30th January

4.0 Ayr-Carters Rest ran well last time but I like the chances of Prince Blackthorn who achieved a decent rating last time over 2m4f but his rating last season over todays trip easily puts him top rated.
Back Prince Blackthorn 13pts at 4.0-UP(-13pts)Got well backed but after looking dangerous 4 out,weakened to finish 5th.
Monthly Total-202.85pts
Running Total+2400.67pts

29th January

4.0 Ffos Las-Normally achieved the best recent rating on its first chase start last time,so you would hope it could improve further.
Back Normally 15pts at 3.4-UP(-15pts)This is what The racing Post said about the run Normally, up 7lb for his recent C&D win, handles testing going so it´s hard to explain away this dismal effort.    Says it all really
Monthly Total-189.85pts
Running Total+2413.67pts

28th January

*1 year ago today this blog started,its a shame the monthly total isnt in better shape but hopefully I can continue to chisel out a long term profit*

2.0 Lingfield-Purely on value grounds,Young Dottie shouldnt be this price.Titan Truimph is the obvious fav.
Back Young Dottie 5pts at 17.0-UP(-5pts)


12.50 Lingfield-Trip Switch has been in great form but surely is miles too short here,as a multiple CD winner though I dont want to lay.Hurricane Hymbrook will run well but 2 at much bigger prices appeal.
Back Conducting-3rd 5pts at 17.0 & Aviso 5pts at 17.0-UP(-10pts)


235 Cheltenham-Good race,Tidal Bay has a good chance but is unreliable while Captain Chris and Midnight Chase are also bang there.I have Time for Rupert much bigger than his current odds while Diamond Harry is the fav for me.
Back Diamond Harry 11pts at 5.0-UP
Back Diamond Harry 35pts at 2.0 to beat Time for Rupert-Somehow Lost(-61pts)


420 Uttoxeter-Really Swinging Hawk here.Jackson Cage is the fav but is well underpriced.
Back Swinging Hawk 12pts at 3.85-Not matched


335 Lingfield-I just cant leave Emmas Gift at such massive odds.
Back Emmas Gift 5pts at 17.0-Unseated rider Lay Licence to Till 35pts at 5.0-3rd(+30pts)Emmas Gift was just making ground behind the eventual winner when it got murdered on the final bend and unseated the rider.(DT-31pts)
Monthly Total-174.85pts
Running Total+2428.67pts

27th January

210 Huntingdon-It ran below par last time and it may be that its lost its way but on its rating 2 runs back,Drussell makes a lot appeal.
Back Drussell 5pts at 11.0-3rd(-5pts)Well backed and ran really well,only losing out 100 yards out


250 Lingfield-Satwa Laird drops in class and looks on a different level to his rivals.
Back Satwa Laird 25pts at 3.0-Won(Wasnt matched)


310 Huntingdon-Rose of the Moon is the big mover and looks well short to me but you have to respect the money from Pipes stable.Benny be Good is very consistent and Tour Des Champs is very unexposed.
Back Benny be Good 7pts at 8.0-4th & Tour Des Champs 5pts at 17.0-2nd(-12pts)-So Unlucky,down to 1.4 in running.(DT-17pts)
Monthly Total-143.85pts
Running Total+2459.67pts

26th January

155 Warwick-Quelquun Comme Toi looks quite progressive here and if continuing its upward curve,should run well.
Back Quelquun Comme Toi 11.5pts at 4.5-UP(-11.5pts)


605 kempton-Unex Picasso is the problem here as its stepping up in trip and it may well suit it,however he is short enough in the betting.I like Blackmore instead.
Back Blackmore 8.5 at 5.8-2nd(-8.5pts)


635 kempton-Lots with chances,Rocky Rebel won last time but still looks 6Ibs short of the top of my ratings.
Lay Rocky rebel 35pts at 5.0-Won(-140pts)(DT-160pts)Pretty Crap overall
Monthly Total-126.85pts
Running Total+2476.67pts

25th January

210 Musselburgh-This is not a good race at all,if Tears from Heaven can reproduce anything like his last rating then this is at its mercy.
Back Tears from Heaven 20pts at 3.5-Won(+50pts)Jumped really well and won easy

310 Musselburgh-A race that really revolves around Embsay Craig,who makes its handicap debut and is open to improvement.It has on my ratings a stone to find though so there is value elsewhere.
Back Hi Dancer 6pts at 10.0 & Hunter Belt 9pts at 5.5-UP(-15pts)Let the leader make all,when it kicked off the home turn,they just couldnt quicken.(DT+35pts)
Days total minus commission+33.25
Monthly Total+33.15pts
Running Total+2636.67pts

24th January

205 Leicester-Lots of dead wood here,Cesium has got a chance while Drom won 2 days ago(May be a non runner) but Esteem is clear top rated on his last run and should go close.
Back Esteem 17.5pts at 3.0-Fell(-17.5pts)Looked full of running when coming down 4 out.
Monthly Total-0.10pts
Running Total+2603.42pts

23rd January

215 Wetherby-Mission Complete is a strong stayer who often looks like its in a bit of trouble then powers home.Consistent and progressive he must take a lot of beating.
Back Mission Complete 15pts at 3.35-2nd(-15pts)Just didnt hurdle well enough in the straight as he was gaining on the flat


345 Wetherby-2 horse race for me unless theres loads of money for Captain nash who hasnt raced for over 900 days.Kilcommon Pride stepped up to 3m for the first time on its last run and achieved its best ever rating,it has Hopeful Start to beat.
Back Kilcommon Pride 12.5pts at 3.85-2nd(-12.5pts)Just gave way after the last after running well(DT-27.5pts)


230 Wolverhampton-For some reason Viva Ronaldo is incredibly short in the betting but there has been money overnight for it so im very reluctant to lay it.Needwood Ridge is a little in and out but on a going day will go close.
Back Needwood Ridge 7pts at 8.0-3rd(-7pts)Another good run but no luck on a frustrating day(DT-34.5pts)
Monthly Total+17.4pts
Running Total+2620.92pts

22nd January

250 Kempton-Looks to be between Nbani,Mataajir and Focail Myth.The latter is consistent and certainly should be closer to Nbani in the betting than it is.
Back Focail Myth 8pts at 6.6-Won(44.8pts)


210 Towcester-Chestnut Ben is progressive and is a solid fav but hes as short in the betting as he could possibly be.Billy Murphy ran well last time but never wins  so im going in with Kinkeel,who although let me down last week,loves this track and that counts for a lot here.
Back Kinkeel 8pts at 6.6-3rd(-8pts)(DT+36.8pts)


315 Towcester-Spot the Ball is a very progressive horse against a host of exposed ones,there is a small question mark about soft ground but ive built that into the price.
Back Spot the ball 12.5pts at 3.85-Wasnt Matched


335 Market Rasen-O Crotaigh is 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 visits to this track,it also achieved the best rating last time and is a very solid fav.
Back O`Crotaigh 12pts at 4.3-Won(+39.6pts)(DT+76.4pts)
Days total minus commission+72.58pts
Monthly Total+51.9pts
Running Total+2655.42pts



21st January

310 Ascot-The big race of the day and hopefully a great value bet.The high profile stables have runners and are short in the betting but I make Gauvain a 9/4 chance,whatever happens this is a massive price.
Back Gauvain 15pts at 8.0(Accept 6.0)-Fell(-15pts)
Back Somersby to beat Wishful Thinking 50pts at 1.8-Won(+35pts)(+20pts)


220 Haydock-Pretty wide open race and stamina will be crucial in these conditions.Mister Marker returned to form last time over fences and hopefully can carry that back over hurdles.Reindeer Dippin has a big stamina question mark.
Back Mister Marker 8pts at 7.6-4th & Lay Reinbdeer Dippin 35pts at 6.0-Won(-183pts)(DT-163pts)


245 Wincanton-Not too much that is really solid,I was going to put up a lay of Shui Royale but instead I will have a bit on Kingsmere.
Back Kingsmere 5pts at 12.0-UP(-5pts)Poor run(DT-168pts)


355 Wincanton-Good little race,Sarika looks a bit short to me but Gurtacrue has put up 2 good ratings over fences so far and should keep on improving.
Back Gurtacrue 15pts at 3.45-Won & Lay Sarika 35pts at 4.5-3rd(+71.75pts)(DT-96.25pts)


335 Lingfield-Tarooq has been really consistent since going on the AW and still may be improving which would make him a tough nut to crack.
Back Tarooq 6pts at 9.0-(Didnt get matched)
Monthly Total-20.68pts
Running Total+2582.84pts

20th January

220 Chepstow-Charm School is a solid fav and will be a tough opponent but Highway Code will like the heavy conditions and the discrepancy in their prices is too big.
Back Highway Code 6pts at 8.0-UP(-6pts)Really ran no race at all


210 Catterick-I like Kilkenny,Lord Villez All Star and Karingreason,Cool Operator has got a few pounds to find.
Lay Cool Operator 35pts at 6.0-UP(+35pts)(DT+29pts)


240 Catterick-Real competitve race,Distime looks very short to me while course specialist Amir Pasha looks massive value.
Back Amir Pasha 8pts at 14.0-UP(-8pts)(DT+21pts)


4.0 Chepstow-The big weight is a worry but Star Galaxy looks well in here.
Back Star Galaxy 17pts at 3.5-Won(+42pts)Won easily(DT+63pts)
Days total minus commission+59.85pts
Monthly Total+75.57pts
Running Total+2679.09pts

17th January

340 Ayr-Et Maintenant ran well last time behind a blog winner and is well handicapped if he can repeat that.Something Silver has the ratings in the past to go close and Banoge is respected.Primrose times rating over this trip(2m4f) are 7lb below his 2mile ones so looks very vulnerable.
Back Et Maintenant 12pts at 4.0-(Non Runner) & Lay Primrose Time 35pts at 4.5-UP(+35pts) Primrose Time drifted to the price I had him and ran very poorly.
Days total minus commission(+33.25pts)
Monthly Total+15.72pts
Running Total+2619.24pts

16th January

No Selections Today

15th January

340 Kempton-Plattsburgh rating 2 runs back would win this and although he ran below par last time ,im hoping the first time blinkers will help.There has been money for it this morning.
Back Plattsburgh 6pts at 9.0-UP(-6pts)
Monthly Total-17.53pts
Running Totall+2585.99pts

14th January

2.0 Warwick-Marodima produced an amazing front running and jumping performance just 2 days ago.he appeared to not have a hard race so hopefully the quick reappearence will be fine.Educated Evans and Roi De Rose are the dangers.
Back Marodima 16pts at 4.0-Won(+48pts)-Got well backed and made all although incredibly traded at 40s in running,amazing as it was never headed.


125 Warwick-Good little race this,Frascati Park is improving but has a big stamina doubt,Court Victory needs to as well although its very lightly raced.Alfie Spinner is feared the most but if Golden Chieftain`s jumping can hold up then he can go well.
Back Golden Chieftain 8pts at 6.0-P/U(-8pts)Nicely backed but unfortunately broke down(DT+40pts)


135 Lingfield-Showboating hasnt got great course form to be fav
Lay Showboating 35pts at 5.0-3rd(+35pts)(DT+75pts)


215 Kempton-Reblis looks vulnerable here and its no surprise its on the drift,difficult to get a handle on Croan Rock but Carabinier has had only 2 runs over fences and must go close.
Back Carabinier 15pts at 6.0-UP(-15pts)Looked like taking  Hand 4 out but weakened in the straight.(DT+60pts)


350 Kempton-Dream Esteem is respected along with Lucaindubai but Jadhere isnt far behind and may still be improving.
Back Jadhere 6pts at 13.0-4th(-6pts)Horse ran well but his poor hurdling just held it back(DT+54pts)
Days total minus commission+51.30pts
Monthly Total-11.53pts
Running Total+2591.99pts

13th January

250 Huntingdon-A weak race and the fact that I make 13yo Kinkeel the fav says it all really but its running well and this is a front runners track,so hopefully it can make them all go.
Back Kinkeel 10pts at 4.5-UP(-10pts)


410-Wolverhampton-I like the look of several here and Pulsatilla looks too short.
Lay Pulsatilla 35pts at 4.0-UP(+35pts)(DT+25pts)


540 Wolverhampton-Leyte Gulf ran a really good race last time and should go close
Back Leyte Gulf 20pts at 3.5-3rd(-20pts)(DT+5pts)


740 Wolverhampton-Black Iceman is a consistent low grade horse,anyone of his recent ratings would be good enough here.Mayan Flight is next best.
Back Black Iceman 17pts at 3.15-Won(+36pts)(DT+41pts)
Days total minus commission+38.95
Monthly Total-62.53pts
Running Total+2540.46pts

12th January

235 Fontwell-Anything close to Moresteads last rating and he will win.
Back Morestead 20pts at 3.0-4th(-20pts)
Monthly Total-101.48pts
Running Total+2501.51pts

11th January

325 Doncaster-Quel Ballistic is a progressive,consistent chaser who if it can repeat its current run of ratings will take the beating.
Back Quel Ballistic 14pts at 3.5-Fell(-14pts)Nearly destroyed the 2nd fence to continue the bad run.
Monthly Total-81.48pts
Running Total+2521.51pts

9th January

No Selections today

8th January

150 Southwell-Newport Arch ran really well last time on its first run on fibresand and a repeat of that will see it go very close.
Back Newport Arch 9.5 at 5.2-Not Matched


330 Hereford-Providing it can put up a similar effort to last time out when having its first run of the season then Space Mission should be right there.Niceonefrankie would be a danger but is a little short in the betting.
Back Space Mission 8.5 at 5.5-P/U (-8.5pts)Well backed but looks as though it suffered the bounce.I am identifying horses that are bigger prices than they should be and really thats all that I can do although there has been some poor results in the last week.
Monthly total-67.48pts
Running Total+2535.51pts

7th January

1250 Newcastle-Stormy Weather was a selection on the blog last time it ran and it was very well backed,however it ran well below par and in similar conditions I prefer Diamond Damour who achieved the best rating last time out and is improving.
Back Diamond Damour 16pts at 3.2-2nd(-16pts)


125 Newcastle-I make this a 2 horse race,Seeking Power ran well last time,which is easily the best recent form and Teerie Express seems to always run best fresh.
Back Seeking Power 11pts at 5.5-Not matched & Teerie Express 9pts at 6.0-3rd(9pts)(DT-25pts)


150 Wincanton-Argaum is a consistent horse but has no form on soft ground and Spirit D`mour may well step up now its in handicap company but it certainly needs to.Chesil street boy is the big danger to Wine`n`Dine whos rating over trip and ground put him right there.Non runner in this race,so look for slightly shorter price.6.6 instead of 8.0
Back Wine`n`Dine 8pts at 6.6-UP(-8pts)(DT-33pts)


225 Newcastle-The fact that its drifted all day is a worry but Easement has to be backed at its current price.
Back Easement 7pts at 8,0-3rd(-7pts)(DT-40pts)


355 Lingfield-Eager to Bow and Sketchy Evidence look to have this between them.City Legend runs well here but its ratings are a little behind and it has a poor draw.
Lay City Legend 35pts at 4.5-Deadheat 1st(-50pts)(DT-90pts)
Monthly Total-58.98pts
Running Total+2544.01pts

6th January

1240 Lingfield-Very few solid ones in here,Perfect Mission has been running well and Hereford Boy will be better at this track but Aquilifer has put together a few decent ratings recently and should be fav.
Back Aquilifer 11pts at 4.5-UP(-11pts)Beat the book but that was about it,horse hung badly round the corner and nearly ended up in the car park.


250 Lingfield-Broughton Paradis is fav but on my ratings although hes fine at Lingfield,hes defintely better at Wolverhampton.Lucky Diva wants further,Maslak is respected but doesnt win much so Guards Chapel has been in solid form in better races than this and should go close.
Back Guards Chapel 10pts at 5.0-UP(-10pts)Same old story,it was backed into favourite,which was where I had it but it lost its pitch then stayed on again but never going to get there.(DT-21pts)


355 Lingfield-Ive got this as a 2 horse race unless Patriotic improves a lot for the step up in trip.WhoDunit is a very solid fav and must go well but Resplendant Alpha has the ratings to be bang there.Beggars belief although a consistent horse needs to find 7 or 8lb to trouble the front 2.
Back Resplendant Alpha 9pts at 5.0-2nd & Lay Beggars Belief 35pts at 5.0-UP(+26pts)Unfortunately Resplendant Alpha fell out of the stalls and gave the winner a 10 length start,it actually ran well but was always going to struggle from there.Beggars beleif was backed which beggared belief! (DT+5pts)


515 Wolverhampton-Extremely unlikely that it will drift to 3.0 but will post it up anyway,just in case.
Back Appeal 22pts at 3.0-It won but didnt reach the price
Days total minus commission+4.75pts
Monthly Total+30.02pts
Running Total+2634.01pts

5th January

130 Ludlow-Question marks about a lot of these,whether it be fitness or their current form but not Forty Five who is progressive,a course and distance winner and must run well.
Back Forty Five 25pts at 3.0-3rd(-25pts)The winner was impossible to find but it still must be a below par run,looked good just before the home straight but ran on one pace,

320 Lingfield-Weak race and Current Climate is one of the more solid ones.
Back Current Climate 12pts at 4.3-UP(-12pts)Betting told the story before the race that it was unlikely this would be running its race and so it proved,never traverlling or jumping.Poor Day/(DT-37pts)
Monthly Total+25.27pts
Running Total+2628.26pts

3rd January

155 Southwell-On the cusp is a solid fav but is around the right price,The Lock Master came back to form last time and if that signalled a return to last years form then its overpriced.
Back The Lock Master 8.5pts at 6.0-2nd(-8.5pts)Well backed and got done by an absolute rag,with 15 lengths back to the 3rd.Pretty Gutted.


240 Ayr-Hopefully Ayr will get the go ahead because I dont see why Arctic Night is fav.Rather than laying take it on with the improving Papamoa and Delightfully who will love these conditions.
Back Delightfully 13pts at 4.5(Accept 4.0) & Papamoa 12pts at 5.0-Meeting Abandoned
Monthly Total+62.27pts
Running Total+2665.26pts

2nd January

215 Plumpton-Few that can be fancied,Terra Bleu appears to have put in a very below par effort last time out but even that gives him a decent chance.If it can run anywhere near its run 2 back then it should win.Homer Run and Oscar Charlie are the only dangers I can find.
Back Terra Bleu 12pts at 4.0-2nd(-12pts)Got beaten in a photo after trading at 1.07 in running.


245 Plumpton-A nice race where I like the chances of Rate of Knots,who although not a win machine is very consistent and will stay the trip well.
Back Rate of Knots 7.5pts at 7.6-Fell(-7.5pts)Real shame as the race had fell apart when it came down.


155 Ayr-A run that is anywhere near Bene lads run on Boxing day would make him very difficult to beat.
Back Bene Lad 20pts at 3.5-Won(+45pts)Jumped fantastic and won easily(DT+25.5pts)


3.0 Ayr-Sheriff Hall should run a good race here,Funky Monkey looks the chief danger.
Back Sheriff Hall 12pts at 5.5-UP(-12pts)Went out like a light,Very disappointing(DT+13.5pts)


310 Folkestone-Time to take a chance on the in and out Only Vintage,who could well down tools early on and put up a no show but if its one of his going days then hes a big danger,hes also 1/1 over course and distance.
Back Only Vintage 4pts at 15.0-Won(+56pts)The old rascal absolutely hosed up(+69.5pts)
Days total minus commission+66.02pts
Monthly Total+70.77pts
Running Total+2673.76pts

1st January

2.0 Catterick-It looks unlikely but if Time Out drifts to 3.25 then that would be great value.Cool Operator is a non runner now,so have put 3.25 in now.
Back Time Out 14pts at 3.25-Unfortunately not matched as it won easily.

230 Catterick-Folk Tune is very consistent but is better on firmer ground,while Amir Pasha may want a bit further,Lesanda is not out of it but I like Kamadice who got the best rating last time over a bit fiurther but has 1 rating from 2010 which wins it this easily.
Back Kamadice 11pts at 5.0-3rd(-11pts)Was really well backed and ended up fav and ran a decent race but a few sloppy jumps when the pace quickened held him.

3.0 Catterick-Tipsy Indian didnt stay the 2m4f last time and back to 2miles should run well.
Back Tipsy Indian 15pts at 3.35-Fell(-15pts)


220 Exeter-Mission Complete has surprisingly drifted to an amazing 3.0,which considering the owner is a little worrying but its too big a price too miss.
Back Mission Complete 20pts at 3.0-Won(+40pts)Bonus winner as couldnt see this getting to the 3.0 I always want.(DT+14pts)


225 Musselburgh-Gordonsville is progressing and must go well,while Higgys Boy has the ratings to go close.Doesnt look like Higgys Boy will be matched,as its been backed.
Back Gordonsville 9pts at 5.7-4th & Higgs Boy 5pts at 12.0-Not matched(-9pts)Gordonsville probably wants a bit further and didnt hurdle well but it was given a lot to do.(DT+5pts)
Days Total minus commission+4.75pts
Running Total+2607.74pts