230-This is a pretty tight heat,with a number of horses having a similar top rating.
Olivers Gold and Pass Muster should go well but Weybridge Light surely shouldnt be the price it is.
It ran well last time,after an absence.That rating gives it a solid chance but any improvement close to last seasons win over slightly further,would give it a far better chance than the current odds suggest.
Trend is my Friend represents the McCain/McCoy combination but its likely to be shorter than it should be,based on what its done so far in its career.
Back Weybridge Light 3pts each way at 17.0 at Betvictor(Accept 13.0)-5th(-6pts)Outpaced throughout.
4.0-If Vulcanite is the improved performer that its hurdles win suggested then it will probably win this but so far in its career,its 5 starts over the big fences havent matched up to its hurdling exploits.Im happy to pass at its price.
Zarzal won well a week ago and also looks to have strong claims under its penalty,however,its only 3 from 25 in its career,so is hardly a likely candidate to follow up.
All those wins were at Ludlow and its 0w-1p-9r on sharp tracks like this one.Its another im happy to pass at a very short price.
The one I see running its race is King Edmund.This horse has spent most of its recent career in a higher grade than this but is a force when dropped to this class(5w-1p-12r)
Its 3w-2p-7r when returning to the track within 14 days and the jockey Tom Cannon is very underrated.
Back King Edmund 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-3rd(-7pts)Ran a solid race but the chinks I hoped were there in the front 2 in the market,just didnt materialise.(DT-13pts)
430-Keltic Rhythm is pretty solid here and really should go close.Its posted a series of consistent ratings since going over fences and a reproduction of its latest effort would make it tough to beat.
Ballylifen represents top connections and should run well but im not sure it should be favourite with a win record of 1 from 22.
Fair Bramble at its best and Quel Bruere if its fit,both have chances but the selection looks certain to run well.
Back Keltic Rhythm 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Hills(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-11pts)If ever a race summed up this month,this was it!
Well backed and swept into the lead 3 out(going past the eventual winner) and jumped the last 2 lengths up(Touched 1.1 in running) only to be outbattled 20 yards from the line.(DT-24pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment