30th April

No Selections

29th April

620 Newcastle-Its more exposed than most but with conditions likely to be testing then its difficult to see Royal Holiday out of the frame.

Its been in good form recently on turf and at Southwell.This is a drop in class and Ross Kennemore has finished 1st and 2nd on its 2 rides on the horse.

With doubts over a lot of its rivals in the conditions,this horse should be coming home stronger than most

Victoire De Lyphar would have solid claims on its recent victory but that was on good to firm ground and it has questions to answer on soft.

Orbit the Moon has the best rating but over shorter and faster ground.It has winning form over the trip but its another that has to prove itself on the softer surface.

Back Royal Holiday 4pts Each Way at 10.0 at Bet365-3rd(-8pts)3 non runners meant just the first 2 places counted.Jockey went too hard in front and the horse had nothing left for the finish.

Monthly Total+36.25pts

Running Total+6947.22pts

28th April

250 Wolverhampton-12 furlongs around this track are Sian Gwalia optimum conditions.Its record around here at that trip reads 2nd-1st-2nd-1st-2nd and it looks to hold a solid chance again here.

Its a far better animal giving weight away in a lesser grade like this(Class 5 races 2w-1p-6r) and should be clear favourite.

Ive got Mcbirney as the main danger after a decent run on turf at a shorter trip than this last time.Its got a decent rating from last season over this distance but a record of 0w-1p-10r when returning to the track within 14 days has to be a negative.

Well Owd Mon won well over course and distance last time but that effort gives it 7Ibs to find with the selection on my figures and its up in class.

Back Sian Gwalia 14pts at 3.5 at bet365-2nd(-14pts)Beat the danger but I felt the jockey gave it a lot to do.

Accept 3.25

Monthly Total+44.25pts

Running Total+6955.22pts

27th April

No Selections

26th April

240 Sandown-Hunt Ball was well down the field in the Grand National last time but its run the time before over close to this trip,makes it the one to beat here.

Its at its best going right handed(6w-1p-10r) and the jockey and trainer are 30% when teaming up.

Menorah looks the main danger as it drops in class.Its been around 7Ibs below its best so far this season but I would expect it to run near its best here.

Rolling Aces has probably been the most consistent horse this season but will struggle to finish in front of the previous 2 mentioned,if they turn up at their best.                                                                               

Back Hunt Ball 14pts at 3.5 at various Bookies-3rd(-14pts)Never looked like winning.I will be delighted when this month comes to an end.

Monthly Total+58.25pts

Running Total+6969.22pts

25th April

635 Chepstow-This is competitive but I expect a good run from Seventh Sign.

It ran a bit below par last time but that was on a right handed track(0w-1p-4r),its far happier going this way round(Left Handed 3w-0p-5r).It will appreciate the step back up to 3 miles,which was the distance it last won over.

The 41 days off the track should be a positive(40 day+ 2w-1p-4r),its 1w-1p-2r in April and is 1 from 1 around over fences.

It cannot be missed at the price.

Solstice Son has been in good form but im not sure it should favourite.Billy Dutton looks certain to run well while Rydon Pines isnt far off the top of the figures.

Patesse has one rating that would see it go very close in this but its very difficult to predict.

Back Seventh Sign 3pts Each Way at 15.0 at Bet365/Stan James-UP(-6pts)Never going at any stage.

Accept 13.0

725 Newton Abbot-You couldnt totally rely on Sambulandoo backing up its last run as its pretty inconsistent but if you look at its form when returning to the track within 40 days(2w-3p-10r),its record doesnt look that bad and it has placed around this track on its only start.

The fact is,on its latest run,it posted the best rating and speed figure in this race and is a ridiculous price,if it can produce anything close to it.

The horse has had 2 years off with injury and changed stables,since its had 2 runs back and its entirely possible its new yard has got it back to its best.

Chalk it Down is the horse making the market.You have to respect McCoy when riding for Warren Greatrex(13 wins from 35 rides),and although this horse has won 2 bumpers,its done very little over hurdles.It was always going to be favourite but it shouldnt be.

Pearls Legend is a far bigger danger in my view although Marjus Quest is very lightly raced and may be capable of better.

Back Sambulando 9pts at 9.0 at Boyles-4th(-9pts)Money for it but never got into it.Another disappointing day(DT-15pts)

24th April

350 Perth-Enchanted Garden makes its handicap debut and may well have got in on a decent mark.

Its latest rating give it every chance and its speed figure from 2 starts back also suggests it should be threat.You would imagine Malcolm Jefferson will find more improvement in this horse after just 2 starts and I think it should be clear favourite.

Pure Science ran well last time but on softer ground and over a shorter trip.So far,thats where its best ratings have been.Ive got it a 7Ib worse horse over this trip.

One for Harry looks to need very soft ground but Strongpoint should run well although it lacks the potential of the selection.

Back Enchanted Garden 10pts at 5.0 at various Bookies-3rd(-10pts)Looked dangerous until 2 out but was one paced.Couldnt have the winner at all.

Monthly Total+87.25pts

Running Total+6998.22pts

23rd April

745 Southwell-Bobs Legend has produced 2 good performances since joining Mick Appleby`s yard and should go very well over this slightly further trip.

It was a beaten favourite last time over 2m1f but was running on strongly at the death.This step up should be ideal.

Crookstown likes this ground(Good 2w-1p-3r) but looks a better horse going right handed(L/H 0w-0p-3r) and particularly so at Market Rasen.

Colebrooke drops in class but has been really struggling of late.

Back Bob`s Legend 13pts at 3.75 Bet365/Paddys-5th(-13pts)Was given every chance ut weakened out of it at the last.

730 Taunton-There is little doubt that Itsuptoyou is the one to beat after finally breaking its duck at the 23rd attempt last time.That career best performance came after the horse had some serious dental work done on its teeth and its clear that 2 miles on good ground is ideal for it.

Having said all that,Its short enough and theres very little value in its price although it should go close.

Barenger has been running pretty well although it needs to find a bit more but at a massive price,I can see Miss Tenacious running better than of late.

Its a better horse at Wincanton but this course is also a galloping,right handed track and after 3 below par runs on unsuitable soft ground,it could bounce back with its strong profile..

5w-0p-12r in fields of 9 or less...5w1p-12r when returning to the track within 28 days....6w-0p-14r in this class of race and 2w-0p-7r in the months of April and May.

Back Miss Tenacious 5pts at 11.0 at Bet365-2nd(-5pts)Ran well but Itsuptoyou was too good.(DT-18pts)

Accept 8.0

22nd April

250 Kelso-The switch to front running tactics saw Mr Supreme win last time and post the best rating on show here.

That win meant it has a good record of 2w-0p-4r in the months of March and April and anything similar here would make it tough to beat.

Nodform Richard is probably the main danger despite falling last time.Its got 2 wins from 4 starts on good ground and is 3w-1p-8r in fields of 9 or less.

Isla Pearl Fisher drops in class and is a 2 time winner around here.It has shown very little on its last 2 starts however.

Back Mr Supreme 14pts at 3.5 at bet365/Boyles-Won(+26.25pts)Profit ruined by non runners that wouldnt have beaten it anyway.Jumped its rivals silly.

Accept 3.25

355 Kelso-The drop to 2miles and encountering good ground at that trip for the first time,saw Robins Command produce easily a career best last time.

This horse had shown very little prior to that and there is always a concern that it wont back it up but im surprised at the price,baring in mind,its the best rating in the race.

At the prices it worth finding out if it was a fluke or not.

Sendiym knows how to win and has a pretty consistent profile,it looks the mian danger with Have You Had Yours next best.

Back Robins Command 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Paddys-Won(+40pts)Hammered into 7/4 and jumped superb to win easily.(DT+66.25pts)

Monthly Total+115.25pts

Running Total+6726.22pts

21st April

5.0 Chepstow-There lots of dead wood here and Tara Tavey has a better chance than the odds suggest.Its last 2 ratings give it every chance here and it won in April last season.

Its only had 6 runs so there could more improvement to come.

Noble Perk looks the main danger after a good run last time.

Safferano wouldnt be out of it,if ready after 153 days off ,as it goes well in this grade(Class 5 2w-0p-5r)

Back Tara Tavey 5pts at 10.0 at Betvictor-UP(-5pts)Laboured performance from start to finish.

Accept 6.0

340 Fakenham-Little Jimmy is solid and has been in very good form of late.Its the one to beat and should go well.

However,Full Ov Beans is a force around this track(Fakenham form figures Unseated-1st-1st-2nd-1st) and a repeat of its rating on its last win at this track,would make it tough to beat.

Fitandproperjob looks far too short to me here.It has an awful record going left handed(0w-1p-16r) and the trainer is struggling for winners.

Ballybach has only had 2 starts over fences and may be capable of better.

Back Full Ov Beans 10pts at 5.0 at various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Led its rivals a merry dance from the front.

Accept 4.3

255 Market Rasen-Spanish Optimist hasnt got a hope but the other 3 all have some sort of chance.

The value is Smart Catch,who has the best rating over 3 miles.Its a force in this grade(3w-1p-8r),is best going right handed(3w-1p-10r) compared to 0 from 6 going left handed.

Its 1 from 2 at this track and the trainer is 5 from 19 with his chasers here.

Keltic Rhythm is still unexposed over fences and I make it the main danger with Roc De Guye next.

Back Smart Catch 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-3rd(-12pts)Jockey performed wonders to get this horse in with a chance 2 out but the constant errors early on,meant it just couldnt finish its race.

Accept 4.0

440 Market Rasen-This looks a decent opportunity for Wessex King.Its 2w-0p-5r in April,so it was no surprise it ran its best race of the season 15 days ago over 2m2f .

This trip will suit even better and its 3w-2p-10r in this class of race.The trainer is 7 from 33 with his chasers at this track.

This horse has got a very solid chance and should go close.Ive got it around the 7/4 mark.

Fair Bramble has been in good form and is probably the main danger although Groomed isnt out of it but is 0wp-0p-3r going right handed.

Tayarat has won its last 2 over fences but needs to find more and isnt proven over this far.

Back Wessex King 12pts at 4.0 at bet365-Won(+39.60pts)Nice little drift even with Tayarat not running.Jumped superb and always looked the winner.

Accept 3.75

4.0 Plumpton-Although its well into the veteran stage now,I cannot resist backing Nozic here,back at its favourite track.

Its very inconsistent these days but thats built into its price.Its raced here 4 times and won 2 of them ,both over this trip.

If it can post anything close to its rating from 2 starts back,when it won here,then it will go close.

Ulck Du Lin drops in class and should go well in a grade where its 1w-1p-3r.

Alfraamsey ran yesterday and fell in a hurdle race.Back over fences here,if it does turn up,the rain wont have helped its chance.

Back Nozic 6pts at 9.0 at Boylesports-Pulled up(-6pts)Unfortunately the ground wasnt as soft as I thought it would be,despite all the rain on sunday.They were always going a stride too quick.(DT+56.60pts)

Accept 7.0

Monthly Total+49pts

Running Total+6659.97pts

20th April

No Selections

19th April

305 Carlisle-Pleasantly surprised at the odds available on Billy Cuckoo here.Apart from 1 pulled up run,its been in decent form all season and comes here after a little break.

It has won around this specialist track before and is 4w-4p-17r over this 2m4f trip.

Its top of my ratings on most recent form and really should go close.

Im finding it very difficult to understand why Stagecoach Pearl has been put in as favourite.Its better at shorter and hasnt been in any sort of form anyway.

0w-0p-4r in April and 0w-1p-4r on stiff tracks like this only add to its negatives.

Lucky Landing at its best would have a chance but is possibly at its best around Market Rasen while Storming Gale,back on good ground may well provide the biggest threat.

Back Billy Cuckoo 12pts at 5.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Same story,Money for it.Never travelling.

Accept 4.0

420 Haydock-Horizontal Speed ran a shocker last time but the time before,posted the best rating on show here.However that was on soft ground and unless the heavens open,its difficult to predict a return to form although this is a drop in class.

Horatio Hornblower is respected but the market has it about right while Its a Doddle has been moving up and down in trip,the ground is an unknown for it.

The clear value for me has to be Kilgefin Star,whos a silly price for a unexposed,progressive hurdler making its handicap debut.

Unlike many of these,it will love the ground and Danny Cook is an impressive 10 wins from 41 starts when riding for this yard.

Back Kilgefin Star 6pts at 9.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-6pts)Drifted badly.Not even sure what happened to it as the angle on the tv changed.All I know was it was rubbish!

Just an an awful week.(DT-18pts)

Monthly Total-7.60pts

Running Total+6603.37pts

17th April

240 Cheltenham-The gap in prices between Baby Shine and Tempest River looks too big here.The former has a decent shout on its latest run but my ratings suggest although it handles faster ground,its better on softer going.

It does also tend to lose its way at this time of year(April 0w-1p-5r) and the trainer is 0 from 8 with her chasers here.

Tempest River looks more likely to run its race.Its ran well here twice from 4 goes and is a better horse on this faster ground.

This horse is 1w-1p-3r when racing in April and Kielan Woods is 4 from 16 for the Ben Case yard.

Its defitnely the value in this race as She Ranks Me looks to be priced up on its hurdles form as its 3 runs over fences so far,leave it with 7Ibs to find.

Back Tempest River 10pts at 5.0 at Corals/Paddys-4th(-10pts)This one sums this week up.Well backed into favouritism and everything looked good until 3 bad mistakes down the back straight.This put it out of the race and it still managed to run on into fourth.

When you are on a bad run,all you can do is keep trying to find horses that are the wrong prices and things will turn because it always does.

Monthly Total+11.60pts

Running Total

15th April

410 Exeter-Speedy Bruere has a strong chance here based on its rating it posted last time behind La Bacardy at Towcester.

The winner came out and won a valuable handicap at the weekend which shows what a good performance that was.

Speedy Bruere looks poised to strike on a handicap mark 2Ibs below its last winning mark and in a grade where its 2 from 7.Its a strong favourite on my prices.

Gores Island looks the main danger to me as its been in decent form of late.

There are a few like Mics Delight and Midnight Lira that have the form to figure but have been below form of late.

Back Speedy Bruere 15pts at 4.0 at various Bookies-4th(-15pts)Really liked this horses chance but I never got the impression it was going to get it done.

Accept 3.5

210 Kempton-The Last Night was always going to be favourite here,despite not being seen on a racetrack for 125 days.Its won its only start over fences and will like the drying ground while Aidan Coleman has a 25% strike rate when riding for Emma Lavelle.

Having said all this,its very short considering that Un Anjou looks to be improving since joining the David Dennis yard.

Its latest performance was a career best despite just being outstayed over 2miles 2 furlongs.The drop back to 2 miles on a sharp track like this(Sharp track record 1w-1p-3r) should be ideal and it should go very close.

Marcus Antonius has shown nothing of late and may be gone as a racehorse but its best form is on fast ground and all 4 of its chase runs have been on soft ground.

A better run wouldnt be a surprise but it takes a leap of faith to support it.

Back Un Anjou 10pts at 5.0 at various Bookies-4th(-10pts)Got the value as the horse went off at 3.25 and travelled well but found absolutely nothing off the bridle.Rubbish run at present!(DT-25pts)

14th April

2.0 Hexham-Really looks a 3 horse race to me.Cara Court won for us last time but has only ever won at Catterick and Sedgefield and im not sure this stiff track will suit.

Sudski Star is another horse that did the business when tipped up last time and it should run well.After only 3 starts over fences ,it has the most upside to it but it made quite a few jumping errors last time and wont get away with that here.It also had a fairly hard race and reappears for this just 7 days later.

Pamak D`Airy does have to give weight away but looks almost certain to run its race.Its been in consistent form all season,has finished in the frame on 3 of its 5 starts at this track and Tony Kelly is 3 from 12 when riding for this yard.

Back Pamak D`Airy 11pts at 5.0 at Corals/Betvictor-2nd(-11pts)Weak in the market but still ran another good race.

Accept 4.3

3.30 Hexham-Definite Appeal made an excellent reappearance effort when finishing 2nd(Gibbstown behind it) last time.

It drops in class into a grade where its 1 from 2 and if it can repeat its latest effort then it has a very good chance on my ratings.

Gibbstown is the most likely danger,as its been consistent of late and is 1 from 1 at this track but it has got its work cut out at the weights with the selection.

Back Definite Appeal 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)Held up at the back and never out in the race.(DT-19pts)

Accept 5.5

13th April

315 Wetherby-Theres a possibility that Dreamy George could improve past everything here but the market does seem to have its price about right.

At a bigger price,is the consistent Alderbrook Lad,who hasnt been out of the first 3 in its last 5 starts.Its 4w-4p-12r in fields of 9 or less,is 4w-2p-10r when returning to the track within 28 days and is 4w-3p-13r on left handed tracks like todays.

Trainer Mickey Hammond has also won with 3 of his last 11 runners.It looks almost certain it will run its race and if it does then it will go very close.

See What Happens looks to me like it might need softer ground and it did fall last time.

Back Alderbrook Lad 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-Fell(-7pts)Jumped really well until hitting the 2nd last and crumpling on landing.Had a real chance with only one realistic rival left.Very Unlucky.

Accept 7.0

530 Wetherby-The money has come for Big News in most of its starts this season.Its been plummeting down the weights and has on more than one occasion,disappointed its supporters but at last,it showed some form last time and anything close to that run will win this.

Its an incredible 26Ibs lower than when going close in March last year and I can see the kid glove treatment of jockey Paul Moloney being just what this horse needs.

There really isnt many that can be fancied,Roseville Cottage has some improvement in it but the trainer has been in desperate form.

One in a Row is inconsistent but has only had 3 runs over fences,so could improve but has a career record of 0 from 15.

Lord Fox was well behind Big News last time but may run a bit better on this better ground.

Back Big News 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys/WilliamHill-Fell(-12pts)Fell at the first.Just one of those days.(DT-19pts)

Monthly Total+65.60pts

Running Total+6675.37pts

12th April

415 Bangor-This isnt a strong race and a few look to be struggling for form.

No Duffer isnt one of those and comes here on the back of a career best performance.That was its first run over 3 miles and it clearly relished it as it grinded out a hard fought victory.Its only had the 3 runs over fences,so I would expect some more improvement.

Im surprised it isnt favourite because it should be.

Young Hurricane represents an in form yard and a jockey/trainer combination that are 3 from 7 when teaming up.You have to respect that.

Lough Derg Way returns after 211 days away and is dropped in class.It has a chance but the trainer could be in better form.

Kingcora has to prove its stamina at this trirp.

Back No Duffer 10pts at 5.0 at Skybet-Pulled Up(-10pts)Never travelling or jumping.Pulled up before halfway.

Accept 4.5

315 Ayr-This is pretty competitve but Upsilon Bleu shouldnt be the price it is.Its been very consistent and deserves to get its head in front.

The trainer is 9 from 30 with her chasers at this track and hopefully this horse can swoop late on.

Manyriverstocross is the obvious danger and should run well.Valco De Touzaine represents a top yard and may appreciate the better ground but it needs to improve on my ratings.

La Bacardy ran yesterday and ran well.It isnt without a chance but whether it takes it chance is anyones guess.

Back Upsilon Bleu 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-9pts)Hammered into favourite but just didnt jump well enough.(DT-19pts)

11th April

240 Ayr-Im going to give It`s a Mans World one more try at a massive price.This horse continues to consistently post solid ratings and maybe the return to faster ground could see it going very close.

Plus Jamais has been in good form and has won its last 2 starts around here on very soft ground.Todays ground has to be a concern but its respected nonetheless.

Fourth Estate pulled up last time on very soft ground but back on a faster surface here,It will more than likely run better.

Back Its A Mans World 3pts each way at 15.0 at Bet365/Paddys-Won(+72pts)Drifted out to 20/1 but that didnt stop it coming home too strong for everything else.

455 Ayr-Although the lack of a decent speed figure is a concern,Clara McCloud has an outstanding chance on my ratings.Its still lightly raced and improving while Gordon Elliott has 27% strike rate with his hurdlers at this track.

Bull and Bush looks the obvious danger as a consistent and improving horse while Twin Plan is 2 from 2 at this track.

Back Clara McCloud 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Ladbrokes-2nd(-12pts)Cruised round and looked the easy winner at the last but didnt pick up.Disappointing.(DT+60pts)

605 Wolverhampton-Sir Frank Morgan is 3 from 3 at this track and is clearly the one to beat but the gap in prices between it and Tracks of my Tears is far too big.

The latter is an improving horse and each step up in trip has brought about more improvement.In Its last 5 runs at this track,it finished 2nd-1st-2nd-1st-2nd.

Its a silly price given its profile.Pinotage is the only other one I can give a chance too.

Back Tracks of my Tears 10pts at 6.0 at bet365/Paddys-4th(-10pts)Another that looked good all the way round but just didnt quite get home I thought.(DT+50pts)

Accept 4.0
Monthly Total+103.60pts
Running Total+6713.37pts

10th April

440 Towcester-Carli King is a better horse going right handed(2w-1p-5r),so its below par run last time at Haydock(L/H) can be excused.A repeat of its run the time before would see it going very close here.Its 2 runs over this trip have seen it finish 2nd and 1st and it finished a decent 2nd on its only run at this track.

The trainer has put a 7Ib claimer on,who I dont know a lot about but he is 2 wins from 11 starts over fences in his career.

Riddlestown is the obvious danger.It won for us last time and should run its race but it matched its career best last time and will need to do so again at the very least to follow up.

Croco Mister has chances on the figures but is 0w-1p-7r in this grade.

Back Carli King 7pts at 8.0 at Bet365-6th(-7pts)Really well backed and went off 3.5 favourite.Just didnt jump well enough and couldnt go with them.

Accept 7.0

4.0 Ludlow-This is a good little race but Great Value will hopefully live up to its name.Its only had 4 runs over fences and looks to be improving.

It ended up winning in good style last time despite some sloppy jumps and ive got it near the front of the market on my prices.

Highway Code is pretty consistent but is 0w-0p-3r at this track and that has to be a concern.

The danger is Divine Intavention,who drops in class and has finished 1st and 2nd on its 2 starts here.

Gardefort has it to prove on the ground but Cayman Islands could get involved if it improves for the step up in trip.

Back Great Value 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betbright-Fell(-7pts)Really weak in the market and took an absolutely horrendous fall at the 3rd.

Accept 5.5

530 Ludlow-The race probably revolves around the Nicky Henderson trained Speedy Tunes,who makes its handicap debut.It more than likely capable of better but the market has got its price tight enough.

The clear value has to be Mini Muck,whos a better horse on better ground and will like this drop in trip.This is also a drop in class into a grade where its 3 wins from 4 starts and hails from an in form yard.

Hold Court is the other that catches the eye as its 3 from 4 here.It was well beaten last time out at this track however.It might run better back on better ground but its possible its not the horse it was and its short enough given its recent form.

Back Mini Muck 7pts at 8.0 at bet365/Boyles-4th(-7pts)Made a mistake in the back straight abd was just allowed to lose its place before staying on again in the straight.This horse on the ratings should have been right there alongside the other 2 horses mentioned above,in the finish.Poor Day!(DT-21pts)

Monthly Total+53.60pts

Running Total+6663.37pts

8th April

455 Carlisle-Not too sure why Ultra Du Chatelet is as short as it is in the market.Its never won a race,is pretty inconsistent and the stable jockey doesnt ride it.

That particular jockey is on Etxalar,whos chance is far more obvious to see.

Its been running well,drops in grade into a class 4(4w-4p-10r) and goes particularly well at this track with 4 wins.

If you take just its runs at Carlisle, in class 4 races,you get form figures of 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.

Any rain would be a bonus,as it goes very well on soft ground.

Indian Voyage is probably the main danger as it looks to be improving although Whats Up Woody,with 3 course victories could go well but its trainer is in desperate form at the moment.

Back Etxalar 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365-3rd(-8pts)Pretty weak in the market but still ran a good race.

Accept 5.5

7th

3.0 Kelso-Prosecco came back to form last time but is 0w-0p-5r at this track and 0w-0p-4r in April.It may prove vulnerable.

The more it rains,the better the chance for Edmund.Its got a decent chance but if it doesnt get soft then it has questions to answer.

Inoogoo continues to be a shorter price than its form deserves.Its a very weak finisher.

Sudski Star looks like its going to be a better chaser than hurdler and its latest performance when just behind Prosecco and in front of Edmund,is easily its best performance of its career.That was just its 2nd start over fences and the trainer is 4 from 18 with his runners here.

Its a bit of value in a tight race.

Back Sudski Star 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365/Paddys-Won(+33.60pts 1 non runner)Shame Inoogoo was a non runner and spoilt the profit as I just cant have that horse but in the race,the horse jumped very sketchily but Brian Hughes let it recover and it came home like a train to win like a progressive animal.

Monthly Total+82.60pts

Running Total+6692.37pts

6th April

340 Ffos Las-This is a really weak race.Tom Bach comes into it in good form and has form figures at this track and on this ground of 1st-1st-1st.

Its 3w-0p-9r in fields of 9 or less and the jockey is 2 from 3 on it.I thought this would be shorter than it is.Its 5/4 on my tissue prices.

The Last Bridge will probably pose the biggest threat,as 3 miles on soft ground are its ideal conditions but it is 0w-0p-4r in this class.

Night Safe has a chance but was well beaten behind Tom Bach last time and it is a 13yo now.

Scuderia has only had the 1 run over fences and it was a poor one but it may be capable of better if the money comes for it.

Back Tom Bach 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped pretty well apart from an error 2 out and won easily

445 Ffos Las-Another weak race and it looks an ideal opportunity for Supreme Bob to add to its sole career success.

This horse drops into class 5 for the first time and has only had just the 3 runs over fences,Its latest performance posted a career high rating and a very good speed figure.

Theres should be more to come and ive got it as clear favourite.

Possibly Flora has a chance but shouldnt be head the market.Its 0w-0p-4r going left handed and although it shouldnt be too far away,it needs to find more to win this.

Billybo returns after an absence but does represent a yard that have had horses finish 1st,1st and 2nd in this race the last 3 years.You have to respect it on that alone although this horse is very limited and hardly ever wins.

The biggest danger for me is Le Grand Chene(Wouldnt be the worst forecast bet in the world),this horse is a force in this grade(Class 5 5w-3p-17r) and drops back into that class today.

Back Supreme Bob 14pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Skybet-2nd(-14pts)Possibly Flora clearly found more!(DT+22pts)

Monthly Total+49pts

Running Total+6658.77pts

5th April

345 Chepstow-There are a couple who,if returning to their best,could go close but Samingarry has been posting some solid ratings the majority of the time.

A repeat of its latest run would see it go very close.Its strong profile suggests that may well happen.

3w-1p-8r in fields of 9 or less,2w-3p-8r when returning to the track within 14 days,3w-1p-4r in this class of race and 3w-2p-6r on good to soft ground. 

Saroque has been pretty consistent and may well be the main danger unless Dont Do Mondays improves for the step up in trip.

Back Samingarry 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Won(+33pts Rule 4 Non runners)Jumped great and a progressive stayer.

525 Chepstow-Its a struggle to see any other than 3 horses being involved here.Be Definite is fairly consistent and should run its race but struggles to win(1 from 20 in chases) and can usually be taken on.

Thomas Wild is consistent and looks sure to run well.Its trainer is 22% with his chasers here and its a fair enough favourite.

Mighty Mobb should be right alongside it in price,if not a little shorter.Its still fairly unexposed after 7 races and the visor first time could make the difference on its first run for Seamus Mullins.

Back Mighty Mobb 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-2nd(-8pts)The whole way up the straight I thought this horse was going to pick the well backed winner up.Sadly this wasnt the case.

Accept 5.5

250 Aintree-On its first run at 3 miles,Zarkandar ran really well last time.Keeping on at the death to finish just behind At Rivers Cross in the stayers hurdle at Cheltenham..

Its obviously very unexposed at this trip and you would expect an even better run here now they know it stays.

Its 2 wins from 3 starts at this trip,is 2 from 3 in April and is 3w-0p-7r in Grade 1 races.Its the value in this race.

At Rivers Cross is the obvious danger with Whisper and Melodic Rendezvous having stamina doubts.

Back Zarkandar 12pts at 4.5 at Betvictor/Corals-4th(-12pts)Hurdled well early on but went to pieces late on as it got tired.(DT+13pts)

Monthly Total+27pts

Running Total+6636.77pts

4th April

320 Sedgefield-Only 4 runners and nothing is overly convincing.

Kykate tends to perform better in the Spring and on its best form would have a good chance for a trainer that is 5 from 24 here but I factored in all this in on my tissue and theres no value in its current price.

Work Boy has chances but is a better horse on good ground and although it does handle the soft.Its 13yo and this is its 4th run in a month.

Apache Blue has no record of going well fresh,is better over further and the trainer is in desperate form.Its much shorter than Ive got it.

Cara Court is no good thing and is regularly beaten in this grade but it ran well last time and often does at this track(Sedgefield 2w-2p-6r).It will like the ground and its possible it may get a solo in front.Ive got it around the 9/4 mark,so the price has to be taken.

Back Cara Court 8pts at 5.5 at various Bookies.-Won(+36pts)Well backed and stuck on well to prevail.

9.0 Wolverhampton-Devote Myself has dropped 17Ibs in its 5 runs this winter.On my figures,the handicapper is almost inviting it to win.Its trainer is in good form and I would like to see a little support for it from this yard.Im very surprised at its price and a first time hood could be the decisive factor.

There are quite a few that on their best form could be competitve but  whether they produce it is another thing in a very low grade affair.

Colour My World,Baltic Prince and Safwaan could all go well.

The market expects a good run from Brown Pete from a gambling yard.Oisin Murphy is booked but he 0 from 4 for this yard and its 0w-0p-6r returning after a break of 41 days or more(82 days today).Ive got it around the 12/1 mark.

Back Devote Myself 7pts at 8.0 at bet365-UP(-7pts)No money for it and despite holding a good position,never looked like winning.(DT+29pts)

Monthly Total+14pts

Running Total+6623.77pts

2nd April

445 Wincanton-Off the Wall has only had the 3 runs over fences and looks sure to go well but the market has got the price about right.

Water Wagtail looks short to me as it ran poorly last time and its best form so far,has come on a softer surface than this.

Rocky Bender can turn in a good performance but is pretty unreliable.

The value for me is West Cork Flash,whos turned in some consistent performances of late and stays very well.

I expect it to give it a good go from the front under Richard Johnson

Back West Cork Flash 7pts-3rd(-7pts)

Monthly Total-15pts

Running Total+6594.77pts

1st April

5.0 Southwell-Pretty weak race and last time out winner Mont Signal has been put in pretty short.That wins gives it a chance but no more than that and it has to prove itself at this distance and at this track.

I prefer the lightly raced Nellies Quest.Its only had 4 runs and its latest effort at Wolverhampton gives it a decent chance.Its drops slightly in trip which should suit and Mick Appleby has a lot of success at this track.Jockey Ali Rawlinson is 9 from 23 for the yard.

Just Five is in good form and likes it here but needs to find more to follow up its latest victory while General Tufto is surely vulnerable to younger rivals now.

Back Nellies Quest 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-8pts)