31st March

340 Hexham-One For Harry disappointed last time but the subsequent absence suggests something was amiss and if it can return to its form of 2 starts back then it would have a pretty strong chance in this.

It will appreciate the drop in class,as its a horse that prefers to give weight away to inferior horses(Carrying 11st8 or more 2w-1p-6r).Its 2w-2p-7r on heavy ground and 2w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or less.

The trainer is 19% with his hurdlers at this track.

Be My Present has to prove its stamina but is 1 from 1 here and is respected.

Persian Herald is 0w-0p-6r over this trip and so far it looks a better horse at 2 miles.

Back One For Harry 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-Won(+30pts 1 non runner)

Accept 4.5

350 Plumpton-Ballyvoneen is inconsistent but there are patterns in its profile,that suggest it could run well today,

Its a Spring horse,as a record of 5 wins from 9 starts confirms in April and May and although we are still just in March,its latest performance,12 days ago tells me its just coming to the boil.That rating gives it a sound chance but I would expect better back here(Plumpton 3w-1p-9r) and on good ground(4 career wins).

The drop in grade wont hurt either and if you take its runs in the Spring,in class 5 races,on good ground and at this track,you get form figures of 1st-1st-2nd.

Airmens Friend drops in grade and may prove the biggest threat.

Back Ballyvoneen 9pts at 5.5 at Paddys/bet365-Won(+40.5pts)What a ride this was!Never left the inside and kept the horse in it and put its nose in front 20 yards from the line.Nice to finish a great month with a bang!(DT+70.5pts)

Monthly Total+494.25pts

Running Total+6609.77pts

29th March

340 Stratford-Difficult days racing but It`s A Mans World may be a touch of value.It was a big market drifter on its first run for 6 months last time and it struggled to keep tabs on the all the way winner,Bygones of Brig,that horse followed up yesterday and the third also ran well next time out.

I would like to see some support coming from the Brian Ellison yard and in a way race with lots of dead wood in it,im surprised at its price.

Get Back in Line has only had 4 starts and drops in grade massively.I can see why its been put in as favourite but its short enough on what its actually achieved.

Canadian Diamond should run its race and be right there but continues to run well without winning.

Red Seventy is improving and from a good yard,it should run well if as good on this faster ground.

Back Its A Mans World 3pts Each way at 15.0 at betvictor-4th(-6pts)Of course it finished 1 place out of the money! A shame such a good month is finishing with a wimper.

Accept 10.0

28th March

250 Wetherby-A race that revolves around Indian Voyage,who produced a performance way above anything its ever done before,last time in a novice chase over a shorter trip than todays distance.The rating it posted that day would win this easily but those races can often give out false ratings for horses that run behind higher rated rivals.It does stay this trip but would prefer some rain and is only 1 win from 15 starts in its career.

So its presence at the top of the market as a short priced favourite means theres a bit of value elsewhere.

I respect Great Value and Tiny Dancer but at a big price,perhaps Allow Me can run better than the odds suggest.

Its only had 2 runs over fences,both over 2 miles on very soft ground.

Its best hurdles runs came over todays trip of 2m4f  and on good ground and its last winning mark was 120.

Today it can race off 107.The price is big enough to see if it still retains its abilty and just needs these conditions.

Back Allow Me 4pts at 15.0 at bet365-UP(-4pts)It rained! I got everything wrong here! Sometimes the obvious is the way to go.

Accept 11.0

430 Wetherby-Lots of rain would be a concern for Rock A Doodle Doo but as things stand at the moment,it shouldnt be the price it is in a wide open event.

Its best runs over hurdles have come here on decent ground and a repeat of its latest effort in a maiden hurdle,posting a good rating and solid topspeed figure in the process,would see it go very close.

Watt Broderick travels through its races but looks like it has to do it all on the bridle to me.It has a decent chance on ratings but this is its third run in 6 days and thats a tough ask.

Looking On is quite unexposed and may be capable of better while Pippa Greene represents the Nicky Henderson yard.It needs to improve but they are 12 from 34 with their hurdlers here and it has to be respected.

Back Rock A Doodle Doo 9pts at 6.0 at various Bookies-2nd(-9pts)Rain didnt help matters but I doubt we would have beaten Watt Broderick in any case.(DT-13pts)

Monthly Total+429.75pts

Running Total+6545.27pts

27th March

410 Southwell-This is really weak and wont take much winning.Auden only ran 2 days ago here,over a mile but that was a return to form and it has a rating over course and distance just before christmas that wins this.

Its 3Ibs below its last winning mark and is 2 from 2 when returning to the track within 3 days.An unsual but pretty impressive stat.

Time Square ran well last time but is 0w-0p-10r in fields of 9 or less and is unproven here.

At its best,Amtired would have a chance but a career record of 2 wins from 31 starts,says it all.

Back Auden 12pts at 4.5 at bet365-2nd(-12pts)Smashed up in the betting and after that,I fully expected this to win.However it didnt settle early on and I dont think it was a great ride from Tylicki,letting the winner do its own thing in front.

26th March

630 Kempton-Quite a tight little race but Ssafa should be clear favourite on my figures.This horse often runs well here and although it can turn in the odd below par run,based on its latest effort here,its clear top rated with the in form Luke Morris riding.

Puzzle Time is unexposed and looks the main danger although Wakeup Little Suzy is difficult to assess accurately as it steps up 2 furlongs in trip.

Back Ssafa 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-UP(-12pts)Had the run of the race but clearly didnt run up to its form.Weak in the market!

Accept 4.0

340 Exeter-If this race was at Huntingdon then Faith Keeper would have been an almost maximum bet.

There shouldnt be a problem here though,as it is still a galloping,right hand track.The trainer is 3 from 10 with his chasers here also.

Its latest rating does give it a very strong chance with the 3rd and 4th in that race both winning this week.The booking of Noel Fehily for the first time is the icing on the cake.

Nodebateaboutit was very unlucky not to win last time,after being hampered by a loose horse after the last.That run gives it a decent chance but all its form is on a much softer surface than its going to encounter here.Its also been raised 7Ibs for that effort.

The only other horse I see as a danger is Susquehana River,whos been given a break after a poor run last time.This is a drop in class for it but it does need to improve.

Back Faith Keeper 16pts at 3.75 at Bet365/Paddys-4th(-16pts)I was surprised the money didnt really come for this horse.Instead Nodebateaboutit was well backed despite the ground concerns.It ran a decent race but wasnt good enough.Looks a Huntingdon specialist.(DT-28pts)

Accept 3.5

Monthly Total+454.75pts

Running Total+6570.27pts

25th March

345-Princely Hero is a very moody individual and it will let you know fairly early on if it fancies it or not.However,its opponents all have concerns on this faster ground and I cant let it go unbacked as the outsider of this field.

Its the one horse in the field that will like the ground and is a 2 time course winner around here.Its 4w-5p-16r when returning to the track within 24 days or less.

It just needs to turn up in a good mood.

Tarraco looked to have an excellent chance last time out but ran terrible.Its 0w-0p-5r in this grade and isnt porven on the ground.

Smart Exit is(on my ratings) over a stone worse on ground that isnt soft or heavy.

Best Boy Barney is tumbling down the weights but theres a reason for that,after several poor performances although I notice there has been some early support for it while Danners makes its handicap debut but is another that seems to prefer softer ground.

Back Princely Hero 6pts at 8.0 at Corals(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Rare poor tip this month.I knew it might drop the lot halfway round and thats what it did.

455 Fontwell-This is pretty wide open and at a price,I think Moulin De La Croix could run well.

This horse drops in class,into the lowest grade its ever ran in and represents a trainer that is 10 wins from 48 with his chase runners at this track.

It has a solid chance on its 2 latest runs and is a touch of value.

Red Rock will probably run better back on decent ground while Benny The Swinger is fairly consistent for the grade and shouldnt be far away.

Back Moulin De La Croix 6pts at 12.0 at Betvictor(Accept 10.0)-3rd(-6pts)Just couldnt get into it with the 1st and 2nd in the front 2 spots the whole way round.Stayed on into 3rd.(DT-12pts)

24th March

230 Towcester-Riddlestown is inconsistent but if it can turn up on its best form then it should go close here.

It ran well last time over further but I dont envisage the drop back in trip proving a problem epsecially on such a stiff track like this.

Its now 5Ibs below its last winning mark and both its career victories have come when Harry Skelton has been on board.

Fair Bramble has been put in as the early favourite but ive got it needing to improve.Thats not impossible after just 5 starts over fences but as it stands,ive got it 8Ibs inferior.

Todareistodo goes very well here(3 starts 1st-1st-3rd) and has to be respected but needs to bounce back from a poor effort last time and would ideally need softer ground.

Bill the Lad has one good rating to its name at this track but hasnt reproduced it.

Back Riddlestown 9pts at 6.0 at betvic-Won(+45pts)Wont see many better rides than this.Brilliant from Skelton.

Accept 4.5

Monthly Total+494.75pts

Running Total+6610.27pts

23rd March

No selections

22nd March

355 Bangor-Only 2 with a realistic chance and it would not surprise me,that they had flip flopped in the market by the off time.

CloudingStar hasnt had many chances over fences but reappears just 6 days after a fairly hard fought victory.The faster ground is an unknown as well.

Kings Grace ran okay last time over 3 miles but is much better over this trip(2m4f 2w-0p-4r),its 2 from 2 around this track and 3w-1p-7r going left handed in general.

Its rating over this trip 2 starts back means Cloudingstar has to really improve again to beat it.

Back Kings Grace 18pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+59.4pts Best odds guaranteed)Cloudingstar ran poorly like it was suggested and Kings Grace just stayed on after the last to win.

155 Stratford-Queens Bay is 0w-0p-4r coming back from a long absence and from a yard that are 0 from 31 here,I dont envisage it being involved.

Carhue Princess is a very in and out performer but has only had 1 run over fences but needs to improve on what its done over hurdles to take a hand.

Me and Ben has only had the 2 starts over fences and ran well last time to finish 2nd.Its been put up 8Ibs for that and its going to need to improve again.

This race is very simple to work out.If My Flora can come even close to last seasons best then it wins this and wins it easily!

Its profile holds a lot of hope for this happening.3w-2p-10r in fields of 9 or less,Good ground 3w-1p-7r and 2 wins from 3 starts around this track.

Its a silly price.

Back My Flora 15pts at 3.75 at various bookies-Won(+41.25pts)Absolutely smashed up into 5/4 and won as it liked.

Accept 3.0

335 Stratford-Warren Greatrex has such a fine record here with his hurdlers(6 wins from 13 runners) that Sky Watch has to run well.The ground is an unknown however.

Moss on the Hill makes its handicap debut for an inform trainer but is another with a query on the ground.

Halifax isnt out of it for a yard that like a punt but at a massive price,I can see Minella Special coming back to form.

Its ran 2 ordinary races this season but both of those were going right handed(0w-2p-7r) and will much prefer going this way round(Left Handed 2w-0p-2r).

Its now back on its last winning mark,its 2 from 4 on sharp tracks like this and Tom O`Brien is 2w-1p-4r when riding.

Back Minella Special 5pts at 15.0 at Paddys-PU(-5pts)Got the value as it was well backed and then ran terribly.Very strange.(DT+95.65pts)

Accept 9.0

Monthly Total+449.75pts

Running Total+6565.27pts

21st March

335 Lingfield-Temple Road is up slightly in grade but its rating and topspeed figure it produced last time suggests it will be up to it.

6 furlongs around this track are its optimum conditions(3w-1p-8r) and the price is much bigger than I expected.

Palace Moon is a consistent horse and should run well but hasnt won for nearly 2 years.

Picansort drops in grade and goes well here but maybe slightly better at 5 furlongs while Diamond Charlie is pretty reliable and shouldnt be far away.

Back Temple Road 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-UP(-9pts)Very weak in the market.Was wide and out the back and not touched once with the jockeys whip.Waste of time!

430 Sedgefield-Polstar is probably the most likely winner of this race.It looks pretty progressive but im surprised in the gap in prices between it and Danby`s Legend.The latter finished behind Polstar last time but has only had 6 runs and this trainer will definitely work this horse out as hes a master of his trade in my opinion.

That still represented a career best run and it wouldnt surprise me if it improved again.The jockey and trainer have a 20% strikerate when teaming up.

Ben Cee Pee M is 2 from 3 around here and must go well if handling the drop in trip.

Back Danby`s Legend 3pts Each Way at 17.0 at Various bookies-UP(-6pts)Another each way selection bits the dust! Was really well backed and looked good until getting totally squeezed out at the top of the home straight.Probably didnt make any difference but it certainly didnt help.(DT-15pts)

605 Wolverhampton-After having a tremendous run of things during mid winter,it looks like the handicapper has caught up with The Blue Dog.However my ratings suggest this race may well be still be within reach.This is a drop in class and its just top rated.The small field isnt a problem(4 wins from 8 starts in fields of 7 or less) and its a 3 time winner around here.

It shouldnt be the price it is.

Divea produced a career best when upped to this trip last time.Its respected but 6/4 is seriously short for a horse thats 0w-0p-4r in this grade.

Lacey is pretty consistent but is another who struggles in this class(Class 5 0w-0p-4r)

Back The Blue Dog 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-3rd(-8pts)Another fairly weak in the market but was given an excellent ride and had every chance.Wasnt good enough or maybe didnt quite get home.Rubbish Day!(DT-23pts)

Accept 4.5

20th March

440 Ludlow-After only 3 starts over fences,Sonofagun has a lot more upside to it than the majority of this field.

I must admit I thought this horse would be a lot shorter than it is.It won so easily on its latest start that it looks very well handicapped under a 7Ib penalty.

Its 2 wins from 4 starts in fields of 9 or less like this and providing its none the worse returning to the track 10 days after its win then it really should go close.

Oyster Shell has a god progressive profile but does return after a 126 days break while Last Shot continues to run well but must be vulnerable to an unexposed horse.

Parsnip Pete goes well fresh and has won here,so it would be no surprise if it ran well.

Back Sonofagun 15pts at 3.75 at Betvictor/Bet365-Won(+52.50 Best odds guaranteed)Looked in trouble down the back but they went so fast,it allowed its stamina to come into play and always looked like getting there after the last.

Monthly Total+377.10pts

Running Total+6492.62pts

19th March

320 Warwick-This is very weak and could be a decent opportunity for Handsome Buddy to add to its sole career success.This horse ran really well last time in a better race than this.over course and distance and on ground a bit softer than ideal.If it can reproduce that effort then it should go very close.

Get Ready to Go is 0 from 18 in its career but does represent a trainer that is 2 from 3 with his runners here.Its the main danger.

Back Handsome Buddy 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+42pts)Thought it was in a little bit of trouble but the jockey got it in contention and it stayed on too strong for the others

Monthly Total+324.60pts

Running Total+6440.12pts

18th March

515 Exeter-Crookstown was a winner for us last time and I see no reason not to support it again.It clearly wants a distance around this trip(2m3 to 2m5 3 wins from 4 starts) and wants to go this way round(Right handed 3 wins from 4 starts).

Its clear on ratings and speed figures and Kielan Woods is 3 from 8 for this yard.It should be closer to the even money mark in my view.

Generous Ransom and Silent Knight both make their handicap debuts,so it will be interesting what way they go in the market while Revani makes its debut for Johnny Farrelly,whos had a couple of well supported winners recently.

They all need to improve however to match Crookstown.

Back Crookstown 20pts at 3.0 at various bookies-2nd(-20pts)Poor hurdling in the straight cost this horse the race.Particularly 2 out when its was on the bridle but nearly knocked the hurdle out of the ground.

455 Wetherby-There are doubts about Everaard,its 0-w-0p-4r in March and hasnt got its regular rider on but im very surprised by its price.

Its latest victory puts it top of my ratings and its probably a better horse on this faster ground.This is also a drop on class and although im no big fan of James Reveley as a jockey,providing it can back up its latest run then it really should go close.Its the clear value in the race.

Its possible Saints and Sinners could improve for the step up to 3 miles,if it does then its probably the main danger.

Fiddlers Reel has chances but is 0w-2p-6r going left handed while Harris Hawk may be a better horse at shorter.

Back Everaard 7pts at 7.5 at bet365(Accept5.5)-2nd(-7pts)Really well backed all morning but never travelling at any stage but kept going and looked like it had good chances 2 out but Reveley is unlikely to outride Ryan Mania in a finish.Very frustrating day!(DT-27pts)

16th March

305 Carlisle-I cant let Vinny Gambini go unbacked at such a big price.This horse has only had 4 runs under rules and is obviously open to improvement.

The market seems to have dismissed it but its got better ground here and is back over the course and distance it achieved its best rating and speed figure on. 

A reproduction of that puts it right in the mix.

Mudita Moment should run well as its been in pretty solid form but that has all been on very soft ground,so im not sure about the drying ground.

Venitia Williams is 4 from 11 over hurdles here however.

Granaruis is 2 from 2 here but is going to have to produce a career best to win this.

Island Heights is improving is very much respected.

Back Vinny Gambini 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365(Accept 10.0)-UP(-5pts)Halved in price but looked outpaced throughout and was well beaten.

425 Ffos Las-Theres no doubt that some horses have far more potential than Charingworth,whos more exposed than most in this field but I still fail to see why its such a big price.

For an 11yo,its still unexposed over this trip,has posted 3 solid ratings the last 3 starts and drops in class here.

Titchwood has only had the 3 starts over fences and will improve for an in form yard while BoyfromNowhere drops into a grade where its 1 from 1 and with a 1w-1p-3r record at this track then it should run well.

Our Island has a bit of back class but is only 1 from 17 over fences and can be taken on.

Back Charingworth 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-Non Runner

15th March

515 Kempton-This is pretty weak and a decent opportunity for Badgers Cove to post a win over fences.Its got the best recent ratings and is much better going this way round(Right Handed 3w-2p-9r).I like Charlie Poste as a jockey,he always gives everything a ride and I would have it clear favourite on my tissue prices.

Mic Aubin ran well last time over a 2 furlong shorter trip.It has run over this trip but certainly isnt proven over it.

I must be missing something with Billy Dutton,whos put in at a shorter price than I would have it.I notice it went off favourite last time but ran poorly.Presumably,its a better horse than its showing.

Ive got Campbonnais having it prove on the faster ground while Whispering Jack(won this race last year) has been in terrible form.

Back Badgers Cove 10pts at 5.0 at bet365(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Nicely backed and given a lovely ride from the front.Hardly missed a beat the whole way round.

340 Fontwell-Theres no doubt that Umberto D`Olivate is the one to beat here.Its been consistent in each of its 4 runs over fences but all of those were on very soft ground.Its slightly quicker here and it has no form on sharp circuits like this(All its best runs on galloping or stiff tracks).It also hits a flat spot in the middle of its races and I wonder if something might get away from it.

Im hoping that will be the outsider of the field,Speedy Bruere,whos been all at sea on very soft ground mainly this winter.All its best form came last season on good to soft ground.

Its 1 out of 2 in March and back at a track where its 1 from 1 plus the ground,I can see a much better run for a trainer thats 7 wins from 34 runners with his chasers here.

Elsafeer is 0w-1p-6r in this grade while Last Shot looks like its feeling the effects of a busy season although this is an easier race than its been contesting of late.

Back Speedy Bruere 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-8pts)Looked like taking a hand when coming alongside 3 out but just weakened out of it late on.

Accept 5.0

435-Inoogoo looks a very dodgy favourite to me here.This horse can often pull its chance away but from a ratings standpoint,its got a bit to find.

0w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 0 from 15 going left handed hardly add to its appeal.

Cloverhill Lad has been really consistent all season and has won here.I cannot see it being far away.

Little Jimmy has been supported on its last 3 runs .Its posted some solid ratings and wont be far away.

Pamak Dairy is a 2 time winner here and represents a small yard that have an impressive 10 from 38 record with their chasers here.Its a pretty big price.

Ballycool drops in class and if reproducing its ratings from 3 runs back,it would win this.

Lay Inoogoo 20pts at 4.0(lay upto 5.0)-3rd(+20pts)(DT+52pts)

Days total minus commission+51pts

Monthly Total+314.60pts

Running Total+6430.12pts

14th March

320 Cheltenham-The biggest race of the week and a straight shoot out for me between the top two in the market.

You have to greatly respect Bobs Worth,its got an amazing 5 from 5 record at this track and will no doubt be peaking again for this race but you have to try and assess a race like you would any other and Silviniaco Conti has been clearly the best horse this season of the two.

Bobs Worth did look in trouble down the back straight last year and Silviniaco was travelling very well when it came down.

Noel Fehily has a 33% strike rate for the yard,who did have a couple of horses run well on Thursday.Its 2w-1p-6r in grade 1 races and I just think the gap in the prices is far too big.

Its clearly the value for me.

Back Silviniaco Conti 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts)Not sure what to make of it this at all.Thought we just had Bobs Worth to beat and we did but I felt the jockey kicked too early and had nothing left for the final 100 yards and 3 outsiders came flying by.

230 Lingfield-This is quite tight but Skidby Mill is far too big for me here.Just top rated after  some solid runs latest over course and distance(Lingfield 2w-2p-5r)

Liam Jones is 5 from 21 for the yard and its got a nice draw.It should go close.

Queen Aggies price looks too tight for me.It won last time but that was around Wolverhampton and its far happier around there than here(Lingfield 0w-0p-4r).It needs to improve on that performance anyway.

Pretty Bubbles is very consistent  and is 2w-3p-8r over this trip.Its the main danger .

Back Skidby Mill 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betvic-2nd(-7pts)Beaten a neck to complete a frustrating day(DT-19pts)

13th March

320 Cheltenham-The big race of the day and doubts about everything at the front of the market.

Annies Power is a very short price for a horse that has to prove its stamina and isnt proven on ground this fast.Theres no doubt with its mares allowance on the figures,it has a sound chance but at the price,I wouldnt want any doubts and there obviously is.

Big Bucks ran 12Ibs below its best on its reappearance,the trainer states it will come on a ton for that and thats fair enough but has Paul Nicholls had one horse thats ran its race this festival?

I dont think At Fishers Cross is good enough and it also has ground concerns.

I like to look for improving,progressive horses and More of That is definitely one of those.Jonjo O`Neill is a trainer that I greatly respect when he steps one up to a staying trip.

It needs to improve a little and it does need to prove it wants the step up but the price allows for all of that and it may even improve for it.

Back More Of That 5pts at 11.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+50pts)Star stayer in the making and I very much doubt it will be 10/1 ever again.

Monthly Total+282.60pts

Running Total+6398.12pts

12th March

320 Cheltenham-Other than the fact its been on the go since October.I see no reason why Sire De Grugy wont win this.Its 6Ibs clear on my figures and its latest performance was a career best.The drying ground shouldn’t be a problem and much has been made of it running below par around this track.

It may be slightly better around a Sandown but its last run here,going down by 3 lengths(trainer reported one of its shoes has come off) to Kid Cassidy giving it 10Ibs gives it plenty in hand here off level weights.

It also fits all the key trends criteria.It should be around 7/4 in my view.

The danger for me Arvika Ligeonniere,whos been pretty progressive in Ireland and is also a little overpriced.I wouldn’t put anyone off the forecast.

I respect the trainer for Captain Conan & Kid Cassidy but they have a mountain to climb on ratings.

Back Sire Du Grugy 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Just a legend of a horse.If only they were all like him.

745 Kempton-Spellmaker has been very progressive this winter,especially at this track where its form figures over this trip read 1st-1st-1st-4th-2nd)

It actually drops down 2 grades from a class 3 for this and is 4w-2p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

New Leyf is possibly the main danger.6 furlongs around this track are its ideal conditions(form figures of 2nd-2nd-1st-1st-2nd),its 2w-1p-3r in March and must run well back after a break although the trainer could be in better form.

Go Far was a bit below par last time but a return to the form of its previous 2nd placed finish at Southwell wouldnt put it far away.It does act around here.It lacks the progression and consistency of Spellmaker though.

Back Spellmaker 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+42pts)Travelled well and put it to bed easily.

Accept 4.3

255 Huntingdon-Midnight Charmer sets a decent standard here and has a pretty consistent profile.It should run ok even though it is 0w-2p-12r from January to May.The trainer has lost a bit of form recently and hasnt ever had a winner here.

Long Wave drops in grade for an in form yard.Its back from a break but thats rarely a problem with this stable.It shouldnt be far away.

The interesting one is Faith Keeper.who hasnt matched its runaway win around here before christmas.The rating it posted that day wins this and there are reasons to believe it could reproduce it.

Its down in class,its 1 from 1 at this track and 1 from 1 over this trip.The trainer is 20% with his chasers here and theyve had a few winners lately

Back Faith Keeper 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-2nd(-6pts)Well backed into 9/2 and went odds on in running but just got outstayed.(DT+72pts)

Monthly Total+232.60pts

Running Total+6348.12pts

11th March

440 Cheltenham-The standout bet on day 1 of the festival is Shotgun Paddy in the 4 miler.This horse is lightly raced,with only 4 runs over fences,each showing a nice progression.

Ive got it 4Ibs clear here and it should be favourite.Its 2w-1p-4r in fields of 10 runners or more and this is actually a drop in class after its Grade 3 handicap win last time

This horse meets all the trends for this race as well.Which are mainly-Have to be a 7 or 8yo-Placed 1st or 2nd in a chase over at least 3 miles-Finished 1st or 2nd on one or both of its last 2 starts and had ran at least 3 times over fences.

I respect Foxrock,from a trainer who doesnt waste his time sending horses with no chance to this festival.The 2 others ive got with chances are Midnight Prayer whos been in good form and Shutthefrontdoor,whos trainer normally wins one of the staying events at this meeting.

Back Shotgun Paddy 8pts at 6.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Must have hit every fence and went down by a short head.Unbelievable really,would have won by half the track if it had jumped better.

255 Sedgefield-Grate Fella was a little all at sea last time on heavy ground but back on this better ground and at this track(Sedgefield 1w-1p-2r),I can see it bouncing back.

There has to be a reason that Ryan Mania hasnt travelled to the Cheltenham to ride Vintage Star,either they think that has no chance or this has a great chance.

I think its the latter.

Its a Mans World makes its handicap debut for Brian Ellison but returns after an absence.Its got chances and a lot will depend on how strong it stays in the market.

Sud Pacifique has been running consistently without winning,its 0w-3p-11r in this grade and is clearly vulnerable.

Looking On is lightly raced and capable of better but the trainer is struggling.

Back Grate Fella 9pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-9pts)Hammered in the betting but dropped out down the back straight.(DT-17pts)

Monthly Total+160.60pts

Running Total+6276.12pts

10th March

430 Plumpton-Some pretty awful stuff the day before Cheltenham.This is a very ordinary class 5 chase but they are a few in with a chance.

The best value looks to be According to Them who broke its duck last time,has won here and has finished 1st and 2nd in its last 2 starts at this trip.

This small stable have won with 2 of their last 4 runners.

Tarraco has been put in as favourite but its a very in and out performer,who has questions to answer on the drying ground.

Alteranthela should run well after posting a series of solid efforts and is 2w-1p-6r in this class but its around the right price.

Ballyvoneen has a good record here(3w-1p-8r) and ran a decent race last time,so may make the frame.

Back According to Them 6pts at 7.0 at Bet365-Pulled Up(-6pts)Weak in the market and ran poorly.Never travelling and hitting many of the fences before finally pulling up.

9th March

310 Market Rasen-Orange Nassau comes from a yard that does well in Charlie Longsdon,whos 11 from 42 with his chasers here.Ive got its best ratings at a bit further but you have to respect the horse.Around a Pound has only had 2 runs over fences and should obviously be capable of better but its always been very inconsistent and not reliable.

Airmens Friend returns to fences after a spell over hurdles,its not badly treated but wants the ground to continue to dry out.

The clear value for me is Palos Conti,who if it doesnt let the fences get in the way,has an excellent chance.

This horse drops in grade here,is 3w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less...4w-0p-7r in March/April and the trainer is 11 from 41 with his chasers here.A repeat of its run 2 starts back would win this.

Back Palos Conti 9pts at 6.0 at Betvic/Skybet(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-9pts)Ran a decent race and shame it murdered a fence 4 out but I doubt it wouldve reeled in the winner anyway.

510 Market Rasen-I can see Crookstown coming back to form here.Its disappointed a bit the last twice but both those runs were in small fields and this horse prefers horses around it(10 runners+ 2w-0p-3r),back at this track(1 from 1 here) where it posted its best rating and the jockey who rode it that day,is back on board(2 from 7 for the yard).

Edmaal is pretty solid and should run its race while The Wealerdealer has posted 2 ratings back to back and may improve for the slight drop in trip.

Back Crookstown 7pts at 8.0 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 6.0)-Won(+70pts *Paid on Best odds guaranteed)

Big drifter during the morning meaning you could have got prices of around 25.0.Support before the off because it was a stupid price and it absolutely hosed up.I hope some people went back in on Betfair coz I know I did.

340 Market Rasen-I dont see any reason(other than the trainers record here) of why Munsaab is near the front of the market.Its 0w-0p-6r at this trip and has got 10Ibs to find on my ratings.

If Highbury High can have a safe round of junping then it should run well.Riguez Dancer is quite interesting,now being 16Ibs below its last winning mark and the jockey and trainer having a 21% strike rate here when teaming up.Its most recent run gives a better chance than the odds suggest.

O`Callaghan Strand is 1 from 2 at this track and will be a strong stayer at this trip.

Lay Munsaab 20pts at 6.0-3rd(+20pts)Well beaten.(DT+81pts)

Days total minus commission+80pts

Monthly Total+183.60pts

Running Total+6299.12pts

8th March

340 Ayr-Golden Sparkle should run a decent race here and looks a bit of value.It finished 2nd in this race last year and its latest rating gives it a better chance than the odds suggest.

Little Glenshee is 4w-4p-12r going left handed and a course winner but it needs to return to last seasons best to take this.

Rattlin would have every chance on its run 2 stats back but ran a terrible race when reappearing just 6 days later.That may have been the reason for the below performance and its 4w-1p-9r in fields of 9 or less.

Romantic Fashion is a fair enough favourite,its got a progressive profile but is about the right price.

Back Golden Sparkle 6pts at 8.0 at SkyBet-2nd(-6pts)Ran a really good race and maybe better jumps at the last 2 hurdles may have made the difference.

Accept 6.5

315 Sandown-Very competitve with several progressive types on show but none more so than Vibrato Valtat,whos 7Ibs clear on my ratings and still improving.

This horse hails from the powerful Paul Nicholls Yard and surely must go close.

Baltimore Rock and New Years Eve are both improving horses but this is a step up in class compared to what theyve been running against.

Back Vibrato Valtat 13pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-13pts)Didnt think it was a great ride!

355 Chepstow-Consigliere is the one to beat,theres no doubt about that.It goes well in small fields(0-9 runners 6w-3p-13r) and is good in class 3 races(4w-1p-9r).However it has been struggling to get its head in front and theres little value in its price.

KIlcrea Asla won this race last year and has definite chances based on its latest victory but is 13 years old now and that puts me off.

Quincy Des Pictons could well have had enough of racing but theres enough here to suggest it may run better than the odds suggest.

This is a drop in class for it,dropping back into this grade for the first time since it won its last race last April.

Its 1 from 1 at this track,2w-2p-7r on heavy ground and James Best is 6 wins from 20 rides for this gambling stable.Id want to see some money for it.

Back Quincy Des Pictons 6pts at 10.0 at Bet365(Accept 9.0)-2nd(-6pts)Ran well but Consigliere was too good.(DT-25pts)

Monthly Total+103.60pts

Running Total+6219.12pts

7th March

Leicester 210-Only 3 that can be considered.Bin End was very unlucky to be brought down last time and has produced a series of good efforts since going over fences.This is definitely its favourite track,winning twice here over hurdles and even on the flat.It has a decent chance of adding a chase to its collection here.Its clearly the value as theres nothing between the front 3 on my ratings.

Arkaim has been very consistent and can be relied upon to run its race.Its got every chance.

Morgans Bay is the other with a chance.It comes here after a win here last time .It was only 7 days ago that it appeared and that has to be a concern but from a strict ratings standpoint,its got as good chance as the other 2 mentioned and has a strong profile.

2 from 3 at this track and in the month of March plus 3w-0p-7r in fields of 9 or less.

I cant have it as short as it though.

Back Bin End 9pts at 5.5 at Totesport/Betfred(Accept 4.5)-Pulled Up(-9pts)Well backed but didnt want to start and didnt want to race either.

Wolverhampton 730-Very competitve race.Flying Power drops in class and is respected in this grade(Class 4 3p-3p-10r) and is 3w-3p-9r at this track.I would be surprised if it didnt reach the frame.

Aryal was always going to be the market leader,coming from a big yard but it isnt proven here and returns after a long absence.

Future Security is difficult to assess on its victory in Switzerland last time out.It now makes its polytrack debut,it used to be decent for godolphin but it looks pretty short enough to me.Excellent Puck is consistent but looks better at shorter.

The value at a massive price has to be Back Burner,who has form figures of 5th-1st-2nd around this track.What interests me most about this horse is that it produced its best rating over course and distance in December on its stable debut.It then had 2 runs at Southwell(which didnt suit) then 2 more here at shorter.Back up to this trip,if it can run to the same rating it did over course and distance last time then it goes very close.

Back Back Burner 5pts at 15.0 at Betvictor(Accept 12.0)-4th(-5pts)Ran a decent race(DT-14pts)

6th March

Carlisle 240-The one that interests me the most is Snuker,whos 1 from 1 at this track over fences and after running over staying distances drops back to the trip it last won at.

2w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 1w-1p-2r when returning to the track within 14 days are other positives and If it could produce a rating anything close to that victory then it would win this.

Dotties Dilema has only had the 2 runs over fences and now steps up in trip from a good yard.Its has to be respected.Monbeg isn’t fully proven on this ground but ran a decent race last time and may hit the frame while Russe Blanc has chances on what it was doing before pulling up last time.

Back Snuker 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(accept 4.0)-Won(+39.60pts)Tremendous ride from Brian Hughes to get this horse up.

505 Wincanton-Rossa Parkes is the one to beat but the market has got it pretty short considering it returns after 84 days away from the track and is 0w-0p-4r after such an absence.It is 1 from 1 around here however and with Noel Fehily up,has to be respected.

Milans Well looks a bit of value to me.Its not done much in its last 2 runs but they were over hurdles(0 from 8 in that sphere) and in larger fields(10 runners+ 0w-1p-7r).

Back over fences,where its still unexposed(only 3 runs), at a track where its unbeaten(2 from 2) and in the desired small field(9 runners or less 2w-2p-4r) I can see this horse running really well.

Tolkiens Tango is unexposed over fences after just one run and may be capable of better.

Back Milans Well 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept  5.5)-Non Runner

825 Kempton-Jewelled performed well when upped in trip last time,leaving behind some lack lustre efforts over a mile.Its rating posted that day gives it every chance and it returns to the track quickly ,which is what it requires to run its best races(14 days or less 3w-3p-11r)

Waveguide is the obvious danger.Boasting a progressive,consistent profile for a bang in form yard.It moves up a furlong in trip and still has to prove itself around this track,so there are negatives to warrant taking it on.

If I were a Boy isnt out of it but probably needs a little more than its been producing of late.Its got a poor record after a break of 29 days or more from the track(0w-3p-15r)

Ssafa at its best,would be on the premises and it probably does have the best track form of these.Its so in and out though,its difficult to trust.

Back Jewelled 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-3rd(-10pts)Looked to be coming to win the race(Touched 1.18 in running) but weakened final 100 yards.(DT+29.60pts)

Monthly Total+142.60pts

Running Total+6258.12pts

4th March

510 Southwell-Very competitve and its easy to see why Iffranesia is favourite.This horse has a consistent,solid profile.4 from 4 in fields of 9 or less and 3 from 3 when returning to the track within 14 days.

Having said that,its best ratings so far have been on polytrack.The one run(finished 2nd) here,isnt up there with its best.So on that basis,its short enough in the market.

Electric Qatar is 2 from 2 around here and is respected but definitely prefers a quicker return to the track than todays 23 days(15days+ 0w-4p-17r).

Rowe Park is getting on now(11yo) but boasts form figures of 1-3-1-1 around here and has to be respected on that but you just feel some younger legs will beat it.

Thorpe Bay is a 4 time course winner and has won its last 2 starts over course and distance but has been a little below par of late.

At a big price,I can see Only Ten Per Cent going better than the prices suggest.This horse is only ever any good at this track,so the fact that its ran poorly the last twice on polytrack doesnt concern me.This horse has only had 2 tries at 5 furlongs at this track and finished 1st and 2nd in those.

Either of the ratings it posted in those performances would see it go very close.

Back Only Ten Per Cent 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Halved in price but weakened out of it although i did notice that nothing drawn towards the rail got close.

Accept 9.0

3.0 Exeter-Despite pulling up last time,I feel that Flying Award has a decent chance in this staying contest.

Its previous run was 2 grades higher than this and its far more at home in this class(Class 3 2w-0p-5r),Its also at its best in small fields(0-9 runners 4w-2p-7r)

The strong profile continues with a 2 from 2 record over this trip,3w-0p-3r in the months of March/April and 5w-2p-14r when returning to the track within 40 days like today.

Add in a course victory and you can see why the price appeals.

Five Star Wilsham is clearly expected to run well,judging by the prices but ive got this horse as seriously needing to improve for the step up in trip.

Alderluck has chances on its bare ratings but is 0w-0p-5r at this track and all its winning is done on sharp tracks and this certainly isnt one of those.

CoolKing takes a big step up in trip and you have to respect the jockey/trainer combination as they are 21 wins from 82 starts when teaming up but this horse has 1 win from 27 career starts.

Armedanddangerous is another that looks a little underpriced to me.Unproven over the trip,its 0w-1p-6r when returning to the track after a break of 41 days or more(75 today)

I could see last years winner The Clyda Rover running a decent race.It comes into form at this time of year(March-May 3w-1p-7r),is 2 from 5 at this track and 2 from 2 over todays trip.

Back Flying Award 8pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+43pts 1 non runner)Jumped really well and always looked the winner to my eye.(DT+38pts)

Monthly Total+113pts

Running Total+6228.52pts

3rd March

No Selections

2nd March

4.0 Huntingdon-This is very weak and looks a good opportunity for Scotsbrook Legend to follow up its latest victory.Its clear top rated and likes to run fresh,so the 54 day break should be ideal.Ground,trip and grade are spot on also.

Of the more obvious ones,Hartside looks next best but does tend to place rather than win.

No No Charlie,Broughtons Bandit and Mission to Mars all make their handicap debut and all need to improve to take a hand but the market will tell their tale.

Back Scotsbrook Legend 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+35pts)Hurdled superb and hosed up,

Monthly Total+75pts

Running Total+6190.52pts

1st March

205 Newbury-Brackloon High looks ready to win again after posting some consistent efforts,since being switched to hurdles.

This is a drop in grade after running really well last time.Its fine on the ground and stays this trip well.

A record of 5w-1p-13r in fields of 9 and less plus Richard Johnson is booked to ride(6 wins from 28 rides for the yard).It must run well.

Who Owns Me has a good profile...4w-0p-9r in fields of 9 or less....3w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 28 days and 3w-0p-9r on heavy ground.

It should go well but needs to find a few pounds on its latest win to match Brackloon High.

Georgian King although not proven on the ground ran well last time to be given a squeak while the booking of McCoy for Lawney Hill(4 wins from 9 for the yard) catches the eye.

On what its done so far,its got a fair to find but does run better aorund this time of year.

Back Brackloon High 14pts at 3.75 at Betvictor/Paddy-3rd(-14pts)Looked certain to win between the last 2 hurdles(Touched 1.15 in running) but curled up on the run in.

(accept 3.5)

350 Newbury-This isnt the strongest Grade 3 theres ever been and could be a good opportunity for Shangani to get back to winning ways.

This horse is clear top rated on its latest run,loves heavy ground(3w-1p-8r),is 2 w-2p-9r in fields of 9 or less and has a record 3w-1p-9r when returning to the track within 28 days.

This is its time of year as a record of 3w-2p-7r in February and March shows.It should be a strong favourite.

Dashing George won last time but that was at Fakenham.A track where form is rarely reliable elsewhere.It does like this ground(Heavy 5w-2p-16r) but has never won past the month of February in a normal jumps season.

The combination of Fehily and Nicholls is pretty formidable as a record of 21 wins from 61 starts shows.However,Ulck Du Lin is going to have to step up a lot on what its been showing to take this.

Elenika runs plenty of good races but just cant seem to win and is 0w-1p-7r going left handed.

Rebel Rebellion gets some different headgear and is 2 from 2 in March but needs to find more.

Back Shangani 12pts at 5.5 at bet365-Won(+54pts)Nicely backed and under a vintage Tom Scudamore ride,stayed on strongly to win near the finish.(DT+40pts)

Running Total+6155.52pts