pts

21st December

710 Wolves-Hickster is solid and must run well but the price is right.

Buckland Beau has been running well but mainly elsewhere while Hercullian Prince likes it here but moves up in trip.

Walk Like A Giant at its best,would be a big runner but will need more than its rating posted last time over course and distance.

Off The Pulse was below par last time but that was from a wide draw.

On its run 2 starts back,it has a better chance than the odds suggest and it drops back into this grade for the first time since 2013.

Its 5Ibs below its last winning mark and is 5w-2p-17r when returning to the track within 30 days.

From a perfect draw,it would be no surprise if the money came.

Back Off The Pulse 6pts at 8.5-3rd(-6pts)Given every chance and ran well but just wasnt quite good enough.

19th December

1255 Haydock-So many unexposed horses here but the solid,consistent Smart Talk is a surprisingly big price.

This horse has shown progressive form and although more exposed than the rest of the field,it does have 10Ibs on my figures, in hand of the rest of the field.

Any of the lightly raced mares could improve past it but at the prices,it has to be backed.

Back Smart Talk 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-Won(+42pts)Halved in price and won easily.

315 Haydock-Major Ivan made an encouraging handicap debut last time and may improve for this slight drop in trip after travelling so well last time.

The trainer has won with 3 of his last 6 runners and this horse should run well.

Isaacstown Lad fell early on in its quest for a four timer,last time out but was improving fast prior to that and is the obvious danger.

Oscar Blue is another improver but very heavy ground is a bit of an unknown while Ugly Bug returned to form last but this is a rise in class.

Back Major Ivan 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-UP(-10pts)

1215 Newcastle-Askamore Darsi posted a good rating when winning over trip and ground and that puts it bang there here.

Imperial Leader came down on its chase debut its position in the market suggested a big run was expected.

Alto Des Mottes has been running well and the trainer has a 25% strike rate with his chasers here.

The Orange Rogue is 0 from 11 in its career and places far too often when a winning opportunity presents itself,its ratings so far in its 6 race chase career need to be improved upon to win this.

Lay The Orange Rogue 20pts at 5.0(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+19pts)(DT+53pts)

Monthly Total+22pts

Running Total+8325.45pts

17th December

110 Towcester-There a couple of good rivals against it but Market Option shouldnt be the price it is.

It produced a good run last time on very soft ground and would have a sound chance on that.

The horse is 1Ib below its last winning mark and the yard have been in fine form for a while.

Smart Exit has put together two good runs this season,will have no problems with trip,track and ground but is now 12Ibs above its last winning mark.

Newton Thistle is 11Ibs above its last winning mark but has form figures at this track of 2-1-2-1-P-1,it has to respected on that.

Back Market Option 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-Fell(-8pts)Came down early on.

330 Southwell-Theres been a bit of money for Serenity Now and I can see why.

Its latest rating over slighty further on this track,gives it a solid chance and it will probably be better back at this trip where its form figures at this track read 1st-3rd-1st-2nd.

Its 5w-7p-22r when returning to the track within 30 days(9 days todays) and the jockey is 3 from 10 for the yard.

Countermand could be better than these as it romped home in its maiden here last time but that bare rating wouldnt win this and topspeed figure was poor.

However the yard have a 38% strike rate in handicaps here and it has to be a danger.

Gabriel The Hero goes well in this grade(2w-2p-6r) but hasnt raced here before and that is always a worry.

Royal Marskell is the other I give a chance too,its been doing little but loves this track and would have a chance if repeating its last run here.

Back Serenity Now 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)This horse hasnt run its race at all to continue the poor run.(DT-20pts)
Monthly Total-31pts

Running Total+8272.45pts

15th December

100 Southwell-Since encountering the fibresand surface here at Southwell,Tiger`s Home form has gone up a level and its finished 1st-1st-2nd in its 3 starts at this track.

The latest run saw it pull clear with a fibresand specialist with 5 lengths back to the third,a repeat of that run/rating would see it going very close here.

The trainer has a 29% strike rate here in the last 2 years.

Capelita makes its debut for Mick Appleby,encounters this surface for the first time and moves up in trip.

It needs to improve for these things to win this.

What Could She Be and Noblest come here after winning their maidens last time out at this track.Both performances need improvement to take this if the selection runs its race.

Back Tiger`s Home 16pts at 3.25 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-16pts)Unfortunately Capelita was a different horse to what we had seen before.

13th December

225 Southwell-Unless Ruby Rambler makes a big step forward for moving into handicap company then this looks a good opportunity for Western Breeze.

This horse has only had 4 starts over hurdles and is 1 from 1 at this track.Its latest rating puts it well clear here and I would expect it to try and make all.

Carinena is another to move into handicap company for the first time but is up in class and may want the ground a bit quicker.

Cool Baranca ran well last time but is very exposed and this ground should be too slow for it.

Back Western Breeze 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies-2nd(-18pts)Just bumped into a big improver.

12th December

110 Lingfield-This ground will be tough going,so we need a horse that is certain to go on it and Winston Churchill fits the bill here.

This horse has raced 4 times on heavy ground and finished 1st-1st-1st-2nd.

Its 3w-2p-7r over this trip and 3w-1p-7r in fields of 7 or less(Compared to 0w-5p-16r in fields of 8 or more) and is 2w-2p-6r in this grade.

Its very difficult to see it not being involved.

Alder Mairi is a fair danger and could still be improving over fences after a good win last time,however it is 0w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 30 days.(23 days today)

Kings Cross drops in class and will handle the ground,its still unexposed but is a tight enough price.

Oscar Magic hasnt had many starts over fences but needs to find at least 10Ibs of improvement on my figures,to get involved here.

Back Winston Churchill 12pts at 4.5 at paddys-UP(-12pts)

145 Lingfield-Baron Alco is the obvious starting point after winning its last two starts,the yard are going well and it should run well but it is up in trip and at the prices,its too short in my view.

Take it on with Crookstown,who has been mixing hurdling and chasing the last 2 seasons and ran a fine race back over hurdles last time,finishing behind a horse that has gone on to win since.

That performance tops my ratings and is the value here.

The horse is 3w-3p-9r when returning to the track within 30 days(14 here)

Gevrey Chamberlain has the ability to win this but is wildly inconsistent.

Trainer David Pipe has 2 runners at Doncaster but the stable jockey comes here instead,it would be no surprise if the money came.

Back Crookstown 10pts at 5.0 at Corals-UP(-10pts)Both winners make sense but neither selection have run their race unfortunately.(DT-22pts)

11th December

1140 Doncaster-Im surprised at the price of Little Windmill here.

It ran a decent race on its first go over fences last time and has to be a shorter price than it is,based on that rating.

The jockey is 6 from 29 when riding for this small yard.

Waltz Darling is the obvious favourite,it drops in class and is 2/2 during December but all its 4 chase starts suggest it can be beaten.

Cerrnunnos cant win this on whats it done so far but it always seems to be well supported,so its more than likely capable of a lot better.

Lord Wishes can be a bit in and out but would have a fair chance on its best hurdles ratings,however,its not come within 12Ibs of that over fences so far.

Dr Moloney is slightly overpriced and if running to its best ratings(Over further) then it wouldnt be without a chance.

Back Little Windmill 6pts at 10.0 at Boyles/Paddys/Betway(Accept 6.0) -Fell(-6pts)Still in with every chance when it came down coming into the straight.The way the riderless horse stayed on(minus jockey admittedly) suggested it wouldnt have been far away.Worth another chance I think.

10th December

1250 Newcastle-Ballycool is the obvious fav,it has the best recent form and the yard are going well but its creeping up the weights and I just feel this horse can be beaten and looks a fav to take on.

Nautical Twilight has only had 2 runs over fences and would have chances on its run 2 starts back but this horse is very inconsistent and looks best at Sedgefield.

Trust Thomas tends to struggle when its handicap rating goes over 111(115 today) while Pamak D`Airy has 4 course wins to its name and won this race last year.

It ran over a trip too far on its seasonal debut and i would expect better here but its around the same price I have it.

There are reasons to believe Ubaltique could outrun its odds.

It was pulled up on its first run this season but its record when away from the track for over 121 days is 0w-0p-5r,so it obviously needs a run to put it straight after a break.

It drops in grade(Class 4 2w-1p-6r) and this is its time of year(December/January 3w-2p-7r)

Perhaps most interesting of all is its record when carrying 11st12 or more(2w-2p-4r) which suggests its at its best when giving weight away to inferior opponents.

On its best runs last season,it would win this.

Back Ubaltique 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)

230 Warwick-Cyclop was a well backed favourite when coming down at the last fence,in a race it was winning easily.

This looks more competitive but from a handicapping perspective,it looks chucked in here if it can repeat that run.

Denali Highway was a well backed horse last time on its first run for 18 months but could only manage 2nd,it may regress on its 2nd start back.

Ballyrath has only had 1 run over fences and gets a visor fitted,any improvement could see it get involved.

Back Cyclop 16pts at 3.25(Already advised)-Won(+36pts)Hosed up!(DT+29pts)

Monthly Total+51pts

Running Total+8352.45pts

9th December

8th December

120 Uttoxeter-Verano is respected back in trip and at a track where its 1/1 but on whats its done,ratings wise then its a tight price.

Itshard To No comes from a yard in form and isnt out of it but is around the right price.

For Good Measure makes its handicap debut and hails from a big yard,on what its done,its isnt thrown in here and went off at 100/1 last time out.

Beau Lake has a good profile,2w-1p-5r during December...5w-0p-10r in fields of 9 or less and 6w-2p-13r when returning to the track within 28 days,however its best ratings still leave it a little short here.

The one I like at a price is Moidore,who ran a nice race on its first start for 6 months.

Its best runs on the flat were on soft ground and as of yet,it hasnt encountered that surface in 7 runs over hurdles.

The horse it ran behind last time has come out and won again and this is a drop in class.

Back Moidore 6pts at 9.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)Considering the market support(8/1 into 7/2) this was a seriously flat run.

340 Fontwell-This is pretty weak and it looks a decent opportunity for Lady From Geneva to follow up its last time out victory.

This horse has been in consistent form since coming back from a break and if backing up either of its 2 latest starts,will take a bit of beating here.

Shalianzi is course and distance winner and 2 from 5 in this grade but im not sure it wants this ground and its recent runs have been poor.

Uranox will need more than its latest start while Diamond Life ran poorly after a long absence but if the money came,i would be a little concerned as this wont take much winning.

Back Lady From Geneva 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies(3.5 at Betfair sportsbook if you can get on with them) -2nd(-15pts)Ran well but is clearly very beatable.(DT-21pts)

7th December

115 Musselburgh-Horses like Royal Macnab and Better B Quick could be dangerous if they bounced back to form but other than that,this looks to concern 3 horses.

Indian Temple made an encouraging stable debut last time behind an in form rival and drops in grade here.

This horse has only had 6 starts over fences and meets a host of mainly exposed rivals.

Quito Du Tresor has got 3 course and distance wins to its name but at 2/1 ,its fairly short for a horse that ideally wants good ground.

Endeavour is another that goes well here but also appears to want better ground than it will encounter here.

There has been some early money for Art Lord,its been showing little but would have a big chance on some of its 2013 form.

Back Indian Temple 10pts at 5.0 Bet365/betvictor(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-10pts)Ran well but Royal Macnab won convincingly.

200 Lingfield-This looks a decent opportunity for Aleator and im surprised it isnt favourite.

Its been steadily progressive and finished a good second behind an improving type last time.

The trainer has a 35% strike rate with his handicappers here and the jockey/trainer combination is 25%.

Super Kid heads the market but although very consistent, appears to be quite one paced ,as a career record of 1 from 11 suggests.

I would have their prices the other way round.

The possible fly in the ointment is Taysh,who showed progressive form in 3 starts for John Gosden.

It now makes its debut for the Mick Appleby(Stable jockey rides elsewhere) yard after a break of over 200 days and it remains to be seen how it goes in the market.

Back Aleator 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.75)-5th(-12pts)Backed into 7/4 but ran poorly.(DT-22pts)

440 Chelmsford-Thermal Column is respected,as its clearly in great form and maybe capable of better but on value grounds,its a tight price.

So far it looks to be a 3 to 4Ibs better horse at Wolverhampton rather than here and id like to take it on.

Chefchaouen hasnt won yet but has been knocking on the door of late.

Its run over course and distance two starts back is the best rating I have in this race and Jamie Spencer takes over from a lady jockey.

As usual Spencer will either be brilliant or drive you mad,lets hope its the former.

Power Up deserves to be supported,although not at its best on its two latest starts,its best ratings have been at this track and a repeat of its run over course and distance in September,would see it very competitive and Oisin Murphy is a good booking.

Back Chefchaouen 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/bet365-UP & Power Up 4pts at 13.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+40pts)Both well backed but the bigger price won.(DT+18pts)

Monthly Total+43pts

Running Total+8344.45pts

6th December

No Selections

5th December

130 Wetherby-This is quite a tight race but Yorkist appeals as the value.

Its just starting to come down the weights and also gets a decent young jockey taking off another 7Ibs.

Conditions are ideal for it and its 5w-4p-13r when returning to the track within 30 days.

Indian Voyage is on a roll and has 2 course wins to its name,its got a decent chance but is the right price.

Grey Life is another that looks sure to be involved,it ran well on its reapearance and trip and ground are fine.

Back Yorkist 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.5)-4th(-8pts)Very one paced when it mattered.

715 Wolves-Cavalieri looks to be an in and out performer but has a 1st.2nd and 3rd to its name on this track.

Its not fully exposed at this trip and a repeat of its latest course and distance win would see it go close.

Tempuran looks the main danger.

Back Cavalieri 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.5)-4th(-12pts)Hammered into 6/4 but let the leaders get first run and couldnt peg them back.(DT-20pts)

4th December

130 Sandown-Quite a few here with questions to answer but not Artifice Sivola,who has been posting consistent ratings for a while now.

Its latest run behind a course specialist at Ludlow puts it top of my ratings and a repeat of that run would see it going very close here.

The trainer is 3 from 11 with her handicap chasers at this track.

De Faoithesdream looks the main danger after a good win last time and has spent a lot of its career in a higher grade.

Back Artifice Sivola 7pts at 6.5 at Stan James(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Well backed but didnt jump well enough and did really well to even finish third

Monthly Total+45pts

Running Total+8346.45pts

3rd December

220 Market Rasen-The Geegeez Geegee heads the market and although I respect its chance and the trainer,I can see Pixiepot shortening up to a much shorter price than it is currently.

The selection has been slowly improving and is 6Ibs clear on my figures with conditions to suit.

It won its bumper here and the jockey/trainer combination won on a similar type yesterday.

Falcarragh normally races in a better grade than this and has Richard Johnson onboard but I doubt it wants the ground this soft.

Palm Grey has a chance on its win last season but is 7Ibs higher here and isnt proven on ground as testing as this.

Back Pixiepot 15pts at 3.75(already advised)-2nd(-15pts)Thought the jockey should have kicked it on 3 out but instead he sat there and eventually outstayed.Very disappointing.

2nd December

310 Ludlow-Surprised that Duke`s Affair isnt clear favourite here.This horse is on a roll and produced its best career rating & speed figure last time when encountering soft ground for the first time.

Although this is a rise in grade,it looks a progressive horse and a repeat of last times rating would see it going very close.

Minellacelebration is the obvious danger.This horse won nicely on its handicap debut last time and will have no problem with the conditions but that run will need to be bettered if the selection runs its race and I feel it really had the run of the race last time out and things may not pan out quite so well here.

Fred Le Macon is 0 from 19 and clearly very beatable while Mr Bachster makes its first appearance over hurdles since 2013 although the yard do well here.

Back Dukes Affair 13pts at 3.75 at Boylesports(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-13pts)No idea how this lost.Tanked through the whole race and should have won.

405 Kempton-Roys Legacy has no great record fresh so it was encouraging to see it run so well after 5 months off when finishing a close second over this trip at Wolverhampton.

You would expect it to benefit from that outing and its very nicely handicapped these days(15Ibs lower than its highest winning mark on the all weather)

The return to this track should suit as its 3w-2p-7r over this course and distance but that becomes 2/2 if you take just the runs in this grade(Class 6)

Perfect Words beat the selection last time but has got the widest stall to contend with and it has never raced here.

Quantum Dot goes well here but even this grade is a rise in class from the banded races its been winning while Prominna looks much better on grass than an all weather surface(0w-0p-7r on AW)

Back Roys Legacy 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-Won(+56pts *Paid BOG)Fine ride and a nice drift in the market.

250 Catterick-Doubts about so many here including the favourite Cyrien Star whos very much an all or nothing animal.

It won at shorter than this on its seasonal debut and is the one to beat on that but on my figures,its at least an 8Ib worse horse over this trip.

It does however have a good record at this time of year(Oct-Dec 4w-0p-9r) but with the trainers horses pretty in and out at the moment,it couldnt be relied upon to repeat that last run.

ValleyofMilan drops in class and is nicely handicapped but doesnt want the ground this soft and is 0w-0p-10r between the months of September and January.

Playing the Field holds chances on last seasons runs over this trip but this is a rise in class and its 0w-1p-7r on sharp tracks like this.

The one I like is Shinooki,who returns from an absence but the trainers horse are running well currently and this horse will love the conditions.

Its 2w-0p-3r in fields of 7 or less and is the value call.

Back Shinooki 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies-UP(-6pts)(DT+37pts)

Monthly Total+67pts

Running Total+8368.45pts

1st December

100 Lingfield-Bredon Hill Lad won nicely last time but will be carrying a big weight in very soft ground,added to that a record of 0w-1p-6r when its raced over a distance further than 2m6 and it looks vulnerable.

Halo Moon is a big danger,as its progressing over fences and should appreciate the step up in trip but the trainer is just 7% with his horses here and at 7/4,it can be swerved.

Cheat the Cheater ran right up to its best on its seasonal debut and holds chances on that but it has a career record of just 1 win from 21 starts,which puts me off although I think it will run well.

The one that catches my eye is Line D`Aois.

It made a promising chasing debut last season and holds serious chances on that rating but has gone backwards since.

Interestingly,it was well supported in the market for its first run this season but ran no sort of race.

If the money was right then it may not be the lost cause it appears as that rating from last season stands out here.

It will be fine on the ground.

Back Line D`Aois 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)Too clever for my own good,fav was vulnerable and Cheat the Cheater was the more solid call.

130 Lingfield-Never Says Never won nicely 9 days ago,on just its 2nd start for the Honeyball stable and stands out here on the rating it posted that day.

It escaped a penalty for that and with the young rider claiming 7Ib off,will be receiving lumps of weight from the rest of the field.

Although this is a step up in class,the trainer has a fantastic record of 13/20 when moving a horse up in class that won its last race.

Sirop De Menthe is on a roll and is greatly respected,its won around here and is fine on the ground but will be giving the selection nearly 2 stone,which wont be easy in this ground.

Mr Fitzroy is consistent but beatable while Thunder Sheik is up in class and unproven on the ground.

Back Never Says Never 18pts at 3.0 at Totesport/Betfred -Won(+36pts)Won nicely despite hurdling a bit iffy.DT+30pts)

Running Total+8331.45pts