31st December

310 Lingfield-Bosstime is progressive and although not proven around here,looks the one to beat.

What a Dandy is another in fine form and is also on the upgrade while Franco`s Secret has only had the one start in handicap company and should appreciate the step up in trip.

Stormbound will probably run its race but it is 5Ibs above its highest winning mark and is 0 from 5 here.

Lay Stormbound 20pts at 5.0-UP(+20pts)

340 Lingfield-Against a field of exposed performers,it wouldnt be the greatest surprise if handicap debutante Bush Warrior improves past everything.

It returns after a lay off after being gelded and with cheek pieces on and unusually for an all weather race apart from Pharoah Jake(3 wins from 29 starts here) most of the field arent proven here.

In fact the likes of Give Us a Belle,Excellent Aim(Both 0w-0p-4r at Lingfield) and Imjin River(0w-1p-6r) have a lot to prove.

Back Bush Warrior 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-3rd(-12pts)-Very disappointing month to end apart from a couple of months,a pretty ordinary year.Far too many losing months.

Days total minus commission+7pts

Monthly Total-25.25pts

Running Total+7184.29pts

30 December

220 Lingfield-Brocklebank has been in good form but will find this tougher off top weight,down in trip.

I like Rebellious Guest,who has been a bit in and out but a closer look reveals a better chance than the odds suggest.

Its form figures over this course and distance read 4th-4th-1st-1st...It drops down in class to a grade where its 2 from 3.

In fields of 7 or less its 3w-1p-5r and this trainer has a 26% strike rate when bringing a horse back to the track within 7 days.

Beach Bar won its maiden here and is probably the main danger.

Back Rebellious Guest 7pts at 7.5(Already advised)-3rd(-7pts)13/2 into 7/4 and finished 3rd.You couldnt make it up!

130 Taunton-Friendly Society handles soft ground and stays this trip on decent ground but whether it can stay it on this ground is a concern but it looks to hold a class edge on my figures that im hoping it can cruise through the race.Certainly finding dangers isnt easy.

This horse clearly likes to give weight to inferior rivals as a record of 2w-0p-5r when carrying 11st12 or more shows.

Wayne Hutchinson is 2 from 5 for this yard and for me,if it stays the trip properly,it will win.

Cash Injection ran ok last time but is 0w-2p-12r on sharp tracks and 0w-1p-14r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Back Friendly Society 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-UP(-12pts)(DT-19pts)

330 Taunton-Howlongisafoot ran well on its chasing debut and should go close if coping with the step up in trip.

Theatre Queen returns after an absence but really could be capable of a lot more after 2 wins under rules.

At its best ,Days Ahead would go close but it does normally need a run or two after an absence,so Opening Batsman should be the other involved.

Rally ran quite well last time over shorter but It needs to prove it wants this trip and the trainer is just 1 from 37 with his chasers here.

Lay Rally 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)

29th December

135 Newbury-Highland Lodge drops in class but hasnt been at its best this season so far.

It hasnt passed the post first since 2012 and is 0w-0p-3r at this track.It faces some unexposed,improving rivals and is far too short for me.

Knockanrawley and Ziga Boy are both lightly raced and shouldnt be far away while Financial Climate won this race last year.

It disappointed last time but is back on its last winning mark and is 1 from 2 at the trip.

Lay Highland Lodge 20pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.5)-UP(+20pts)

Days total minus commission+19pts

28th December

130 Catterick-Benefit in Kind was well backed when getting off the mark on just its 3rd start over fences and looks to have a decent opportunity here to follow up.

It has the services of top Northern Jockey Brian Hughes and the trainer is 4 from 8 with his horses here.

Romany Ryme improved for the fitting of a visor last time but isnt proven over this far 

Foot the Bill is consistent but exposed.

Back Benefit in Kind 20pts at Paddys-Fell(-20pts)In front when it fell 3 fences from home.Sums it all up at the moment.

Monthly Total-32.25pts

Running Total+7177.29pts

27th December

225 Southwell-Kung Hei Fat Choy came back to form last time over a furlong shorter and appears nicely handicapped off a mark 4Ibs lower than its last win.

Its got 3 wins and 4 2nd places to its name from 13 starts around here and is 3w-2p-10r in December and January.

Its a tight race but it really should be vying for favouritism.

Starfield is 1 from 1 around here and could be another multiple winner at this track for a yard that does so well here but its short enough in the market.

Royal Holiday and Toto Skyllachy arent out of it whil Naoise has to prove itself on the surface.

Back Kung Hei Fat Choy 8pts at 6.0 at bet365/paddys(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)

26th December

105 Wincanton-Quick Decisson has only had the 3 starts over fences and on my figures,is improving.

Its form stands up and the 2m2f trip may just have been a shade too far last time.Back over 2miles on a flat,galloping track,I would expect even better.

This horse won 3 from 4 over hurdles at this track and is 2w-0p-4r in January/December.

Im amazed its not clear favourite.

For some reason,that honour has gone to Un Majeur Aulmes.On its best last season ratings,it would hold a place chance but no more than that.

Malibu Sun needs the ground to dry out while Un Anjou is up in class and is 0w-0p-4r on galloping tracks.

Upepito hasnt shown that much since joining Venitia Williams yard but she has won this race 3 times in the last 7 years,if the money comes then its a threat.

Back Quick Decisson 15pts at 5.5(Accept 3.0)-UP(-15pts)Well backed into 5/2 but went off a million miles an hour and had nothing left.

310 Kempton-You have to respect the trainer although he is 0 from 3 at this track but it appears to me that Champagne Fever has been priced up on what it done over hurdles rather than whats its achieved on its 5 runs over fences.It needs to find a stone of improvement for the step up in trip and thats a big ask.Im happy to take it on.

Silviniaco Conti looks rock solid,top rated,4w-2p-6r around sharp tracks like this and the trainer has won this race 6 times in the last 8 years.

Menorah finished behind it last time but may get closer today on better ground and at a track it loves(Kempton 3w-1p-4r)

I can see Dynaste running well while Al Ferof and Cue Card are other strong runners to take the lay on with.

Lay Champagne Fever 20pts at 6.0-Lost(+20pts)(DT+5pts)

320 Market Rasen-Afficionado just won on its stable debut last time and if reproducing that,will run well while Make me a Fortune is improving but Ourmanmassini reverts back to hurdles after a poor run over fences.On its last attempt over hurdles,it ran very well in a hot event at Cheltenham.It was very well backed that day and clearly thought capable of winning off this mark.Its rating and speed figure back that up and it could be a touch of value.

*No Prices yet*

Back OurmanMassini 7pts at 7.0 or better(9.0)-(-7pts)

1245 Huntingdon-For its sheer consistency,Kings Apollo is the one to beat here.Its no world beater but nor are its rivals and after only just 5 starts over fences,there could still be more to come.

Finding obvious rivals isnt easy but Roseneath is 2 from 3 around here,so may well be the biggest danger.

*No Prices Yet*

Back Kings Apollo 12pts at 4.3 or better-UP(-12pts)Looked like it went far too quick and was beaten down the back straight.(DT-14pts)

210 Towcester-This isnt a bad little race for this track,featuring a few in form horses.

The one that catches my eye is Devenish Island ,who steps up in trip on its handicap debut at a track where it won its bumper.

Its latest rating over shorter suggests this could be a decent opening mark and I can see it being supported and going very close.

Obistar and Kapricorne are the dangers.

*No Prices Yet*

Back Devenish Island 12pts at 3.75-(-12pts)

155 Sedgefield-Since being fitted with a hood,Jukebox Melody has burst to life with 2 emphatic wins.This horse jumps out near or in front and gradually turns the screw on its opponents with a relentless gallop.Despite a rise in the weights for its latest win,it still looks well weighted on my figures.

*No Prices Yet*

Back Jukebox Melody 20pts at 3.0 or better -UP(-20pts)Just too bad to be true(DT-46pts)

Worst Boxing Day ive ever had!

21st December

2.0 Fakenham-This is a decent little race and course specialist Full Ov Beans looks a bit of value to me.

This horse has form figures around here of 1F1U1121 and its possible it could get loose in front.In races where its led,its won 4 from 6.

The 7Ib claimer is 1 from 1 on the horse and it should give us a good run for our money.

My Oh Mount Brown has only the one run over fences and surely has more to come.

Its got a strong profile,10 runners or less 4w-3p-10r and 4 from 6 over this trip.

Billy Twyford is another one unexposed over fences while Southway Star has been in fine form but over further.

Back Full Ov Beans 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-Won(+64pts Paid at BOG)Nice drift to 8/1 and never saw another horse.

Monthly Total+41.75pts

Running Total+7251.29pts

20th December

1245 Ascot-The Tourard Man makes its handicap debut here and on my figures,looks to have got in on a decent mark.

Each run has seen a nice progression in its ratings and its taken to win this probably from Rascal ,who won well last time.

Back The Tourard Man 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Well backed and touched 1.4 in running.Winner was brave in front.

1230 Haydock-Back to Bracka is lightly raced over fences and is very much respected but the yard is struggling at the moment and there appears to be some value elsewhere.

Whispering Harry is also unexposed over fences after just 3 runs and going back left handed should help(4w-0p-10r),its 4w-0p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 4w-2p-12r when retruning after 28 days or less absence from the track.

Greywell Boy also interests me.Its last 2 runs have been over further and the return to 2 miles on very soft ground look ideal(Form Figures of 1st-1st-1st-2nd when encountering that scenario),3w-2p-7r in fields of 9 or less and the trainer is 8 from 27 with his runners at this track.

Back Whispering Harry 6pts at 8.0 at Various bookies(Accept 6.0)-1st and Greywell Boy 7pts at 7.0 at Ladbrokes(Accept 6.0)-3rd(+35pts)

205 Haydock-This is wide open with several holding chances.

Toby Lerone looks vulnerable stepped upto 3 miles(0w-0p-8r over 2m6+) and the majority arent that well handicapped.

So although stepping up markedly in class,im going to risk a bit on Red Admirable.This horse needs to improve a little to win this but thats not impossible after just 2 chase starts and 1 run over this trip,Its totally unexposed under these circumstances.

Back Red Admirable 4pts at 13.0 at various bookies(Accept 10.0)-UP(-4pts)(DT+19pts)

240 Haydock-With a record over hurdles of 4w-4p-9r,Red Ructions Run would look to hold very solid prospects here.A repeat of its run on its seasonal debut over course and distance,would see it tough to beat here.

Taj Badalandabad is unexposed,from a top yard and is easily the biggest danger.

Back Red Ructions Run 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-9pts)Held up miles off the pace.Front runner got away and won easy.

140 Newcastle-If Firth Of Clyde stays the trip then it will probably win this but its a big if in my opinion.

The trainer stated after it won last season that it may stay this trip on an easy track.Newcastle on very soft ground couldnt be regarded as an easy track.

Un Guet Apens is another that looks better at shorter(0w-0p-3r over this trip).

I can see the finish being fought out by Indian Voyage and Edmund,who both hold similar chances but the latter is the bigger price and has to be the selection.

Its 2w-0p-4r record at this track and the trainer being 6 from 20 with her chasers here,add to its chance.

Back Edmund 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Well backed but never quite got into it.(+3pts)

Monthly Total-22.25pts

Running Total+7187.29pts

19th December

No Selections

18th December

250 Exeter-Sun Wild Life ran well on its chasing debut,posting a fine rating and good speed figure.The step up in trip should be fine but what interests me most is this trainer doesnt send many here but is 2 from 4 with his handicap chasers when he does.

Trickaway won on its chase debut and is a big danger while The Happy Warrior has been in consistent form but im not certain about the drop in trip and the trainer is 1 from 41 with his handicap chasers here.

Back Sun Wild Life 8pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes and Paddys(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-8pts)The poor form continues.This horse gave it a good go but never really looked like winning.

17th December

150 Ludlow-May Be Some Time has been gradually finding its form this term and its last run,signalled that it could be ready to hit the form of some of its novice runs last season.

Anything close to them,would see it having a serious chance here and it does have one of the best jockeys in this ladies only race.

Rolling Dough won this race last season and shouldnt be far away in a repeat bid while Grimley Girl has run well since joining this yard and I would be concerned if this horse got a solo on front but if the selection can reach last seasons best then the price is far too big.

Back May Be Some Time 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365/Corals(Accept 7.0)-4th(-6pts)Betting said not today and the ride made sure of it.

16th December

1225 Southwell-Best Tamayuz has been in very good form and is 2w-1p-4r at this track.It looks certain to be involved in the finish.

Arabian Flight also goes well here and represents a jockey/trainer combination that are 9 from 29 in handicaps at this track.

Burnhope was below par last time but that was at Wolverhampton and it hasnt got a decent run to its name there,back here it would have serious chances based on its run over course and distance 2 runs back.

Wotalad has been pretty consistent but is 1 from 23 in its career.Its best Southwell rating doesnt match up to the three mentioned and it looks a vulnerable 2nd fav.

Lay Wotalad 20pts at 5.5-UP(+20pts)Traded at 4.0 after about 100 yards before weakening right out of it.

Days total minus commission+19pts

Monthly Total-11.25

Running Total+7198.29

15th December

145 Plumpton-Itoldyou looks rock solid to run its race here.Its been in very consistent form this season,has a fine 2w-1p-4r record over this trip,the jockey has won twice on it and is back in the saddle after being amateur ridden last time and this is also a drop in class.It should go close.

Theres been early money for Vikekhal,from a yard that have this race twice in the last 3 years.Its 1 from 1 here but was pretty keen in front last time and stamina has to be a concern here.Its 0w-1p-8r in fields of 10 or less like this.

Browns Brook is well handicapped if it fancies it but hasnt so far this season while Ballyvoneen loves it here but this is a better race than it usually contests.

Back Itoldyou 12pts at 4,5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-Fell

255 Plumpton-Xaarcet represents a yard going well but I have no idea what its doing as 2nd favourite.Its a very inconsistent horse,hasnt been in great form over hurdles and showed very little the last time it was over fences.

IntheJungle returns after 646 days off and there has been money for it.Its 3 wins from 4 here and with the support,you have to respect it but its a big ask.

Alright Benny has been in solid form and has 2 wins to its name here.it couldnt dominate last time and didnt like it but interestingly is also,0w-0p-8r when carrying over 11stone like today.The yard won this race last year but have been struggling of late.

For me,the most likely to run its race is The Informant,who ran well behind a subsequent winner last time.

It is 2 from 4 around here,4w-1p-13r in fields of 10 or less and 4w-0p-7r when returning to the track within 21 days and this is the time of year when it tends to start winning(December to May 4w-1p-11r)

Jockey Ryan Mahon is 2 from 2 on the horse at this track.

Back The Informant 12pts at 4.5(Accept 4.0)-Pulled UP(-24pts)Complete waste of time.

14th December

No Selections

13th December

1155 Doncaster-Roc Dapsis is still lightly raced over fences and produced a career best last time,when returning to form around Kempton.

That is the best rating in this race and was backed up by a good topspeed figure.

It does belt the odd fence and it will need to jump around here but given a solid round of jumping,it will go very close.

Robbie goes well here and wont be far away but is off a career high mark now.

Hi George is lightly raced but is 0w-1p-7r in this grade and unseated its rider last time.

Back Roc Dapsis 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts) Didnt jump well enough.

105 Doncaster-Trainer John Quinn has a fine 10 wins from 23 runs record with his hurdlers here in the last 5 years and holds good prospects of improving that record with Kashmir Peak.This horse has only had 8 starts over hurdles and looks to still be improving.Its 1 out of 1 at this track and is 2w-0p-4r in fields of 9 or less like this.

First Mohican makes its handicap debut and is probably the danger.Im no big fan of the jockey but as an unexposed horse,it has to be respected.

Nicky Henderson has won this race twice in the last 3 years,so on that basis,Laudatory is feared but isnt at its best on very soft ground.

Back Kashmir Peak 12pts at 4.5 at Various bookies(Accept 4.0)-Won(+42pts)Given a perfect ride and stayed on well.(DT+30pts)

140 Doncaster-Forgotten Gold appeals to me as the value in a pretty tight race.

It ran well last time,getting close to last seasons best.Is 3w-2p-9 in fields of 9 or less and 2w-2p-5r when retuning to the track within 28 days like today.

Night of Milan won this race last year may well have been teed for a repeat after a couple of quiet runs over hurdles but it probably prefers slight better ground.

Grandads Horse should run well but its trainer is 0 from 18 with his chasers here and that has to be a worry.

Herdsman ran just okay on its seasonal debut but has won second time out for the last 2 seasons,it could be the main danger.

Back Forgotten Gold 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-4th(-10pts)Money came late but was very one paced.(DT+20pts)

325 Domcaster-Quite a few have questions to answer here and there isnt many that can be seriously fancied.

Serenity Now is a fair enough favourite after a good run on its handicap debut last time.If it repeats that effort then it will be tough to beat but I dont see why the gap in prices is so big between it and Light The City,who finished just behind it last time.

This horse hasnt had many chances itself over hurdles and is 2w-1p-7r in small fields and 2w-1p-4r in December.

Back Light The City 7pts at 6.5 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-UP(-7pts)Small profit on the day(DT+13pts)

Monthly Total-6.25pts

Running Total+7203.29pts

12th December

315 Cheltenham-Big Easy takes a drop in class here after posting the best rating in this race,last time out.

This horse has won at this track and after winning the Cesarewitch on good ground,on the flat then you would think that it could be capable of even better on this decent ground.

Its clearly the one to beat for me.

It meets a very progressive horse in Ulzana`s Raid.Its possible this horse could improve past everything but this is a rise in class and its as of yet,to post a topspeed figure of any note.

Guiding George isnt out of it also as it hasnt been with its new yard long.

Back Big Easy 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Strong in the market but missed so many hurdles,particularly the last two,and got beaten in a photo.

11th December

140 Taunton-Prettyasapicture has been running well and probably will do so again but its just been raised 7Ibs as a result of a last flight fall last time and is no good thing on my ratings.

There is a concern that Richard Johnson rides Free of Charge from the same stable but despite falling on its last 2 starts,Val D`Arc is still lightly raced and has a better chance than the prices suggest on its last hurdle run,2 starts back.It looks the value in a tight heat.

Top Spot,Shammick Boy and Daveron have chances at their best.

Back Val D`Arc 6pts at 9.5 at skybet(Accept 7.0)-UP(-6pts)No money for it and just allowed to drop back without hardly any effort from the saddle.

310 Taunton-I can totally see the front 2 in the market running well here.

Money For Nothing ran well on its chasing debut and is probably the one to beat while Come on Annie,although not done much over fences as of yet,is 3 from 3 over hurdles here.It could prove every bit as good over fences back at its favourite track.

From a handicapping perspective however,im going to risk a bit on Mr Muddle.

This horse is hit and miss after a break and is generally inconsistent but at its best,would prove a handful in this race.

Last season first time out,it met todays opponent(3rd Fav)Un Anjou and was beaten a length.It meets that horse here on 21Ibs better terms.

All its career wins have been on sharp tracks like this and if its ready to go first time out then it should go close.

Back Mr Muddle 5pts at 11.0 at Various bookies(Accept 9.0)-4th(-5pts)Big morning move for it but weak just before the off.Didnt appear to be good enough,particularly with Un Anjou winning.(DT-11pts)

10th December

210 Leicester-Both of Carli King`s career wins have been at this track and it should go well after posting a good rating on its seasonal debut.

After just 10 career starts,there could be more to come from this horse as the reappearance effort matched its best rating so far.

Dont Do Mondays has only had 4 runs and looks the danger but is a tight enough price.

Master Rajeem represent a yard that can do little wrong at the moment.It needs to to improve but has only had 2 starts over fences,so its not impossible.

Back Carli King 12pts at 4.3 at Corals(Accept 3.75)-3rd(-12pts)No idea what to make of this.Backed into 7/4 and just dropped away in the straight.Couldnt have the winner at all.

Monthly Total+3.75pts

Running Total+7213.29pts

9th December

120 Uttoxeter-Dormouse heads the market here,with McCoy on board possibly the reason but its recent win rating,just matched whats its previously been capable of and with the trainer 0 from 21 here,it could be vulnerable.

Detank and particularly Lochnagar are feared as unexposed types but im surprised to see King Zeal at the price it is.It posted the best recent rating of these last time ,on its return after a break and has easily the best topspeed figures in this race.

Back King Zeal 8pts at 6.0 at Various bookies(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)Called the market correctly as it hammered down to 2/1 but couldnt go with the front 2 from the 2nd last.

240 Fontwell-Mr Fickle ran well last time,posting a figure that would make it very competitive here and hopefully signalled a return to last seasons best,which would make it tough to beat for a stable that have won this race 3 times in the last 6 years.

The Sneezer should be on the premises but probably the biggest danger is Afficionado ,who makes it debut for a yard that do well here.

Although it will need to find some improvement for the switch of stables.

Back Mr Fickle 14pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.5)-2nd(-14pts)Ran really well and given a fine ride but unfortunately just bumped into one in Afficionado.(DT-22pts)

7th December

135 Huntingdon-A race that really revolves around how good handicap debutante Authorship is.

The trainer does very well with his hurdlers here and its possible its better than these but the market has put it in a very short price,in what is a decent race.

Presenting Arms represents a good yard but is short enough on what its done so far,ratings wise.

The two I like at decent prices are Songlight and Cloonacool.

The former represents rock solid handicap form.Its last time out 3rd at Cheltenham is the best rating in the race and a superb Topspeed figure.

The stable won the race last year and its difficult to see it finishing out of the frame.

Cloonacool is improving and was well backed to win over course and distance last time.It beat a subsequent winner that day and the jockey is 10 from 42 when riding for this yard.

Both should run well.

Back Songlight(5pts) and Cloonacool (5pts) at 9.0 at various bookies(+32pts *1 Non runner)Called it perfectly as both horses pulled clear and both were well backed.

Monthly Total+37.75

Running Total+7247.29pts

6th December

335 Sandown-This will be a real test in these conditions and that should suit Emperors Choice ,whos form figures over 3m4+ on soft ground read 2nd-1st-7th-1st.

It ran okay on its seasonal debut but has no great record fresh anyway but its 2w-1p-4r when returning to the track within 14 days like today and 4w-3p-7r in fields of 9 or less.

If its thereabouts in the straight then I can see it grinding it out when the others have cried enough.

Last years winner Theres No Panic is respected but may want better ground.

Whats Happening represents a yard that have won this 3 times in the last 10 years while Kasbadali goes very well fresh.

They both have stamina doubts however.

Back Emperors Choice 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-4th(-9pts)Jumped awful

215 Wetherby-This is a decent little race.Course specialist Lightening Rod(3 course wins) should run very well but is possibly better on good ground rather than todays soft.

Fisher is quite lightly raced and represent last years winning stable but again,im not sure it wants it this soft.

One who does is Vivacissimo,who made a quiet debut for its new yard 19 days ago.Im interested in this horse as it looks well weighted on its ratings achieved in France last season and this small yard does pretty well here(9/39 with their hurdlers at this track)

It may not be as good or it may need another run but at the prices,im happy to find out

Back Vivacissimo 4pts at 15.0 at various bookies(Accept 10.0)-UP(-4pts)Nicely backed into 6/1 but wasnt good enough.(DT-13pts)

Monthly Total+5.75

Running Total+7215.29pts

5th December-

310 Lingfield-Id prefer it to be at Kempton but Embankment showed a fair bit last timr,on its return after a year off.

This horse is very well handicapped being 9Ibs lower than its highest winning mark and with that return being its first run for this yard,its reasonable to expect better here.

The jockey and trainer have teamed up to win this race in the past and if handling this track then it really should go close.

Until Midnight looks the main danger,being a consistent,proven performer around here although I do wonder if its better at 7f rather than todays mile.

Rizal Park and Dianora arent out of it while Dalaki drops in class after a break.

Back Embankment 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-4th(-8pts)Stood in the stalls for 3 to 4 seconds then obviously at the back in a very slowly run race.Rattled home but had no chance.

4th December

330 Market Rasen-This is worth sending in the hope we get a small drift to get matched.

There really isnt many that can be seriously fancied here and although Make me a Fortunes form has an uneven look to it,if you take just its runs over todays trip of 2 miles,you get form figures of 2nd-2nd-2nd and with its trainer hitting the frame with his last 4 runners then we can expect another good run.

The clear danger is the consistent Qasser who looks certain to be involved in the finish.

Back Make me a Fortune 12pts at 4.5 on Betfair Exchange-Won(Wasnt Matched)I know a few would have backed this anyway despite it getting punted off the boards.Im pleased my analysis was correct even if my pricing wasnt.

215 Wincanton-The thing that strikes me in this race,is how many horses have to prove their stamina.

Its long way down the straight here and you need to get home.

One horse that does,is last years winner of this race,Bucks Bond,who looks to have been laid out for a repeat victory with trainer Paul Nicholls having won this race 4 times in the last 10 years.

The more the ground drys out then the better for the horse plus its 2 from 3 in December and it really should go close.

Ziga Boy heads the market but looks to need to improve on my ratings while Silver Commander has the ratings to figure but returns from a year off.

Back Bucks Bond 9pts at 5.5 at Ladbrokes/(Accept 4.3)-4th(-9pts)Ran well but couldnt go on into the straight and disappointing it couldnt hold on for a place.

245-Powerful Action looks to be an improving horse and although up in class,its ratings and speed figures suggest its up to it.

Its only had 3 runs in handicap company and is still unexposed in this sphere.

Rayvin Black is the clear danger for me,as another lightly raced improver from an in form yard.

Minella Definitely is respected after winning its last two but is going to need to improve again to take this.

Back Powerful Action 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40.5pts)Hurdled poorly at time(Including the last)but Johnson drove it up to win on the nod.

3pts each way accumulator on all three selections(-6pts)(DT+25.5pts)

Monthly Total+26.75pts

Running Total+7236.29pts

3rd December

140 Ludlow-Mystery Drama is respected but looks a bit short considering it likes finishing placed rather than winning.

Pass the Time looks like it will run well with McCoy on board(7 wins from 21 for the yard) and 3 from 5 over this trip.

Stephanie Francis and Cloudante both make their handicap debuts but at a big price,Ill risk a bit on Bollin Judith.

It ran quite well last time and will be even better on this ground.Its 3w-1p-10r in fields of 9 or less and 2 from 3 on sharp tracks like this.

Back Bollin Judith 5pts at 13.0 at Various bookies(Accept 10.0)-UP(-5pts)Ran ok to a point.

240 Ludlow-Vivaccio hosed up on its chase debut and anything close to that would make it tough to beat.

You would expect improvement however for an in form yard who have a 19% strike rate here with their chasers.

Bonobo finished behind the selection but may get closer as its still lightly raced while at its best Teenage Dream wouldnt be far away but is 0w-1p-6r going right handed.

Back Vivaccio 15pts at 3.75(Already advised)-Won(+41.25)Hammered into evens and hosed up.(DT+36.25pts)

310 Ludlow-I like the look of the lightly raced Mac Bertie here,after just 5 starts,this horse has improvement to come and on my figures,has a decent chance in a pretty weak event.The trainers runners are always respected here and if it can hurdle okay then it should go close.

Lukes Hill is 0 from 10 but isnt on a bad handicap mark based on its Irish form and looks the danger to me.

Miss Lucky Penny represents last years winning stable but looks to need to find more to get involved.

Back Mac Bertie 9pts at 6.0 at Various bookies(Accept 4.5)-5th(-9pts)Solid in the market but was very one paced when they quickened.(DT+32.25pts)

Monthly Total+1.25pts

Running Total+7210.79pts

2nd December

1245 Southwell-Theres a chance that Gold Ingot could improve past it but Jewellery should be a shorter price than it is.

Its below par run last time(behind an inform horse) can be put down to heavy ground and the 3 miles trip being too far.

Back here at a track where its 1 from 1 and at a trip that its 3w-1p-7r at,I would expect a much better run.

In its 5 runs over fences,its not been out of the first 2 and all this horses 5 wins have been on sharp tracks like this.

Theres also every possibility that it could get an easy time in front,as it looks to be the only front runner.

Ballymoat is the other that holds realistic chances but is yet to win although looked certain to do so last time before falling at the last.

O`Callaghan is dangerously well handicapped and although its been out of nick,if the money came then it would be a big danger.

Back Jewellery 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.5)--UP(-8pts)Disappointing run

1st December

210 Plumpton-Although yet to win a race under rules so far,Bobbits Way produced a good performance on its return from a break and a repeat of that,will see it go very close.

You would definitely want to see it stay strong in the market,coming from this yard.

Alright Benny looks the main danger,as its been in good form and is 2 from 3 around here.

Head Spin drops in trip,which may suit but it does have to prove itself on soft ground.

Back Bobbits Way 11pts at 4.3 at Paddys(Accept 3.75)-3rd(-11pts)Looked a massive danger 3 out but weakened very badly late on.

230 Wolverhampton-Be Royale has a good record at this track,both on the new Tapeta surface and the old polytrack(2nd-4th-5th-3rd-1st-1st-3rd).

Its fine run last time(despite starting slowly) over course and distance,makes it top rated here for last years winning stable.

Its also 3w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Bint Dandy is the danger.

Back Be Royale 12pts at 4.5(Already advised)-UP(-12pts)Hammered into 7/4 and traded odds on in running but another that didnt run its race.Poor start to the month(DT-23pts)

30th November

145 Leicester-The Ould Lad looks a progressive chaser and after just 6 starts under rules,you would expect to see even more improvement.

Its clear top rated on its latest run when it clocked the best topspeed figure in the race and I would expect the step up in trip to prove to be ideal.

The trainer is 9 from 34 with his chasers here in the last 5 seasons.

Famousandfearless has been progressing well but looks like it prefers at the very worst good ground.

Master Rajeem is unexposed,steps up in trip for a yard going well while Danners although needing to find some improvement,shouldnt be the price it is.

Back The Ould lad 13pts at 4.0-Won(+39pts)A little guessy at a couple of fences but ended up winning easily.

Monthly Total+153pts

Running Total+7216.54pts

29th November

1245 Towcester-Vinnieslittle Lamb is still fairly unexposed over fences after just 4 runs and got punted into favourite last time ,when weakening over a longer trip.

This drop back in distance should prove ideal and against a host of exposed rivals,could be the answer in a weak event.

Wicklewood is the obvious danger,with a fine 2w-1p-4r record at this track.Im not convinced it wants this ground however and has a couple of negatives in its profile.

0w-0p-7r between October and December and 0w-1p-14 when carrying over 11st,you can only assume its a small horse and wont find the weight easy in this ground.

Back Vinnieslittle Lamb 18pts at 3.0 at various bookies.-Won(+36pts)Well backed and stayed on well.

Monthly Total+114pts

Running Total+7177.54pts

28th November

1205 Musselburgh-One for Hockey improved for the step up to 3 miles last time and with a generally consistent and progressive profile,is the one to beat but at 5/4,im not telling you anything you couldnt work out for yourself.

Ballyreesode is inconsistent but on a going day,wouldnt be far away while I fail to see why 19 race maiden,Discoverie is the price it is,it also has stamina to prove.

At a price,its worth chancing Clonleney could find its best form.This is only its 2nd start for this yard since coming over from Ireland and having its first run last time, for over 400 days and on unsuitable soft ground,it was unlikely to show much and it didnt to be fair.

Its possible,it isnt as good as it was  or it may need another run but this good ground will suit it and anything close to its best Irish ratings would see it right there in this race.

Back Clonleney 3pts at 17.0 at Bet365/Hills(Accept 11.0)-UP(-3pts)Didnt get home though it wouldnt have beaten the winner anywaya.

230 Doncaster-Premier Grand Cru has only had the one run over fences and the market clearly expects a fair bit of improvement but it makes some value elsewhere.

That looks like Tregaro,who has been in very consistent form and although the ground could be an issue,the forecast is for dry weather,which would bring it into the equation.

Carrying a low weight is what this horse wants,as all its wins have been when carrying 10st12 or less and hopefully it can pick them off late on.

Big Water looks the danger to me,after an improved rating last time and an impressive speed figure.

Back Tregaro 6pts at 9.0 at Various bookies(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-6pts)Ran really well and maybe if the ground hadnt turned soft and it hadnt completely missed the 3rd last,it might have won.All ifs and buts though.(DT-9pts)

Monthly Total+78pts

Running Total+7141.54pts

27th November

305 Uttoxeter-I feel that Ray Diamond will either win this or finish tailed off,thats the type of animal it is.

However,it appeals as the value in this weak race.

Mohi Rahrere ran pretty well last time and does drop in class but consistency has never been its strong point and a record of 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 28 days means this short priced favourite looks vulnerable,its best ratings have been on slightly better ground also.

Lord Lir is 0 from 20 and very inconsistent while Phoenix Des Mottes returns from a break not very well handicapped(6Ibs above its highest winning mark).

This leaves us Ray Diamond,who would have found 3 miles too far last time and the time before(On its seasonal debut) it surely wouldve needed the run as a record of 0w-0p-7r first time out suggests.

This horse prefers a recent race(28 days or less 5w-4p-24r) and is 1 from 2 in this grade.

Its inconsistent and no world beater but it wont need to be here,its very well handicapped.

Back Ray Diamond 10pts at 4.5 at bet365(accept 3.75)-Won(+35pts)Won easily

1.0 Newbury-Woodford County is lightly raced and from an inform yard,I can see its appeal but on what its done,its very short.

Ruapehu was progressing well the last time we saw it but has to keep up the improvement now returned from a long break.

Susquehanna River ran well last time but is very inconsistent and wants better ground than this.

Itoldyou has a nice consistent set of ratings and ran well on its seasonal debut last time,on its best from last season,it would go very close.

Its 2 from 3 over this trip and loves the heavy ground.3w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days adds to its appeal and it should run well.

Back Itoldyou 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-10pts)Very unlucky not to make it a double(Touched 1.3 in running)(DT+25pts)

Monthly Total+87pts

Running Total+7150.54pts

25th November

220 Sedgefield-This is incredibly weak and looks a good opportunity for Amir Pasha to repeat last seasons win in this race.

Its been running some decent races of late,drops in class here and appears off a mark 10Ibs lower than last seasons win.

Jason Maguire takes the ride and is 7 wins from 30 rides for this small yard.

Stanley Bridge has a great record here(4 wins from 8 starts) and could bounce back to form but certainly needs too.

Back Amir Pasha 15pts at 3.25 at various bookies-UP(-15pts)Awful run for the 2nd day running!

Monthly Total+62pts

Running Total+7125.54pts

24th November

245 Kempton-I have a slight niggle about it getting caught up in a speed duel up front but Benefit Cut looks decent value here.

This horse is only lightly raced after just 5 runs over fences and 13 overall.Its 1 from 1 at this track and 2w-1p-5r in this grade.

Despite falling last time,it is a good jumper and you can get away around this track if you can ping your fences.

Interestingly,Joshua Moore takes over in the saddle,which for me is always significant for this small stable.(10 wins from 40 rides for the yard)

He hasnt rode it before.

Frontier Spirit is another front runner and rates the clear danger for me but the bigger price on the selection sways it.

Back Benefit Cut 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/WilliamHIll(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Weak on the course market and duly produced a poor display,difficult to understand why.

22nd November

130 November-This is pretty competitve but Dark Spirit is very progressive and is clear favourite on my prices.

This horse proved itself on soft ground last time in a good race and a repeat of that run would make it tough to beat in a grade where its 2w-1p-4r.

Spartan Angel makes its handicap debut from a top yard.Its probably capable of better but has to prove itself over trip and ground.

Woodland Walk is consistent and will handle the ground but is clearly beatable as a string of placed efforts shows.

Back Dark Spirit 10pts at 5.5(Already advised)-Won(+43pts 1 non runner)Hammered into the price I had it at and hosed up.

250 Huntingdon-This is a desperate race,summed up by the market leader Minella Bliss having a win record of 1 from 36.

Clearly this is a vulnerable favourite,particularly so on this ground and back over hurdles.

Take it on with the improving Amberjam,who produced its best run last time ,stepped up in trip on soft ground behind a horse that has gone on to win again.

Back Amberjam 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-Won(+40pts)Outstayed its rivals.(DT+83pts)

Monthly Total+85pts

Running Total+7148.54pts

21st November

140 FFos Las-2 lightly raced horses over fences stand out here.Trillerin Minella won last time over 3 furlongs less,it only had 1 run over 3 miles over hurdles,so you couldnt say it has stamina doubts for sure but on ground that will be very soft,it may be found wanting late on.

The Happy Warrior will hit the odd fence but it stays this trip and will love the ground,its got less question marks over it.

It got backed into favouritism last time for a trainer that has won with 2 of his last 5 runners and is 3 from 8 with his chasers here.

Back The Happy Warrior 18pts at 3.0 on Betfair Exchange-Won(Not Matched)The 7/4 the evening before looked good value when it went odds on.Had to dig deep in the end(Touched 4.0 in running)but I always felt it would get there.

155 Haydock-Paul Nicholls won this race in 2006,2007 and 2010 and holds strong claims here with The Brock Again,who made a good stable debut 13 days,posting the clear top rating in this race.It wants the this ground and must go close.

Oscarteena and Huff and Puff looks the dangers.

Back The Brock Again 18pts at 3.0 on Betfair Exchange-3rd(Not Matched)Touch 2.98 during the morning before shortening into 2.0.Got taken on for the lead and was well beaten.

This is the reason id stopped sending horses where the price originally isnt there.Waste of everyones time.

20th November

1250 Wincanton-If Ratings and speed figures mean anything then Aristocracy has this race at its mercy.

Its only raced 3 times with each performance showing a nice,steady improvement and now moves into handicap company in a very weak event.

Its figures suggest in the context of this race,its well handicapped and ive got it close to even money on my tissue.

Nebula Storm is very inconsistent but at its best has place chances while Fuse Wire,although better over fences wouldnt be out of it.

Back Aristocracy 20pts at 3.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.0)-Won(+70pts*Paid at BOG) Drifted to an amazing price and despite jumping stickily,won pretty easy.

330 Wincanton-Doubts about everything here but Allerton appeals as the best value in a tight race.

This horse is clearly an Autumn/early winter animal(Sep/Nov 3w-1p-7r) compared to 0w-2p-14r the rest of the year.

It won last time out but should be even better on this ground,it will stay this trip strongly.

The niggle is the trainer is 0 from 13 at this track but he is in decent form.

Trickaway has only had 2 runs over fences but hasnt achieved much although you have to respect the jockey/trainer combination.

Midnight Charmer won well last time but that was at its beloved Fakenham and at a different track plus going up in class(Class 4 0w-1p-8r) it can be opposed.

Golanova is difficult to assess while Chance Encounter has to prove itself on trip and ground.Trojan Sun normally needs the run first time out.

Back Allerton 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.5)-UP(-9pts)Awful performance(DT+61pts)

Monthly Total+2pts

Running Total+7065.54pts

18th November

330 Fakenham-Its been off since breaking a blood vessel over 200 days ago but Dynamic Idol was progressing well before that and with the yard in good form and at a nice price,its worth chancing that it turns up fit and well,as on my figures,it would have a far better chance than being the outsider in this small field.

Full Ov Beans is always respected around here with 4 course wins but it needs to improve again to take this.

Larteta runs many consistent races but doesnt win that often and has a doubt on very soft ground.

Carobello is a fair enough favourite and is the one to beat.

Back Dynamic Idol 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.5)-Pulled UP(-11pts)Just another in a long line of rubbish selections.

Monthly Total-59pts

Running Total+7004.54pts

16th November

240 Cheltenham-Handling the ground is going to be vital here,as it looked very testing on Saturday.

Dodging Bullets best form/ratings have been on very soft ground,it goes very well fresh,the yard are flying and its 3 from 6 around here.

Im very surprised it isnt favourite.

Simply Ned has been progressive in the North but this will be a different kettle of fish and on ground thats softer than ideal its a bit short in the market.

The trainer is 0 from 33 with his chasers here.

Module will handle the ground but ran below form on its reappearance while Uxizandre is progressive but this is a big drop in trip for it.

Back Dodging Bullets 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies(Accept 3.25)-3rd(-13pts)Cruised around,touched odds on in running and found nothing.

315 Cheltenham-Very competitive and not the sort of race I normally go for but Exitas looks very progressive to me and is very well in under its penalty.

If this horse was trained by one of the big yards then im pretty sure it would be favourite.

Back Exitas 5pts at 10.0 at various bookies-6th(-5pts)Stayed on,never near to challenge.Did the jockey know it was 50k handicap?(DT-18pts)

4.0 Fontwell-Bobby Dove should run well but it is beatable and 5/4 is pretty short in this ground.

Take it on with GoochyPoochyprader,whos the class act in this poor field(Class 5 3w-3p-9r).

It weakened late on its seasonal debut and should hopefully now be tuned up for this.

The jockey has finished 1st and 2nd on his 2 rides on this horse.

Back GoochyPoochyprader 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4,5)-UP(-10pts)Just an awful run.(DT-28pts)

15th November

140 Uttoxeter-Fredo ran a fine race on its appearance and drops in class where its a force(Class 4 3w-3p-9r).

Its 1 from 1 at this track and anything close to last seasons best ratings would make it tough to beat.

You have to respect anything Tony Martin brings over from Ireland but hes 0 from 4 with his chasers here and Heathfield looks short enough to me.

Union Jack D`Ycy will love the ground but this trip may be a little short for a horse who`s best form is over at least another half mile.

Back Fredo 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-UP(-12pts)Drifted like a barge and dropped right out.

205 Wetherby-I have to take on What a Good Night here.Raised 17Ibs since it last run and up in class,on ground that looks far too soft and for a yard that after a dazzling spell are just struggling for winners.

Its 0w-0p-7r in this grade and 0w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Shouldavboughtgold should go really well,with the trip and ground perfect.

Oscar Fortune and Key to the West are both unexposed and could have lots more to offer,particularly the former.

Noble Legend has to prove itself over this far but may need it now,its got a good profile(Oct-Dec 3w-1p-7r),(0-9 runners 6w-1p-13r) and the trainer is 8 from 26 with her chasers here.

Presented would go close if its ready to go after a break for another yard that do well with their chasers here(9/30)

Lay What a Good Night 20pts at 2.9(Lay Upto 3.25)-Won(-38pts)Hopefully some traded out as this horse touched 7.8 before the off.Hardly anything has run its race and it had little to beat.Just a rubbish day!(DT-50pts)

14th November

215 Newcastle-Maggie Blue won this race last year and hosed up earlier this week.If it turns up in the same form under a penalty then it will probably win but those are its only wins from 20 starts,so its possible it could disappoint.

Grey Area looks a big price returning from a break as it won first time out last season.The trainer has gone to the trouble of booking top Northern jockey Ryan Mania and its won 1 of its 2 starts here.It also is back to its last winning mark.

The more rain the merrier for this horse.

Back Grey Area 5pts at 12.0 at varoius bookies(Accept 9.0)-Pulled UP(-5pts)Looked fine then stopped like it was shot.Something surely went amiss.

250 Newcastle-The early money has been for Boric,who steps up in trip and its clearly expected to suit.That may be so but it needs to find 7Ibs to match Sharney Sike,if the horse turns up at its best after a break.

This horse won first time out last season and has won 2 of its 3 starts here.Its also very unexposed over this trip after just the one(winning) run over it.

Allanard has chances from an in form stable but looks handicapped up to its best now.

Berties Milan ran poorly on its reappearance and is 0w-0p-10r from November to January.

Back Sharney Sike 14pts at 3.5 at various bookies(Accept 3.0)-3rd(-14pts)Just looked like it didnt get home in the heavy ground.(DT-19pts)

Monthly Total+30pts

Running Total+7093.54pts

13th November

350 Southwell-The straight course at this track is never the easiest to predict but Monsieur Jamie does catch my eye in this.

Its been in and out of form on turf this season but with 4 course wins its to its name here then it could easily bounce back to its best.

Interestingly it finished a close second in this race last season and appears here off a mark 7Ibs lower.

Its 2w-2p-6r during November and actually won this race 3 years ago.

As usual at this track,there are several course specialists on show.

Captain Dunne hasnt raced here since 2010 but is 2 from 2 here and ran well on turf last time.

Bedloes Island drops in class and is respected while Sleepy Blue Ocean and Abi Scarlett both run their best races here.

Poyle Vinnie has been in good consistent form but hasnt raced here before although the trainer does well at the track,its short enough however for one,unproven on this surface.

Back Monsieur Jamie 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies(Accept 9.0)-UP(-5pts)Ran a stinker!

11th November

220 Sedgefield-Riskier may not be quite up to this level but if its ever going to be,it will be at this track(2 wins and 4 places here) and when it returns from a break(2 wins first time out)

.Encouragingly,the trainer has had 2 winners from his last 10 runners and if it can put in a good round of jumping,I think its the value in a pretty good race.

Tahiti Pearl is greatly respected with an incredible record of 5 wins from 8 starts at this track but the trainers form does sway me away from it with just 1 winner from her last 60 runners.

Alderbrook Lad will give it a good go but is the right price while the unexposed Hi George,could be anything after just one start over fences.However,after winning last season,the trainer did state it wanted good ground,its very unlikely to get that here.

Back Risker 6pts at 9.0 at Paddys(Accept 7.5)-3rd(-6pts)Gave it a real good go from the front.

3.0 Lingfield-Gary Moore has won this race 3 times in the last 10 years,making his representive Vikekhal of interest here.Its only has the 2 starts over fences(both over further)

It did run poorly on heavy before though and at such a short price,it has to be passed over.

Morgans Bay won last time out and although it has won on soft,it is 0w-0p-5r on heavy and that has to be a worry.

Tresor De Bontee won first time out last season before losing its way,however the trainer has won this race in the past and is 2 from 4 with his chasers here.

A record of 2w-1p-4r in November/December and 2 wins from 4 on heavy adds to its appeal,it could be the only horse to truly handle the ground and is the value.

Back Tresor De Bontee 12pts at 4.0 at Ladbrokes/Boyles(Accept 3.5)-Won(+36pts)Thought the jockey may have let the leader get away but it stayed on well(DT+30pts)

Monthly Total+54pts

Running Total+7117.54pts

10th November

No Selections

9th November

145 Market Rasen-This is a pretty interesting race,not least due to the lack of form of the trainers near the front of the market.

American Legend does just head my ratings but on faster ground than it will encounter here and with it being by Presenting,im not certain it will appreciate ground this soft..

It did win a hurdle race on soft but that wasnt a great run ratings wise and its trainer is 0 from 31 with his runners in the last 14 days.

Strumble Head has been in good form and will give it a go from the front but is another that wants better ground and its trainer is 0 from 25 in the last 14 days.

Whiskey Ridge finished last season on a high but is 0w-1p-6r when returning from an absence and its trainer just hasnt got going yet this season(0 from 26-last 14days)

Master Neo will like the ground and its trainer does well here but it has no record fresh while Little Chip is 2 from 3 here and anything Charlie Longsdon runs around here has to  be respected but its in no sort of form and needs a first time visor to have a dramatic impact.

Blackwell Synergy hasnt had that many runs over fences and is well handicapped on its hurdles ratings(Won off 8Ibs higher over hurdles)

It will like the ground and is 4w-3p-11r when running over 3 miles+ and I can see it outstaying its opponents.

Back Blackwell Synergy 8pts at 6.0 at paddys(Accept 5.0-Non Runner

9th November

250 Kelso-Theres no doubt that Rockawango has the ability to win this.Its best rating from last season makes it very competitive but a series of jumping errors have held it back so far.

However its been in such great form on the flat,that it could well return to fences a different animal.

At the prices,its well worth taking the chance on finding out.

Swift Arrow is a big danger,the winner of this race last year and has a record of 3 from 4 at this track.If the selection finishes in front of this then it should win.

Firth of the Clyde is respected also with a record of 2w-1p-4r in this grade,its run well fresh before.

Toledo Gold has been in good form but struggles in this grade(Class 3 0w-0p-5r) and on this ground(Good to soft 0w-1p-9r)

 Back Rockwango 6pts at 9.0 at bet365(Accept 7.0)-Won(+48pts)

Lay Toledo Gold 20pts at 6.0-Not Matched Unfortunately

*cancel the lay or trade out if Rockawango,Firth of the Clyde or Swift Arrow dont run*

Monthly Total+24pts

Running Total+7087.54pts

7th November

140 Fontwell-This is as weak as it gets.The favourite Carhue Princess,although boasting the best recent chase form has a win record of 1 from 36..Hardly convincing but it could get away with it in this event,however with that win record,it has to be taken on.

Mrs Jordan and Ballydague Lady both havent had many chances in this sphere but need to step up on what theyve done so far.

Im going to take a chance on the outsider,Southway Star.It hasnt won since 2012 and hasnt been in much form the last 2 seasons but has changed stables to a small yard that I like and if this excellent Trevor Whelan can get a tune out of it then this horse is incredibly well handicapped being 30Ibs below its last winning rating.

You would want to see some support for it obviously.

Back Southway Star 6pts at 7.5 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-Won(+33pts Non runner)

250 Hexham-Another weak affair with a lot of deadwood.

Northern Acres ran pretty well last time but now drops in trip and gets softer ground.The last 2 times it had those circumstances,it won.

Providing handicap debutant,Nouveau Moulin doesnt suddenly show improvement then it really should take some beating.

Back Northern Acres 14pts at 3.5 at Paddys(Accept 3.0)-3rd(-14pts)(DT+19pts)

Monthly Total-24pts

Running Total+7039.54pts

5th November

1.0 Warwick-Prettyasapicture has posted 2 fine efforts back to back,firstly winning over 2 miles(posting easily the best rating and topspeed figure in this race) then last time just failing to stay over 2m4f but that rating was only 2Ibs below its previous win.

The drop back in trip is sure to suit and with the ground drying out,it looks the one to beat.

Planetoid was in decent form when last seen over hurdles and its got chances if at its best but it ran poorly 15 days ago on the flat.

L Stig is the other that should be involved after a decent run last time.

Back Prettyasapicture 10pts at 5.0 at bet365(Accept 4.3)-5th(-10pts)Hammered into 6/4 and jumped the last in front(Touched 1.19 in running).Just folded it appeared.

130 Warwick-Some improvers on show here,none more so than The Ould Lad who represents a yard in form and shouldnt be far away.

Trickaway and Fergal Mael Duin are both lightly raced over fences but both need to progress.

Owen Na View represents last years winning stable and looks a bit of value.Its only had 3 runs over fences and has progressive ratings.

This trip is an unknown but its bred to be well suited by it.

Back Owen Na View 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies(Accept 5.0)-4th(-8pts)Very weak in the betting but clearly didnt get home(DT-18pts)

340 Warwick-Fix it Right has potential and may improve past these but the market has built the progression into its price.

Allthekingshorses ran well last time but it interests me that Phillip Hobbs,despite having his stable jockey Richard Johnson at the meeting,chooses to claim off it,maybe suggesting he doesnt think its that well handicapped...who knows?

The clear value has to be Handsome Buddy,who won last time,is better over this trip and has won here.

It should be vying for favouritism on my figures.

Back Handsome Buddy 7pts at 7.0 at Various bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Seriously considering giving this up.Just rubbish(DT-25pts)

Monthly Total-43pts

Running Total+7020.54pts

1st November

310 Newmarket-French Navy is very much respected after finishing 2nd and 1st in this race in the last 2 years but it may struggle to give 6Ibs away to the very progressive Bronze Angel.

This is an improving horse whos 2 from 5 at this track and in the form of its life.

It will want a decent pace to run at as its latest speed figure suggests theres a lot more to come.

Back Bronze Angel 18pts at 3.0 at various Bookie-3rd(-18pts)Was cruising 2f out(touched 1.5 in running) but for whatever reason,just didnt pick up.

31st October

140 Wetherby-Its up in class but if my ratings mean anything then Camachoice has a fine chance here.

Af 3 reasonable runs in novice hurdles,its burst to life,in a first time visor,racing in a handicap for the first time and winning very easily.

That rating puts it 10Ibs clear here ,against mainly exposed horses.

Theres always the chance it doesnt back up that run but if its anything close to that performance then it wins this easily.

Lightening Rod and Knight In Purple look the biggest dangers.

Back Camachoice 15pts at 3.5 at bet365(Accept 3.0)-UP

215 Wetherby-Decent race and you have to respect Trustan Times whos 2 from 5 here and pretty progressive but this trip will be sharp enough on ground faster than ideal.

Mwaleshi is 2 from 2 around here and was progressing when last seen,it looks the biggest danger to Silver Roque.

The selection is at its best fresh(Last 3 seasons first time out finished 1st-1st-2nd) and tends to run above its handicap mark after a long break.

The rating it posted first time out last season,wins this race and the trainer has had 2 winners from his last 3 runners.

Back Silver Roque 11pts at 4.3(Already advised)-UP(DT-26pts)Hard to believe both these horses ran as bad as they did.Bad end to another poor month and far too many of them this year!

Monthly Total-123.33pts

Running Total+7081.54pts