6th April

340 Ffos Las-This is a really weak race.Tom Bach comes into it in good form and has form figures at this track and on this ground of 1st-1st-1st.
Its 3w-0p-9r in fields of 9 or less and the jockey is 2 from 3 on it.I thought this would be shorter than it is.Its 5/4 on my tissue prices.
The Last Bridge will probably pose the biggest threat,as 3 miles on soft ground are its ideal conditions but it is 0w-0p-4r in this class.
Night Safe has a chance but was well beaten behind Tom Bach last time and it is a 13yo now.
Scuderia has only had the 1 run over fences and it was a poor one but it may be capable of better if the money comes for it.
Back Tom Bach 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped pretty well apart from an error 2 out and won easily

445 Ffos Las-Another weak race and it looks an ideal opportunity for Supreme Bob to add to its sole career success.
This horse drops into class 5 for the first time and has only had just the 3 runs over fences,Its latest performance posted a career high rating and a very good speed figure.
Theres should be more to come and ive got it as clear favourite.
Possibly Flora has a chance but shouldnt be head the market.Its 0w-0p-4r going left handed and although it shouldnt be too far away,it needs to find more to win this.
Billybo returns after an absence but does represent a yard that have had horses finish 1st,1st and 2nd in this race the last 3 years.You have to respect it on that alone although this horse is very limited and hardly ever wins.
The biggest danger for me is Le Grand Chene(Wouldnt be the worst forecast bet in the world),this horse is a force in this grade(Class 5 5w-3p-17r) and drops back into that class today.
Back Supreme Bob 14pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Skybet-2nd(-14pts)Possibly Flora clearly found more!(DT+22pts)
Monthly Total+49pts
Running Total+6658.77pts

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