30th September

All the prices look about right today,so no selections from me.

29th September

425 Haydock-I can see Suraj`s chance but it looks very short to me,it makes the market for the improving 3yo Lady Kashaan,who has produced a series of consistent ratings and should be fine on the ground.
Back Lady Kashaan 8pts at 7.0(accept 6.6)-Won(+48pts)

550 Wolverhampton-Lost Sovereign drops from a class 3 to a class 6 and despite a wide draw,has to go well.Fanrouge is the only real danger on my ratings.
Back Lost Sovereign 12pts at 4.3-Won(+39.6pts)

350 Haydock-Fiercely competitive race and Oojooba looks a very short price to me,certainly has a chance but I prefer Bedazzled whos sires offspring have handled plenty of cut.Cape Safari should also go well.
Lay Oojooba 30pts at 4.5-UP(+30pts)(DT+117.6pts)
Days total minus commission+111.72pts
Monthly Total+207.05pts
Running Total+3925.45pts


28th September

445 Haydock-Extraterrestial is top rated on its last run and should go well if in the same form.Barren Brook is definitely better at 10f than a mile where its 0wins-1place-10runs and after a break of 28 days or more its 0wins-1place-9runs.*Revised due to non runner*
Back Extraterrestial 11pts at 4.7 and Lay Barren Brook 30pts at 5.5-Both UP(+19pts)Below par run from Extraterrestial

145 Newmarket-Top rated,progressive and with conditions all in its favour,Thistle Bird must go close.
Back Thistle Bird 12pts at 4.5-2nd(-12pts)Beaten a neck,hitting the crossbar a lot at the moment

220 Newmarket-Very competitve race and ive got Fanunalter,Premier Loco,Side Glance,Tazahum,Sovereign Debt,Tazahum and Trumpet Major all rated just in front of Most Improved,who really shouldnt be fav on my ratings.
Lay Most Improved 30pts at 5.0-UP(+30pts)(DT+37pts)
Days total minus commission+35.15pts
Monthly Total+95.33pts
Running Total+3813.73pts


27th September

430 Perth-Competitve race but one in which I feel that Mighty Whitey looks good value.The horse is a little inconsistent but its top rated on its last run and in races of 10 to 15 runners its 2wins-0places-3runs,On good ground its 2wins-0places-5runs and over 2m its 2wins-1place-5runs.Toshi is fav,probably because of its decent course form but from September til the end of the year its  record of 0wins-1place-13runs is enough to put me off.
Back Mighty Whitey 10pts at 9.0-3rd(-10pts)Ran well and traded at 2.0 in running

915 Wolverhampton-Azrag should go well and is a decent fav while Youm Jamil ran very well last time and the unexposed Suedehead could be better than these.Annelko has it to prove on my ratings.
Lay Annelko 30pts at 6.0-2nd(+30pts)(DT+20pts)
Days total minus commission+19pts
Monthly Total+60.18pts
Running Total+3778.58pts

26th September

245 Perth-Forty Thirty is the obvious choice but ive got it and Esporao much closer in the betting than it is currently.Esporao is an impressive 2wins-2places-4runs in fields of 0-9 runners,3wins-1place-6runs on good to firm ground and 1win-1place-2runs at the track.
Back Esporao 9.5pts at 5.5-Won(Forty Thirty non runner +12pts)Cruised home but it had nothing left to beat on my ratings after the N/R.Just over evens was amazing value.
Days total minus commission+11.4pts
Monthly Total+41.18pts
Running Total+3759.58pts

25th September

330 Folkestone-More rain expected which could make the going quite testing,this would suit Myboyalfie.Its encountered 7f on soft ground twice and won them both also 2wins-0places-3runs in fields of 9 or less and Ian Mongan is 2wins-1place-4runs on it.Centrifugal is an improving type and if it handles the soft ground will be a tough opponent.The presence of Richard Hughes on North Star Boy means its a much shorter price than it should be.
Back MyBoyAlfie 8pts at 7.4-2nd(-8pts) & Lay North Star Boy 30pts at 6.0-Non Runner
Monthly Total+29.78pts
Running Total+3738.18pts

24th September

No Selections today

23rd September

4.0 Plumpton-Forecast rain could mean a going change which would leave lots of these vulnerable.King Ozzy is inconsistent but thats built into the price,it ran well last time and will handle softer ground.
Back King Ozzy 5pts at 13.0-2nd(-5pts)Ran a great race,got beaten a neck

430 Plumpton-Really like Illysantchristina here,very consistent that is top of my ratings.1win-1place-3runs in September,1/1 at the course and the trainer is 2wins-2places-7runs in the last month.I would be wary of Another Trump if the money came for it.
Back Illysantachristina 15pts at 6.0-4th(-15pts)(DT-20pts)


22nd September

205 Newbury-Cameron Highland looks the most likely winner as an improving 3yo that ive got top rated but he is about the right price.I feel that Arctic Cosmos could also be competitve here,1/1 in September and 2wins-1place-4runs after a break of 80 days or more.On pure value grounds,although having a chance ,Lay Time looks the wrong price.
Lay Lay Time 30pts at 4.2-2nd(+30pts)

440 Ayr-A race full of ifs and buts.Opera Gal is incredibly short but im reluctant to lay because of the inconsistent profiles of the others.The fact that its such a strong fav means theres some value elsewhere and im going to have a little on Circumvent,who isnt certain to like the ground but nothing apart from the out classed Epernay is,it has the ratings to win and the first time tongue tie may help.
Back Circumvent 8pts at 7.0-2nd(-8pts)(DT+22pts)

340 Catterick-Party Line is the most obvious choice here and it must go well but theres no value in its price.Its quite tight in behind it but Art Scholar is a really big price,theres no real negatives in its profile and if the fav doesnt run up to its mark then it may be able to take advantage.
Back Art Scholar 4pts at 20.0-UP(-4pts)(DT+18pts)

920 Wolverhampton-Another race with a strong fav but Iceman George is short enough.Laconicos will be on the premises but a record 2 wins from 87 runs tells its own story.Going in with another big price here with Sweet Lavender who achieved a decent rating last time and tonight ,makes its debut for gambling stable,Michael Wighams yard.he drops it in trip and De Sousa is booked.Wont be a surprise if it shortens up.
Back Sweet Lavender 6pts at 13.0-Non Runner(Backed from 12s into 3/1 then pulled out,very annoying)

650 Wolverhampton-With Adranian(my tissue fav) a non runner now,this race looks totally different.No denying that Restless bay should run well but im really not sure about My Own way home and so the very well handicapped Ishetoo could possibly be the one,got a decent rating last time and is a value price.
Back Ishetoo 7pts at 7.0-UP(-7pts)(DT+11pts)Small profit on a difficult day.
Days total minus commission+10.45pts
Monthly Total+57.78pts
Running Total+3766.18pts




21st September

No selections today

20th September

440 Ayr-Very competitive race in which several can be fancied.Clayton is very unexposed and probably should be fav,Scrapper Smith is 2/5 in Sept,2/3 over the distance and 2/5 on the ground and Kalk Bay has been running very well,so Voodoo Prince although having a chance looks a little short to me.
Lay Voodoo Prince 30pts at 5.3-Meeting Abandoned

19th September

4.0 Sandown
Quite a tight little race but I like Fullbright here,whos very consistent ratings wise.The jockey is 4/6 on the horse and the main danger is Tazahum.
Back Fullbright 14pts at 3.65-Won(1 Non Runner +33pts)
Days total minus commission+31.35pts
Monthly Total+47.33pts
Running Total+3755.73pts

17th September

440 Musselburgh-Kay Gee Be looks to hold outstanding claims here,its well clear on my ratings,has a record of 3wins-1place-5races in class 5 or 6 races and can handle quick or softer conditions.Just Lille(a winner twice before for the blog) is probably the main danger as Pass Muster has a poor record(0wins-1place-6runs) in fields of 10 and more runners.
Back Kay Gee Be 25pts at 3.0-2nd(-25pts)Very well backed but just couldnt get to Just Lille.Very frustrating.
Monthly Total+15.98pts
Running Total+3724.38pts

16th September

240 Bath-Happy to take on Buzz law even though its clearly fancied.Its got a bit to find on ratings with Authoritarian,Cyril the squirrel and Hip Hip hooray,other negatives are 0wins-1place-9runs in fields of 10 or more and no course form.
Lay Buzz Law 30pts at 5.8-Non Runner

430 Ffos Las-Pearl Blue is making the market here as it looks pretty short to me.Kyleakin Lass has produced consistent ratings,is 2wins-places-7runs in fields of 9 or less and its trainer has a 44% strike rate at the course.
Back Kyleakin Lass 9pts at 6.4*2 non runners now* Take 12pts at 4.0-Won(+36pts)
Days total minus commission+34.20pts
Monthly Total+40.98pts
Running Total+3749.38pts

15th September

240 Chester-Modun looks strong here,top rated with the last 3 showing steady progression and a record in September of 2wins-1place-3runs.Glen Diamond should struggle around this tight track over a trip too sharp so I think Goldoni is the main danger.
Back Modun 20pts at 3.0 -UP(-20pts)Very poor run

505 Chester-The sheer consistency of Miss Cap Estel gets her the vote here,looks almost certain to run its race.
Back Miss Cap Estel 9.5pts at 5.2-Won(+40pts)

415 Doncaster-Widely percieved that Lethal Force`s win last time was a fluke,im not so sure as this horse is clearly improving,posting this seasons top rating out of these runners and a good topspeed figure as well.Strong Suit has an excellent record in Group 2`s(3wins-1place-4runs)but on my ratings isnt the same horse this year.
Back Lethal Force 10pts at 6.6-3rd(-10pts)Ran well but, hindsight of course,Strong Suit shouldve been laid at the short price.(DT+10pts)

150 Doncaster-Prefer both of the other 2 Godolphin horses rather than Frankie Dettoris mount,who seems to put up its best ratings at Ascot.Quick Wit will run well especially as it comes into top form at this time of year Sept/Oct(3wins-1place-5runs),Jakes Destiny is improving as well in a competitive race,
Lay Invisible Man 30pts at 6.0-3rd(+30pts)

330 Bath-Dancing Primo is in a rich vein of form and should be too good for these.
Back Dancing Primo 20pts at 3.0-Won(+40pts)Stayed on strongly(DT+80pts)

350 Newcastle-This is a very weak affair and although there has to be a slight concern that Fayr Fall places more than it wins but the fact that it is top rated and should run its race ,which is more than can be said for its rivals,means it should go very close.
Back Fayr Fall 15pts at 3.7-3rd(-15pts)Got down to 1.5 in running despite never getting closer than 3rd,looks a weak finisher.(DT+65pts)

520 Doncaster-Incredibly busy day and I have to wonder if im missing something here but Incendo is a massive price.Ive got it top rated and its placed 3 times in its 4 runs at this course.
Back Incendo 5pts at 18.0-UP(-5pts)(DT+60pts)
Days total minus commission+57pts
Monthly Total+6.78pts
Running Total+3715.18pts

14th September

320 Chester-Theres no doubt that Countrywide Flame made up into a good hurdler last season and it may have improved but it has no great record fresh and is very short here.It may well win but on value grounds has to be taken on.
Lay Countrywide Flame 30pts at 3.0-Won(-60pts)Hopefully some people following traded out as this was weak in the betting until 10 mins before the off.

340 Sandown-Presburg put up its best rating last time when upped to this trip for the 1st time.It won its  only race last September and should go well here.
Back Presburg 12pts at 4.0-2nd(-12pts)Ran a good race and traded at 1.5 in running but just got done late on.(DT-72pts)

915 Wolverhampton-One Way or Another burst back to form last time and is clear top rated here on a track where it has several good ratings.
Back One Way or Another 15pts at 5.0-3rd(-15pts)Had this at 2.25 on my tissue,so knew the 5.0 last night was big value as it got backed into 2.3.However it was held out the back in a slowly run race and finished a never nearer 3rd.(DT-87pts)

515 Sandown-Going to have abit on Uncle Fred because of its good record in fields of 9 or less(3wins-0places-7runs) and the trainers record over the last 28 days(3wins-2places-7runs).First Post has an obvious chance and Love Tatoo is unexposed.
Back Uncle Fred 5pts at 16.0-UP(-5pts)(DT-92pts)
Monthly Total-50.22pts
Running Total+3658.18pts


13th September

515 Epsom-Aubrietia stands out for me here,putting together a nice consistent run of ratings and being 3wins-1place-4runs for this jockey.
Back Aubrietia 15pts at 4.3-4th(-15pts)Not sure the horse handled the track but was going for a gap that was always going to close as the horses drifted on the course camber,dropped to last and stayed on strongly for 4th place.Better than this
Monthly Total+41.78pts
Running Total+3750.18pts

12th September

430 Carlisle-Decent race where I like the claims of the 3yo Anton Chigurh,who looks to be improving from a ratings perspective and could go on a bit more now stepped up to a mile.
Back Anton Chigurh 10pts at 5.3-Won(1 Non Runner +35pts)
Days total minus commission+33.25pts
Monthly Total+56.78pts
Running Total+3765.18pts

12th September

310 Worcester-Shan Blue has been nicely progressive over fences so far and should have a decent chance here.On the Bridge is an obvious danger but im not sure it should be favourite.O`Callaghan Strand is 2wins-1place-3runs here so it would be no surprise if it ran better than of late.
Back Shan Blue 8.5pts at 5.8-Pulled Up(-8.5pts)Weakish in the betting but was running a great race(down to 3.5 in running)when suddenly lost its place and was promptly pulled up.

10th September

310 Newton Abbot-Doubts about nearly all the market leaders here.Enfant De Lune is a very short price for a horse that isnt guaranteed to like the fast ground,its also 0wins-1place-8runs in fields of 9 or less and might need a break between its races.Temple Lord has it do on my ratings and has never won left handed.Rob Conti has probably the most solid chance but is the right price,so this leaves Intac,who may probably be better at Hereford but has won here and hasnt yet won in this class but it certainly shouldnt be this price.
Back Intac 6pts at 9.0-UP(-6pts)
Monthly Total+32.03pts
Running Total+3741.43pts

9th September

305 Fontwell-Just cant see Calypso Bays chance at all but given the connections of the horse,im very reluctant to lay.The Boss is consistent but ive got it a few pounds behind Earl Grez and Sadlers Star,the latter is a CD winner and is the bigger price.
Back Sadlers Star 11pts at 5.0-Won(+44pts)Bolted up
Days total minus commission+41.80pts
Monthly Total+38.03pts
Running Total+3747.43pts

8th September

230 Kempton-Very competitve Group 3 race in which several hold chances.Dandino should go well and although unproven on the surface,is top rated.I also like Modun,1win-1place-2runs at the course and 2/2 in September.Mijhaar ,Haya Landa and Calvados Blues arent out of it either which means Sagramor is vulnerable.Unproven over the 12f and the trainer has gone 46 runners since his last win.
Lay Sagramor 30pts at 5.0-2nd(+30pts)

8.0 Wolverhampton-Just Lille has everything in its favour and although hasnt ran on this surface for a while,it did place in a class 4 race at this track on its only visit.Its also 2wins-1place-4runs in todays class 6 grade.
Back Just Lille 20pts at 3.0-Won(1 Non Runner +35pts)(DT+65pts)
Days total minus commission+61.75pts
Monthly Total-3.83pts
Running Total+3736.63pts

6th September

325 Sedgefield-Although it hasnt won yet,Tregaro`s consistent ratings shine out like a beacon in this race.Mr Goofy has a chance on ratings but is 0wins-2places-12runs when racing left handed.Streedagh Lady is difficult assess accurately over this trip.
Back Tregaro 7.5pts at 7.6-Won(+49.5pts)

355 Sedgefield-Misstree Pitcher is unexposed but is pretty short in the betting.Callisto Moon should go well but is where I have it in my tissue so Im going for Hunters Belt whos been pretty consistent and is 1/1 on good to firm ground.
Back Hunters Belt 6pts win at 10.0 & 6pts place at 3.0-UP(-12pts)Looked good 3 out,jockey then dropped his whip which didnt help matters.Really dont know why I bother backing each way.(DT+37.5pts)

5.0 Sedgefield-Heezagrey is clear top rated on its last run and will be difficult to beat if repeating that.
Back Heezagrey 20pts at 3.0-3rd(-20pts)Got badly outpaced about a mile out then stayed on strongly.May have been the sharp track?(DT+17.5pts)
Days total minus commission+16.62pts
Monthly Total-65.58pts
Running Total+3674.88pts

5th September

350 Bath-You have to respect the unexposed Angelito but  I See You has a nice progressive profile and  I think should be favourite.
Back I See You 12.5pts at 3.85 -2nd(-12.5pts)

240 Hereford-Faith Jicaro looks badly handicapped on my ratings here.Finch Flyer and Union Saint look to have this between them.
Lay Faith Jicaro 30pts at 6.0-2nd(+30pts)Ran much better than I expected (DT+17.5pts)
Days total minus commission+16.62pts
Monthly Total-83.20pts
Running Total+3658.26pts

4th September

5.0 Musselburgh-Sweet Fairnando is improving but does look very short to me.Grand Art isnt out of it on my ratings but is 0/5 over the distance.Hoar Frost has drifted overnight more to where it should be but I will leave a lay in running because I dont fancy it at all,In fields of 10 or more 0wins-0places-9runs and after a break of more than 15 days 0wins-1place-10 runs.Strikemaster is 1win-1place from 2 runs at this course and all its wins have been in class 6 races.
Back Strikemaster 5pts at 20.0-UP(-5pts) & Lay Hoar Frost 30 pts at 6.0 -Wasnt Matched
Frustrating not to get the lay matched as it was really close when I posted this and Grand Art winning at such a big price,rounded it off really

2nd September

3.0 Folkestone-Celtic Sultan is well clear on my ratings and drops into a class 6 for the first time,must go close.
Back Celtic Sultan 25pts at 3.5-UP(-25pts)Dont think Micky Fenton has ever rode a winner for me and on this you can see why.Getting caught in a speed duel up front,the horse was legless with 2f to run.

Golf
European Masters
Lay R.Ramsey 30pts at 3.75-Lost-82.50pts(DT-107.5pts)Rubbish start to the month.

Football
Lay Southampton V Man Utd (at 1-0) 50pts at 3.1-Won(+50pts)(DT-57.5pts)

Rugby League
Back Widnes +12.5pts v Wakefield 30pts at 1.95-Won(+30pts)(DT-27.7pts)
Monthly Total-95.7pts
Running Total+3646.76pts