1st March

No Selections Today

29th February

Golf-Honda Clasic
Back
M.Wilson 3pts E/W at 40/1
J.Rollins 3pts E/W at 66/1
Y.E.Yang 2pts E/W at 40/1
B.Crane 2pts E/W at 30/1
(1st 6 places at Bodog.com)

28th February

330 Leicester-This is between Moscow Chancer who is steadily improving and Free Speech which is back on its preferred good ground,I cant split them and nor can the market.Billy Murphy often runs ok but hasnt got the ratings to win and is 0/25 in its career anyway.
Lay Billy Murphy 35pts at 4.5-UP(+35pts)


5.0 Leicester-Another one that looks like a 2 horse race.Mac Halen and Cesium posted similar ratings last time,however their profiles suggest that Cesium is far more likely to run to it again.
Back Cesium 20pts at 3.0-2nd(-20pts)DT+15pts)Got a massive value 2/1 on a horse backed into odds on but was never completely happy throughout but looked like he might prevail until just failing to hold the winner in the straight.
Days total minus commission+14.25pts
Monthly Total+523.12pts
Running Total+2922.79pts

27th February

415 Plumpton-Not many that can be fancied here,Speed Steed produced a much improved rating last time and must go close.
Back Speed Steed 10pts at 4.5-3rd(-10pts)Was always a little outpaced,the sharp track probably counting against it,did stick on well to grab 3rd.
Monthly Total+508.87pts
Running Total+2908.54pts

26th February

Football
Arsenal V Spurs
Spurs have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 while Arsenal have failed to score in 3 of their last 6.Spurs are the better side these days and even though they are away should be at least joint favs in my opinion.
Lay Arsenal 35pts at 2.6-Lost(-56pts)


Golf
Mayakoba Classic
Back G.Owen 2pts E/W at 80/1-17th
H.Slocum 2pts E/W at 33/1-37th
S.Horschel 2pts E/W at 66/1(1st 6)-30th(-12pts)(DT-68pts)

World Matchplay
Back M.Wilson pts E/W at 40/1-3rd(+20pts)
B.Watson 4pts E/W at 20/1-UP(-8pts)
C.Schwartzel 3pts E/W at 14/1-UP(-6pts)
N.Watney 3pts E/W at 25/1(1st 4)-UP(-6pts)(DT-68pts)
Monthly Total+518.87pts
Running Total+2918.54pts

24th February

310 Chepstow-Bendant is the most likely winner but Dirty Deal is close behind on my ratings.Shallow Bay has it to prove on the ground.
Back Dirty Deal 8pts at 6.6-2nd(-8pts)


420 Chepstow-Purely on the ratings so far,Charm School has this at its mercy.
Back Charm School 30pts at 3.0-2nd(-30pts)(DT-38pts)


455-Chepstow-This is very weak and there is a concern that Bringewood Belle could be a massive danger on its chase debut but it did run badly last time.Lady Willa has been running well in similar condiitons and its a surprise to see its price so big.
Back Lady Willa 20pts at 4.7-Won(+74pts)(DT+36pts)


250 Lingfield-Oasis Dancer is improving fast on the All weather and should have too many guns for Palace Moon.
Back Oasis Dancer 20pts at 3.0-Won(Unfortunately wasnt matched)


305 kempton-This is wide open,although a 13yo,Mount Oscar produced a good rating last time and with its stable in great form,may even better it.Deep Purple could also just have a bit more class than some of these.
Back Deep Purple 6pts at 10.0 & Mount Oscar 6pts at 13.0-UP(-12pts)(DT+24pts)


505 Lingfield-Estonia has got the perfect jockey for this hold up horse and hopefully the pace will be strong and it can swoop late on.
Back Estonia 8pts at 6.6-4th(-8pts)They did go fast but he ran up the back of the 1st 2,then switched and ran on.Dont think he wouldve beaten the winner anyway.(DT+16pts)
Days total minus commission+15.2pts
Monthly Total+586.87pts
Running Total+2986.54pts

24th February

4.0 Lingfield-A lot of in and out performers here,hopefully Super Frank will be more in then out.
Back Super Frank 7pts at 8.6-Won(+53.2pts)


450 Warwick-Fighting Chance seems pretty short to me as his recent ratings dont give him an obvious chance.Surf and Turf is improving and must go well.
Back Surf and Turf 20pts at 3.1-Fell(-20pts)Every chance when it fell at the last(DT+33.2pts)


630 Wolverhampton-Although it certainly isnt a win machine,Moral issue must go close in a weak race.
Back Moral Issue 8pts at 6.0-Won(+40pts)(DT+73.20pts)


8.0 Wolverhampton-I like Ahlawy here,Kames Park should go well but just cant seem to win(Famous last words)
Back Ahlawy 20pts at 3.1-3rd(-20pts)Poor Run(Dt+53.2pts)
Days total minus commission+50.54pts
Monthly Total+571.67pts
Running Total+2971.34pts

23rd February

230 Huntingdon-Ballyoliver is the most obvious winner but ive got King jack not far behind and he should run well.
Back King Jack 6pts at 8.0-2nd(-6pts)Ran a great race and (I sound like a broken record) looked like it was going to win but looked like he didnt quite get home.Jumped great.
Monthly Total+527.13pts
Running Total+2920.80pts

22nd February

8.0 Kempton-Decent race with sevral inform sprinters,however Torres Del Paine is on a roll and loves it here.
Back Torres Del Paine 9pts at 5.5-4th(-9pts)Looked certain to win as it burst through a furlong out but appeared to weaken badly.
Monthly Total+527.13pts
Running Total+2926.80pts


Golf
Mayakoba Classic
Back G.Owen 2pts E/W at 80/1
H.Slocum 2pts E/W at 33/1
S.Horschel 2pts E/W at 66/1(1st 6)

World Matchplay
Back M.Wilson pts E/W at 40/1
B.Watson 4pts E/W at 20/1
C.Schwartzel 3pts E/W at 14/1
N.Watney 3pts E/W at 25/1(1st 4)

21st February

140 Wetherby-Very difficult to see why Deny is fav when Strathaird has been posting better ratings and certainly doing so consistently,cannot see it out of the frame.
Back Strathaird to win 16pts at 5.0 & to place 25pts at 2.0-5th(-41pts)Looked to be tanking along coming into the straight but weakened badly,very disappointing result.


Napoli v Chelsea
Lay Chelsea 35pts at 3.5-Won(+35pts)(DT-6pts)
Monthly Total+536.13pts
Running Total+2935.80pts

20th February

6.0 Wolverhampton-Competitive race,Hawk Moth is a big danger and if July Days is on a going day he could go close but at the prices,Ive got to have a bit on Lucky Dan,whos well handicapped and a massive price.  Back Lucky Dan 4pts at 18.0-UP(-4pts)Saddle slipped after 3 furlongs meaning it had no chance.
Football
Brentford v Carlisle-Brentford average 0.4pts against teams in the top half and 2.3 against teams in the bottom half.Carlisle are a decent side(lost 1 in their last 6)while the home side have only 1 win in the last 6.
Lay Brentford 35pts at 2.14 -Lost(-40pts)If you are going to get it wrong then get it really wrong.Terrible.(DT-44pts)
Monthly Total+542.13pts
Running Total+2941.80pts

19th February

315 Market Rasen-Mics Delight is solid but is the right price,i dont really fancy State Benefit at the prices but i am reluctant to lay a Henderson horse so Maringo Bay should go well providing hes fine on this slightly quicker ground and Trustan Times is improving and could get in the mix.
Back Maringo Bay 11pts at 4.5-2nd & Trustan Times 8pts at 6.0-3rd(-19pts)I felt Trustan Times was pretty unlucky here.he got seriously hampered and then had his ground taken soon after before he stayed on strongly.


350 Market Rasen-This is a weak race and I have Unwanted gift much shorter than its trading at.Difficult to find anything really solid against it.
Back Unwanted Gift 10pts at 8.0-3rd(-10pts)Ran well,Mystic Meg couldnt have found the winner(DT-29pts)


3.0 Ffos Las-Money this morning for Randjo has meant some bigger prices for some more obvious contenders.Douryna and Gentle Bob should go well but I like Milo Milan,who is quite consistent for the grade.
Back Milo Milan 6pts at 13.0-3rd(-6pts)(DT-35pts)


420 Market Rasen-Vin De Roy can go well in a very weak race
Back Vin De Roy 10pts at 6.6-Won(+56pts)(DT+21pts)


Northern Trust Open
Back P.Mickelson 6pts win at 9/1-2nd(-6pts)
Back K.Na 2pts E/W at 35/1-UP(-4pts)
Back B.Haas 2pts E/W at 50/1-Won(+125pts)
Back K.Stadler 1pt E/W at 125/1-25th(-2pts)

Avantha Masters
Back R.Wattell 2pts E/W at 30/1-UP(-4pts)
Back M.Siem 2pts E/W at 30/1-2nd(+15pts)(+Golf total 124pts)(DT+145pts)
Days total minus commisison+143.05pts)
Monthly Total+586.13pts
Running Total+2985.80pts

18th February

110 Lingfield-If it can reproduce its last rating then Clean Bowled must go close here.
Back Clean Bowled 25pts at 3.0-Won(+50pts)


310 Wincanton-Hunt Ball is very progressive and a CD winner,I have it as a much stronger fav.
Back Hunt Ball 13pts at 4.5-Won(+45.5pts)(DT+95.5pts)This horse looks like it has a ton in hand


420 Wincanton-Decent low grade chase,Tim the Chair looks a little short to me,Ballyegan & One More Dinar should run well and there has been money for Jayjay Valentine but with lots of rain around i can see Rateable Value being bang there.
Back Rateable Value 7pts at 10.0-2nd(-7pts)Traded at 1.3 in running!(DT+88.5pts)


325 Lingfield-Nubar Boy is a very solid fav and will go close but it is the right price,at a much bigger one ,Waterloo Dock is running well,has a good draw and loves this track,it may also get a solo in the lead.
Back Waterloo Dock 5.5pts at 12.0-Won(+60pts)(DT+148.5pts)


430 Haydock-This looks an outstanding opportunity for Upthemsteps.Hopefully he can jump ok and its difficult to see it being beaten.
Back Upthemsteps 30pts at 4.0-Fell(-30pts)Disappointing end to a good day(DT+118.5pts)
Days total minus commission+112.57pts
Monthly Total+443.08pts
Running Total+2842.75pts


GOLF
Got a chance in both tournaments with Siem 1 behind in India and Phil Mickelson leading in the USA.Every player made the cut.

17th February

315 Sandown-Aldertune to beat Satou 50pts at 1.7-Won(+35pts)


Football-Reading v Burnley
Back 40pts Under 2.5 goals at 1.85(1-0) Won(+34pts)(DT+69pts)
Days total minus commission+65.55pts
Monthly total+330.51pts
Running total+2730.18pts

17th February

315

16th February

240 Musselburgh-On Gossamer Wings looks to only have Red Tanber to beat.
Back On Gossamer Wings 20pts at 3.0-3rd(-20pts)Below Par for me,fell away very tamely

335 Southwell-Cant quite see why Claretintheblood is so short in this race,I have Faraway,Ishiamiracle & OnemoreRoman in front of it.
Lay Claretintheblood 35pts at 4.8-N/R-Was a late withdrawal after drifting out to 9.0


715 Kempton-Open race but one in which i think Liberal lady has a decent chance.
Back Liberal Lady 11pts at 5.5-2nd(-11pts)Looked the likely winner but just got collared ironically by a horse put up on the blog last time (DT-31pts)
Monthly Total+264.96pts
Running Total+2664.63pts

15th February

Northern Trust Open
Back P.Mickelson 6pts win at 9/1
Back K.Na 2pts E/W at 35/1
Back B.Haas 2pts E/W at 50/1
Back K.Stadler 1pt E/W at 125/1

Avantha Masters
Back R.Wattell 2pts E/W at 30/1
Back M.Siem 2pts E/W at 30/1

All 1st 6 places at Bodog.com

14th February

305 Folkestone-Spot the Ball is a consistent horse and will be thereasbouts however Tarquinus came right back to form last time and is extremely well handicapped.
Back Tarquinus 17pts at 3.5-Meeting Cancelled

13th February

410 Wolverhampton-Although it is slightly more exposed than the others,Anginola has to be backed purely on value grounds.
Back Anginola 7pts at 9.0-UP(-7pts)


510 Wolverhampton-Samedi is a short priced fav and its obviously got a lot more to offer but Luctor Emergo is progressing as well and should run well.
Back Luctor Emergo 10pts at 5.0-3rd(-10pts)(DT-17pts)


Football
Gillingham v Southend Over 2.5 goals Back 40pts at 1.9-(1-2)Won(+36pts)(DT+19pts)
Days total minus commission+18.05pts
Monthly Total+295.96pts
Running Total+2695.63pts

Golf
Dubai Desert Classic
Back T.Bjorn 2pts each way at 20/1-T8th
Back P.Hanson 2pts each way at 20/1
Back Anders Hansen 2pts each way 25/1-(-12pts)


AT&T Pro-Am
Back B.Molder 2pts each way at 28/1
Back DA Points 2pts each way at 40/1
Back J.Mallinger 2pts each way at 66/1-All U/P

Back Bjorn & Molder 1pt each way Double.-Lost(-2pts)(DT-26pts)


Charlie Wi is a non winner and has even talked of his own demons etc.Not exactly the sort of positive things you would expect to hear.Theres a whole host of players waiting for him to falter.
Lay Charlie Wi 35pts at 2.5-2nd(+35pts)(DT+9pts)
Days total minus commission+8.55pts
Monthly Total+277.91pts
Running Total+2677.58pts

11th February

310 Musselburgh-Really competitive handicap.Lightening Rod and Woody Waller are unexposed chasers that must go well but at a much bigger price,im going to take a punt on De Boitron,who has a pattern in his form where it performs much better after the turn of the year,so its poor form before xmas is fairly irrelevant.
Back De Boitron 5pts at 17.0(Available at Bet365)-3rd(-5pts)Ran a good race


450 Musserlburgh-Really like Cape Dutchs progressive profile here.Cotillion is a solid yardstick but is still 5Ibs behind without the prospect of further improvement.Bowlders magic is also unexposed but has a massive amount to find.
Back Cape Dutch 20pts at 3.35-Won(+47pts)(DT+42pts)The 2 mentioned horses pulled well clear


215 Lingfield-Lots of chances here but im a little surprised to see the well drawn,consistent,course and distance winner Valmina at such a big price.
Back Valmina 5.5pts at 12.0-4th(-5.5pts)Ran really well and just beaten(DT+37pts)


245 Lingfield-Im trying to cut down on the laying but Palace Moon is a very inconsistent horse,who isnt proven at this track and even its rating from its last time out win leaves it 7Ib behind.So its price means everything else in the race is bigger than it should be.It has to be laid
Lay Palace Moon 35pts at 4.0-Won(=)Got cold feet and traded out when it touched 6.0 as it drifted before the off.A Good Decision!


3.0 Kempton-Casa Bex is fav and he should go well but Songbird Blues has got a good draw and is a massive price.
Back Songbird Blues 6pts at 10.0-2nd(-6pts)Another to run well and in my opinion should have won(DT+31pts)


355 Lingfield-Tornado Force is improving fast and is ridden by Jimmy Fortune who has ridden sparingly on the AW so far but operates at a 20% strike rate.Should come home strong and win.
Back Tornado Force 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)Another 2nd after looking certain to win(DT+16pts)


430 Lingfield-Mister Frosty is too short and may well win but there is some value elsewhere with Avon Supreme
Back Avon Supreme 6pts at 16.0-4th(-6pts)Not put into the race!!!(DT+10pts)


750 Wolverhampton-A 2 horse race for me between Boa and Kames Park.The latter has the better chance purely on ratings but is a bit of a dodgepot,cant see him out of the frame.
Back Kames Park 10pts at 4.5 & 50pts at 1.7 to place(1st 3)-2nd(+25pts)The old dodgers head came right back in the jockeys lap(who gave it a peach of a ride)and he didnt want it.Some good selections all day with nothing running poorly,pretty frustrating that a real big profit wasnt made on the day but a good call to trade out on the lay.(DT+35pts)
Days total minus commission+33.25pts
Monthly Total+268.36pts
Running Total+2669.03pts

10th February

225 Southwell-Wheres Reilley should jump out and win easily.
Back Wheres Reilley 25pts at 3.0-Won(+50pts)


3.0 Southwell-You have to respect Broughtons Bandit and Cloudy Start is another with a chance but i like the progressive Magic Millie who is yet to run a bad race on this course specialists track.
Back Magic Millie 11pts at 4.3-3rd(-11pts)I thought he was coming to win but just went down by a neck(DT+39pts)


510 Wolverhampton-Novabridge and particularly No Mean Trick are definitely dangers but ive got Grand Stitch at 4.3,so the current price is too big,should run well.
Back Grand Stitch 6pts at 8.0 -UP(-6pts)Ran awful(DT+33pts)


540 Wolverhampton-Welcome Approach has a poor draw but so has its biggest danger Consistant.As a hold up horse it should be able to drop in and try and pick them up late.
Back Welcome Approach 6pts at 9.0-3rd(-6pts)Ran well(DT+27pts)


Rugby League-St Helens V Salford
Back Salford +22.5pts on Hcp 35pts at 2.1-Traded out when Salford were 10-4 up(=)
Days total minus commission+25.65pts
Monthly Total+235.11pts
Running Total+2635.78pts

9th February

No Selections Today

8th February

Football
Middlesbrough V Sunderland-I feel that that Boro will struggle to break Sunderland down tonight,added to the fact they are struggling for goals then a resurgent away side should prevail.
Back Sunderland to win in 90 mins 30pts at 2.1-(-30pts)


Golf
Dubai Desert Classic
Back T.Bjorn 2pts each way at 20/1
Back P.Hanson 2pts each way at 20/1
Back Anders Hansen 2pts each way 25/1


AT&T Pro-Am
Back B.Molder 2pts each way at 28/1
Back DA Points 2pts each way at 40/1
Back J.Mallinger 2pts each way at 66/1


Back Bjorn & Molder 1pt each way Double.
(All selections 1st 6 places at Bodog.com)


Monthly Total+209.46
Running Total+2610.13pts

7th February

2.0 Wolverhampton-Tight little handicap.Suddenly Susan is fav but doesnt look as good round this track.Perlachy and Steelcut should go well but if Absa Lute is on a going day it has the ratings to win this.
Back Absa Lute 7pts at 8.0-4th(-7pts)Horse drifted badly but I thought 2furlongs it might be winning,Jockey never touched it once with the whip.Does make you wonder?
Monthly Total+239.46pts
Running Total+2640.13pts

6th February

355 Wolverhampton-Quite a tight little handicap.Riverdale hasnt proved his stamina over 7f so I like 2 horses in good form.
Back Trojan Rocket 10pts at 4.5-Won & Needwood Ridge 5.5pts at 10.0-UP(+29.5pts)


310 Ayr-This looks pretty weak and after running well over 2m1 and 3m,this 2m5f trip should be ideal for Saddle Pack.The only doubt being chasing debutant Proud Times who obviously cant be given a rating.
Back Saddle Pack 15pts at 4.3-4th(-15pts)Well backed but looks like it hasnt got a trip to be honest.certainly needs a better jockey.(DT+14.5pts)
Days total minus commission+13.77pts
Monthly Total+246.46pts
Running Total+2647.13pts

5th February

Chelsea V Man Utd-The Mancs have won their last 4 against Chelsea and the hosts are struggling for goals.They are missing Terry,Drogba and most importanlyt Ramires in my opinion.I can still see Man Utd going past Man City in the league and its difficult to see them losing today.
Back Man Utd 35pts at Evens on the Draw no bet Market-Draw(0pts)


Golf-Phoenix Open
Looks unlikely of any return of the original selections in Phoenix but the overnight leader Spencer Levin has never won and although he has a very big lead,if he falters a little then theres a couple of proven winners just waiting to pounce.
Back Bubba Watson 2.5pts at 18.5-5th(-2.5pts) & Webb Simpson 5pts at 9.6-UP(-5pts)
R.Fowler 2pts Each Way at 22/1-UP(-4pts)
C.Villegas 2pts Each way at 45/1-UP(-4pts)
J.Wagner 2pts Each Way at 50/1-UP(-4pts)Total on Tournament(-19.5pts)


Qatar Masters(Golf)
S.Garcia 3pts Each Way(1st 5) at 14/1-Tied 5th(+3.19pts)
Paul Lawrie 2pts Each Way at 50/1-Won(+125pts)
T.Olesen 2pts Each way at 80/1-UP(-4pts)Total on Tournament(+124.19pts)(DT+104.69pts)
Monthly Total+232.69pts
Running Total+2633.36pts

4th February

2.0 Lingfield-Cut the cackle looks ready to strike after a really good run last time.
Back Cut the Cackle 9.5pts at 5.2-Won(+40pts)


235 Fairyhouse-Off to Ireland as I really like the chances of Willie Mullins progressive hurdler,he stays a bit further than this so should be finishing when the others have cried enough.
Revised 
Back Rockyaboya (Lisrose non runner now) so back 15pts at 3.85-5th(-15pts)(DT+25pts)
Days total minus commission+23.75pts
Monthly Total+128.0pts
Running Total+2528.67pts
Golf Update
In pretty good shape in Qatar,Lawrie is in the lead,Garcia in the top 10 and Olesen in the top 35
Qatar Masters(Golf)
S.Garcia 3pts Each Way(1st 5) at 14/1
Paul Lawrie 2pts Each Way at 50/1
T.Olesen 2pts Each way at 80/1(All at Totesport.com)

All 3 players also made the cut :-),must be a record! All inside the top 21 but the leader needs to come back to the field.
Phoenix Open
R.Fowler 2pts Each Way at 22/1
C.Villegas 2pts Each way at 45/1
J.Wagner 2pts Each Way at 50/1

3rd February

315 Wolverhampton-Daniel Thomas is on a roll while Alhaban looks to be a much better horse at Lingfield.

Back Daniel Thomas 9.5pts at 5.2-Won & Lay Alhaban 35pts at 6.0-UP(+75pts)


450 Wolverhampton-Island Legend returned to form last time and came good in February last year.
Back Island Legend 9.5pts at 5.2-Not Matched
Days total minus commission+71.25pts
Monthly Total+104.25pts
Running Total+2504.92pts

1st February

A new month and Im going to start to put more sport bets on this blog.

Botswana V Mali (African Nations Cup)-Botswana are a very poor side.incredibly slow at the back with very little goal threat up front,its a short price about Mali but it should be a lot shorter.
Back Mali 100pts at 1.33-Won(+33pts)Got out of jail really as Mali were poor and it will be interesting to see who they get in the Q-Finals.(No commission as backed at bookmaker)


Qatar Masters(Golf)
S.Garcia 3pts Each Way(1st 5) at 14/1
Paul Lawrie 2pts Each Way at 50/1
T.Olesen 2pts Each way at 80/1(All at Totesport.com)


Phoenix Open
R.Fowler 2pts Each Way at 22/1
C.Villegas 2pts Each way at 45/1
J.Wagner 2pts Each Way at 50/1


Monthly Total+33pts
Running Total+2433.67pts