This horse has raced 4 times on heavy ground and finished 1st-1st-1st-2nd.
Its 3w-2p-7r over this trip and 3w-1p-7r in fields of 7 or less(Compared to 0w-5p-16r in fields of 8 or more) and is 2w-2p-6r in this grade.
Its very difficult to see it not being involved.
Alder Mairi is a fair danger and could still be improving over fences after a good win last time,however it is 0w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 30 days.(23 days today)
Kings Cross drops in class and will handle the ground,its still unexposed but is a tight enough price.
Oscar Magic hasnt had many starts over fences but needs to find at least 10Ibs of improvement on my figures,to get involved here.
Back Winston Churchill 12pts at 4.5 at paddys-UP(-12pts)
145 Lingfield-Baron Alco is the obvious starting point after winning its last two starts,the yard are going well and it should run well but it is up in trip and at the prices,its too short in my view.
Take it on with Crookstown,who has been mixing hurdling and chasing the last 2 seasons and ran a fine race back over hurdles last time,finishing behind a horse that has gone on to win since.
That performance tops my ratings and is the value here.
The horse is 3w-3p-9r when returning to the track within 30 days(14 here)
Gevrey Chamberlain has the ability to win this but is wildly inconsistent.
Trainer David Pipe has 2 runners at Doncaster but the stable jockey comes here instead,it would be no surprise if the money came.
Back Crookstown 10pts at 5.0 at Corals-UP(-10pts)Both winners make sense but neither selection have run their race unfortunately.(DT-22pts)
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