625 Market Rasen-Pyracantha ran well after a break last time and posted the top rating,its record over 2m4f is 3wins-2places-9runs and on good ground 3wins-3places-7runs,it should run well.Unexposed Rebel Dancer is probably the main danger.
Back Pyracantha 8.5pts at 5.8-3rd(-8.5pts)
640 Bath-Cats Eyes has been a steady drifter on Betfair all morning which is a slight concern but its now got to a price where it has to be backed.This is quite a tight race ratings wise but Cats Eyes is 2/2 at the course,4wins-0places-7runs in fields of 9 or less,2/2 on good to soft,4wins-0places-7runs over 5f and 4wins-0places-6runs when appearing after a break of between 15 to 28 days.It has to be favourite surely.
Back Cats Eyes 9pts at 6.6-UP(-9pts)Led and went odds on in running but weakened tamely(Dt-17.5pts)
315 Beverley-Competitive race.I have Watheeq and Sheikhzayedroad very closely matched but with the small doubt about the ground for Watheeq,I will go for Sheikhzayedroad.
Back Shiekhzayedroad 7pts at 6.6-3rd(-7pts)Backed into jt fav but was held up out the back in a fairly slowly run race and the winner was always going to keep finding more.(DT-24.5pts)
710 Bath-There has to be doubt about Three Bards on the soft ground and im going to have a bit on Sula Two.3/4 at the course and 4/6 on ground softer than good,the trainer has won with 5 of his last 12 runners.Looks overpriced to me.
Back Sula Two 5.5pts at 12.0-3rd(-5.5pts)(DT-30pts)
Football
Leicester v Blackpool
Lay Leicester 30pts at 2.28-Lost to a very dubious penalty!!!(-38pts)(DT-68pts)
Running Total+3674.46pts
Any questions etc then please Email me at GARYBALDYSCOTT@AOL.COM Selections up by 9am...Tips advised from 1 to 30 pts.
30th August
320 Stratford-Only 4 runners but I have Olympian and Thats the Deal`s prices a different way round to the actual market.Difficult to see why Thats the Deal is so short as I have it a few Ibs short certainly of Olympians rating.
Back Olympian 10pts at 6.6-Won(1 non runner +45pts)
Days total minus commission+42.75pts
Monthly total+527.20pts
Running Total+3742.46pts)
Back Olympian 10pts at 6.6-Won(1 non runner +45pts)
Days total minus commission+42.75pts
Monthly total+527.20pts
Running Total+3742.46pts)
29th August
850 Kempton-Storm King`s ratings took a jolt forward on its 1st run on this surface and still looks well in enough to run very well again.
Back Storm king 9.5pts at 5.3-Won(+40.85)Won easily in the style of a very progressive horse.
Days total minus commission+38.80pts
Monthly Total+484.65pts
Running Total+3699.71pts
Back Storm king 9.5pts at 5.3-Won(+40.85)Won easily in the style of a very progressive horse.
Days total minus commission+38.80pts
Monthly Total+484.65pts
Running Total+3699.71pts
28th August
610 Sedgefield-Venture to War was in the process of running its best ever race when falling 2 out,that makes him look extremely well handicapped here.
Back Venture to War 20pts at 4.0 -UP(-20pts)
620 Southwell-Favourite Three White Socks ,despite going really well around here looks a bit vulnerable to me in this race.Im taking him on with Veloso,whos 4wins-1place-7runs around this track and 4wins-1place-9runs in fields of 9 or less.It just comes out on top of my ratings ahead of Mediterranean Sea and Cape Safari.
Back Veloso 10pts at 6.4-UP(-10pts)(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total+445.65pts
Running Total+3660.91pts
Back Venture to War 20pts at 4.0 -UP(-20pts)
620 Southwell-Favourite Three White Socks ,despite going really well around here looks a bit vulnerable to me in this race.Im taking him on with Veloso,whos 4wins-1place-7runs around this track and 4wins-1place-9runs in fields of 9 or less.It just comes out on top of my ratings ahead of Mediterranean Sea and Cape Safari.
Back Veloso 10pts at 6.4-UP(-10pts)(DT-30pts)
Monthly Total+445.65pts
Running Total+3660.91pts
27th Aug
235 Huntingdon-Changing the Guard has been running very consistently and there is a slight worry about actually putting its head infront despite churning out good ratings but it looks different class here.
Back Changing the Guard 12pts at 4.5 at bet365-Won(+42pts)
340 Epsom-Troopingthecolour is very solid as a consistent performer over the trip and a previous course winner(Big factor here) also 3 wins-2places-6runs in fields of 9 or less.The 3yos Mehdi and Rockinante are dangers but both have to prove themselves over the distance and the course
Back Troopingthecolour13pts at 4.0-3rd(-13pts)(DT+29pts)
435 Bangor-Good little race,The Mad Robertson is progressive and has a good chance but Ive got Short Takes alongside it on my tissue prices.its only had 4 runs and is still improving.
Back Short Takes 8pts at 7.6-3rd(-8pts)Ran really well and hit 1.4 in running,just missed the 2nd last hurdle and I feel that cost it.(DT+21pts)
Days total minus commission+19.95pts
Monthly Total+475.65pts
Running Total+3690.91pts
Back Changing the Guard 12pts at 4.5 at bet365-Won(+42pts)
340 Epsom-Troopingthecolour is very solid as a consistent performer over the trip and a previous course winner(Big factor here) also 3 wins-2places-6runs in fields of 9 or less.The 3yos Mehdi and Rockinante are dangers but both have to prove themselves over the distance and the course
Back Troopingthecolour13pts at 4.0-3rd(-13pts)(DT+29pts)
435 Bangor-Good little race,The Mad Robertson is progressive and has a good chance but Ive got Short Takes alongside it on my tissue prices.its only had 4 runs and is still improving.
Back Short Takes 8pts at 7.6-3rd(-8pts)Ran really well and hit 1.4 in running,just missed the 2nd last hurdle and I feel that cost it.(DT+21pts)
Days total minus commission+19.95pts
Monthly Total+475.65pts
Running Total+3690.91pts
26th August
Golf
The Barclays
Back Brandt Snedeker 5pts at 18.0-3rd(-5pts)
Johnnie Walker Championship
Back Paul Lawrie 35pts at 2.1-Won(38.5pts)
330 Beverley-Hadrians Rule is progressing nicely and should run really well here.
Back Hadrians Rule 8.5pts at 5.8-UP(-8.5pts)(DT+25pts)
305-Yarmouth-Lots of rain at the course overnight has turned the ground softish and there may be a turn up here.Mount Mayday is the obvious fav but at a much bigger price im going to go with Olney Lass,whos 2win-1place-8runs in fields of 0-9 runners,3wins-2places-8runs in class 6 races and 1win-2places-4runs on softish ground.
Back Olney Lass 6pts at 12.0-4th(-6pts)
415 Yarmouth-This looks all set up for last years winner Imaginary Diva,the rain is not a problem for it but is for Miss Polly Plum and it looks to have Crazy Too to beat.
Back Imaginary Diva(revised due to non runners)14pts at 3.5-3rd(-14pts)(DT+5pts)
The Barclays
Back Brandt Snedeker 5pts at 18.0-3rd(-5pts)
Johnnie Walker Championship
Back Paul Lawrie 35pts at 2.1-Won(38.5pts)
330 Beverley-Hadrians Rule is progressing nicely and should run really well here.
Back Hadrians Rule 8.5pts at 5.8-UP(-8.5pts)(DT+25pts)
305-Yarmouth-Lots of rain at the course overnight has turned the ground softish and there may be a turn up here.Mount Mayday is the obvious fav but at a much bigger price im going to go with Olney Lass,whos 2win-1place-8runs in fields of 0-9 runners,3wins-2places-8runs in class 6 races and 1win-2places-4runs on softish ground.
Back Olney Lass 6pts at 12.0-4th(-6pts)
415 Yarmouth-This looks all set up for last years winner Imaginary Diva,the rain is not a problem for it but is for Miss Polly Plum and it looks to have Crazy Too to beat.
Back Imaginary Diva(revised due to non runners)14pts at 3.5-3rd(-14pts)(DT+5pts)
25th August
430 Goodwood-Harris Tweed has a good chance but Im not sure there should be such a discrepancy in the prices between it and Electrolyser,The latter is 2/5 in listed races and likes the course and the bit of cut in the ground.Quest of Peace still has to prove its stamina over this trip.
Back Electrolyser 8pts at 7.0-2nd(-8pts)
520 York-The ground will possibly be too soft for Last Bid but its record over 5furlongs at York is 2 wins & 2 seconds from 4 runs,Ive got to have a little bit on as its such a massive price.
Back Last Bid 5pts at 22.0-4th(-5pts)(DT-13pts)
545 Windsor-Classic Falcon and Feelthedifference are solid but ive got Emmuska near them in my tissue.Its 2/4 in class 5 races and gets 1 mile on decent ground for the first time since its last win on turf.
Back Emmuska 5.5pts at 10.0-4th(-5.5pts) Didnt get the decent ground I was hoping for as some heavy showers hit the course )DT-18.5pts)
745 Windsor-There are enough doubts about the market leaders to have a bit on Quixote,whos 1 win-4places-5 runs in fields of 9 or less and will definitely handle the soft ground,its only win came over 12f and it looks overpriced to me with a first time tongue tie applied.
Back Quixote 8pts at 7.6-2nd(-8pts)Hit 1.24 in running and just got nutted on the line to continue the frustrating run of 2nd place finishes(-26.5pts)
Monthly Total+450.7pts
Running Total+3665.96pts
Back Electrolyser 8pts at 7.0-2nd(-8pts)
520 York-The ground will possibly be too soft for Last Bid but its record over 5furlongs at York is 2 wins & 2 seconds from 4 runs,Ive got to have a little bit on as its such a massive price.
Back Last Bid 5pts at 22.0-4th(-5pts)(DT-13pts)
545 Windsor-Classic Falcon and Feelthedifference are solid but ive got Emmuska near them in my tissue.Its 2/4 in class 5 races and gets 1 mile on decent ground for the first time since its last win on turf.
Back Emmuska 5.5pts at 10.0-4th(-5.5pts) Didnt get the decent ground I was hoping for as some heavy showers hit the course )DT-18.5pts)
745 Windsor-There are enough doubts about the market leaders to have a bit on Quixote,whos 1 win-4places-5 runs in fields of 9 or less and will definitely handle the soft ground,its only win came over 12f and it looks overpriced to me with a first time tongue tie applied.
Back Quixote 8pts at 7.6-2nd(-8pts)Hit 1.24 in running and just got nutted on the line to continue the frustrating run of 2nd place finishes(-26.5pts)
Monthly Total+450.7pts
Running Total+3665.96pts
24th August
210 Ffos Las-Alborz is an improving 3yo and is a very solid fav but James Pollard is also respected,these 2 should fight out the finish as ive got Bold Cuffs with a few Ibs to find.
Lay Bold Cuffs 30pts at 4.0-2nd(+30pts)Race fell apart and Bold Cuffs still couldnt win,kept ducking in behind.A horse I wouldnt have a problem in taking on again.
330 Newmarket-Gassin Golf is well clear of my ratings with the rest of the field all around the same rating,it clearly stands out.
Back Gassin Golf 12pts at 4.0 Non Runner
430 Ffos Las-A very competitve race but I have to have a bit on Made in Time.Its 2/2 at this course and when racing after a break of 80 days or more(like today) its 3 wins from 3.It may find this class too much but the price is surely too big.
Back Made in Time 6pts at 12.0-2nd(-6pts)Well backed and ran a stormer(hit an in running low of 1.3)Jumped to its right over the last 6 fences defintely cost it certain victory.(+24pts)
Days total minus commission+22.8pts
Monthly Total+477.20pts
Running Total+3692.46pts
Lay Bold Cuffs 30pts at 4.0-2nd(+30pts)Race fell apart and Bold Cuffs still couldnt win,kept ducking in behind.A horse I wouldnt have a problem in taking on again.
330 Newmarket-Gassin Golf is well clear of my ratings with the rest of the field all around the same rating,it clearly stands out.
Back Gassin Golf 12pts at 4.0 Non Runner
430 Ffos Las-A very competitve race but I have to have a bit on Made in Time.Its 2/2 at this course and when racing after a break of 80 days or more(like today) its 3 wins from 3.It may find this class too much but the price is surely too big.
Back Made in Time 6pts at 12.0-2nd(-6pts)Well backed and ran a stormer(hit an in running low of 1.3)Jumped to its right over the last 6 fences defintely cost it certain victory.(+24pts)
Days total minus commission+22.8pts
Monthly Total+477.20pts
Running Total+3692.46pts
23rd August
425 Ffos Las-Decoy is top rated and is 2/2 in fields of 8 and less while Ivan Vasilevich has put some solid ratings together.Dealing River achieved a good rating last time and is even better in small fields(2win-1place-3runs) so this leaves Lieutenant Miller vulnerable,not proven on softer ground and pulled up last time.
Lay Lieutenant Miller 30pts at 5.5-2nd(+30pts)
455 Ffos Las-West with the Wind goes really well here(4 wins from 5 runs)and is respected but Nobunaga is consistent and progressive and has conditions in its favour,I have it clear top rated.
Back Nobunaga 25pts at 3.25-3rd(-25pts)Got to be disappointed with this run.The front 2 just kicked away.(DT+5pts)
Days total minus commission+4.75pts
Monthly Total+454.40pts
Running Total+3669.66pts
Lay Lieutenant Miller 30pts at 5.5-2nd(+30pts)
455 Ffos Las-West with the Wind goes really well here(4 wins from 5 runs)and is respected but Nobunaga is consistent and progressive and has conditions in its favour,I have it clear top rated.
Back Nobunaga 25pts at 3.25-3rd(-25pts)Got to be disappointed with this run.The front 2 just kicked away.(DT+5pts)
Days total minus commission+4.75pts
Monthly Total+454.40pts
Running Total+3669.66pts
22nd August
730 Newton Abbot-A pretty weak race with solid form pretty thin on the ground but Legends Lass does look to me like it should be fav on my ratings.A course and Distance winner that ran well last time and is 2Ibs below its last winning mark.The Foxs Decree looks the main danger.
Back Legends Lass 10pts at 7.0-2nd(-10pts)Ran a great race and traded at odds on but went down by a neck for another 2nd place finish.
Monthly Total+449.65pts
Running Total+3664.89pts
Back Legends Lass 10pts at 7.0-2nd(-10pts)Ran a great race and traded at odds on but went down by a neck for another 2nd place finish.
Monthly Total+449.65pts
Running Total+3664.89pts
21st August
305 Yarmouth-A couple of improvers may improve past Three Bards but i really like the solid and consistent Bards,its last 4 runs all over this trip have seen its ratings vastly improve.
Back Three Bards 15pts at 4.7-2nd(-15pts)Called this correctly price wise,ended up being very well backed and just failed to hold on.
345 Brighton-Encountering fast ground for the first time saw Between Us produce a vastly improved performance putting it 9 Ilbs clear on my ratings.
Back Between Us 25pts at 3.0-Won(+50pts)Got matched in running as it looked in trouble but stayed on strongly(DT+35pts)
520 Worcester-Allerford Jack is obviously the one to beat but it does look a little short to me.Park Lane is progressive and showed battling qualities to win last time,its price looks far too big.
Back Park Lane 7pts at 8.0-2nd(-7pts)Ran another good race & looked the likely winner between the last 2 fences but the fav came home strongly.(DT+28pts)
Days total minus commission+26.60pts
Monthly Total+459.65pts
Running Total+3674.89pts
Back Three Bards 15pts at 4.7-2nd(-15pts)Called this correctly price wise,ended up being very well backed and just failed to hold on.
345 Brighton-Encountering fast ground for the first time saw Between Us produce a vastly improved performance putting it 9 Ilbs clear on my ratings.
Back Between Us 25pts at 3.0-Won(+50pts)Got matched in running as it looked in trouble but stayed on strongly(DT+35pts)
520 Worcester-Allerford Jack is obviously the one to beat but it does look a little short to me.Park Lane is progressive and showed battling qualities to win last time,its price looks far too big.
Back Park Lane 7pts at 8.0-2nd(-7pts)Ran another good race & looked the likely winner between the last 2 fences but the fav came home strongly.(DT+28pts)
Days total minus commission+26.60pts
Monthly Total+459.65pts
Running Total+3674.89pts
19th August
330 Southwell-Monterey has that look today for me.First time in a handicap and stepping up in trip.The horse is travelling over from Ireland and they have booked Paddy Brennan to ride.Maiden to handicap form doesnt always convert satisfactorily but ive got this 10Ibs clear.
Back Monterey 10pts at 6.0-UP(-10pts)Strong in the market but jumped poorly.
545 Pontefract-I have 2 prices different on my tissue to the ones available and they concern Yankee Storm and Above the Stars.The latter is fav but shouldnt be as it still has very little pattern or consistency in its form also 0/4 at the trip while Yankee Storm has produced 4 very consistent ratings that would put it bang there,it should definitely be favourite in my opinion.
Back Yankee Storm 8.5pts at 6.0-Non Runner
Monthly Total+433.05
Running Total+3648.29pts
Back Monterey 10pts at 6.0-UP(-10pts)Strong in the market but jumped poorly.
545 Pontefract-I have 2 prices different on my tissue to the ones available and they concern Yankee Storm and Above the Stars.The latter is fav but shouldnt be as it still has very little pattern or consistency in its form also 0/4 at the trip while Yankee Storm has produced 4 very consistent ratings that would put it bang there,it should definitely be favourite in my opinion.
Back Yankee Storm 8.5pts at 6.0-Non Runner
Monthly Total+433.05
Running Total+3648.29pts
18th August
3.0 Chester-Im happy to take on Address Unknown here,Ive got it a few Ilbs behind a few.Scatter Dice is very solid,joint top rated and 3wins-2places from 6 runs in fields of 9 or less also 2/3 in class 2 races,he looks sure to run well.Kiama Bay is a bit more dark but is also excellent in 9 runners or less (3win-3places-7runs),its rating from 5 runs back puts it right there and the last 4 runs have all been in bigger fields than todays.Lieutenant Kojak is progressive and also happiest in smaller fields(3wins-1place-6runs),so all in all I have Address Unknown at the 12/1 mark.
Lay Address Unknown 30pts at 6.0
Lay Address Unknown 30pts at 6.0
17th August
230 Newcastle-Operation Tracer is very unexposed at todays trip and its rating clearly improved when stepped up to it.If it can run anything close to it again,it should take the beating.
Back Operation Tracer 11pts at 4.8-2nd(-11pts)Ran a good race,hit 1.15 in running and got nutted right on the line :-(
335 Newcastle-Decent little race with Able Master,Dr Red Eye and Discression all having chances but im going to side with Triple Eight who I have as fav on my tissue despite the slight query in the drop back in trip.
Back Triple Eight 9pts at 6.4-UP(-9pts)
430 Newbury-Byton is progressing with each run and looks well handicapped and must run well.
Back Byton 10pts at 4.5-UP(-10pts)(DT-30pts)
535 Catterick-Decent race of its type with Tinseltown and Tidal Run all respected.Call of Duty gets the nod,top rated with consistent ratings and 2wins-2places-6runs in fields of 9 or less.
Back Call of Duty 8pts at 6.0 -UP(8pts)Round the outside the whole way round,was never going to win.Poor Day(-8pts)(DT-38pts)
Monthly Total+414.55pts
Running Total+3634.79pts
Back Operation Tracer 11pts at 4.8-2nd(-11pts)Ran a good race,hit 1.15 in running and got nutted right on the line :-(
335 Newcastle-Decent little race with Able Master,Dr Red Eye and Discression all having chances but im going to side with Triple Eight who I have as fav on my tissue despite the slight query in the drop back in trip.
Back Triple Eight 9pts at 6.4-UP(-9pts)
430 Newbury-Byton is progressing with each run and looks well handicapped and must run well.
Back Byton 10pts at 4.5-UP(-10pts)(DT-30pts)
535 Catterick-Decent race of its type with Tinseltown and Tidal Run all respected.Call of Duty gets the nod,top rated with consistent ratings and 2wins-2places-6runs in fields of 9 or less.
Back Call of Duty 8pts at 6.0 -UP(8pts)Round the outside the whole way round,was never going to win.Poor Day(-8pts)(DT-38pts)
Monthly Total+414.55pts
Running Total+3634.79pts
16th August
230 Beverley-Loads of dead wood here despite the size of field.I make this a 3 horse race,Dean Iarracht goes really well at this course(3wins-1place-5runs) but is the right price,Shy`s last 2 ratings give him a chance but I like Valentino Oyster ,who achieved joint top rated with its last run over 10f but has a much better one from last season over 12f and this is its first run over the trip this season.Other positiives are in fields of 10-15 runners(4win-2places-10runs),course(1win-1place-2runs) and class 6 races(5wins-2places-15runs)
Back Valentino Oyster 6pts at 9.0-Won(+48pts)Stayed on well and I did give you the tri-cast,what more could you want :-)
430 Salisbury-Full Shilling`s best rating was achieved over 6f and on soft ground,it gets these conditions today also jockey James Doyle is 3/3 on the horse.Market Rival Represent also likes 6f on soft but is 0wins-1place-8runs in class 5 races.
Back Full Shilling 12pts at 4.3-UP(-12pts)(DT+36pts)
Days total minus commission+34.2pts
Monthly total+452,55pts
Running Total+452.55pts
Back Valentino Oyster 6pts at 9.0-Won(+48pts)Stayed on well and I did give you the tri-cast,what more could you want :-)
430 Salisbury-Full Shilling`s best rating was achieved over 6f and on soft ground,it gets these conditions today also jockey James Doyle is 3/3 on the horse.Market Rival Represent also likes 6f on soft but is 0wins-1place-8runs in class 5 races.
Back Full Shilling 12pts at 4.3-UP(-12pts)(DT+36pts)
Days total minus commission+34.2pts
Monthly total+452,55pts
Running Total+452.55pts
15th August
425 Beverley-The threat of heavy rain could mean some non runners but even so,I like Kalk Bay here,rain wouldnt bother it and its ratings have steadily progressed all season.Its record 2/4 in fields of 0-9 runners and 3/3 in the month of August just add to its appeal.
Back Kalk Bay 11pts at 4.7-Won(+40.7pts)The good news is it absolutely hosed up,the bad news is for some unknown reason it drfited out to 5/1,which was just a stupid price ,so did not get the value here.Why Tres Coronas was fav ,I have no idea.
Days total minus commission+38.66
Monthly Total+418.35pts
Running Total+3640.59pts
Back Kalk Bay 11pts at 4.7-Won(+40.7pts)The good news is it absolutely hosed up,the bad news is for some unknown reason it drfited out to 5/1,which was just a stupid price ,so did not get the value here.Why Tres Coronas was fav ,I have no idea.
Days total minus commission+38.66
Monthly Total+418.35pts
Running Total+3640.59pts
14th August
450 Ayr-Slightly shocked not to see Nasharra as a short priced fav.Its miles clear on its last run plus 2/3 in class 5 races with no negatives,it wont even mind if theres rain.Sovereign Street should follow it home.
Back Nasharra 20pts at 5.0 at Paddy Power-4th(-20pts)Got to be disappointed with this run,jockey gave it every chance.
535 Yarmouth-With Elusive Hawk now a non runner,this looks at the mercy at Dannios.Its 4/4 at Yarmouth,2/2 in fields of 0-9 runners and 1/1 over the distance.
Back Dannios 20pts at 3.25-Won(+45pts)Started slowly but flew home(DT+25pts)
Days total minus commission+23.75pts
Monthly Total+379.69pts
Running Total+3601.93pts
Back Nasharra 20pts at 5.0 at Paddy Power-4th(-20pts)Got to be disappointed with this run,jockey gave it every chance.
535 Yarmouth-With Elusive Hawk now a non runner,this looks at the mercy at Dannios.Its 4/4 at Yarmouth,2/2 in fields of 0-9 runners and 1/1 over the distance.
Back Dannios 20pts at 3.25-Won(+45pts)Started slowly but flew home(DT+25pts)
Days total minus commission+23.75pts
Monthly Total+379.69pts
Running Total+3601.93pts
13th August
520 Ffos Las-Alborz stands out here,its well clear on ratings and faces many opponents that have lots of stamina doubts.
Back Albortz 20pts at 4.0-Won(+50pts *2 non runners*)
350 Ffos Las-Ive got this between Red Rhythm and My Meteor with the latter preferred because of its ability to handle the ground better and its a bigger price.
Back My Meteor 10pts at 5.5-Won(+45pts)
530 Kempton-Really dont see Brigadoon having as good a chance as the market suggests.Its record of 0wins-1place-7runs in fields of 0-9 runners plus looks to need longer than this between its races.Spartan Spirit should run well and I also give chances to Bennelong,Passion Play & Tilsworth Glenboy.
Lay Brigadoon 30pts at 4.5-Won(-105pts) Managed to trade out at 25s as Spartan Spirit came cutting through but still surprised that Brigadoon won.Will obviously count it as a loser for the blog though.(DT-10pts)
Monthly Total+355.94pts
Running Total+3578.18pts
Back Albortz 20pts at 4.0-Won(+50pts *2 non runners*)
350 Ffos Las-Ive got this between Red Rhythm and My Meteor with the latter preferred because of its ability to handle the ground better and its a bigger price.
Back My Meteor 10pts at 5.5-Won(+45pts)
530 Kempton-Really dont see Brigadoon having as good a chance as the market suggests.Its record of 0wins-1place-7runs in fields of 0-9 runners plus looks to need longer than this between its races.Spartan Spirit should run well and I also give chances to Bennelong,Passion Play & Tilsworth Glenboy.
Lay Brigadoon 30pts at 4.5-Won(-105pts) Managed to trade out at 25s as Spartan Spirit came cutting through but still surprised that Brigadoon won.Will obviously count it as a loser for the blog though.(DT-10pts)
Monthly Total+355.94pts
Running Total+3578.18pts
12th August
415 Leicester-Not many that can be fancied and Come Hither is the obvious fav but is very very short.Hopefully there will be no non runners so Marinus has a decent chance grabbing some place money at least,this trip suits it better than last time.
Back Marinus 5pts EW at 6.0 at Bet 365-3rd(-10pts)There was a non runner and yes of course it came 3rd,just missing out in a photo for 2nd.
445 Leicester-Two Turtle Doves is a very solid fav here while Overwhelm is one to keep an eye on with Hanagan booked.Irish Boy is interesting with a good record(2wins-1place-5runs) in class 6 races and (3wins-1place-8runs) in fields of 9 or less.Liberty Ship has a bit to find on my ratings and the trainer is struggling for winners.
Lay Liberty Ship 30pts at 5.0-UP(+30pts)(DT+20pts)
Golf
USPGA
Lay Ian Poulter 30pts at 5.0-(+30pts)(DT+50pts)
Days total minus commission+47.50pts
Monthly Total+365.94pts
Running Total+3588.18pts
Back Marinus 5pts EW at 6.0 at Bet 365-3rd(-10pts)There was a non runner and yes of course it came 3rd,just missing out in a photo for 2nd.
445 Leicester-Two Turtle Doves is a very solid fav here while Overwhelm is one to keep an eye on with Hanagan booked.Irish Boy is interesting with a good record(2wins-1place-5runs) in class 6 races and (3wins-1place-8runs) in fields of 9 or less.Liberty Ship has a bit to find on my ratings and the trainer is struggling for winners.
Lay Liberty Ship 30pts at 5.0-UP(+30pts)(DT+20pts)
Golf
USPGA
Lay Ian Poulter 30pts at 5.0-(+30pts)(DT+50pts)
Days total minus commission+47.50pts
Monthly Total+365.94pts
Running Total+3588.18pts
11th August
745 Lingfield-Small doubt about the surface but its not aone in that.Any reproduction of its last rating wins this.
Back Baaheja 11pts at 4.2-Won(+30.25pts*1 non runner*)
605 Ayr-There really is nothing solid at the front of the market,so will have a bit on Argentine whos last win came over CD.
Back Argentine 5pts at 14.0-Won(+65pts)Lovely!(DT+95.25pts)
Days total minus commission+90.48pts
Monthly Total+318.44pts
Running Total+3540.68pts
605 Ayr-There really is nothing solid at the front of the market,so will have a bit on Argentine whos last win came over CD.
Back Argentine 5pts at 14.0-Won(+65pts)Lovely!(DT+95.25pts)
Days total minus commission+90.48pts
Monthly Total+318.44pts
Running Total+3540.68pts
10th August
230 Musselburgh-Luctor Emergo has drifted to a big price considering most of these struggle to win.
Back Luctor Emergo 8pts at 7.6-4th(-8pts)
330 Musselburgh-A race that looks to between Bradbury and Sohcahtoa although Spruzzo isnt without a chance.Royal Bonsai has no great record fresh,0/6 in small fields and just 1 place from 5 runs in class 5 races.
Lay Royal Bonsai 30pts at 5.3-2nd(+30pts)
410 Brighton-Thought i had posted this(i did manage to post it here on OLBG before the race http://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=41472&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=48)
but for some reason it hadnt come up on here.It was top rated and progressive...not that that helps anyone but I backed it so it goes on the account.
Back Dance for Georgie 15pts at 3.35-Won(+35.75pts)(DT+57.75pts)
Days total minus commission+54.86
Monthly Total+227.96pts
Running Total+3450.20pts
Back Luctor Emergo 8pts at 7.6-4th(-8pts)
330 Musselburgh-A race that looks to between Bradbury and Sohcahtoa although Spruzzo isnt without a chance.Royal Bonsai has no great record fresh,0/6 in small fields and just 1 place from 5 runs in class 5 races.
Lay Royal Bonsai 30pts at 5.3-2nd(+30pts)
410 Brighton-Thought i had posted this(i did manage to post it here on OLBG before the race http://www.olbg.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=41472&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=48)
but for some reason it hadnt come up on here.It was top rated and progressive...not that that helps anyone but I backed it so it goes on the account.
Back Dance for Georgie 15pts at 3.35-Won(+35.75pts)(DT+57.75pts)
Days total minus commission+54.86
Monthly Total+227.96pts
Running Total+3450.20pts
8th August
510 Newcastle-A race where the market leaders are all very vulnerable.Im going to have a little bit on Brave Battle,who ideally would like softer ground but both its win have come in races of 9 runners or less,its has a record of 1 win and 2 places from 7 runs in class 6 races and in its 2 runs at the course,its finished 1st and 3rd.
Back Brave Battle 5pts at 17.0-3rd(-5pts)Nicely backed into 7.0 and ran a decent race.
630 Kempton-Quite a lot of these arent proven on this track so the fact top rated Gallipot has no form here is no real concern.Its been steadily improving and if handling the surface,must go close.
Back Gallipot 15pts at 3.5-Won(+37.5pts)Won in good style(DT+32.5pts)
650 Yarmouth-The ground has dried out for Elusive Hawk who goes very well at the course(2wins-2places-7runs),it also has a very unusual stat in its favour.When carrying beween 9st8 and 10st its record is 5wins-1place-7runs against a record of 0wins-3places-20runs when carrying less than 9st 8.
Back Elusive Hawk 10pts at 3.5-2nd(-10pts)Strong late run but just didnt quite get there,going down by a short head.(DT+22.5pts)
Days total minus commission+21.37pts
Monthly Total+173.1pts
Running Total+3395.34pts
Back Brave Battle 5pts at 17.0-3rd(-5pts)Nicely backed into 7.0 and ran a decent race.
630 Kempton-Quite a lot of these arent proven on this track so the fact top rated Gallipot has no form here is no real concern.Its been steadily improving and if handling the surface,must go close.
Back Gallipot 15pts at 3.5-Won(+37.5pts)Won in good style(DT+32.5pts)
650 Yarmouth-The ground has dried out for Elusive Hawk who goes very well at the course(2wins-2places-7runs),it also has a very unusual stat in its favour.When carrying beween 9st8 and 10st its record is 5wins-1place-7runs against a record of 0wins-3places-20runs when carrying less than 9st 8.
Back Elusive Hawk 10pts at 3.5-2nd(-10pts)Strong late run but just didnt quite get there,going down by a short head.(DT+22.5pts)
Days total minus commission+21.37pts
Monthly Total+173.1pts
Running Total+3395.34pts
7th August
340 Wolverhampton-A race that should only concern Bridgehampton and Courtesy Call.The former is going well but isnt proven on this surface and its a little surprising that its in front Courtesy Call in the betting.
Back Courtesy Call 14pts at 3.6-Won(1 non runner)(+32.70pts)
Days total minus commission+31.13pts
Monthly Total+151.77pts
Running Total+3373.97pts
Back Courtesy Call 14pts at 3.6-Won(1 non runner)(+32.70pts)
Days total minus commission+31.13pts
Monthly Total+151.77pts
Running Total+3373.97pts
5th August
430 Market Rasen-Prince Des Marais put up easily the best rating last time and something similar should be good enough and the price the evening before is massive at Bet365.The 3.5 at Paddy Power is far more realistic.Fennis Boy is 2 out of 2 at the course and looks the main danger.
Back Prince Des Marais 15pts at 6/0 at Bet365-Identified that it was a value price as it went off the 3.0 fav but just didnt run upto expectations(-15pts)
Monthly Total+120.64pts
Running Total+3342.84pts
Back Prince Des Marais 15pts at 6/0 at Bet365-Identified that it was a value price as it went off the 3.0 fav but just didnt run upto expectations(-15pts)
Monthly Total+120.64pts
Running Total+3342.84pts
4th August
405 Newmarket-This looks between Tazahum and Bridgefield with Dance and Dance being a fair bit behind on my ratings.
Lay Dance and Dance 50pts at 5.0-UP(+50pts)
525 Thirsk-Unless Native Colony recaptures some form with the change of headgear then this looks between Bowdlers Magic,Waterford Star(3/3 over 2m) and Come here Yew with the latter being the biggest price and also still unexposed over the distance.
Back Come Here yew 6.5pts at 10.0-UP(-6.5pts)The dropped in class Bowdlers magic was in a different league.(DT+43.5pts)
Days total minus commission+41.32pts
Monthly Total+135.64pts
Running Total+3357.84pts
Lay Dance and Dance 50pts at 5.0-UP(+50pts)
525 Thirsk-Unless Native Colony recaptures some form with the change of headgear then this looks between Bowdlers Magic,Waterford Star(3/3 over 2m) and Come here Yew with the latter being the biggest price and also still unexposed over the distance.
Back Come Here yew 6.5pts at 10.0-UP(-6.5pts)The dropped in class Bowdlers magic was in a different league.(DT+43.5pts)
Days total minus commission+41.32pts
Monthly Total+135.64pts
Running Total+3357.84pts
3rd August
545 Thirsk-Chosen one is pretty solid but is definitely better at 5f than this trip.Needie McCreddie should also be about but Ice Trooper hopefully will put in a decent display.
710 Bath-The 2 unexposed horses,Future Security & Dreams of Fire head up the market and may well improve past Instrumentalist but if it produces its last time out rating then it will go close.
Back Instrumentalist 12pts at 5.0 at bet365-3rd(-12pts)Ran well but maybe the showers that hit the course may have made the difference.(DT+73.5pts)
Days total minus commission+69.82pts
Monthly Total+94.32pts
Running Total+3316.52pts
Back Ice Trooper 8pts at 9.0-UP(-8pts)
355 Bangor-Bay Central & Otto Quercus are the main dangers to the selection,who has only had 1 run over fences & any improvement would give it a big chance.
Back Beidh Tine Anseo 9pts at 5.7-UP(-9pts)Jumped the 2nd last disputing the lead but weakened badly.Impossible result to predict.(DT-17pts)
605 Bangor-Following on from the other day when keltic Crisis was put up,it is out to run again with the ground now firmly in its favour,it should win
Back keltic Crisis 30pts at 3.0-Won(+60pts)Won easily(DT+43pts)
6.0 Bath-Represent won last time over 7f so still has it too prove over todays mile.It also needs to find about 7Ilbs improvement to get past Rhagori & Miss Cap Estel.
Lay Represent 50pts at 3.5-UP(+50pts)The correct result with the right 2 fighting out the finish(DT+93pts)
720 Musselburgh-Competitve race in which Royal Straight although having a chance ,looks a bit short.Call of Duty achieved a good rating last time but really does want very fast ground but if the rain stays away,its a big danger.Sangar wont mind a bit of rain & has a record of 2 wins from 5 races in fields of 9 or less.
Back Sangar 7.5pts at 9.0-3rd(-7.5pts)Very well backed into 6.0 & hit 1.10 in running but just got swallowed up late.(DT+85.5pts)
720 Musselburgh-Competitve race in which Royal Straight although having a chance ,looks a bit short.Call of Duty achieved a good rating last time but really does want very fast ground but if the rain stays away,its a big danger.Sangar wont mind a bit of rain & has a record of 2 wins from 5 races in fields of 9 or less.
Back Sangar 7.5pts at 9.0-3rd(-7.5pts)Very well backed into 6.0 & hit 1.10 in running but just got swallowed up late.(DT+85.5pts)
Back Instrumentalist 12pts at 5.0 at bet365-3rd(-12pts)Ran well but maybe the showers that hit the course may have made the difference.(DT+73.5pts)
Days total minus commission+69.82pts
Monthly Total+94.32pts
Running Total+3316.52pts
2nd August
315 Goodwood-Very hard to see why Simeon is so near the front of the market here.Ive got him nearly a stone off Saddlers Rock.Also 0 out of 5 in group races,he looks much too short.
Lay Simeon 50pts at 5.5-UP(+50pts)
Days total minus commission+47.5pts
Monthly Total+24.50pts
Running Total+3246.70pts
Lay Simeon 50pts at 5.5-UP(+50pts)
Days total minus commission+47.5pts
Monthly Total+24.50pts
Running Total+3246.70pts
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