13th May

640 Ffos Las-This is really weak and nothing looks totally reliable.You wouldnt want to get involved in too short a price in a race like this.

Doc Wells makes its debut for Tim Vaughan and thats probably the reason its favourite but Its been pretty inconsistent in its career and very soft ground may not suit.

Zama Zama does well in this grade(Class 5... 2 wins from 3 starts) but is unproven over this far and it will need to get home in these conditions.

The one that appeals to me is Somerby.This horse loves soft/heavy ground,so the more rain the better.

Its had a break of 70 days since it last run and this horse has run well fresh many times.

Its 2w-2p-11r in fields of 9 or less,In this class(2w-3p-9r),Adam Wedge is 2 from 7 for the yard and the small stable had a winner with their last runner.

Back Somerby 8pts at 6.5 at Bet365(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-8pts)Rain didnt arrive but still ran well.Bumped into one in Doc Wells however

530 Southwell-Another weak race and its possible that Orang Outan is not the same horse after its 2 runs after 7 months off but there is enough in its profile and ratings to suggest it could stage a revival here.

It drops back into a class 5(2 wins from 7 in the grade),is 4w-1p-16r in fields of 9 or less,is now 2 Ibs below its last winning mark(Just 3 runs back) and it returns to a track where its 2 from 2.If it is still the same horse then surely it will show it here at a nice price.

Molko Jack is the obvious danger as it arrives here as one of the few in form.

Back Orang Outan 7pts at 7.0 at Bet365/Paddys(Accept 6.0)-Fell(-7pts)(DT-15pts)

735 Southwell-Nothing with a compelling profile but Provincial Pride makes its UK debut and could be quite well handicapped based on its final run in Ireland.

If repeating that effort it has a fine chance in a weak affair.

Buddy Love has gone off as favourite on its last 3 starts but been beaten each time.Its probably better than its shown but needs to prove it on the track.

Back Provincial Pride 7pts at 9.0 at Bet365(Accept 4.5)-Non Runner

240 Wincanton-Oscarslad is top rated and has some potential after just 2 starts over fences.

Its has finished 1st and 2nd around this track and I expect it to go very close.

Mighty Mobb has the next best ratings but needs lots of rain to be seen at its best.

Jayanbee can normally be relied upon to run its race but isnt well handicapped anymore while Thomas Wild isnt out of it if at its best.

Back Oscarslad 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365/Ladbrokes(Accept 3.25)-Won(+37.5pts)(DT+22.5pts)

310 Wincanton-Another Brandy put in a career best last time on its handicap debut and should prove even better on this better ground.

Enchanting Smile was all at sea on heavy ground last time.Back on this better ground,it should bounce back to its best.

State Department makes its handicap debut back on good ground,from a good stable.I would expect an improved showing.

Kruseman won last time but is no good thing under its penalty.Its got 5Ibs to find on the best of these,is 0w-0p-10r on right handed tracks and 0w-1p-14r in fields of 9 or less.

Lay Kruseman 20pts at 5.2 at Betfair-UP(+20pts)(DT+42.5pts)

*Cancel or Trade out if Another Brandy,Enchanting Smile or State Department dont run*

Days total minus commission+41.5pts

Monthly Total+17.90pts

Running Total+6966.12