4th March

510 Southwell-Very competitve and its easy to see why Iffranesia is favourite.This horse has a consistent,solid profile.4 from 4 in fields of 9 or less and 3 from 3 when returning to the track within 14 days.
Having said that,its best ratings so far have been on polytrack.The one run(finished 2nd) here,isnt up there with its best.So on that basis,its short enough in the market.
Electric Qatar is 2 from 2 around here and is respected but definitely prefers a quicker return to the track than todays 23 days(15days+ 0w-4p-17r).
Rowe Park is getting on now(11yo) but boasts form figures of 1-3-1-1 around here and has to be respected on that but you just feel some younger legs will beat it.
Thorpe Bay is a 4 time course winner and has won its last 2 starts over course and distance but has been a little below par of late.
At a big price,I can see Only Ten Per Cent going better than the prices suggest.This horse is only ever any good at this track,so the fact that its ran poorly the last twice on polytrack doesnt concern me.This horse has only had 2 tries at 5 furlongs at this track and finished 1st and 2nd in those.
Either of the ratings it posted in those performances would see it go very close.
Back Only Ten Per Cent 5pts at 13.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Halved in price but weakened out of it although i did notice that nothing drawn towards the rail got close.
Accept 9.0

3.0 Exeter-Despite pulling up last time,I feel that Flying Award has a decent chance in this staying contest.
Its previous run was 2 grades higher than this and its far more at home in this class(Class 3 2w-0p-5r),Its also at its best in small fields(0-9 runners 4w-2p-7r)
The strong profile continues with a 2 from 2 record over this trip,3w-0p-3r in the months of March/April and 5w-2p-14r when returning to the track within 40 days like today.
Add in a course victory and you can see why the price appeals.
Five Star Wilsham is clearly expected to run well,judging by the prices but ive got this horse as seriously needing to improve for the step up in trip.
Alderluck has chances on its bare ratings but is 0w-0p-5r at this track and all its winning is done on sharp tracks and this certainly isnt one of those.
CoolKing takes a big step up in trip and you have to respect the jockey/trainer combination as they are 21 wins from 82 starts when teaming up but this horse has 1 win from 27 career starts.
Armedanddangerous is another that looks a little underpriced to me.Unproven over the trip,its 0w-1p-6r when returning to the track after a break of 41 days or more(75 today)
I could see last years winner The Clyda Rover running a decent race.It comes into form at this time of year(March-May 3w-1p-7r),is 2 from 5 at this track and 2 from 2 over todays trip.
Back Flying Award 8pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+43pts 1 non runner)Jumped really well and always looked the winner to my eye.(DT+38pts)
Monthly Total+113pts
Running Total+6228.52pts

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