31st May

425 Haydock-Lightning Moon is completely unexposed and was pretty green when making a winning debut last time.

That rating and speed figure gives it strong claims here,even without the expected improvement.Will Buick is 7 wins from 25 rides for this yard.

Ive got it as an even money chance on my tissue.

If Skye`s the Limit stays the distance then its got a chance but so far its been better at a furlong less.Value is probably the main danger.

Back Lightning Moon 20pts at 3.0 at Paddys-Won(+40pts)A mile in front of the handicapper and hosed up.

515 Newmarket-The progressive Perfect Summer looks to be the one to beat here.This horse has only had 7 starts and each run has produced an improved rating.

Lady Cecils horses are going really well and Ryan Moore is 4 from 5 for this yard.

Sohar drops in class and looks the main danger.The ground and trip are fine for this horse and it made an encouraging seasonal debut.

Eagle Rock ran well last time but would prefer better ground than this.Lion Beacon is consistent and should run well but tends to place more than win.

Back Perfect Summer 14pts at 3.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-14pts)Got the value but ran no sort of race.

230 Chester-Royal Rascal is respected,as it drops in class into a grade where its 1 from 1 but Bondesire looks the value to me here.

This horse has a very consistent profile and is well drawn.Its 2w-1p-3r in fields of 9 or less and is 2w-0p-3r when returning to the track within 14 days.

Love Island is the other in with a chance but ive got it as a better horse on quicker ground and stall 8 isnt ideal.

Millys Gift isnt proven on the ground.

Back Bondesire 12pts at 4.0 at Ladbrokes/Bet365/Betvictor.-Won(+42pts*Paid out at Best odds guaranteed*)(DT+68pts)

840 Newbury-Its pretty exposed but Welsh Inlet is in the form of its life at present.It looks a decent price for a horse thats in great form and thats not something you can say about the majority of this field.Its small yard have won with 6 of their last 26 runners and it should go close.

Burnt Fingers ran poorly last time but has a chance on its run the time before although it is 0w-0p-3r in this grade.

Pretty Bubbles and Two in the Pink are similar in that they have both been running well on the All weather but not as good on the turf.

Back Welsh Inlet 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.0)-UP(-8pts)Hasnt run its race(DT+60pts)

Monthly Total-19.50pts

Running Total+6931.62pts

 

30th May

835 Haydock-Regiment has spent most of its short racing career,in a higher grade than this but when it drops into todays class,its finished 1st and 2nd.

Its 2w-1p-5r in fields of 9 or less and conditions are ideal.

You`re Fired is the obvious danger.Its an improving,lightly raced horse that if suited by the step up in trip,will go close.

Zain Zone isnt out of it but has to prove itself on soft ground.

Back Regiment 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-2nd(-10pts)Given a perfect ride and got nutted 5 yards from the line!

340 Newmarket-After only 6 runs,Czech it out has plenty of progression in it and ratings wise,its latest 2nd placed finish was a career best.

If it can back that up then it looks a touch of value in a decent little race.

Hillbilly Boy goes very well on 7 furlongs on soft ground and although creeping up the handicap,it should run well.

Victoire De Lyphar has won 3 on the bounce and has obvious claims.

Back Czech it Out 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Ladbrokes(Accept 5.5)-Pulled Up(-8pts)Horse broke down early in the race.(DT-18pts)

Monthly Total-79.50pts

Running Total+6871.62pts

29th May

610 Sandown-Theres no doubt that Chain of Events,with 2 course wins and an impressive 5w-2p-10r during the months of May and June,has a good chance here but im a little surprised its clear fav ahead of the progressive Kastini.

This horse has to be produced late,so it was no surprise that Richard Hughes worked the horse out last time and it won fairly easily.

It likes this time of year(May to July 2w-2p-4r) and its top rated on that latest run.Its run well on soft ground in the past.

Cathedral and Nordic Quest arent out of it at their best in a decent little race.

Back Kastini 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12pts)No Richard Hughes but no complaints.Looked like how far 2 furlongs out but just couldnt or wouldnt go past.

805 Wetherby-Barton Stacey produced a fine performance last time over fences and that rating would give it outstanding claims back over hurdles.

Its best hurdles ratings make it the one to beat and hopefully there wont be too much rain as it wouldnt want it heavy.

The last time it raced over this trip over hurdles,it won and its 3w-0p-5r during the month of May.

Catching On drops back to a trip its 2 from 2 at.Its won around here and is the main danger.

Narcissist is still fairly lightly raced but should find easier opportunites than this race.

Back Barton Stacey 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365/Skybet(Accept 4.0)-UP(-12pts)Just an awful run!(DT-24pts)

Monthly Total-61.50pts

Running Total+6889.62pts

28th May

440 Chepstow-Consistency hasnt been its strong point in its short career so far but if New Colours can back up its latest performance then it should go very close.

Its the only horse in this race that has ever won a race and is proven over trip and ground.The trainer is 2 from 7 with his 3yo runners at this track.

Spectator is clearly a better horse than its shown on the track so far,as its been a beaten favourite 3 times.Its been put in at the top of the market again here.

Loch Ma Naire drops in distance and that may suit but this horse(regardless of trip) has been outpaced before staying on again in all its races so far.

Back New Colours 11pts at 4.3 at Bet365(Accept 4.0)-3rd(-11pts)Got the value again but like so many during this awful month,just didnt repeat its run from last time.

7.0 Beverley-In its 2 runs after a break like today,Headline News has finished 1st and 2nd.The trainer has won with 2 of his last 8 runners and any further rain will only help its chance.I think it should be clear favourite.

Busatto won 2 on the trot before running poorly last time,the step back up in trip(2 from 3 at it)may help but its going to need to improve again.

Spirit of the Law represents a yard that have won this twice in recent years and on its best form from last year,it wouldnt be out of it.It hasnt got close to it so far this season however,although this is a drop in class.

Back Headline News 10pts at 5.0 at Bet365(Accept 4.0)-Meeting abandoned

Monthly Total-37.50pts

Running Total+6913.62pts

28/5

810 Hexham-Not many here that like to get their head in front on a regular basis but their are grounds for thinking De Chissler could be a bit of value.

This horse hasnt really got going in its 3 starts for this yard since coming over from Ireland but after being out of form for much of the winter,the stable are in much better form now and that should signify a much better run.

Its also steadily dropping down the weights and has only had 2 starts in this low grade.

Its steps up to 3 miles for the first time under rules(Won over the trip in point to points) and won on this heavy ground in Ireland.

If it could get anywhere close to its Irish form,it would win this easily.

Bollin Fiona has never finished out of the first 3 in 6 starts at this course and should run well while Foot the Bill has chances but is 0w-0p-9r going left handed.

Back De Chissler 7pts at 9.0 at Paddys/Bet365(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-7pts)Backed from 8/1 into 9/4 and travelled well until 2 out then stopped.

25th May

410 Uttoxeter-It can be a little inconsistent but im very surprised at Lord Landens price here.In a race where there is a few stamina doubts about some of the runners,this horse is 2w-2p-8r over this trip.

With rain about,its also fine if the ground softens up and that would probably be preferable as it would count against several here.

The main danger is Deep Purple,whos been fairly progressive over fences and is a 2 time winner at this track.

However all its winning has been at a lower level than this,with its record in this grade being a very unimpressive 0w-1p-9r.

AlwaystheOptimist posted a good rating last time but that was over shorter and its form figures over this trip read 8th-5th-12th-18th.

Lemons Gent looks to need the ground really fast and that looks unlikely,it may also be a better horse over shorter.

Ballylifen pulled up last time but has a shout on its run the time before but a career record of 1 from 23 says it all.

Back Lord Landen 8pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Betvictor(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)Given a perfect stalking ride but just didnt come home in the way I hoped it would.Pretty disappointing.

24th March

240 Haydock-For a horse that put in a great run on its seasonal debut and has won this race twice and finished runner up before,Kingsgate Native seems to be given little respect by the bookmakers.

The heavens opened up on Friday at this course and that counts against Sole Power,which could make it vulnerable.

Hot Streak is the main danger,as its a very progressive 3yo but the selection has been and done it and may well do so again.

Back Kingsgate Native 6pts at 8.5 at Paddys/Betvic(Accept 7.5)-3rd(-6pts)

420 Haydock-Plenty of improvers here but none more so than Wrangler,who makes its handicap debut after an easy debut win last time.

Based on the rating it posted that day,it could well have got in lightly here.The topspeed figure backs that up too.

Cloudscape was below par last time and has its stamina to prove.

Fun Mac and Montaly look the main dangers with the latter respected as the stable won this race last year.

Back Wrangler 12pts at 4.5 at Ladbrokes(Accept 4.5)(Advised earlier)-Won(+31.5pts*2 non runners*)Even with the non runners,we really got the value here.Ryan Moore at his strongest got it home.

4.0 Catterick-Miss Macnamara is probably the most likely winner of this race,as it won last time and is 2 from 3 around this track but at 13/8 it looks short enough.

It looks to have a serious rival in Summerlea,who ran well only 4 days ago and posted a rating that would give the fav some serious problems.

This horse has a decent record at this track on the flat and also over hurdles and if its fine after its recent run then it should go very close.

Cool Baranca is the only other horse I can give a chance to in a weak race.

Back Summerlea 8pts at 6.0 at various Bookies-3rd(-8pts)(DT+17.50pts)

Monthly Total-11.50pts

Running Total+6939.62pts

23rd May

620 Towcester-Berties Desire is progressive and hails from a yard 27% here with their chasers,it must run well.

Morestead has been round the block but is actually top rated on its latest run and although it appears to have lost the winning habit,it should still run well.

Dungeness has only had the 2 runs over fences and there should be more to come for a yard with a 25% strike rate here with their chasers.

Marley Roca seems to prefer quicker ground and certainly prefers the other way round to this(R/H tracks 0w-0p-9r).I cant have it at 3rd in the market.

Lay Marley Roca 20pts at 6.0-UP(Wasnt Matched)Got it in running but drifted all day pre race.

22nd May

No Selections

21st May

240 Newton Abbot-Im a little surprised that Miss Tenacious isnt clear favourite here.This horse ran well last time behind a progressive animal.

The rating it posted that day,gives it sound claims here if it can reproduce it.

There is enough encouragement in its profile to suggest that may well happen.

Form figures at this track read 3-1-1-5,while form figures at this trip over fences read 2-5-1-3-1-1-unseated-5.

Jack Doyle is 3 from 10 on this horse and it has a very solid 6w-2p-15r record in this grade.

Bennys Quest is pretty reliable and should be the main danger but does like to place more than win.

Delphi Mountain ran quite well last time but normally struggles in this grade(Class 4 0w-1p-9r)

Boss in Boots is unexposed over fences but has it prove after a poor chase debut where it burst a blood vessel while No No Carnival has very little chance.

Back Miss Tenacious 13pts at 4.0 at bet365(Accept 3.5)-2nd(-13pts)And so it continues....Led everywhere but the final 20 yards.Looked the winner coming into the straight but made a mess of the last 2 flights and that probably made the difference.

19th May

530 Southwell-Sakash is a progressive,consistent horse and really should win this.

Its 1 from 1 over this course and distance and is 3 from 9 overall at the trip.It faces a lot of exposed rivals here.

Pick a Little is 3 from 4 here and has to be respected but its 0 from 7 over this trip and should find others coming home stronger.

Sofias Number One goes well here with 6 wins but after a couple of 2nd placed finishes,is now 1Ib higher than its ever won off.

Back Sakash 14pts at 4.3 at bet365(Accept 3.5) -2nd(-14pts)We got the value but that was about it.Well beaten and hard to explain.

Monthly Total-13.60pts

Running Total+6935.12pts

18th May

All Market Rasen

230-This is a pretty tight heat,with a number of horses having a similar top rating.

Olivers Gold and Pass Muster should go well but Weybridge Light surely shouldnt be the price it is.

It ran well last time,after an absence.That rating gives it a solid chance but any improvement close to last seasons win over slightly further,would give it a far better chance than the current odds suggest.

Trend is my Friend represents the McCain/McCoy combination but its likely to be shorter than it should be,based on what its done so far in its career.

Back Weybridge Light 3pts each way at 17.0 at Betvictor(Accept 13.0)-5th(-6pts)Outpaced throughout.

4.0-If Vulcanite is the improved performer that its hurdles win suggested then it will probably win this but so far in its career,its 5 starts over the big fences havent matched up to its hurdling exploits.Im happy to pass at its price.

Zarzal won well a week ago and also looks to have strong claims under its penalty,however,its only 3 from 25 in its career,so is hardly a likely candidate to follow up.

All those wins were at Ludlow and its 0w-1p-9r on sharp tracks like this one.Its another im happy to pass at a very short price.

The one I see running its race is King Edmund.This horse has spent most of its recent career in a higher grade than this but is a force when dropped to this class(5w-1p-12r)

Its 3w-2p-7r when returning to the track within 14 days and the jockey Tom Cannon is very underrated.

Back King Edmund 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-7pts)Ran a solid race but the chinks I hoped were there in the front 2 in the market,just didnt materialise.(DT-13pts)

430-Keltic Rhythm is pretty solid here and really should go close.Its posted a series of consistent ratings since going over fences and a reproduction of its latest effort would make it tough to beat.

Ballylifen represents top connections and should run well but im not sure it should be favourite with a win record of 1 from 22.

Fair Bramble at its best and Quel Bruere if its fit,both have chances but the selection looks certain to run well.

Back Keltic Rhythm 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Hills(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-11pts)If ever a race summed up this month,this was it!

Well backed and swept into the lead 3 out(going past the eventual winner) and jumped the last 2 lengths up(Touched 1.1 in running) only to be outbattled 20 yards from the line.(DT-24pts)

17th May

305 Bangor-Hero De Villeneuve has only had the 2 starts over fences and looks to hold strong claims of following up its latest victory.

That win came over this course and distance,add in the excellent Brian Hughes on board,it looks a strong favourite.

Nikos Extra has been running in points but has the back class to figure although it refused to race last time,lets hope it does so again!

Duaiseoir has chances on its best form but its very in and out and probably wants softer ground.

The possible main danger could be O`Callaghan Strand,whos been well out of form but if the money comes,it will run well as this outfit seem to have many out of form horses,become well backed and win and no one says a word.

Back Hero De Villeneuve 18pts at 3.0 at Various bookies-Won(+49.50pts*Paid out at Best odds guaranteed)

340 Bangor-Chalk it Down is favourite and should go close but I can see Fantasy King running really well.

On its 2 starts for this yard,its run quite well on softer ground than todays going but its ratings back in Ireland on fast ground,give it a better chance than the odds suggest.

You would want it to be solid in the market from this yard and if it does,it should go close.

Curzon Line makes its handicap debut but needs to step up a lot on what its done so far.

Back Fantasy King 8pts at 6.0 at Paddys/Stan James(Accept 5.5)-2nd(-8pts)Big drifter but ran really well.(DT+41.50pts)

820 Uttoxeter-Its taken a few runs for Qualypso D`Allier to recapture its form after an absence but last time it was travelling well over further before weakening near the finish.That bare rating gives it a decent shout but the drop in trip,in this grade(Class 5 2w-1p-6r),should see it run even better.

Its very well handicapped now,being 8Ibs below its last winning mark.

Best Boy Barney is the main danger,improving for the trip over fast ground last time.

Back Qualypso D`Allier 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 6.5)-3rd(-7pts)Solid in the market but couildnt quite get to Best Boy Barney,who was a decent price after drifting.(DT+34.50pts)

Monthly Total+24.40pts

Running Total+6973.12pts

16th May

235 Newbury-This looks pretty weak and should prove a decent opportunity for Balmoral Castle to follow up its latest victory.

This is clearly this horse`s time of year(May/June 3w-2p-6r) and its 1w-1p-3r around this track.Anything close to its latest run would see it go very close.

Able Dash has been progressive on the all weather and looks the main danger.Both its wins were over further however,where it stayed on strongly and back in trip plus on the turf may see it struggle to repeat those wins.

Choir Festival looks the other in with a chance but it is 0w-1p-8r around this track.

Back Balmoral Castle 16pts at 3.5 at bet365(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-16pts)Another 2nd,if you switched the jockeys around then I think it would have won but thats how things are going at present.

Monthly Total-10.10pts

Running Total+6938.62pts

15th May

No selections

14th May

4.0 Uttoxeter-Its supposed to stay dry around this course and that should make the ground ideal for Green Bank.

This horse equalled its career best rating last time and its form figures over 3 miles on good ground read 2nd,3rd,1st and 2nd.

If it can repeat that run then its the one they all have to beat.

High Ron won last time but that was at Southwell(3 from 3 at that track) and its ratings so far,are nearly a stone worse elsewhere.

Dark Glacier is consistent and should run well but needs the ground to soften while Sarika has a rating from 3 starts back that would see it go close but it hasnt reproduced it.

Back Green Bank 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Ran a great race(32 lengths back to the 3rd) and looked like it might hold on but just got outstayed after the last.

13th May

640 Ffos Las-This is really weak and nothing looks totally reliable.You wouldnt want to get involved in too short a price in a race like this.

Doc Wells makes its debut for Tim Vaughan and thats probably the reason its favourite but Its been pretty inconsistent in its career and very soft ground may not suit.

Zama Zama does well in this grade(Class 5... 2 wins from 3 starts) but is unproven over this far and it will need to get home in these conditions.

The one that appeals to me is Somerby.This horse loves soft/heavy ground,so the more rain the better.

Its had a break of 70 days since it last run and this horse has run well fresh many times.

Its 2w-2p-11r in fields of 9 or less,In this class(2w-3p-9r),Adam Wedge is 2 from 7 for the yard and the small stable had a winner with their last runner.

Back Somerby 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-8pts)Rain didnt arrive but still ran well.Bumped into one in Doc Wells however

530 Southwell-Another weak race and its possible that Orang Outan is not the same horse after its 2 runs after 7 months off but there is enough in its profile and ratings to suggest it could stage a revival here.

It drops back into a class 5(2 wins from 7 in the grade),is 4w-1p-16r in fields of 9 or less,is now 2 Ibs below its last winning mark(Just 3 runs back) and it returns to a track where its 2 from 2.If it is still the same horse then surely it will show it here at a nice price.

Molko Jack is the obvious danger as it arrives here as one of the few in form.

Back Orang Outan 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 6.0)-Fell(-7pts)(DT-15pts)

735 Southwell-Nothing with a compelling profile but Provincial Pride makes its UK debut and could be quite well handicapped based on its final run in Ireland.

If repeating that effort it has a fine chance in a weak affair.

Buddy Love has gone off as favourite on its last 3 starts but been beaten each time.Its probably better than its shown but needs to prove it on the track.

Back Provincial Pride 7pts at 9.0 at Bet365(Accept 4.5)-Non Runner

240 Wincanton-Oscarslad is top rated and has some potential after just 2 starts over fences.

Its has finished 1st and 2nd around this track and I expect it to go very close.

Mighty Mobb has the next best ratings but needs lots of rain to be seen at its best.

Jayanbee can normally be relied upon to run its race but isnt well handicapped anymore while Thomas Wild isnt out of it if at its best.

Back Oscarslad 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365/Ladbrokes(Accept 3.25)-Won(+37.5pts)(DT+22.5pts)

310 Wincanton-Another Brandy put in a career best last time on its handicap debut and should prove even better on this better ground.

Enchanting Smile was all at sea on heavy ground last time.Back on this better ground,it should bounce back to its best.

State Department makes its handicap debut back on good ground,from a good stable.I would expect an improved showing.

Kruseman won last time but is no good thing under its penalty.Its got 5Ibs to find on the best of these,is 0w-0p-10r on right handed tracks and 0w-1p-14r in fields of 9 or less.

Lay Kruseman 20pts at 5.2 at Betfair-UP(+20pts)(DT+42.5pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Another Brandy,Enchanting Smile or State Department dont run*

Days total minus commission+41.5pts

Monthly Total+17.90pts

Running Total+6966.12

12th May

730 Towcester-Some course specialists on show here,none more so than Riddlestown who is 2 from 2 around here and is very much respected.

Bishophill Jack showed some signs of form last time but is none too reliable while Doubletoilntrouble needs more than it achieved when winning last time.

LeeRoar is unexposed over fences after just 2 starts and gets the services of Richard Johnson onboard for the first time.

It has no form around here but its latest run gives it a far better chance than the odds suggest.

Back Leeroar 6pts at 9.0 at Paddys/Corals/Betfair Sportsbook-5th(-6pts)Money for it oncourse meant we got the value again but not the final performance.Showed up well for a long way but didnt get home.

11th May

3.0 Plumpton-There are horses in this race,that if producing their best,would be a big threat but there are doubts about nearly everything here.

By far the most reliable looking is Ballyvoneen,who returns to its favourite track and trip at its favourite time of year.

Its record in April and May is 6w-0p-12r and over this trip its 5w-1p-13r,while at this track its 5w-1p-12r.

If you put all that together,its form figures over 3m2f at Plumpton during April and May are 1st-5th-1st-1st-1st.

Its no more than fairly handicapped but its price is big enough to warranr getting involved.

Leg Iron drops in class and won on its last start in this grade but has been struggling and may find even this trip a bit sharp around here.

Campbonnais won over hurdles last time but has been very poor over fences for the last couple of years.

West Cork Flash is 0 from 14 in its career and ran poorly last time.It has a decent chance on its run the time before but is 0w-0p-8r when returning to the track within 40 days.

Back Ballyvoneen 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Ran well and looked very dangerous for most of the race but just didnt pick up unfortunately

Monthly Total-17.60

Running Total+6930.62pts

9th May

315 Chester-Fine Cut has been put in as favourite,more on account of the connections I would imagine,although it has won its last 2 at Dundalk on the all weather.They were over further and it has no record on soft ground.

Blithe Spirit goes well around here(2w-1p-4r) and has a decent draw,I would expect it to lead but very soft ground may see it vulnerable in the closing stages.

See the Sun produced a career best performance on its seasonal debut last time,that rating gives it strong prospects here.

It hasnt got an ideal draw but on the softer ground,it shouldnt be such a big problem and if it can be close up a furlong out,I expect it to power home.

Back See the Sun 12pts at 4.5 at Paddys(Accept 4.0) -3rd

235 Lingfield-Doubts about so many here but not Serenity Spa,whos produced 3 very solid efforts recently and is top rated on its latest run 4 days ago.

Its 1 out of 1 when returning to the track within 14 days and is 2w-1p-5r over todays trip.It should go very close.

Saucy Minx has the ratings to run well but is 0w-0p-4r over this trip and 0w-1p-4r on galloping tracks like this.

Anya is 1 from 1 around here and if strong in the market on its seasonal debut,will probably be the main danger.

Back Serenity Spa 14pts at 3.5 at Betfair.-4th

155 Market Rasen-Mr Shantu and Grandiloquent make their handicap debuts from good yards and the market will tell their tale as regards their prospects but Narcissist has a lot of upside to it also after only 4 starts over hurdles.

Last time out ,it made its handicap debut over slightly shorter and posted the top rating and a very good speed figure.This step up in trip should suit and ive got it clear favourite on my tissue prices.

Artifice Sivola is slowly improving form a yard that are 20% with their hurdlers while overnight favourite Vinstar is still lightly raced but needs to improve on my figures.

Back Narcissist 11pts at 5.0 at various Bookies(Accept 4.3)-2nd(-37pts)Rubbish Day and nowhere near good enough!

Monthly Total-10.60pts

Running Total+6937.62pts

8th May

7.0 Wincanton-Competitve race where a few have decent chances if they bring their best form to the races.So many are in and out performers however but one that isnt is Financial Climate,whos turned in consistent performances all season(Apart from 1 run over a marathon 4 miles in heavy ground).

This horse likes a recent race(28 days or less 4w-1p-6r),its 2 from 2 over this trip and 1 from 1 at this track.

The only slight niggle is if the rain doesnt arrive to just soften the ground a little but apart from that,this horse has a lot going for it.

Howards Legacy ran well last time but rarely runs two races alike while Oscargo can go well fresh but is 0w-0p-3r going right handed.

Back Financial Climate 7pts at 7.0 at Various Bookies -UP(-7pts)Strong in the market but looked like one race too many this season.Never in it and jumped poorly throughout.

7th May

4.0 Kelso-I made this between Captain Brown and Hunters Belt.

Captain Brown has an ordinary strike rate(1 from 14) but gave it a real good go from the front here last time and will probably do so again.On good ground,its chance would increase but I feel it will be vulnerable in the closing stages on this softer ground..

Hunters Belt will be produced late,so the race should set up well for it and its 2 from 2 around this track.

The trainer has a 20% strike rate here and the horse is 3w-1p-9r when returning to the track within 28 days(21 today)

The market expects a better run from Cool Sky,who wouldnt be out of it on its best ratings but its far too short on what its done the last two starts.

Back Hunters Belt 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365(Accept 4.3)-4th(-12pts)Market told its tale as they couldnt give it away and it ran accordingly.To be fair,the ground was a lot faster than when I went through the race.

435 Kelso-Harrys Whim came down at the last here last time when looking likely to win but the rating it got for that run still leaves 9Ibs short of the best here,added into that its a very inconsistent performer,who has an abysmal record of 0w-1p-19r when returning to the track within 40 days(20 today)Its far too short in the market.

Baileys Concerto is a solid,consistent horse that should run well while Fiddlers Reel continues to post good,competitve ratings and shouldnt be far away.

Gleann Na Ndochais can be a bit in and out but if it can reproduce its latest effort then its got a better chance than the odds suggest.

Its won around here and the trainer has won with 2 of his last 8 runners.

Back Gleann Na Ndochais 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 6.0)-4th(-7pts)Didnt jump well and never in it

Lay Harrys Whim 20pts at 6.0-fell(+20pts)(DT+1pts)

6th May

5.0 Fakenham-Queen Spud is the most likely winner of this after a good win last time,its top rated and has Richard Johnson booked.

Its a pretty tight enough price at 11/8 however.

Bow Quest makes its handicap debut for the Gary Moore yard but the fast ground is a big question mark while Adiynara is a very inconsistent performer but does have a rating from 2012 that would see it go very close,the trainer is 3 from 10 with his hurdlers here.

Dream Mistress is unexposed after just one run in a handicap,that was last time when it posted a good rating and the best speed figure in this race.

It just weakened out of it late on and this drop in trip could see some more improvement and if it does,its got a better chance than the odds suggest.

Back Dream Mistress 7pts at 7.5 at Betvictor(Accept 5.5)-4th(-7pts)Well backed but lost its place before staying on again.

650 Exeter-Pretty good race where the possibility of a shower or two could alter things but Jump City wont mind which way it goes although its possibly a slightly better horse on good ground.Its won 2 of its 3 starts around here and is on its last winning mark.

Paul Nicholls has a 25% strike rate here with his chasers and I thought it would be vying for favouritism.

Karinga Dancer is still lightly raced over fences after only 3 runs and has McCoy on board.Its best hurdles ratings give it a decent chance but its been 7Ibs off them so far over fences.

King Edmund normally operates at a higher level than this and did win its last race when dropped to this grade.Its not been in great form though and its short enough.

Drumlang needs it to stay dry and wouldnt be without a chance but tends to run better later in the year(February to May 0w-0p-8r)

Back Jump City 8pts at 6.0 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-8pts)Ran well and the money came but not good enough.(DT-15pts)

Monthly Total+33.4

Running Total+6981.62pts

5th May

410 Windsor-The progressive Trixie Malone should be difficult to beat here.2w-1p-4r in fields of 9 or less and 2 from 2 over todays trip.

Its clear on ratings and with possibly more to come.

Fashion Line has to prove itself on this ground and is short enough considering that its done most of its racing on the all weather.

Beautiful View is very inconsistent but does have 1 rating from last year on this ground that gives it a squeak and Ryan Moore rides.

Back Trixy Malone 18pts at 3.0 at Betfair-Won(Wasnt Matched)

435 Kempton-This is a really good,competitve race and quite a few hold chances.

Claret Cloak and Turn Over Sivola both ran well in the same race last time and thats the best recent form on show here.

La Bacardy continues to progress and defy the handicapper and certainly isnt out of it while Pepite Rose will like the drop in class but is possibly better going left handed.

Australia Day is lightly raced over fences(5 runs) despite being an 11yo.It ran a poor race on its first outing after a break on the flat but did the same last year before bouncing back to produce a career best over fences next time out.

Its 1 from 1 at this track over fences and the trainer is 13  from 56 with his chase runners here.

Fast ground on a right handed track are its optimum conditions and it could give it a good go from the front at a nice price.

Back Australia Day 4pts at 15.0 at Various bookies-Won(+50.4pts 1 non runner)Jumped them silly.

355 Ffos Las-You couldnt be certain Dualiseoir will run its race but based on the rating it achieved last time when running a great race only to come down late on,it really should be favourite.Its trainer is 5 from 16 with her chase runners here and it has to be supported in a very weak race.

The market has Cruising Bye in as fav which is a little surprising considering I think it needs softer ground and it has not got a decent record fresh(80 days absence or more 0w-1p-5r)

Mias Vic looked the more likely danger to me,as it looks the most certain to run its race but also lacking the ratings of the selection if it does put it all together.

Back Dualiseoir 12pts at 4.0 at Paddys/Bet365-4th(-12pts)Looked a big danger but I dont think it got home(DT+38.4pts)

Monthly Total+48.40pts

Running Total+6996.62pts

4th May

350 Newmarket-The big race of the day and not a race id normally get involved in but Tapestry interests me.

This horse has the speed figures and a good progression in his ratings to be a major factor here.Its bred for at least 10 furlongs,so the fact that it did well last season over 7 bodes well and it should go close over further on a big galloping track like this one.

It was only just beaten by the favourite Rizeena on its final outing last year but met all sorts of trouble that day and simply does not deserve to be twice its price.

Back Tapestry 4pts each way at 9.0 at Boyles/Ladbrokes-UP(-8pts)Halved in price and was well positioned until being eased and allowed to coast home.Clearly something was amiss.Disappointing!

Monthly Total+10pts

Running Total+6958.22pts

3rd May

430 Uttoxeter-River Purple should go close and is one of the few that arrives in form.I do have a little niggle about the faster ground and at 13/8,you can afford to swerve it.

Stormhoek has pulled up on its last 2 starts but has somehow been put in as 2nd favourite.Its got a decent rating on good,if you go back far enough but taking 2012 form,2 seasons later isnt ideal.

There are a couple who could be involved at their best and one of those,Noble Witness catches my eye.

The trainer is in decent form for a small stable and he won this race 2 seasons ago.I just wonder whether the return to a shorter trip,on decent ground may just see a revival.

The last time it encountered this trip and ground combination(April 2013) it finished a good 2nd and is now 14Ibs lower.

Its up to the individual but I couldnt recommend this horse each way,as its such an in and out performer.Its possible the trip and ground may make no difference and the horse has lost its way but its worth finding out at such a big price.

Back Noble Witness 4pts at 15.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-4pts)Halved in price and ran a massive race from the front.leading everywhere but the final 100 yards.It was always going to place though wasnt it?

2nd May

650 Bangor-Although Sudski Star is clearly the one beat,this may be a sharp enough test on this ground and around this track.

Its progressive but does need to improve again if Island Magee can match its last time out effort.

It encountered good ground for the first time over fences and only got caught close home.This slight drop in trip should be ideal and this good jumper could get them at it from the front.

Blackwater King is consistent but beatable,its a very weak finisher.

Back Island Magee 11pts at 4.3 at Paddys-3rd(-11pts)Sudski Star too progressive.

Accept 4.0

510 Musselburgh-Alluring Star is unpenalised after winning in an apprentice race last time and looks sure to go close.

Its at its best on good to soft ground and 4 of its 5 career wins have come on right handed tracks like this.It looks difficult to keep out of the frame.

Echo Of Lightning is progressive and is respected while if Global Leader is as good on turf as its been on the all weather then it should go close.

Back Alluring Star 5pts each way at 7.0 at Paddys/Betvictor-Won(+36pts)Always in the right place and just got up close home.

750 Bangor-I wanted to be with Chalk it Down here but the price just isnt quite big enough to get involved.It showed its first worthwhile form over hurdles last time and has strong claims on that.Its trainer has incredibly won with 6 of his last 13 runners.

Ginger Fizz is lightly raced and progressive.It makes its handicap debut and shouldnt be far away.

Overpriced,The Pier and Dormouse have all got chances.

Edmaaj has a chance but not one that warrants it being the price it is.It needs to find more to take this.

Lay Edmaaj 20pts at 4.5-2nd(-2pts)Had to trade out for a small loss before the race, with Chalk it Down not running.Not ideal but these things happen and thats why I stipulate the horses running for us.(DT+23pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Chalk it Down/Ginger Fizz or Overpriced dont run*

Monthly Total+22pts

Running Total+6970.22pts

1st May

315 Sedgefield-Despite having a good record here,I dont think Cara Court is good enough to win this while Muwalla would prefer better ground especially with rain forecast.

Shadrack wont mind what happens weather wise and is very well handicapped these day(9Ibs below its last winning mark).

Its 3w-0p-9r on sharp tracks like this and is 1 out of 1 at this track.It could outclass these.

Pamak D`Airy is clearly the main danger but has nothing in hand at the weights now.

Both Shadrack and Pamak D`Airy have finished behind Sudski Star on their latest starts,the selection comes out much the best horse on a line through that horse.

Back Shadrack 18pts at 3.0 at Betfair-Won(Not Matched)Hammered in and never even got close to the price in running.