17th April

240 Cheltenham-The gap in prices between Baby Shine and Tempest River looks too big here.The former has a decent shout on its latest run but my ratings suggest although it handles faster ground,its better on softer going.
It does also tend to lose its way at this time of year(April 0w-1p-5r) and the trainer is 0 from 8 with her chasers here.
Tempest River looks more likely to run its race.Its ran well here twice from 4 goes and is a better horse on this faster ground.
This horse is 1w-1p-3r when racing in April and Kielan Woods is 4 from 16 for the Ben Case yard.
Its defitnely the value in this race as She Ranks Me looks to be priced up on its hurdles form as its 3 runs over fences so far,leave it with 7Ibs to find.
Back Tempest River 10pts at 5.0 at Corals/Paddys-4th(-10pts)This one sums this week up.Well backed into favouritism and everything looked good until 3 bad mistakes down the back straight.This put it out of the race and it still managed to run on into fourth.
When you are on a bad run,all you can do is keep trying to find horses that are the wrong prices and things will turn because it always does.
Monthly Total+11.60pts
Running Total

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