19th August

415 Worcester-Orthodox Lad clearly likes it here(1st,2nd and 3rd from 3 starts) and despite running below par 1st time in a handicap,that was at Cartmel,where anyone can be excused a bad run,

Its clear top rated on its last run and the topspeed figure it clocked that day means it looks well handicapped.

Delta Sun looks to be the main danger at first glance after a good run last time,however that was after an absence(90 days) and its a horse best when fresh(80 days+ 2w-1p-4r),so now returning to the track within 28 days,its record of 0w-0p-6r when encountering that scenario means its vulnerable.

Watt Brockerick is impossible to assess,1st time in a handicap after an absence.The market will tell its tale.

Back Orthodox Lad 16pts at 3.25 at Paddys-2nd(-16pts)Absolutely smashed into 1.66,so got that bit right.However this wasnt Sam Twiston-Davies finest hour.He allowed the horse to lose its place(sat in last) then made a very poor jump as the tempo quickened.The horse was there at the last but the winner was always travelling better.