31st August

430 Newton Abbot-Thornton Alice is top rated on its last run behind a horse that has gone on to win twice more and is 2w-0p-3r in fields of 9 or more.It should be favourite.

Tarvini gets that honour but it quite inconsistent and its jockey has only had 5 rides this year.

Southway Queen stays this trip but needs to find a few pounds on my ratings.

Little Eaglet likes it here and likes the trip but ran a shocker last time.

Back Thornton Alice 10pts at 5.0 at Paddys/Bet365-2nd(-10pts)Ran really well but just got outstayed by the winner

505 Newton Abbot-Engai is very unexposed over fences and it may improve past everything here but its got to progress on its chase debut and the market is taking no chances.

Wester Ross has run well now for a while but is only 0w-1p-6r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Mibleu is an old veteran now but has 3 wins to its name around this tight track,likes fast ground and is just top rated on its latest run.

Back Mibleu 8pts at 6.0 at various Bookies-4th(-8pts)Poor run

330 Chester-Sun Central has a progressive profile but will need to go on again to take this.

Star Lahib is respected but is the right price.

Im a little surprised at Montasers price.Its been pretty consistent,has a good draw and should run well.

Back Montaser 7pts at 8.6-UP(-7pts)Very ,Very weak in the pre race market and dropped put tamely.

Ceiling Price 6.0

340 Beverley-This is a very tight handicap and Windhoek looks very short on my ratings.

Danat Al Atheer is the value in the race.It ran quite well in a listed race last time and drops back down in grade for a trainer with a 22% strike rate here.

Back Danat Al Atheer 8pts at 7.6-UP(-8pts)You need to be up with the pace at Beverley these days,so probably not my best ever selection.Held up out the back(miles back) and made no impression (DT-33pts)

Disappointing end to a very good month!

Monthly Total+398.13pts

Running Total+5718.83pts

30th August

Todays selection was a non runner

29th August

450 Stratford-A small field and looks to be a decent opportunity for Font to gain its first win for 2 years.

Its produced 2 good efforts this season in a higher grade and now drops back into a class 4(2w-3p-9r) and if it can repeat its last run then it should go close.

Qaspal returns from an absence(It has no great record fresh),it does have a query against the ground and so has questions to answer but represents top connections,so its respected.

Tiermore had been quite consistent until running poorly last time.

Back Font 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365/Betvictor-Won(+36pts)

Ceiling price 3.0

445 Hamilton-Its quite possible that Hail Bold Chief has completely lost its way but theres enough in its profile today to suggest it may just run better than its price suggests.

Its raced at Hamilton 4 times resulting in a win and 2 second places and is 3w-1p-5r in the month of August.Joe Fanning takes the ride for the first time.

A Southside Boy looks like it needs the rain to come.Bayan Kasirga should run well and St Ignatius holds a decent chance on its rating 2 starts back.

Back Hail Bold Chief 4pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-4pts)(DT+32pts)

Monthly Total+431.13pts

Running Total+5751.83pts

28th August

220 Worcester-Quite a tight handicap.Victor Leudorum has only had 4 runs over fences and makes its handicap debut but it does have to improve a bit on what its done so far.

Highway Code ran well 2 starts back but was poor last time and does have its stamina to prove.

Whistling Senator is 2/2 here but looks better after a recent run(40 days break or more 0w-1p-6r) and is stepping up in grade.

Forever my Friend is consistent and looks sure to run its race but on my ratings,looks slightly better at shorter.

Papradon produced a career best rating last time and loves this time of year(Aug 5w-1p-8r) and this track(Worcester 3w-2p-9r),it looks the value.

Back Papradon 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies -UP(-10pts)Very weak in the pre race betting and went out like a light when headed.

Monthly Total+399.13pts

Running Total+5719.83pts

27th August

445 Ripon-There looks to doubts about several near the front of the market in this race.Sardanapalus is 0w-4p-10r over this trip and ive got a bit behind a few on my ratings anyway.

The Osteopath ran well last time but is 0w-2p-17r in the months of August/September while No Quarter is 1 from 19 in this grade and 0w-0p-8r over this trip.I find its price very surprising.

The most solid is definitely Aerodynamic,whos top rated on its last run,is 3w-2p-10r in this grade and 2w-1p-6r in the month of August.

Back Aerodynamic 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-3rd(-8pts)Ran really well and looked like it might get there but the line came too soon.

26th August

55 Warwick-A few dropping in class and with Ammunition having its stamina to prove,Set the Trend having lots to find on ratings and The Cheka not the horse it was,it looks to be between Es Que Love and Highland Colori.

The former is just top rated but doesnt win often and is 0w-0p-11r in the months of August and September.

Highland Colori has been racing in class 2 races and drops back down a grade(Class 3 2w-1p-4r) for the first time since its last win.

When returning to the track within 28 days or less its 6w-3p-16r.

For me the value is clearly Highland Colori as theres too big a gap in prices between the 2 main horses.

Back Highland Colori 9pts at 5.5-Won(+38.7pts 1 non runner)

Ceiling price 5.0

3.0 Ripon-Shore Step has been a consistent horse until running below par last time but that was over 5 furlongs and its better at this trip.

In a race where lots of horses still have to prove themselves on the ground,it looks a decent price.

Monokova should run well and is entitled to be favourite.

Back Shore Step 6pts at 9.0 at Various Bookies-Non Runner

6.0 Huntingdon-Hard to imagine a less competitve handicap.

It only concerns 2 horses,Fromthetop is slowly improving but is going to have to find another progression forward to match the last run of She is a Cracker,who ive got 10Ibs clear and anything close to its last run,wins this easily.

Back She is a Cracker 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Anyone who saw this will like me,struggle to work out how we didnt have another winner.Horse was produced perfectly to take it up at the last but just wandered around and clearly didnt want to win.So frustrating!(Touched 1.02 in running)(DT+13.7pts)

Days total minus commission+13pts

Monthly Total+417.13pts

Running Total+5737.83pts

24th August

355 Newmarket-This is a pretty wide open affair and Mince isnt far off winning this on what its done so far this season.However it has a strong profile trend that suggests it could be much better today.

Its last 2 efforts have been in group races and now drops down to listed class(2w-0p-4r)

In fields of 10 or more its 6w-0p-7r but probably the most significant is from August to October its 6w-1p-7r.This horse is quite possibly a late summer/Autumn filly.Its trainer states it needs fast ground but my ratings suggest it will fine if the rain comes.

Kavanagh is a very difficult horse to assess accurately after doing its racing in South Africa.

Tropics should run well after showing a consistent set of ratings this year.

Back Mince 7pts at 7.5 at Betvictor-Non Runner

Ceiling Price 6.0

505 Newmarket-Willow Beck is improving and will surely go well but im not sure it should be around the 2/1 mark.

Cat O`Mountain is also improving according to my ratings and has also just been gelded.If it can continue its progression then it looks a big price.

Salutation drops in class and isnt out of it in quite a competitive race.

Back Cat O`Mountain 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-UP(-6pts)Quite well backed but looked to be struggling on the ground

Ceiling price 7.0

540 Newmarket-Hadaj likes it here(2/4) but does drop to the minimum trip for the first time and is also 0w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less,its just possible its a vulnerable short priced fav.

Take it on with Pea Shooter who won well 3 starts ago but then was below par in its 2 subsequent runs,possibly the reason for that is it doesnt like big fields(0w-3p-17r) whereas its 2w-0p-3r in fields of 9 or less.

Also do Peace Seeker who hasnt won in this class but did run well behind Tropics(who runs in earlier listed race) 3 starts back in the grade.Its clearly at its best returned to the track quickly(14 days or less 3w-0p-4r)

Back Pea Shooter 5pts at 10.0-Non Runner & Peace Seeker 4pts at 12.0-Won(+21.6pts 4 non runners)(DT+15.6pts)

Days total minus commission+14.82pts

Monthly Total+404.13pts

Running Total+5724.83pts

23rd August

305 York-Archbishop is a horse with potential and has gone well fresh before,so could well prove better than these but its short enough for a horse thats been off for nearly a year and a trainer that has only a 7% strike rate here.

Pavlosk has only had 4 runs and could prove well suited to the return to a galloping track and the step up in trip however it needs to improve a fair bit to be involved and vastly underpriced in my view.

The real solid one in the race is Robin Hoods Bay,whose whole career has been one of consistency and steady improvement,it looks the value if the 2 horse mentioned dont improve like the market expects.

Back Robin Hoods Bay 8pts at 7.5 at Bet365/Paddys-UP(-8pts)Ground went against it and also sweated up badly before the race.

645 Goodwood-La Fortunata looks a little in and out but it appears to have strong trend in its profile.

Give the horse 6 furlongs, on good or faster ground and a field of 9 or less and its form figures are 2nd,6th,1st,1st and 1st.

It gets this criteria here and looks a massive price.

Badr Al Badoor is the fav for the red hot Fanshawe stable but its recent improvement has been at Kemptons All weather track.

Back La Fortunata 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365/BetVictor-Won(+70pts Paid out 14/1 best odds guaranteed)(DT+62pts)

Ceiling Price 10.0

Monthly Total+389.31pts

Running Total+5710.01pts

22nd August

340 York-This is far more wide open than the betting suggests.The Fugue at its best would win this but there has to be a doubt about that happening after its 2 efforts this season.

Riposte should run well and probably should be slightly shorter in the market while Wild Coco surely needs some rain to warrant its position as 2nd fav.

Venus De Milo is very much respected after just 4 runs but at a massive price,im going to put up Emirates Queen,whos trainer rarely puts his horses in the top races without feeling they deserve to be there.This horse is still unexposed over this trip after just 2 runs and should run well.

Back Emirates Queen 4pts at 17.0-UP(-4pts)

505 Ffos Las-Dineur has a strong profile(Class 2races 2w-0p-4r, 2miles 6w-2p-14r, Ffos Las 1/1) and will surely run well while De Faoithesdream is unexposed over fences and could improve past its rivals.

From a pure ratings perspective however, Wester Ross should be fav after a convincing win last time and when encountering 2miles 2 furlongs or less on good or faster ground over fences it has form figures of 1st,4th,1st,4th,2nd,1st,1st.

Back Wester Ross 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-2nd(-8pts)Big drifter but looked like it was coming to win 3 out(hit 1.62 in running) but the winner kept finding more.Very frustrating run of 2nds this week.(Dt-12pts)

21st August

740 Newton Abbot-Unless Carobello proves a different horse stepped up markedly in trip on its handicap debut then this looks a 3 horse race.

Royal Peak is the short priced fav and it is in good form and hails from a big stable but its got a massive weight to carry and on my ratings,its got its work cut out against Jigsaw Financial and TheOystercatcher.

Both have similar credentials as consistent animals,proven at the trip and both at the top of my ratings.

TheOystercatcher is the bigger price and is therefore the value call

Back TheOystercatcher 8pts at 6.5 at Betvictor-UP(-8pts)Poor run

Monthly Total+339.31pts

Running Total+5660.01pts

20th August

540 Worcester-French Ties looks the value to me here.Its well handicapped on its best form and ran really well last time.Interestingly the horses that finished 4th and 5th behind it that day,have both come out and won,so the form looks solid.

Theres plusses and minuses about everything else in the race.

Surf and Turf is 1/1 over the distance and goes back up to that trip but its 0w-1p-9r from July to the end of the year.Although it has won at the track,it looks a very short price to me.

Gud Day has run 2 decent races over fences but struggles to win and has never done so in this class.

Spock has a decent profile but its ratings suggest it probably isnt the horse it was.

Suburban Bay is so in and out,it may run ok but it probably wont.It also looks better over further.

Back French Ties 9pts at 5.5 at bet365/Betvictor-2nd(-9pts)The slow early pace didnt suit French Ties but it looks like a horse that comes through but doesnt get there anymore.3 times ive put this horse up and its hit the frame each time but not the top spot.I think this will be the last time I put it up.

19th August

415 Worcester-Orthodox Lad clearly likes it here(1st,2nd and 3rd from 3 starts) and despite running below par 1st time in a handicap,that was at Cartmel,where anyone can be excused a bad run,

Its clear top rated on its last run and the topspeed figure it clocked that day means it looks well handicapped.

Delta Sun looks to be the main danger at first glance after a good run last time,however that was after an absence(90 days) and its a horse best when fresh(80 days+ 2w-1p-4r),so now returning to the track within 28 days,its record of 0w-0p-6r when encountering that scenario means its vulnerable.

Watt Brockerick is impossible to assess,1st time in a handicap after an absence.The market will tell its tale.

Back Orthodox Lad 16pts at 3.25 at Paddys-2nd(-16pts)Absolutely smashed into 1.66,so got that bit right.However this wasnt Sam Twiston-Davies finest hour.He allowed the horse to lose its place(sat in last) then made a very poor jump as the tempo quickened.The horse was there at the last but the winner was always travelling better.

18th August

420 Pontefract-Quite a tight handicap with only really Hard Core Debt looking to hold little chance.

Mushaakis drops back in trip and that should see it run well,im not sure it should be favourite though.

Magistal has potential after only 3 starts but the market price is built on that progression rather than what its done so far.

The red hot stable of Richard Fahey have 2 in here and the stable jockey is on Manchestar.This is probably the reason Gabrials Kaka is a bigger price than it should be and after a good run last time plus a very good topspeed figure,its definitely the value.

Back Gabrials Kaka 9pts at 6.5 at Bet365-Won(+56.66pts Best price guaranteed minus rule 4 10p in £1)Weak in the market but given a fine ride to win cosily.

Ceiling Price 4.5

3.0 Southwell-Dark Energy is a progressive chaser.After only 3 starts over fences,each rating has seen a jolt forward and the forward momentum has probably still not stopped.Theres no denying as a hurdler,it was better going Right handed than todays way round but its already a better chaser than hurdler,so im not going to let that put me off until it proves otherwise.Its also up in class but its rating and its speed figures suggest it can handle this.Ive got it as just favourite on my tissue.

This is a strong race though and Fingeronthepulse,just dropping back in trip should run well but it is a 12yo and some of the others must have more upside to them.

Henry San isnt out of it but probably the biggest danger is Wiesentraum,who ran an excellent race on its seasonal debut.

Billie Magern has a strong profile but probably needs further these days.

Back Dark Energy 12pts at 7.0 -4th(-12pts)Unbelievably weak in the betting and never seen with a chance.(DT+44.66pts)

Ceiling price 5.0

345 Pontefract-Cannot see why (on my ratings at least)the reason Minalisa is second in the betting.It is a consistent filly but it has at least half a stone to find with the top rated horse.

Galician is that horse and surely must run well from a good stall.March is a consistent and progressive horse and must be there at the finish while Artistic Jewell is a force in listed races(2w-2p-6r) and is at its best fresh(41 days break or more 3w-0p-5r)

Nargys is an interesting contender from the Cumani stable.As its dropped in trip to a distance its sire is 17% with its progeny.Its ratings over further from a few starts ago would put it bang there while City Girl if bouncing back after a poor run last time wouldnt be out of it.

Lay Minalisa 30pts at 5.5-2nd(+30pts)Ran much better than I thought although Galician and March were below par.(DT+74.66pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Galician,March or Artistic Jewell dont run*

Days total minus commission+73.16pts

Monthly Total+372.31pts

Running Total+5693.01pts

17th August

550 Perth-Doubts about the front in the market for me.Valleyofmilan has only had 1 run over fences and obviously can improve but its 0w-1p-5r going right handed.Im not sure it should be fav.

Acapulco Gold had been quite consistent and progressive but it was dropping away when it fell last time and the its go forward may have stalled.

Scotch Warrior won for us last time and is a handful around here(Perth 5w-2p-10r) but it does have a few pounds to find with Quito Du tresor whos top rated on its run last time behind another course specialist.It looks the value.

Back Quito Du Tresor 9pts at 6.0 at various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Nicely backed and looked good the whole way round but just seems to have no finish in it anymore.It always jumps well.

315 Newbury-Soft Falling Rain is a progressive horse but returns from a long absence and wont appreciate any rain.It may well win but I want to take it on at the price.

Tawhid looks to be a decent price as its an improving 3yo(3yos have won 4 of the last 5 running of this) and will be staying on as its stays a bit further than this.

Back Tawhid 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Well backed into 3.5 but after holding every chance,just didnt pick up.(DT-18pts)

810 Market Rasen-Doubts about so many of these.Claude Carter goes well here but is not at its best in fields of 9 or less(0w-2p-13r)

Mighty Snazy makes its handicap debut but needs to improve.

For me this lies between the short priced fav Strongly Suggested and Lucky Landing.

The former is 2/2 over this trip and is a CD winner,so should surely go close but is very short.

Lucky Landing is a horse that needs to do its work on the bridle.It does go well here however and ran well last time in a chase.It just shouldnt be the price it is.

Back Lucky Landing 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365-Won(+50pts)Looked to be dropping away but came thundering through to win quite cosily.(DT+32pts)

Ceiling price 8.0

450 Chester-Communicator looks badly handicapped(10Ib above last last win) and just looks like its lost its way.It has won here and gets the first time hood but it needs to have a dramatic affect.

Salutation is very solid and must run well while CD winner Kiama Bay should also go close.

Burnham is very consistent and has the ratings to be there at the end.

Lay Communicator 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)Never in it.(DT+62pts)

*Cancel or trade out if Salutation,Burnham or Kiama Bay dont run*

Days total minus commission+60.50pts

Monthly Total+289.15pts

Running Total+5619.85pts

16th August

No selections

14th August

805 Yarmouth-I was a bit shocked to see Nullarbor Sky as short priced fav.Yes it has improved for the fitting of cheek pieces but both runs were in a lower grade and its 0w-0p-4r in this class of race.

Top rated is Fatimas Gift,whos very lightly raced and has just had 1 run in handicap company.The step back up in trip looks ideal.

Nile Knight was out of its depth at Goodwood last time but back down in class(2w-0p-4r in this grade) and in a small field(2w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less) it could well bounce back.

Inherited comes from a red hot stable that has won 3 of the 6 runnings of this race while Point of Control isnt out of it.

Lay Nullarbor Sky 30pts at 3.0(Lay up to 3.25)-(2 non runners.Lay Cancelled/Traded out)

*Cancel or trade out if they are any non runners in this race*

520 Beverley-Discay is still quite lightly raced for a 4yo and is particularly unexposed over this trip.It put up a good performance/rating last time over shorter and now steps back up in trip to the distance it achieved its best rating earlier in the year.It should go close.

Flying Power is the obvious danger but lacks the potential of the selection.

Back Discay 11pts at 4.3-Won(Not Matched)Frustrating as all day,it was close to being matched.Hopefully some left it in play,as you would have been matched within 1/2 a furlong of the start,even with the non runners.

13th August

620 Stratford-My Mate Vinnie should be a bigger price than it is.Its 0w-2p-8r in this grade but more importantly,its best ratings(like 2 starts back) are on galloping tracks.On sharp tracks like todays,its 0w-1p-6r.

Reluctant to lay though as the trainer has been in great form at this track recently.

Basil Fawlty is pretty inconsistent and fell last time.It is still lightly raced but it shouldnt be fav.

Pantxoa should be the favourite.Its a consistent horse and returns to handicap company after 2 runs in novice company.Its top rated on its last run in a handicap.

Bally Storm is a veteran but likes it here (2w-0p-3r) ,if its price got to around the 7/1 mark then it would be worth a saver.

Back Pantxoa 9pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+32.4pts 1 non runner)Jumped superb the whole way round and won very easily.

Monthly Total+228.65pts

Running Total+5559.35pts

12th August

830 Thirsk-Jebulani has improved of late albeit at a lowly level.Its ratings show a steady progression and that hopefully means it can handle itself in this higher grade.There is a chance it may get a solo in front and this is a good track to front run on.

The clear danger is Prospera ,whos consistent and is improving.Whether it should be 6/4 is another thing.

Back Jebulani 15pts at 5.0 at Bet365 and Betvictor-2nd(-15pts)Shouldve won this race with the fav being pulled out.Not sure why the jockey brought the horse down the middle when the winner came up the rail.

Monthly Total+196.25pts

Running Total+5526.95pts

11th August

310 Windsor-Jubilee Dancer is a decent fav.Its put up some solid,consistent ratings of late but 5/2 is plenty short enough.

Miliika is another that looks short enough although it may come on for its seasonal reappearance.

Silcas Secret has a few pounds to find and is 0w-1p-5r in this class of race.

The value is undoubtably Ginzan,whos a course winner,running some solid races including the best topspeed figure last time.

His trainer is also 4 winners - 1 place from his last 9 runners.Incredible form for a small stable.

Back Ginzan 6pts at 10.0 at Ladbrokes-3rd(-6pts)Ran a good race.

10th August

505 Haydock-Taking on lightly raced horses from the Haggas stable isnt normally my style but Dare to Achieve is a ridiculous price in what is a fiercely competitve handicap.

As I say it may improve on what its done but ive got it 7Ibs behind the top rated horses in this race and most of them are still improving themselves.

There are a host of horses running for us,in order of preference Emerging,Salutation,Big Thunder,Renew,Glenard and Shrewd.

Lay Dare to Achieve 30pts at 4.5(Lay upto 5.0)-UP(+30pts)

*Cancel or Trade out only if 2 or more of the horses listed dont run*

745 Lingfield-Pretty weak race.Quite a few have stamina doubts and the only 2 distance winners in the field, Club House and Lucky Di,hold the best claims.Lucky Di is the bigger price and is the value.

Its run its best races at this venue and is best at this trip.Its good run last time over 6f at Kempton showed its coming into form.

If Broughtons Charm is strong in the market then it may be a danger for this gambling yard.

Back Lucky Di 7pts at 7.5 at Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Poor ride allowing Hughes to dictate things on the very well backed fav.Came through strong but was never going to get there.

Ceiling Price 6.5

645 Lingfield-Jimmy Elder is market leader despite running  a shocker last time.Its win the run before gives it a chance but its 0w-1p-8r on galloping tracks.

Panther Patrol is interesting as its been gelded since we last saw it but despite performing well on the AW,its so far always ran poorly on turf.

Gung Ho Jack has a chance on its run 2 starts back and James Doyle is 3/10 for this trainer.

The most reliable and the value in the race is Belle Bayardo,whos ran some solid races of late and all its career wins have come from July onwards.

Back Belle Bayardo 8pts at 6.4-UP(-8pts)Weak in the betting and never seen with any sort of a chance.(DT+15pts)

Days total minus commission+14.25pts

Monthly Total+217.25pts

Running Total+5547.95pts                            

9th August

750 Newmarket-Magic of Reality is progressive and hails from a big yard but this is quite competitive and it looks very short.

Forgive looks the value.Its a very consistent horse from a very in form yard and placed on its only start here.

Always possible that one of the 3yo`s may progress past the selection but it shouldnt be the price on offer.

Back Forgive 6pts at 10.0 at Bet365-Won(+48 1 non runner,Paid at best odds)Richard Hughes masterclass!

Ceiling Price 9.0

Monthly Total+203.0pts

Running Total+5533.70pts

8th August

4.0 Yarmouth-Estiqaama has a lot going for it.A course and distance winner,whos consistent and is still lightly raced.

Having said that,on my ratings it has nothing in hand of Starlight Symphony,whos form has a nice consistent,progressive look to it.

It looks the value in this race.

Sharqawiyah comes from a big stable but so far looks to prefer softer ground.

Velvety and Dream wild are lightly raced and may improve but they need to.

Back Starlight Symphony 9pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-9pts)Poor run.Weak in the market and ran a lifeless race.Estiqaama in a different class.

Monthly Total+155.0pts

Running Total+5485.70pts

7th August

4.0 Pontefract-Planetex looks pretty underpriced here.It ran poorly last time when favourite and its only decent ratings this season came in sellers.The drop back to 5f may help but it will need to.

Mr Mojo is clearly at its best fresh(80days+ 2w-0p-4r) so its recent absence should be a positive.

ComptonSpirit has been in good form and has won twice at this track.

Come on Dave and Phoenix Clubs both have the ratings to go close.

Lay Planetex 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts) For some reason ,it got supported into favouritism.Was never really in it

*Cancel or trade out if Mr Mojo,Comptonspirit,Come on Dave or Phoenix Clubs dont run.Do not leave in running*

4.20 Brighton - Maid A Million looks a big price based on it's consistent profile and it's top rated performance last time out.  It should run well. The two main dangers are Floating Along and Al Manaal whose trainer is 8/21 at this track.  

Back Maid A Million 6 pts at 9.0 at various Bookies-2nd(-6pts)Well backed and lost out by a short head.

2.40 Newcastle - Attention Seeker is the favourite here but does have to prove itself on the soft ground.  It is also dropping slightly in trip.  Key Gold is also prominent in the betting but looks to me to be a regressive animal. 

 The one I quite like is Moheebb, who took a big step up in trip on his last run and achieved a good rating in the process.  It now drops slightly in trip on it's favoured soft ground (6 careers wins) and at a track where it has a good record (Newcastle 2w-2p-9r).  

Back Moheebb 7 pts at 7.6 at Betvictor-UP(-7pts)Held up out the back and never got into it.(DT+17pts)

5.10 Newcastle - This is a poor race with none of the horses having a consistent profile.  Save The Bees is the short priced favourite but has never run over this trip and has never won from August onwards (0w-1p-7r).

 The Value in the race is Ptolomeos, who ran well last time over trip and ground and achieved a rating last season over trip and ground that wins this race.

 Bolling Billy may still have some improvement in it as a 3 year old but has never run on this sort of ground.

Back Ptolomeos 7 pts at 11.0-UP(-7pts)Fairly weak in the market and ran accordingly(DT+10pts)

Ceiling Price 7.0

8.20 Yarmouth - Bridgehampton - despite being well backed ran as though it needed the run on it's seasonal debut, it should be ready to run near the rating that it achieved last season, which would give it a good chance here.  It has a consistent profile and is 1w-0p-2r in this class and 2w-0p-5r in fields of 9 or less. 

 Toughness Danon ran well last time on the all weather but has a strike rate of 1/40 in it's career.  Coral Prince is probably the main danger and is improving, but will need to improve again to match the selections best ratings.

Back Bridgehampton 12 pts at 4.0 -Won(+24pts 2 non runners)(DT+34pts)

Days total minus commission+32.3pts

Monthly Total+164.0pts

Running Total+5494.70pts

6th August

810 Ripon-The latest Sir Mark Prescott `good thing` is a strong fav in this.Obviously hailing from a very in form stable,this will be expected to run very well.It does have a little to prove on the ground and also has a slight step up in trip.It may well win buts its very short.

RocktheRunway should run a good race while Man Of Plenty is prominent in the betting but also steps up in trip and is 0w-1p-6r in this grade.

The value in the race is the consistent Brasingaman Eric,who continues to churn out solid ratings and is 3w-2p-9r between the months of July to October.

If the Fav doesnt run its race then the selection should be there to pick up the pieces.

Back Brasingaman Eric 6pts at 9.0 at Paddys/Skybet-4th(-6pts)Ran well considering how weak it was all day in the betting.Got the price badly wrong.

9.0 Kempton-Another race with a `sexy` fav.Dodina has only had 3 runs and makes its handicap debut here.It obviously has the potential for more progression than the others but its first time around a right hand bend and on polytrack,it just looks very short.

The value has to Commandingpresence who won last time and is a CD winner here.Its 2w-3p-9r in the month of August and has also won before when turned out within 3 days.

Back Commandingpresence 9pts at 7.0 at Skybet-UP(-9pts)Really poor run,dropped out quickly after leading(DT-15pts)

5th August

315 Ripon-Dame Nellie Melba is a fairly unexposed 3yo from the Mark Johnston yard and it improved for the step up to this trip last time.If it continues its progression then it will go close but it looks a very short price.

Triple Eight is rated very close to the fav but is a much bigger price.I think its the value in the race.It wont mind if the rain comes.

Back Triple Eight 7pts at 7.0 at various bookies-Won(+42pts)Got the price badly wrong.ISP 9.5,BSP 14.5 and hopefully some got the best odds guaranteed or had some more on on Betfair.The good news was it hosed up

6.0 Windsor-My first thought with this race was to take on what I thought would be the obvious fav(Dangerous Age) on account of its best form had been on polytrack.However it is an improving 3yo against a bunch of exposed and inconsistent older horses,in which none have a compelling profile.

It has Ryan Moore booked and I feel there is enough in the price to give it another chance on grass.

Best be Careful is the obvious danger with Hughes booked but rarely runs 2 races alike.Dreams of Glory is nearly a stone better at Bath than anywhere else.

Macdillon has 1 win in the last 5 years while Welease Bwian continues to produce ratings that should see it win races but it just never seems to(1/29 career record)

Back Dangerous Age 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-7pts)The rain changed the ground.It may be that it just isnt a turf horse though.(DT+35pts)

730 Windsor-On my ratings,Juvenal shouldnt be fav.The jockey and trainer were in great form last week and it does get the cheekpieces back on but on what its done so far,it needs to improve again to win this.

Cruiser back at Windsor(1/1) could bounce back after a poor run last time.

African Oil is unexposed at this trip and there could be more to come.

Jack Who`s He ran a good race after a 6 month absence and its best rating from last year,would see it go very close.

Kohlaan should still have more to offer for its big yard after 3 wins in the last 4 starts.

Lay Juvenal 30pts at 3.75-Cancelled due to non runners

(Lay up to 4.0)

*If Cruiser,African Oil,Jack Whos He or Kohlaan dont run then cancel or trade out.Do Not leave in running anymore*

Monthly Total+146.70pts

Running Total+5477.40pts

4th August

435 Market Rasen-French Ties is at the veteran stage and it has always had days when it doesnt really fancy it but there are doubts about everything here and I feel it represents a touch of value.

Its joint top rated on its last run,its best ratings have been achieved on good ground and its placed in 2 of its 3 starts at this track.

General Miller is the other horse top rated and is the biggest danger but drops in trip.Its the right price.

Wiesentraum may improve past everything after only 2 chase starts but returns from a long absence.

Dark Energy is another that may improve after only 2 chase starts but its always been a bit better at shorter.

Back French Ties 7pts at 7.5 at BetVictor/Boyles-3rd(-7pts)Ran a great race and I thought was coming to win but missed the last a bit.I wasnt expecting Dark Energy to stay on past it.

Monthly Total+111.70pts

Running Total+5442.40pts

3rd August

630 Lingfield-Looks a 2 horse race between Countryman and My Own way Home

Countryman is 1w-0p-2r in this class and is 2w-0p-4r over this distance.

My Own Way Home is 5w-0p-13r on G/F or Firm ground and is 2/2 at this track.

Relentless Harry is up there in the betting but bled last time and so far is better on easier ground than this.

Back Countryman 12pts at 4.3-2nd(-2pts Only partially matched)

Back My Own Way Home 12pts at 4.0-Won(+36pts Hopefully some took the amazing 6.4 that was available as support came for Countryman and Relentless Harry.

340 Thirsk-Diescentric is the obvious starting point as its improving and in form.It should run well.

Lockwood is alongside it in the betting but I have it needing to find a few pounds.

The Value looks to be The Cheka,whos done nothing this season but has spent its career contesting group and listed races and drops down into a class 3(1/1 in the grade) for the first time since 2009.Its in form trainer has given it a break and its 3w-2p-7r after such a break or more.

Back The Cheka 8pts at 6.5 at BetVictor-3rd(-8pts)The Cheka looks to be regressive.(DT+26pts)

Ceiling Price 6.0

Days total minus commission+24.7pts

Monthly Total+118.70pts

Running Total+5449.40pts

2nd August

730 Newmarket-Very Competitive race but I think Angelic Upstart may just be a little overpriced.

It has no real record fresh,so its 3rd after a break since January,was a good effort and all its career wins have been achieved from August onwards.

Kakatosi and Levi Draper lead the dangers.

Back Angelic Upstart 5pts at 13.0-Won(+60pts)

425 Bangor-Wester Ross loves fast ground and should come home quite strong,as it gets a little further than this.

Coeur De Fou looks quite short to me and is 0w-0p-6r in fields of 9 or less.

Maizy Missile won last time but is up in grade and may prefer a bigger break between races(28days or less 0w-0p-8r)

Back Wester Ross 12pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts 1 non runner)(DT+102pts)

Ceiling Price 4.5

Days total minus commission+99pts

Monthly Total+94pts

Running Total+5424.70pts

1st August

830 Epsom-Batgirl ran quite well after 6 months off for its new trainer,in a race 2 grades higher than this.Its best rating from last season would see it very competitve and although its possibly best at a flat track(3 wins at yarmouth) ,its a big enough price to get involved.

Sarangoo is the obvious danger and must run well while Azenzar is an unexposed 3yo that should be there at the end.

Back Batgirl 5pts at 13.0 at WilliamHill and Bet365-2nd(-5pts)Ran well but couldnt beat the fav.

Ceiling Price 10.0