31st July

435 Perth-Castlelawn steps up in trip and it may see it improve dramatically,however id always rather see it first.

Strongpoint has run well over hurdles the last twice and hasnt raced over fences for 2 years.

Sergeant Pink has to improve again and is much better at shorter.

Hawaii Klass is solid and I make it the main danger to Scotch Warrior,who loves it here(Perth4w-2p-9r),is best in small fields(0-9runners 4w-1p-9r) and at this trip (2m4f 3w-0p-6r)

Back Scotch Warrior 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Skybet-Won(+36pts 1 non runner)Decent finish to the month.Real shame about the 2 lays that won.

Monthly Total-58.70pts

Running Total+5330.70pts

30th July

805 Perth-Owen Glendower should run well as a consistent,in form chaser but its the right price.

At a bigger price,Mumbles Head gets first time cheek pieces for its very in form trainer.It loves it here(Perth 4w-0p-5r) and in class 3 races its 4w-3p-9r after spending its last few runs in a higher grade.

Back Mumbles Head 10pts at 6.0 at bet365-Won(+50pts)Well backed and stayed on well

Monthly Total-94.70pts

Running Total+5294.70pts

29th July

445 Wolverhampton-This is a wide open race with various horses with chances but also doubts surrounding them.

Toughness Danon ran well last time but over slightly further and at Kempton.Its the right price.

Between the Lines has run its best 2 races of its career at Kempton and has been pretty poor elsewhere.

Rowlestone Lad has run  3 solid races since stepped up in trip but does have to prove itself on polytrack.

Hallstatt will probably be thereabouts but 4 wins in 52 starts isnt great.

Im going to take a chance on Blazing Desert,whos had a little break,its last 5 runs have been on turf or fibresand and returns to its fav track(Wolv 2w-2p-6r) and is well handicapped(5Ib below last winning mark)

Back Blazing Desert 6pts at 9.0 at various Bookies.-UP(-6pts)Shortened up in the market and was well placed but found nothing in the straight

Ceiling Price 7.5

830 Windsor-Poyle Thomas is unexposed and drops in grade but the market hasnt missed it.

Aldwick Bay needs the ground to turn soft to run to its best.

Shirakati and Kittens should both run well as in form and solid horses.The latter is a bigger price and is the value.

Back Kittens 7pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-7pts)Ran a great race but was just denied by the fav(DT-13pts)

Ceiling Price 6.0

28th July

405 Pontefract-Trade Commissioner ran well last time and should go well but it is the right price.

Gabriel drops back down to listed level but looks a bit shorter than ive got it on my tissue.

On its seasonal debut run,Aesops Fables has a bit to find but its win in a Group 1 last year in France is the best rating on show here.

This is obviously a drop in class and Its also 1w-2p-4r in fields of 9 or less and its last 4 runs have been in bigger fields than that.

The thing that really interests me and encourages me that last years rating could be matched is that since this race was first run in 2007,Saeed Bin Suroor has run 4 horses in this race and they have finished 1st,1st,2nd and 1st.

We can only hope the jockey makes a better fist of it than he did on Dark Emerald on Saturday.

Back Aesops Fables 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys-3rd(-9pts)No more Kieron Fallon ridden tips from me.Alongside the winner coming into the straight and then attacks a horse hanging right,on its right hand side.Ending up not far off the near rail.Absolutely no chance after that.

Ceiling Price 4.5

415 Ascot-Love Marmalade is top rated and if in the same form,will go very close but its the same price as on my tissue.

Charles Camoin has clearly not been an easy horse to train with just 8 runs in 3 years.As is so often the case with fragile animals,they are best caught fresh(1st and 2nd last 2 seasons on seasonal debut).

This horse`s last 4 runs have been in grade higher than this and it won 2 of them.If it follows its rest pattern then it could be a very big price.

Back Charles Camoin 3pts at 17.0 at Ladbrokes-Won(+60pts)SP 20/1 and an incredible Betfair SP of 36/1 and nice to get a winner.(DT+51pts)

Ceiling Price 10.0

Monthly Total-131.70pts

Running Total+5257.70pts

27th July

7.0 Lingfield-First Class has ran in a class 6 race once and won it and just 3 starts ago,it came 2nd in 2 grades higher and although ran below par last time,its get the cheekpieces and is a big price to bounce back.

Enriching is 4w-1p-6r in this grade but has an awful draw.

Wishformore goes well here but doesnt seem to win that much.

Back First Class 5pts at 10.0-3rd(-5pts)We had the weeks selections summed up here.Called the market correctly again! Smashed into 3/1-touches 1.44 in running and finishes 3rd

505 Newmarket-Star Pearl is the obvious one here,on its handicap debut for a big yard but at a massive price,Dark Emerald drops back to its best trip and is best after a break like today(41days or more 2w-1p-3r)

Back Dark Emerald 3pts at 17.0 at Bet365-UP(-3pts)So easy to blame jockeys but Fallon was a joke here.A front runner that stays a bit further,he drops it in and then switches it about 4 times.Was given no chance at any stage.(DT-8pts)

Ceiling Price 10.0

26th July

330 Uttoxeter-After just 4 starts over hurdles,Annelko has plenty of upside to it.Its clear top rated here in a weak race.

The potential fly in the ointment is Sugar Hiccup,who has absolutely no chance on anything its done before but Jim Best has booked McCoy and they are 10/18 this season.

Back Annelko 11pts at 6.0 at Betvictor-2nd(-11pts)Beaten by 28 race maiden under rules.Looked to becoming to win the race but the winner didnt come back.

Ceiling Price 5.3

 

6.0 York-Future Reference won last time over a furlong shorter than this and on Polytrack.

So far,it looks a better horse under those conditions as its ratings over 8 furlongs and on turf are nowhere near it.Its always possible that its improving but it shouldnt be fav in a competitve race.

Nurpur is consistent while Saint Jerome has a chance on ratings and has the best jockey on board.

Hard Core Debt has its 2nd run for Brian Ellison after performing well last time while Testa Rossa comes from an in form yard.

Lay Future Reference 30pts at 4.0(Lay upto 6.0)-Lost(+30pts)(DT+19pts)

Days total minus commission+18.05pts

Monthly Total-174.70pts

Running Total+5214.70pts

25th July

350 Bath-A 2 horse race for me.Favourite Portrait is progressive and is just top rated.

Kingston Eucalypt is also progressive and is only 1Ib behind the fav and is definitely the value.

Back Kingston Eucalypt 15pts at 6.0 at Bet365-3rd(-15pts)Very weak in the course betting market and ran an awful race

Ceiling Price 3.5

24th July

220 Worcester-This looks to be between Chandlers Cross,Petroupetrov and Crannaghmore Boy.

Roseneath has a bit too find on my ratings,its also 0w-0p-9r going left handed and 01-1p-11r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Lay Roseneath 30pts at 6.0-Won(-150pts)

*Cancel or trade out if either Chandlers Cross,Petroupetrov and Crannaghmore Boy dont run.Leave in running if not matched if they do*

805 Sandown-A good race in which Estifzaaz should go well.Since running over this trip on its last 2 starts,its produced its best ratings and it takes a slight drop in class today.

Lutine Bell drops into a class 4 for the first time in ages and has Ryan Moore up but has no form over this trip.

Consign and Macchiara are both progressive horses that should go well.

Back Estifzaaz 8pts at 6.0-UP(-8pts) Can it really get any worse?(DT-158pts)

Ceiling price 5.7

23rd July

905 Ffos Las-Only a few that can be seriously fancied.The weather also makes things difficult for tomorrows racing but Catflap is very unexposed over 5 furlongs on turf after just one run that resulted in a win.Got a very good topspeed figure that day and it should go well.

Rock on Candy will suited if theres lot of rain but its ratings on faster ground are quite poor while Lager Time has been running quite well but shouldnt beat the selection if it runs its race.

Back Catflap 18pts at 3.0 at bet365-UP(-18pts)Ran an absolute shocker.Missed the start then marooned out in the middle when it had been obvious the rail was the place to be but I doubt it made much difference.

21st July

330 Stratford-To Live won as it liked for us last week and if my ratings mean anything,then anything close to that last run will see it go very close.

Back To Live 25pts at 3.0 at Paddys and Skybet-3rd(-25pts)Went off at Evens,so got that bit right and I still cant believe this horse hasnt won.(hit 1.3 in running)

420 Newton Abbot-I doubt if Aikideau would be near the front of the betting if it wasnt trained by Paul Nicholls but im reluctant to lay because this is a weak race.The veteran Inishrush should run well while Sandynow in the first time visor could return to form.

Lord lescribba ran poorly last time but does go well here although it is 0w-2p-12r in this class of race.

Always Bold is 3w-0p-5r over this trip,has 4 win on sharp tracks and the trainer is 4/19 with his chasers here.

The one slight negative is the trainer is struggling for winner but this horse is a good price and ran well last time.

Back Always Bold 7pts at 6.6-3rd(-7pts)Once again,the price moved in but this was well beat despite touching 3.35 in running

350 Newton Abbot-Hunting Tower is such a big price then it just has to be backed.This will be only its 2nd start for Tim Vaughan and gets the good to firm it likes(2w-1p-4r),it returns fresh from an absence and the market will probably tell us whats expected.

Catlemorris King continues to run well but does have it to do to hold off Bright Abbey after the weights turnaround from an earlier meeting between the two.

Rum and Butter has to improve a little on my ratings.

Back Hunting Tower 5pts at 11.0 at various Bookies-2nd(-5pts)Just to around off a really disappointing weekend,this horse ran a great race but wasnt quite good enough.(DT-37pts)

Monthly Total-1.25pts

Running Total+5407.40pts

20th July

240 Newbury-Not the strongest Listed race and there are doubts about many in the field.

Black Spirit has the ratings from last season to win this but has ran poorly this season over hurdles & flat.

Ocean War made a solid reappearance after 2 years off but horses often fail to match the comeback run after such a long absence.

Royal Empire is 2/2 after a break of 80 days ,so should go well after 140 days off but its best ratings have come in Meydan and that form often doesnt travel well.

Dicky Doughtywylie has run some good races this season in good company and on my ratings ,it isnt out of it.

Back Dicky Doughtywylie 6pts at 8.0 at Ladbrokes/Skybet-3rd(-6pts)

Ceiling Price 7.5

355 Cartmel-Royale Knight looks rock solid here and if continuing its good form,should go close.

Although its never ran here,it is 3w-1p-7r on sharp tracks,2w-1p-3r on good to firm ground and 4w-0p-9r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Themilanhorse represents top connections but so far,its ratings dont match its hurdling exploits.

The probable danger is Ballbough Gorta,who on last seasons ratings is right there but hasnt as yet matched them this term.

Back Royale Knight 18pts at 3.25 at Boyles-2nd(-18pts)Winner was allowed its own way in front but Royale Knight looked like it was coming to win a furlong out but just failed to get there.(DT-24pts)

Ceiling price 2.75

535 Cartmel-Social Realism is on a hat trick but needs to improve again to win this,on my ratings,It looks a very short price.

Take it on with Bollin Dolly,who is 1/1 on this specialist track,loves fast ground and I would like to see some money for this,as this yard like a punt.

Me and Ben is the danger for me.

Back Bollin Dolly 6pts at 11.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Money came for it and looked quite dangerous at one point but Harding just cant get ever seem to get a horse rolling to my eyes anyway.(DT-30pts)

Ceiling price 9.0

19th July

715 Hamilton-Unless Dancing Cosmos proves better over here than its been in ireland then this looks a 2 horse race between Salvatore Fury and Saxonette.Ive got the former on a higher rating and is a strong favourite on my tissue.

Its a course and distance winner and is also 2w-1p-5r when returning to the track within 7 days.

Saxonette should run well but only won a selling handicap last time and is only 1w-3p-19r in this class.

Back Salvatore Fury 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Won very easily

Ceiling Price 2.75

Monthly Total+65.25pts

Running Total+5474.40pts

18th July

745 Epsom-Course form round here is vital and Spirit of Sharjah is the only course winner on show.Its also just top rated after its best run(Over CD) for a while last time.In fields of 9 or less its 5w-1p-14r.

Magic City is the clear danger.

Back Spirit of Sharjah 10pts at 5.0 at Ladbrokes-UP(-10pts)

Ceiling Price 4.3

520 Brighton-Its in the veteran stage now but Stonecrabstomorrow shouldnt be the price it is in this.

A 4 time course winner,it ran a good race last time and achieved a rating that puts it right there.

Cape of Hope makes its handicap debut and is the main danger while Belle Bayardo has a chance on its run 2 starts back but its trainer has had just 1 win from his last 58 runners.

Back Stonecrabstomorrow 9pts at 6.0 at Paddy Power-2nd(-9pts)(DT-19pts)

Ceiling Price 4.0

555 Brighton-St Ignatius has a solid chance here and should go well.

Beacon Lady has run 3 solid races here recently and looks certain to run its race.

Langley achieved the best rating last time but that was on the All weather and its best flat form has been on softer ground.

Steely isnt out of it but I think Frosty Dancer is the other with a good chance.

Speed Steed won last time but needs to come on again as i have it 8Ib behind the top rated.Nothing that finished behind it last time has done anything to suggest it was a good race.

Lay Speed Steed 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner

*Cancel or Trade out if either St Ignatius,Beacon Lady or Frosty Dancer dont run.If not matched leave in running if they do run* 

Monthly Total+29.25

Running Total+5438.40pts

17th July

3.0 Lingfield-Hi Note won well last time and certainly has a good chance on ratings but that was an awful race and it moves back up in class to a grade that its 0w-0p-5r in.

Miss Tiger Lily should go well but at a massive price,I think Rapid Heat Lad could go close.

So far its better on the All weather but it won a hurdle race last year on good ground and has had only 7 starts on grass anyway.

However what really catches my eye is its profile.It likes a break between its races(41 days or more 2w-0p-6r)

its 2w-0p-3r in fields of 7 or less and is 2w-1p-7r in this class of race.

Back Rapid Heat Lad 4pts at 13.0 at various Bookies -UP(-4pts)

16th July

430 Beverley-Relight my Fire is the only 3yo in this field and looks to be improving with the blinkers clearly helping.

It gained its first career win last time and a repeat of that rating would see it go very close.

Just the Tonic won last time but needs to improve again.

The main danger for me is probably Blue Maisey whos rating 2 runs back puts it right there but ran below par last time.

Back Relight my Fire 11pts at 4.3-Won(+36.30pts)Good run continues with a really easy win.

Days total minus commission+34.48pts

Monthly Total+52.25pts

Running Total+5461.40pts

15th July

430 Ayr-True Pleasure is top rated on its last run and the slight drop in trip shouldnt be a problem.The horse it beat into 2nd last time has since come out and won and the topspeed figure that day was excellent.

Jebel Tara has been on a roll but needs to improve again.

Oratory has been in desperate form but joins a new yard so the betting will probably give an indication to whats expected.

Back True Pleasure 12pts at 5.5 at Ladbrokes/Skybet-Won(+54pts)Hopefully some took some of the massive 10 and 11.0 available on Betfair around 10am when the gamble on Oratory was in full flow.Won pretty easy!

8.0 Windsor-This looks a hot little handicap.Zeyran is top rated and progressive for Lady Cecil and should go well.

Ethel has only had 2 runs and could be anything for its powerful yard while Serenity Spa also looks to be improving and got a massive speed figure last time.

Taking on Ryan Moore`s mounts isnt always a great idea but Easter Diva has to find 7Ibs with the mentioned horses.It drops in trip on a speed track and faces the quickest ground its ever encountered.It looks sure to be outpaced to me.

Lay Easter Diva 30pts at 6.0-2nd(+30pts)Must not take Moore on again.Gave this a great ride although all 3 i liked ran below their rating ,im fairly sure.(+84pts)

*Cancel or trade out if Zeyran,Ethel or Serenity Spa dont run.Leave in running if not matched providing they do run*

4.0 Ayr-Twenty One Choice is consistent,progressive and goes well fresh.Its trainer is in good form and its 3w-1p-6r over this trip.

Alejandro has a rating that would put it there but is 0w-1p-14r on galloping tracks.

Our Boy Jack ran quite well last time but is only 1w-5p-20r when returning to the track after 8 days or more.

Menelink is quite difficult to assess as all recent runs have been on the All weather but on my ratings it needs to improve.

Back Twenty One Choice 11pts at 4.3-3rd(Not Matched)

Days total minus commission+82.50pts

Monthly Total+17.77pts

Running Total+5426.92pts

14th July

250 Stratford-I have a small query about To Live`s record in this class of race but this is pretty weak.Its shown some progression in its last few chase starts and Tom Cannon is 1/1 on it.

Health is Wealth ran well last time after a poor run of form.All its wins are on sharp tracks like todays but its always lost its form from July onwards(July-December 0w-0p-11r).

There isnt much else with a compelling profile in the race

Back To Live 9pts at 5.3-Won(+38.7pts)Was a weak affair but To Live jumped lovely and really did win easy.

310 Southwell-Ben Cee Pee M makes its debut for Brian Ellison here.It has a chance on ratings and the market will tell its own story as regards its chance especially the racecourse betting.

Amuse Me has the ratings to win this and moves back up its best trip but from June to Sept its 0w-0p-11r.

Western High makes its handicap debut but its 0w-0p-6r on Left handed and sharp tracks.

At a much bigger price,I think Geminus could go well.Its last 2 runs can be excused.Its got a poor record fresh and is at its best on Left handed/Sharp tracks(3w-0p-5r)

Its also 1/1 over this course and distance.

Back Geminus 5pts at 12.0 at William Hill/Betvictor-UP(-5pts)Nicely backed in and led until the home straight but weakened badly.(DT+33.7pts)

Days total minus commission+32.01pts

Monthly Total-64.73pts

Running Total+5344.42pts

13th July

450 Ascot-Muffin McCeay looks to me to prefer decent or softer ground.You would expect the ground to be very fast,it needs to improve a bit anyway and thats unlikely to happen on good to firm ground.Its also 0w-1p-6r in this class of race.

Ogbourne Downs is very unexposed and could be different class to these as it steps up in trip.

Commend is another I would expect to run well,dropping in class and back up to its best trip.

Burnham is solid and rarely runs a bad race and the same can be said for Come on Blue Chip

Lay Muffin McCeay 30pts at 6.0-Not Matched

*Cancel or Trade out if either Ogbourne Downs,Commend or Burnham dont run.Leave in running if not matched if they do run*

220 York-Sun Central is consistent and largely progressive.It has form over a little further than this,so long straight here should be ideal.

Montaser is the main danger.

Back Sun Central 13pts at 4.5 at William Hill-Won(+45.5pts)Won pretty easy

Ceiling Price 4.0

330 York-Kingsgate Choice has won its last 2 and is top rated.Its a Course and distance winner and must go well.

Heeraat has similar credentials and is the danger but the selection should be favourite.

Back Kingsgate Choice 11pts at 4.5 at Ladbrokes/Bet365-4th(-11pts)Hit 1.33 in running as it looked like it was making a winning run but just flattened out yards out.(DT+34.5pts)
Monthly Total-96.74pts
Running Total+5312.41pts

12th July

510 York-If Noble Deed repeats its 6 furlong form over an extra furlong then it will probably win this but its a short price considering its stamina still has to be proved.

Take it on with Penny Garcia,whos pretty consistent and is still unexposed over this distance after only 2 runs.

Back Penny Garcia 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365 and Betvictor-2nd(-5pts)Hit the front just over a furlong out but just got outstayed.

Ceiling Price 10.0

525 Ascot-Darnathean put up an excellent rating and speed figure last time and anything close to repeating that will put it right there.

Interestingly that last run was in a small field and all its career wins have been in fields of 10 or more.The trainer books a decent claimer for the ride and hes 2/7 for the yard.

Dance Express has only had 2 runs and I make him the danger.

Back Darnathean 10pts at 5.2-UP(-10pts)Slowly into stride and never really in it.Really poor run considering how strong it had been in the market.(DT-15pts)

910 Chepstow-Edged Out`s 2 best ratings have come over this course and distance and is joint top rated with Lager Time.

Imperial Spirit should go well while The Black Jacobin is a CD winner that drops to its prefered trip.

Jimmy Elder is 0/9 is this class of race and so far looks better on polytrack than turf.

Lay Jimmy Elder 30pts at 6.0-Won(-150pts)

*Cancel or trade out if either Edged Out,Lager Time or The Black Jacobin dont run.If not matched leave in running providing they do run*

450 Ascot-So far,Private Alexandra has been pretty highly tried.In just 5 career starts,its last 3 have been in Group 1 ,Group 3 and Listed level and now runs in a class 2 handicap.

Last time out on its 1st run for the David O`Meara yard,it produced easily the best rating here and although theres always the worry about stakes to handicap form standing up,it has to supported.

There are some unexposed horses taking it on but if the last rating can be reproduced then it will surely go very close.

Back Private Alexandra 12pts at 5.0 at Ladbrokes-UP(-12pts)Betting told you everything here.Got cut up by the winner but was never going to win.(DT-177pts) Such a Poor day and right back up against it again after I thought it was all turning :-(

Ceiling Price 3.5

Monthly Total-131.24pts

Running Total+5278.91pts

11th July

425 Newmarket-Theres no doubting that Montiridge is the most likely winner here but it does have a penalty to carry and ive got Alhebayeb only a 1Ib behind it.

The selection ran very well last time upped to a mile for the first time,is a group 2 winner from last season,is 1/1 on the July course and 2w-1p-3r in fields of 9 or less.It looks a very big price to me.

Ashdan is unexposed but its pedigree suggests it will be better over further than a mile.

Back Alhebayeb 5pts at 9.0 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-5pts)

Ceiling Price 6.0

855 Epsom-Good little race for the grade and I like the chances of Langley Vale,whos top rated and been pretty consistent.

Undulating tracks like this dont suit some horses but this horse is 2w-0p-4r on such like tracks.3w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-1p-5r when returning to the track after 29 days or more like today.

Freddy with a Y is a threat as it has a progressive profile and Baldemar is the other thats feared with its excellent 3w-1p-7r record at this track.

Langley Vale should just be favourite though and is the value.

Back Langley Vale 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365-3rd(-7pts)Ran a great race and just got nailed near the line(DT-12pts)

Ceiling Price 6.0

10th July

410 Yarmouth-Admirality comes here on a roll after winning its last 3 but all those were on the All Weather and this horse also moves up to 2 grades from a class 5 to a class 3.It may win but it needs to improve again and obviously does have a few question marks.

Poisson D`or won last time over course and distance but on my ratings,its got 8Ibs to find with Azrael,who is 2/2 at this track and has its ideal conditions.

Back Azrael 11pts at 4.5 at Various bookies -Non Runner

9th July

4.0 Pontefract-This looks to lie between Ladys First and Gifted Girl.The former is a solid performer but seems to place more than win.

Gifted Girl looks a bit more progressive,has the best speed figure and is the bigger price.

Back Gifted Girl 13pts at 3.75 at various bookies-Won(+35.75pts)

Monthly Total+58.76pts

Running Total+6467.91pts

8th July

4.0 Ayr-A race full of if and buts and theres a possibility that Activate cant do it in this grade anymore but theres enough in its profile to warrant an interest at the price.Its rating on its last run puts it right there,its versatile trip wise and its 6w-2p-19r in fields of 9 or less and 4w-0p-8r when carrying 8st13 or less

Course Specialist Forrest Flyer will surely run ok but a record 0w-1p-12r in this grade leaves it vulnerable.

Hawdyerwheest ran well last time but that was on one of its favoured sharp tracks.On galloping tracks its 0w-2p-15r(Including 0/11 here) and is 0w-1p-6r in the month of July.

Muhaarer was all the rage last time but let its supporters down.If the money was right,its still fairly unexposed but is still a short enough price.

Back Activate 6pts at 8.5 at Skybet-5th(-6pts)Very odd race.Activate came swooping down the outside 3 out(hit 2.28 in running) and looked the winner but then seemed to almost not get home.Weakening badly in the final furlong.This horse stays at least 3 furlongs further than this?

Ceiling Price 7.0

730 Windsor-West Coast Dream bids to repeat its win in this race last year but that was on soft ground and its ratings on faster are far inferior.On my tissue its one of the outsiders.

There are quite a few running for us.Angelito is a consistent horse with a record of 2w-1p-3r in fields of 9 or less.

Sandfrankskipsgo is a solid course winner as is Whitecrest.

Blanc de Chine(another course winner) is 3w-1p-8r in this class of race while Cruisetothelimit is 1w-2p-3r here and 3w-2p-6r in the month of July,its clearly expected to hit top form now with Richard Hughes booked.

Lay West Coast Dream 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Matched In running before weakening right out of it.(DT+24pts)

*Cancel or trade out if either Angelito,Sandfrankskipsgo or Cruisetothelimit dont run.If not matched leave in running if they do*

Days total minus commission+22.8pts

Monthly Total+23.01pts

Running Total+5432.16pts

7th July

330 Ayr-Barton Bounty is probably better on the AW but its best 2 runs on turf have been here(1st and 2nd from 2 runs) and last time it was in a grade that its never won in.So back down in class,at a track it likes,it should run well.

The obvious one is Amazing Blue Sky,who won last time and if it gets a solo in front then will be a tough opponent.

St Ignacius is the other one in with a chance on my ratings.

Back Barton Bounty 7pts at 8.0-Won(+49pts)Fav was a littled harried in the lead and fell in a hole.The selection always looked to be holding on.

Days total minus commission+46.55pts

Monthly Total+0.21pts

Running Total+5409.36pts

6th July

255 Haydock-I really like the look of Albasharah here.Its only had 4 runs and could well still be unbeaten if it hadnt had a luckless run last time at Royal Ascot.Its clear top rated on its efforts at 10furlongs but Its very possible that it could be even better at todays trip as its sires progeny are 10/51 at the trip(10%).

The only realistic danger for me is Moment in Time,who is improving and goes well at this track.

Back Albasharah 25pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies.-3rd(-25pts)Pulled like a train for at least 4 furlongs and I think it told at the death.In front  afurlong out but couldnt hold on.

205 Sandown-The horse clearly on the upgrade in this race is Dutch Masterpiece and providing its draw doesnt provide any problems,it should run well against some in and out performers.It is 3/3 in fields of 9 or less.

Kingsgate Native would go close on its run 2 starts back but ran poorly last time.

Back Dutch Masterpiece 7pts at 7.0 at Boyles/Skybet-Non Runner

350 Sandown-Al Kazeen and Mukhadram fought out the finish last time at Royal Ascot and should be bang there again.The former is a proven Group 1 performer(2/2) while the latter is an improving sort and he looks a decent price.

Declaration of War fulfilled all the hype last time while this could be Mars`s ideal trip.

The Fugue is expected to improve for her seasonal debut but on my ratings ,its needs to.Fillies also have a very poor record in this race.

Lay The Fugue 30pts at 5.8(Lay up to 6.0)-UP(+30pts)(DT+5pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Al Kazeen,Mukhadram or Declaration of war dont run*
Days total minus commission+4.90
Monthly Total-46.34pts
Running Total+5362.81pts

5th July

335 Doncaster -Creek Falcon has encountered 7 furlongs on fast ground twice and won them both.Its top rated on its last run,clearly likes a little break between its runs(Gap of 29 to 80 days 2w-1p-3r) and is 2/2 on galloping tracks.

It must surely go close.

Defendant is lightly raced from the Stoute stable but it needs to improve on my ratings

Glen Moss is consistent but keeps edging up the handicap without winning.

Otto the Great I feel is the main danger after running its best race of the season last time,it has a rating from last season that puts it right there.

Back Creek Falcon 11pts at 4.3 at Boyles Sports-UP(-13pts)

Ceiling Price 4.0

2pt exacta Creek Falcon and Otto the Great

420 Warwick-Weak race and it looks a good opportunity for Belle Bayardo.This horse is more consistent than most in this field and doesnt start winning until July(month of July 3w-0p-7r),after a good 2nd last time,it looks primed to win.

Storm Lightning is the clear danger for me,after a good run last time.

Sole Danser has a rating from last season that goes close but hasnt reached that level this year and it is only 1/22 in its career.

Amber heights is very inconsistent,is 0w-0p-7r between June and August and 0w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Back Belle Bayardo 15pts at 3.35-UP(-15pts) 2 really poor runs(DT-28pts)

Ceiling Price 3.0

Monthly Total- 51.24pts

Running Total+5357.91pts

4th July

350 Haydock-The drop to sprinting looks to be ideal for Mutafaakir.This horse was struggling to get home over 7f but in its 2 runs over 6f,its finished 1st and 2nd and its ratings have a nice progressive look.It should run well.

Al Khan looks the biggest danger as Nashaara possibly wants a bit more cut in the ground.

Back Mutafaakir 15 pts at 3.5 at various bookies-3rd(-15pts)Jockey didnt seem to know which way to go but when it did find daylight,it really didnt pick up.

5.0 Perth-Solway Dandy put up a performance that comes out top on my ratings last time,looking like the step up in trip will be ideal.

Strongpoint ran well last time but has been hiked up 10Ib for coming 2nd.

I`ll be Frank also ran well last time but is 0w-1p-6r on sharp tracks while Weybridge Light is another not at home on this type of track(Sharp track 0w-0p-5r)

Back Solway Dandy 9pts at 6.0 at bet365 and Skybet-Fell(-9pts)Called the market correctly as it went off favourite and just creeping into contention when it fell 3 out.(DT-24pts)

3rd July

5.0 Catterick-Slide Show produced easily the best rating of these last time,on only its second start since joining Dandy Nicholls.The trainer himself has hit form(3 winners from last 13 runners). and this horse should run really well.

Most of the others are much of a muchness.Petrol ran poorly last time and now gets a visor fitted while Alisa Craig appears better at 10 furlongs.2 times course and distance winner Light the City may prove the biggest danger.

Back Slide Show 11pts at 4.2-Won(2 non runners+30.8pts)

440 Perth-Quel Ballistic looks the most likely winner but the market hasnt missed it and im surprised at the gap in prices between it and Peachey Moment.The latter has a good Perth record(2w-1p-7r)likes fast ground(Good to firm 3w-1p-6r) and its below par run can be excused as it was up in class and it clearly likes a smaller field than it encountered that day(Finishing Positions 8 runners or less 2nd-2nd-1st-2nd-1st-1st-Fell).

Russian War has a good profile but so far isnt as good over fences as it was over hurdles.

Back Peachey Moment 10pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-10pts)(DT+20.8pts)

Days total minus commission+19.76pts

Monthly Total+0.76pts

Running Total+5409.91pts        

2nd July

5.0 Hamilton-Albeit at a lowly level,Bondi Beach Boy has been very progressive.After making its seasonal debut,where it probably needed the run,its won 3 on the bounce and its topspeed figure it produced on its most recent run suggests the slight step up in class wont be a problem.

Salvatore Fury has been consistent and if the rain stays away,is a danger but i think 3 times course and distance winner,Captain Scooby will probably provide the biggest threat

Back Bondi beach Boy 19pts at 3.0-3rd(-19pts)Bit weak in the market but looked like it was coming to win 2 furlongs out,only to plog on at one pace.Really shouldve won this race.

530 Hamilton-Despite winning last time,Ayasha looks up against it here.Ive got it 7Ib behind my top rated(Monel) and its 0w-2p-10r when carrying 9st or more.It also comes out near the bottom on topspeed figures.

Obviously Monel has a decent chance after running its best race for a while last time and drops in class for this.

Secret Advice is quite lightly raced and could have more to come while Hab Reeh has been in good form and should go well.

Lay Ayasha 30pts at 6.0-Cancelled

*Cancel or Trade out if Monel,Secret Advice or Hab Reeh dont run.Leave in running if not matched,if they do run*

July 1st

No Selections