310 Fontwell-Im not a big fan of a quick return to the track over the jumps and therefore,the fav College Oak may be vulnerable here.From a ratings perspective,its got a good chance but its a tight enough price for me.
Gustavian makes its handicap debut for a yard going well but again,the price is tight enough.
At bigger odds,I quite like the look of Mahlers Promise,who made its handicap debut last time,on its first run of the season and showed up well before weakening late on.
The rating it posted when winning a decent event at Newbury last term,heads my figures and it looks overpriced based on that.
Back Mahlers Promise 6pts at 9.0 at Bet365-Fell(-6pts)Cruised into it until tipping over at the last.Very Unlucky!
400 Newcastle-You have to respect Mustaarid,who did us a favour last week but its never raced here before and it may pay to take it on.
Dawaaleeb`s record at this track over a mile reads 1st-1st-3rd and that third was a week ago,when the draw appeared to count against it.It appeals as overpriced to me.
Back Dawaaleeb 10pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Skybet-Won(+40pts)A fine ride from the front got it done.
245 Warwick-Ebony Gale is unexposed over fences but needs to improve on my ratings to take this.
Write it Down is respected as a CD winner thats been running well but a record of 0w-1p-7r in this class puts me off.
This looks a decent opportunity for Jarlath ,whos 2w-1p-4r in November,is a two time course winner and will be more at home on this good ground,rather than the soft it encountered last time out.
Back Jarlath 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Paddys-3rd(-8pts)Ran a good race(DT+26pts)
Monthly Total+4pts
Running Total+162pts
No comments:
Post a Comment