26th March

630 Kempton-Quite a tight little race but Ssafa should be clear favourite on my figures.This horse often runs well here and although it can turn in the odd below par run,based on its latest effort here,its clear top rated with the in form Luke Morris riding.
Puzzle Time is unexposed and looks the main danger although Wakeup Little Suzy is difficult to assess accurately as it steps up 2 furlongs in trip.
Back Ssafa 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-UP(-12pts)Had the run of the race but clearly didnt run up to its form.Weak in the market!
Accept 4.0

340 Exeter-If this race was at Huntingdon then Faith Keeper would have been an almost maximum bet.
There shouldnt be a problem here though,as it is still a galloping,right hand track.The trainer is 3 from 10 with his chasers here also.
Its latest rating does give it a very strong chance with the 3rd and 4th in that race both winning this week.The booking of Noel Fehily for the first time is the icing on the cake.
Nodebateaboutit was very unlucky not to win last time,after being hampered by a loose horse after the last.That run gives it a decent chance but all its form is on a much softer surface than its going to encounter here.Its also been raised 7Ibs for that effort.
The only other horse I see as a danger is Susquehana River,whos been given a break after a poor run last time.This is a drop in class for it but it does need to improve.
Back Faith Keeper 16pts at 3.75 at Bet365/Paddys-4th(-16pts)I was surprised the money didnt really come for this horse.Instead Nodebateaboutit was well backed despite the ground concerns.It ran a decent race but wasnt good enough.Looks a Huntingdon specialist.(DT-28pts)
Accept 3.5
Monthly Total+454.75pts
Running Total+6570.27pts

No comments:

Post a Comment