2.22 Huntingdon-I have a very slight niggle regarding the trainers recent form but Bathiva looks to have a bit in hand here.Its unexposed over fences and its ratings were on an upward curve,when last seen.
Its adaptable ground wise and the trainer operates at a 33% strike rate here ,in recent times.
Lots Of Luck rates an obvious danger but it is up in class ,off a mark 9Ibs higher than its latest win,it needs to improve again.
A bigger danger could be Wenceslaus ,who ran well after a break last time.
Back Bathiva 14pts at 3.5 at Bet365-Won(+35pts)Won easily
345 Carlisle-This will be a test on this trip and ground.
Sams Adventure is respected with such a good record on heavy ground(4w-3p-8r),Sojourn is very lightly raced while Very First Time hails from a top yard but at a price,I could see Fortified Bay outrunning its odds.
Its 2w-1p-3r when returning from an absence of over 121 days like today and is 2w-1p-3r going right handed,the trainer is in decent nick and I am a big fan of the jockey.
Back Fortified Bay 5pts at 12.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-4th(-5pts)Ran quite well in desperate ground
Days Total +30pts
Running Total+188pts
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