5th August

430 Ffos Las-There are a couple of unexposed types making their handicap debut here.Purple Lane for a trainer whos 2 from 4 with his 3yos here looks particularly interesting but as its been put in as market leader,its obviously no secret.
At a bigger price,Tullia interests me.Its clear this horse wants softish ground as its ratings on that surface suggest its a 20Ibs better horse with cut in the ground.
Its raced on fast ground on its last 2 runs and despite being strong in the market on both occasions,has run well below par.
So back on its favoured soft ground and also dropped into a grade where its 1 out of 2,I would expect a much better run.
Back Tullia 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-8pts)Jockey allowed the leader to get away and couldnt peg it back.One that got away I think.

815 Ripon-This is pretty competitve but I feel that Almagest should be heading the market here.
This horse is still fairly unexposed over this trip(2 miles 2w-1p-5r) and drops down into a class 4(2w-1p-7r)for the first time in a while.
Its 1 from 1 at this track,which was this race last year and with a record of 3 wins from 4 starts in August,its clear this is its time of year.
Dr Irv has a very solid profile but has been struggling to get its head in front,so Deepsand could be the main danger if it stays this longer trip.
Back Almagest 8pts at 6.0 at Betvictor/Hills(Accept 4.5)-Won(+40pts)Somehow weaved its way through to get up yards from the line(DT+32pts)
Monthly Total+8pts
Running Total+7197.65pts

No comments:

Post a Comment