31st August

240 Worcester-This is a good race with several in form contenders but there appears to be lots of pace in this race and it could be set up for a finisher.

Its the ideal scenario for Bullet Street,who produced a career best rating last time and also the clear best speed figure.

That rating gives it a far better chance than the current odds suggest.Its the favourite in my prices.

Theres a host of dangers,Able Deputy represents McCoy and Kim Bailey who are 13/33 when teaming up.

Irish raider Big Generator must have a decent chance after making this journey while Sedgemoor Express is improving but jumped badly out to its right last time.

Back Bullet Street 7pts at 6.5 at Bet365/Paddys/Betfair Sportsbook(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Hammered into fav but just didnt get into it.

410 Worcester-Its took a while for Ted Dolly to find its feet since crossing the sea to England but last time out,switched back to hurdles after a few poor runs over fences(A discipline its never excelled at) it ran easily its best race for a long time.

That rating gives it a decent chance and it is now 3Ibs below its last winning mark.

Throughout its career however,its always been an inconsistent performer,so it may not back that last run up but at a huge price,its worth taking the chance.

Given its profile,its not an each way proposition in my opinion.

Ittirad is rock solid and has to be involved in the finish while it can only be the connections that mean Strongly Suggested is the price it is.

Back Ted Dolly 4pts at 17.0 at Bet365/betvictor(Accept 12.0)-Non Runner

Back Pure Style 9pts at 5.5-4th(-9pts)(DT-16pts)Underwhelming finish to a very poor month.

Monthly Total-105.74pts

Running Total+7083.91pts

30th August

530 Sandown-The non runners have opened this race up and im very interested in First Post`s chance.

This horse has won 3 times at this track,wants soft ground,is at its best from July onwards and is a force when dropped back into a class 4 like today.

If you take its runs from July onwards,in this grade and on soft ground,you get form figures of 5th-1st-1st-3rd-1st.

Pretty good but if you then add on when Dane O`Neill is booked to ride then the form figures become 1st-1st-1st.

He hasnt been onboard of late but he is today.

Norway Cross and Telefono are both lightly raced and are respected.

Back First Post 5pts each way at 8.0 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-10pts)Ground firmed up a bit and the horse just never finished its race off.

6.0 Market Rasen-Jonjo O`Neill`s horses are in fine form (9 winners from last 18 runners) and he has won this race 3 times in the last 7 years,so his runner Old Pals Act has plenty going for it.

Its 1 from 1 at this track and I particularly like it when this trainer steps one up in trip like this one is.Its a rock solid favourite.

Strumble Head came back to form last time and this is its time of year(August/September 5w-2p-11r) but it looks on a tough handicap mark now.

Ballinroab looks the main danger to me as its best going right handed(3w-1p-9r) but this horse is none too reliable and I prefer Old Pals Act.

Back Old Pals Act 14pts at 3.5 at paddys(Accept 3.25)-Won(46.2pts *Best odds guranteed*)(DT+36.2pts)

Monthly Total-89.74pts

Running Total+7099.91pts

25th August

405 Cartmel-Its up in class but I think Presenting Junior is improving,its rating and speed figure on its latest victory suggests it can hold its own in this grade and as a previous course winner(And the trainer thought it should have won its other start at this venue),it should go well on such a specialist track.

Big Sound has been in consistently good form but prefers a galloping track and may find the twists and sharp turns here,not to its liking(Sharp Tracks 0w-1p-8r).

Balbriggan has to be respected form the Gordon Elliot yard while Dark Glacier represents a yard that have won this race twice in the last 4 years.

Back Presenting Junior 8pts at 6.0 at Boyles(Accept 5.5)-3rd(-8pts)Ran well but not quite good enough

345-Epsom-Saeed Bin Suroor has won this race 5 times in the last 8 years and looks set for another good go at winning it with Haafaguinea.

This horse hasnt raced for 207 days but is at its best fresh(First time out form figures 1st-1st-2nd)

Its 2w-0p-2r in fields of 9 or less like this and Ryan Moore is booked to ride.

Fattsota won this race last year and is the clear danger for me.

Back Haafaguinea 12pts at 4.3 at Betvictor(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Never in it in awful conditions.

305 Warwick-I expect the rain to come and that will be right up Gracie`s Games street.This horse is in foal at the moment and that has brought about a burst of decent form.

John Spearing has won this race twice in the last 6 years and I would expect this to go close.

This is a gambling yard,so you would want it to be strong in the market.

Divertimenti won last time but the forecast rain wont suit and that comment applies to many of the field.

Back Gracie`s Games 13pts at 4.0 at Betvictor(Accept 3.5)-UP(-13pts)Just another in a long line of below par runs this month.Awful month and time for a break.(DT-33pts)

Monthly Total-125.94pts

Running Toytal+7063.71pts

24th August

315 Yarmouth-Its chance isnt obvious but the price tells you that.However,Mezmaar is tumbling down the weights and on its third run after a long absence last time,posted a rating that isnt far off the best of these.

It has a good 7Ib claimer booked to ride and could just cause an upset.The price is just too big

Speciality looks sure to run well although it will have competition for the lead in Jonnie Skull while Desert Ranger has Ryan Moore booked to ride(6 from 15 for the yard) and that obviously catches the eye although its never raced over this far before.

Pleasure Bent is the other that shouldnt be far away.

Back Mezmaar 4pts at 17.0 at Betvictor/Corals(Accept 13.0)-UP(-4pts)Weak in the market and ran poor.

415 Goodwood-Muteela is improving and has a good draw,its the obvious favourite but its plenty short enough.

Professor represents a yard that have won this in 3 of the last 5 years and at its best,it holds every chance but at a bigger price,I can see Steeler running well.

This horse drops in trip which should suit and if it can deal with the tricky draw then it should be there at the finish.

It likes the track(2w-0p-3r) and loves this time of year(August/September 3w-1p-5r) plus its 3w-1p-7r when returning to the track within 28 days.

Its the value in a good race.

Back Steeler 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Ladbrokes/Betfair sportsbook(Accept 6.0)-UP(-7pts)Well backed...finished last!(DT-11pts)

23rd August

645 Windsor-The race revolves around Al Kazeem,who if at its best,would win this but after a failed spell as a stallion,it returned in July to run about 20Ibs below its best.

I would expect it to improve a bit for that but all the comments from its trainer have suggested,this isnt the horse he trained last year.

If that is the case then this race opens up totally for True Story.

This horse has had some tough tasks in group races and will appreciate the drop into Listed class where its 1 from 1.

The trainer has a 26% strike rate at this track and has won this race 3 times in the last 10 years.

Back True Story 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies.(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-14pts)

22nd August

230 York-I have to say,I was shocked to see Cavalryman`s price(Even money on my tissue prices).It comes here with the best form,Proven in this grade and has got course form to its name.Its 7w-3p-18r in fields of 9 or less and represents last years winning yard.Its a strong selection.

Estimate is the wrong price in my view,You have to respect the trainer and jockey but this horse is good at Ascot and it would appear,not that good elsewhere.

High Jink could make the frame but the biggest danger is Pale Mimosa,who represents a top yard and is 1 from 1 at this track.

Back Cavalryman 18pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies(Accept 3.0)-4th(-18pts)What a month this has been and for all the wrong reasons.Just dont know what to make of this run.Fallon never seemed to get stuck into the horse,it was only a Group 2 after all!

750 Goodwood-Wordismybond has the best recent ratings but has an awful draw to contend with.Its got the right man in Richard Hughes to deal with it but its a short enough price considering where its berthed.

Halfway has similar problems and is another that takes a chunk out of the market despite the bad stall.

Al Manaal has a good draw and represents a trainer in Mick Channon,who is finally hitting the form he usually is in(Had a treble on Thursday)

It drops in class into a class 5 for the first time in a while(1 from 2 in the grade) and could go well at a decent price.

Back Al Manaal 3pts each way at 19.0 at betvictor(Accept 13.0)-4th(!) -(-6pts)Of course it did.Was in front 1/2 furlong out and got nutted yards from the line.

440 Ffos Las-Ballybough Gorta appears to be best at Cartmel these days and is 0 from 3 around here,Its ratings give it a decent shout but its a short enough price.

Foundry Square ran poorly last time over hurdles but isnt out of it on its previous chase win.

At its best Prosperity Square would have a good chance on its Irish form but its a little in and out and so the other Irish Raider A Decent Excuse,looks the best value.

This horse has been very consistent of late and the slight step up in trip should be ideal.

Back A Decent Excuse 8pts at 6.0 at Corals(Accept 5.0)-Won(+40pts)A couple of sketchy jumps early on but once pushed forward,it jumped very well and stayed on strongly.(DT+16pts)

Monthly Total-67.74pts

Running Total+7121.71pts

22nd August

730 Newton Abbot-The form figures have to sound a note of caution but from a ratings standpoint,Zama Zama should be a strong favourite here.

This is a consistent horse from a yard that have won with with 4 of their last 12 runners.Its won at this track and is 2w-2p-6r in this class of race.

All 3 of its career wins have come after an absence of at least 29 days(30 today) and although it is clearly a horse that can at times,drop the lot.It should get a good tow into this.

Accessallareas and Gorteenwood both like to make the running,the former came back to some sort of form last time but still well below its best although I still think its the main danger.

The latter is consistent and should run its race but has to find more improvement on my figures to win this.

Back Zama 18pts at 3.125 at Betvictor(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-18pts)I know this horse is tricky but why it was allowed to drop back through the field and then finish well to not quite get there,I do not know?

430 Ffos Las-The market will tell the tale of Fighter Jet,who returns after 272 days off but as its open to more progression than the others,Its worth taking the chance that it will turn up fit and well for a yard that are going well at the moment.

This horse has run well fresh before and is 2 from 2 in August.The booking of Richard Johnson also catches the eye.

Weather Babe looks the main danger but has an inexperienced pilot onboard while Get it On should go well but is the right price.

Lysino represents a yard that do very well here with their hurdlers(6 from 14) but it needs to improve on its latest run to figure.

Back Fighter Jet 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Corals(Accept 5.5)-UP(-8pts)Awful run(DT-26pts)

Monthly Total-83.94pts

Running Total+7105.71pts

20th August

750 Kempton-Si Senor has raced over a mile at this track twice and won them both.The latest posting the clear top rating and a speed figure that suggests theres more to come.

Its 2 from 3 in fields of 9 or less and Freddie Tylicki is 4 wins from 16 rides for this yard.

WeekendatBernies looks the main danger as its lightly raced but it isnt proven on this surface.

Back Si Senor 12pts at 4.0 at Corals)Accept 3.75)-Won(+36pts)

920 Kempton-Taquka looks inconsistent at first glance but it looks a horse best suited to the all weather and particularly so,at this track.

Its form figures over 6 furlongs at this track read 1st-2nd-2nd.The latest speed figure once again,hints theres more to come around here and ive got it a very strong fav at 11/8.

Souville represents an in form yard and at its best,has a chance.

Furas is quite lightly raced but was well behind the selection last time.

Back Taquka 15pts at 4.0 at Paddys(Accept 3.0)-4th(-15pts)Hasnt run its race im certain(DT+21pts)

19th August

430 Yarmouth-Ziggy`s Secret posted a career best rating last time when stepped up to 7 furlongs for the first time.It also clocked a fine speed figure.

There cant be too many flat racing tracks where trainer Lucy Wadham has a record of 7 wins from 18 runners but she has here and this horse must go well.

Elizona is the obvious danger,moving into handicap company from a good yard but I would have the prices a lot closer than they are.

Back Ziggy`s Secret 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies.(Accept 4.5)-Won(+22.5pts * 2 non runners*) Won very easily,always looking the winner.Shame about the non runners.

5.0 Yarmouth-2 horse race for me despite the slight claims of the well handicapped Buzz Law,that horse looks to have completely gone at the moment.

Polar Forest returned to form last time over further than this and now drops in class.Its last 4 runs in this grade have seen it finish 1st-2nd-2nd and 1st.

Course specialist Jonnie Skull is the obvious danger and will be a big threat but im hopeful Polar Forest`s stamina can win the day late on.

Back Polar Forest 12pts at 4.5 at bet365(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Weak in the betting as the money came for the winner.Ran well but disappointed not to win with Jonnie Skull running poorly.(DT+10.5pts)

610 Worcester-Mission Complete is good at this trip(2w-2p-4r) and at this track(1w-2p-3r),it looks certain to be involved in the finish.

Franklin Roosevelt bounced back to form last time over hurdles and is 5w-0p-11r in fields of 9 or less.

High Kite represents a yard that seem to have been in top form all year and its still lightly raced while Cardigan Island hasnt been far off last seasons best of late.

Traditional Bob looks completely the wrong price to me here,It was below par last time over this trip and even its rating when it won the time before(Over shorter) leaves it with something to find.Its also 0w-1p-5r on galloping tracks like this.Its got it all to do in my view.

Lay Traditional Bob 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-Cancelled due to non runner

*Cancel or Trade out if any of the runners do not run*

Monthly Total-78.94pts

Running Total+7110.71pts

18th August

No selections

17th August

5.0 Lingfield-If the draw isnt too much of a problem then Dominium should go close here.

Its clearly knocking on the door after rwo 2nd placed finishes and the rating it posted last Saturday,sees it winning this.

Its 2w-4p-9r in fields of 9 or less and 2w-5p-9r in this grade.

Atlantic Crossing drops in class and has the best draw of the fancied horses but it is 0 from 16 on turf and that has to be a concern.

Parisian Pyramid has a poor draw and has a penalty to carry.Im sure it will run well but will need a career best.

Meridius`s form has a very uneven look to it.It probably didnt stay the mile last time and on its win,2 starts back over this trip,it wouldnt be out of it.

The jockey is very inexperienced however and that is never ideal.

Back Dominuim 12pts at 4.5 at betfair sportsbook(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Looked the winner 2f out but just finished tamely.

715 Market Rasen-There is nothing solid in this race,with everything having some kind of doubt or negative against it.

Pantxoa just doesnt look the same horse from a year ago.This is a drop in class though from an in form yard but its yet to win right handed.

The Nephew was progressing nicely until running a stinker last time.If it gets back on track then it would have a good chance but im not convinced totally that Jonjo O`Neill`s horses are running that well.

Western King has the best recent form but this is a step up in class into a grade where its 0w-0p-9r.Despite that,its probably the one beat.

Makethe Mostofnow wont like the ground or the grade and that leaves us with Velator.

Its pulled up in 3 of its last 4 starts and could possibly have totally gone at the game but its been given a break and has joined the Peter Bowen yard,whos well known for sweetening up horses.The trainer sent out the winner of this race last year and this horse is very well handicapped now in a very winnable race.

Back Velator 8pts at 6.5 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)Well backed in the morning then very weak on course which is never good.Not a big fan of this jockey and his lack of action on the horse tells me this wasnt meant to be today to continue the awful run at present.(DT-20pts)

15th August

335 Newcastle-This is a pretty good race and one in which,I dont see Trininty Star being good enough.

It ran fairly well last time but even that rating(On its favoured fast ground)Leaves it with a few pounds to find here.

Add in the fact that this softer hasnt suited so far in its career and its struggled in the grade(Class 5 0w-1p-5r) and it looks very vulnerable.

Its 9/2,5/1 in the early prices,so hopefully we will get matched.

In contrast,the lightly raced Mantou,actually drops 2 grades from a class 3 into this.The grounds an unknown but its certainly improving for an in form yard.

Clear Spell should run its race and wont be far away while Stanarley Pic looks ready to win.

Nakeeta has been consistent this season while Ryeolliean best run last season came on soft ground.

Lay Trinity Star 20pts at 6.0-UP(+20pts)All the right horses involved in the finish.

Days total minus commission+19pts

Monthly Total-69.44

Running Total+7120.21pts

14th August

4.0 Salisbury-Yuften drops down from running in group 1 races to this group 3 and has an excellent chance on my ratings.

Its still a lightly raced 3yo,hailing from an in form yard that have a 21% strike rate with their runners here and it should go very close.

Producer has chances on its best form but has been 10Ibs below par on its 2 latest starts.

Rerouted could be the biggest danger although Anjaal isnt out of it but the trip is a question mark and rain wouldnt be ideal for it.

Back Yuften 14pts at 3.5 at various bookmakers-4th(-14pts)Strong in the market and given a good ride but just flattened out,once it was sent to the front.

540 Fontwell-Mister Wiseman has been in fine form and has the services of McCoy here but this looks the end of its winning run.

Its got nearly 10Ibs to find with the best of these and is away from its beloved Market Rasen.

Hollow Penny should run well back in trip and on fast ground,on only its third start over fences while Sublime Talent is very much respected down in class.

The value call is Academy General who looks to be improving and has the ideal trip and ground.

Back Academy General 10pts at 5.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-UP(-10pts)Beaten after 1 fence.Unbelievably poor run in a nightmare run of form at the moment.(DT-24pts)

Monthly Total-88.44

Running Total+7101.21pts

13th August

440 Beverley-This is a poor race and may be a good chance for the 3yo Where`s Tiger to get off the mark.

Its 2 runs over this trip have seen it post its best career ratings and with the ground drying out,conditions should be ideal by race time.

World Record finished second yesterday but that was over a mile,where its posted its best efforts.This extra distance may well not suit.

Mixed Message has been put in as favourite and the fact it just won a seller,shows how weak this is.

Back Where`s Tiger 6pts at 8.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.5)-Won(+25.2pts *2 non runners*)Race became even weaker and it was won very easily.

450 Newton Abbot-Another poor event with nothing you could regard as reliable in it.

Lodgician`s price is so out of line with mine however,that it has to be supported.Its just posted two fairly solid efforts and this longer trip on its favoured fast ground should suit.Its certainly not one to go overboard about but in a very weak affair,its chance is better than the prices suggest.

Rusty Nail is the obvious danger but is the right price.McCoy takes over on Unwanted Gift and will no doubt attract support but a record of 1 win from 32 starts does temper enthusiasm.

Boosha posted a decent rating last time on only its 2nd start over fences but its always been very inconsistent,so whether it backs that up is open to question.

Back Lodgician 6pts at 7.0 at Skybet/Betvictor(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-6pts)Very weak in the market but ran a game race without ever really looking like winning.(DT+19.2pts)

520 Newton Abbot-Bajan Blu is top rated and progressive and looks a very solid favourite here.

The speed figure it posted last time when just worn down close home suggest its still well handicapped and I would be very disappointed if it didnt go close.

Good Of Luck won last time but looks a horse best caught fresh(Return to the track within 40 days like today 0w-1p-7r) although with the yard going great guns,it has to be respected.

Dazinski looks one of the main dangers after a decent run last time but lacks the improvement of the selection.

Back Bajan Blu 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Pulled too hard and didnt hurdle great.Jockey allowed it to coast into the lead but it weakened badly.Very disappointing run and not the first lately(DT+7.2pts)

12th August

530 Carlisle-From a ratings perspective,Thackeray has an excellent chance in this.

It finished 2nd last week behind Sergeant Pink,beaten 1/2 length and now finds itself 11Ibs better off with that rival.

It will be fine on the ground and is 2w-1p-7r in this class.

Hopefully this horse can run to its rating unlike a few over the last week or so and if it does,it really should win.

Vodka Wells has a chance but isnt certain to like the ground while Mambo Rhythm hails from an inform yard but looks very beatable at present.

Back Thackeray 12pts at 5.0 at Various Bookies(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Rubbish run continues.Pulled like a train early on and had nothing left.

Monthly Total-64.44pts

Running Total+7125.21pts

11th August

605 Ayr-Its more exposed than most but Tortoise should run well here.

Its proven over the trip and more significantly,the ground if the rain comes.If it can repeat its latest effort then it wont be far away.

Jimmy Crackle steps up in trip,which may suit but the ground is an unknown.

Her Red Devil ran well last time but is another that has a question mark if the rain arrives.

Back Tortoise 12pts at 4.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.0)-UP

8.0 Thirsk-Uplifted ran pretty well last time and gets a change of head gear.This will be its first run on soft ground since posting a career best rating 5 starts back.

Anything close to that would see it very competitve here.

Sheriff of Nawton was in good form the last time we saw it 84 days ago and is proven on the ground.It looks the main danger although Arrowzone won yesterday and wouldnt be out of it.

Back Uplifted 8pts at 6.5 at bet365/paddys(Accept 6.0)-UP(DT-20pts)Both horses just havent run their race.

11th August

345 Windsor-You need to be a weather forecaster as well as a tipster these days,so guessing the ground is tough but as long as it doesnt get bottomless,I can see Amygdala going well.

It made its debut for the Stuart Williams yard last time out and travelled like the winner but looked like it didnt get home.

That bare rating gives it every chance but you would imagine with it moving back a furlong,it should improve on it.

George Baker is 7 from 24 when riding for this yard.As always with this stable,you want the horse to remain solid in the market.

Mia San Triple is 2 from 2 here and is the obvious danger.Artistic Charm has chances but probably wants the ground fast.

Back Amygdala 8pts at 6.0 at Betfair Sportsbook(Accept 5.5)-UP(-8pts)Never travelling

9th August

505 Haydock-I doubt theres a more in form yard than Willie Haggas and his lightly raced horse,Satellite should go well here.

Its only had 3 starts and each run has seen its rating progress.Last time out over 10 furlongs on soft ground,it posted the best rating in this race.

That showed this ground should hold no fears for it and the step up in trip,should suit.

The trainer has a 27% strike rate and Ryan Moore is 29% when riding for this yard.

I respect Double Bluff but its a short enough price while Gwafa is very unexposed and could be the main danger.

Back Satellite 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-UP(-12pts)Very strong in the market but like a few lately,just ran below par.

8th August

520 Lingfield-Ragged Robin is just top rated on its latest run but that was over 2 furlongs further at Kempton.It could be vulnerable at this sharper track back in trip.

Fiftyshadesfreed looks a bigger danger,dropping into a class where its 2 from 4 and it looks likely to appreciate the step up in trip.

With Hindsight continues to run well and shouldnt be far away but at a price,maybe Precision Five could go well.

It ran its best race of the season last time over course and distance and this is no surprise,as it not only goes well here(Lingfield 3w-1p-7r) but this is its time of year(August/September 3w-1p-6r).

Its a force in this grade(Class 6 4w-3p-11r) and George Baker is a good booking.

Back Precision Five 3pts each way at 15.0 at Paddys(Accept 11.0)-3rd(+4.56pts)Really looked like it was coming to win but never quite got there.

440 Brighton-Blue Bounty should go well,as an improving 3yo,its got more upside than most but its about the right price.

Welsh Inlet continues to run well and goes well here(Brighton 3w-1p-6r) but has little in hand of the handicapper.

Darnathean ran well on the all weather last time and is 2 from 4 at this track but is only 1w-4p-18r in this grade,it looks short enough to me.

Kakapuka is now 4Ibs below its last winning mark and last time,ran at Lingfields all weather circuit,a track its not even been placed at in 6 tries.

Before that it ran over a mile(0w-1p-8r) which is clearly too far but before that,it finished 2nd over this course and distance on its only start at this specialists track.

The rating it posted that day sees it go very close but this horse does need the rain to stay away,as its clearly best on fast ground.

4w-2p-17r on good to firm or faster against 0w-1p-13r on good or slower.

Back Kakapuka 5pts at 8.5 at Betvictor(Accept 8.0)-UP(-5pts)I thought id made quite a good argument for this but it was very weak in the market pre race and ran a stinker.(DT-0.44pts)

Monthly Total-12.44pts

Running Total+7177.21pts

7th August

7.0 Southwell-Its possible Mandy the Nag isnt in the same form as last year but you can make excuses for its 2 below par runs this season(Seasonal debut and then trip too far) and this horse is very interesting going back on Southwells fibresand surface.

Its raced on this twice in its career and won both of them and back over a trip it prefers(8 furlongs 3w-1p-7r),it could easily go close.

You have to respect anything Mick Appleby runs around here but im not sure Pearl Nation should be favourite,particularly after a poor run last time.

Mishrif goes well here but is 0w-1p-17r in this grade so I would expect the two 3yos Takreym and Dutch Rifle to provide the dangers.

Back Mandy the Nag 5pts each way 8.0-UP(-10pts)Absolutely woeful run.Horse has obviously lost its way.

6th August

620 Yarmouth-Ive been waiting for Johnnie Skull to come back to form as it was becoming well handicapped.

It did so last time(Racing alone like it likes too),posting a rating that wins this race and only just being run out of it by a horse that has followed up since.

This horse has won 6 times at this track,including this race last year and looks primed for a repeat off a mark 5Ibs lower than last year.

Tommys Secret won here 8 days ago over a furlong shorter.Its turned out under a penalty but hasnt been at its best in the past when returning quickly(14 days or less 0w-0p-4r) and has to prove itself over this trip.

Pretty Bubbles is fairly consistent but the yard are struggling a bit at the moment,so I think Ela Goog La Mou could be the main danger,dropping back in trip at a track it likes.

Back Johnnie Skull 10pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 3.75)-2nd(-10pts)Ground changed to good to soft,which wouldnt have suited and resulted in a big drift in the betting.Still ran really well and will win soon.

5th August

430 Ffos Las-There are a couple of unexposed types making their handicap debut here.Purple Lane for a trainer whos 2 from 4 with his 3yos here looks particularly interesting but as its been put in as market leader,its obviously no secret.

At a bigger price,Tullia interests me.Its clear this horse wants softish ground as its ratings on that surface suggest its a 20Ibs better horse with cut in the ground.

Its raced on fast ground on its last 2 runs and despite being strong in the market on both occasions,has run well below par.

So back on its favoured soft ground and also dropped into a grade where its 1 out of 2,I would expect a much better run.

Back Tullia 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-8pts)Jockey allowed the leader to get away and couldnt peg it back.One that got away I think.

815 Ripon-This is pretty competitve but I feel that Almagest should be heading the market here.

This horse is still fairly unexposed over this trip(2 miles 2w-1p-5r) and drops down into a class 4(2w-1p-7r)for the first time in a while.

Its 1 from 1 at this track,which was this race last year and with a record of 3 wins from 4 starts in August,its clear this is its time of year.

Dr Irv has a very solid profile but has been struggling to get its head in front,so Deepsand could be the main danger if it stays this longer trip.

Back Almagest 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Hills(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Somehow weaved its way through to get up yards from the line(DT+32pts)

Monthly Total+8pts

Running Total+7197.65pts

3rd August

445 Chester-I make this a 2 horse race between English Summer and Notarised.Obviously the bigger priced horse is the value call.

That horse is Notarised,who hails from the massively in form Mark Johnston yard.The more rain the better for this horse,who is 2w-0p-4r when returning to the track within 14 days like today.

English Summer is 2 from 6 around here,will be fine in the conditions and is a big danger but the market has got its price right.

Back Notarised 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Hammered into favourite but didnt really get an easy time in front and just couldnt hold the winner.

505 Market Rasen-Silent Knight is improving but needs to do so again and it looks a fairly tight price for a horse thats just had a 16Ibs hike in the handicap.

Ereyna is another thats progressing but all its runs have been on softer ground and at shorter.

Listen and Learn has a rating from last season that wins this but has been in pretty desperate form lately.Its got some different headgear on,so it may bounce back but it looks risky.

Provincial Pride will love the fast ground and has a very consistent profile.I can see no reason,its the price it is and has to be supported.

Back Provincial Pride 7pts at 6.5 at various Bookies(Accept 5.5)-UP(-7pts)So much for the consistent profile.Has ran no race at all/.

4.0 Market Rasen-Chalk it Down seems to go off favourite whatever race it is in.It won last time out in fortunate style as the leader fell at the last when 10 lengths clear.

Its not out of this and you have to respect the connections and jockey etc but I can see no reason why its such a short price.

It may win but its the wrong price.

Lucky Landing gets going in August(2w-1p-4r) and is at its best returned to the track quickly(14 days or less 6w-4p-16r).Its quite nicely treated over hurdles.

Mr Shantou is consistent and put up its best career performance over this course and distance.This is its first run back here since that.

Iguacu is 2w-0p-2r when returned to the track within 14 days and will like the conditions.

Lay Chalk it Down 20pts at 2.6-Won(-32pts)Got it totally wrong.Won easily!Rubbish Day.(DT-51pts)

2nd August

530 Lingfield-I rarely mess with apprentice races but Wordismybond looks to hold decent chances here.

At first glance,this horse looks to have a very in and out profile but is actually pretty consistent when getting 7/8 furlongs on fast ground.

Its form figures under these circumstances read 2nd-2nd-1st-2nd-6th-5th-1st-1st.

Its top rated after a good 2nd on its seasonal debut.

Added to that its 2 from 2 in August and 2w-3p-8r in fields of 9 or less.

Im very surprised it isnt favourite.

Belle Bayardo is the main danger.

Back Wordismybond 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.75)-Won(+44pts)

Monthly Total+27pts

Running Total+7216.65pts

1st August

6.0 Bath-Speed Steed has been running okay over hurdles and is very unexposed over staying trips on the flat.

Its only run over 2 miles was on the all weather,where it finished a good 2nd.

With the visor reapplied and at a track where its finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 runs,Im surprised it isnt clear favourite.

That honour goes to Ninfea,who won well 3 days ago at Yarmouth.That was a very slowly run affair where it dictated from the front.

The rating is achieved leaves it a bit to find in any case.

Back Speed Steed 10pts at 5.0 at bet365/betvictor (Accept 4.3)-4th(-10pts)Absolutely lifeless run.

730 Newmarket-Athletic must run well here,having finished 1st and 2nd on the last 2 Friday evening meetings at this track.

Its the one to beat but the fact that its always struggled when moved up to this class,makes me think something may well do so.

The one that catches the eye is Yair Hill,whos one of those horses that runs its best races when very fresh.(Won first time out in 2 of the last 3 seasons).

Its back on a good mark now and has just moved yards.Martin Harley is a good booking and Id want to see some money for it.

Back Yair Hill 7pts at 9.0 at Boyles(Accept 7.0)-UP(-7pts)Held Up out the back and never put in the race or touched with the whip.Clearly Not today!(DT-17pts)