28th July

405 Pontefract-Trade Commissioner ran well last time and should go well but it is the right price.
Gabriel drops back down to listed level but looks a bit shorter than ive got it on my tissue.
On its seasonal debut run,Aesops Fables has a bit to find but its win in a Group 1 last year in France is the best rating on show here.
This is obviously a drop in class and Its also 1w-2p-4r in fields of 9 or less and its last 4 runs have been in bigger fields than that.
The thing that really interests me and encourages me that last years rating could be matched is that since this race was first run in 2007,Saeed Bin Suroor has run 4 horses in this race and they have finished 1st,1st,2nd and 1st.
We can only hope the jockey makes a better fist of it than he did on Dark Emerald on Saturday.
Back Aesops Fables 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys-3rd(-9pts)No more Kieron Fallon ridden tips from me.Alongside the winner coming into the straight and then attacks a horse hanging right,on its right hand side.Ending up not far off the near rail.Absolutely no chance after that.
Ceiling Price 4.5

415 Ascot-Love Marmalade is top rated and if in the same form,will go very close but its the same price as on my tissue.
Charles Camoin has clearly not been an easy horse to train with just 8 runs in 3 years.As is so often the case with fragile animals,they are best caught fresh(1st and 2nd last 2 seasons on seasonal debut).
This horse`s last 4 runs have been in grade higher than this and it won 2 of them.If it follows its rest pattern then it could be a very big price.
Back Charles Camoin 3pts at 17.0 at Ladbrokes-Won(+60pts)SP 20/1 and an incredible Betfair SP of 36/1 and nice to get a winner.(DT+51pts)
Ceiling Price 10.0
Monthly Total-131.70pts
Running Total+5257.70pts

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