Its 2 runs over this trip have seen it post its best career ratings and with the ground drying out,conditions should be ideal by race time.
World Record finished second yesterday but that was over a mile,where its posted its best efforts.This extra distance may well not suit.
Mixed Message has been put in as favourite and the fact it just won a seller,shows how weak this is.
Back Where`s Tiger 6pts at 8.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.5)-Won(+25.2pts *2 non runners*)Race became even weaker and it was won very easily.
450 Newton Abbot-Another poor event with nothing you could regard as reliable in it.
Lodgician`s price is so out of line with mine however,that it has to be supported.Its just posted two fairly solid efforts and this longer trip on its favoured fast ground should suit.Its certainly not one to go overboard about but in a very weak affair,its chance is better than the prices suggest.
Rusty Nail is the obvious danger but is the right price.McCoy takes over on Unwanted Gift and will no doubt attract support but a record of 1 win from 32 starts does temper enthusiasm.
Boosha posted a decent rating last time on only its 2nd start over fences but its always been very inconsistent,so whether it backs that up is open to question.
Back Lodgician 6pts at 7.0 at Skybet/Betvictor(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-6pts)Very weak in the market but ran a game race without ever really looking like winning.(DT+19.2pts)
520 Newton Abbot-Bajan Blu is top rated and progressive and looks a very solid favourite here.
The speed figure it posted last time when just worn down close home suggest its still well handicapped and I would be very disappointed if it didnt go close.
Good Of Luck won last time but looks a horse best caught fresh(Return to the track within 40 days like today 0w-1p-7r) although with the yard going great guns,it has to be respected.
Dazinski looks one of the main dangers after a decent run last time but lacks the improvement of the selection.
Back Bajan Blu 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Pulled too hard and didnt hurdle great.Jockey allowed it to coast into the lead but it weakened badly.Very disappointing run and not the first lately(DT+7.2pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment