31st December

 100 Lingfield-Last years winner of this race,Furzig ,turn up again in good form and drops in class.

This held up performer should have a good pace to aim at and the young jockey has ridden 6 winners from her last 19 rides.It has got 2 course wins to its name and it is still unexposed at this trip after just 4 runs.

It should be clear favourite.

The Trader at its best will be a big danger but it doesnt have any course experience and I always prefer horses that are proven on the surface here.

Oslo ran well last time but does have to prove its stamina and it ran poorly on its only start here.

Back Furzig 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts)Finished the year with a winner and given an absolute peach from a very promising young jockey.

120 Warwick-Templier ran like its SP suggested on its seasonal debut 39 days ago but it has a desperate record fresh and if it can return to the form of late last season then its a big player here.

Its 2w-2p-7r during December and January and its only had one start in this class over fences.

Clondaw Storm is very inconsistent but ran well last time ,a record of 0w-1p-7r in fields of 9 or more suggests caution while Khairagash has been running decent but is defintely beatable.

Light Of Flicker is unexposed and rates the danger.

Back Templier 5pts at 10.0 at Bet365/888sport-5th(-5pts)Drifted badly out to 33/1 but ran ok.(DT+37pts)

Monthly Total+61.50pts

Running Total+223.75pts

30th December

 No Selections today

29th December

 1220 Newbury-Dropped back in trip last time,Mystc Dreamer produced its best rating to date and finished in front of a horse that came out and won next time out.

The jockey has a 22% strike rate for the yard and this looks overpriced.

Panic Attack was below par last time but would hold chances on its previous run ,it does look a little short to me.

Back Mystic Dreamer 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Disappointing finish after looking a big threat.

345 Newbury-King D`Argent made a good impression on its chasing debut last time and that rating stands out here.If it can jump and travel like it did that day then it will be tough to peg back.

Exelerator Express looks the main danger to me after two solid runs over fences.

Back King D`Argent 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-Fell(-16pts)Still in the lead when it made a big error and came down.(DT-25pts)

28th December

 435 Newcastle-Its obvious to see why Sword Spirit heads the market,being a lightly raced 3yo from a top yard and it may well be good enough but it looks incredibly short and I`m keen to take it on.

Jewel Maker and Corked are two consistent horses but the latter is 0/25 at this trip and the former is 8Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

At a big price,I think Paddyplex can go well.Its always competitive in class 5 races but Ive got one of its best ratings when it raced over this course and distance for the only time.

It has since been running over longer trips but with a lack of pace possible and a promising young claimer booked to ride,this horse could make them all go from the front.

Back Paddyplex 3pts at 15.0 at Bet365-UP(-3pts)

27th December

 105 Chepstow-You can pick holes in all of these but the fact that Venetia Williams has won 5 of the last 8 runnings leads me to believe,a much better run from class dropper Aso,is expected here.

This horse actually won this 4 years ago and drops back into a class 2 for the first time since November 2018.It wants this ground and the small field.

Its form figures in Class 2 races with 7 runners or less read 1st-1st-3rd-2nd-1st.

Moonlighter took a heavy fall last time out and is now 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so looks vulnerable,as does Esprit Du Large who has never managed to win a handicap.

Tiquer won this last and will go well if fit but its never won off a mark this high and at 12,it would be surprising if its improving.

My Way could appreciate the big drop in trip but it is 1/20 and fairly unreliable.

Back Aso 2pts at 6.0 at 888sport-Non Runner

210 Wetherby-Slowly but surely,Marracudja has been finding its form and becoming better handicapped.

Its been facing some very tough tasks and this surely has been its target,as it won this last year and went down by a nose the year before.Those were its only 2 starts around this track.

The trainer also won this race in 2016 and operates at a 29% strike rate around here.

Some Reign goes well around here but is up in grade,so the 2 progressive horses,First Flow and Nuts Well are the biggest dangers.

Back Marracudja 7pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-(-7pts)Went too hard in front and fell away 2 out.

245 Wetherby-The Delray Munky is respected,as its unexposed and produced its best rating over fences last time but it looks a little short to me as No No Juliet should head the market.

This is 2 grades lower than when it produced the best rating in the race last time,only weakening at the last,so this furlong shorter trip should suit and its best in December(2w-2p-5r) and for a trainer with a 23% strike rate here.

Im not certain this trip on soft ground is what Kalahari Queen wants although it did win a 3 runner event on its only visit here.

Back No No Juliet 14pts at 3.5 at various Bookies-Pulled UP(-14pts)ground was barely raceable with only one finishing.(DT-21pts)

26th December

 205 Wetherby-A fascinating race but what strikes me is the lack of proven stamina amongst the market leaders.

The one exception is Snow Leopardess,who looks a real progressive staying chaser.This horse has only had 3 goes over fences and has improved with each start and with the last 7 winners of this race being aged 7 or 8 then this horse fits the bill perfectly.

Spiritofthegames is consistent but hasnt raced past 2m4f and hasnt won for over 2 years.

Camelo is probably the main danger if it sees out the extra yardage while The Dutchan will stay but probably wants it bottomless.

Back Snow Leopardess 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-2nd(-9pts)Ran really well and just got done.

134 Wincanton-Nearly Perfect is still lightly raced over fences and looks the one to beat here.

Its posted 2 ratings since going chasing that suggest its still well ahead of its mark and with it winning its only race over course and distance and the trainer having a 22% strike rate here then it appears to have everything going for it.

Sizing Cusimano seems to flatter to deceive more often than not and is 0w-0p-6r in this grade.

I respect Smugglers Blues but it is up in class,so Normandy Soldier looks the danger ,after posting a fair rating on its chase debut and the extra yardage should suit.

Back Nearly Perfect 18pts at 3.25 at Skybet/Betvictor-Won(+40.50pts)Superb round of jumping won the day.

115 Kempton-Although its slightly more exposed than many here,I cannot let Hold The Note go unbacked.This is a drop in class and trip for it.Its best rating was achieved last March in a grade 1 handicap at the Cheltenham Festival,over this trip and off a 5Ibs higher rating.

If it can lay up with them around the easier track then it could outstay the rest for a trainer whos had a winner and 2 seconds in his last 4 runners in this race.

Alnadam is improving and is 2w-1p-4r on right handed tracks and should go well but there cannot be many tracks where Dan Skelton operates at a 3% strike rate.

Mr One More is unexposed but is up in trip and the second run back after a long layoff can often see a decline.

Getareason is gradually immproving and should be on the premises.

Back Hold The Note 5pts at 8.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Went too fast and tailed off(DT+26.5pts)

Monthly Total+73.50pts

Running Total+235.75pts

22nd December

105 Huntingdon-This step up in trip looks sure to suit Mister Murchan,after two very good runs so far over fences,I would expect even more now its over a trip that it won at over hurdles.

It wants soft ground and with both its career wins coming in this grade then this unexposed chaser should be more around the 13/8 mark.

Wakiki Waves is 5/10 in this grade,so has to be respected but its 0/2 around here and I just think this trip on soft ground will be far enough for it.I fancied Eclair De Guye last time out but it ran a shocker,its got to bounce back from that and is 0w-2p-12r in fields of 8 or more,so thats a big negative.

Pemberley is unexposed for a trainer who does well here but needs to improve while Strong Resemblance is 3/3 around here,for a yard going well,its greatly respected but its been off for over 400 days and is difficult to know what to expect.

Back Mister Murchan 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-14pts)Hit too many fences 

Monthly Total+42.25pts

Running Total+209.25pts

 Racing takes a break now,so will be back on Boxing Day

Merry Xmas

21st December

 No Selections Today

20th December

 115 Fakenham-Despite an ordinary win record,Jonjoela`s form has become consistent and progressive since moving to the Alex Hales Yard.

Its got Fakenham form which is vital around here and based on my ratings,its still got a few pounds up its sleeve.It should be up there from the start and that normally suits around here.

Made For You could improve for the longer trip but it needs to while Todd has been a bit out of nick this season,however it returns to a track it goes very well at ,so a good run wouldnt be a surprise.

Perfect Moment is 2 from 4 here and won this last year,it has to be respected but is racing off a mark 10Ibs higher than that win.

Back Jonjoela 9pts at 5.0 at Betfair/Paddys/Betfred-UP(-9pts)Backed into 7/4 but never looked comfortable.Winners last two runs were PP.

19th December

 1150 Haydock-Lots of pace in this and that will suit the hold up horse Tegerek.This horse is consistent and drops 2 grades after running really well last time in a class 1 at Cheltenham.

It heads my ratings and the trainer boasts a 31% strike rate here in the last 2 years.

The clear danger for me Chti Balko,who gets its ideal conditions here and has won around the track twice.However it could be taken on up front and the trainer is 0/49 in recent times here.

Back Tegerek 18pts at 3.0 at Various Bookies-Non Runner

130 Haydock-You can pick holes in all of these but theres enough potential in Captain Moirette for it to take care of these.

Although it ran below par on its seasonal debut,it was a 10/1 shot in a 5 runner field and it has a strong profile that suggests it can get back on track here. Its 1/1 on heavy and 2/2 at this track ,so im expecting a big run here.

Frero Banbou ran well last time and the slight drop in trip will help,it looks the danger.

Back Captain Moirette 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-Pulled Up(-13pts)Never going.Doesnt look a chaser.

225 Ascot-Paisley Park has to be respected here but it lacks the upside of Thyme Hill,who beat it last time.

This horse is seriously progressive and is defintely still on the upgrade.Its got a rating from last season that is miles better than any of this field have achieved.

Main Fact keeps winning but faces a tough task here on my figures while Roksana wont be far away.

Back Thyme Hill 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-2nd(-16pts)Tough to watch as was produced perfectly at the last but Paisley Park produced a very strong burst to run it down 10 yards from the line.(DT-29pts)

18th December

 145 Uttoxeter-Theres no doubt Kilbrew Lad looks still nicely handicapped despite its latest win but the fact its never raced on anything worse than good to soft ,means there has to be a big question mark over its ability to handle very soft ground especially at a track where it can get very testing.

Destin D`Ajonic ran one of its better races last time but it looks a weak finisher to me and on my ratings,its got to improve.

I am surprised Duhallow Lad isnt favourite,Its top rated and this is its trip,ground and class.

Its 2w-1p-6r in fields of 7 or less and all its career wins have come on left handed tracks.

Back Duhallow Lad 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies -Won(+36pts)A lovely ride from Tom O`Brien,sitting off a ferocious pace.The fav was pulled up and never going.

17th December

 205 Exeter-Brinkley could be ahead of its mark,being unexposed from a top stable but surely course specialist Trans Express should be shorter than it is.

This horse has won the last 3 runnings of this race and returned to form last time,posting a very good rating in the process.Its possible one of the more lightly raced horses could be too good but this horse is too well handicapped to ignore.

Back Trans Express 9pts at 6.0 Various Bookies-Won(+45pts)Favourite disappointed but this was a tough performance under a well judged ride.

315 Exeter-Tudors Treasure appears to have a very in and out profile but put him at Exeter and over 2m3f then so far,its prove unbeatable, with all 3 runs resulting in victories.

Added to that its form figures in class 5 races over fences,read 1st-2nd-1st and I would expect a big run.

Blue Monday has done nothing so far this season but the return to soft ground will help and it does have the ratings to figure.

Bogoss Du Perret looks progressive and if it handles the softer ground then it wont be far away.

Back Tudors Treasure 7pts at 7.0 at Skybet/Betvictor-3rd(-7pts)Ran a fine race under a big weight.(DT+38pts)

Monthly Total+62.25

Running Total+225.25

16th December

 255 Newbury-255 Newbury-This doesnt look the strongest class 3 ive ever seen.

Atlantic Storm looks a vulnerable favourite to me,its better on sharper tracks than this and is 0w-0p-8r on ground worse than good to soft plus its also above its last winning mark.

Finnegans Garden has been in great from but it may need the ground bottomless and tends to be best at Lingfield while Fairway Freddy is better going right handed and on better ground.

DoitfortheVillage has chances,as its dropped in class but I like Sao,I wouldnt normally be looking at a horse that has won at Hexham ,for a race at this track but that rating stands out and it could be that 2 miles on very soft ground,are exactly what it wants.

Back Sao 14pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies(Won+38.50pts)Looks an absolute beast and won easily.

230 Ludlow-If a change of scenery does the trick then Coup De Pinceau looks decent value here.

It boasts form figures of 5th-1st-1st at this track and in a race where those at the top of the market have questions to answer stamina wise then it looks worth a punt as it does stay well.

Buster Edwards has all the ratings to win this but it seems to like coming 2nd and im not sure 3 miles on soft ground is ideal.Earlofthecotswolds is still lightly raced but has to prove it wants this far.

Another Venture was in good form last time we saw it but could hardly be descibed as well handicapped.

Back Coup De Pinceau 1pt at 21.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-3pts)Ran really well.(DT+35.50pts)

Monthly Total+25.75

Running Total+187.25pts

15th December

 510 Wolverhampton-Theres  a couple of angles i like with The Met in this.This is its first run for a new yard and it returns to a track where its won both its starts.

Its shown enough in 6 starts this season on turf that its in form but this track clearly suits it best.

Athmad is easily the biggest danger,as it boasts form figures of 1-1-4-1 around here .

Back The Met 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Hills-UP(-8pts)Solid in the market and looked a big threat 2f out but flattened out.

255 Catterick-Out on the Tear posted a rating that suggests its nicely handicapped ,on its first run over fences.If it can build on that then it should run well.I would definitely have it shorter.

Cybalko is on a roll but didnt look to have a lot in hand last time while Outcrop may want better ground than this.

Cesar Collonges and Relkadam have both been going okay but dont find winning easy,so the biggest danger may be course specialist Reverant Cust,who can go well fresh and makes its debut for a new yard.

Back Out On A Tear 9pts at 5.5 at Betvictor/Paddys-Won(+40.5pts)Big Punt into 15/8 and won easy.(DT+32.5pts)

14th December

 145 Ayr-Since joining Darragh Bourke,Evita Du Mesnil`s form has been transformed and it still looks on a fair mark to me here.

This hold up performer should have a decent pace to run at and with doubts around others,it really should be heading the market.

Foxey is slowly progressing and makes its handicap debut but on my figures,this mark is no easy task while Turtle Wars ran fairly well last time but may not be the strongest stayer.

Dora De Janeiro gets back on soft ground for the first time in a while and it may prove the biggest danger.

Back Evita Du Mesnil 11pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor-Pulled Up(-11pts)Just moving into it before a terrible mistake 2 out ,saw it pulled up.

12th December

 515 Wolverhampton-It is a little in and out but Blazon has only dropped into a class 6 like this, once in its career and it won that plus its only ran over this course and distance once before and it also won that,so it appeals as a bit of value in a pretty open heat.

Lleyton is an infrequent winner,so may struggle to follow up its lastest victory,so the biggest dangers look to be the horses,fit from the jumps,Fleur Irlandaise and Lonimoss Bareliere.

Back Blazon 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365

335 Cheltenham-Soft ground would be a worry for The White Mouse and its taking a fair chunk of the market.Aggy With It makes its handicap debut here but it looks to be on a tough mark and is unproven on soft.

I like Miah Grace,who posted a career best rating last time,on its first run around this trip.If its stamina holds up on the stiff finish then it should go very close.

Back Miah Grace 8pts at 5.5 at Skybet

1247 Bangor-Jabulani looks a prime candidate to `bounce ` on its second start after a long layoff and it looks very short to me.

Innisfree Lad has been in fine form but this is a step up in class for it and the same can be said for Mr Palmtree ,so I like Sandy Boy,who ran a fine race on its chase debut ,posting the best rating in this race and should be fine on the softer ground.

The trainer has a 27% strike rate here with the promising young jockey also 24% for the yard.

Back Sandy Boy 8pts at 5.5 at Betfair/Paddy/Betvictor-(DT-22pts)All got stuffed

13th December

 230 Southwell-The drop in trip looks an interesting move for Shantung here,this horse has generally been running well but weakening late on,so dropping back makes sense and hopefully the jockey will bounce it out and use its stamina.The trainer is an encouraging 30% with her runners here.

Drewmain Legend has only won in class 5 over hurdles,so going up 2 grades here wont be easy.

Nordician Blue doesnt look very well handicapped to me although it is lightly raced while Maskada will appreciate the drop back in trip and could be the main danger.

Back Shantung 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-4th(8pts)Backed into 6/4 but never got into it.

1255 Southwell-Debden Bank is lightly raced and performed well on just its second start over fences.

That race has worked out well and that rating gives it a strong chance here.

Joly Maker is just 2 from 27 in its career and races here 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark and it must be vulnerable.As does Shady Oaks who is 0 from 15 over fences.

Massini Man looks the main danger,after a decent run last time.

Back Debden Bank 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Jumped really well and won cosily.(DT+32pts)

Monthly Total-32pts

Running Total+130.25pts

11th December

 1155 Doncaster-Some lightly raced types on show but the speed figure Xcitations posted last time stands out and it surely should be shorter in the betting than it is.

Its only had 7 runs itself and the drop back to 2 miles on decent ground,did the trick last time.

Hooper represents a top yard but has been beaten at odds on the last twice,so the biggest danger could be Hazaar.

Back Xcitations 7pts at 6.0 at Bet365-UP(-7pts)Well backed but no show again

150 Cheltenham-On its best form,Kalashnikov wins this and after an encouraging reappearance run over a longer distance and over hurdles,it should be cherry ripe for this.

This horse is 7w-3p-10r going left handed and looks to hold a class edge on my ratings.

Top Notch is a dual winner of this but this looks a better renewal while Mister Fisher would hold chances as its better in a small field(9r- 4w-1p-5r) but did pull up on its seasonal debut.

Back Kalashnikov 8pts at 5.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-8pts)Briefly hit the front after the last but got outstayed or outbattled.(DT-15pts)

10th December

 302 Warwick-Commit or Quit is gradually progressing since being sent over fences and it looks a fair price to follow up its latest victory.

Trip and ground are ideal and its clear top rated for me.

Kilpin steps up in trip and in class,not normally the best combination but it is unexposed so could improve.

Volcano and Vango De Vaige are also lightly raced over fences and are respected.

Back Commit or Quit 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-Fell(-8pts)Still there when fell 5 out

1215 Newcastle-Seemingly So has been off since February but returns after just one run over fences and that run suggests,its nicely handicapped here.

The trainer has been in decent form and has a 29% strike rate here and if this horse turns up fit and well then it should go very close.

Ard Chros doesnt look well handicapped to me and stamina may be an issue while last years winner Capard King is respected but needs to step up on its reappearance run.

Scoop The Pot cant be relied upon to back up its last run while Speak of the Devil is more of a force in lower classes than this.

Back Seemingly So 14pts at 3.5 at Betfair/Paddys -2nd(-14pts)

9th December

 225 Hexham-If Golan Cloud stays then it should win this.It bumped into a very well handicapped horse last time(Followed up since) and that rating stands out here.

The trainer has had a decent season and I know,the jockey will get it done if the horse is good enough.

Cudgel won over fences last time and likes it here but it has very little in hand over hurdles,on my ratings.

Back Golan Cloud 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-3rd(-12pts)This race sums everything up recently.Hammered into 6/5 and touched 1.11 in running but weakened after the last.

8th December

 1245 Uttoxeter-This is a decent race for the grade and it features some lightly raced types,who could improve to take this,however I think Temple Man is a touch of value.

This horse has been quite lightly raced itself and drops back to its best distance(2m 2w-1p-6r) (2m1+ 0w-3p-6r),it tends to travel strongly in its races and needs to be delivered fairly late,so hopefully a decent pace will help that.

It tops my ratings and although handicap debutants Song of the Hunter and Courtland may improve past it,its too big a price.

Fort De L`Ocean looks far too short to me while Pop The Cork is respected but needs to find more.

Back Temple Man 6pts at 7.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-UP(-6pts)Nicely backed but a surprising change of tactics and an awful run.

645 Southwell-Sophar Sogood finshed behind Loch Ness Monster last time over course and distance but they are grounds for believing it can turn the tables here.

The latters profile suggests it may struggle to repeat that run(just 2 from 23 in its career) but also the changing around of jockeys could make it difference,with Luke Morris taking over from a young apprentice.

The selections form figures at this track read 1st-1st-2nd and I can see Morris sending this horse on from some way out and it may be tough to catch.

On last seasons form Cold Harbour would have a strong chance but its been a few pounds below that level so far.Thawry is still 11Ibs above its last winning mark,this trip looks too short for Shine Baby Shine and is 0w-1p-9r in this grade.

Back Sophar Sogood 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365-4th(-15pts)Never going(DT-21pts)

7th December

 No Selections

5th December

 1247 Chepstow-Le Coeur Net has won its last two races but I think that run will come to an end here.Its got a bit to find on my ratings and this is a quick turnaround from its last victory.

Faustinovich is unexposed over fences but needs to improve so I think Pistol Park is a bit of value.

It drops back in class and into a grade where its 1/1 and should go well on trip and ground that suits.

The horse I`m concerned about most is Elixir Du Gouet,who hasnt done much in 4 starts in the UK but had the ratings in France to figure.

Back Pistol Park 8pts at 5.0 at Hills-UP(-8pts)Drifted to twice the price and never involved.

430 Wolverhampton-The race Critical Thinking won last time,has worked out very well for a class 6 handicap,with the 2nd,3rd and 5th all winning since.This horse has won 7 times around here and is equally effective over this trip plus has a nice draw.

Kindergarten Kop is consistent,has won here and is 1w-1p-2r in this grade so should run well even if I have got it a slightly bigger price in my tissue.

Highest Mountain looks much too short to me,as its a very inconsistent horse and will need the blinkers to do the trick again.Broken Rifle and WhatwouldIknow are running well without winning but continue to creep up the weights.

Steal The Scene could run well after it showed signs of life behind the selection last time,however its 1/23 over this trip.

Back Critical Thinking 9pts at 5.5 Hills/Bet365-4th(-9pts)

6th December

 1225 Kelso-This is very weak with most of the field out of form or looking poorly handicapped.

Vengeur De Guye is one of the few in decent nick but its much better known as a chaser.

Making its handicap debut,Saint Arvans looks to be well handicapped on my ratings and I would have it clear favourite.

Back Saint Arvans 10pts at 5.5 at bet365-Won(+45pts)Won nicely

320 Kelso-Trainer Sandy Thomson ,has won this prize in 4 of the last 5 years and looks to have another good candidate in Duc De Grissay.

Its only had 3 runs over fences and is clearly unexposed over fences and marathon distances.The trainer has a impressive 39% strike rate here with his chasers also.

Back Duc De Grissay 7pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies-Fell(-7pts)Just about to hit the front when fell at the last.Unbelievably unlucky(DT+38pts)

4th December

 240 Exeter-Severano could be much better than its mark,after winning on its handicap debut,for a yard that has not been firing in the winners,so its much respected but its price looks tight with a couple of decent opponents against it.

Molineaux ran quite well on its seasonal reappearance but like so many from this yard, this season,it was still a few pounds behind last seaons best.

The clear value for me is Quick Wave,this horse is progressive and is a very strong stayer at this trip.

This trainer has won this race in 2 of the last 4 runnings and she has her horses in flying form.It should be around the 5/2 mark on my figures.

Back Quick Wave 2pts at 6.5 at Hills-Fell(-7pts)

3rd December

 307 Leicester-Go as you Please has an obvious chance but im not keen on a horse thats finished 2nd in 3 of its last 5 starts and fell last time out.

Beet Topper ran well last time on its first start for a new yard and is respected.

Tierra Verde is unexposed over fences while Relkadam shhould run well dropping in class but at a big price,I cannot let Impulsive Leader go unbacked.Its got a rating from last season that would see it very competitive here and it possibly needed the run last time after a break.

The trainer has ony sent 2 horses here in recent times and won with one of them.

Back Impulsive Leader 2pts at 26.0 at bet365-UP(-2pts)No Show

315 Wincanton-This is wide open and although,it wouldnt get high marks for consistency,Frilly Frock has only had 2 runs over fences and has less convictions that most.

It won an ordinary race last time but posted a fair speed figure and if it runs its race then its the wrong price.

Ede`iff Elton came down last time but was running well and now drops in class while Paddys Runner should appreciate the longer trip.

Back Frilly Frock 6pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies(-6pts)Weak in the market and just gradually lost its place.

222 Market Rasen-Quite a bit of dead wood here and I like Pakies Dream,who comes here in good form ,for a yard and jockey that do well here.It finished behind a progressive horse last time over fences and should follow up.

The Manuscript is back on a winning mark but pulled up last time,it looks pretty short to me.

More Bucks is incredibly inconsistent but does have the ratings to take this,however you cannot rely on it and Fr Humphrey is well handicapped but is a 12yo now and thats probably why.

High Noon was in decent form the last time we saw it(263 days ago) but its 12Ibs higher than its last winning mark and could find things tough.

Back Pakies Dream 12pts at 4.0 at Hills-Fell(-12pts)Backed into 6/4 and fell at the first

207 Leicester-This is a pretty good race and it would be no surprise if the unexposed Known or A Distant Place proved good enough but on what theyve done so far,they dont appeal as that well handicapped and both look short enough to me.

The value looks to be Gortroe Joe ,who is still on a decent mark despite winning last time.That rating puts in with a favourites chance and it should be shorter.

Trans Express does worry me a bit though,as it was well backed last time ,has won on its only start and is 4w-1p-7r in December.Having said all that,I do wonder if something will be stronger at the business end of the race.

Back Gortroe Joe 9pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-Fell(-9pts)To complete another disastrous day,this one fell 2 out when in with every chance(DT-29pts)

2nd December

 630 Kempton- 630 Kempton-Although stepping into graded company for the first time,I cant see past Johnny Drama here.

This horse is on a roll,with progressive ratings since getting on an all weather surface.Its 2/2 at Kempton and 4w-1p-6r in fields of 9 or less and De Sousa is 3w-1p-6r on it.

Red Verdon has won here but its carrying a penalty and that will make things tough while Sinjaari is consistent but its got a little to find on my figures.

Sextant makes not only its track debut but also its polytrack and stable debut although the stallion has only got a 6% strike rate here.

Back Johnny Drama 20pts at 3.25 at Bet365-Won(+45pts)Strong ride in the finish but made possible by being in the right place throughout by De Sousa

Running Total+183.25pts

1st December

 223 Lingfield-Big Penny is in good form but the recent improvement has been over further and on generally slightly better ground than this.I can see it running well but looks a little short to me.

Corinto has been off for nearly 2 years but has one rating that gives it a big chance,the market will tell its tale.Darlyn looks to have it to do on my figures ,so I like the handicap debutant Zhiguli.

Its best rating,came last season in a decent maiden hurdle at Newbury,over this trip and on heavy.

Its 2 runs this season have been over shorter and on better ground,I dont think its a coincidence that its back up in trip for this.If it runs close to that run from last season then it looks well handicapped.

Back Zhiguli 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365/Hills-3rd(-12pts)Never really put in the race

253 Lingfield-Finnegans Garden won this race last year and looks to have been teed up for a repeat here.

Its form figures at this track read 1-1-2-1-3-2 ,its 5w-1p-8r on heavy ground .5w-3p-10r over this trip and all 10 of its career wins were in fields of 7 runners or less,as is the case here while its 0 from 16 in fields of 8 or more.You couldnt call it well handicapped but its got everything else in its favour.

Vincenzo Mio continues to run well but hasnt won since 2013 and a lot of these find getting their head in front quite difficult.Ive got Away For Slates slightly better at shorter,so probably the biggest danger is Aintree My Dream ,who has been knocking at the door.

Back Finnegans Garden 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies(-12pts)Never touched a twig all the way round and yet the jockey allowed the front 2 to get away without putting it under pressure?Not the finest rides today.(Dt-24pts)

30th November

 115 Fakenham-Captain Speaking has been progressive since its started over fences and you have to respect its chance but its up in class (0w-0p-6r in class 4 over hurdles) and also didnt hit the frame when racing around here before,so it may be vulnerable.

Graystown is also up in class and its recent good form has been at Hexham,not exactly a similar track to this and its better on softer ground.

Big Chief Benny is lightly raced over fences and this trainer does very well here with his horses but its a hold up horse and thats not ideal at this track but it will like the better ground.

The value has to be Thomas Todd,who drops in class and ran well on its seasonal debut ,on ground much softer than it prefers.Its form figures around here read 1st-2nd-3rd-2nd ,for a yard that have won with 3 of their last 10 runners.

Back Thomas Todd 10pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-10pts)Backed into 15/8 but found the progressive winner too much to handle.

Monthly Total+4.25pts A very ordinary month comes to an end.Just couldnt seem to put a sequence together.

Running Total+162.25pts

29th November

 1210 Carlisle-Tom Symonds has got his horses in great form(operating at a strike rate of 41% in the last month) and his improving Meteorite should go close here.

It ran well on its seasonal debut but probably found Plumpton a bit sharp for it,so this stiffer track should suit with the drop in class an added bonus.It should be favourite.

Sarosota Star is also improving but the much softer going could be an issue while Coole Well drops in class but has struggled to get its head in front plus looks to have a lot of competition for the lead.

Amberose could be a danger as its 2 from 4 around here but it is inconsistent.

Back Meteorite 8pts at 5.5 at Bet365-UP(-8pts)Well backed but ran poorly

250 Carlisle-Rath An Luir boasts a progressive and unexposed profile and make an impressive start to its chasing career by winning at this track last time.

The rating it posted suggests its got at least 10Ibs in hand of its mark and it really should improve for experience and the longer trip,given it runs it race.This is a good race but it should be around the even money mark.

Up Helly Aa King is 3 from 5 over fences and 2/2 here.I`m not so sure how much its got in hand now though but could improve for the longer trip.

Ashfield Paddy and SirWillaimWallace are both unexposed over fences but need to show a lot more.

Back Rath An Luir 25pts at 2.75 at Bet365-Won(+43.75)Looks progressive and stays very well(DT+35.75pts)

28th November

 307 Bangor-This is weak and looks a decent opportunity for Tipalong Tyler.

Its still lightly raced and has produced 3 decent efforts of late and then isnt many in this that can say that.

As long as it doesnt get too soft,it really should run well especially as its dropping in class and is also into a mares only race for the first time for a while.

Quiet Penny hasnt raced for nearly 2 years but makes its debut for a new yard while Rollercoaster is another to have moved stables and that could have a positive effect but it needs too.

Back Tipalong Tyler 12pts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Ground went against it despite it being well backed.

1205 Doncaster-Calin Du Brizais has managed to be dropped 22Ibs in 5 runs this season and although,an infrequent winner,it showed a lot more last time and that rating stands out here.

There looks to be lots of pace on and that should suit as it stays well.

Rose Dobbin as won this race twice in recent years,so her Geordielandgangsta could go well and I can see the chance of Furius De Ciergues but it looks short enough to me.

Back Calin Du Brizais 5pts at 8.0 at Bet365-3rd(-5PTS)Plodded on ito 3rd without every threatening.

150 Newbury-The progressive ratings of Tea Clipper suggest its better than this grade and im surprised it isnt even shorter in the betting,despite this being quite competitve.

The trainer has sent out 4 winners from his last 14 runners and boasts a 30% strike rate with his hurdlers at this track.

On The Wild Side makes its handicap debut and is up in class and trip ,on ground faster than its recent runs.It looks on a fairly tough mark although could improve but its trainer has an unusually poor record here,which is also the case for Flash The Steel,there cannot be many courses where Dan Skelton has a 3% strike rate with his hurdlers but thats the case here.

Back Tea Clipper 12ts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-5th(-12pts)Massively disappointing run.

225 Newbury-It may not be good enough but my ratings suggest Pisgah Pike is a crazy price here.

Last time was a career best run and if it can improve again then ive got being competitive.

There are some lightly raced,progressive horses on show here,so it is a warm race but its the wrong price.

Back Pisgah Price 2pt Each Way at 21.0 at Bet365/Betfred-UP(-4pts)Halved in price but never involved in a messy race.(DT-19pts)

335 Newbury-Moonlighter ran a career best on its seasonal return and with the slight drop in trip suiting,Hopefully it will make them all go from the front.

It won on its only start at this track over fences and with its main market rival Ibleo needing it softer,im expecting a big run.

Zanza is lightly raced over fences and could figure but im hoping the selection can put pressure on its novicey jumping.

Back Moonlighter 12ts at 4.33 at Betvictor/Paddys-Fell(-12pts)To round off a shocker of a day,took off too early and had a heavy fall(DT-48pts)

27th November

 125 Doncaster-Competitive race although nothing with a compelling profile.

Dr Sanderson heads the market but although lightly raced,it looks to need to improve  on my figures.

Nietzsche drops in class and should run well but has mostly raced at shorter distances than this in its career while Cracking Find is slowly finding its feet,its not very consistent.

The Unit would have chances ,if coming on for its run after a long layoff but it could easily bounce after such an absence,so at a fair price,the lightly raced Pogue,looks too big to me.

It chased home a very progressive horse last time out and that horse came out and won again on Monday,it produced its best rating over this course and distance and although creeping up in class,it should go well.

Back Pogue 6pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betfair/Paddys-2nd(-6pts)Ran well,no excuses.

300 Newbury-I find it interesting that Paul Nicholls,after winning this race from 2009 to 2013 ,hasnt ran another horse in it since.It must be significant that he sends McFabulous to take his chance here.

Although yet to prove its stamina,this horse is seriously progressive and the trainer must think it will stay.

On my ratings,the favourite Paisley Park(despite taking a weak renewal of this last season),didnt run to within 10Ibs of the previous season efforts and signed off with a poor run at the Cheltenham Festival.You cannot argue with its strike rate but I do think its vulnerable to an improving sort.

Thyme Hill is still unexposed and should be involved.

Back McFabulous 14pts at 3.75 at Bet365 -3rd(-14pts)Either didnt quite stay or wasnt good enough.(DT-20pts)

26th November

 141 Taunton-Two lightly raced horses head the market in High Change and Peckinpah but behind that,this looks fairly weak.

The dropping in class First Quest looks overpriced and is back on its last winning mark.

It wants this better ground and im hoping the jockey will sit it handy as there doesnt look to be much pace in the race unless the blinkers fire up High Change.It should run well.

Back First Quest 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-4th(-6pts)Nicely backed and looked threatening but just went noowhere.

311 Taunton-On its second start over fences,De Barley Basket produced a rating that suggests its better than a class 5 animal.With more improvement likely,Im surprised it isnt around the 5/4 mark.

The obvious danger is Write It Down,whos pretty consistent but lacks the potential of the selection.

Back De Barley Basket 25pts at 2.62 at Bet365-Won(+56.25*BOG)At last,a fine front running ride from a proper jockey in Dave Bass.Never looked like losing.(DT+50.25pts)

Monthly Total+46.25pts

Running Total+204.50

25th November

 225 Wetherby-I can see the chance of Smarty Wild,as a lightly raced chaser from last years winning stable but it looks a little short to me especially as its done all its winning going right handed so far.

The value looks to be Some Reign ,who was so unlucky not to win over course and distance last time out ,when coming down at the last.That run continued a progressive set of ratings and if continuing in that vein then its a big runner here.

Joke Dancer drops in grade and trip ,which will help it but the yard continue to struggle for winners.Ballyvic Boru is 2 from 4 at this track but was a fortunate winner last time out and is on a career high mark now.

Back Some Reign 10 pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-10pts)Another to run well without prevailing,possibly misjudged the ride and gave it a little too much to do.

320 Hereford-For a horse,that historically has always needed a run after a absence,it was a fine effort put up by Eclair De Guye on its seasonal debut 35 days ago and if it comes on a little for that then it really should run well here.

I always think Bryony Frost is a great jockey over fences and she has an encouraging 25% strike rate when riding for this yard over the big obstacles.

Elan De Balme is lightly raced and has to be a danger but does have its stamina to prove while Cuban Pete,although is 2 from 4 at this track,it seems to be better after a long break,as its 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 60 days.

Clondaw Rigger does have chances as it stays well and has won here but it is a little exposed now.

Back Eclair De Guye 3pts at 4.5 at Bet365-UP(-10pts)Never in it at any stage.(DT-20pts)

24th November

 800 Wolverhampton-Id prefer to see the trainer having more winners but Passional ran well for him on its stable debut 5 days ago and the same horse should go well here ,dropping in trip.

This horse is one of the least exposed in this field and hopefully will be handy before using its stamina late on.The added 5Ib claim from the jockey can only help.

Trouser The Cash dropped down to this trip to break its duck last time out at Chelmsford but ran below form on its previous run here while Qaaraat is often there or thereabouts but has little in hand and is thoroughly exposed.

Thegreyvtrain will probably try and make all but is just 2 from 35 in its career.

Back Passional 10pts at 4.5 at Bet365-2nd(-10pts)Fell out the stalls then couldnt get a run.Very Unlucky.

23rd November

 245 Ludlow-Mr Washington looks a little short to me here,Up in class and on different ground.

Take it on with Get The Appeal,who was travelling best when coming down 2 out last time out.The winner of that race has followed up since and Im surprised this horse isnt favourite.

Towards The Dawn could improve for further and is respected but the trainer has only a 4% strike rate here.

Back Get The Appeal 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-10pts)Very weak in the betting but ran quite well.

235 Kempton-Locks Corner is up in the weights back over fences but its improving fast and the drop back in trip looks ideal.This horse is 4w-1p-5r since being fitted with cheek pieces and although this is competitive,Its difficult to see it not running very well.

Getareason has only had 2 runs over fences and is a contender while Templepark is very consistent but doesnt look to have a lot in hand.Mythical Clouds ran its best race over this course and distance and has a chance also.

Back Locks Corner 14pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+42pts)Really progressive horse that is a strong stayer at this trip and won well.

715 Chelmsford-Im surprised the in form and improving Smokey isnt favourite here.

It won on its only start here and is 3w-1p-7r in this class and its got a nice draw here.

Indian Pursuit and Jorvik Prince are both course specialists and head the dangers.

Back Smokey 10pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor-3rd(-10pts)(DT+22pts)

Monthly Total+20.25pts

Running Total+178.25pts

22nd December

 1248 Uttoxeter-Providing this doesnt come too soon after its comeback run from a long absence then Princess Roxy holds strong claims here.

Its not only lightly raced fences (1 run) but its a very unexposed in total(Just 7 runs under rules).Its rating on its chase debut exceeds anything else in this race and the trainer has been in good form recently too.I am expecting some good support for this horse and the current prices are big value.

City Never Sleeps is also improving and heads the dangers while Scartare is consistent but is totally exposed and is 0/33,so its unlikely its a danger despite some decent ratings.

Rintulla finished a fair way behind the selection on its chase debut but could improve although it clearly needs to.Louse Talk Looks better over hurdles than fences(0/12) while Skipping On is 2 from 3 in this grade but hasnt won for 2 years.

Back Princess Roxy 10pts at 5.0 at  Betvictor/Betfair/Paddys-UP(-10pts)Moved into it 4 out but didnt seem to go anywhere although not beaten far.

153 Uttoxeter-Misty Whisky and Peace Prevails are both lightly raced and head the market,it wouldnt be a surprise if either took this but the former has started finishing second while the latter has to improve on my figures.

Take them on with Fair Kate,whos won in a higher grade than this before and the trainer has won with 3 of his last 4 runners of late and also has a 24% strike rate here.

Back Fair Kate 4pt at 10.0 at Betvictor/Betfair/Paddys-UP(-4pts)

20th November

 615 Newcastle-Dandys Gold looks well overpriced here.This horse has only had the 5 runs in England and drops in class.

Its 3 runs at this track read 1st-2nd-2nd and I like the booking of Tyler Heard on top,who will take off 7Ibs and is 3/7 for this yard.It should be half the price it currently is.

Fantasy Keeper is the obvious danger while Gunmetal hasnt hit the frame in its 2 starts at this track,so looks underpriced to me.Outrage has good course form but is maybe better att shorter.

Back Dandys Gold 5pt at 11.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-5pts)Disappointing run

140 Chepstow-For me,this is a 2 horse race.Kapga De Lily could stroll away with this as the rating it posted last time,shows its ahead of its current rating.

However,its up in class and distance plus also ridden by a fairly inexperienced jockey,who has just a 5% strike rate over fences,I would have it bigger in the market and if Fergal O`Brien can perform his magic with his new recruit No No Juliet then this is a big runner.

The trainer operates at a 30% strke rate with experienced horses on their first run for his yard and its stamina is assured as it stays a bit further.Its only had 4 runs itself over fences and 2 of those ratings definitely suggest its got a few pounds in hand of its current mark.

Miss Zip will love the ground but 3 miles is a question mark while Silent Steps doesnt look well handicapped.

Back No No Juliet 11pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-3rd(-11pts)Looked a big danger entering the straight but weakened incredibly quickly.(DT-16pts)

21st November

No Selections

19th November

 233 Market Rasen-Against a bunch of mainly exposed chasers,Outcrop makes a fair bit of appeal here.

It posted a fine rating last time ,on its chase debut and the drop in trip can only help its chance.

I`m a big fan of the jockey Sean Quinlan and Ive got this around the 13/8 mark.

Fort De L`Ocean ran well over hurdles last time but ive got it a few pounds behind the selection on its chase runs while Cesar Collonges in very inconsistent and surely wants it softer than this.

Dallas Cowboy could be the danger if it put its seasonal debut run behind it as its got very good Market Rasen form but it did pull up last time.

Back OutCrop 15pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-Won(+41.25pts)The write up concerning  the jockey wasnt misplaced.Perfectly timed run to lead after the last.

Monthly Total+26.25pts

Running Total+184.25pts

18th November

 725 Kempton-On to Victory won a big 12f handicap on soft ground last time out but this is over further and on a different surface,so it looks a bit short to me.

Rock Eagle has been running well at a variety of trips and 2 miles could be ideal but its never ran on an All Weather track yet.

Soghan`s 2 mile form figures 2nd-1st-1st catch my eye and with those 2 wins both coming on the all weather,I would definitely have this horse shorter in the betting,particularly as it won off a 2Ibs higher mark last year.

True Destiny is closely tied in with the selection based on their Wolverhampton run 2 starts back but its since ran a stinker back on turf and is 8Ibs higher than its highest winning mark.

Back Soghan 8pts at 6.0 at Betfair and Paddys-2nd(-8pts)Led all the way until the final 5 yards for a pretty gut wrenching defeat.

17th November

 233 Fakenham-Midnights Gift has spent more than half its career in grade 1 races and performed with credit,so this drop to a class 3 will be welcome.Although giving weight away,this horse won on its only start at this track,for a trainer who operates at a 44% here in recent times.

I have got it as favourite,so it looks value to me.

Getariver is unexposed over hurdles after only 4 starts but couldnt manage to win a class 4 last time,so it needs to cope with the rise in class while Nordican Bleue and Fantastic Ms Fox boast similar profiles but both look on a fairly tough marks for their handicap debuts.

Back Midnights Gift 11pts at 5.0 at Betfair and Paddys-Won(+44pts)Fine strong ride by Tom Cannon.

 303 Fakenham-Its possible Goldencard has completely gone but is so well handicapped now,that it wont take a lot for it to bounce back.

It won a race last November off an incredible 24Ibs higher and turns up at a track where trainer Christian Williams has a 41% strike rate,there cannot be many places where he has a similar record.The trainer puts blinkers on for the first time and if they produce something better than of late then it should be far too good for these.

Muilean Na Madog heads the market and I can see its obvious chances but backing up twice in a week after over 600 days off,will not be easy.

Wisecracker should run its race but is 1/30 now and is 9Ibs higher than for that win while Glimpse Of Gold looks better over hurdles than fences but has been in good form.Champion Chase has some reasonable ratings but a record of 0 from 24 tells its own story.

Back Goldencard 4pts at 12.0 At William Hill and Betvictor-2nd(-4pts)Strange betting heat and race.The selection was punted into 3/1 before drifting back out 12/1.It actually ran quite well and isnt finished yet but I didnt consider the winner and nor did the betting market.(DT+40pts)

Monthly Total-7pts

Running Total+151pts

16th November

300 Leicester-This is a competitive race and a few have chances.

Cape of Fear has been fav on all 3 of its chase starts and would hold decent chances on its run 2 starts back but ran way below par last time.Station Master is 3w-2p-6r in this class but refused to race last time.

Poker School has been around for ages but has never won over this trip while Boughtbeforelunch is consistent and should run well but is 1 from 20 and is 22Ibs higher than that win.

Big Difference should run well although ive got it needing to improve a little to take this.

I like Bandsman,who ran well last time over a trip too short and ground too soft.Its 4w-2p-9r in class 4 races like this and Dan Skelton is 5 out of 5 with his chasers here in the last 2 years.

Back Bandsman 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-PU(-7pts)Everything seemed fine until weakening quickly down the back straight.

220 Plumpton-Court Duty won a poor race at Ffos Las 8 days ago and if it backs that up then it will go close but it will be no surprise to me if first of all,drifts in the betting and gets beat.

Bad Boy Du Pouldu has been consistent around Fontwell recently but is 0w-1p-5r on soft/heavy ground.

Le Coeur Net has the ratings to figure but is a tight enough price so the value for me is Wenceslaus,who is no gimme on the figures but returns to its favourite track(Plumpton 2/2 over fences 3/4 overall) on ground its fine on but I really like a record of 3w-1p-4r when returning to the track within 15 days like today and the refitting of cheekpieces(2w-0p-4r in them)

Back Wenceslaus 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365-Fell(-7pts)Every chance and just in the lead when fell 2 out.Very Frustrating(DT-14pts)

15th November

 315 Fontwell-This will take a bit of getting and I like the chances of Christmas In April.

The last time we saw this horse it went off favourite for a class 1 handicap and now reappears 2 grades lower,at a track where it won on its only previous visit.

A record of 3 from 6 on soft/heavy ground means theres no issues there while over distances from 3m2+ its a very solid 3w-1p-5r and as its won after a break before then I`d be very disappointed if it didnt go very close.

Cloudy Glen is the main market rival but has to prove its stamina while Doing Fine ran poorly last time and is a 12yo who is running off a 2Ib higher mark than its ever won off.

Diable De Sivola has a win record of 1 from 22 and that win was over hurdles in 2016.

Gangster is inconsistent and 0w-1p-9r on undulating tracks like this.

Back Christmas In April 16pts at 3.25 at Various Bookies-2nd(-16pts)Cloudy Glen hosed up.

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14th November

 333 Wetherby-After this race has finished I could be regretting the fact I couldnt stay away from a 12yo that hasnt won since 2017 but I keep coming back to Silver Tassie in this.

In 6 of its last 8 races its produced a rating that is superior to its handicap mark,suggesting it can win again.

It only went down by a neck and a head in this race last year but this looks a much weaker renewal.

You can find holes everywhere you look in this,Eceparti heads the market but is not well handicapped and has to prove its stamina on ground that could be really soft by racetime.

I make Cesar Et Rosalie the main danger as its 3 from 9 in this grade but consistency is not its strongpoint.

Lithic is 0 from 19 over fences,Chase the Wind is out of form while the unexposed Commit or Quit could figure but to my eye,this trip looks too far at the moment.

Back Silver Tassie 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-UP(-8pts)Rank bad analysis.

Monthly Total-17pts

Running Total+141pts

13th November

 233 Newcastle-The further Chanting Hill went on its chase debut,the better it got so this stiff track should help to do itself justice.

That bare rating gives it an outstanding chance of following up and thats without even adding in the expected improvement.If its still in touch 3 out then I would expect it to power home.

I would definitely have it around 6/4 chance for a yard among the winners.

PrettyLittlething has only won one race since 2017 and looks a but underpriced to me while Tb Broke Her could enjoy a solo up front and if it doesnt bounce on its second run back then it looks the main danger.

Tokaramore has to prove its stamina and Liffeydale Dreamer is still lightly raced but does need to improve.

Back Chanting Hill 16pts at 3.25 at Bet365 & Hills-Fell(-16pts)Smashed into 6/5 and going well when fell 5 out.

12th November

 215 Ludlow-Theres no doubt theres potential in the unexposed chasers at the top of the market but Lord Bryan looks well overpriced to me here.

This horse was only just beaten 2 runs ago under similar conditions before getting bogged down on heavy ground last time.It is on a lengthy losing run but from a ratings perspective,it has to be supported.

Back Lord Bryan 5pts at 13.0 at Bet365-3rd(-5pts)Ran quite well but got left behind.

240 Taunton-Pontresina is lightly raced over fences and won well last time but my ratings suggest ,its massively underpriced here.

Irish Prophecy has been in good form but going up 7Ib for finishing second last time ,is hardly ideal.

I like Looksnowtlikebrian.Its been running itself into form,is 5w-2p-10r with Richard Johnson onboard and 2 from 5 going right handed.

Back Looksnowtlikebrian 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365-2nd(-7pts)Pontresina was vulnerable but the winner won easy although we were never put in the race at any stage.

415 Taunton-Since moving into handicaps and having wind surgery,Outonpatrol`s form has moved up a level.This horse is improving and is clear top rated with possibly more to come.

The 5Ib claim of Alexander Thorne can only be a bonus as well,it should be favourite unless Dan Skelton produces some magic out of Shes Gina on its first run for the yard.

Rose to Fame is 2/2 at this track and the yard are flying,so I can see its chance but its price looks tight to me while Frau Georgia has been running well but is now 17Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Back Outonpatrol 8pts at 6.0 at various bookies-2nd(-8pts)Beat everything I thought was a danger but Richard Johnson always seems to beat me while never riding a winner for me.(DT-20pts)

11th November

 1235 Ayr-Crack Du Ninian is greatly respected here but if theres any time to get with Those Tiger Feet then surely this is it.

Kim Bailey doesnt venture to Scotland very often and certainly not for a class 5 handicap like this.

The horse is 2w-0p-3r in this grade but 2 from 2 when returning from a break of over 120 days like today and 2 from 2 in November.I would expect David Bass to make plenty of use of it as it stays further and could hopefully run the finish out of the fav.

Back Those Tiger Feet 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-Won(+35pts)Got a solo upfront as hoped and picked up well when they got close late on

1245 Bangor-Big Chief Benny and Subcontinent are unexposed over fences and could make the required improvement to take this but I like the solid Glance Back.

When we last saw this horse it was in great form and is clear top rated on my figures.

Its finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 runs at this track ,is 4w-2p-9r on soft/heavy ground ,2w-1p-4 over this trip and 3w-1p-8r in fields of 7 or less like today.

Back Glance Back 11pts at 4.33 at Various Bookies-NON RUNNER

333 Bangor-Mint Condition is up in class but is improving fast and its rating last time on its handicap debut suggests its better than this grade.

The trainer has a 21% strike rate at this track but that increases with her handicap hurdlers.

Chirico Vallis is on a roll and should give the selection a good toe into the race while Ballymoy has been a force in this grade before but has lost its way while Christopher Wood moves up in trip but is hardly well handicapped,so needs to improve for it.

Back Mint Condition 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365-Won(+36pts)Several heart attacks down the straight as it went to the front then got headed but battled back to win close home(DT+71pts)

Monthly Total+27pts

Running Total+185pts

10th November

 323 Lingfield-This is a decent little race but its also 2 grades lower than the race Getaround finished fourth in last time out.

It now makes its handicap debut  and moves back up in trip,to the distance where it posted its top rated performance from last season,add in the valuable 5Ibs that jockey Brian Carver is taking off and I expect a big run from this lightly raced horse.

As I See it also drops a grade and should run well but is now 8Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Storm Arising doesnt get much respite from the handicapper and will need to turn up fit and well to hold any chance while Potters Hedger is now off a career high mark and has a patchy record when fresh.

The biggest danger looks to be recent course winner,Robin Gold,whos thriving for its current trainer but it does have ts stamina to prove and this is the highest class its raced in.

Back Getaround 12pts at 4.0 at Bet365-4th(-12pts)Jumped well but appeared fairly laboured throughout,so no surprise they went past it at the last.

9th November

 No Selections

8th November

 355 Ffos Las-You have to respect the hat trick seeking MouseintheHouse,whos 2 from 3 at this track but my ratings suggest,another jolt of improvement may be needed to take this.

Donatello Mail has its first run for Tom Symonds and hes booked the champion jockey for the ride,so clearly a good run is expected but the trainer is 0/19 at this track.

I like the unexposed Cobaltic ,who is top rated on its latest run,.That was its first run over fences,so you would expect more to come for a trainer who is operating at a 24% in the last two weeks.

Back Cobaltic 12pts at 4.0 at Skybet/WilliamHill

1240 Sandown-5 of the 8 runners are stepping up in class here but the only one dropping in grade is Espion.

This horse actually went off fav for a 13 runner class 2 handicap last time but made a bad blunder halfway round and that ruined its chance.This is much easier and the trainer also drops in trip ,back to the distance of its top rated run from last season.I expect a much better showing here.

First Lord De Cuet could not be considered well handicapped on my figures although its still early days for it while Espalion is in good form but has ran at least 7Ibs below its mark on its 3 runs on soft ground,so these conditions and grade(Class 3 0w-0p-3r) are not ideal.

Twenty Twenty is much better after a recent run(31 days+ away from the track 0w-1p-5r) and is off a career high mark here.

Back Espion 12pts at 4.5 at Skybet/Betvictor

7th November

 1240 Wincanton-The consistency of Buster Thomas gets my vote here.Its clear top rated on not only its latest run but also produced 2 good ratings both times its ran over these fences.

The trainer has a decent 22% strike rate here and as long as the inexperienced jockey can keep things together then this must go very close.

Oleg heads the market but this is surely based on the trainer ,rather than what its done in its 3 races over jumps,bearing in mind its pulled up and unseated on its two latest efforts.

Fresno Emery is unexposed over fences but these do take some jumping while Hey Bud needs to improve.

Back Buster Thomas 12pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12ps)Ran a good race and maybe the jockey held onto to it for too long.

6th November

 310 Fontwell-Im not a big fan of a quick return to the track over the jumps and therefore,the fav College Oak may be vulnerable here.From a ratings perspective,its got a good chance  but its a tight enough price for me.

Gustavian makes its handicap debut for a yard going well but again,the price is tight enough.

At bigger odds,I quite like the look of Mahlers Promise,who made its handicap debut last time,on its first run of the season and showed up well before weakening late on.

The rating it posted when winning a decent event at Newbury last term,heads my figures and it looks overpriced based on that.

Back Mahlers Promise 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-Fell(-6pts)Cruised into it until tipping over at the last.Very Unlucky!

400 Newcastle-You have to respect Mustaarid,who did us a favour last week but its never raced here before and it may pay to take it on.

Dawaaleeb`s record at this track over a mile reads 1st-1st-3rd and that third was a week ago,when the draw appeared to count against it.It appeals as overpriced to me.

Back Dawaaleeb 10pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-Won(+40pts)A fine ride from the front got it done.

245 Warwick-Ebony Gale is unexposed over fences but needs to improve on my ratings to take this.

Write it Down is respected as a CD winner thats been running well but a record of 0w-1p-7r in this class puts me off.

This looks a decent opportunity for Jarlath ,whos 2w-1p-4r in November,is a two time course winner and will be more at home on this good ground,rather than the soft it encountered last time out.

Back Jarlath 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-3rd(-8pts)Ran a good race(DT+26pts)

Monthly Total+4pts

Running Total+162pts

5th November

 1240 Sedgefield-Last years winner Late Date,looks to have been teed up for a repeat victory here.

It has a poor record fresh,so it ran ok first time out under the circumstances and with that under its belt,I would expect a much more competitive run here.

This course and distance on soft ground is what it wants(3w-0p-6r) and its back on the mark it won off last year.

Richard Newland does well here and his lightly raced Classic escape rates the danger.

Back Late Date 12pts at 4.0 at bet365/Betvictor/Skybet-UP(-12pts)Jockey never looked happy.

325 Sedgefield-Splash The Cash heads the market but its got a bit to find on my ratings and a record 0/12 makes it a favourite to take on.

Sally Cant Wait returns after a long absence and is difficult to assess but I like at the prices,Millie The Minx.

Its produced 2 good runs over fences and now returns to hurdles on a decent mark.Danny Mcmenamin gets back in the saddle and hes the only jockey to have won on it over jumps.I do have a little niggle about its finishing effort over this trip but the price is big enough to find out.

Back Millie The Minx 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Betvictor/Skybet-3rd(-7pts)Hammered into 9/4 but didnt seem to be able to go with them and was outpaced before rattling home.(DT-19pts)

Monthly Total-12pts

Running Total+146pts

4th November

 310 Nottingham-Lincoln Park ran a fine race on its debut for Tom Dascombe and the trainer immediately drops the horse back to 5 furlongs,for the first time in its career.

This looks an interesting move and as long as it doesnt get involved in a pace battle up front then this horse should go very close.Its latest rating is the best in this field and it hopefully may even improve on that with the drop in trip.

This horse rarely races in this lower class but has finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 runs when it did and late in the season is when its at its best(October/November(2w-1p-5r)

The obvious danger is John Kirkup,who thrives on soft ground but this 5yo has generally struggled off this mark and hasnt been rated this high for 2 years.

Back Lincoln Park 13pts at 3.75 at Various Bookies-3rd(-13pts)No excuses,wasnt good enough.

3rd November

 No Selections

2nd November

 355 Hereford-Cotton End heads the market but is up 11Ibs from its latest win and my ratings suggest,it needs to improve again to defy this mark and it also possibly prefers better ground.

Darlyn returns from an absence but loves soft ground(3w-1p-4r) and rates the main danger on my figures to Fair Kate.

This horse also returns from a lay off but ran well first time out last season ,weakening late on,after leading over a longer distance.Its rating it achieved when winning over this trip, in a higher class than this,last season, stands out here and the jockey has a fine 31% strike rate for this yard,which suggests, it will be ready for this.

Back Fair Kate 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-UP(-10pts)Weak in the betting and never really showed

1st November

 2.22 Huntingdon-I have a very slight niggle regarding the trainers recent form but Bathiva looks to have a bit in hand here.Its unexposed over fences and its ratings were on an upward curve,when last seen.

Its adaptable ground wise and the trainer operates at a 33% strike rate here ,in recent times.

Lots Of Luck rates an obvious danger but it is up in class ,off a mark 9Ibs higher than its latest win,it needs to improve again.

A bigger danger could be Wenceslaus ,who ran well after a break last time.

Back Bathiva 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+35pts)Won easily

345 Carlisle-This will be a test on this trip and ground.

Sams Adventure is respected with such a good record on heavy ground(4w-3p-8r),Sojourn is very lightly raced while Very First Time hails from a top yard but at a price,I could see Fortified Bay outrunning its odds.

Its 2w-1p-3r when returning from an absence of over 121 days like today and is 2w-1p-3r going right handed,the trainer is in decent nick and I am a big fan of the jockey.

Back Fortified Bay 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-4th(-5pts)Ran quite well in desperate ground

Days Total +30pts

Running Total+188pts

31st October

 1225 Wetherby-Rebecca Curtis has her string in good order and I would expect her horse,Financial Outcome to go close here.It only lost out close home on its seasonal debut,in a higher class and with rain expected,the conditions should be ideal.

I would expect it to set out to make it a good test.

Air Navigator looks the main danger to me,also dropped in class,for a trainer who does well here.

Back Financial Outcome 12pts at 4.0 at bet365/Skybet/Betvictor-UP(-12pts)

730 Wolverhampton-International Law doesn`t appear in this class very often but is a big runner when it does.It loves this track(4 wins) and won on its only start here,when dropped to a class 6 like this.

Its defintely got a class edge on my figures.

Bayston Hill has also won in a higher grade multiple times and is respected while Lady Elysia is weighted to go close.

Back International Law 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-3rd(-12pts)

30th October

 135 Wetherby-Fransham drops back to a trip its done all its winning over and should go close here.

Its form figures over this course and distance read 1st-1st-2nd and its 2w-1p-4r when returning to the track within 15 days.It also won this race last year.

Main danger for me is Marlborough Sands,who is still lightly raced over hurdles.

Back Fransham 12pts at 4.0 at various Bookies-Won(+36pts)Travelled strongly and won easy.

210 Wetherby-If it handles the drop in trip then my ratings suggest,Two For Gold holds a distinct class edge here.

It won on its only previous visit here,for a trainer with a 27% strike rate at the track.I would have it shorter in the betting.

Born Survivor is a previous winner of this race and rates the danger.

Back Two For Gold 12pts at 4.0 at Various bookies-2nd(-12pts)Ran so well but denied by a horse it was very difficult to rate.

320 Wetherby-Cracking Find looks a bit short to me,despite running well before unseating on its reappearance while Equus Millar is unexposed but needs to improve.

Its up in class but Some Reign seems to want no further than 2 miles to me,even though its ran plenty of good races over further.A record of 3w-4p-8r over a bare 2 miles backs that up and this is its time of year(Oct 2w-1p-4r).It looks overpriced to me in what should be a fast run race.

Back Some Reign 8pts at 6.0 at skybet-Fell(-8pts)Absolutely robbed.Fell at the last after looking the winner.

Days Total+16pts  

Running Total+182pts

29th October

 128 Newton Abbot-Memphis Belle is progressive and a tough opponent,it does look a bit short though when you consider this comes just 11 days after a hard fought win,on ground it has to prove itself on and also up in class.

My Lady Grey is consistent but creeping up the handicap,it also looks to prefer better ground than this.

Although it lacks a recent run,I like Royal Claret,who is a thorough stayer and will love the ground.

It loves a small field(7 runners or less 2w-0p-3r) and this jockey has done us a few favours recently.

Back Royal Claret 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-UP(-12pts)Weak in the betting and never really in the hunt.

28th October

 115 Nottingham-Last years winner of this race Mustarrid,looks all ready for a big attempt at a follow up,Its dropped 13Ibs this season as its toiled in higher grades than this class 4(Class 3 or higher 0w-2p-15r) but when dropped into this class its 2w-1p-3r .The trainer has a good record here and with so many seemingly likely to struggle on the ground,this horse looks well overpriced.

You have to respect any improving 3yo of James Fanshawe`s ,so Flying West could go well but he has an unusually low strike rate at this track.

Clear danger for me is Expresso Freddo but this is a step up in class and a quick turnaround after its latest win.

Back Mustarrid 7pts at 7.0 at various bookmakers-Won(+42pts)Fell out and looked to be struggling then just burst clear.

140 Taunton-Knight Commander is in good form and has to be respected but this comes just 8 days after its latest win and is a rise in class.

Christopher Robin has been consistent and the drop back in trip should help but its now 10Ibs higher than its last win and that has to make things tough.

The one I like is Level Of Intensity,who after a long absence has gradually been finding its feet,culminating in easily its best run for a long time,last time out and that effort gives it sound claims here.Its below its last winning mark and is 2w-1p-6r in this grade.I would definitely have it favourite.

Back Level Of Intensity 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365-PU(-8pts)This was there for the taking with the market leaders falling but unfortunately,it got injured just as it was creeping into it.

410 Taunton-Earth Leader could blow this race apart on its debut for Harry Fry but its priced accordingly.

Golden Poet comes out well on the ratings and is unexposed as a stayer but a career record of 2/39 isnt great.

Since it moved to Tom Symonds yard,Schnabel has produced 3 rock solid runs and beat a subsequent winner last time out.Its difficult to see it not running well and is the value.

Back Schnabel 8pts at 6.5 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)A poor run

Days Total+26pts

Running Total+178pts

27th October

 210 Catterick-Quite a tight race and although its a little in and out,I Am A Dreamer does have the ratings to win this.

Its 1/1 on this course and distance,is fine on the ground and is equally at home over a furlong shorter,which helps on a sharp track like this.This is also a big drop in class after 2 runs in races,2 grades higher.I`m hoping the jockey can bounce it out and dominate this.

Grace and Virtue is in good form but is up in class,so I have got Lord Oberon as the main danger.

Back I Am A Dreamer 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-4th(-9pts)Couldnt dominate on barely raceable ground(RT+152pts)

26th October

 No Selections

25th October

1.22 Aintree-A very competitive race and quite a few with chances but Minella Celebration should surely be shorter than it is.

This horse is 2w-1p-4r at this track including 2/2 on this exact course and distance,its a got a good record fresh(61 days+ 3w-1p-9r) and it copes with all kind of ground.It should go well.

Samtegal heads the market but hasnt won for 4 years,Vieux Lion Rouge looks a bigger danger as it has a fine record after a break.

Back Minella Celebration 6pts at 13/2(General)-Won(+45pts*BOG 15/2)You wont see many performances like this.Barely touched a twig and cruised home(RT+161pts)

24th October

 2.33 Kelso-Truckers Lodge heads the market and is improving but its possibly better over further than this.Le Breuil was disappointing last season and needs to bounce back as does Rockys Treasure while Amalfi Doug won last time but is 0w-1p-10r going left handed.

The one I like is Some Chaos,this horse won on its only start here,is 4w-1p-8r on good ground and the trainer has a 22% strike rate here.I would defintely have it shorter in the betting

Back Some Chaos 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365-Won(+40.5pts)Crazy race with fallers everywhere but the selection stayed upright throughout to win.(RT+116pts)

23rd October

 No Selections

22nd October

 400 Carlisle-The selection has achieved 2 or 3 ratings that the rest of the field have got nowhere near yet and I would be very disappointed if it didnt go close.

It placed in its only start at this track and is 4w-2p-8r in this grade,it stays a bit further,so this stiff finish will suit and if its jumping holds up then it should take a bit of beating.

Victory Echo is unesposed over fences and although needing to improve,it could.Oscar Wilde was running well when last seen and could be a threat.

Back Bandsman 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies-4th(-12pts)Ground went against and couldnt get involved

200 Ludlow-Mostly a bunch of exposed,inconsistent animals and although Hurlstone Point hasnt pulled up any trees in its 2 chase starts,its latest run comes out well on my ratings and with further improvement likely,it could outrun its odds for a trainer who has a 25% strike here with his chasers.

Peters Portrait has only had the one run over fences and better was expected ,judging by a 7/2 SP but that effort needs seriously improving upon.Trump Benefit drops in class but generally prefers going left handed.

Back Hurlstone Point 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys/Betfair-PU(-5pts)Hit every fence

345 Ludlow-As the only course winner in the race and a horse that has spent the majority of its career operating at a higher level then John Constable is just too well handicapped to ignore back on its favoured good ground.

Hopefully it will get a decent pace to aim and at the prices,its the clear value pick.

The Garrison won last time out but is up in class while Dave and Bernie makes its UK debut after running pretty well in Ireland,its difficult to get a hande on but the betting will tell its story.

Back John Constable 6pts at 9.0 at 888sport-UP(-6pts)Not the most busy performance from the saddle Ive ever seen(DT-23pts)(RT+75.5pts)

21st October

 423 Fontwell-Theres a couple of lightly raced types here,namely Legende De Minuit and One for Dunstan and obviously they could progress now moving into handicaps but I`m still surprised at the price of Sixties Secret.

This horse is clear top rated on its latest run,has a decent 7Ib claimer onboard and should get the fast pace it likes for it to be produced late on.I have a very small niggle that its a Plumpton specialist but the price more than makes up for that.

Back Sixties Secret 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-4th(-7pts)Not saying it would have won but the jockey made a mess of the finish by going for a non existent run and losing his reins in the process.(RT+98.5pts)

20th October

 345 Yarmouth-Dropped back to 10 furlongs on very soft ground,saw Selecto produce a career best performance,only going down narrowly to a bang in form opponent and pulling well clear of the rest.

If that race hasnt left a mark and it can reproduce that effort then its clearly the one to beat here.

Harlow is consistent but very beatable and im not certain very soft ground is what t wants.Casa Loupi looks the main danger,as its still lightly raced and drops in class.

Back Selecto 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-UP(-12pts)Bang there 2f out but weakened quickly

400 Exeter-Although its yet to win a race,Twasnt the Plan has produced its best 2 career ratings over this trip and ground.The trainer doesnt book this jockey that often but has a 22% strike rate when he does and I can see this horse breaking its duck here.

Fresh New Dawn is favourite and finally managed to jump round last time after some mishaps in its 2 runs before that.You have to jump well at this track and Twasnt the Plan`s jockey has got off this to ride the selection.

Back Twasnt the Plan 12pts at 4.3 at Betfair/Paddys-3rd(-12pts)Never really put into the race (DT-24pts)(RT+105.5pts)

19th October

 240 Plumpton-The rating Hab Sab achieved in its last run from last season,far exceeds anything else its rivals have managed.There are risks attached however,in that its been a few months since it ran and this ground is faster than when it posted that rating but the price allows for all that and it is worth getting involved with.

The fav Simon the Great steps up in trip but has looked slow so far ,Kapsize has yet to win a race so far while Battleofthesomme has stamina to prove while Magic River hasnt been seen for 15 months.

Back Hab Sab 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Betfred-Won(+52pts *BOG 7.5) Jumped well and dominated throughout.

425 Wolverhampton-These horses have managed a total of 2 wins between them in their careers and this is there for the taking.

Although its never raced on this surface,Sulochana`s last 2 rating would be good enough to take this and with the blinkers applied,they may eke out a little more improvement.

Mystery Mac looks the obvious danger as it makes its handicap debut.

Back Sulochana 8pts at 5.5 at Sky/Betvictor-UP(-8pts)Looks tripless to me(DT+44pts)(RT+129.5pts)

18th October

 407 Kempton-Pontresina won on its debut over fences but was disqualified,with more improvement expected,it should go pretty close here.

  Apart from Top of the fashion,the selection faces exposed rivals and I am surprised its not shorter in the betting. As mentioned,Top of the fashion is very unexposed while Top Decision has chances but does has its stamina to prove.

Back Pontresina 12pts at 4.0 at various bookies-Won(+36pts)Jumped well and stayed on strong.

510 Sedgefield-Capone is still not fully exposed at this sort of trip and I would expect another solid run from the selection.It heads my ratings on its last time out win and this horse is at its best when returning to the track within 30 days(2w-2p-5r)

You have to respect River Frost on its latest win over fences but it hasnt won over hurdles since 2017.

Ingleby Hollow would have a shout if it stays this longer trip.

Back Capone 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-UP(-9pts)Out of position when it got competitve but just plodded on anyway(DT+27pts)(RT+85.5pts)

17th October

 143 Stratford-An open race but Mystic Court looks a touch of value.The shorter trip and very quick ground was against it last time but these conditions should suit it better.

Project Mars looks a vulnerable market leader to me,with just 1 win from 15 starts.

Clearly Capable would be a danger if it turned up fit and well.

Back Mystic Court 5pts at 10.0 at Paddys-5th(-5pts)Nicely placed throughout but very one paced when it mattered

403 Stratford-There are negatives against the selection,not least an indifferent record fresh but its got a rating from last season,that far exceeds anything else in the field has achieved,so im prepared to take a chance at a big price.

A record of 1 from 2 in class 5 races and 2w-2p-7r on good/good to soft ground mean there some positives for a horse that gets this trip well.

Blue N Yellow has got the ratings to figure but it tends to find very little at the business end.

Back Dylanseoghan 3pts at 19.0 at Paddys -UP(-3pts)Nowhere at any point(DT-8pts)(RT+58.5pts)

16th October

 No Selections

15th October

  226 Carlisle-This is a good race and quite competitive but I cant see why Kings Temptation is the price it is.Its won 4 of its last 5 starts and is still improving on my figures.If it can run close to its latest run then it should go very close.

Big danger for me is Looksnowtlikebrian,who has won 2 out of its 3 starts at this track,however,its habit of making mistakes at its fences could hold it back.Cage of Fear is unexposed but it needs to improve again to take this.

Back Kings Temptation 7pts at 6.5 (General)-Pulled up(-7pts)Lifeless performance(RT+66.5pts)

LIfetime Performance since start (+8630.92pts)

14th October

 420 Nottingham-Last years winner Wrenthorpe,looks all teed up to run well again here.

This horse clearly comes to life at this time of year(Oct/Nov 3w-4p-8r) and loves this track(3w-1p-4r),soft ground is no concern and as long as it doesnt get involved in a pace battle,it should go very close.

The Daley Express has to be respected with conditions ideal but a record of 0w-3p-11r in this class cannot be ignored while Sherpherds Way is thriving and should run well but its up in class and the price is tight enough.

Back Wrenthorpe 7pts at 6.5(General)-Won(+37.5pts)Led all the way and won a shade cosily.(Running Total+73.5pts)

13th October

 515 Newcastle-Theres no doubt George Ridsdale and Espeegee have fair chances here but surely the value lies with Nataleena.It ran poorly last time but that was on heavy ground ,which probably didnt suit and back at a track where its won twice and in a grade where its a force(Class 5 3w-2p-8r).

My only slight niggle is the trip,as it does stay further but hopefully the jockey will be in a position to utilise that stamina.

Back Nataleena 6 pts at 9.0(General) -UP(-6pts) Very weak in the betting and never put in the race.

630 Wolverhampton-Under its ideal conditions,Beau Geste should go close here.Its won on each of its 3 starts at this track ,Hollie Doyle is 3w-1p-4r on the horse and its 3w-2p-5r in this class.Its latest run should have blown away the cobwebs after lockdown and I would have this horse more a 7/4 chance.

Traveller looks a danger after a good win last time but a win record of 4 from 42 doesnt suggest a follow up while Berkshire Philly may still have some improvement in it.

Back Beau Geste 12pts at 4.0 at bet365-4th(-12pts)Far too keen and nothing left at the finish(DT-18pts)(Running Total +36pts)

12th October

  353 Yarmouth-After a couple of below par runs,James Park Woods bounced back to form last time and produced a rating that stands out here.This horse has hit the frame everytime its encountered soft ground,so I would expect it to go very close here.

Back James Park Woods 18pts at 3.0 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-18pts) Never really in the hunt.

630 Wolverhampton-Running Cloud should run well but I quite like the look of Gran Canal,who has been running at different trips but this could be ideal and after only 7 runs,this horse is still fairly unexposed.

Back Grand Canal 7pts at 7.5 at Bet365-UP(-7pts) Very one paced when it mattered.

800 Wolverhampton-Although its been doing nothing of late on the track,I cannot let Sha La La La Lee go unbacked,racing back at a track where it produced its best ever rating.Its the hit the frame in all 5 runs here and returns off a 14Ibs lower mark,so if it could bounce back then everythings in its favour.

Back Sha La La La Lee 3pts at 21.0 at Bet365-Won(25/1 BOG +75pts)(DT+50pts) Got a fine ride and the horse was gutsy for a great win. (Running Total+54pts)

11th October

 25 Goodwood-Probably a race that revolves around the short priced favourite Goshen,who didnt run up to its mark on its reappearance and could also have competition up front here..with these factors in place,I feel it needs to be taken on.

The value looks to be the lightly raced Natural History,who returned from over 700 days off to win a decent race last time.Its been given plenty of time to get over that,the trip,ground and jockey are fine and after just 6 runs ,it could improve again.

Its Good To Laugh has a stamina doubt,which is not what you want on this ground and Kings Caper,although has won on soft,the rating it produced that day,wasnt a particularly good one.

Back Natural History 12pts at 4.33 (General) -Won(+40pts) A fine ride from Murphy in not chasing the strong pace.

8th October

 210 Chepstow-A few unexposed types on show here but its hard to get away from Vorashann.Ive got it well clear on ratings after its easy win last week and anything close to that should be good enough.

Back Vorashann 12pts at 4.33 at Paddys/Betvictor-UP(-12pts) Hammered in the betting but ran no race at all.

555 Chepstow-Amateur put its unseat on its chase debut behind it,with a solid run last time over slightly further.I would expect another improved performance from a horse that won on its only other start at this track.I have got it clear favourite and the current price looks decent value.

Royal Magic is up in class but has been running well while Antony is well handicapped but was well out of nick ,the last time we saw it

Back Amateur 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365-PU(-10pts) Bang there when pulled up injured(DT-22pts)